Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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072
FNUS74 KOUN 050136
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIVE LAKES RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
736 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-25 MPH BY LATE MORNING WITH
SOME GUSTS OF 20 MPH POSSIBLE. THE WIND WILL DECREASE AGAIN AROUND
SUNSET. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT OR
SATURDAY MORNING...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1200
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-46600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (13000-60100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     48     53     54
RH..............60     47     38     36
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 13   S 13   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   3000   3700   2500
MIX HGT (M).....370    910    1130   760
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21   S 23   S 23   S 22
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10
VRATE KTFT/1000.47     60     47     24

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     43     40     37     35     34
RH..............41     56     65     71     81     83
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 7    S 6    S 6    W 6    NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    200    500    500    300    200
MIX HGT (M).....60     60     150    150    90     60
TRANSPORT WIND..S 22   S 23   S 25   S 24   SW 18  W 12
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10   S 10   S 11   S 11   SW 8   W 5
VRATE KTFT/1000.4      2      6      10     7      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1600-20300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     34     42     49     53     54
RH..............84     82     62     50     40     38
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 6   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    400    1300   2900   3800   2700
MIX HGT (M).....90     120    400    880    1160   820
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6   NW 5   NW 7   N 8    NW 8   W 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 3   NW 2   NW 3   N 4    NW 4   W 4
VRATE KTFT/1000.2      8      16     20     16     9

$$
FORECASTER...SPEHEGER
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GRUBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160204.FIVEL.02/OUN



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