National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FLUS44 KOUN 161728 CCA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171730-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1228 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM WICHITA
FALLS TEXAS TO SEMINOLE OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM 4 PM THROUGH
6 AM.

IMPACTS...
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 70 MPH...AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA AS
A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH
THE DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 70 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF
DOLLARS.

LATER THIS EVENING MAINLY AFTER 7 PM...THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE MAY MERGE AND DEVELOP
INTO A COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX MAY THEN MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. ANOTHER COMPLEX MAY THEN DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AROUND
MIDNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...AND
MOVE INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...SMALL
HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THESE
COMPLEXES.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUN 17.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING
OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE COMPLEX FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT TRACKS SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

FOR THE REMAINDER THE WEEK...A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5
AM MONDAY MORNING...OR AS UPDATES ARE NEEDED.

$$

BARNES/KURTZ