Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 250928
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR OSU LCB...GFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
428 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH
DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND INCREASE SOME BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID-AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERE
STORMS ARE LIKELY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE
SITE AROUND SUNSET WITH VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING AFTER
FRONTAL PASSAGE AND LASTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1900 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /17400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /31800 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     69     75     79     78
RH..............79     68     51     42     41
20 FT WIND......SE 12  S 12   S 13   SW 13  NW 18
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     30
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1900   2900   3500   3500
MIX HGT (M).....300    580    880    1070   1070
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 21  S 17   S 10   SW 5   NW 7
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9   S 8    S 4    SW 2   NW 3
VRATE KTFT/1000.17     26     30     31     32

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 45 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 12 TO
                    18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (22900-63500 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO FAIR (13100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (9300-55400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (22200-61100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CURL
REQUESTED BY...ARCHIE STONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.OSULC.01/OUN


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