Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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138
FXUS64 KOUN 150948
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
348 AM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Main concerns this morning continue to be with regards to
freezing rain as well as fog with the possibility of a few strong
to severe storms this evening.

First off, band of heavier freezing rain across far
northern Oklahoma will move north of the area over the next
couple of hours. We do anticipate another area of rain/freezing
rain to move back into portions of western/northwestern Oklahoma
later this morning, with very little significant precip elsewhere
through the morning hours. Also, temps continue to hover near
freezing and are expected to gradually climb above freezing
across all but northwest Oklahoma by late morning. With this in
mind will drop ice storm warning for portions of central/north
central Oklahoma and transition to a freezing rain advisory.

Areas of fog will also impact much of the area at least through
the morning hours, especially across areas along and southeast of
I-44, where models indicate developing easterly surface winds
will begin to bring in higher dewpoint air west. Will need to
watch this area for the possibility of a dense fog advisory later
this morning.

By this afternoon and tonight, models show a couple of rounds
of showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the area. As
the main storm system comes out and moves across the area
tonight, a few strong to possibly severe storms will be possible,
mainly across southern Oklahoma southward into Texas. Strong
gusty winds will be the main threat along with heavy rainfall.

Beyond Monday, more tranquil weather is expected. There does
appear to be a couple of chances for some rain across parts
of southern/southeastern Oklahoma during the second half of the
week. Otherwise, expect mainly dry and mild conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  44  42  54  32 /  70  90  10   0
Hobart OK         42  37  50  30 /  80  90   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  51  40  57  33 /  80  90   0   0
Gage OK           35  32  42  26 /  90  90  20   0
Ponca City OK     41  39  50  30 /  70  90  30   0
Durant OK         58  55  64  38 /  40  90  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Freezing Rain Advisory until noon CST today for OKZ012-013-
     016>018-022-033-034.

     Ice Storm Warning until noon CST today for OKZ004>011-014-015-
     021.

TX...None.
&&

$$

10/30



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