Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 140955 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 555 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS COOLER AND DRIER TODAY AND TOMORROW. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME ON SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONT FILLING IN THIS MORNING AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES OVER THE REGION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. STILL NOT SURE THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SUPPORT TO GET ANY LEGITIMATE RAIN SHOWERS GOING...AND HAVE CUT BACK POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE. SIMPLY SOME SCATTERED SPRINKLES MAY EVEN BE A MORE REALISTIC POSSIBILITY. BY SUNSET EXPECT THAT MOST CLOUDS WILL HAVE DISSIPATED...EXCEPT IN THE RIDGES WHERE CLOUDS MAY HANG ON A FEW HOURS LONGER. ONCE SHORTWAVE DEPARTS...SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CLEAR WITH HIGH PRESSURE ASSERTING ITSELF. BETWEEN COOL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TODAY AND FULL RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITTING OVER OHIO SATURDAY MORNING...DRIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE MORE THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. POPS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH SHORTWAVE RACING ACROSS THE REGION IN RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW. HAVE MAINTAINED LIKELY POPS FOR MOST OF THE REGION...WITH HIGHEST POPS TO THE NORTH. ONCE THE WEAK COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MODEL DEPICTIONS GET A BIT JUMBLED AS TO WHERE PRECIP WILL SET UP...AND HAVE GENERALLY JUST LEFT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND A BIT CLOSER TO SEASONABLE NUMBERS. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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A STNRY FNT NR THE UPR OH VLLY WL CONT TO FOCUS SHWR/TSTM CHCS ON MON NGT...WHILE AN UPR LVL TROF AND CDFNT ARE EXP TO CROSS THE GT LKS TUE WITH BETTER CHCS FOR SHWRS/TSTMS. HIGH PRES IS THEN PROJECTED TO BLD AND DRY THE WEA FOR WED AND THU. OVERALL LONG TERM TEMPS SHOULD BE NR OR SLIGHTLY BLO SEASONAL AVGS.
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&& .AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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SWATH OF MVFR AND IFR SC AND ST CONT TO WRAP ARND THE WRN FLANK OF EXITING LOW ANALYZED JUST OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS MRNG. EXPECT VARYING DEGREES OF THESE CLDS TO AFFECT ALL PORTS EXCEPT ZZV UNTIL MID MRNG OR EARLY AFTN. OTHERWISE...VFR WITH NNW SFC WIND AOB 10 KT IS FORECAST INTO TNGT. .OUTLOOK.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR UNDR HIGH PRES CAN BE EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY. THEREAFTER RAIN AND RESTRICTION CHCS WL BE ON THE INCRS FOR THE START OF THE NEW WEEK.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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