Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 231936
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
236 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...
DANGEROUS SITUATION SETTING UP ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS AS ROUNDS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT/SUNDAY. MANY RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL AND RAINFALL RATES OF IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR WILL
CONTINUE TO EXACERBATE THE SITUATION. PLEASE BE CAREFUL. WILL CONT
WITH FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.

THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER... MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTN AND EVENING. LOW AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR... HOWEVER INSTABILITY REMAINS RATHER LIMITED
OUTSIDE OF FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA.

PATTERN REMAINS RATHER ACTIVE AS ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL
KEEP A CHANCE OF STORMS AND POSSIBLY SOME SEVERE STORMS IN THE
FORECAST INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES THEN DECREASE FOR A
COUPLE OF DAYS... HOWEVER THEY DO REMAIN. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES
RETURN BY LATE IN THE WEEK AS YET ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE
APPROACHES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  63  73  62  80 / 100  90  20  30
HOBART OK         61  75  58  81 /  60  50  20  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  63  77  62  81 / 100  80  20  40
GAGE OK           58  76  56  82 /  40  30  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     63  74  61  81 / 100  80  30  20
DURANT OK         66  73  65  79 / 100 100  60  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR OKZ004>048-050>052.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

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