Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 161346
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRATER LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
746 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS... AROUND 10MPH... ARE EXPECTED AT
IGNITION TIME. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON... WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND AFTERNOON HEATING ATTRIBUTING
TO POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 15 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 40S
BY EARLY AFTERNOON... WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-2100 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 1900-2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /15400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
                    /16600 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  44  46  47  47  47  45
RH..............53  47  44  41  38  39  42
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  9   8   8   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 1.9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  10  8   6   3   2   3
TRANS SPD (M/S).6   4   4   3   1   1   1
VRATE KTFT/1000.15  16  17  15  13  11  8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 71 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (100-5700 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 66 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7300-18500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...KURTZ
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141216.CRATE.02/OUN


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