Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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579
FNUS74 KOUN 040133
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIVE LAKES RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
733 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THURSDAY WILL BECOME
LIGHT SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING. STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY FROM MORE OF A PREDOMINATE SOUTH DIRECTION. THIS FORECAST
WILL BE UPDATED EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BY 6 AM.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500-6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3700-45900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (29700-76800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    FAIR (14800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     45     49     49
RH..............56     41     34     34
20 FT WIND......NW 3   W 6    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   5500   6400   4100
MIX HGT (M).....700    1680   1950   1250
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   W 16   W 15   W 14
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 8    W 7    W 7    W 6
VRATE KTFT/1000.60     77     60     30

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     41     37     34     33     33
RH..............40     48     56     64     69     72
20 FT WIND......SW 5   S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    BLW100 100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (M).....60     BLW10M 30     30     30     30
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 12   W 12   W 12   SW 14  SW 16
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6    W 5    W 5    W 5    SW 6   SW 7
VRATE KTFT/1000.3      0      0      1      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4300-5800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2500-50000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (14900-64300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     36     42     50     53     52
RH..............75     67     55     42     38     39
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 8    S 10   S 13   S 14   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....100    200    1000   2800   5400   4300
MIX HGT (M).....30     60     300    850    1650   1310
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20  SW 22  S 25   S 26   S 26   S 25
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 9   SW 10  S 11   S 12   S 12   S 11
VRATE KTFT/1000.3      25     50     64     51     27

$$
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GRUBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160204.FIVEL.01/OUN



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