Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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199
FXUS04 KWBC 230949
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
546 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 23/1200 UTC THRU OCT 26/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...GREAT LAKES...

AN IMPRESSIVE SYNOPTIC SETUP AND ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE WILL RESULT
IN A SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. THE UPPER LEVELS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH A PERSISTENT AXIS OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE
PRESENT AS WELL AS RAPID CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. A LACK OF INSTABILITY WILL CAP THE UPPER LIMIT OF
RAINFALL RATES...WITH AMOUNTS EXPECTING TO PEAK IN THE 0.25"-0.5"
IN AN HOUR RANGE. HOWEVER WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF THIS
STEADY RAINFALL...AND AS SUCH EXPECTING A CORRIDOR OF 2-4" OVER
PORTIONS OF WESTERN MI. MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND WEST WITH THIS
AXIS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL...AND SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXIST ON ITS
EXACT PLACEMENT. BUT FOR NOW FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND...WITH
THE MOST WEIGHTING GIVEN TO THE VARIOUS HIGH RES CAM SOLUTIONS.
THIS RESULTS IN A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT WESTWARD SHIFT FROM OUR
PREVIOUS FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN THIS
ADJUSTMENT...ALTHOUGH AS MENTIONED ABOVE STILL LINGERING
UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT AXIS. PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MI HAVE SEEN
WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL RECENTLY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME
FLOODING CONCERNS DEVELOPING DESPITE THE RELATIVELY LOW RATES
ANTICIPATED...AND FOR THIS REASON WILL ISSUE A SLIGHT RISK FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MI FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LONGER DURATION
FLOODING CONCERNS.


...OHIO VALLEY SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST...

A BROAD SWATH OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS IS
EXPECTED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST. A DEEPENING LOW
OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. THE DYNAMICS WILL BE PRETTY IMPRESSIVE WITH
A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH AND DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. WILL ALSO
HAVE STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...WHICH WILL
RESULT IN AN OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT TO THE RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL...BUT GIVEN THE
INCREASED NEGATIVE TILT...ANTICIPATE WE WILL BE ABLE TO REALIZE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR CONVECTION AND LOCALLY ENHANCED RAINFALL
RATES. THE DEPICTION SHOWN BY THE VARIOUS HIGH RES CAM SOLUTIONS
SEEM REASONABLE...WITH THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION EVOLVING INTO
A NARROW SQUALL LINE THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL QUICKLY PUSH OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST.

IN GENERAL THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE EXPECTED
CONVECTIVE LINE SHOULD CAP THE UPPER LIMIT OF RAINFALL
TOTALS...WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY FALLING INTO THE 1-2" RANGE. THUS
IN GENERAL THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT FROM THIS SETUP SHOULD BE
MARGINAL..WITH 1 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS GENERALLY MAXING AT AROUND
1-1.5". THE EXCEPTION COULD BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...WHERE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED RAINFALL WILL PRECEDE
THE CONVECTIVE LINE...RESULTING IN A LONGER DURATION OF STEADY TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. EXPECTING A SWATH OF 2-4" ALONG THE UPSLOPE
FAVORED PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WITH MORE
LOCALIZED 4-6" AMOUNTS A POSSIBILITY IN THE MOST PRONE AREAS. THE
DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS OVER THIS AREA SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL
FLOOD THREAT...ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COMBINED WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF RATES APPROACHING 1.5" IN AN HOUR...SUGGESTS
THAT AT LEAST SOME FLASH FLOOD RISK DOES EXIST. FOR THAT REASON
WILL CARRY A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS FROM NORTHEAST GA INTO WESTERN SC/NC...SOUTHWEST VA
AND SOUTHEAST WV. THE NARROW CONVECTIVE LINE SHOULD BE ABLE TO
MAINTAIN ITSELF THROUGH MUCH OF THE MID ATLANTIC...THOUGH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY DECREASE AS YOU GO NORTHEAST AS THE LINE
NARROWS AND SPEEDS UP.

WPC QPF FOR THIS REGION LEANED MORE HEAVILY TOWARDS THE HRW
ARW...HRW ARW2 AND THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR...WITH SMALLER
CONTRIBUTIONS FORM THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET. OVERALL THIS RESULTS IN A
FORECAST QUITE A BIT QUICKER THAN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. GIVEN
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND THE EVOLUTION SHOWN BY ALL THE HIGH RES
CAM SOLUTIONS...THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS QUICKER TREND
VERIFYING.



DAYS 2/3...


...NORTHEAST...

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING AROUND THE PHASING LOW OVER
THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY MORNING WILL AMPLIFY THE TROUGH TO THE
DEEP SOUTH. THIS MERIDIONAL MOTION WILL ALLOW THE SURFACE FRONT TO
BECOME PARALLEL TO THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW...SLOWING ITS PROGRESSION
EAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS SLOW/STALL LOOKS TO OCCUR
OVER IN THE VICINITY OF THE HUDSON VALLEY TO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND
WHERE ROUGHLY 2-3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ON AVERAGE. TROPICALLY
SOURCED MOISTURE WITH PW OF 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES (2.5 TO 3 SIGMA
STANDARDIZED ANOMALY) AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ENABLE HEAVY
RAINFALL. THIS SLOW/STALL OF THE PROGRESSION LOOKS TO MAKE A
NARROW CORRIDOR IN PARTICULAR RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING WITH 4 OR
MORE INCHES LIKELY. FAIRLY DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST...BUT IF THE NARROW SWATH ENCOUNTERS A METRO AREA
(SUCH AS GREATER NYC) ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS PLAY LESS OF A ROLE IN
FLASH FLOODING.

A MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS AGAIN CONSIDERED FOR
THIS TIME PERIOD WHICH IS NOW DAY 2 (12Z TUE-12Z WED)...BUT THE
SLIGHT WAS MAINTAINED (SLIGHTLY EXPANDED) FOR NOW. SHOULD
CONFIDENCE INCREASE ON THE GREATEST RAIN RISK BEING IN A SENSITIVE
AREA A MODERATE RISK MAY BE NECESSARY.

THE HEAVY RAIN RESUMES ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION TUESDAY NIGHT AS
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIES...PUSHING THE PHASED LOW DOWNSTREAM. THE 1.5 INCH PW
PROGGED FOR MAINE ON WEDNESDAY IS 3 TO 4 SIGMA STANDARDIZED
ANOMALY. THE ACTIVITY IS PROGRESSIVE...BUT 2-4 INCHES ARE LIKELY
OVER EASTERN MAINE WHERE A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
RAISED FOR DAY 3 (12Z WED-12Z THU).


...OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AHEAD OF A PHASED LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WILL ALLOW 1.75 INCH PWATS OVER FAR EASTERN NC TUESDAY
MORNING. THIS MOISTURE IS AROUND A 2 SIGMA STANDARDIZED ANOMALY.
THE COLD FRONTAL PROGRESSION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON
WHICH IS WHEN THE PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
OUTER BANKS. POTENTIAL REPEATING HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN MAY NEED TO BE RAISED FOR THIS
AREA FOR DAY 2 (12Z TUE-12Z WED).


...FLORIDA...

A PHASED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES AMPLIFIES SOUTH AS A SHORTWAVE
ROUNDS THE LOW TUESDAY. THIS INCREASES THE JET STREAM OVER
FLORIDA. 2 INCH PW OVER THE LOWER PENINSULA IS A 1.5 TO 2 SIGMA
STANDARDIZED ANOMALY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH AN
AVERAGE OF AROUND AN INCH. AS OF NOW THIS ACTIVITY LOOKS
PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO NOT WARRANT AN EXCESSIVE RAIN OUTLOOK FOR
DAY 2 (12Z TUE-12Z WED). THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH GREATER
MIAMI WEDNESDAY/DAY 3.


...GREAT LAKES...

WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION FROM THE LOW CENTERED OVER MI TUESDAY
WILL BE ENHANCED OFF LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN. AREAS OF THE UP
AND WESTERN MI COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO ONE INCH AREAL
AVERAGE WHICH COMING OFF HEAVY PREFRONTAL RAIN TODAY MAY CAUSE
SOME FLOODING CONCERNS. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY NEED
FOR AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK.



CHENARD/JACKSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 505306 500307 494304 485295 483289 482283 481278 480275
      481267 482257 485252 493243 492235 493230 495228 498224
      503220 507218 513220 518222 522229 523235 524243 524250
      525253
 0.01 540208 538201 534196 528195 526195 525199 525206 521207
      521210 524215 524219 526221 530226 532228 534228 536218
      536212 538210 540208
 0.01 527177 526176 526174 525173 524171 524168 522167 521167
      519166 519167 517168 517169 516172 516174 517175 517177
      518178 519179 521179 523180 524180 525179 526178 527177
 0.01 520897 520887 519877 517871 511869 508868 510862 514848
      516843 516833 511820 506805 501793 496780 493773 489769
      474752 466744 462740 454741 450741 446740 445738 441734
      441728 442721 446716 452704 455698 456693 454692 449696
      445699 442698 440696 439694 437696 435703 433708 426712
      414715 410727 409730 408733 405733 398735 384737 377738
      373738 350746 324755 278775 267779 258783 250785 244784
      235784 230784 223785 221787 227800 231810 228814 229822
      231829 231831 235831 239830 240838 246847 249850 250853
      249857 250859 256862 267867 271870 275869 288865 301860
      306861 314861 328860 332863 335866 338871 341877 343882
      349885 358890 365899 371903 377905 388900 392904 394908
      401915 409924 414927 421927 427924 433924 438928 443928
      456928 463928 466929 467934 467942 472945 476945 478947
      475952 468960 467962 470964 476967 481969 485970 493970
      497967 501965 504960 507955 509947 509939 510931 511920
      511914 512909 515908 518905 520897
 0.01 417067 417062 416059 414059 413054 411052 409056 406056
      399055 396060 402060 404058 407059 408063 407065 408070
      415071 417067
 0.25 513292 507298 503298 500295 495286 492276 491271 492264
      496260 501262 502261 502256 503241 506238 510241 515248
      520256 522264
 0.25 506906 505903 505902 503902 502903 500904 498906 498909
      497911 497914 499915 500914 501914 502913 503911 504911
      505908 506906
 0.25 502855 503847 502839 500821 498808 496803 492800 485793
      480792 476792 471792 467790 463782 459773 456766 453764
      445759 437758 431759 433764 436768 437770 437773 432774
      428772 426768 427765 426750 425743 422741 418739 413739
      408742 405745 399752 395754 389756 379755 375755 371756
      362756 358752 354752 347757 343759 337760 330762 325764
      317770 310775 303780 294784 283787 262792 257793 254792
      249792 243791 240790 234792 234798 235804 236811 242812
      245809 249808 252811 255813 255818 253822 254828 258836
      261840 263847 265849 269851 274852 280851 289851 299848
      301846 305850 309852 316852 328852 337852 345854 363861
      367863 371865 375873 381879 377884 372886 376891 379894
      385894 392889 404889 411893 414897 418900 422903 425907
      429909 433909 438908 441905 448899 450896 455894 460896
      462901 461907 464908 467904 468898 467890 469886 476881
      483874 489866 493863 497860 502855
 0.25 490932 490929 489927 487926 486926 484926 484927 483929
      484932 486933 487933 489933 490932
 0.25 460793 459792 457791 456790 454789 452789 451789 450789
      449790 447791 446793 447795 449796 450797 451797 453797
      454797 456797 458796 458795 459793 460793
 0.50 518273 520266 519260 514251 511248 507248 505253 506258
      509267 508275 505276 501269 498271 497274 498278 502286
      505290 508290 512287 514282 515278 518273
 0.50 495820 495813 493809 486803 481798 476798 471799 451806
      446811 443813 440811 439806 437802 432804 429808 423813
      418814 416810 415807 416802 417797 419792 423789 425786
      421778 419771 420765 421754 422748 422745 414744 409746
      406749 399755 392759 391762 394764 393768 390769 386769
      381767 375764 367761 361761 356760 351761 346762 337762
      329764 323768 316774 310779 308789 308794 306798 308803
      311806 317810 319810 320813 320819 315824 311827 305827
      300823 296822 291821 285821 279822 273822 270821 266820
      261821 259822 260825 264832 268841 276844 285846 302844
      307843 312843 319844 328845 336848 352853 360856 369858
      373859 376862 382866 390879 395880 400879 408880 419881
      427883 430888 434890 436891 441890 447886 453885 457884
      460881 463881 470879 474876 477872 481863 485856 490848
      492842 493834 495820
 0.50 441815 440814 439814 437816 436818 435819 435821 436821
      437822 438820 439818 440817 441815
 0.50 424824 422823 420823 420822 418822 416822 415823 414823
      413825 413826 413827 415828 417828 419827 420826 422825
      424825 424824
 0.50 295813 290803 286800 281798 278795 273795 267794 260795
      255798 253799 250799 247799 245801 248802 253802 258804
      260809 264811 268814 272816 277815 281813 285812 290815
      295813
 1.00 487831 487826 485823 483818 481817 480814 479810 477806
      473806 468807 461810 454816 445829 433838 430841 426841
      417842 409842 404843 401839 399829 399821 400813 399804
      396802 395800 403796 411791 417788 419785 415784 408784
      401786 393791 388792 385791 380784 376785 373788 371790
      366792 361792 359790 367787 367784 364782 354783 345785
      337787 329791 323795 321799 322801 325805 327805 332806
      335808 339814 346818 348822 342824 337825 327826 321828
      315834 315836 318838 326840 342844 348849 356851 360852
      364853 371853 378855 384856 388855 394851 400845 402845
      404847 404853 405857 403860 400862 398868 401871 403871
      411874 419875 426873 434873 442875 446875 450872 447870
      444868 446863 448860 453857 459855 460861 459870 466871
      471863 474855 483842 487831
 1.00 413755 412753 410752 408752 407753 405755 405756 405757
      405759 406761 408763 410764 411763 412760 412758 413755
 1.00 376826 376825 374825 374826 374827 376826 376826
 1.00 338771 338767 336766 333765 331765 329766 325768 324770
      324773 326775 328776 332776 335774 337773 338771
 1.00 299840 300836 299832 296828 289827 283827 278825 271824
      268823 266825 269829 273832 279834 283837 288841 294842
      299840
 1.50 476827 475822 473817 471814 468813 463813 460816 455822
      449828 445834 438839 432843 422845 418845 415848 410855
      409859 408864 410867 413869 421871 426871 430870 438868
      443861 450856 455851 461847 468841 472835 476827
 1.50 390847 390838 386834 382835 377837 370839 366839 363839
      359841 358843 361848 368848 376847 380850 383851 386851
      390847
 1.50 386799 384796 381795 379794 377796 376799 369797 365797
      359798 351797 347797 342799 346806 350813 356817 354821
      351823 338832 337835 339839 348840 351841 356839 357835
      357830 358825 362823 366821 367818 369814 372812 382810
      385805 386799
 1.50 370826 370824 369823 368824 367826 367827 369828 370826
 1.50 336797 334797 332797 330797 328798 327799 329799 330799
      332799 334799 336798 336797
 1.50 294836 295834 294832 293831 291831 289833 289835 289837
      290838 292839 293837 294836
 1.50 277830 277828 276827 274827 273828 272828 273829 275830
      276830 277830
 2.00 470831 470824 468819 465818 462819 452831 442839 435844
      428847 422848 417855 415858 412861 415865 421868 425869
      429867 436865 441859 446855 452850 463841 467836 470831
 2.00 384802 383800 383799 381800 379802 378803 378805 380807
      382807 383804 384802
 2.00 376803 373801 368800 364802 362805 360807 359812 359816
      358820 351824 349826 348831 346834 348838 351836 353833
      356826 361821 365816 369810 374805 376803
 3.00 448843 446842 442843 437846 432849 429853 425857 424863
      428862 432859 436855 441851 444848 448843

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 494333 491328 485324 483322 484317 482315 478313 472311
      469309 467306 468301 471294 477278 480259 479252 480247
      482244 486243 491240 494233 495229 497226 501225 506224
      511222 515218 518211 520202 523184 521177 522175 525176
      526178 529178 531175 531170 533160 535152 536136 537133
      539131 538124 536107 536104 536099 539097 547106 552104
      556106 559108
 0.01 560099 555094 552087 547074 543067 540058 539048 539034
      539029 538024 533019 527016 524010 518997 515990 512981
      510973 507965 501954 497947 496943 493940 484927 472922
      467920 462915 458914 453914 447916 440917 435918 427919
      418920 407916 401913 399910 398906 391890 390887 389882
      389872 392865 393861 390859 386859 384858 382855 381852
      381843 382839 382834 383827 386819 396812 402810 411810
      418806 424799 433790 438786 440784 445783 456786 462787
      465788 467787 467784 466777 462772 458768 456766 452765
      439762 431763 422765 407767 401767 392768 362773 349778
      335782 328785 322789 315793 310798 301807 290817 281823
      276827 271832 256852 249861 246860 242863 240864 239859
      223837 225824 226817 226809 228803 228794 230788 233784
      244773 248769 254765 264757 277750 303738 309736 315731
      325723 329719 334713 338708 347704 352701 360699 378695
      392692 397689 399687 403686 409682 417680 424679 431679
      437679 445678 462676 468676 475674 478674 481673 486667
      494657 500652 503644 513649
 0.01 566024 567985 566977 564969 563965 563960 563949 561943
      558938 553934 549932 539927 530922 525920 520917 515913
      510911 500906 495905 490903 484902 489898 493895 497891
      505882 510879 514877 519874 524869 528865 530859 530854
      531851 535846 538842 541840 542836 546833 549826 556817
      557816
 0.01 382931 382929 382927 380925 380924 378922 377925 377927
      378929 379929 380931 380932 382932 382931
 0.01 268009 267004 264002 260999 257997 253995 249993 246991
      245996 245998 247999 251001 254004 256008 258011 263012
      267010 268009
 0.25 501319 498315 497308 496296 493285 490275 486251 489249
      494251 498255 500255 501248 501241 500235 503233 508234
      512237 515240 520243 524241 526234 525219 524207 525201
      527195 534188 539179 542163 544149 548141 551139 554141
 0.25 551784 542755 540751 535747 530749 526752 518759 514764
      511770 501793 496802 487808 482809 476807 467806 461806
      455808 452812 447815 441815 438817 437820 438825 436831
      417843 414847 409850 405853 403857 401862 402869 404876
      407883 410894 414898 420899 427898 431896 440889 445889
      450890 453893 457898 461902 467901 475894 484889 490887
      495885 503878 511870 518862 524853 531845 538836 543823
      549814 554799
 0.25 553993 553989 551987 549985 548982 545979 544979 542979
      542984 543987 545990 547992 550991 551993 553993
 0.25 525693 524686 522681 518674 514664 513662 510662 506664
      501666 497669 494672 489680 483685 475689 472691 467692
      464692 460689 457687 452688 448688 443691 437696 418702
      401708 393711 383715 374719 365721 357724 348729 334737
      318746 302754 295758 292760 286760 283759 277761 270763
      263768 259771 257776 253783 246788 237798 234801 233806
      231814 232823 234828 236832 239835 244834 248835 253834
      265825 277816 283811 292806 298802 305797 316787 323782
      330778 339773 348770 356768 365765 374761 383762 391762
      400761 422758 431756 439756 447753 455752 465750 472747
      480741 489737 498735 502731 509723 512715 517711 520708
      521704 522697 525693
 0.25 432811 432809 431808 430807 429807 428806 426807 424808
      423810 422810 422813 421814 421815 420818 422820 423819
      425819 427819 428818 430817 432814 432811
 0.50 510299 506298 503294 500287 496280 494272 493267 493261
      499261 503259 504255 505244 506241 509240 512242 515245
      521250 525250 527248 530244 531238 530232 529226 529221
      528215 528207 530200 532198 536194 538191 541188 543185
      545177 547172 548170
 0.50 548803 547797 545792 538784 536781 532779 529778 523780
      512796 506803 499807 493813 485819 477825 472830 470836
      468839 462841 456842 448843 445843 441846 439846 435844
      426848 419853 413861 412866 414872 416877 419881 423883
      426881 433875 439875 442876 447877 452877 456879 458882
      462893 467894 470892 478887 493878 501874 504871 508867
      520853 531838 536829 539819 548803
 0.50 516688 515682 513678 507675 500677 493682 488687 482691
      474696 470698 465700 461699 458697 452695 447695 442698
      436703 428707 420708 412710 405713 390720 382723 377725
      371725 362728 356732 342740 283769 273779 265782 258788
      252792 248797 245803 241807 238808 236811 235817 238824
      240827 243827 246824 250825 255825 259823 266819 272815
      277811 290803 297799 304794 309790 316785 328777 336772
      342769 359761 373756 388758 404759 424755 460747 469744
      474740 476736 481734 487729 493724 498719 508706 513696
      516690 516688
 1.00 524258 523258 521257 520257 518257 517256 515255 514253
      512252 510253 509254 509256 508259 508261 507264 507266
      507269 506271 506274 506277 507277 508280 510281 511283
      512284 514285
 1.00 505279 504276 504275 502273 501272 499273 499274 499275
      499276 500278 501280 501281 503281 504281 505279 505279
 1.00 526833 526828 523827 517830 515823 512823 507827 505817
      503815 500816 496820 489831 482842 484849 479853 469858
      462859 455858 451854 448854 446855 441859 439861 437865
      441868 447870 450870 457871 465881 470883 475880 481869
      484862 488858 495857 500858 505857 511852 519842 526833
 1.00 492713 489701 487699 484699 476702 464706 459706 452706
      444706 438708 431711 423713 416715 410717 403722 398724
      391727 386731 379734 373737 359740 353742 344745 298769
      288776 278785 272789 266790 261793 257798 253803 252808
      258811 263810 274804 281803 288800 294797 299794 311787
      331772 353759 359756 367754 374752 382752 394751 398756
      407756 413755 421753 428750 434749 447746 453745 461742
      471734 476730 480726 483722 488719 492716 492713
 1.00 434866 433862 431860 429858 427857 424857 422858 419860
      418863 419866 421868 424869 426870 429869 431868 434866
 1.50 522265 520265 519265 517265 515265 514265 513266 511268
      511271 512274 514276 514277 515278 516279
 1.50 474715 474712 472710 468709 455709 444710 440711 435715
      410723 390734 386737 382741 378740 371742 359745 347749
      336754 331756 328761 323763 317764 311766 307769 291784
      282791 275795 279798 285799 296793 304788 314782 323776
      331768 351758 360753 367751 373749 383748 386744 391740
      394739 397739 399747 399751 401753 409751 421750 433748
      445745 457741 466735 470731 473725 471721 471719 474715
 2.00 468729 466727 462727 457730 454730 452727 444729 441730
      438727 435722 423724 415726 409729 402740 401748 401751
      405750 420748 436746 451740 462735 468729
 2.00 466715 466712 465712 463712 461712 460712 459711 458711
      456712 454712 453712 451713 450714 451714 453713 455713
      456713 458713 459714 460715 462715 463715 464715 465715
      466715
 2.00 447712 446712 444712 442712 441713 440714 441715 443715
      444714 446713 447712
 2.00 437736 438734 436734 434734 433735 432737 433737 435737
      437737 437736
 2.00 357752 356752 354752 353752 351752 349753 347754 346754
      347756 348756 349756 349755 351754 353753 355753 356752
      357752
 2.00 342759 341758 339759 337760 335760 335761 337760 339760
      341760 342759
 2.00 327768 327766 323766 316768 311771 308774 304778 301783
      299785 300788 305785 310782 316779 320776 324772 327768
 3.00 435741 434742 432742 431742 432742 434742 435741

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 531235 528232 524231 522232 520237 516259 515264 514268
      513273 511276 506277 502278 499280 484295 471292 467289
      465282 467269 468257 467254 464252 460251 458252 451250
      452242 456234 457228 455225 449227 446224 446220 448218
      454218 473206 485203 490199 492197 493192 491187 488184
      483179 484169 486164 490162 495161 501161 503158 502154
      500152 498152 493153 479148 475147 470147 467153 462171
      460184 459187 456188 452188 449189 448190 447187 451173
      451156 450152 447151 441149 439146 439144 441137 443135
      445129 445123 444120 441113 438107 434102 431097 426089
      423082 423075 422067 423053 438054 444052 447050 451051
      454058 456061 456067 458070 460072 463077 467084 471089
      480102 487108 491112 494117 499122 504126 506127 508130
      511131 514129 513117 511109 509105 506104 500103 496101
      495097 495092 496079 496073 495069 492063 491060 490054
      488046 487044 484043 473037 469034 467028 465008 464997
      463989 461967 459958 457950 455942 455934 452918 451910
      450903 451896 451892 449889 444885 442882 443880 447879
      449881 456881 461883 468885 475887 481884 484882 484879
      486871 491871 494875 498879 503885 508889 513892 519897
      526896 529900 531909 532924 535931 541944 542949 543954
      544960 546963 554971 556975 558982 561988 562996 568013
 0.01 531703 523707 514711 509712 506714 501719 493720 488720
      483721 470729 465730 462729 453729 436732 432731 427732
      418733 411734 401735 391738 382742 369749 340765 312782
      298792 286800 280805 273810 261818 257820 252821 246827
      241830 238832 234831 229831 225833 216834 213820 213810
      214800 215790 218782 222776 228769 232762 236755 240748
      244740 248733 256729 261726 367661 373660 377660 388660
      399659 405656 409653 417647 428643 440639 452635 464631
      475627 484621 496618 499616
 0.01 529772 528759 524754 512752 506753 501752 493753 488756
      480759 478761 474762 462770 459773 456774 451775 448774
      446772 443766 444759 446756 444750 442746 440745 436746
      434749 423756 412753 409752 404752 399755 397762 398768
      400767 411765 419764 422763 426765 421772 415776 405773
      398774 399779 402781 400786 394789 389793 383797 382800
      384803 391805 399815 402820 406823 413825 415827 417831
      417838 415841 411842 407840 402839 400837 398839 399845
      401850 404854 406855 410855 413856 424864 430866 437867
      450865 455861 459859 463859 471858 477855 483854 486852
      491851 503850 506849 510846 513841 517833 520828 524812
      527796 528780 528774 529772
 0.25 539212 535206 530201 522199 518194 515187 514179 517174
      522174 528178 532181 538187 542189 540181 539176 541172
      544167 546161 545150 544143 541135 538128 533115 530100
      524087 522078 520070 513062 506051 503044 500039 498029
      497020 497001 497991 499985 487961 485958 485952 486945
      487929 490919 492913 496912 499914 502920 506924 510929
      515931 519934 521938 520942 517947 511952 510955 509960
      506965 505973 507980 510984 515989 519991 520987 523984
      525987 524995 526002 529008 530015 533033 539047 543062
      548074 560101
 0.25 504627 498633 489637 482639 475644 467644 461642 454641
      446643 427650 417655 411660 404665 399668 382675 363682
      358684 354687 347691 333700 320707 302714 287722 272730
      263739 256745 252751 244767 236777 233779 229782 226787
      224798 225803 225807 226811 229813 238815 246813 253810
      260806 267804 276799 282796 296786 306776 319767 333758
      350750 363742 378735 386731 394728 405725 415723 425721
      434718 442716 448717 468713 477712 486711 500708 508705
      516701 528696
 0.25 493220 493217 492216 490215 489215 487214 486212 485212
      484213 483214 483217 483218 484219 485221 486222 488222
      489222 491222 493220
 0.25 432792 432787 429787 424790 420794 418799 416807 415814
      418819 422819 423817 426810 427805 430798 432792
 0.50 507635 503636 501640 498643 497648 494651 491649 484647
      479649 475650 467649 462648 456645 447646 439648 428651
      421655 396674 361690 337708 323717 314722 306725 291731
      283735 277738 269744 264749 258755 253761 244774 240779
      235783 230790 229793 229798 234804 241807 250808 257803
      271797 279793 285788 297777 307769 314764 321761 338752
      353743 367736 382729 399723 418717 427714 435710 443708
      445708 449709 453709 458707 462706 467706 476706 484705
      501700 515695 522691 525685
 0.50 539086 539075 536065 535056 532046 530037 526031 523030
      523036 526044 528052 528059 527066 528072 529075 533082
      538088 539086
 1.00 511649 509643 506643 504645 502650 503658 505662 506665
      504670 496673 494675 489677 483674 479668 474659 468655
      460654 453651 445650 436652 428655 420658 413664 408669
      400676 393680 379691 367698 353708 347714 341720 330728
      316738 301745 291745 283748 272756 259765 254773 251780
      249790 249794 251797 257797 265794 273791 277786 283780
      289775 304766 331751 345742 355737 362734 375727 380725
      385724 388722 392721 457694 466688 472686 475688 480687
      486686 491683 495683 502684 508685 512681 512675 512670
      509661 511649
 1.50 472675 472666 470661 463658 455656 447656 443654 439655
      430659 421662 416665 413668 386689 379697 373704 360714
      353720 346726 342729 338731 330734 321739 313743 310746
      308749 317748 325747 334741 348734 359729 366728 374723
      381720 392717 402713 419706 439699 447695 454690 465682
      471678 472675
 1.50 284754 283754 281754 280755 282756 283755 284754
 1.50 281757 280756 278756 277757 278758 280757 281757
 2.00 469666 461661 458659 452659 442659 434663 427666 421667
      412673 396685 391688 388693 384702 381707 377711 377715
      382714 389713 395711 399708 405707 416703 420703 425702
      436697 445692 455686 462680 468673 469666
 3.00 460669 457666 454666 448664 440667 433671 427675 421680
      421682 424682 428682 433684 441686 446685 448682 452680
      456678 458675 460669

$$





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