Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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416
FXUS64 KOUN 272337
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
637 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.AVIATION...
A cold front will bring a wind shift to all TAF sites on
Wednesday. The front will enter northern Oklahoma around
15z and will clear southern parts of the state and north
Texas by 0-3z Thursday. Meanwhile, a light south to southwest
wind will prevail with VFR conditions.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 322 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Models a little faster with cold front tomorrow but still expect
near or above average temperatures across the southern half of
Oklahoma into northern Texas. Seasonably cool and dry weather will
follow for Thursday and Friday before we start to see modest warm up
into next week. Will keep low pops during the latter half of the
weekend across western and northern portions of the CWA for
elevated showers or brief/weak storms as low amplitude wave passes
over the region.

Developing longwave trough over central U.S. next week will yield
increased southerly flow and resulting moisture increase for storm
chances mainly late Tuesday with strong-severe storm chances
increasing. Medium range models keep rain chances going a few days
beyond this forecast cycle with slow eastward progression of upper
trough.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  55  85  51  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         53  88  52  73 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  54  89  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           54  83  48  74 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     54  78  48  73 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         55  87  54  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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