Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 231542
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for OFS Test 1...OFS
National Weather Service Norman OK
1042 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1100 CDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816, if you have questionsor concerns with this forecast.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Latest observation nearest to the test site indicate south-southeast winds at 16
mph with gusts to 25 mph, and an RH value of 81 percent. Low stratus is present and
should diminish during the afternoon allowing RH values to drop to a minimum of
around 40 percent. Coincidentally, winds will increase this afternoon with gusts
as high as 40 mph possible during the mid-late afternoon hours. Windy conditions
will persist into the night and remain southerly. Dry/windy conditions will occur
tomorrow afternoon with a challenging forecast regarding exact wind speeds. Winds
will be southerly early and then should gradually veer around to southwesterly,
but later forecasts will refine the specific details of winds tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. South winds 16 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 40 mph increasing to 25 to 26 mph with
                    gusts to around 40 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600-4500 ft AGL increasing to 4700-4800 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 26 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (55100-86200 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent (161100 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2600-4500 ft AGL increasing to 4700-4800 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 26 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........61     53     53     32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............67     75     79     81
RH..............68     55     47     41
20 ft wind......S 16   S 21   S 25   S 25
20 ft wind gust.25     30     40     40
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3400   4500   4700
Transport wind..S 28   S 30   S 38   S 41
VRate ktft/100055     86     128    161

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. South winds 21 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after midnight.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1700 ft AGL in the
                    evening, then increasing to 2000-3500 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....South 21 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (135400 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    excellent (80700 knot-ft) in the late evening
                    and early morning, then increasing to excellent
                    (137300 knot-ft) early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1700 ft AGL in the
                    evening, then increasing to 2000-3500 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....South 21 to 25 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........32     28     45     45     50     76
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............80     75     70     67     65     64
RH..............42     46     53     54     60     63
20 ft wind......S 23   S 22   S 25   S 24   S 21   S 22
20 ft wind gust.35     35     40     35     30     35
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   BLW100 1400   2000   2800   3500
Transport wind..S 44   S 30   S 45   S 47   S 49   S 54
VRate ktft/1000168    135    93     81     120    164

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. Southwest winds 18 to 26 mph. Gusts up
                    to 30 mph increasing to 40 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300-4100 ft AGL increasing to 7100-8000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (107500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (224800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2300-4100 ft AGL increasing to 7100-8000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........76        66        32        5
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Temp............62        66        71        76
RH..............70        63        38        22
20 FT wind......S 20G30   S 18G30   S 20G30   SW 26G40
Mix hgt (ft)....2500      4100      6000      8000
Transport wind..S 49      S 43      S 39      SW 41
VRate ktft/1000108       156       204       231

$$
Forecaster...BOWERS
Requested by...Drew Daily
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705058.0/OUN
.EMAIL drew.daily@ag.ok.gov



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