Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 220903
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
503 AM EDT TUE AUG 22 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 22/1200 UTC THRU AUG 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...WIDESPREAD MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL AHEAD OF A SHARPENING COLD FRONT
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY...OHIO
VALLEY...EASTERN GREAT LAKES...AND NORTHEAST...

VIGOROUS NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE PIVOTING ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES THIS PERIOD WILL ALLOW FOR TROUGH
AMPLIFICATION/HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
SECTOR...ULTIMATELY LEADING TOWARD A CUTOFF MID/UPPER LOW INTO
SOUTHERN QUEBEC BY THE END OF THE PERIOD (12Z WED). GIVEN THE
DEGREE/DEPTH OF SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING...THE MODELS ARE FAIRLY
WELL CLUSTERED WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACK INTO SOUTHEAST
ONTARIO-SOUTHERN QUEBEC ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED ELONGATED COLD
FRONT...THOUGH SLIGHT TIMING DIFFERENCES REMAIN WITH THE
PROGRESSION OF PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION. BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
TRENDS...PARTICULARLY WITH THE ENSEMBLE OF HIGH-RES CAMS AND
PARALLEL VERSIONS...WPC INCREASED QPF TOTALS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER AND EASTERN OH VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST...ESPECIALLY
FROM EASTERN KY...WESTERN PA...AND MUCH OF NY INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL BE MOST
FAVORABLE OVER THESE AREAS...WHILE COUPLING WITH AN IMPRESSIVE
PRE-FRONTAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AS MIXED LAYER CAPES PEAK
BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG ALONG WITH PWs OF 1.75-2.00 INCHES. THE
HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNAL IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY THE UPTICK IN
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE POOLING (850 MB SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW 45-55+ KTS
PER THE MODELS) AND ATTENDANT NOTEWORTHY MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES
(4-5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL).

THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT REMAINS THE MAIN INHIBITOR TO
THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...THE AFOREMENTIONED
UPTICK IN SOUTHWESTERLY INFLOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON-EVENING
(UPWIND PROPAGATION) MAY ALLOW FOR SOME CELL
TRAINING...PARTICULARLY OVER WESTERN PA INTO WESTERN-UPSTATE NY
AND NORTHERN VT-NH. A "SLIGHT" RISK WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THESE
AREAS AND INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY (WITH THE HIGHER
ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE/LOWER FFG) IN THE NEW DAY 1 EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OUTLOOK (ERO).

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS -- PARTICULARLY ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF
THE RED RIVER INTO CENTRAL AR -- THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A
SIGNAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL
BECOME DRAPED MORE OR LESS IN A W-E FASHION. GIVEN THE FRONTAL
ORIENTATION AND ANTICIPATED LOW-LEVEL AND MEAN LAYER
FLOW...CHANCES FOR CELL TRAINING ARE HEIGHTENED OVER THIS REGION
AS NOTED BY THE WEAK MBEs/CORFIDI VECTORS LATE TUE INTO EARLY WED
(5 KTS OR LESS). WPC WILL INCLUDE A "SLIGHT" RISK OVER THIS REGION
AS WELL IN THE DAY 1 ERO.


...SOUTHEAST...

CONDITIONS SHOULD SLOWLY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTS AND PARTS OF
FLORIDA. AN EASTERLY PLUME OF MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE WILL
STRETCH OUT FROM LOUISIANA TO THE CAROLINAS ON TUESDAY...WHILE
MOISTURE INCREASES ALSO INTO SOUTH FLORIDA AHEAD OF THE NEXT WAVE.
WPC BLENDED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH UPDATED VERSIONS OF THE
WRF-ARW AND NSSL WRF AND OUR IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE...RESULTING IN A
FEW POCKETS OF AREAL AVERAGE HALF TO ONE INCH AMOUNTS THROUGH 12Z
WEDNESDAY. LOCAL HEAVIER DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED.

HURLEY


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...NORTHEAST...

SHOWERS AHEAD OF ONE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE ABOUT READY TO EXIT THE
EASTERN PORTION OF NEW ENGLAND DURING THE PERIOD.  ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS...MORE SCATTERED IN COVERAGE...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE COLD
CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND AN UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE BORDER.  THESE
SHOWERS SHOULD GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

...SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...

A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
STATES WILL SAG SOUTH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION DURING THE
PERIOD.  MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF THE FRONT IN A MOISTURE LADEN AIRMASS.  THE
NAM HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY SENDING THE SIGNAL THAT THERE WILL BE
MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN...MAINLY CONFINED TO NC.  WHILE THESE
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...THINKING IS THAT THESE VALUES MAY BE A BIT
MUCH.  BUT WE DID TEND TO FOLLOW ITS PLACEMENT OF THE QPF MAX.
THE GFS/ECMWF AMOUNTS WERE FOLLOWED...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO FIND AT LEAST A FEW AMOUNTS CLOSE TO THE WHAT THE NAM
GENERATED.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEAST
AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SINKING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
TIER OF THE NATION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...IMPACTING LOCATIONS
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES.

THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OR FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS SHOULD BE OVER OKLAHOMA OR
NORTHERN/WESTERN TEXAS...WHERE THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE BOUNDARY
WILL BE SLOWER TO PRESS SOUTHWARD AND ALLOW FOR MOISTURE FOCUSING
ALONG THE FRONT TO POTENTIALLY INTERACT WITH WEAK IMPULSES
EJECTING OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.  THERE WAS  MORE SPREAD
IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE
BOUNDARY AND RESULTING AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION.

ONCE AGAIN...THE WPC PRECIPITATION FORECAST ATTEMPTED TO STAY IN
BETWEEN THE GFS (WHICH REMAINED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF MODEL
SPREAD) AND THE ECWMF (WHICH CONTINUED TO OFFER ONE OF THE MOST
SOUTHERN SOLUTIONS).  THIS DID RESULT IN A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SHIFT
FROM CONTINUITY.

NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE INHERITED SLIGHT/MARGINAL
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY
2.

ANOTHER CHALLENGE TO THE QPF FORECAST IN THE SOUTHERN TIER WILL BE
ACROSS FLORIDA...WHERE MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH THE EVOLUTION OF TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY BEING
MONITORED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
PROGRESS THROUGH THE BAHAMAS AND TOWARDS FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS).  THE WPC QPF WAS BASED OFF A CONSERVATIVE BLEND OF
CONTINUITY AND ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE...AND NO CHANGES WERE MADE
TO THE DAY 2 MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA.  HOWEVER...THE FORECAST SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS
MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.


...GULF COAST...

THE REMNANTS OF WHAT HAD BEEN TROPICAL STORM HARVEY HAS BECOME A
FORECAST PROBLEM ALONG THE IMMEDIATE TX COAST ON DAY 3.  WE ARE
EXPECTING THAT A MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HARVEY...ASSUMING IT DOES BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES ON
A TRACK TOWARDS THE COAST...WILL BE OFF SHORE THROUGHOUT THE DAY 3
FORECAST PERIOD WHICH ENDS AT 12Z FRIDAY.  HOWEVER...THERE HAS
BEEN A PROGRESSIVE NORTHWARD SHIFT AND A TREND FOR A SLIGHTLY
FASTER SOLN.  THUS IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
MAKES IT TO THE TX COAST LATE ON DAY 3. HAVE PLACED A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE ALONG THE COAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT POSSIBILITY.
THIS AREA WILL UNDOUBTEDLY BE ADJUSTED AS THE GUIDANCE BECOME MORE
CLEAR.

...CA/NV/FOUR CORNERS REGION/SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH
PLAINS...

UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CALIFORNIA...NEVADA...AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AS AN UPPER LOW
INITIALLY OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND
PROGRESSES INLAND.  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MAINLY
SCATTERED IN NATURE...BUT ANOMALOUS MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION
COULD ALLOW FOR ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND RUN OFF
CONCERNS.  BY DAY 3...THERE ARE SIGNALS THAT THE AXIS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS...SHIFTS OUT TO THE HIGH PLAINS ADJACENT TO THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES.

HURLEY/BANN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 487614 490615 493619 497628 503637 506641 509647 521695
      526715 528724 528733 529745 529757 529783 528787 529795
      532805 535820 535837 535844 532848 527857 523863 520864
      515864 502861 499860 495858 490853 485849 482843 478836
      471839 443863 437868 432874 425879 420886 415892 410899
      406905 403912 392940 385957 381968 377977 372986 370991
      368994 363001 362012 363019 368024 373030 376037 378040
      382040 391043 397046 400048 403051 407053 409056 411061
      410067 410070 408072 404074 401078 399083 400086 398088
      391086 388090 385093 379100 375100 372098 373097 374091
      372088 369081 362076 358076 354077 349079 344079 342080
      341083 344091 345101 341105 337104 335102 332103 330105
      327108 323109 319110 315109 311107 309104 307102 305104
      302106 296108 289106 286104 285100 282093 276089 268085
      257077 251072 247065 248058 253058 264058 268057 270054
      279058 287058 294054 298039 301033 303029 306027 311023
      316019 322003 323000 322997 321993 319984 319978 322974
      324970 326965 327944 327932 331921 334904 337884 339875
      342868 345853 348845 346840 346835 349825 355817 359810
      365802 368803 370804 372802 377796 384784 388777 392768
      393753 394744 394740 397735 398731 398724 396712 398707
      400702 404694 417680 423674 428667 434657 438651 444646
      452643 461640 468636 474629 483615
 0.01 527252 512240 505233 501225 498221 496223 495228 496232
      500243 501247 501254 496253 491252 485253 481257 478261
      474267 470272 467275 461278 459283 460288 466287 473282
      478274 484267 491272 506283 514287
 0.01 530024 531015 531010 526999 522991 517986 510980 507983
      506988 508999 512009 516018 520028 523031 525031 529028
      530024
 0.01 438209 439201 437197 428196 422194 420190 417182 418158
      416154 413152 408151 405148 401145 398145 395142 388136
      385137 382140 382143 385147 387151 389158 391169 395170
      398169 405175 406180 408185 411188 413195 416198 417202
      418206 416211 413212 411208 412204 410203 403197 394192
      385189 365180 363179 359181 362187 378200 391209 396212
      399216 403219 409221 408225 404226 401227 398229 398232
      401233 405236 410236 414235 420229 424222 428216 432212
      436211 438209
 0.01 410115 411108 410103 410097 408093 406093 404098 401100
      397101 395095 394094 390100 387105 385110 380112 376116
      372118 369119 365118 361116 356115 353115 352119 360132
      363135 369135 372136 376135 383133 389128 395122 398120
      402123 404123 407119 410115
 0.01 387707 386703 385702 379701 373704 368708 360717 354725
      350733 343738 336744 334749 332754 330759 328766 327773
      324778 314785 305790 294792 290794 287792 284789 281786
      276784 270783 265783 260785 254788 248786 237785 228789
      226794 227797 231804 232809 231815 230820 230826 232839
      233848 236853 238854 242854 247852 252850 256847 263843
      268842 273843 290851 287863 285869 280873 263882 259891
      260904 261927 259931 255935 246942 242946 240952 239958
      236962 235966 236971 240978 243981 247984 252984 257982
      259978 260975 263974 275974 277971 279973 280975 283975
      287974 291970 296962 300954 305946 309937 317911 320900
      324887 327876 328870 328865 330861 333857 338850 340845
      339843 337841 332843 329843 321844 318844 317841 319835
      324825 335812 345796 346790 346786 347783 354772 356766
      356759 356751 358747 383718 387707
 0.01 367160 367158 366157 365155 365154 363154 362154 361155
      360156 361157 361159 362160 364161 366161 367160
 0.01 305810 305807 302807 298807 289808 286814 279819 274822
      275826 277828 282833 290834 293836 297834 296824 299817
      304812 305810
 0.01 282962 282960 281958 280960 279960 278962 278964 278966
      278968 279970 280968 281966 281964 282962
 0.25 524831 524825 522822 518815 517810 517804 517792 516779
      516773 514767 510768 504773 501775 498768 494762 490757
      486747 485739 486730 488721 492715 497708 501716 502721
      505724 507725 510724 514718 514715 514708 512688 507668
      505660 501655 496644 491640 489638 485640 480645 475652
      463663 459669 456675 451685 447689 441693 425711 416722
      411729 407736 404743 403748 403752 405760 407767 408775
      405779 395787 385795 378805 372817 364832 361847 355862
      354871 354879 351885 348888 346893 344901 341915 339921
      335928 334932 334936 338942 339948 337958 332971 328983
      331998 332002 332006 329011 325018 324025 325032 328040
      333046 339050 346054 352058 358062 361061 363059 366056
      371053 377054 381053 379050 374048 369043 362032 356028
      356020 357008 359999 360989 363981 365973 366966 364954
      365948 366944 368942 372946 375947 378945 382940 385934
      389919 391909 390904 388901 386896 386892 390886 399876
      406869 415861 424853 434845 444836 456827 465818 471813
      478810 484808 490810 495812 497819 502830 505834 511837
      515838 520837 524831
 0.25 456658 456655 455654 453656 453659 452660 452661 452664
      453664 454663 454661 455660 456658 456658
 0.25 381195 381193 381192 380191 378190 376189 375188 373187
      371187 370188 371189 372190 372191 374192 376193 377193
      378194 379194 381195 381195
 0.25 386070 384064 378062 371061 366061 364064 361064 364067
      367068 373070 374075 376080 377082 380080 382078 385072
      386070
 0.25 336797 333796 334793 332791 330792 325799 320804 320806
      323808 317811 314814 312816 311821 313825 320823 324816
      328810 333806 336799 336797
 0.25 336058 337056 336054 334052 332052 331052 329052 328053
      327053 325055 326057 327058 328059 330059 332060 334059
      336058 336058
 0.25 303089 304085 303082 301079 294074 286070 276069 267068
      265070 265072 269075 276079 282084 288089 291093 292098
      296099 298097 303089
 0.25 304886 305881 304876 301871 298872 296874 292881 291887
      285890 283893 282898 282904 283912 285918 288925 291926
      293929 296935 297938 300937 303934 304931 304922 297919
      295912 294909 294904 295897 296893 300891 304888 304886
 0.25 282802 281796 278792 273789 269789 258793 253794 249796
      248802 248808 249814 250820 253826 256830 261831 265831
      268831 268827 265823 264818 267814 269810 274808 279805
      282802
 0.50 510705 509694 507682 505671 503667 500666 495670 491677
      488683 484687 481691 479685 476681 471680 469679 470675
      471668 467665 463670 457682 453690 446694 440699 435704
      428714 421724 418728 415734 414739 409742 406748 408754
      410756 411759 412770 410778 405783 394793 389797 385802
      381811 379816 375821 371826 369832 366845 364852 362859
      361865 361871 360880 358888 355895 348905 346910 346916
      344922 341928 339934 341939 344944 344948 343953 337965
      334974 333985 334991 336994 339000 338010 337017 335021
      334029 333035 336040 340043 347045 351048 355053 356056
      360056 363051 365044 363040 359038 353041 345038 342034
      341029 342027 344027 348028 351024 354009 359980 362973
      362968 361963 357957 358948 361929 364914 367901 371892
      376882 380877 384876 393865 401853 418832 427823 430817
      431810 432797 436787 438778 442773 445770 449770 454772
      457770 457772 453779 447790 445795 444802 445807 447811
      449813 455813 460810 465806 470801 475795 478789 481780
      482770 474735 477727 479721 485710 491701 495697 499695
      503700 505707 507710 509709 510705
 0.50 516809 516806 515804 515801 514798 513796 511796 510797
      508799 508800 507801 506802 506805 506808 506810 508812
      508813 509814 511814 513813 514812 515811 516809 516809
 0.50 384922 385915 383911 378909 374911 372916 371920 370927
      369932 370936 372940 376940 379937 381934 382929 384923
      384922
 0.50 378866 379864 378863 378864 378866 378866
 0.50 323814 321814 321815 323814 323814
 0.50 298086 297081 294079 289077 285075 282073 277073 278078
      282080 286082 289085 292087 295088 298086
 0.50 274799 271795 266793 260795 253797 251802 252810 255816
      257817 261816 264811 265806 270802 274799
 1.00 469769 467769 466771 465774 463777 462780 461783 460785
      459789 459792 462790 464788 465784 466782 467779 468776
      469771 469769
 1.00 450701 449698 446700 443703 438709 435713 430724 430734
      428740 424752 423756 424761 426767 430768 433766 437763
      443753 446746 445737 446730 449724 450717 451713 450709
      450701
 1.00 429781 426774 421778 417784 412789 409792 405792 400797
      402800 406800 412804 415805 417808 422803 426796 428786
      429781
 1.00 400804 399802 397804 397805 397807 398807 399805 400804
 1.00 388831 388826 387824 385825 382827 380830 378832 377835
      376837 377840 379842 380840 383838 385836 387833 388831
 1.00 378929 378927 378925 377923 375925 374927 374929 374931
      375933 376931 377931 378929
 1.00 361047 361045 360043 358043 356043 355044 355047 356049
      358050 360049 361047
 1.00 354949 354947 355945 355943 354941 354939 353938 352937
      350936 349936 348938 348939 348941 348943 348945 348947
      348949 348951 348952 350954 352952 353952 354951 354949
 1.00 349000 350998 349997 349996 349995 350993 349992 349991
      348989 346990 345991 345993 345995 345998 346999 346000
      347002 347004 347005 348004 349002 349001 349000
 1.00 350971 351967 351963 350959 348958 346959 345961 343964
      341967 340969 340973 341976 344977 348976 350974 350971
 1.00 348928 349925 349923 348921 348920 348921 348923 348925
      348928 348928
 1.00 258803 257803 256803 256804 258804 258803
 1.50 444713 444709 441711 439714 438717 437719 436722 436727
      435729 436734 439732 441730 442725 442723 443718 444715
      444713
 1.50 440748 440743 439740 437738 435739 433742 432745 431748
      430752 431757 434758 437756 438753 440750 440748

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 515259 516249 514243 508237 499214 496210 491209 483210
      478211 473214 473219 475221 477220 483219 489222 491226
      493231 498244 495248 495251 491248 488244 480238 478233
      473233 472237 473239 472244 483250 488257 490260 494261
      496258 499260 502262 507264 512261 515259
 0.01 507983 507974 504967 497959 492954 488951 484949 479944
      468922 464917 459913 455903 451898 448891 446887 444884
      441884 437885 436888 436890 437894 441906 446920 452930
      457942 466942 469950 472956 481960 488972 492985 495988
      502989 507983
 0.01 477640 473635 469630 467626 464627 455630 448634 443639
      437645 432651 424659 416669 408679 403684 399690 393703
      390709 388714 384710 382707 379704 371704 365707 360713
      356723 348731 346733 341735 333736 327740 322745 305767
      295777 291779 287780 279779 264781 257782 251779 237797
      234803 235809 233816 235822 241828 249831 254833 260836
      270842 275843 283842 285840 290839 292843 292848 294855
      296861 297866 296871 293870 289870 286871 283874 281881
      281891 283900 283911 282920 280927 276932 268941 266945
      266953 266963 266966 268968 273973 280972 290960 296956
      298953 300956 303962 304967 302970 297980 295985 293992
      292002 293008 295016 298019 301021 306024 311028 321037
      329034 337032 351034 359025 363021 363016 365012 362000
      363985 363974 365966 366961 366957 365953 365947 365937
      363934 363928 359908 358899 360892 363876 367864 372849
      377836 381829 385822 388818 389814 390805 392796 391787
      388779 388774 389769 393757 400747 405743 407740 408735
      411728 414723 417716 420712 423711 432699 435696 440695
      449697 457692 465684 467680 468676 469667 470661 473652
      477640
 0.01 489162 487157 485155 476149 470143 464144 453152 449152
      444151 442149 438148 435149 433152 432157 435160 439163
      441166 441168 441173 438175 435176 431175 426170 428166
      428161 426151 431129 432122 436118 439117 441120 442123
      443128 443132 445137 448138 453135 454125 455118 457113
      459109 458105 453096 447091 441088 431087 428087 426089
      426092 428096 427102 423101 419104 413102 408095 402099
      395102 397108 392114 387116 381121 381124 386125 401118
      406119 409121 413125 414128 415133 414141 413148 414152
      414159 411163 408168 407174 408178 406184 405187 402190
      400190 397193 395198 394197 387192 384189 380188 376185
      372183 367183 365187 371192 376197 381202 384203 389204
      396201 401207 405206 402211 401214 403217 405218 410219
      413222 421224 425219 428217 431217 437212 439207 441204
      446195 448189 451186 458182 462176 464173 468173 482171
      485170 487167 489162
 0.01 475823 475809 472801 467796 461794 458793 453793 447795
      444798 442801 441804 442810 444814 446815 450814 452812
      456813 459816 461824 460836 458844 458855 459864 460869
      463872 467873 469868 469862 469851 470840 472831 475823
 0.01 453737 452728 448729 444735 442742 442750 440756 435767
      429778 427781 427785 428788 429790 433792 437789 440783
      441776 445764 449751 453737
 0.01 445067 445062 442059 439055 435052 425046 422043 419038
      415033 412031 409032 400033 398034 396032 393029 386024
      382026 380031 382036 387038 398039 401038 403038 406040
      410040 413045 413047 409047 404047 401048 395049 390048
      380044 371039 365038 362039 361035 357037 350041 344045
      340043 338045 334048 330049 326051 319052 314049 311047
      311045 306038 304034 301031 297036 291041 294043 298044
      301044 304047 305048 303051 296056 292058 288058 282056
      277054 270051 264047 257042 253040 247039 238040 233042
      230045 226050 226056 230063 243073 250077 253079 256081
      263087 271092 282096 291100 315122 322121 326109 330110
      332111 335115 341124 349126 352124 352117 349112 347108
      346103 345091 352084 352079 351073 351066 355065 360065
      364068 371073 373082 377082 379080 381076 383073 385073
      390077 392081 395085 398087 402087 406083 410077 415071
      421062 424061 430063 438069 443070 445067
 0.01 447990 446982 443976 439973 436973 433971 435968 435963
      435954 435951 432949 430947 426949 423949 421952 419956
      420964 420968 419973 415977 413982 410989 410996 413001
      417004 420004 421001 426999 431995 438995 447990
 0.01 413202 412200 411200 409201 408201 407203 405205 406208
      408208 410206 411204 412203 413202
 0.01 364159 364157 363155 363154 363155 361156 360156 361157
      362159 364160 364159
 0.25 451652 450648 449646 444649 441652 438656 436659 434663
      434669 437668 441665 444662 447659 450655 451652
 0.25 387199 387196 386196 385194 383193 381191 380190 379190
      378189 376189 375188 373188 372188 372190 374192 376193
      377194 378194 379195 381196 382197 383197 384199 386199
      387199
 0.25 384756 385750 383744 378737 374733 371732 368732 362736
      357742 349752 344758 340760 337760 336754 333754 331755
      326761 322767 314779 309784 306791 306794 308795 314796
      329789 327797 325803 317817 315824 316828 320827 328826
      333824 336822 345814 364791 372779 380768 383761 384756
 0.25 362827 360823 355824 347832 341839 334844 326851 322855
      318859 316863 314867 311877 308889 309897 312901 315904
      316910 317915 318922 315933 314941 312948 312958 312964
      311969 302991 302002 304007 306011 309015 314018 325022
      333022 337021 341018 345014 347008 348001 346995 342995
      339993 333987 332983 333977 338966 338953 338939 339932
      342927 344920 344912 347890 347883 348875 353863 359843
      361834 362827
 0.25 352053 350050 347052 341058 335055 330054 325055 319060
      313065 307072 303073 300075 297078 296085 297089 300091
      306092 304096 303099 304104 307106 309108 312108 315106
      316101 316096 318092 322092 328092 334092 337091 339084
      338078 336074 339065 351055 352053
 0.25 296796 295792 291791 285789 277788 271789 263790 256791
      248795 244799 239813 240817 243820 250822 256826 261829
      268832 274830 277821 279814 280811 284808 289804 294800
      296796
 0.25 297926 296922 294918 290921 288925 286929 283932 281935
      280941 283941 287939 290936 294934 296931 297926
 0.25 291085 291078 290075 286072 282071 273067 264064 256063
      249063 250067 253070 258076 263082 271086 278090 284092
      287090 291085
 0.50 379757 378751 376748 372744 364744 359748 355755 350760
      346766 342772 335784 335793 336800 336805 339806 343806
      345804 351799 355794 363781 372770 379757
 0.50 349859 350857 349855 349854 349853 347851 346853 345855
      345858 345860 344862 344864 344866 346867 346866 348864
      348862 349860 349859
 0.50 349851 349850 348849 347848 347849 347850 347851 349852
      349851
 0.50 340902 341897 338896 336902 334908 332914 328919 328924
      334926 336921 337915 338906 340902
 0.50 332084 332078 331074 331070 331066 328064 323062 319065
      317069 318073 321078 321082 324086 330086 332084
 0.50 334965 333955 331947 329938 326931 322938 320945 318955
      318960 317970 315977 309992 308997 310002 314007 319012
      324016 326015 325011 323003 324991 325984 327974 328970
      330968 334965
 0.50 332872 332868 330866 326866 323872 321877 319883 316890
      317895 322897 325896 326894 328887 330880 332874 332872
 0.50 286087 285081 281077 276073 272073 267072 260071 261075
      265079 270083 275085 280088 284088 286087
 0.50 285798 284793 280792 274792 269793 260796 251798 248801
      247805 247811 249813 254814 257816 259820 263823 267824
      272822 273817 273812 274807 276805 284800 285798
 1.00 365760 363758 361758 357762 353766 349770 349778 349785
      348791 353787 355781 357777 360771 363765 365760

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 504163 504155 501151 494143 481128 479124 478121 479117
      481112 482105 482091 481085 483080 497067 499064 500060
      499057 497053 493051 483052 475055 471057 466056 459050
      455046 449045 445046 442050 440056 441061 447069 448072
      447076 442079 437078 433080 429090 422097 420101 420105
      421107 424112 428113 438117 440121 440126 438128 434129
      430133 428138 430142 431146 430150 428154 426160 430161
      434161 437161 439164 441168 444172 449173 453171 457167
      459163 462159 464157 466160 467165 470169 474169 478165
      481161 486162 488164 491166 497167 504163
 0.01 453723 453718 452715 447716 443718 441723 436733 435737
      432742 427750 425760 424774 421785 420791 418795 413802
      412810 412816 414820 418821 423813 426808 427803 435785
      440762 445752 449743 451738 452733 451730 452724 453723
 0.01 444894 444884 442880 439873 435870 433869 430869 426872
      428878 430879 432883 435887 436892 437895 441897 444894
 0.01 435028 432018 430016 431011 432006 431002 427993 424986
      429985 431983 431977 428966 425960 423956 419955 415957
      412959 410963 409969 404975 398979 391982 384984 375985
      371987 368991 360995 349994 336987 336975 334965 327949
      324941 321931 321920 321915 322910 322899 322893 324887
      327868 330859 332848 337829 337824 339820 342813 351798
      358784 364771 367763 370754 374747 378738 380734 378731
      375728 371726 363726 357727 352727 349724 344724 339726
      335730 332733 331736 326738 323740 317746 310751 303753
      298755 292756 282758 271760 268762 263763 256768 250774
      243787 237804 237809 238815 241823 245831 250836 255838
      262840 269843 277846 290855 294863 296867 297874 292882
      287888 285891 284895 282904 282913 282918 284921 284931
      283938 281941 268950 248951 242956 239959 239963 236969
      235973 237978 245979 251979 256979 260980 271982 267999
      270006 270013 272016 272021 273025 275029 278032 289041
      294048 290050 289052 290055 288057 283057 279055 274054
      266052 256050 248053 243054 241057 240061 239067 243074
      246078 252082 259086 267089 277091 283095 297105 302112
      309117 313120 317121 320119 322114 324111 329110 334115
      341120 347123 354124 357121 356115 355112 352108 351103
      352097 356096 362092 364088 368088 371091 374095 377097
      382097 386095 389091 399078 405075 407070 405066 402060
      399058 399053 400046 403046 411048 423025 426023 428026
      430030 435028
 0.01 409108 410099 408093 407091 403095 398104 395109 391111
      386112 382114 375121 375128 378131 382129 386125 388121
      392117 400111 404110 409108 409108
 0.25 470078 470074 469071 467069 466067 463065 461064 459065
      457067 457070 458073 460076 461078 464080 466081 469080
      470078
 0.25 459113 460106 457103 453102 448101 444104 444111 445117
      446121 449125 453122 455120 458116 459113
 0.25 422006 420002 417999 411994 408991 406991 399996 388996
      381999 374002 376005 375008 370014 361018 354020 345020
      336019 332019 329023 325029 324033 324040 318056 320060
      323063 324065 323070 316070 313073 313079 318084 326089
      331088 334088 338090 341087 353077 351068 350057 353050
      356049 361048 391040 393036 395031 395025 395020 395016
      399014 406020 416013 420009 422006
 0.25 382076 382074 382072 382071 381069 380067 378066 377065
      375065 373066 373068 374071 374072 375073 376075 376076
      378077 379077 381077 382076
 0.25 366746 365739 361737 355737 350740 340744 336747 332750
      325758 318766 314774 316779 316785 307806 301813 296814
      292812 283808 278807 274803 266784 260784 255787 247792
      242799 240804 239809 244819 250827 253829 258830 263831
      267833 280835 292833 296832 300833 302838 303846 303853
      308855 313856 316853 320850 322846 327838 331827 334816
      337806 342797 348787 352778 361760 365751 366746
 0.25 323988 324980 324973 323967 320962 316960 310958 305957
      301958 299960 298963 297968 295974 294980 292993 293999
      297003 301006 307004 312003 315999 321992 323988
 0.25 297956 294945 289946 285949 277954 266957 256960 253963
      252966 253970 257973 261974 267976 274976 279974 283970
      288964 292960 296958 297956
 0.25 282082 281078 280077 276076 274075 271073 269072 267072
      267076 268077 272079 274080 276082 279083 282082
 0.50 417006 415004 413003 411003 410003 408005 407005 406007
      405010 406012 408013 409013 411012 413011 414010 415009
      416008 417006 417006
 0.50 389031 388025 386022 383020 376019 370021 367027 361027
      348026 335025 331031 329038 331044 336045 351044 362038
      368039 371037 375038 382038 387035 389031
 0.50 358750 356745 352747 348756 340761 336760 333759 330761
      325769 323778 322785 321790 317798 313820 315834 317837
      320834 325827 329818 331807 335797 345783 350773 353764
      358750
 0.50 345074 345070 344068 342064 341062 337062 335063 333065
      332068 332073 332077 333079 336082 336078 336077 338076
      342075 345074
 0.50 331055 331053 331052 329051 327052 325053 325055 327056
      328056 330057 331055
 0.50 318979 315976 312973 310969 306967 303969 301973 299979
      298983 299989 301992 304991 308988 312986 315984 317980
      318979
 0.50 282964 281961 277961 274961 270961 266961 265962 261962
      258964 259968 261970 263970 266971 270972 274971 277970
      279968 280966 282964
 0.50 275820 274814 271810 267802 264799 263794 260791 256791
      250796 244801 241805 241809 246816 250822 254826 258827
      267827 274822 275820
 1.00 350037 350035 348036 346036 345037 346038 347039 348039
      349038 350037
 1.00 262811 260811 258809 256807 255804 252802 248804 247806
      246809 248810 251812 253813 255815 257816 261816 261813
      262811

$$




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