Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 070120
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIVE LAKES RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
720 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1905 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARILY LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND EXPECTED THROUGH NOON SUNDAY
BEFORE WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTS WINDS TO NORTHERLY EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. COLDER AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL SPREAD
OVER THE BURN SITE MONDAY ALONG WITH STRONG TO VERY STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-19700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     35     44     52     57     59
RH..............87     83     57     44     35     32
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   W 7    NW 10  NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....100    100    600    1600   3300   2700
MIX HGT (M).....30     30     180    490    1010   820
TRANSPORT WIND..W 28   W 23   W 17   W 14   W 15   NW 20
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 13   W 10   W 8    W 6    W 7    NW 9
VRATE KTFT/1000.2      9      15     20     17     11

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............55        43        37        34
RH..............35        51        56        62
20 FT WIND......N 7G10    NW 9G15   NW 10G15  NW 12G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       200       300       300
MIX HGT (M).....90        60        90        90
TRANSPORT WIND..N 25      N 32      NW 39     NW 43
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 11      N 14      NW 17     NW 19
VRATE KTFT/1000.6         6         9         1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4200-5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11400-57500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (84300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (110200
                    KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59600-86000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (34400
                    KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............31        36        45        50
RH..............60        51        32        27
20 FT WIND......NW 12G15  NW 17G30  NW 20G30  NW 23G35
MIX HGT (FT)....300       800       4300      5700
MIX HGT (M).....90        240       1310      1740
TRANSPORT WIND..N 44      NW 40     NW 37     NW 38
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 20      NW 18     NW 17     NW 17
VRATE KTFT/1000.11        84        138       86

$$
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GRUBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160206.FIVEL.02/OUN


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