Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 051026
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
525 AM EST MON DEC 05 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID DEC 05/1200 UTC THRU DEC 08/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN U.S...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TODAY. OVERALL EXPECT TO SEE A COMPLEX CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION...WITH
A FEW AREAS OF POSSIBLE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DEVELOPING. AS OF EARLY
MONDAY MORNING CURRENTLY HAVE A BROAD SWATH OF STEADY RAINFALL
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS DEVELOPING IN THE STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW. THIS INLAND PRECIPITATION IS
DISPLACED WELL NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT AND BETTER
INSTABILITY...ALTHOUGH DO NOTE SOME WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY.
EXPECT THIS AXIS OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION TO GENERALLY
MOVE EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL LA THIS MORNING AND TOWARDS CENTRAL
MS/AL BY THIS AFTERNOON. WOULD NOT EXPECT THIS RAINFALL BE TO BE
ALL THAT INTENSE GIVEN THE LACK OF INSTABILITY AS MENTIONED ABOVE.
HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TX
INTO CENTRAL LA AND SOUTHWEST MS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS MORNING
CONVECTION...AS RECENT RAP RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND RECENT
RADAR DOES SEEM TO SHOW AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY WITH THE
ACTIVITY STREAMING FROM EAST TEXAS TOWARDS CENTRAL LA. ALSO AT
LEAST A PORTION OF THIS SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS SEEN SEVERAL INCHES
OF RAIN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME RUNOFF
ISSUES SHOULD RATES GET HIGH ENOUGH. FURTHER EAST INTO AL WILL
JUST CARRY A MARGINAL RISK AS THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON ACTIVITY
SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT HEADS INTO THIS REGION GIVEN THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY.

EXPECT MORE INTENSE CONVECTION TO FOCUS CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST
NEAR THE WARM FRONT...WHICH WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
DAY. CAN ALREADY SEE THIS CONVECTION FORMING OFF THE TEXAS COAST
THIS MORNING. THE LATEST HRRR AND HIGH RES ARW APPEAR TO BE
HANDLING THIS ACTIVITY BEST AND SUGGEST HEAVY CONVECTION WILL
STREAM NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE FAR SOUTHEAST TX COAST AND INTO
SOUTHERN LA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY
LIFTS NORTH. IMPRESSIVE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WITH THIS
CONVECTION. LEANED OUR QPF TOWARDS THE ARW/HRRR WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. THIS DID RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
COASTAL LA FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WOULD ALSO EXPECT TO SEE
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE INCREASE FURTHER EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST
INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUGGEST THE PLUME OF MAX PRECIPITABLE WATER AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WILL FUNNEL INTO THE FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS MOISTURE PLUME IS THE RESULT OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
FLOW IN BETWEEN THE UPPER LOW TO THE WEST AND THE UPPER HIGH OVER
THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC. IN FACT ANTICIPATE PWAT VALUES TO SURPASS
2" ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA...WHICH WILL APPROACH
CLIMATOLOGICAL MAX VALUES. MEANWHILE...ALOFT THE FLOW WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER
JET. THUS WOULD APPEAR TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RATES. WILL NOT NECESSARILY
SEE A LOT OF BACKBUILDING CONVECTION...BUT EXPECTED WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE SHOULD RESULT IN SOME TRAINING POTENTIAL. THUS WHILE
OVERALL WPC QPF WAS A MULTI MODEL GLOBAL AND HIGH RES
BLEND...PREFERENCE FOR QPF WAS GIVEN TO THE WETTER MODELS ACROSS
THIS REGION...GENERALLY THE HRRR AND OTHER AVAILABLE HIGH RES
MODELS. A MULTI MODEL HIGH RES SIGNAL EXISTS FOR POCKETS OF 2-4"
FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA. THUS THE NEW 06Z WPC QPF
IS AN INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AS WE HEAD INTO TONIGHT AND THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO EJECT INTO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY EXPECT TO SEE ADDITIONAL CONVECTION FORM ALONG THE
COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN LA INTO MS...MOVING INTO AL AND GA
OVERNIGHT. COULD SEE SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER RATES WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. MEANWHILE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS
AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW PROGRESS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOME
WRAP AROUND RAIN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW FROM AR INTO THE
WESTERN OH/TN VALLEY. OVERALL THE TREND AMONGST ALL THE GUIDANCE
WAS FOR A SLIGHTLY FURTHER EAST LOW TRACK...THUS DID CUT BACK QPF
AMOUNTS SOME ACROSS THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD
TO COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/ROCKIES...

MULTIPLE PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY CURRENTLY OVER MT/WY WILL
MERGE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
CLOSED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER ND/MN BY TONIGHT. THE 0Z SUITE OF
MODELS HAVE ALL SHOWN QUITE A CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS RUNS ON HOW
THEY HANDLE THIS SYSTEM. THE TREND HAS BEEN TO CLOSE OFF THE LOW
FURTHER SOUTH...RESULTING IN A FURTHER SOUTH LOW AND MORE
PRECIPITATION OVER ND/MN. THIS TREND WAS SEEN IN ALL THE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE AS WELL AS THE 0Z GFS/NAM/UKMET. IT WOULD APPEAR THAT
THIS SYSTEM WAS VERY SENSITIVE TO THE MULTIPLE SUBTLE SHORTWAVES
INTERACTING...AND THAT RECENT OBSERVATIONS HAVE RESULTED IN THE
SOUTHWARD SHIFT IN THE MODELS. GIVEN THE APPARENT SENSITIVE NATURE
OF THIS SYSTEM...CAN NOT BE 100 PERCENT SURE THAT MODELS DO NOT
SHIFT A BIT BACK TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER GIVEN THE GOOD AGREEMENT
AMONGST BOTH HIGH RES AND GLOBAL MODELS...THOUGHT THE RIGHT COURSE
OF ACTION WAS TO MAKE A PRETTY BIG CHANGE FROM CONTINUITY AND
INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THIS REGION. WPC QPF THUS FOLLOWED
PRETTY CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE 0Z GFS/UKMET AND THE 0Z HIGH RES
ARW/NMMB AND NSSL WRF. THE OLD 12Z ECMWF WAS NOT USED...GIVEN IT
WAS AN OLDER PIECE OF GUIDANCE AND APPEARED TOO FAR NORTH GIVEN
THE RECENT CONSENSUS.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST TODAY WILL CONTINUE
THE MAINLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION THREAT OVER WESTERN WA/OR. OVERALL
MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM. THUS WPC
FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A GLOBAL AND HIGH RES CONSENSUS FOR QPF ACROSS
THIS REGION.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WESTERN U.S....

VIGOROUS 130+ KT 250 MB JET STREAK ALONG THE PAC NW COAST WILL
DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. THIS JET AND ATTENDANT EXIT
REGION FORCING WILL INDUCE HEIGHT FALLS AND THUS A
RE-AMPLIFICATION OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ARCTIC AIR WILL ACCOMPANY THE HEIGHT FALLS...AS
THE SURFACE FRONT DROPS SOUTH OF THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY 12Z WED.
THE PROGRESSIVE UPPER JET STREAK AND ASSOCIATED LOW-AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT TO MOD
OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED PCPN FROM THE NORTHERN CA-SOUTHERN OR
COASTAL AND CASCADE RANGES EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN
NV...THEN ACROSS THE WASATCH AND UINTAS MOUNTAINS IN UT...THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND NORTHERN FRONT RANGE...AND INTO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. AS THE STRONG...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS IN
FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...INCREASING LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY
FLOW AND UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE NORTH AND THE
DEVELOPING LOW ALONG THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR AN EXPANSION OF THE
PCPN (SNOW) INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF SOUTHWEST NE AND WESTERN KS
TUE INTO WED. OVERALL...THE MODELS WERE IN DECENT ACCORD WITH
RESPECT TO THE QPF...AND AS SUCH WPC WAS ABLE TO UTILIZE A BLEND
OF CONTINUITY (PREVIOUS QPF) WITH THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF. AS A
RESULT...A STRIPE OF 0.25-0.50" LIQUID-EQUIVALENT TOTALS WAS NOTED
FROM THE SAN JUANS-CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHEAST
CO...FAR SOUTHEAST WY...AND INTO WESTERN KS. PER THE AVAILABLE
HIGH-RES GUIDANCE
(INCLUDING THE NAM CONEST AND PARALLEL CONEST)...LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OVER 0.50" ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE 8KFT. FOR FURTHER
DETAILS REGARDING THE SNOWFALL POTENTIAL...PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSION.


ON DAY 3...ANOTHER UPPER JET STREAK APPROACHING FROM THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC LATE IN THE PERIOD WILL LEAD TO THE EASTWARD EXPANSION OF
DEEP-LAYER WAA FORCING AND PREDOMINANTLY W-E ORIENTED WARM
CONVEYOR BELT. AS THIS OCCURS...THE AXIS OF MAX PW WILL PUSH INTO
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CA...WITH PROJECTED PW VALUES OF 1-1.25" LATE
IN THE PERIOD (WED NIGHT) AVERAGING BETWEEN 1.5-2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL PER THE SREF AND GEFS. PCPN WILL BEGIN IN
EARNEST LATE ON DAY 3 (LATE WED-WED NIGHT)...AND AVERAGE NEAR
1.00" ALONG THE NORTHERN CA COASTAL RANGES AND CLOSER TO 0.50"
OVER THE NORTHERN SIERRAS. THE 00Z ECMWF SPED UP A BIT WITH THE
ONSET OF THE MORE APPRECIABLE PCPN...CLOSER TO WHAT THE MORE
CONSISTENT GFS HAD BEEN PORTRAYING OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS.
THEREFORE...FOR THE MOST PART WPC WAS ABLE TO UTILIZE A GFS-ECMWF
COMBINATION WITH THE QPF.


...WESTERN GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY (DAY 3)...

AS THE STRONG...ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK PUSHES ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS-MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING DAY 3...AN UPTICK IN
SOUTHWESTERLY ELEVATED LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL ENSUE ALONG THE WESTERN
GULF. THIS WILL BRIEFLY ALLOW A RETRIEVAL OF PW VALUES OF 1.0+
INCH FROM THE WESTERN GULF COAST NORTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AS THE SURFACE FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY MOVED OFFSHORE.
EXPECT A SWATH OF ANAFRONTAL RAINFALL ACROSS THESE AREAS AS THE
INCREASING WAA/MOIST ADVECTION OVERRIDES THE LOW LEVEL FRONT. THE
LATEST ECMWF REMAINED THE WETTEST SOLUTION AMONG THE 00Z
MODELS...THOUGH IT TOO HAS TRENDED SOMEWHAT DRIER COMPARED TO THE
PREVIOUS 2 RUNS. WPC CUT DOWN ON AMOUNTS FROM THE INHERITED
FORECAST (MAX TOTALS OF 0.50-1.0" IN A FAIRLY NARROW SWATH)...AS
THE EXPECTED RAPID PROGRESSION OF THE HEIGHT FALLS INTO THE
CENTRAL U.S. AND ANAFRONTAL NATURE OF THE RAIN (NEGLIGIBLE
INSTABILITY PER THE GFS/ECMWF) WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE HIGHER AMOUNTS.


...EASTERN U.S. (DAY 2)...

STUBBORN SOUTHERN STREAM CUTOFF LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN TX AND THE GULF COAST REGION WILL FINALLY
GET PUSH NORTHEASTWARD THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEPENING
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN U.S. THE WAVE WILL SHEAR WITH TIME AS IT
TRACKS THROUGH A MORE CONFLUENT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT...WHILE AT THE
SAME TIME THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE TN VALLEY EVENTUALLY GIVES WAY
TO A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE
TUE. BROAD WARM/MOIST ADVECTION WITH A RESURGENCE OF HIGHER
(ANOMALOUS) PWS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SOAKING RAINS
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...WITH AMOUNTS AVERAGING 0.50-1.0+
INCH...HEAVIEST LIKELY NEAR THE COAST GIVEN THE MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE (HIGHER PWS) AND EXPECTED STRONGER 850-700
MB MOISTURE FLUX.

CHENARD/HURLEY


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 507266 508258 508251 506239 501214 500208 497203 495199
      491196 488192 486185 483175 481170 480167 481163 480162
      478164 476162 471153 469150 464146 461143 457145 453148
      447148 439151 436153 435160 436166 435170 434171 429182
      419204 420207 419215 417223 414226 410229 405230 401232
      399237 400248 402254 403259 409266 414266 419269 440303
      443307 449309 459313 463312 467308 472300 478289 479282
      481276 483269 483265 486262 490262 495263 503266 507266
 0.01 526005 523995 517988 514985 515979 515961 516930 516914
      515894 514887 513881 510867 504849 500847 496843 500837
      503834 506831 507828 505825 505821 504813 499787 499779
      497774 496766 493762 489754 486750 484745 478735 476732
      475727 477717 476704 471695 468690 466684 462674 456668
      450662 443656 440653 438646 436642 431641 426644 420646
      416643 412642 407643 402645 394651 386656 383659 381660
      381663 380667 382670 386678 389683 387684 382685 378688
      361697 357701 353701 350700 344701 336705 330711 324719
      319728 312744 307751 300759 297765 292771 281785 279789
      275793 271795 274800 274807 273810 271810 268810 265812
      259819 254826 249833 247837 244841 241848 240858 241885
      246907 250913 255919 257924 257930 257943 257957 257963
      255968 255973 257976 265980 272987 274988 275992 276996
      279016 282027 284032 288033 295038 302040 307031 312024
      321008 324999 330989 334982 338973 341969 345967 353961
      359956 365950 370944 373938 376933 377929 377921 381910
      385898 387893 387888 390880 393870 395860 396855 396849
      397844 397837 396823 388802 384793 379785 374776 369765
      370762 372761 376759 383753 391750 396745 408744 414749
      419757 425763 431769 437777 440779 442781 443785 445790
      446799 464837 468846 472858 471865 469862 469859 465850
      463846 459847 458853 458860 461870 464883 456883 454884
      453887 449889 441894 438897 435901 429907 426909 426912
      436916 439919 436923 433928 431933 432938 435938 435942
      436945 441945 444943 449943 454943 458945 460947 460950
      457954 454962 450971 448976 450981 452984 456986
 0.01 456986 455992 453998 456006 461014 462019 462027 458035
      452042 450043 447042 445038 440038 436040 433041 427041
      419045 414051 410053 404053 402053 402049 401041 397049
      395048 396052 399055 392060 388062 384063 388070 383076
      389075 393079 394079 399078 402081 405088 407093 407097
      406100 401107 393111 390113 390117 393121 397123 397131
      397139 392146 394149 398150 402140 405130 410120 412116
      413110 415105 415097 417092 418086 422077 423074 425074
      429077 433086 432093 431097 428102 423105 423107 426110
      430111 433108 436106 439103 443099 442096 443082 445080
      447082 451085 453088 456088 458083 458079 460077 461079
      463082 468084 470089 467090 467092 468103 463104 458103
      453102 451102 451105 456111 461113 463117 466127 470135
      470138 472140 475142 481149 485153 489155 492155 495151
      500143 495137 488130 482125 475117 477108 484100 485088
      484082 484074 485067 489066 493065 496061 506048 509044
      510036 512030 514027 518022 521015 524010 526005
 0.01 455850 454847 456845 454842 454840 452843 453845 451848
      449850 450853 451855 451857 453855 453852 455850 455850
 0.01 435030 435028 433023 434018 434016 432014 430014 427015
      423015 421015 421018 423020 425023 426025 430028 431028
      433030 435030
 0.01 428788 427784 427781 424782 422784 420785 419787 417790
      416793 416797 417802 418802 422801 423799 424796 425794
      426791 428788
 0.25 496249 496241 497233 495228 491226 484231 476234 472234
      470230 472218 469215 464214 455214 451213 445213 437216
      430219 426221 424223 425225 426229 425233 422237 420242
      422245 425249 430252 436254 441254 450254 458250 462249
      467251 473253 477253 481251 484248 489248 494250 496249
 0.25 510019 511010 509003 507998 503993 497985 493975 495959
      498947 497940 495934 492932 487932 479928 477929 476933
      475939 473955 469967 467979 466987 467994 472005 475009
      478014 483023 486035 491035 495033 502027 510019
 0.25 378723 379717 377712 374710 370711 364715 356719 352721
      348722 340721 333726 328731 319744 315751 311758 304772
      300779 296784 289789 286791 285795 293796 296797 294801
      288816 285821 279823 274828 269835 264842 261848 260856
      262866 268880 275895 277903 277914 277929 273937 271945
      273954 276957 281957 290958 295964 300968 307973 309974
      313973 316971 319971 323966 330961 341952 346947 352943
      355941 358937 361929 368914 371906 374896 378879 383861
      385852 384843 376840 375833 375821 371820 370816 370807
      369802 367798 366793 364791 360787 358783 357774 357764
      359757 363749 373738 377729 378723
 0.25 314998 314994 313991 312989 308988 304989 303992 302994
      301998 303000 304003 306005 309005 311003 313000 314998
 0.50 494241 494239 494238 493235 492235 491234 490234 489235
      489236 489239 490242 492243 493243 493242 494241
 0.50 504014 504008 502005 498999 495993 491987 488981 487972
      487957 484954 483957 480959 474974 472980 471986 471991
      475997 478002 484007 487012 488021 488027 491028 499018
      504014
 0.50 463223 463220 461218 456218 447217 442217 438218 432222
      430225 431231 434239 438242 443244 448245 452243 458237
      456234 453233 451233 451230 454226 458226 462225 463223
 0.50 366737 366732 363730 358727 341730 335733 329737 320746
      317751 314758 309771 304784 305790 303797 292822 275841
      272847 271855 272862 275869 281881 283898 284907 284917
      282926 280932 277938 276942 277947 288953 295955 297958
      300959 312953 317949 321943 325939 328933 332927 333924
      337925 340927 339930 335936 332943 335945 340943 345940
      350935 353929 355921 360916 364910 366904 369896 371890
      370882 365866 363859 364850 366843 366835 363829 362818
      359811 357803 353787 353771 354763 355755 362745 364741
      366737
 1.00 352746 353742 351739 346738 337743 330745 325749 322752
      319757 312779 310791 307801 303814 302819 300826 298830
      295834 291837 285837 282839 279845 278852 280857 285860
      288866 292876 292880 291887 289893 288899 287914 287921
      285927 281936 280940 281943 285947 288947 294945 299945
      303948 308946 312943 319934 329915 335906 339895 341888
      343884 346871 348858 348850 347842 345828 343812 341806
      340800 341788 346763 352746
 1.00 320881 320879 320877 319876 318876 317877 317879 316881
      316883 314883 314884 313886 312888 312890 313890 315890
      316889 318889 319888 319885 319883 320882 320881
 1.50 342757 341752 336751 330752 326754 318772 314782 313788
      314795 308816 301835 295841 285845 283849 285854 291861
      294870 298882 299887 296891 292894 290899 288922 284933
      285937 290941 294939 297935 299929 301926 304922 308919
      313920 314924 314930 318926 323918 329896 331886 334876
      337865 339860 340856 339852 334842 334828 333813 331799
      331791 332787 334776 340766 342757
 1.50 323877 323868 319864 317864 316866 314871 310876 307881
      303886 302888 304891 306897 309898 313896 318894 321890
      323883 323877
 2.00 338762 337760 333759 331757 329759 327762 326764 329765
      329766 327769 328772 331770 333768 334767 337764 338762
 2.00 328777 328775 326771 323773 321776 320778 319780 317783
      316785 317787 319790 321793 323795 324792 326789 327786
      328783 328779 328777
 2.00 328814 326804 323795 319798 317801 315809 312818 309824
      306833 304836 301838 288847 289852 291855 294864 298872
      302878 305878 307874 311867 313858 317851 322846 325838
      327828 328818 328814
 2.00 317907 318903 317900 311900 309904 305901 301898 297897
      293899 291904 289916 289924 288929 286934 288937 293936
      295931 299922 306915 309911 315911 317907
 3.00 317834 318830 315830 311834 308838 303842 298844 294847
      296853 302855 301859 303859 305854 309849 312845 315839
      317834
 3.00 299914 299912 299910 299908 299907 297906 296906 295905
      295906 293907 293908 292910 292912 291914 291916 291918
      291920 292921 294921 295920 296920 297918 298916 299914
      299914

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 554843 548822 546816 544813 540807 531771 527763 521755
      517750 513743 504728 492726 475724 471723 469720 465714
      461708 457704 447695 444695 441697 435704 428709 421703
      419700 417695 414686 413680 411677 410673 407672 400668
      394670 388675 385682 378692 373697 366701 360705 351709
      342715 337720 317740 309754 301766 294770 287770 279777
      273783 271792 266798 263804 258811 253815 248816 245814
      240811 233816 229822 226829 225837 224851 224862 225865
      229866 235868 240865 252858 259861 266866 270869 279865
      283863 289863 294862 297864 307855 310853 314852 321854
      327855 332860 337863 341868 344871 346875 348879 348885
      349891 351896 353899 355901 358901 362899 367899 371901
      379906 384906 388904 392904 396902 401899 407894 411890
      414883 418877 421861 422858 425853 430848 434840 436831
      438826 440825 443827 446827 450829 453833 455839 453843
      450845 446852 443856 439856 432857 429857 427860 429866
      432866 436868 443868 447870 445875 443876 440880 440884
      445887 449889 453889 458889 461892 458903 466919 467933
      467939 466944 462949 460955 459959 458964 459969 460974
      463981 467987 478998 483003 486005 490006 494008 498008
      505004 512999 518994 526981 530976 533968 538954 543935
      546925 548912 551901 553889 553865 554843
 0.01 456251 457246 455243 451240 449237 449233 452227 450216
      452210 453202 461189 463186 465181 465176 465169 464161
      463155 462148 460139 461134 459131 455129 451132 449133
      447131 446126 450118 450113 449110 446104 445100 445095
      443090 438088 435092 430101 428106 428110 425112 421111
      418106 415101 413090 413083 416077 420072 425069 428068
      428065 431058 432052 433045 433037 430030 424018 422011
      422003 421997 421989 419984 416981 412980 409982 405981
      401981 400979 394975 391972 387970 384970 381972 378974
      378985 376991 372005 374015 378025 383038 389047 369050
      362051 358053 356055 357057 360061 358066 360071 361077
      359080 357080 352081 350084 350091 355093 362094 367092
      372089 378088 379093 377095 377101 380095 385093 399095
      403099 400104 396106 393109 391107 387109 386111 383113
      379114 376121 375124 375127 376130 378129 380127 382129
      384131 388128 391124 396122 398122 400126 397132 396137
      399142 396147 393154 392161 391169 393174 397180 403181
      406180 409181 412181 414184 414188 412190 411196 401199
      396199 391199 386202 386205 396212 406220 408224 407228
      405229 402229 395227 390229 390233 394236 397240 402242
      409250 419257 426259 431259 443257 450254 456251
 0.01 441202 441200 439198 438197 438194 437192 436191 436189
      435187 434186 432188 432190 431193 431195 432198 434200
      434201 435203 437203 437204 438206 440205 440204 441202
 0.01 420298 419291 416286 414281 409276 404273 398269 393268
      387267 382268 376269 367276 366281 370286 375289 382291
      387294 394297 408301 413302 419300 420298
 0.01 438168 437163 433162 430157 431152 429147 430140 435131
      440126 440122 438119 434121 432124 429127 428134 426146
      426151 427156 428161 431166 434169 438168
 0.01 436114 435112 433112 432114 433116 434116 436114
 0.01 406137 406135 406133 405131 403132 403135 403137 404139
      406137
 0.01 351119 351117 349114 347114 345114 347116 347118 349119
      350119 351119
 0.01 343103 343102 341102 343103 343103
 0.25 543882 544871 544861 543852 542845 538830 533819 528807
      523799 518796 514793 510789 506788 502789 502793 504800
      509809 515818 517828 515835 508844 500849 493850 488848
      480844 474842 471845 470851 470858 472864 471874 473881
      477885 483886 489885 494886 496889 499894 498902 494916
      493924 491931 489935 486939 483942 477944 474949 472954
      471960 472964 473965 481970 485973 490976 494977 499977
      508978 514975 515971 517952 524952 528947 531942 535933
      537925 538917 540904 543882
 0.25 434227 435225 434223 432222 431222 429222 427223 425224
      424224 425227 426228 428229 429229 431229 432229 433228
      434227
 0.25 433776 430759 429754 427749 414726 407715 404700 402689
      399683 394684 389687 382697 374704 351716 345719 340722
      332729 323738 320742 317747 314761 310770 299792 300797
      304800 315798 321798 325803 328810 327817 324823 323830
      328833 332834 344837 348836 350834 353828 355827 355831
      353837 358844 361850 366853 371864 374867 378867 384866
      391858 400851 407843 410835 414831 419822 423815 425809
      427796 429789 431786 433776
 0.25 414059 415050 411042 408039 405038 401039 399041 395050
      394054 393059 391062 388063 385064 386068 384071 380071
      375065 370061 367062 366065 370070 373077 375081 377083
      380082 382078 384076 388077 390080 393080 405072 410069
      412067 414061 414059
 0.25 299832 298826 296821 291814 290807 289801 290795 288795
      284796 283800 282811 280816 278819 270824 263830 260834
      259830 254830 251832 247835 244838 244846 238854 237855
      239857 243855 252851 260846 264844 270843 282843 292839
      297836 299832
 0.50 527886 528879 527874 523865 520860 515853 513853 511856
      513866 515876 514889 512897 508904 504910 501919 499926
      497937 497942 500944 505938 510932 515926 519921 522913
      525905 527894 527886
 0.50 489874 489873 488871 486871 484871 483871 481871 480872
      479873 478874 477875 478876 478877 479877 481878 483878
      484877 486876 488874 489874 489874
 0.50 482857 482854 480853 478854 477854 476855 475857 475858
      477858 479858 480858 482857 482857
 0.50 420780 419773 417768 412760 406750 402740 400733 400725
      399714 397705 396699 392695 389698 385703 381706 372710
      361714 352718 342724 337730 334734 330738 324740 322743
      320755 318760 317764 312774 310784 309788 311790 316789
      326787 330788 335789 341797 343799 344803 344809 344816
      344820 345822 349817 351812 354808 359805 364805 367807
      369811 367816 364820 364823 368827 367833 370836 380835
      385831 388828 395822 404808 402801 402795 406785 414784
      418782 420780
 0.50 373066 371065 369065 369066 371068 373066
 0.50 287825 288822 287820 285820 284821 284823 283825 283827
      283829 284829 285828 287827 287825
 1.00 381761 381756 380754 376749 374735 372729 368727 366728
      364731 362731 362728 363723 361721 356720 345726 338735
      333745 321766 319772 319777 321779 325779 332777 339775
      342772 345767 349762 353758 354751 356749 359750 359756
      356770 355777 356786 361785 364780 365777 368777 372779
      376779 379778 381774 381761
 1.50 352740 352733 348730 345732 343737 339746 335754 330761
      325769 326771 330773 338769 340766 343761 346754 350745
      352740

24HR QP VT 08/12Z
 0.01 555914 554884 553856 550830 547806 546791 543779 540755
      535735 533726 531722 530714 528710 526699 525693 522688
      521681 520676 519671 517668 510647 503631 500630 497631
      494640 494652 495663 499670 502682 504686 505694 500698
      494703 489704 485707 484712 485719 487728 494751 499768
      506790 511808 513818 515825 515832 516845 513859 511880
      504896 500903 496906 492906 488906 487909 484919 474934
      471941 469950 467961 468965 469968 472972 476974 482979
      487997 491005 497008 506009 513011 519015 522018 527018
      533015 536005 536992 540983 542979 544974 546964 549955
      550949 551944 553929 554919 555914
 0.01 480241 479233 478230 474229 471230 468227 466221 468217
      472216 478215 481211 479208 476206 475204 471203 465206
      462207 459206 456200 451185 448178 442176 440177 436175
      430171 425166 421161 417157 412153 405151 402151 399154
      397156 396160 394164 392167 387171 386176 387179 391185
      392189 389191 381188 375185 369182 362183 359185 363191
      366192 369195 373200 377206 379213 377216 373215 367210
      362206 359206 357207 363236 360257 360263 364268 370273
      372280 374285 381290 438313 454319 459319 464315 468308
      468301 465294 460287 455282 450276 446272 443269 441265
      448252 453246 459245 472244 477244 480241
 0.01 486861 485849 481835 477825 475820 471818 464822 462822
      462819 463814 462801 463795 462787 460783 458781 454779
      450780 446783 445786 445793 444799 440803 436804 433804
      429806 426808 427803 430797 430790 431786 429783 431777
      434775 434782 433787 433791 436793 437791 437787 438782
      438776 441767 447746 448740 445737 441737 440734 441731
      446725 449722 451721 454723 462728 466730 470728 471721
      470716 465710 462706 459704 450700 441698 433696 424694
      420694 417693 408691 400690 389692 378695 368702 361709
      339735 335742 335747 336754 341756 345754 354749 368738
      371736 376733 383729 392724 397723 403722 413720 427717
      431719 432722 430723 426726 421728 418731 414732 410735
      425736 428736 430738 432741 432745 430747 430751 428755
      426765 424777 422786 417795 407812 407815 404820 401830
      400834 399840 400843 402841 407834 410828 411824 414819
      417817 421815 424816 423821 422828 422829 425829 431824
      433822 434825 434833 435837 437835 444830 447829 449831
      448836 444847 441850 435851 426836 419841 416850 416859
      417863 414865 412868 410873 406880 403882 400880 399874
      401863 401856 401853 399852 395853 394857 391862 387865
      385865 382863 377864 374865 372866 370864 377845 379835
      380829 379824 377819 375816 371815 369818 366822 365829
      361837 350852 337866 326877 318883 312888 306905 303908
      298910 291909 282907 273904 267894 265888 265880 265874
      267870 269859 273838 273834 271829 265823 259826 252831
      249833 245836 242841 239851 238861 235882 233908 233933
      234944 235950 236955 239963 240966 243967 247969 249975
      257977 262979 267979 273979 277978 281983 285983 292975
      299972 307969 314964 320960 327956 330952 334950
 0.01 334950 355956 361958 363963 362978 364984 363993 366005
      370016 373030 372039 369043 368050 369057 374068 376073
      377076 377080 381081 386077 397078 404070 407065 408061
      409059 414055 419053 422048 422041 423032 421025 422008
      422999 421992 421978 419970 418967 419964 423952 423934
      424928 424919 423888 424879 429876 438871 443870 448867
      452865 455859 458852 459845 461847 461852 460859 458865
      458873 457891 457900 458910 462912 467910 471905 473899
      478887 482873 484865 486861
 0.01 424746 423744 423742 421742 420742 418745 416745 417748
      419750 420749 422749 424746 424746
 0.01 410784 408782 403783 396788 389794 383800 378807 377812
      378814 380814 384809 388801 393796 402790 405788 408787
      410784
 0.01 385070 385068 385065 384063 382063 380061 379060 377062
      377064 378067 380069 381072 383072 385070
 0.01 283794 282787 279784 270781 265779 261782 254787 248796
      245799 244805 245807 248807 251806 253811 257814 261816
      268815 271811 271808 270804 271802 276800 280798 283794
 0.01 270968 268968 266968 265967 263968 265969 266969 268969
      270968
 0.25 520795 519777 517758 515741 512728 510721 507716 503713
      500714 498716 497723 499729 504741 509753 513765 516780
      517788 519795 520795
 0.25 475847 474842 473835 471832 468831 466835 465841 465849
      464854 464861 466868 468868 471865 472860 474855 475849
      475847
 0.25 468893 468892 466891 465893 464895 464898 465898 467898
      468895 468894 468893
 0.25 424285 423271 423265 424256 425240 422229 418217 414212
      407212 398205 389199 384195 379194 378197 379199 381204
      388214 392218 393221 390221 384223 381226 376227 374228
      373232 373244 375258 376265 378269 385279 387283 392286
      404290 410291 414290 419289 423285 424285
 0.25 391709 391704 389701 387700 384701 383704 381706 380709
      379711 380716 382718 384718 388716 389715 391711 391709
 0.25 388949 386947 384946 382947 382949 382950 383952 384954
      386956 387956 387954 386952 386951 388950 388949
 0.25 335904 334898 330895 325893 322896 316906 311916 306925
      299934 295937 291937 290932 292927 294920 291917 288917
      284918 281921 277925 274930 272935 271941 270949 273951
      279950 283950 285953 290962 292964 296963 301960 305958
      309954 316945 328928 335905 335904
 0.50 413274 414266 412257 407245 408242 411241 413240 415236
      414229 409224 396225 390225 387226 384230 380233 378239
      378247 379254 382261 386266 393270 401272 406275 410276
      413274 413274
 0.50 396210 395209 394207 392206 390206 392208 394207 394209
      395210 396210
 0.50 326911 326904 322904 321907 316918 312928 308934 305938
      294943 290947 290954 294956 299954 305952 309949 316940
      322930 324924 325917 326911
 0.50 290922 288919 284922 282925 279929 277932 275935 274941
      276946 279945 282941 285937 286933 287929 289924 290922
 1.00 398257 399255 398255 398253 397252 396250 395249 394249
      392247 391246 389246 387246 386247 386249 386251 386252
      387254 387255 389257 391258 392259 394259 396259 398257
      398257
 1.00 400232 399232 398232 399232 400232 400232

$$




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