Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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050
FNUS74 KOUN 021644
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIVE LAKES RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1044 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER...COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3700-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6200-55200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (10800-59100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............35  38  40  43  44  45  45  44
RH..............63  56  52  47  47  45  43  45
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.1 3.7 4.6 5.2 5.1 3.7 1.9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  20  18  18  18  17  14  10
TRANS SPD (M/S).9   9   8   8   8   8   6   4
VRATE KTFT/1000.47  55  59  54  46  34  22  11

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  37  34  33  31  30  29  28  27  26  25  24
RH..............47  56  63  67  71  74  78  82  81  85  88  92
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10      5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
VRATE KTFT/1000.2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-30800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............23  23  25  30  36  41  45  48  50  51  51  50
RH..............94  100 91  77  61  49  42  36  33  31  32  33
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 3.9 4.7 5.1 4.9 3.5 1.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   3   3   6   7   9   10  10  9   8   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).1   1   1   1   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3
VRATE KTFT/1000.1   5   12  18  24  28  31  29  24  18  12  6

$$
FORECASTER...SCOTTEN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GRUBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160203.FIVEL.04/OUN



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