Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 180119
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for Flying M Ranch Rx Complex (2017)...Wichita Falls
National Weather Service Norman OK
719 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 CST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Conditions will generally not support rapid fire growth and spread
through the weekend. There could be some fog early Saturday morning,
but this will diminish by mid-morning, followed by dry and warm
conditions. Rain chances will increase during the day on Sunday as
a weather system approaches, and higher moisture is expected.
Minimum RH values will be even higher (around 65%) than Saturday with
a strengthening southeast winds. If burning operations continue into
next week, a windy dry day may lead to rapid fire spread on Thursday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Max humidity........89 percent.

TIME (CST)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
RH..............54     67     77     80     86

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......200-1800 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon, then decreasing to 1300 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1100-16900 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........62     62     51     39     39     37
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............47     50     56     63     69     71
RH..............89     83     72     58     45     44
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 6   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10            10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    300    1200   2400   3400   2500
MIX HGT (M).....60     90     370    730    1040   760
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6    E 5    E 8    E 8    E 7    E 6
TRANSP WIND DIR.090    080    070    070    080    090
TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3    E 2    E 4    E 4    E 3    E 3
VRATE KTFT/1000.1      6      13     17     14     7

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........40        65        40        53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70        61        58        57
RH..............47        65        72        77
20 FT WIND......E 6G10    E 7G10    SE 6G10   SE 7G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       200       200       200
MIX HGT (M).....90        60        60        60
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7       E 8       E 8       SE 9
TRANSP WIND DIR.110       100       110       120
TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3       E 4       E 4       SE 4
VRATE KTFT/1000.2         1         1         0

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon, then decreasing to 1500 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1600-37700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........62           66           94
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
TEMP............55           62           70
RH..............86           81           66
20 FT WIND......SE 7G10      S 14G20      S 15G25
MIX HGT (FT)....200          1200         3800
MIX HGT (M).....60           370          1160
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9         S 17         S 21
TRANSP WIND DIR.140          170          200
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 4         S 8          S 9
VRATE KTFT/1000.2            29           29

$$
Forecaster...BOWERS
Requested by...Jared Burchett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702388.0/OUN
.EMAIL jared.burchett@wichitafallstx.gov



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