Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 291350
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRATER LAKE PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
850 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONGOING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY LINGER INTO LATE MORNING
BEFORE PUSHING SOUTH OF THE FIRE GROUND. WITH THIS CONVECTION...WINDS
WILL BE VARIABLE AND GUSTY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT SLOWER TO
RISE. AS SOON AS SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE ON...WINDS WILL RETURN TO
A GENERALLY SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT AROUND 10 MPH AND
TEMPERATURES WILL RESUME THEIR RACE TO THE UPPER 90S THIS AFTERNOON.
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS
NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE SITE...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
IN HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL PUSH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD STAY
ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100-11500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-41500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD (40800-55600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............81     88     92     94     93
RH..............53     42     37     35     35
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   S 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....400    6100   10400  11200  11100
MIX HGT (M).....120    1860   3170   3410   3380
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7    SW 7   SW 6   SW 5   SW 6
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 3    SW 3   SW 3   SW 2   SW 3
VRATE KTFT/1000.9      31     50     54     41

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-32100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200-10800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-35100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54800-96800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...DAY
REQUESTED BY...JEREMIAH PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150629.CRATE.01/OUN



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