Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 192238
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for weichel cabin east...SWOSU
National Weather Service Norman OK
538 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816, if you have questionsor concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Another hot day is expected Monday and afternoon humidity will again be quite low,
but winds will not be as strong as Sunday. Winds will generally be from the southwest
with only little variation through the day expected at the fireground. A weak front
and associated wind shift will move through northern Oklahoma and is currently
expected to stay north of Interstate 40 on Monday, but it is recommended to check the
forecast again on Monday morning and monitor the expected position of this front.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800-5500 ft AGL increasing to 6200-8100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (32100-72000 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to fair (18800 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      1      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............70     80     88     91
RH..............45     29     22     20
20 ft wind......SW 12  SW 10  SW 13  SW 13
20 ft wind gust.15     15     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   5500   7000   7900
Transport wind..SW 16  W 15   W 12   SW 6
VRate ktft/100055     72     58     32

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6800-7800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      16     16     16     24     45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............91     81     73     68     64     62
RH..............22     33     44     52     63     67
20 ft wind......S 10   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 9
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....7800   4600   100    BLW100 100    100
Transport wind..SW 1   S 1    SE 6   S 6    S 7    S 12
VRate ktft/10008      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1900 ft AGL increasing to 5300-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 13 mph shifting to the north 6 to 7
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-42200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (54200-101400 knot-ft) late
                    in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........45        48        56        51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............63        67        76        82
RH..............62        59        45        37
20 FT wind......SW 9G15   SW 12G15  SW 10G15  N 6G10
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    1900      4600      6500
Transport wind..SW 15     SW 18     SW 16     SW 9
VRate ktft/10000         30        65        93

$$
Forecaster...SPEHEGER
Requested by...Eric Pritchard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704573.0/OUN
.EMAIL eric.pritchard@swosu.edu



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