Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 181435
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for Waggoner KMA Prescribed Fire 10/19...Waggoner Ranch
National Weather Service Norman OK
935 AM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 CDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light south winds will increase quickly during the morning to
around 10 mph by noon. Otherwise expect a mainly sunny day with
moderate humidity.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning,
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 13
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-2100 ft AGL, increasing to 3800-5300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph early in the morning,
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 13
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1500-47600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........43     38     25     25     31     44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............56     55     65     73     78     81
RH..............73     80     63     52     39     33
20 ft wind......S 5    SE 3   S 6    S 9    S 12   S 13
20 ft wind gust.6      4      7      12     14     16
Mix hgt (ft)....200    500    1400   3000   4700   5300
Transport wind..S 8    S 12   S 18   S 18   S 20   S 21
VRate ktft/1000.2      17     35     48     43     31

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......100-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (21300-30800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........44        53        70        76
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Temp............80        71        68        66
RH..............36        56        70        82
20 FT wind......SE 10G13  SE 10G13  S 10G13   S 9G12
Mix hgt (ft)....1900      300       1400      1800
Transport wind..SE 13     SE 16     S 25      S 24
VRate ktft/1000.21        25        31        25

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning, then a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning. A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1400-3100 ft AGL, increasing to 3500-4800 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (26300-72500 knot-ft),
                    increasing to excellent (80200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........75           84           83
Weather cov.....S CHC        CHANCE       S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC        CHANCE       S CHC
Temp............64           69           78
RH..............90           80           60
20 FT wind......S 7G10       S 13G16      S 16G19
Mix hgt (ft)....1400         2600         4400
Transport wind..S 22         S 25         S 28
VRate ktft/1000.26           63           89

$$
Forecaster...SHARPE
Requested by...Reece Wells
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717463.0/OUN
.EMAIL reecespieces531@gmail.com



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