Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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664
FXUS64 KOUN 050916
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
316 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA...IN ADVANCE OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH. AT SURFACE...SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT.  THIS EVENING...WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD
DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH AND FRONT MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS. MOST MODELS INDICATE THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR RAIN WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE GFS AND NAM APPEAR A LITTLE
GENEROUS WITH QPF AMOUNTS.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST ON
SATURDAY...AS ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS.
THIS SYSTEM WILL AMPLIFY FURTHER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WHICH WILL
RESULT IN DRY NORTHWEST FLOW FOR OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. THE
WIND WILL BE VERY GUSTY AND STRONG ON SUNDAY...WHICH WILL ELEVATE
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

TEMPERATURE NEXT WEEK WILL START AROUND AVERAGE BUT WILL
WARM THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  54  30  54  32 /   0  20   0   0
HOBART OK         53  27  55  30 /   0  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  58  30  56  31 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           49  20  57  27 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     54  29  52  31 /   0  20   0   0
DURANT OK         54  34  55  34 /   0  30  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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