Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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715
FNUS74 KOUN 141610
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for SPNWR piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Norman OK
1010 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light rain and drizzle will gradually end by midday. Skies will
clear overnight with light north to northwest winds. Dry weather
expected through the remainder of the week. Winds will shift to
the southwest late Wednesday and remain out of the south to
southwest through end of the week.

Seasonable temperatures are expected through Wednesday with
temperatures rising to 10 to 15 degrees above average
Thursday into early next week. There will be another good
chance of rain on Sunday and Monday. Despite the warming
late this week, fire weather concerns will be held in check
by only moderate winds on Thursday, and relatively high
humidity Friday through the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain in the morning.
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 52.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 6 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 900-2800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /39300 KNOT-FT/ AT ignition. MAX...good
                    /40200 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........90     87     82     82
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45     50     52     51
RH..............68     56     50     50
20 FT WIND......N 14   N 15   N 14   N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   2500   2800   1200
MIX HGT (M).....520    760    850    370
TRANSPORT WIND..N 18   N 24   N 22   N 13
TRANSP WIND DIR.010    010    010    350
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 8    N 11   N 10   N 6
VRATE KTFT/1000.39     37     24     8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........76     76     44     37     37     6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48     41     38     36     34     32
RH..............54     67     73     72     75     81
20 FT WIND......N 10   N 9    N 8    N 7    N 7    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    100    200    200    300    200
MIX HGT (M).....90     30     60     60     90     60
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8    N 6    N 8    N 9    N 9    N 9
TRANSP WIND DIR.340    340    340    340    340    340
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 4    N 3    N 4    N 4    N 4    N 4
VRATE KTFT/1000.2      0      0      2      1      0

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning...then decreasing to 1600
                    ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph becoming light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2000-27300 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........3         2         0         0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............30        35        48        54
RH..............88        72        44        38
20 FT WIND......NW 7G10   NW 7G10   NW 6G10   NW 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1300      3400      4500
MIX HGT (M).....90        400       1040      1370
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8       N 12      NW 9      NW 8
TRANSP WIND DIR.340       350       330       300
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 4       N 5       NW 4      NW 4
VRATE KTFT/1000.2         17        27        16

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Warmer...clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds
around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CURL
Requested by...Barry Smart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702095.0/OUN
.EMAIL barry_smart@fws.gov



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