-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KPBZ 191629
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1229 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AND TEMPERATURES NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --
STRATUS HAS FULLY MIXED OUT INTO CUMULUS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
TIER OF COUNTIES AROUND MORGANTOWN. ELSEWHERE...CLEAR SKIES
CONTINUE OUTSIDE OF A FEW RIDGE TOP CUMULUS. SKY GRIDS WERE UPPED
A BIT FOR THE REST OF THE DAY OWING TO FAIRLY SLOW DRY AIR
ADVECTION INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...HOWEVER THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE CWA STILL LOOKS DRY AND PLEASANT FOR THE DAY.
FRIES
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL MAINTAIN A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY THROUGH
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.

THE ECMWF HAS A DISTINCT SHORTWAVE APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA
LATE SATURDAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE GFS KEEPS THE REGION IN A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...HENCE...THE WELL ABOVE MAX TEMPERATURES
THE GFSX MOS GUIDANCE IS DISPLAYING. THEREFORE...HAVE USED HPC
GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES AND POPS FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS STILL PROJECTED TO BUILD OVER THE SRN CONUS
AS SHORTWAVES MOVE EAST IN FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. WITH HARD TO TIME SHORTWAVES A FORECAST OF MAINLY DIURNAL
SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL WILL BE THE BEST COURSE...UNTIL BETTER
SHORTWAVE TIMING CAN BE DETERMINED. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS EXITING THE RIDGES BY 07Z OR SO WITH MUCH LOWER
DEW POINTS PUSHING SOUTH UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. STILL EXPECT A PERIOD
OF IFR FOG AT KMGW WHERE BEST RAIN FELL TUESDAY...WITH MVFR AT KHLG
AND KZZV. SURFACE HIGH WILL KEEP GENERAL VFR THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


OUTLOOK.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNDER HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH
SATURDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING RESTRICTIONS SUNDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$