Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 212132
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
431 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 22/0000 UTC THRU JAN 25/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE BASED PARTLY ON
12Z ECMWF AND HRRR GUIDANCE.

MID TO LOWER MS VALLEY---LOWER OH VALLEY--TN VALLEY---SOUTHEAST

PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN ACTIVE DAY 1 FROM THE MID TO LOWER MS
VALLEY---LOWER OH VALLEY---TN VALLEY AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD
OF THE NEXT STRONG AREA OF SOUTHERN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING
EASTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY---TN
VALLEY REGION.  PRECIPITATION INITIALLY DAY 1 MAY REMAIN MOST
ORGANIZED OVER THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA
ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING CONVECTION---BUT RE-FOCUS FARTHER UPSTREAM
AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS AMPLIFY INTO A CLOSED LOW.
THERE ARE A LOT OF DETAIL DIFFERENCES NOTED IN THE LATEST SUITE OF
MODELS---BUT GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT FOR THE ENTIRE UPCOMING DAY 1
PERIOD THERE SHOULD BE ONE PRECIP MAX IN THE COMMA HEAD
DEFORMATION REGION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE AMPLIFYING CLOSED LOW
FROM THE MID MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY---WHILE
A FARTHER SOUTHEAST AXIS COINCIDES WITH THE MAX REGION OF MOISTURE
FLUX OFF THE NORTHEAST GULF AND INTO THE FL PANHANDLE/NORTH FL AND
THE SOUTHEAST.  FOR QPF DETAILS---THE IN HOUSE ENSEMBLE MEAN  AND
HI RES ENSEMBLE MEANS WERE USED PRIMARILY TO MITIGATE THE LARGE
SPREAD IN THE SHORTER TERM DETAILS.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY
PRECIP TOTALS DEPICTED ACROSS THESE AREAS--WITH AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUING IN AREAS OF TRAINING THAT MAY OCCUR IN
THE MAX MOISTURE FLUX AXIS OFF THE NORTHEAST GULF AND INTO NORTH
FL AND THE SOUTHEAST.

CALIFORNIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

MAJOR SURFACE TO MID LEVEL AMPLIFICATION EXPECTED DAY 1 TO THE
SYSTEM OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.  A WELL DEFINED
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER LIKELY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THIS AMPLIFYING MID
TO UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW---WITH AN AXIS OF MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES... 2.5-3+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN AND AN
ASSOCIATED ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FLUX AXIS IMPACTING MUCH OF
CALIFORNIA THIS PERIOD.  THIS WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD
HEAVY PRECIPITATION ALONG THE ENTIRE CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE AND
THROUGH THE ENTIRE SIERRA---WITH A RELATIVE MIN IN BETWEEN THE TWO
ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN AND SACRAMENTO VALLEYS. THE THREAT OF
RUNOFF ISSUES WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST RANGE AND IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA---ESPECIALLY ACROSS BURN SCARE AREAS.
FARTHER TO THE NORTH--- WITH THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
REMAINING WELL OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST THIS PERIOD---THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN MOSTLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST AND THE
NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED TERRAIN.  THIS WILL LIMIT PRECIP TOTALS
ACROSS THE PACIFIC COAST TO MODERATE LEVELS---MOSTLY IN THE
.25-.50" RANGE.


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...WEST COAST/GREAT BASIN...

TROUGHING OVER THE WEST WILL CONTINUE AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN IMPRESSIVE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WILL
BE MOVING INTO THE WEST ON SUNDAY EVENING WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
PROGRESSING WELL INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND PORTIONS OF THE ROCKIES
AND SOUTHWEST. AS THE TROUGHING SHIFTS EAST...SO WILL THE
PRECIPITATION THREAT ON DAY 3...MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES AND
EVENTUALLY THE PLAINS. OVERALL MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AND RESULTANT QPF. WPC
THUS FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND THROUGH THE PERIOD.

THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FROM THIS EVENT ON DAYS 2/3 WILL LIKELY
FOCUS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT 0Z
MON EXPECT TO HAVE AN IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF MOISTURE POINTED INTO
SOUTHERN CA...WITH BOTH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND INTEGRATED MOISTURE
FLUX BOTH APPROACHING OR SURPASSING CLIMATOLOGICAL MAX VALUES. AT
THE SAME TIME SHOULD SEE INCREASING SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FROM THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE AND TROUGH...WITH SIGNIFICANT UPSLOPE ALSO
LIKELY GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS (GREATER THAN 99TH PERCENTILE)
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS FORECAST. THUS ALL THE INGREDIENTS
APPEAR TO BE IN PLACE FOR A PERIOD OF STEADY MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY INITIALLY...BUT THE
IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE PARAMETERS SWILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AND A
FLASH FLOOD THREAT. AS THE MAIN MOISTURE PLUME SHIFTS SOUTH EARLY
MONDAY...SOME DRYING AND COOLING ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AT LEAST SOME INSTABILITY OVER SOUTHERN CA INTO
MONDAY. THUS EVEN THOUGH BOTH PWAT AND MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES
WILL BE LOWER...THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND THE TROUGH AXIS
WILL RESULT IN MORE CONVECTIVE/SHOWERY PRECIPITATION WITH SOME
THUNDER ALSO POSSIBLE. THUS WHILE NOT AS WIDESPREAD...POCKETS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY BELOW
SNOW LEVELS. WILL MAINTAIN THE DAY 2 (12Z SUN-12Z MON) SLIGHT RISK
FOR MUCH OF COASTAL SOUTHERN CA TO HIGHLIGHT THIS RISK. WILL ALSO
HAVE A SLIGHT RISK CONTINUING ON DAY 3 (12Z MON-12Z TUE) GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION RESULTING IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
OVER SATURATING GROUNDS.

OTHER AREAS OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TOTALS INCLUDE THE CENTRAL
SIERRAS WHERE STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. MUCH OF THIS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW...BUT SOME RUNOFF
AND FLOODING ISSUES ARE POSSIBLE JUST JUST BELOW SNOW LEVELS ON
THE WESTERN SLOPES...AND WILL THUS CONTINUE A MARGINAL RISK OVER
THIS AREA. ALSO SHOULD SEE LOCALLY ENHANCED AMOUNTS INTO THE
FAVORED TERRAIN OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
AND ROCKIES.


...SOUTHEAST/TN VALLEY/OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A CLOSED DEEP LAYER LOW WILL MOVE UP THE EAST COAST SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY...SPREADING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
NORTH WITH IT. OVERALL MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT...ALTHOUGH SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED. THE 12Z
NAM WAS DETERMINED TO BE AN OUTLIER WITH THIS SYSTEM...FALLING
OUTSIDE THE BETTER MODEL CLUSTERING...WITH THE 12Z PARALLEL NAM
ACTUALLY MUCH MORE IN LINE WITH THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS. WPC
QPF FOR THE DAYS 2/3 PERIOD FOLLOWED CLOSER TO A BLEND OF THE
0Z/12Z ECMWF AND THE 12Z GFS/UKMET AS A STARTING POINT...WHICH
SEEMED TO RESULT IN A GOOD CONSENSUS OPTION AT THIS TIME.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD (0Z MON-0Z TUE)
LOOKS TO FOCUS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OH/TN VALLEY INTO
PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC. HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS APPEAR
MOST LIKELY UNDERNEATH OR IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE CLOSED
MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACK...WITH CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTHEAST IN
THE WARM SECTOR LIKELY TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE OFF TO EAST
NORTHEAST HELPING LIMIT TOTALS OVER EASTERN VA/NC. CLOSER TO THE
MID/UPPER LOW SHOULD SEE A PERIOD OF STRONG SYNOPTIC ASCENT INTO
SUNDAY EVENING COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WRAPPING
INTO THE SYSTEM RESULTING IN STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE. APPEARS LIKE SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO
DEVELOP BACK WEST TOWARDS THE LOW INTO PORTIONS OF WESTERN
NC/EASTERN TN AND WESTERN VA. THUS APPEARS TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR
A SWATH OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA RESULTING IN A  HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. TO GO ALONG WITH OUR
GLOBAL MODEL PREFERENCES MENTIONED ABOVE...ALSO BLENDED IN SOME OF
THE HIGH RES ARW...PARALLEL NAM CONUS NEST AND THE GEM REGIONAL
INTO OUR QPF ACROSS THIS AREA...AS GENERALLY LIKED THE EVOLUTION
SHOWN BY THESE CONVECTIVE ALLOWING MODELS. WILL CONTINUE THE
MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS WESTERN NC INTO EASTERN
TN AND WESTERN VA ON THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE PERIOD (12Z SUN-12Z MON).
THE HIGH RES MODELS MENTIONED ABOVE ALL POINT TOWARDS 1-3" OF
RAINFALL IN THIS REGION. MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO UPGRADE SOME OF
THE REGION TO A SLIGHT RISK. BUT AT THIS TIME IT IS STILL A BIT
UNCLEAR IF INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW CONVECTION TO BE INTENSE ENOUGH
TO SURPASS FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. SO FOR NOW THOUGHT THE THREAT
REMAINED MARGINAL...BUT WILL HAVE TO REASSESS ON THE NIGHT SHIFT.

ON THE DAY 3 QPF PERIOD (0Z TUE-0Z WED) THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
WILL SHIFT INTO THE NORTHEAST. IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH PWAT
VALUES EXPECTED TO SURPASS THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 95TH PERCENTILE AS
WELL. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF STEADY MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
TUESDAY. EXPECT AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS OF 1-3" OVER THAT
PERIOD...WITH A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR THESE TOTALS. NOT SEEING
MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY WHICH SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL RATES
AND THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. ALTHOUGH POCKETS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RAIN SHIELD COMBINED WITH THE EXPECTED
DURATION OF STEADY RAINFALL MAY STILL LEAD TO SOME RUNOFF AND
FLOODING ISSUES. THUS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
MAINTAINED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. FURTHER
INLAND AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHTER...BUT STILL EXPECTING WIDESPREAD
0.5" TO 1" TOTALS.

...CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...

AS THE WEST COAST TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE PLAINS...EXPECT TO SEE
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY...WITH A
SWATH OF PRECIPITATION TO ITS NORTH OVER PORTIONS OF NE/SD/ND.
SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING/INTENSITY OF THE
LOW AND HOW FAR NORTH/SOUTH THE PRECIPITATION AXIS ENDS UP. WPC
OPTED FOR A MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION FOR NOW...WITH A BLEND OF THE
0Z ECMWF AND 12Z GFS/UKMET/BC ENSEMBLE USED AS A STARTING POINT.
OVERALL THE RESULT WAS QPF THAT LOOKS PRETTY SIMILAR TO THE 12Z
GEFS MEAN AS WELL...WITH THE 0.25"+ AMOUNTS STRETCHING ACROSS MUCH
OF SD. LIKELY TO HAVE SOME POCKETS OF GREATER THAN 0.5"...BUT
STAYED A BIT CONSERVATIVE ON AMOUNTS GIVEN THE LINGERING
UNCERTAINTY.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


ORAVEC/SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 23/00Z
 0.01 515269 515256 513245 510233 509217 503208 501202 500197
      502181 505179 508179 512176 512170 508162 504151 501147
      496142 491134 488131 485130 474127 469118 466118 463121
      466122 469126 471131 473137 475141 473145 470144 467142
      462141 459143 459148 460153 461155 459157 457156 455154
      454149 448140 447134 449129 451122 455120 459116 460113
      463113 465109 463104 458103 455102 453100 450095 448096
      445095 441093 437094 435095 433092 430089 426087 424089
      427095 427099 422101 417109 414109 412104 411099 408096
      406097 402101 388109 378114 374116 368116 363117 359118
      356123 354128 349148 344157 336160 331161 326162 324164
      323168 321174 315184 314188 313195 313199 313206 316212
      323219 324229 325235 327239 330243 334248 346259 356266
      362271 366274 372276 382279 394283 400286 407289 424293
      429293 435294 442292 446290 449287 454282 457274 460270
      464266 467265 470266 475268 479268 490271 498273 502280
      506282 511279 515269
 0.01 516897 516881 516873 514866 513853 511841 507827 504820
      501815 498812 494809 488802 482794 480791 475790 468796
      466800 464802 462798 459788 460777 458773 457766 456754
      452744 449740 445737 443737 442742 442754 441763 439769
      437774 432778 425784 417790 416792 414790 414784 413776
      414771 415760 418751 421728 422723 422718 419707 414698
      410688 408683 404682 398678 390672 384669 379670 373671
      369670 357673 346688 337705 325734 321738 318742 317746
      314751 311758 306763 302769 298773 292781 279795 267806
      254819 248824 244830 238836 235842 231851 230855 233860
      238866 244867 250869 255869 258867 262866 270866 266887
      265890 267894 271898 275900 278902 282902 288900 289899
      291901 300913 304920 308924 312929 312935 316941 319938
      322941 326947 334956 337961 339966 341971 343975 345980
      345988 349007 352016 356021 361029 364040 368050 359053
      356055 357058 365056 374053 377053 381052 387054 389058
      388062 379065 374064 370061 366061 361065 357064 358067
      368068 373071 374074 374082 376087 378086 384086 389089
      394090 397088 402082 426062 425058 424058 421057 422059
      421062 418062 411059 407056 402053 398052 390047 385045
      381044 377041 373037 375031 378027 382022 385011 386000
      386988 387980 388976 391965 395956 397947 398940 399932
      400924 400915 400899 400892 401886 402882 403876 405866
      407856 410846 412842 414837 419830 422825 426822 432817
      436815 439816 448820 449822 448826 447831 445836 445841
      442841 439842 437844 435845 435849 439851 443854 446858
      448863 450870 453873 456875 458890 456903 457908 458914
      462925 467931 471939 474947 477959 481969
 0.01 481969 486975 490983 493987 497989 499990 502986 504985
      504982 504975 504962 502949 503944 505939 507929 511918
      514908 516897
 0.01 494156 494153 493151 492150 491148 490148 488147 486147
      485148 484151 482153 482155 483158 484158 485160 486159
      487158 489157 490157 492157 494156
 0.01 463703 461698 459695 455697 453699 448704 446708 442709
      438711 437715 439717 443718 445719 445724 445729 446732
      451732 455731 458728 459725 461716 462706 463703
 0.01 449080 450078 449078 448075 446075 445072 443072 443074
      444075 446077 448078 449080 449080
 0.01 392082 393080 393078 392076 391077 390078 389079 390081
      390082 391083 392082
 0.01 340098 340096 340095 338093 337093 336093 335095 334095
      335095 336097 336098 338098 340098 340098
 0.01 301086 301084 299081 296080 294079 290078 288080 285079
      282080 283083 284086 286087 290088 293089 297089 299088
      301086
 0.01 260793 261788 259786 256786 252787 250789 249791 248794
      248796 249798 252799 255798 257796 259795 260793
 0.25 500238 500230 497225 495223 492224 491232 492239 492243
      487241 483242 480237 478231 475230 473231 469235 469239
      473243 482248 486252 489257 494260 495258 495254 495243
      500238
 0.25 489201 490195 488190 487187 485189 472198 465201 460205
      456215 454221 451219 448221 446231 439234 435235 431233
      424232 423229 425226 431223 433219 431216 424202 409190
      404198 402197 399194 395193 392190 389188 383183 378178
      376168 378163 381167 385175 389176 391174 392165 390157
      388155 384152 380151 378148 376139 373136 369137 369148
      368151 365153 361154 359156 360162 361167 358170 353175
      351180 347178 344169 340166 337167 331171 330180 328188
      327193 327198 328207 330214 337222 347234 349236 348240
      349245 352249 362259 370265 378267 386270 394273 408280
      417282 423282 428282 432280 434275 433269 436260 441256
      451247 458243 463240 466236 464234 460233 459229 468220
      472217 475217 482215 484212 487208 489201
 0.25 493876 493870 492866 490861 489858 487861 485866 482869
      479872 474875 472883 472888 473891 478892 483891 486885
      490881 493876
 0.25 452173 452171 451170 451168 450167 448167 447170 448171
      449173 449174 451174 452173
 0.25 441154 441151 440149 440148 439146 439145 437143 435142
      434143 433143 433145 433147 434150 436153 437155 439156
      441154
 0.25 399742 399735 398729 396719 392709 390705 386703 379702
      372704 365708 359714 354719 348723 340728 334735 330741
      327749 322763 316777 312784 306791 288812 276822 269826
      270836 274842 281846 285851 286860 286868 289875 292879
      295878 300876 306876 312872 316867 319870 320874 321885
      321891 321897 323905 332921 334930 337933 341934 347938
      350945 354951 355961 356972 358976 360978 364978 367975
      369972 370965 373956 379950 383944 386936 389926 391916
      392904 392895 392886 392876 391864 387859 374847 370841
      369830 367819 367813 371806 375800 379792 382782 389767
      394752 399742
 0.25 360197 359195 359194 358193 356192 355191 354191 352190
      351193 352194 352195 353196 355197 357197 359197 360197
 0.50 465216 465214 465213 463212 462211 460212 459215 459217
      458219 459222 460223 462221 464219 464218 465216
 0.50 433251 436245 434240 430237 424234 417230 418218 418212
      416210 411211 407206 400200 393196 389194 387191 379184
      373177 370175 366174 360174 357175 354178 352185 354189
      359192 364196 367200 366202 362202 357200 353197 350194
      348185 346176 344171 342168 339169 336173 333176 332182
      331194 333206 337213 342219 348225 356231 359234 357241
      358246 359249 365255 375261 385264 392268 402272 408275
      414275 417273 419268 423260 426257 429255 433251
 0.50 390741 389736 388730 385724 380719 377719 373721 367724
      360726 353729 347734 342738 338743 333749 330758 320784
      317791 313795 302807 292816 282823 280826 279830 281833
      284833 288835 293834 294838 293842 292850 291860 294868
      299867 306868 311864 315857 318855 323855 329858 333863
      335871 334876 332877 329879 328883 330890 333897 337905
      339915 341921 344928 348932 355936 357941 359947 360951
      362955 366952 375945 379939 382932 385924 386917 387896
      387888 386878 384870 378867 375866 373864 369858 362841
      360832 359827 359822 360814 362809 377781 378773 382767
      384762 384756 390741
 0.50 367762 366753 365750 361749 354752 350756 348762 347769
      348774 350781 354781 357779 362776 365771 366764 367762
 1.00 428243 426239 423237 414232 416220 414215 410215 398202
      391198 386194 380188 372182 365178 360177 358178 355182
      355186 363191 369197 374202 378208 381212 378215 376213
      371212 367210 365207 357204 350197 348189 345182 344174
      342171 340171 338176 336180 336183 336191 338201 342209
      346216 351220 359224 368230 379239 386243 396247 403249
      410247 421247 426245 428243
 1.00 397257 396256 396254 395252 394251 393251 392253 393256
      395256 395257 396257 397257
 1.00 396222 395220 393219 392218 390219 390220 391221 393223
      395223 396222
 1.00 380904 379901 376898 373897 371899 369907 366915 364918
      363923 363934 365938 368940 372939 374936 378929 380920
      380909 380904
 1.00 357863 358856 356848 353837 348826 344816 338806 337799
      335795 332791 329791 326792 320800 314807 307814 304817
      302824 300834 299847 300855 304856 310855 313851 317843
      321839 327836 333837 335839 339844 339848 340851 343862
      346866 351867 357863
 1.50 415222 415218 412216 408217 406215 402208 396203 389199
      385194 379189 373185 366181 362180 358181 357183 359187
      365191 376200 388208 394214 399219 403219 405221 404225
      405229 408232 411230 413227 415222
 1.50 404235 401232 397230 394228 390225 386222 382223 378226
      379231 383234 387237 392239 397240 402240 404235
 1.50 376226 374218 372216 369216 365211 361208 351201 348194
      347189 344183 344175 342173 339179 340186 339191 340197
      342202 345207 348212 352217 357220 363222 369225 374227
      376226
 1.50 331809 332802 328798 326799 323803 319810 314816 309823
      307827 307833 308839 310843 312842 313837 318831 323824
      328816 331809
 2.00 413224 414222 413219 412218 411218 410219 408220 408221
      407222 406224 407226 407227 408228 410228 412226 412225
      413224
 2.00 402216 402212 401210 397206 389201 385197 381193 374186
      365182 360182 359185 369192 377198 385203 393211 396215
      401217 402216
 2.00 391232 390230 390229 389227 387226 385227 385228 385229
      386230 386231 388232 390233 391232
 2.00 373223 373220 372218 372217 370217 368219 368221 369222
      371224 373223 373223
 2.00 366218 365214 362211 357207 354204 351203 348203 349199
      347190 344187 342190 343200 348205 351212 356217 362220
      366218
 3.00 399213 398211 398210 397209 395210 396212 397212 398214
      399213
 3.00 380194 378192 376190 374189 371187 368185 366184 362184
      361186 364187 367188 369190 372191 375193 377195 380194
 3.00 363216 363215 362214 361213 360212 358211 357211 356211
      356212 358214 358215 359216 361217 363217 363216
 3.00 347198 347196 347194 347193 346191 345190 344191 343193
      344195 344197 344198 346200 347198

24HR QP VT 24/00Z
 0.01 402643 408647 411647 413649 418654 421661 432685 438701
      445718 450733 453743 453752 453764 453774 452782 452792
      451809 451813 452818 459817 467816 470816 473817 480816
      485818 496825 502829 509831 515834 520838 524842 528848
      532853 534859 536865 537876 536887 534896 533904 530911
      529916 526920 525923 521924 512924 509920 493919 487907
      485897 484888 483881 480876 478873 475873 467874 458875
      449875 436872 429870 421871 414873 408876 398884 395888
      392893 390900 387907 385913 382920 380922 376924 371925
      369920 369916 372907 372902 370901 368902 364906 358910
      350911 334911 328911 324907 320903 318896 320890 323884
      324881 323877 321875 321870 320854 324848 326840 325825
      326820 324816 320813 307818 298824 292826 292830 293834
      296844 298851 299870 297877 292881 285879 280876 270870
      265867 262864 258860 254854 252849 248843 241841 237836
      234834 234830 230824 227815 226807 225802 224797 223795
      224792 229779 242763 246758 250753 255748 261743 281725
      286721 291717 299715 304712 315704 323697 334690 348682
      360675 366670 372665 378656 386647
 0.01 562046 563024 563017 562013 561004 556990 554983 550976
      534960 530955 525954 522952 519952 512952 502957 504964
      507970 508979 507985 506998 508006 515038 519051 525065
      532074 535081 540086 545087 549085 553078 555070 559057
      562046
 0.01 510209 508170 509164 510161 511151 510143 511136 509127
      507120 499103 492089 490083 486075 484071 482069 477073
      473079 473088 476101 478108 477119 475125 473123 471114
      469108 466100 464102 461101 460096 458089 455080 451073
      448069 445067 443066 440067 436068 436071 438074 441075
      446078 449081 447083 441081 436078 432082 429084 426082
      424074 424068 429068 430062 430058 428054 426051 420050
      415051 413053 404052 391054 386053 379051 367049 363049
      361051 357056 357067 358075 358079 355082 350087 347094
      350099 355104 352107 350105 343094 335086 333087 332091
      330096 323110 320115 318117 317121 317131 326133 329135
      329141 335143 338146 338149 332151 332154 330156 323154
      316148 310144 306144 304146 301147 298147 298155 296159
      294161 288162 286164 287169 290177 294189 296198 298205
      300211 302218 306222 311225 322232 332239 344247 358256
      369265 382274 393282 404291 407294 413294 422297 427295
      434294 439296 442299 447303 452303 459300 465300 471298
      479300 481299 485300 488301 489296 490288 491283 493280
      495278 496273 495265 494255 487249 483245 480241 480236
      462225 451214 448215 446212 447207 446204 447200 449202
      454203 457196 459194 459190 458185 460180 463179 467180
      470186 474193 481209 492217 499219 502220 503218 507214
      510209
 0.01 461128 461126 461124 460121 459123 458125 458128 459130
      461128
 0.01 461028 461015 458010 453005 448010 444016 440024 440031
      443034 443038 446041 450042 453042 455039 459032 461028
 0.25 537029 538024 538019 537014 536011 534008 532007 531008
      529013 530018 530021 532026 533029 535031 537029
 0.25 477266 476258 474252 469249 463247 444239 437236 433232
      428229 422229 419228 418225 417218 415213 411209 402188
      400183 398179 395176 397171 414155 415151 411147 405146
      398143 390137 388134 389132 390129 389127 404125 408127
      412131 416135 420133 424136 427136 433138 436136 440129
      444126 446122 448114 448106 445101 443099 438096 433094
      429090 424087 422091 421098 417102 412104 410098 410091
      409086 408084 405080 406078 408079 413078 415074 415069
      406060 405058 402058 400064 393063 387061 384063 384068
      380069 373062 368059 364060 363065 364070 368081 369087
      369094 369103 367110 363114 359116 354114 349111 341102
      337106 334110 335115 337119 338125 340130 345140 347145
      348151 350157 352162 349164 345163 340160 335161 331161
      328159 317155 311154 306155 303159 303163 308174 313183
      316187 320191 326195 329199 336209 343217 349224 355229
      361234 368237 372239 378242 392260 399269 404272 409275
      418278 422279 428280 438278 443277 448276 467268 473268
      477266
 0.25 442771 441757 440750 438748 434742 432738 431734 427711
      423701 420692 415682 412674 407666 404661 400658 395656
      387657 380663 375669 365683 355694 347700 340704 332708
      323712 317716 309721 298730 292734 288738 286742 284746
      281748 276753 263764 257768 253773 248780 247785 246789
      243797 239803 236813 235818 238821 243824 252824 254828
      258830 262829 266828 275824 281821 295811 308804 316800
      323795 341794 343796 342801 344809 344830 345844 349852
      351863 355870 359872 364872 370867 374862 378856 385850
      388848 393850 398849 402850 406851 411851 420847 426843
      432828 435820 438808 440797 441786 442771
 0.25 380215 380212 377211 372206 369206 366200 363195 358193
      353191 352195 357199 362202 365204 367206 371209 376213
      380215
 0.25 389111 390109 389107 388105 386106 384108 385111 385112
      386113 387114 387113 389112 389111
 0.50 436252 435247 431244 425238 420236 414235 411235 405234
      395231 391233 388236 390240 393244 396247 399249 404251
      407255 410258 416260 421260 425258 431255 436252
 0.50 439112 437107 430105 419109 414110 410109 408103 405100
      402104 398101 395100 395103 396106 395110 392114 395117
      408118 416127 421126 425122 434115 439112
 0.50 435773 434768 432764 428757 424753 424747 425743 425739
      424735 423723 422709 420704 418701 412695 410686 407677
      403670 400666 397663 389664 381667 377670 374674 365687
      358698 352704 346710 331717 324722 316727 306734 298738
      291743 285749 281755 280759 277762 270766 260774 254781
      253784 254787 250793 244798 240805 239808 241811 246814
      253814 255816 256820 259822 265823 273819 279815 291805
      297801 302798 320791 334783 338781 342781 342786 344790
      351793 351798 349806 349820 350831 348842 357857 361858
      365858 371854 378848 383843 387834 389832 394832 403833
      409833 414828 417823 421819 424816 427807 428797 430788
      433780 435773
 0.50 412226 414224 414222 414219 413219 412218 410218 408220
      406222 407224 407225 409226 410227 412227 412226
 0.50 403214 403209 401206 396201 390194 384189 371180 361178
      354180 350183 347179 346171 345167 342164 334163 320157
      310157 307158 309160 317173 319178 322180 332182 336185
      338187 341194 344204 350209 359221 363223 367222 372223
      374220 374216 371215 366216 363213 361208 356202 350196
      349192 350187 358191 365196 376207 392214 400216 403214
 0.50 394154 394153 392151 390151 389153 390154 390155 391157
      392156 393155 394154
 0.50 387166 387165 385165 384166 385167 386167 387166
 0.50 383145 383140 381137 379134 378128 379123 378119 375117
      372119 366119 363119 360120 363128 361135 366141 367145
      369149 374150 380146 383145
 0.50 376078 377076 377073 376071 376069 376066 375064 374064
      373063 371062 370062 368062 367063 367066 368067 368068
      369070 371072 371073 372075 372076 373077 374080 376079
      376078
 0.50 367160 367158 366156 366155 366153 366151 365149 363150
      361152 360154 359156 360158 360159 362161 364161 366160
      367160
 0.50 353139 352138 352137 350135 349134 348134 347136 347138
      348140 350140 352140 353139
 0.50 352119 353117 353116 352115 351114 349113 347112 346111
      344109 342109 342111 342113 342115 341115 342117 342118
      343119 345119 347119 349119 350120 352120 352119
 1.00 424246 424244 424243 423241 422241 421240 420240 419240
      417240 416241 415243 414243 414246 416246 418247 419247
      420247 421247 423246 424246
 1.00 417717 416712 411712 405716 402713 401705 402694 401685
      400681 398678 390674 382676 378677 375680 372687 364701
      359709 354714 343726 340734 335739 332743 331747 325752
      311760 306766 303769 303774 307773 310771 317768 322768
      327766 334763 338762 341764 347761 354757 360751 366746
      374743 380742 383740 388739 387742 388747 391750 394751
      398751 404749 407746 409742 410737 411731 414727 417717
 1.00 401734 401732 401731 399730 398730 399733 401735 401734
 1.00 405112 406109 405108 403109 403111 403113 405112 405112
 1.00 392204 388199 383193 378189 372184 365182 357182 355184
      356187 362190 368195 375200 379204 388206 392204
 1.00 403781 400776 397776 388775 381780 378784 376787 374792
      371795 367804 358801 356803 355806 355810 355817 354821
      352833 352843 357843 361845 365846 370846 374843 376839
      380831 381825 380818 380810 382807 385804 388795 391792
      396790 401786 403781
 1.00 404818 404815 403815 403818 404818 404818
 1.00 375136 374134 374132 374131 375130 375129 375127 375125
      373124 373125 372127 372129 372131 372132 374134 373136
      374138 375136
 1.00 364157 363155 363154 362154 362157 362158 364157 364157
 1.00 348201 348198 346198 346199 346200 347201 348201
 1.00 344184 345178 344170 341165 334164 327162 320160 319164
      322169 326173 331176 336179 339183 344184
 1.00 302785 303783 301782 300783 299783 298785 300786 302785
      302785
 1.00 291782 291780 290779 288779 287779 286779 284780 283781
      283782 281784 280786 281788 282788 283788 284787 285787
      287786 289785 290783 291782
 1.50 393704 393693 392687 390684 384680 380681 378683 374689
      371697 368703 363710 354721 351726 349730 352733 350742
      350744 353744 361742 367738 373733 379730 385726 389723
      391720 393712 393704
 1.50 384200 382196 379193 376191 373187 370185 364183 361184
      360186 361188 365190 369192 372195 376198 380201 384200
 1.50 386783 385782 383783 381784 380786 379787 380789 381789
      382788 383787 385786 386783
 1.50 372835 372831 371826 368822 364817 360812 358819 356823
      354830 353837 354840 357839 360836 363836 365838 368839
      371837 372835
 1.50 362812 362811 361810 360809 360810 360811 361812 362812
      362812
 1.50 344182 345176 344171 342166 339166 334165 330164 325163
      325166 327170 331173 334175 337178 340181 344182
 2.00 388693 387689 384685 380685 376688 373697 371706 368715
      364724 364728 366730 371728 378722 387719 388714 388707
      388695 388693
 2.00 374191 373188 371187 369186 368186 366185 364185 363186
      364187 365188 367189 369190 370192 372192 374191
 2.00 363827 363825 362823 361821 359822 359823 358824 357826
      356827 356828 356830 355832 354835 355837 355838 356837
      357836 358834 359833 360832 360831 361830 362828 363827
 2.00 344180 344175 344173 343169 341166 337166 334166 330164
      327164 327166 328169 331171 333172 336172 339171 340174
      340177 341179 343182 344180
 3.00 342173 343171 343170 342170 342173 342174 342173
 3.00 334169 334167 332166 330165 328165 328166 330168 331168
      332169 333170 334169

24HR QP VT 25/00Z
 0.01 453626 457629 463627 468626 472630 477632 481635 485639
      488646 493661 494670 496676 499693 501708 503726 505745
      505755 505763 506785 505791 503798 499808 496813 493819
      489828 498833 507837 526849 528854 528863 529879 529888
      526889 517882 513880 510880 509885 504883 502881 498881
      493884 483880 463874 454873 443870 404854 400851 400843
      398839 396839 391838 387838 384841 377848 364850 361850
      361847 355846 350843 350838 352831 354824 356819 360814
      365806 373799 374795 373790 372782 373776 375772 373766
      373761 377757 378754 381753 383747 384743 380742 375742
      367744 356748 352752 349756 335772 320789 316793 312795
      302792 294786 288781 287773 288768 292757 294752 298747
      305738 311731 316723 323714 326710 330708 338700 346694
      355687 366680 374673 382666 390658 397651 406641
 0.01 558034 558025 557017 554004 551992 547982 544976 540972
      536971 533973 528973 526975 523976 521979 517983 503998
      503004 503012 504021 506027 508041 509047 511053 513058
      516063 523070 530077 533080 539081 543079 546075 548069
      549063 553049 557037 558034
 0.01 478167 478161 476156 471150 469146 471143 473141 468135
      465134 466130 468125 469121 472121 477122 478109 476096
      472090 470078 469067 468061 468054 472009 472001 470996
      469984 464961 464953 463947 460935 456924 453912 438880
      434878 431880 425886 413898 410901 408903 403912 399920
      396929 391952 389965 385977 383983 384987 385995 386000
      388004 388010 389015 389021 389027 386029 382031 378030
      373030 369031 369041 377038 382038 386040 389050 389054
      387056 384053 381052 379050 376045 367046 347050 333052
      326055 328060 332061 335064 334071 327074 323076 320081
      316084 312085 306085 303082 294083 291085 293090 299095
      301099 302106 300110 301114 300127 303133 302140 301152
      304157 309165 311170 309176 311184 314190 315195 315203
      314213 316222 320230 326236 329241 330245 337251 340255
      345257 363269 382276 399282 409285 417282 421281 424279
      429274 433273 437270 439267 442262 437244 435240 431237
      423231 418228 417225 418221 419210 419206 417202 411199
      407197 403194 400187 398189 399194 399198 398200 396199
      387193 381191 378189 373187 369185 359183 351184 346192
      346196 344197 340193 338189 338182 338177 343178 343174
      342168 326158 321156 318153 317149 318143 321136 324134
      329133 336132 339133 341137 342142 346143 357145 366146
      375144 384141 389134 396126 399125 402127 404130 407131
      412129 417128 420132 417144 416147 414148 410150 404152
      401154 401157 405163 409166 411169 413179 418187 421190
      421188 424184 423178 422172 423164 425160 424155 424146
      427141 432130 434130 434134 435138 438139 440143 442147
      443152 446163 446170 447175 449178 452179 458177 463172
      472170 478167
 0.01 424105 425103 425101 424099 422098 420096 419096 417097
      417099 417102 417104 416106 416109 417111 419111 420109
      421107 423106 424105
 0.25 493705 492696 491688 488672 484660 479650 473643 469640
      464638 456637 448635 430642 412652 407655 403659 396667
      390674 385682 373699 370702 368706 369713 373715 379706
      383703 388704 392708 393711 397724 399729 402734 409740
      417745 423754 426764 429770 430779 431793 434797 439797
      445796 449793 457786 464780 469771 473761 480753 488747
      490743 492739 492718 493705
 0.25 457027 459018 459007 458000 455993 450981 444971 444961
      442954 439949 434949 426958 423964 422971 421978 419983
      421986 423992 422000 421008 418015 416023 417030 421031
      424036 426042 429048 432052 436058 436067 434073 435080
      439079 443075 447072 448070 450066 450055 454042 457027
 0.25 407248 403241 402237 400233 396232 390232 383227 375221
      368217 358216 351211 348209 343209 339205 333199 331202
      332206 340210 345218 349224 353226 354229 359237 362239
      366241 376244 381245 383247 388249 394249 400247 405249
      407248
 0.25 411223 410221 408220 404218 402213 397208 392205 388206
      388208 388210 391213 396216 401219 404221 404224 405227
      407227 411223
 0.25 408075 409068 405066 401067 397069 394068 389068 387070
      384074 388077 390080 393080 399079 402077 406076 408075
 0.25 395796 390795 384797 381800 379805 373813 363816 359821
      357826 355831 355835 359832 362827 364823 367822 376821
      382821 386818 390815 393811 393804 394798 395796
 0.25 384076 381075 379077 377071 375065 371061 370059 369055
      368052 365051 361054 360058 363059 364063 363067 363072
      365074 372074 376078 378080 381082 384076
 0.25 347114 346109 344103 343096 339091 334090 331096 327100
      323104 322106 322110 324113 327113 331113 335114 340117
      346116 347114
 0.25 331175 332173 332171 333169 333167 332165 330165 329164
      328164 327163 325163 324163 323163 321164 320166 319168
      320171 322173 324174 325174 327175 329175 331176 331175
 0.50 485692 484679 481669 478660 474654 468649 462646 456644
      450644 446645 442647 434651 429655 420658 415660 408664
      402669 398673 396677 395682 398689 401695 405703 406715
      407723 409728 411730 415734 421737 430737 435742 438748
      438753 438758 438768 442774 449774 456771 461763 468752
      475736 478729 478719 480701 483697 485692
 0.50 373227 372226 371225 370224 369224 367223 366222 364222
      364223 363225 363226 365227 367227 369227 370228 372228
      373227
 0.50 387806 387804 387803 386802 385801 384802 383803 383804
      382807 382808 381809 382811 383811 384811 385809 386809
      387806 387806
 0.50 344111 343109 342108 341108 340109 340111 342112 344112
      344111
 1.00 470729 469719 467715 464712 461713 458716 453720 450728
      448732 448736 448743 450748 452751 455750 460745 465740
      468737 470734 470729
 1.00 460661 459656 456655 448656 433662 422673 416679 414687
      414697 413704 412713 414717 417719 424720 431719 444710
      451699 456691 458684 458673 459664 460661
 1.50 449672 449668 447667 442669 437673 434674 429678 426683
      423694 422700 419704 417710 418714 421715 424714 430712
      438706 441702 443696 446685 447678 449673 449672
 2.00 436700 436695 434691 432694 430697 428699 427701 425703
      423706 422709 421711 423711 424710 428709 431707 433706
      436703 436700

$$





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