Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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864
FXUS64 KOUN 210516
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1216 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS...WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY PREVAIL THROUGH
AROUND 14Z TO 18Z THURS. THEREAFTER...BKN VFR CIGS WILL REMAIN.
SCT SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS SRN OK/N TX
OVERNIGHT INTO THURS MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THESE
AFFECTING ANY PARTICULAR SITE...ASIDE FROM PERHAPS KLAW/KSPS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 918 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015/

UPDATE...
SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORM HAVE DEVELOPED AND ARE MOVING
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN OK THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
SOME STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING
ACROSS SOUTHERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED TONIGHT... WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN HALF AN
INCH EXPECTED. OTHERWISE... COOL AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS TONIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. UPDATES OUT SOON.

WE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH EARLIER THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT /5Z
FRIDAY/ TO MONDAY MORNING /12Z MONDAY/. THIS IS FOR MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR HEAVY
RAIN TO BE OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH THE CURRENT SATURATED GROUND...
/ONLY LITTLE AMOUNTS OF RAIN COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING/
FORECASTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF 6+ INCHES POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING... AND THE FACT THAT THIS
IS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND... WE WANTED TO GET THE WATCH OUT SO THAT
PEOPLE WOULD BE AWARE AND CAN MAKE PLANS ACCORDINGLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  54  64  58  73 /  60  70  50  70
HOBART OK         52  65  59  72 /  70  70  50  70
WICHITA FALLS TX  56  71  63  77 /  70  70  40  70
GAGE OK           49  64  55  71 /  70  40  50  60
PONCA CITY OK     50  64  56  72 /  40  70  60  70
DURANT OK         58  69  61  78 /  50  60  30  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     OKZ019>048-050>052.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

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