Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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499
FNUS74 KOUN 181356
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR RX 16-31...FT. SILL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 AM CDT THU AUG 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OVERCAST LOW STRATUS CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...
ALONG WITH PATCHY FOG ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL REMAIN STEADY...
OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. SCATTERED
SHOWERS CONTINUE TO INCREASE SLOWLY IN COVERAGE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE AFTERNOON...
THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... INCLUDING FORT SILL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND.(20 FT)........
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-3300
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /34000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /52500 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65700
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............77     81     84     86     84
RH..............82     69     63     57     61
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 8    S 9    S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   4500   6800   8000   6200
MIX HGT (M).....730    1370   2070   2440   1890
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10   S 10   SW 9   S 10   S 18
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4    S 4    SW 4   S 4    S 8
VRATE KTFT/1000.28     41     66     89     99

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (41000-90100 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (0-24000 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (20500-54800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48500-95500 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CURL
REQUESTED BY...JAY YOUNG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160818.RX163.01/OUN



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