Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 220820
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
315 AM EST WED NOV 22 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 22/1200 UTC THRU NOV 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE
TROUGH APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP
PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PORTIONS OF WA AND OR DURING DAY 1. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

THE CURRENT SHOT OF DEEPER ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
CLEAR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE FIRST
PART OF DAY 1. HOWEVER...THE MOST RECENT IR IMAGES SHOWED THE NEXT
SLUG MOISTURE RIDING NORTHWARD FROM NEAR 32N 133W...WHERE THE
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.50
AND 2.00 INCHES. THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE UPSLOPE
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... WITH RAINFALL RATES
INCREASING AFTER 23/00Z...AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THERE WAS A
MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR HOURLY RAINFALL RATES TO INCREASE TO 0.50
INCHES OR GREATER IN THE 23/06Z TO 23/12Z TIME FRAME...AS A 40
KNOT LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
ACROSS WESTERN WA.

THE INCREASED MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
LOCAL 3.00 TO 4.00 INCH QPF AMOUNTS CENTERED ON THE WA OLYMPIC
RANGE (WHICH IS FAVORED IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW REGIME). SINCE THIS
AREAS HAS SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...THE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL RAISES THE POTENTIAL FOR ROCK SLIDES AND LAND
SLIDES IN FAVORED LOCATIONS. A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS PLACED HERE
FOR DAY 1 TO ACCOUNT FOR THE ELEVATED FLOOD THREAT.

THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALSO TARGETS THE WA CASCADES...WHERE
THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES OF QPF...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTHERN WA CASCADES. SNOW LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED
ACROSS THE WA CASCADES...SO ALMOST ALL OF THE QPF IS EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE FORM OF RAINFALL. WITH THIS IN MIND...A MARGINAL RISK
WAS EXTENDED HERE TO COVER THE FLOOD THREAT.

FINALLY...THE MOISTURE PLUME IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS ROBUST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...BUT THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW
AND SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE THE MOST OF THE
MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN. MOST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATED THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL 0.75/1.00 INCH QPF AMOUNTS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS IN ID...AS WELL AS THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE.


...GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN THE FAST MID LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES WILL HELP PROMOTE LAKE EFFECT CIRCULATIONS THAT
PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON DAY 1.
THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SETUP...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF. THE
00Z NAM/NBM WERE USED TO BETTER DELINEATE LAKE EFFECT QPF AMOUNTS.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING
FROM WEST CENTRAL CANADA TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL FOCUS
MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN TO PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS
EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN ND ACROSS MN INTO WI/UP OF MI. BEHIND THE
SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL TROUGH...THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW BECOMES
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR LAKE EFFECT CIRCULATIONS TO DEVELOP. THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW CROSSES THE SHORT AXES OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...WHICH
LIMITS THE FETCH...AND QPF AMOUNTS. LOCAL 0.10 TO 0.20 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS.


...NEW ENGLAND...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT CROSSING THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES ON DAY 1 AIDS IN DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE THAT TRACKS OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. AHEAD OF THE
MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS MOISTURE AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY TO FEEDS LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY QPF AMOUNTS. WHILE THERE IS
STILL SOME SPREAD ON HOW FAR OFFSHORE THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS WHEN
IT PASSES NEW ENGLAND...THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE PATH
OF THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS. THEREFORE...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

CONVECTION FORMING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSING THE MID
ATLANTIC CROSS EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF NC BEFORE MOVING NORTHEAST
WITH THE SHORT WAVE...AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMING ON A FRONT
BOUNDARY. THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST
OF THE MA COAST BEFORE 23/00Z. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW...AND THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING NEW ENGLAND...A 25 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN 23/12Z AND 23/18Z...DURING THE BEST
MID LEVEL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION FORMING IN THE AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS A PORTION
OF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. WHILE URBAN FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR THERE...THE THREAT FOR MORE ORGANIZED
FLASH FLOOD SEEMS LIMITED BY INSTABILITY.

AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT CROSSES
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...THE LEVEL INFLOW BACKS FOR A TIME. THIS
ALLOW FOR BETTER LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...AS DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS
AUGMENTED IN THE RIGHT READ QUADRANT OF A 150 KNOT JET STREAK
MOVING OVER WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND QUEBEC. THE ENHANCED LIFT
COULD ALLOW FOR A STRIPE OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
DOWNEAST ME. THESE NUMBER ARE CLOSE TO THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES...SO THERE COULD BE A LOW END FLASH FLOOD
THREAT...MAINLY AFTER 22/18Z. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO END AFTER
23/00Z...AS THE BEST LIFT AND INSTABILITY EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES.


...FL...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF A
SLOW MOVING LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE BIG BEND OF FL LATE ON
DAY 1. AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS...A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW TRANSPORTS DEEP MOISTURE ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD THE BIG BEND OF FL...WHERE CONVECTION
ALONG THE FRONT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR THE MOST
PART...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE
HIGHEST QPF...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO EARLY ON DAY
1 DEEPENS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF POSITIVELY TILTED LONG
WAVE TROUGH...ALLOWING THE SURFACE LOW TO DEEPEN AS IT APPROACHES
THE FL BIG BEND AFTER 23/00Z. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE LOW BACKS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SURFACE LOW...AND THE 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES 1.75
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT
BETWEEN 23/06Z AND 23/12Z. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND DEEP MOISTURE
WILL FEED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF OVER THE FL BIG BEND AREA...MAINLY IN THE 23/06Z TO 23/12Z
TIME FRAME.



DAYS 2/3...

WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/UKMET.


...NORTHWEST...

THE UPPER TROUGH THAT WAS DRIVING THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL EJECT ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS TO THE
GREAT LAKES THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
LOWER SNOW LEVELS AND INCREASING NVA WITH TIME WILL BEGIN TO
SUPPRESS PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT...DESPITE GREATER THAN TWO
INCH QPF IN THE NORTHERN CASCADES...NO AREA WAS OUTLINED ON THE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR DAY 2 (12Z THU-12Z FRI). THE NEXT
LOW PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA APPROACHES THE
NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY NIGHT.


...GREAT LAKES...

THE EJECTING WAVE FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF THE
LOW...AS WELL AS DEFORMATION ON THE BACK/NORTHWEST
SIDE...CONTINUES TO BE PROGGED NORTH OF THE U.S. BORDER.
THEREFORE...MOST OF THE QPF WAS CONCENTRATED IN CANADA...WITH
LIGHT AMOUNTS EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE LAKE SUPERIOR REGION IN THE
AREA OF STRONGEST MID-UPPER LEVEL PVA.


...SOUTHEAST/FLORIDA...

A WEAK LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY
AND DRIFT EAST OVER THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
DEVELOPING FRONTAL ZONE AND FAVORABLE JET DYNAMICS IN THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK SHOULD LEAD TO A
CORRIDOR OF RAIN FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN FL TO FAR SOUTHEASTERN GA. 1.5 INCH
PW IS 1.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. A RESERVOIR OF
MARGINAL-MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SURFACE
FRONT SUGGESTS CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH A PATTERN OF
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
MAXIMIZED FOR LONGER DURATION. 00Z GFS/ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH PLACEMENT OF MAXIMUM RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN FL. CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK IS SUSPECTED...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED INGREDIENTS DO
PORTEND A HEAVY RAINFALL SITUATION. A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS INTRODUCED FOR NORTHERN FL FOR DAY 2 (12Z THU-12Z
FRI). THE LOW SHIFTS NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...TAKING THE RAINFALL MAX
OUT TO SEA...THOUGH NOT FAR OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.


HAYES/JACKSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 479617 487623 493632 496636 498644 500652 500659 498674
      498678 496679 494684 486694 483698 483701 483705 484713
      481718 478724 475728 467735 458741 453743 449747 445751
      441754 438758 443762 436766 434771 430768 427765 422766
      417767 415762 416757 419754 419745 417744 415746 411750
      407753 396757 391759 386763 377767 368773 363776 358777
      355777 355774 354768 355764 354760 349759 342759 337759
      327756 319752 315749 313744 311736 311728 312723 315717
      316714 319710 325701 333693 339687 350681 354677 355671
      363663
 0.01 466331 473329 477326 486318 494308 498304 501299 505294
      510289 517278 527247 532231 535223 536211 538199 538188
      537181 535174 528164 520154 511146 505140 500138 490130
      481122 476122 471124 466129 461131 459132 455132 447131
      442132 437135 434142 433148 433157 435163 435173 433180
      434187 436194 438201 443206 447205 451200 454195 456193
      458197 455205 454209 452211 447213 443213 437210 435212
      430212 428211 426214 422221 413216 395229 386237 378246
      371256 366260 362265 354274 354279 358284 358285 366287
      368289 371289 377288 382285 392278 398275 403273 414268
      419266 426264 436260 439260 441262 443269 444278 447284
      452289 449294 444299 441306 439307 438312 437316 438319
 0.01 538807 538798 537787 534783 530780 526778 523773 518774
      512773 508772 505775 501778 497782 494787 492793 489798
      488801 488805 489814 489819 488823 486830 484834 479837
      474838 469835 468829 467821 468814 469811 469808 469804
      467804 465807 463813 461812 459809 462803 464798 466792
      466783 465779 463779 462783 462788 458789 454788 452789
      451793 449799 447801 446800 440798 440801 440804 437805
      433807 429809 428815 435823 438826 443829 447831 452835
      455839 454842 451838 449840 444843 442846 426860 419859
      419863 421863 423865 426864 432864 436870 439873 443876
      451882 457875 460870 462871 463875 464883 464886 463890
      450891 448891 446894 444899 443905 445911 447918 449922
      451927 454930 457933 460939 460947 462950 462955 466967
      472977 475982 477989 481002 483007 486011 497026 502037
      505052 508058 513059 519049 521043 522033 522025 521018
      518005 515993 515983 514977 510965 509961 509956 509945
      509936 507929 505924 502919 494914 490911 486910 482909
      480904 482900 482894 485888 489884 496883 500882 504878
      506871 506862 504857 500852 503845 509844 511849 516849
      521848 525845 529841 532835 535821 538807
 0.01 456110 456102 455096 453092 447091 441090 436091 433092
      430088 424089 425093 427098 426103 424104 422106 421114
      422122 425125 429123 431118 433115 435116 441116 444118
      444121 448119 454112 456110
 0.01 431788 429785 426788 423791 419794 414795 413798 413805
      415809 417812 421811 424806 426803 429798 430793 431788
      431788
 0.01 416064 415059 411057 404053 395053 391057 393059 391064
      394064 397062 402060 405063 402065 399067 401070 406072
      408077 413073 413071 414066 416064
 0.01 404792 401788 398788 396791 395793 391793 389792 388794
      384797 381802 378807 378812 384809 387808 390803 395798
      400797 404792
 0.01 328775 327764 326762 323760 314761 310764 305769 302776
      294785 291784 289782 286780 282781 270784 260792 251800
      248802 248806 249811 251812 264817 270825 264824 258822
      247815 242812 239811 236812 234815 234819 235829 236837
      235846 233860 231876 230882 227889 227897 228904 231920
      232928 232937 232957 233965 236969 241974 247976 255976
      262975 266974 268972 273967 276966 276963 279956 284942
      286935 286925 282909 281892 282883 287879 291874 294868
      297862 302857 306853 311848 312845 312841 314838 314833
      316817 317809 317799 323788 327781 328775
 0.01 288814 286811 282809 278808 273810 269812 272816 272820
      271823 274824 278824 282823 286821 288816 288814
 0.25 519265 519258 518250 517243 515237 511224 506214 500204
      491200 489199 487199 483202 473206 469208 463208 459210
      456214 450217 445217 442217 444223 447227 450229 449232
      445231 443232 439235 432241 421236 417233 413232 412230
      410227 408228 405233 400232 396236 393239 391246 386249
      382254 376263 368271 365275 364280 367283 371283 376281
      384275 393269 400264 409259 413256 418254 430255 438250
      447248 453248 460251 468255 477258 481258 484260 487264
      494273 498278 502280 506279 510275 515270 519265
 0.25 522189 523185 523181 520175 514167 505161 502161 500163
      497164 495162 481151 471150 467149 464152 456157 450157
      446159 442160 443166 446169 449175 451180 455182 457184
      461181 462176 461173 460167 461164 464165 469167 479172
      486178 492180 497179 501181 504184 508188 514191 519191
      522189
 0.25 503252 502251 501248 499247 499248 499249 500251 500252
      502253 503252
 0.25 490654 489645 487637 486632 481630 472629 462632 452636
      444639 434643 422647 410650 399655 390658 381665 372671
      366678 358685 353693 346701 339707 333715 331724 330732
      333738 337740 342741 349736 353737 351741 352746 356748
      364744 370741 374740 378740 382742 387744 390744 399738
      409733 416728 420725 424721 431714 444700 452693 461687
      478676 486666 489660 490654
 0.25 489234 489231 488229 487227 487225 486225 484224 483223
      481223 479223 479226 480228 480229 481231 481233 483233
      484234 486233 487233 488232 489234 489234
 0.25 496151 495145 492140 487134 483130 478129 473130 470135
      469140 472142 478143 485145 490147 494151 496151
 0.25 455228 455226 453224 452225 451227 451230 452231 453230
      454229 455228
 0.25 444111 444108 442106 440105 439105 437106 435107 435108
      434109 435111 437111 438111 440111 442111 443111 444111
 0.25 310792 309787 305786 302788 299791 296794 294797 293803
      295807 298810 303808 305804 307801 308797 310792
 0.25 297840 296832 294829 289830 284830 280832 273834 258831
      253834 251837 250843 248850 245856 242861 239869 236904
      235914 236924 236944 237954 238962 241967 245970 250969
      255969 257967 262961 266955 268948 274935 275926 275917
      273908 273900 273892 275884 285873 289868 292862 296850
      297840
 0.25 285794 282792 278793 275794 271795 269796 266797 262797
      262801 265802 267803 270802 272801 274801 277801 279800
      283798 284796 285794
 0.25 244821 244819 243817 242816 240816 239816 237818 237820
      238822 239822 241822 243822 244821
 0.50 514264 516257 516250 514240 510231 507224 504215 499207
      493207 488203 485205 480204 475210 473215 473219 477221
      480220 487224 490223 492227 492233 494238 498243 504251
      505255 504260 500255 496247 492240 489237 484238 481236
      480232 477228 473228 459232 445234 441236 439240 435248
      441247 448244 455242 463242 477251 481252 486255 490263
      495270 500275 503277 505276 508270 512266 514264
 0.50 485643 483636 480634 476633 471634 460637 451641 442645
      432648 414653 394659 387663 379670 358698 349704 342710
      338717 337723 337726 339729 341733 344735 355733 358734
      358736 356739 358742 362739 369733 371729 376727 393722
      398720 403720 405725 409727 422715 436703 440700 442696
      448688 455682 461675 475664 480659 483654 484648 485643
 0.50 490168 489165 488162 487159 484157 482155 479153 478157
      478161 480164 483165 484168 486169 489170 490168
 0.50 489139 488136 486133 484132 483133 479134 476134 474135
      472137 472139 475140 479140 480139 483140 484141 487141
      489139
 0.50 469223 471218 470214 467212 463211 460212 458215 457217
      454218 455223 457224 460226 463226 465225 468225 469223
 0.50 472161 473158 472157 471155 470155 468156 468157 468159
      468160 470162 471161 472161
 0.50 425244 425242 424240 423239 423238 422238 421238 419238
      418237 416237 414238 413241 415243 416244 418244 420245
      422245 423245 425244
 0.50 413248 409246 404247 395252 387257 380264 374271 370273
      367278 372280 376278 384273 392267 399262 406255 413248
 0.50 306795 307793 306791 304791 302792 301794 299796 298798
      298799 297800 298802 298803 300804 301802 303800 305798
      305797 306795 306795
 0.50 294843 293840 290838 286838 284836 272839 264839 262840
      261836 258836 257838 255844 250858 246863 243869 242887
      242905 240921 240940 240949 240959 241966 244968 248968
      254966 257958 258951 260943 266913 269895 270888 273882
      282872 287867 289862 294843
 1.00 512247 509237 506233 504228 504223 502217 501213 498210
      494211 492211 489209 479208 479213 480218 488221 491220
      493225 495236 497240 501243 508249 511249 512247
 1.00 503273 504270 504268 502265 500258 497252 494247 492242
      489239 485240 485246 486248 490255 492261 495266 499270
      503273
 1.00 484245 482242 481239 480236 479233 476230 473232 471233
      471238 472241 474244 478245 481247 484245
 1.00 472647 471642 469643 462644 457645 452647 447651 443656
      435664 431668 430673 428678 430685 434689 439686 449680
      453676 457670 463660 471650 472647
 1.00 470218 469215 468214 467214 466214 465215 463215 461215
      460217 459219 459220 457221 457222 458223 460223 462224
      463223 464221 464220 466221 467221 468220 470218 470218
 1.00 466237 465234 464233 463233 464235 464236 465238 466237
 1.00 459237 459234 458234 457233 456234 455235 454236 453237
      451236 450235 448236 447236 446238 447240 449240 451240
      453238 454239 456239 458238 459237
 1.00 423667 407664 401665 394666 385671 380675 377679 375692
      371701 367705 363706 358709 352711 349714 344718 342723
      342727 344729 351729 357727 362726 364729 366729 373722
      379714 382709 381702 385698 391695 394694 397692 398688
      414675 417669 421669 423667
 1.00 424703 423701 420701 418702 416705 414708 413711 412713
      413717 416715 418712 419711 421709 423706 424703
 1.00 396257 396256 395256 394256 393257 392258 390259 389259
      388260 387261 386262 386263 386264 388264 390262 392261
      392260 394259 396257 396257
 1.00 404694 402692 400692 399693 399695 401696 403695 404694
 1.00 287852 288847 286844 279842 273843 268845 264851 263858
      262865 259872 254876 251881 250888 251897 254901 257901
      260899 266888 269882 272878 278873 281869 284863 286856
      287852
 1.00 254929 255927 255925 255923 255921 253920 252921 252922
      251923 250925 249927 248929 248931 247933 248935 250936
      251935 252935 253933 254931 254929
 1.00 246964 246963 245962 245960 244960 244962 244963 246964
      246965 246964
 1.50 506240 505234 503230 502225 501220 499214 496213 494217
      493225 494230 496235 499239 502241 505242 506240
 1.50 499264 498258 497254 494249 492245 490242 487241 487246
      489251 491255 493260 495264 498266 499264
 1.50 489218 490216 490214 489212 488210 486210 484210 482211
      481211 480213 480216 482217 483217 485217 487218 488219
      489218
 1.50 480241 480240 480239 479236 478233 478232 476231 475232
      474232 473234 473236 473239 473240 475242 476242 478243
      480243 480241
 1.50 459657 458653 456652 452654 447660 444664 440669 438675
      437678 438680 445679 449675 453671 456665 458659 459657
 1.50 399674 397672 394672 390673 387674 384676 382678 381681
      380684 382686 384687 386687 389685 391683 394682 396680
      398677 399674
 1.50 372713 369709 365709 361711 357713 351715 348717 345721
      345726 348727 353726 356725 362723 367721 370718 371715
      372713
 1.50 286850 285846 281844 274844 271846 271851 271859 266866
      264872 265875 268876 274873 279869 282861 284854 286850
 2.00 503239 503233 503231 501228 500225 500220 499216 497215
      495217 494220 494225 494228 495231 496234 499237 501239
      503239
 2.00 497263 498259 497255 495252 494250 493247 491245 489242
      488241 487243 487246 489249 490252 491255 493258 494261
      495263 497263
 2.00 488215 488213 487212 486212 484211 483212 482213 482214
      482215 484215 485215 487216 488215
 2.00 479241 479239 479237 479236 478233 476232 474234 474236
      474237 475240 477240 478241 479241
 2.00 394678 393676 391676 389676 387677 386677 386678 386680
      386681 388681 389681 390681 392681 393679 394678
 2.00 367714 366712 364713 360714 357715 353716 351718 348719
      346721 347725 349726 353725 356723 358722 361720 363719
      365717 367714
 2.00 284850 281846 274845 272849 273857 272863 269868 268872
      274871 278867 280862 282856 284850
 3.00 496260 496259 496257 495254 494251 493251 492249 491248
      491247 490247 491249 491250 491253 492254 493256 493257
      494259 496260 496260
 3.00 500235 501233 500230 500227 499225 499224 498221 496220
      496221 495223 495225 495228 495229 496231 497232 498234
      499235 500235
 3.00 478238 478235 477235 476234 475235 475237 477238 478238
 3.00 282852 282848 279847 276847 274849 274853 275855 275858
      274861 273864 272867 273869 275868 277865 278863 279861
      280856 280854 282852
 4.00 498232 498229 498226 497225 496226 496229 497229 498232
      498232
 4.00 277859 277857 277855 277853 276852 276853 276855 276857
      276859 277860 277859

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 499321 492321 487320 483320 478318 476315 475310 476303
      469296 465293 465287 467278 469274 471267 471261 468258
      464256 460254 457255 450257 443258 428260 413265 410262
      408258 406254 401254 384257 374256 368254 366253 366250
      373244 374237 375232 391201 395200 399203 408208 411214
      413212 415205 413203 411202 411199 415203 418199 422190
      424175 424169 424164 423160 421163 417163 419159 420153
      421141 422138 425140 430142 434141 439132 442127 442123
      441120 437118 431121 427121 423119 420116 421112 423103
      423100 423092 426088 430089 433090 437088 440086 442080
      440069 444058 445053 446044 447039 449035 451031 452022
      456013 458013 462017 466018 468018 469015 470011 471005
      472992 469990 469984 468977 469970 469964 472959 479954
      482954 484957 487957 494962 497960 503960 506961 506964
      498967 491974 490979 489985 485992 485999 483003 483006
      485010 485015 488025 486030 486035 482047 480059 476071
      475075 473082 474086 476086 479085 482074 482066 484062
      482079 482087 485093 491086 491091 489096 486098 484103
      483111 484118 494128 498134 500134 501132 503127 504112
      504108 501106 498103 496092 498082 502072 505075 505083
      504091 505095 508095 511092 513088 516077 516066 512060
      509058 508053 508039 511029 514019 517016 519009 520005
      519000 520991 521984 520976 518972 515963 512953 507942
      503932 499929 497925 495919 496914 492906 488901 486898
      485894 481882 481869 472858 466851 464850 461850 458854
      455857 451857 449853 450849 455840 455828 453826 449826
      445827 442824 441818 441815 443811 444805 444799 444793
      445788 446782 450778 453776 455772 457767 455760 451760
      447763 442767 439777 437779 436771 434757 434749 436746
      448729 447722 448719 453709 458702 464697 471691 475685
      479677 481673 482668 483658 486653 489649 493644 499641
      504640 509641
 0.01 548773 542772 538774 535778 533782 530782 523784 518779
      515775 511768 504755 503753 501750 500752 501762 498780
      496787 493792 491796 492800 494805 494808 496816 498822
      500824 504829 508836 511840 514848 521861 525867 527873
      534887 539901 552928 557933 560940 564955 569983
 0.01 230946 232951 235956 244951 247949 250944 250931 250924
      252918 256906 266890 275885 284879 289871 290865 292860
      307844 310841 313837 318828 323819 330809 341793 344782
      346769 350747 352740 353734 358723 365703 384690 386668
      348691 343694 337696 325699 315705 307711 301714 297715
      294714 287715 284716 281715 233740 230744 229749 224755
      220762 215769 212775 211779 211785 216792 220800 225807
      226819 226825 225831 224835 222838 218845
 0.01 473196 473194 472193 472191 471189 470190 468191 466191
      465191 464192 463192 461193 461195 461198 462199 462201
      463201 465202 466202 467201 468200 469200 470199 472198
      473196
 0.01 429795 429793 428791 428788 428786 427786 426788 426789
      426791 425793 424794 425796 425798 425801 427800 427798
      428796 429795
 0.01 406116 407114 407112 407110 405111 403111 401113 399113
      401113 403114 404116 406117 406116
 0.25 565045 556046 551045 548044 545041 541036 539024 537010
      536995 530971 524947 523931 524926 528924 534931 539940
      542954 547963 552971 556982 563005 568022
 0.25 525257 521250 517241 514229 510220 506212 505207 505200
      507195 510193 517198 521207 525214 529218 531218 536221
      542198 538194 534187 528172 522161 519156 514152 507149
      501147 492135 482128 477125 473124 470125 459130 455135
      451142 448147 441145 437146 436148 434154 437160 442164
      447169 448178 445186 445190 447192 451191 456188 474171
      479174 481181 483181 485177 487176 490177 491181 495187
      496190 494192 488197 480201 475204 469207 463208 457207
      453208 451210 446214 438213 434215 425221 422228 417230
      411226 407227 405229 401229 400231 402233 403239 405242
      409243 417246 425248 430245 433243 437243 449244 461243
      467244 472247 478252 480254 481258 484266 487272 490278
      492282 502289 510296
 0.25 520668 514664 509662 501664 497667 496670 494679 496689
      499698 502700 506701 512701 516706 519710 522712 526705
      529697
 0.25 486228 485227 484227 482226 481225 479226 480228 482227
      484227 485228 486228
 0.25 458106 459099 457095 453098 450100 446100 441101 437102
      435104 437107 440111 445111 447109 450107 452108 457108
      458106
 0.25 346736 344731 341727 335726 329727 321733 316740 310748
      305757 299764 293771 284776 278784 273790 266798 262800
      259803 256807 252811 248813 245816 244827 241837 237847
      234856 233866 234880 236883 242884 265884 274879 281871
      285864 289854 294846 300838 305831 312824 319817 324808
      334793 338784 341772 342761 343750 346736
 0.50 522262 519257 516251 512236 506223 503217 502209 501201
      498200 496201 487201 481202 476205 472208 467210 455213
      451215 445216 439217 434221 430224 433228 438232 444235
      448233 454231 453234 454237 458238 467235 469236 470239
      472243 476245 481247 485252 491266 494270 499274 504277
      507280 514287
 0.50 524182 523175 522170 516161 514159 511159 509161 507160
      497160 487156 483158 481161 483168 485170 487171 491173
      495176 504182 508186 512185 518186 522186 524182
 0.50 497244 495240 493235 492231 489227 486224 481222 477223
      475224 475227 478230 481231 484235 489238 492241 495245
      497244
 0.50 495146 489136 482133 478129 476128 473129 471134 469137
      466138 461141 458146 457155 456160 458163 464165 473160
      479158 477154 473148 472141 478139 484140 491149 495146
 0.50 425244 425242 424239 423238 421237 419236 418235 416235
      414236 414238 415241 417241 418242 419242 420243 422244
      424244 425244
 0.50 340749 337740 333739 327740 316749 311756 307765 304771
      298777 292782 289786 287790 286794 286798 284804 280811
      275819 273821 268821 261818 258822 257825 255830 257834
      261835 263838 264843 261847 258850 256854 255858 258862
      264866 265871 268874 274872 277869 281862 284855 288847
      299834 303827 308822 314816 319810 323803 327796 335780
      337771 337760 340749
 1.00 502233 499216 498208 493207 485205 480207 469213 463214
      459217 452220 447219 443221 443222 445224 450224 451222
      455222 460226 471222 476219 480219 483220 490224 494228
      498234 502233
 1.00 480241 480239 479236 478233 476233 474234 473237 474238
      474239 475241 476242 478242 480242 480241
 1.00 465154 467152 466150 464151 465154 465154
 1.00 329766 328761 325756 321754 318755 315759 313764 309771
      303780 299787 294795 290803 286814 285825 284830 282834
      280837 280840 281843 285841 289837 293835 295832 298827
      301823 306816 318803 323794 326786 329775 329766
 1.50 495223 496218 495215 494211 491210 488209 484208 481209
      479209 477211 475213 475215 478216 482217 485219 488220
      491221 493222 495223
 1.50 470218 470217 468217 467217 467219 468220 469218 470218
 1.50 325777 324768 321763 317761 315766 313772 310777 304787
      299797 297803 296809 294816 295820 297819 305812 313803
      319794 324784 325777
 2.00 493217 493214 492214 491213 489212 487212 486211 484211
      483212 483214 484215 485216 487217 488218 490218 492218
      493217
 2.00 317791 318787 317783 316781 312780 310782 309784 308788
      306791 305793 306796 309797 311799 312798 315796 316794
      317791

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 499324 494323 492324 489323 478323 468324 454319 441314
      436314 429311 425308 418305 413303 410300 406299 402295
      399294 397295 398297 394297 391295 390292 388290 385298
      385300
 0.01 542197 539194 538189 535182 532183 528180 525171 519164
      515162 512158 509157 510162 509165 507164 503163 497161
      491155 492152 493151 495151 501154 493141 489134 485132
      481131 475132 473136 475139 478144 478149 475151 472151
      467146 464144 464150 465156 468157 471163 483170 488175
      495182 498193 504197 513201 518202 520205 521210 525210
      529217 531219 530224 528229 525239 524241 522241 520238
      514231 508223 506221 504215 501209 500199 495194 488198
      475207 470207 467209 462212 456214 451217 448220 447223
      449227 453228 456229 456233 453236 445236 438237 433236
      431235 431231 435225 438221 439217 441212 441208 441201
      440197 434180 426164 423165 421168 417175 416182 414186
      409193 405205 399210 397214 397220 392225 387230 383236
      377242 372248 367257 365262 367268 371273 375280 379290
      384300
 0.01 388647 396649 391656 389660 386662 384669 384673 383683
      384686 388684 391681 394681 392692 387698 383707 380715
      378726 375746 365762 362769 356776 344790 331799 324804
      319812 299839 293844 287851 284859 284864 283871 281878
      275885 271886 266886 262888 258887 253882 245879 237876
      233874 235870 234864 233861 231860 221857 219847 227846
      230846 234848 238834 239827 242821 241812 239805 233807
      226807 223805 222801 221794 215781 214775 217768 221756
      227747 231742 236737 238737
 0.01 517659 512654 509652 506655 489667 483673 478684 476696
      477702 475707 471714 467722 465727 464732 461744 457754
      453759 449761 445764 441767 437772 430778 427781 423782
      419786 415788 410796 398812 393819 390829 391833 395833
      398835 402839 404841 409840 414840 410845 407848 404852
      402856 401862 402875 404878 407880 410883 413884 422883
      430876 435876 439878 444880 444886 441899 441912 443916
      443923 443936 443940 447945 448946 447951 447957 443969
      451010 455010 458008 462001 465987 468984 474985 479987
      480982 482975 486972 488971 493970 502968 506968 508970
      507973 506986 503998 502005 500011 499024 501029 504032
      507034 512035 517036 520039 520041 523044 525048 531053
      535051 540051 545052 547049 552042 557031 560026 562021
      562004 563974 560943 560910 559901 560894 560875 559855
      559846 560836
 0.01 442106 443093 444086 443082 440060 437051 434045 430044
      427046 424048 420048 418052 418056 420057 423053 427054
      432056 433061 433068 436077 437081 436088 430093 426093
      425098 424103 421106 420112 422117 424118 428116 435112
      439109 442106
 0.01 421159 422157 422155 420152 420154 420157 419159 421159
      421159
 0.01 415066 416064 416062 414059 413059 412059 411061 410061
      410063 408065 408066 408068 408070 410073 412073 413073
      413071 412068 414067 415066 415066
 0.25 505311 500308 493303 488299 486297 484292 484284 480278
      477272 473266 470264 466264 461267 457271 452275 442281
      436284 431282 428279 428277 433272 437269 443264 452258
      457255 461249 468235 472231 475230 479233 483235 486233
      487230 486225 484223 480217 479216 480213 482212 487210
      491210 495212 500217 507229 514240 518247 522251 527251
 0.25 547811 542776 540755 539744 537735 535728 531724 527720
      524713 521707 516703 510703 505705 501709 500716 495729
      492735 489739 484745 479747 475747 472746 469748 466755
      466763 466770 468780 467788 464793 459793 456794 454797
      454802 455805 458811 459817 458822 459829 461844 465859
      467865 470872 476882 481886 485887 503896 512903 517905
      521909 524914 526920 527929 526935 527940 529949 532956
      538966 541969 543968 542963 541956 540945 540933 539921
      539906 540888 540880 540867 539858 539852 540831 547811
 0.25 418249 416244 411242 402243 395249 387256 381262 378266
      379272 383275 387275 398275 403274 406272 409266 409261
      412256 413252 415251 418249
 0.25 371720 370716 368716 366717 364719 362722 361725 360727
      359730 357733 358736 360736 361735 363733 365730 367728
      369725 370723 371720
 0.25 357741 355738 352735 348729 344727 339728 328730 321733
      312738 298747 290751 281753 273756 262758 254761 246765
      240771 238775 238779 240781 244783 252785 259787 265787
      270786 273788 275792 277797 278801 276803 271803 269806
      269810 272816 275818 277817 279819 280826 281828 284829
      299821 311809 322799 328793 333786 338781 343774 347766
      347761 349756 353748 357741
 0.50 525257 520253 516249 510241 503232 498224 496223 495226
      495233 495237 494241 489241 485244 484248 485253 487264
      488271 492276 493280 493290 496292 502294 510299
 0.50 524805 519782 519771 519766 517759 515756 511757 506764
      501770 499779 493785 491788 490793 488797 488804 491815
      493826 496837 498848 499853 502856 504858 509859 513858
      516854 521847 521834 521820 522808 524805
 0.50 484862 484855 482851 479847 477842 474840 471838 469838
      468841 470846 472850 474855 477860 479862 484862 484862
 0.50 341762 341755 339750 336746 332744 328743 324746 319754
      315762 310764 307768 303777 301778 298778 293777 290785
      286795 285814 286819 292818 296816 300813 306807 314802
      321795 326788 331780 336778 339775 341762
 1.00 522262 518258 513255 510252 507252 505258 498257 494253
      492253 491256 492263 494270 497276 499282 503287 509288
      513289
 1.00 323778 322775 319776 317777 316779 314783 313785 313788
      313791 317790 318788 320785 321782 322780 323778
 1.50 522266 518266 515264 512264 511271 509273 507273 505269
      502265 499263 496265 497271 499274 502278 504282 509284
      514286
 2.00 519274 517274 516275 515275 514277 513277 512279 512282
      513282 514283 515283 516283

$$




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