Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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721
FNUS74 KOUN 110641
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROL RANCH FIRE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1241 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0020 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT FROM THE WEST AROUND 3 AM AND THEN NORTHWEST TO
NORTH AROUND SUNRISE. SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH. RH
WILL RISE TO AROUND 50 PERCENT BY SUNRISE. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTH AND
NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
SUNSET.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-71 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST AND NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. THEN LIGHT NORTH AND
AND NORTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-21400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR PC  MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  49  48  47  46  45  44  44  46  50  54  57  59  62  64  65  65  64  61  55  52  49  47  46  44  43  42  40  39  38
RH..............32  34  37  40  44  44  46  51  51  46  40  37  34  31  28  27  27  28  31  40  45  51  55  63  67  69  71  71  75  79
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  10  8   8   8   7   9   10  12  14  13  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.                                        20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3
TRANS SPD (M/S).6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
VRATE KTFT/1000.1   0   0   0   0   0   2   5   9   13  16  20  21  21  19  16  13  10  7   5   4   3   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT EAST WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING BECOMING SOUTHERLY
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1600
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (200-18900 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...BARNES
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160211.CAROL.01/OUN



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