Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 210646
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOORE EOC...NWS TEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
146 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0200 CDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY CALM THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
FOR THE CITY OF MOORE. MORNING LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE MID 60S WITH
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY
CLEAR...HOWEVER MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS MAY STREAM IN FROM THE WEST
THROUGH THE MORNING. THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS THE FRONT SLOWLY LIFTS
NORTH/NORTHWEST THROUGH 7 AM. HOWEVER...COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE
RELATIVELY SPREAD OUT...WITH ISOLATED UPDRAFTS. ANY STORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL BE ELEVATED...STAYING BELOW SEVERE CRITERIA...WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

FOR TOMORROW...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW ADVANCES THROUGH THE
PANHANDLES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE
AFTERNOON WELL SOUTH OF THE NEWCASTLE-MOORE TORNADO PATH...
ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NEAR
THE RED RIVER VALLEY.

WITH THAT SAID...IF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE CITY OF MOORE...WE WILL CONTACT THE MOORE EOC ON THE
RADIO AND PROVIDE UPDATES AS NEEDED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     65     68     72     74     75
RH..............87     76     66     62     57     55
20 FT WIND......N 13   N 13   N 12   N 8    E 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     68     66     64     62     61
RH..............57     68     73     75     81     84
20 FT WIND......S 5    SE 6   SE 6   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5800-7600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-46700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...KURTZ
REQUESTED BY...MOORE EOC/JEREMIE F.
TYPE OF REQUEST...EOC
.TAG 20130501.TEST2.01/OUN



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