Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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541
FNUS74 KOUN 012115
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIVE LAKES RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
315 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ON THE DAY OF THE BURN...EXPECT COOL WEATHER WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS AVERAGING ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH...SLOWLY DECREASING THROUGH THE
DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM THE MID 30S AT IGNITION TIME TO THE
MID 40S IN THE AFTERNOON...WHILE HUMIDITIES DROP FROM ABOUT 60
PERCENT INTO THE 40S PERCENT.

THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST FOLLOWS....

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63500 KNOT-FT).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (38200-84700 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (0-27600 KNOT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6400-46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (113200 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...SHARPE
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GRUBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160203.FIVEL.03/OUN



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