Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 222355 AAB AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 655 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014 .SYNOPSIS... SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... UPDATED POPS/SKY FOR CURRENT TRENDS. MAINLY SCATTERED SHRA REMAINING CURRENTLY. EXPECT COVERAGE TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ACROSS THE NW LATER TONIGHT WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE. ANOTHER BRIEF DRY INTERLUDE SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE RAINFALL RAMPS UP SIGNIFICANTLY BY SUNDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES UPDATED PER LATEST LAMP GUIDANCE. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/... A BROAD UPR TROF WL CONT TO DVLP AND ADVN ACRS THE CNTRL CONUS THRU THE WKEND. A SHRTWV IS PROGGED TO ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF AND ADVN ACRS THE OH VLY AND GT LKS RGN SUN NGT. WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP MOISTURE...LLVL JET AND UPR SPPRT MAINTAINED CATEGORICAL RAIN CHCS WITH IT/S PASSAGE. THE MAIN UPR TROF IS EXPD TO SLOWLY ADVN INTO THE GT LKS TO MS VLY RGN BY ERLY NXT WK. ANOTHER SHRTWV AND ASSOCIATED CDFNT IS PROGGED FOR A MON PASSAGE. MSTR IS EXPD TO BE LTD WITH FROPA SO MAINTAINED CHC POPS WITH THIS FEATURE. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WNDS ARE EXPD MON AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS ARND A DEEPENING UPR GT LKS SFC LOW. COLD ADVCTN IS EXPD MON NGT INTO TUE UNDER THE BROAD UPR TROF. BNDRY LYR FLOW IS PROGGED TO RMN SW SO NO LK CONNECTION IS EXPD. ENOUGH LLVL MOISTURE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW SNW SHWRS IN THE RIDGES BUT WITH MOISTURE DEPTH LTD ONLY INCLUDED SLGT CHC POPS. AFT WELL ABV AVG TEMPS ERLY IN THE PD...EXP READINGS BLO SEASONAL LVLS AGAIN BY TUE. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE EASTERN STATES SIT UNDER A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH THROUGH THE PERIOD. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR INTO THE WEEKEND. && .AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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WITH AREA NOW COMPLETELY IN THE WARM SECTOR...EXPECT GENERAL VFR FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. ISO...NON-RESTRICTIVE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE THE NORM THROUGH SUNDAY. OUTLOOK.../SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... POSSIBLE MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE NEXT STORM MOVES THROUGH. POSSIBLE RESTRICTIONS THURSDAY IN SNOW SHOWERS.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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