Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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957
FXUS04 KWBC 280832
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 28/1200 UTC THRU JUL 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...EASTERN U.S. FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID
ATLANTIC...

MODERATE FORCING WILL TEND TO FOCUS A SWATH OF 1.0 TO 2.5 INCH
AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FROM TENNESSEE TO NEW JERSEY AS RICH
MOISTURE IS SWEPT UP AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING TROUGH. THE TROUGH
ORIGINATED AT TROPICAL LATITUDES...BUT WAS BEING STEERED AROUND A
HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST...AND WAS SET TO
JOIN THE WESTERLIES WITH SOME ACCELERATION EXPECTED TODAY. THIS
WILL INCREASE THE STRENGTH OF SOUTHWESTERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW INTO
THE EASTERN TN/OH VALLEYS AND INTO THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AT THE SAME TIME...FORCING SPILLS OVER INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC...INCLUDING MUCH OF SOUTHERN PA DOWN THROUGH
VA/MD AND EASTWARD...AS MID/UPPER SUPPORT IS ENHANCED WITHIN THE
ENTRANCE REGION OF A DEVELOPING JET STREAK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE A LOT OF HIGH CLOUDINESS WHICH MAY LIMIT INSTABILITY
ALONG THE PATH OF GREATEST FORCING FOR ASCENT...BUT THE LIFT
ITSELF WILL OPERATE ON A DEEPLY SATURATED ENVIRONMENT...AND EVEN
MINIMAL INSTABILITY WOULD BE ENOUGH TO LEAD TO SOME EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PROCESSES. HEAVIER SHORT TERM RAIN RATES ARE POSSIBLE A
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH IN AREAS OF GREATER HEATING FROM EASTERN TN
INTO VA/MD/DE. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW SOLUTIONS POINT TOWARD A
REDEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHWEST PA THURSDAY NIGHT IN
THE DEFORMATION AREA OF WHATEVER CIRCULATION MAY CONTINUE TO EXIST
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ADVANCING TROUGH.

MODEL QPFS DISPLAY SOME NORTH TO SOUTH VARIABILITY WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE AXIS...AND ALSO SOME DISAGREEMENT AS TO THE
EASTWARD EXTENT OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. THE GFS APPEARED TO SUFFER
SOME FEEDBACK IN ITS OMEGA FIELDS...BUT THE CONSENSUS TRACK OF THE
MID LEVEL FORCING IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF THE GFS...AND GIVEN THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE...WOULD FAVOR EASTWARD EXTENSION OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN PA INTO NJ AND EVEN TOWARD LONG ISLAND.
WPC STARTED BY BLENDING THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TOWARD THE 00Z NAM
CONUS NEST AND 12Z WRF-NMM. THE RESULTING QPF HAS SUPPORT FROM THE
UKMET...WRF-ARW...AND TO SOME EXTENT THE 00Z ECMWF.


...CENTRAL PLAINS...

A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED EVENT IS PROGGED IN WNW FLOW ALOFT...WITH
RECENTLY ARRIVED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES FOCUSING A WESTWARD PUSH OF
DEEPER MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND PHASING OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING DOWN OUT OF MONTANA AND THE DAKOTAS. THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF NOW SHOW SOME SIMILARITY IN PLACEMENT OF THEIR QPF
SWATH...WHICH WIDENS OVER KANSAS AND DIPS INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT THERE WILL BE ONE LARGE FORWARD PROPAGATING
SYSTEM...AS THE SHEAR IS STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SUPERCELLS AND
SOME MIXED MODES...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD EXPAND WITH TIME THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND ALTHOUGH MOTION WILL BE QUICK...SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE.


...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

HEIGHT FALLS ON THE NORTHERN END OF THE AMPLIFYING MS VALLEY UPPER
TROF WILL SUPPORT A SEPARATE NORTHERN PRECIP MAX DAY 1 FROM THE
UPPER MS VALLEY EASTWARD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES ALONG THE
ASSOCIATED NORTHERN STREAM FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THIS AREA.  THERE IS MORE MODEL SPREAD WITH QPF
DETAILS ACROSS THIS REGION THAN POINTS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH OVER
THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC---LEADING TO LOWER
CONFIDENCE HERE.  THE IN HOUSE PSEUDO-BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEAN
WAS FOLLOWED MORE CLOSELY HERE TO MITIGATE THESE DIFFERENCES WITH
AREAL AVERAGE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE.


...NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED NORTHERN STREAM FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NY STATE AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THURSDAY. A NARROW AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES..1.5"+...IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT WILL SUPPORT
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT---WITH MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS
POSSIBLE FROM NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

DAYS 2/3...

...PLAINS...LOWER MS VALLEY...

AFTER ONE AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION MOVES SOUTH AND EAST FROM
THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS BY THE START OF THE DAY 2
PERIOD...29/12Z...CONVECTION SHOULD BE WANING.  THERE ARE MIXED
SIGNALS IN THE MODELS WHETHER OR NOT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS IS ABLE TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OR LOWER MS VALLEY.  THERE IS AN AXIS OF PW VALUES
ON THE ORDER OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OVER THE AREA...SO THINKING IS
THAT LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE COMMON ENOUGH FROM ANY STORMS
THAT FORM.  BUT THE LACK OF ANY ORGANIZED HEIGHT FALLS OR JET
STREAMS SUGGESTS THAT COVERAGE SHOULD BE SCATTERED AND DIFFICULT
TO PINPOINT THIS FAR OUT IN TIME.

...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

MODELS AGREE THAT A BROAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE
MID-UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES STATES LATER IN THE DAY ON
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  SURFACE FEATURES ARE ILL-DEFINED AND THE
LACK OF A COHERENT IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH SUGGESTS THAT
CONVECTION WILL BE MOSTLY SCATTERED AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN. THE
MODELS NOW ARE NOT QUITE AS CONVINCED ABOUT AN 850MB CIRCULATION
DEVELOPING...BUT EVEN IF IT DOES NOT THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA
WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE
AT OR ABOVE 1.75 INCHES.  THIS MAY WELL RESULT IN SOMEWHAT MORE
ORGANIZED ACTIVITY...BUT CONFIDENCE IN PLACING THIS PRECIPITATION
IS VERY LOW.

...OH/TN VALLEYS/APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEAST AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY OUT OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.  THE 00Z
MODEL PRODUCTION CYCLE HAD A SOMEWHAT MORE NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE
PCPN AREA COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS RUNS...BUT IT IS NOT ENTIRELY
CLEAR WHICH FORCES WERE AT WORK THE MOST /SEE DISCUSSION ON THE
TOPIC IN THE DAY 1 SUBJECT/.  AS A RESULT...THERE WAS A SOMEWHAT
NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE WPC MANUAL QPF AND THE FORWARD SPEED WAS
INCREASED A BIT.  ONE IMPLICATION OF THE NORTHWARD SHIFT IS THAT
THE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOW IN PLAY ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SO WE OPTED TO HOIST A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.  IT APPEARS THAT THERE SHOULD BE ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OH/TN
VALLEYS IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM.

THE 00Z ECMWF SPED UP AND WAS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE 00Z GFS
IN TERMS OF THE MASS FIELDS AND THAT WAS ALSO GENERALLY TRUE OF
THE QPF.  THE WPC MANUAL QPF CONTINUED TO BE WEIGHTED MORE TOWARDS
THE GFS TRACK WITH A CONSENSUS APPROACH FOR QPF AMOUNTS.  THE NAM
CONTINUED TO BE AN OUTLIER AND WAS GIVEN LITTLE WEIGHTING.

...SOUTHWEST...

UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN MONSOONAL CONVECTION
DURING DAY 3. AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY AND HIGHEST PWS
SUGGESTS THE BEST CHANCES FOR MORE ORGANIZED ACTIVITY AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CA
INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL AZ.

BURKE/BANN

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 548080 549063 545054 539048 534047 529049 516061 502074
      496080 489088 485098 484111 486116 488120 485122 481122
      476121 474116 473110 473106 472098 471093 461089 458087
      458079 457073 458064 459063 462063 466065 475063 480053
      482048 483041 484035 483030 479027 474024 471023 468021
      468018 464012 463008 460003 453998 448997 446997 443995
      440988 437985 434987 431990 428994 426996 425994 422990
      417982 413974 407965 402957 397946 393939 386935 384935
      383932 384925 384915 376910 373907 371905 373902 380897
      385896 390896 393900 392905 396908 399908 403910 409911
      413912 417915 422922 424924 421926 417928 414939 414947
      415952 420952 423950 429945 435938 441933 447928 454918
      459911 462901 462887 458876 456874 451873 445874 440873
      442868 444862 445857 443851 441847 438845 435841 433837
      433823 430821 423822 420822 420816 420808 423799 426789
      428785 429782 431783 434785 438785 459753 458745 459737
      460726 462715 463708 466702 469691 472680 475669 477659
      477647 475634 474628 471625 469622 464624 429699 427705
      426707 422710 419705 416702 413700 409699 404700 394703
      389708 383716 381720 379725 380732 379737 372744 363749
      358756 352764 349769 348772 346776 349779 353781 356787
      358791 361792 363792 364795 363800 356817 352821 347822
      341828 330843 322859 316867 314866 314863 314856 313849
      312844 308834 307827 309820 307818 303814 295813 290813
      287816 286819 287823 291826 293830 299836 302837 302840
      300846 299849 300854 303859 304865 300865 296866 293870
      291874 285893 284905 284917 286921 288919 290920 294923
      298926 299931 297936 295945 291952 288955 284956 270968
      262972 262975 263977 264981 267984 267991 267997 270999
 0.01 270999 272002 270004 267006 263005 253998 246994 243993
      242994 242999 244001 249006 263025 264033 261039 257040
      253039 246037 237037 233037 231039 229046 230055 233063
      236067 241082 258098 266105 273109 281111 292119 298122
      305123 310119 313120 318121 323117 323112 325110 327111
      329112 330108 330103 329101 325096 315088 303081 290075
      283073 281071 280067 274055 270038 269035 273035 279037
      283037 286036 290033 289027 286022 281018 279016 282015
      286016 288018 291019 293018 295015 295010 295006 293003
      290997 291992 293989 301977 306975 309973 313975 317988
      324989 329986 332979 334971 336963 337958 339955 342950
      346945 353946 358942 362943 360947 357953 352965 348980
      346989 345996 346002 347004 351009 361018 364026 365034
      367042 368046 371049 378052 382052 383050 385047 387047
      390052 394057 400058 406056 409055 412058 417071 419070
      421067 419064 420059 421054 425054 432057 436064 439071
      440075 442079 445085 446088 443088 438084 435085 435090
      436093 442097 448100 452105 454109 453115 497149 502154
      505160 514171 517176 521181 527185 531181 535178 539171
      539161 537152 530138 526132 520126 514122 510116 510110
      512107 518104 527101 533101 538099 545090 548080
 0.01 386145 386143 383140 381139 377138 375140 373143 372145
      373147 373152 375154 378153 379149 381147 384146 386145
 0.01 376134 376132 377130 377128 377126 377125 375123 373123
      373125 374127 374130 374132 374134 374135 376135 376134
 0.01 379085 379077 375071 375064 372064 370059 372057 370055
      367050 361049 356052 354056 355061 355066 352072 347076
      343079 338080 334079 330081 328083 328087 332100 334101
      335106 334114 335122 335130 336133 340134 344133 347139
      353143 363137 359127 354122 353115 349101 350093 355089
      358084 361077 364074 367075 372080 374087 379085
 0.01 364159 365157 364156 363156 361154 360156 361157 362158
      364159 364160 364159
 0.01 324161 324158 321156 319155 315154 312153 308151 307150
      304151 304154 306156 309157 313158 315159 318161 322161
      324161
 0.01 315105 315102 314099 311098 307099 303100 299101 296105
      297109 301112 304114 306115 307113 309109 312107 315105
 0.01 287843 287837 285833 280825 269812 266810 262809 260806
      261803 268799 268793 266790 261789 256790 252792 249791
      245793 243797 239805 236813 236818 237822 243829 245833
      248835 252834 255832 258829 262831 275840 281846 285846
      287843
 0.25 522155 521150 518146 516143 514138 511135 506134 504140
      506145 508149 511152 514156 518159 520159 522155
 0.25 463670 462663 461658 458661 456665 451673 447680 443691
      441700 441706 444705 451700 454697 457692 460684 463673
      463670
 0.25 446724 446722 445721 443721 443723 442725 440725 440726
      439727 438729 438730 437731 438732 440733 441732 443731
      443730 444727 446726 446724
 0.25 451034 449027 445022 437012 432009 427010 423006 420001
      417993 414987 410984 406980 398970 395964 389961 383959
      375959 370961 365965 362970 359978 361985 364990 369004
      375015 380018 388020 393021 398024 410030 415033 419036
      425040 430043 442045 444041 448039 451034
 0.25 449904 447900 442900 439899 437897 428885 427880 426876
      426871 428867 429859 427851 422846 419846 416849 412854
      410861 412882 411891 415898 418905 420907 424909 431911
      436915 439916 443916 446908 449904
 0.25 423739 423734 421731 417727 413721 409715 408713 404713
      400718 396731 394737 390743 380752 377755 373760 371766
      375772 374779 372785 372795 370802 359823 352834 350841
      347848 345860 342866 339871 331881 327886 324892 320903
      316918 316927 316936 315939 317942 319944 320947 322954
      323956 327957 334949 337943 339935 340927 342920 344915
      348911 352906 354899 356892 360887 367876 370871 373868
      382859 390848 396837 401824 404811 407795 413782 416769
      420757 422747 423739
 0.25 312943 312941 310940 308940 307941 307942 306943 305945
      305946 304947 304949 304952 305953 306952 307951 308949
      308948 309947 310945 312943
 0.25 300091 295084 286081 277078 272073 271070 273066 273062
      270058 266051 258048 248044 240047 237049 236056 239063
      242072 246080 251086 255088 260089 264091 267094 272101
      277102 283101 290098 296094 300091
 0.25 275022 275019 274018 274017 273015 272015 271013 270013
      269013 267013 266013 265014 264015 265016 266017 267018
      268019 268020 270021 270022 272023 274022 275022
 0.25 254818 253812 253810 254804 250800 247804 245807 244811
      242817 242819 245823 247827 250824 252822 254818
 0.50 452681 450680 449682 447685 449686 451684 452681
 0.50 438038 436033 435030 435028 433025 430024 427025 425027
      425032 426036 428037 429037 433037 435038 438038
 0.50 438909 437906 436904 434902 432901 431900 430900 429901
      428902 429903 431904 433906 433907 434908 436909 438909
      438909
 0.50 419747 418741 416738 412735 411731 408720 406717 403721
      399729 396738 392745 387749 381755 378759 376763 377769
      380771 380773 378778 376781 375786 374792 374798 374803
      373806 369813 366821 361828 357836 357846 356852 355856
      355861 357863 354869 352873 352877 355878 359876 364869
      368864 371860 374858 380853 385846 389840 393833 397825
      399821 400815 401806 404797 410780 411770 414762 417754
      419747
 0.50 423025 419006 416997 412990 407990 403988 399982 393975
      387970 379968 373965 370966 368970 365978 368987 371994
      376003 380008 388013 395016 402020 409023 415027 420027
      423025 423025
 0.50 344897 344890 342887 331889 327896 325907 322915 323921
      325926 328934 330938 333939 335934 337930 337925 337919
      337915 338910 342902 344897
 0.50 292092 291088 286088 281085 270077 267072 264066 261060
      257056 253052 249051 245051 240055 242062 246074 249080
      253084 262086 266089 270094 274098 278099 281098 286095
      291094 292092
 1.00 408759 406738 406734 404730 401732 400735 398741 394747
      385755 382760 383764 385767 388767 390767 392771 387785
      381796 380803 378810 371819 364830 362836 361843 363850
      367851 372847 377848 384838 390827 393821 396814 397807
      399800 403788 405780 407773 408759
 1.00 410014 410007 407003 400995 394987 391983 387981 378976
      373974 371974 371976 372982 375987 377992 380995 387004
      390007 394010 402014 410014
 1.00 262074 262072 260069 258067 256065 254063 252061 250060
      248060 249062 250065 251068 252071 253073 256075 259076
      260076 262074
 1.50 405755 404745 403736 401736 400739 397744 395749 393757
      393762 395766 396774 399776 400774 403768 405762 405755
 1.50 398793 399788 397784 392788 386799 382811 379816 375819
      367828 364834 364836 364840 365843 367845 370844 372842
      380836 385831 387827 389819 390813 395801 398793
 1.50 399002 398000 397998 394996 392994 391992 389990 387990
      387995 388997 390000 391002 392005 395006 398005 399002
 2.00 404755 403750 403746 402743 399744 398747 397749 396754
      396756 396761 397765 398768 399767 401765 403762 403757
      404755
 2.00 387811 386808 385808 385809 385811 386812 387811
 2.00 386824 386820 384817 382818 380821 379823 378827 376825
      372825 371826 370831 371834 373831 374829 376826 378829
      381828 384827 386824

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 465622 469624 471631 473638 473645 472659 470663 466667
      466674 464678 461683 460689 456698 454705 451711 448719
      445725 442735 438743 435755 434767 431788 427811 427819
      426824 425838 424846 424853 422855 423859 425864 426871
      427879 429884 427890 426894 423896 422910 422914 421919
      419924 417926 408926 402920 394900 391896 389897 389901
      386909 374925 395952 396966 401974 405970 409969 413968
      412963 410959 410954 413952 417953 421954 424956 428961
      433971 436980 438985 441990 441995 440002 444012 448017
      446022 445029 442035 440038 436036 434035 431035 426035
      422037 417045 415049 415055 410059 406061 403058 399060
      393059 390059 386062 382063 378063 377066 378071 378077
      375080 372082 367074 358067 356066 355069 353074 350086
      346094 345099 345104 347108 350109 353106 354099 356096
      360096 363098 365101 365110 367114 379107 383109 387112
      389114 387119 383130 382134 383138 386136 391132 395135
      397139 397143 395144 394149 388148 384150 380147 378146
      377142 378139 375135 372134 369135 360135 353137 345136
      339131 330118 325116 322115 320117 317119 311119 307121
      302121 297122 295126 287135 284137 277136 273135 272130
      272127 271125 268122 261113 256106 255102 252098 246094
      241089 239080 238069 236063 231056 231050 232046 234039
      237036 241028 245025 250026 255029 259031 268034 270029
      274024 280022 285022 287024 292031 290040 290046 292052
      293056 291061 291067 293070 298076 303078 306082 311088
      315092 319089 325082 328078 330073 329066 330061 325056
      327053 332051 340040 346037 353031 355026 354021 349012
      347003 348991 348984 345981 343977 340974 330978 328975
      326971 324965 324958 325948 319941 316936 312933 309933
      306936 300941 297943 297941 294937 293932 292929 289926
      283929 275925 275918 276912 280894
 0.01 280894 284883 287877 291874 300859 303858 308860 315860
      319863 325862 329860 333858 335854 337840 338833 337826
      337819 338813 341803 344792 347787 351784 358777 361776
      363780 364788 365792 368793 373793 375787 379777 379774
      378771 376769 387728 391718 389714 387714 382716 379720
      376724 373729 370730 366729 365726 366723 371713 374708
      377705 381697 384692 388688 393678 396674 399669 405663
      412654 417650 422648 440637 451629 455628 458626 460624
 0.01 535209 535198 535190 530173 524170 519172 506164 501162
      499165 498170 498180 502184 506185 509188 507195 504202
      503210 509214 515217 527215 535209
 0.01 529159 528153 524150 518144 510140 502135 493133 487133
      487137 491145 497152 507156 515159 524162 529159
 0.01 482969 481967 479966 476966 472966 470967 469969 467972
      467974 471975 474975 477975 479972 481972 482969
 0.01 471108 472101 471098 470094 468090 462091 454090 445088
      443086 439086 436087 435090 439096 444099 447102 451103
      454105 458107 460109 464110 469111 471108 471108
 0.01 451080 451073 450066 445062 441057 437057 433063 431068
      431073 432075 436079 437081 441082 447083 451080
 0.01 428230 426220 422212 421206 421200 421195 418194 413202
      408208 405210 405212 406217 412224 414234 416237 419238
      424236 426232 428230
 0.01 409105 408103 408102 407103 407105 407107 407108 407107
      409105 409105
 0.01 395184 395181 394179 392176 391174 388171 386170 384170
      384173 385177 386180 388181 390183 393186 395184
 0.01 407012 404005 403000 399994 397996 394996 390996 389000
      387005 385009 387011 390018 394020 397021 399020 403016
      407012
 0.01 388201 388196 386194 383190 379185 375181 371178 366180
      363181 362184 366188 371191 376194 380198 383203 388201
 0.01 392165 390164 389164 387164 386166 388167 390167 392165
      392165
 0.01 368153 369151 369150 367150 366151 365151 363151 362152
      361153 360154 359155 358156 358158 359159 360160 362160
      364159 366158 366157 367155 368154 368153
 0.01 359743 356735 350732 347731 344733 338737 328748 321759
      313772 313782 314787 316789 320796 325799 329798 332796
      337792 342786 346781 353768 356760 357752 359743
 0.01 338168 337167 337165 336164 334164 333165 333167 334167
      335168 337168 338168
 0.01 302823 299816 297813 287806 283803 278801 266799 258800
      254802 249807 249812 251819 254822 263829 273833 279831
      284831 292831 296829 300826 302823
 0.25 452666 451662 447659 443657 439658 432662 425667 415681
      407696 402703 399712 393729 391739 390749 389769 389783
      389789 387793 381809 380813 382817 389822 393822 396819
      400813 402809 403804 402798 400794 402785 406778 415762
      422747 424739 427728 429719 431709 438690 440683 445676
      450670 452666
 0.25 421989 421988 420987 419986 417985 417984 415984 414987
      415988 417989 419990 420990 421989
 0.25 405868 406861 404857 401853 397853 395856 393860 393867
      395872 397878 397883 401887 402887 405882 404875 405869
      405868
 0.25 387979 388971 387965 379956 373949 367943 359938 353934
      348932 346929 345925 346923 352922 355920 373907 376900
      378892 376888 374887 370885 368880 367871 366864 365857
      365851 368840 372830 373823 370819 364819 359821 354828
      349838 346851 345863 342873 337882 330891 326901 325906
      325913 326920 327926 331930 335930 340928 342928 342932
      341936 341941 350964 354972 358983 360987 366989 371001
      373004 378004 382000 383996 386986 387979
 0.25 335093 337091 337089 337086 335084 334084 333084 332084
      330085 329085 328087 326089 326092 327093 329094 331094
      333094 335093 335093
 0.25 303104 304097 302092 299090 297086 282074 281069 282061
      279057 276056 271054 268050 264042 256037 252035 246035
      239041 237045 237051 239055 244058 247060 247066 247071
      249076 252081 255082 265082 271088 279094 285100 291107
      296108 301107 303104
 0.25 301903 302899 300896 298895 295894 293895 291897 290902
      289904 289908 290910 292912 295912 297910 299907 300905
      301903
 0.25 284823 284818 283816 279812 274809 270806 263805 258807
      260813 257816 259819 263821 268823 276823 281824 284823
 0.50 435683 435680 434676 431674 426675 423678 413693 408701
      405709 400718 398726 395737 395747 395759 397763 399766
      404765 407761 410753 417736 422726 425717 428708 430699
      435683
 0.50 381986 380981 381977 381969 379965 375958 368952 362947
      357946 353947 352952 352956 356965 361972 366978 370981
      375982 377986 378991 381986
 0.50 349890 349884 345883 342886 339889 337893 335897 334902
      335906 339905 342902 344899 347895 349891 349890
 0.50 298101 298096 294094 295091 293088 290085 286083 281082
      280086 282089 285093 288095 290098 294100 298101
 0.50 271075 271064 264058 262049 259046 256044 248044 246043
      243043 242048 245052 248053 251057 253061 253071 255075
      259076 269077 271075
 1.00 422706 421701 419700 415703 413706 407714 403722 400731
      399736 399742 402744 406743 409739 412735 415727 418717
      422709 422706
 1.50 412723 412720 411719 410719 408720 407721 407722 405724
      405725 404727 404729 404732 403734 405735 406735 408733
      409730 410728 411727 411725 412723 412723

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 558098 559080 557067 550047 545038 541033 543028 545022
      545014 543010 539007 535009 532013 527022 522031 516038
      512039 508037 505034 501029 498026 493025 491028 489033
      488040 490046 494056 497067 497074 498082 499087 499096
      497112 500124 502128 498131 496133 494141 493146 492153
      493160 495165 500175 507195 511198 516199 520199 524201
      527204 531205 535204 537196 538191 541186 544174 544168
      545161 547145 549140 550131 554116 558098
 0.01 523246 524240 523236 520228 517219 515216 512214 508213
      506214 502215 500219 498229 500238 505243 511248 519250
      523246
 0.01 463139 461129 457120 453119 454115 457111 461109 461104
      458101 455100 451102 447106 443113 441118 442122 445126
      447129 452132 453135 456140 460141 463139
 0.01 453076 450070 447067 442062 437059 434056 428058 428061
      429063 433068 436072 441075 448076 453076
 0.01 457983 454976 449971 437964 431964 429967 429973 431976
      432978 431980 429982 426980 423980 419982 417989 416001
      415004 414010 414015 416018 421022 427018 432016 435013
      438014 446015 448013 449007 448000 447997 446993 452991
      455987 457983
 0.01 450896 444889 439885 435882 430883 426880 424874 425859
      427848 430838 429826 432814 429807 429798 430791 431786
      433781 432774 433763 433750 430741 426734 419726 414722
      410720 405722 399729 395733 391731 383726 379724 378721
      374717 369717 359720 349724 344734 339744 331757 324775
      318791 317795 314800 313806 311809 310815 310821 310828
      309834 308839 309842 311854 311861 312865 306867 304870
      301880 301884 298886 294889 286895 277894 273898 269904
      268909 267916 266925 262934 259937 255939 248946 246950
      249952 255952 258951 267949 271947 276946 288945 288949
      287955 285960 284966 285971 288974 295975 301968 305962
      314948 318945 320944 323945 328952 338969 346975 348978
      349983 349000 351004 353007 348026 345036 343040 340043
      335048 331050 325050 323053 323060 328065 329067 329070
      326075 325082 321084 312080 307075 300055 300051 302047
      309051 307055 308060 312060 314057 314051 313047 313044
      312040 310036 305037 302040 301043 299042 295037 293033
      294030 294021 292016 287014 276013 265011 259003 249991
      248984 243984 237983 236988 235993 234000 236010 239016
      245021 250022 255023 258023 261025 263027 268035 269040
      267041 264040 257036 251036 247039 244048 243056 244062
      247071 250077 256085 262091 270098 279104 286107 296108
      302114 306117 308120 311124 315125 319124 322126 326129
      328133 332136 337138 341141 346140 351136 354132 358130
      363128 366128 366125 363119 361115 358112 353104 351096
      351092 352091 354086 356081 359075 364072 367073 369075
      374077 375080 388081 389080 391075 392069 393062 391051
      388047 384045 378039 373035 367035 364030 361018 358014
      356012 359009 367005 379974 382971 387970 393965
 0.01 393965 395962 395956 393947 391940 386934 382929 379926
      378922 378911 381904 385900 389893 389881 391873 396873
      398876 401883 404892 407898 412905 417908 420910 424910
      433909 441909 445904 450896
 0.01 430173 429168 429163 427160 424155 420151 417151 415153
      414160 415165 416168 415170 414172 415179 418184 422184
      424182 425179 428178 430173
 0.01 408156 408154 409152 409150 409147 409145 409143 409142
      408140 407140 406139 405140 404141 403142 403144 403146
      402148 402151 402153 402154 404156 406157 407157 408156
 0.01 412110 413106 413101 412099 410096 408095 406095 404098
      402102 402104 402106 403110 405112 406114 408113 410112
      412110
 0.01 415050 415048 413047 412045 411045 410044 408044 406044
      404044 403044 401046 400048 401049 402049 404051 406052
      408052 409052 411052 413052 415050 415050
 0.01 405133 405126 402124 399122 393121 390118 389113 385111
      382110 378114 377119 374130 377130 380126 384127 385131
      387134 390133 397138 400139 403135 405133
 0.01 396163 397159 395156 393158 389159 386158 382158 382159
      384161 385164 388165 392165 394165 396163
 0.01 368187 369185 369183 368182 367180 366180 365181 363181
      362181 362184 362185 363186 364187 366188 367188 368187
 0.01 330164 326157 319154 312150 307146 300142 298140 293140
      292143 293147 297152 302157 307163 314166 318167 321166
      326166 329165 330164
 0.01 305823 303819 301817 294811 288807 285806 280808 271807
      265802 262799 262794 269788 275783 279780 283779 291774
      291771 287769 276770 268768 265767 260768 248770 240772
      234774 231776 226781 221789 219798 220809 222815 222821
      221827 222833 223839 224845 226847 232847 237846 241843
      244839 239818 237813 236808 237804 241803 248821 252824
      255825 265826 273829 282830 289829 298830 301829 303826
      305823
 0.25 543098 543091 543087 540077 536070 532065 529062 525062
      519063 517066 515071 514075 515079 518088 525091 531095
      536099 540101 542098 543098
 0.25 534168 535162 536155 535150 534146 530138 522137 515139
      513140 510144 509147 510152 513159 516167 517172 518175
      522178 526178 531173 534168
 0.25 419771 419762 419757 417752 415747 410742 404741 398743
      392747 387750 380760 379763 375763 371760 367756 366746
      366740 364733 359731 356731 352733 350738 348745 347758
      345764 344773 345779 349784 354786 359785 362788 369789
      371790 372794 373803 372810 373819 373828 371834 368840
      364845 356852 351856 348862 347868 347873 345875 342881
      341886 342902 342910 344917 346922 350928 358936 362939
      366939 369938 371908 371901 374895 378891 381886 383879
      385872 387856 388850 391844 393838 396835 400836 403835
      408831 411826 413820 415804 416798 416788 418777 419771
 0.25 363954 363949 360945 357943 352941 348940 345943 344947
      346952 349954 352956 356958 361958 363956 363954
 0.25 318103 319100 319096 316093 308086 299081 292075 288072
      284072 279075 279080 282085 283091 285095 289098 293100
      297104 301107 306110 310111 314109 318103
 0.25 321902 321900 321898 320897 320896 318895 317896 316896
      316898 315901 315903 315905 316907 317907 318907 319906
      320905 320903 321902
 0.25 308918 309915 309911 305909 301910 299914 299918 299924
      300928 302933 303937 307936 307930 307924 308919 308918
 0.25 275067 272063 270058 265054 259052 256049 252048 251050
      252057 253063 256069 260072 263073 267073 273072 275067
 0.50 527158 528156 528153 527151 527150 526149 524148 522149
      521150 519151 519152 517153 517156 518158 519159 520160
      521162 522163 523163 524163 526161 526160 527158
 0.50 410770 409762 405755 402750 398750 395752 387763 384768
      379773 375778 375781 378784 383800 383804 386806 392808
      397810 402814 405813 406809 403802 403792 406785 410771
      410770
 0.50 388824 388822 386818 385815 384811 382809 380813 380816
      381821 381823 383826 385827 387827 388824
 0.50 366914 366905 365898 364893 362890 355888 352887 349890
      347897 347902 348906 351914 353923 358927 362928 365927
      364922 366916 366914
 0.50 357770 356769 356768 354767 353768 352769 353771 355771
      357771 357770
 0.50 314101 313095 309092 304089 299086 294083 288083 288089
      292094 296096 301101 304104 308106 312105 314101

$$





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