Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 181406
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for XTO Oil Spill Fairview...EPA
National Weather Service Norman OK
906 AM CDT Thu May 18 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0900 CDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to numerous thunderstorms are expected after 3 pm this
afternoon then continue through the evening. Some storms will be
severe with very large hail and heavy rainfall. Tornadoes may be
possible with storms as well. Total rainfall this afternoon
through Friday evening is expected to be 1 to 2 inches.
More severe thunderstorms may be possible on Friday as well.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms likely
                    after 3 PM.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Surface winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......200-1700 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  42  42  42  62  62  62  82  82
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Temp............70  74  77  79  82  82  82  82  80
RH..............63  59  58  60  58  58  61  61  62
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.13  14  14  14  14  15  16  16  16
Surface wnd gst.25  25  25  25  25  25  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.25  25  23  22  22  21  26  35  38

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds.......South winds 8 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......2700-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 200-1400 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  88  88  88  82  82  82  74  74  74  77  77
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Temp............77  75  73  72  70  69  68  67  67  67  67  67
RH..............69  71  76  79  84  87  87  90  90  90  90  90
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.15  14  13  13  12  11  10  9   8   7   7   7
Surface wnd gst.25  25  25  25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.8 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.38  36  31  25  21  18  16  15  13  12  12  14

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........77     76     67     67     80     62
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Temp............66     67     70     73     76     77
RH..............93     90     84     73     62     58
Surface wind....S 7    S 8    S 9    S 10   S 10   SW 11
Surface wnd gst.15     15     15     15     15     20

$$
Forecaster...SCOTTEN
Requested by...Eric Delgado
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1709591.0/OUN
.EMAIL Delgado.eric@epa.gov



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