Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 292323
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
623 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.AVIATION...
30/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF THE
FIRST FEW HOURS OF FORECAST AT KPNC. TSRA WILL AFFECT KPNC WITH AT
LEAST LOW-MVFR CONDITIONS FIRST HOUR OR SO OF FORECAST...WITH
RAPID IMPROVEMENT THEREAFTER. LIGHT WINDS AND LITTLE CLOUD COVER
AFTER THIS EVENING. ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED SOUTH AND EAST OF TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 220 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WILL CONT TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS AND WILL CONT TO CAUSE
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FA INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER... RAIN CHANCES WILL SLOWLY END FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
FA AS THE TROUGH MOVES EAST.

MODELS SHOW A WEAK FRONT MAY BE PUSHED INTO AND STALL IN NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE FA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS ANOTHER UPR WAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES ON
TIMING AND HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL GO BUT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN OK NEAR THIS
BOUNDARY. MODELS THEN SHOW THE UPPER HIGH BECOMING THE DOMINATE
FEATURE OVER THE REGION MIDDLE TO LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  93  71  94 /  30  10  10  10
HOBART OK         68  95  71  98 /  20  10  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  96  74  99 /  30  10  10   0
GAGE OK           64  93  69  97 /  10  10  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     68  92  72  94 /  30  10  10  10
DURANT OK         73  93  72  93 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/99/11


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