Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 160913
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
513 AM EDT WED AUG 16 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 16/1200 UTC THRU AUG 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...ERN PLAINS/MS VALLEY...

MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS IN SEVERAL STREAMS WILL
BE EJECTING EAST NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NRN PLAINS AND
INTO THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY DAY1. INSTABILITY/THETAE ADVECTION
INCREASES WITH PW VALUES AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS POOL UPWARDS
TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN ALONG/AROUND A DEVELOPING
SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS COMBINED WITH WELL
DEFINED UPPER DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE EJECTING HEIGHT FALLS WILL
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE FOCUS WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS/MAXIMA SPREAD WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGRESSION
DOWN TROUGH THE SRN PLAINS/MID-UPPER MS VALLEY...AS WELL IN ERNEST
BACK AROUND THE LOW WRAPPING FURTHER UP ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
WITH MAX POTENTIAL PIVOT POINT CENTERED OVER MN. THERE REMAINS A
TYPICAL AMOUNT OF SPREAD WITH CONVECTIVE PRECIP DETAILS LEADING TO
AVERAGE (LOW) CONFIDENCE WITH THE DETAILS. HOWEVER...MODEL
CONSENSUS IS QUITE SUPPORTIVE OVERALL FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY TOTALS STRETCHING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE ERN PLAINS
AND ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY WITH THE ARW AND TO A
LESSER EXTENT THE LIGHTER/BLENDED NBM PROBABLY MORE IN LINE WITH
ONGOING ACTIVITY ALONG WITH WPC CONTINUITY. WPC MESOSCALE
PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION #701 COVERS LEAD IN PERIOD SYSTEM DETAILS
WITHIN OUR CURRENTLY VALID NEBRASKA CENTRIC SLIGHT RISK EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT.

...CENTRAL COAST STATES TO THE SOUTHEAST/COASTAL CAROLINAS...

PW VALUES REMAIN 2"+ FOR THE UPCOMING DAY 1 TIME PERIOD AND THIS
MAY SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SCATTERED SLOW MOVING
CONVECTION ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOW CONFIDENCE ON QPF DETAILS...BUT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WOULD FUEL POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. THE LOWER MS VALLEY MAY OFFER THE MOST POTENTIAL WITHIN
THIS BROAD AREA AS PER INCREASED GULF INFLOW/INSTABILITY.


DAY 2 (12Z THU-12Z FRI)...


...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON
THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW. THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ASCENT...WITH A
STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST AND A VERY DIFFLUENT UPPER
PATTERN. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT ANOMALOUS
PWATS INTO THE REGION AS WELL...WITH VALUES AROUND THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL 95TH PERCENTILE. THUS ANTICIPATE WE WILL SEE A
RATHER LARGE SWATH WITH AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL UPWARDS OF 1-2"
FROM NORTHEAST MN INTO NORTHERN WI...MUCH OF MI AND INTO NORTHERN
OH OVER THE 24 HOUR DAY 2 PERIOD. TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LIKELY
TO HAVE AN ORGANIZED REGION OF DEFORMATION AXIS RAINFALL. IN
GENERAL RAINFALL RATES FROM THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BE THAT HIGH
GIVEN A LACK OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET SOME
EMBEDDED HEAVIER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. FURTHER INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY CONVECTIVE IN
NATURE. SEEMS PROBABLE THAT WE SHOULD SEE TWO ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION...ONE INITIAL WAA SURGE...AND ANOTHER WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. IN GENERAL THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF
BOTH THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS SHOULD KEEP
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM GETTING TOO EXTREME. HOWEVER LIKELY TO HAVE
AT LEAST SOME CELL MERGERS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED HEAVIER
TOTALS...WITH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS OF THE HIGH RES CAM GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING ISOLATED POCKETS OF 2-4" OVER LOWER MI. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE NEED FOR A SLIGHT RISK UPGRADE...HOWEVER GIVEN THAT
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS HAVE NOT BEEN THAT WET AND THE PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY ONLY BE LOCALIZED IN
NATURE. THUS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE RISK AT MARGINAL.

WPC QPF FOR THIS REGION FAVORED A MULTI MODEL BLEND. DO THINK THE
GLOBAL MODELS MAY BE A BIT SLOW MOVING CONVECTION ACROSS MI...WITH
ALL THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE DEPICTING A QUICKER PROGRESSION. THUS
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST DID LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE 0Z RUNS OF
THE HRW ARW...HRW ARW2 AND THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR.

THERE ALSO APPEARS TO BE A GROWING SIGNAL FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WV/VA/NC/MD ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE REGION IN
A WEAK LOW LEVEL WAA PATTERN. PWAT VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE
TO ABOVE 2" BY THIS TIME. STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY BE MOVING OFF TO
THE EAST AT AROUND 10-20 KTS...HOWEVER SOME SIGNALS FOR LOCALIZED
CELL MERGERS WITHIN THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE HIGH PWAT
AIR...WOULD ANTICIPATE THIS CONVECTION TO BE EFFICIENT HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCERS. SO LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1-2" IN AN HOUR SEEM
POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD BEGIN TO APPROACH FFG OVER PORTIONS OF WV
INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN VA. FOR THIS REASON OPTED TO EXTEND THE
MARGINAL RISK TO INCLUDE THESE AREAS...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES POSSIBLE.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...


A STATIONARY WEST TO EAST BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAPED IN THE
VICINITY OF NORTHERN TX AND OK THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. EXPECT TO
SEE AMPLE INSTABILITY ALONG/NEAR THIS FRONT...WITH ABOVE NORMAL
PWATS IN PLACE. THE NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN 850 MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO LOOKS LIKE AN UPPER
JET TO THE NORTH MAY GIVE SOME ADDED BOOST TO CONVECTION WITH THE
REGION IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THUS SEEMS LIKE A
SETUP FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION/POSSIBLE MCS TRACKING ACROSS THE TX
AND OK PANHANDLES. WPC FAVORED A SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE 0Z GFS.
SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN TOO
PROGRESSIVE FOR THERE TO BE AN ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
HOWEVER THE PERSISTENT 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE BOUNDARY
MAY BE ABLE TO SUPPORT SOME BACKBUILDING. AND GIVEN THE WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT
RISK.


DAY 3 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT)...


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
OVERALL THIS WILL BE A PRETTY COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A GOOD UPPER JET
STRUCTURE AS WELL. THIS FORCING WILL INTERACT WITH A SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND ABUNDANT INSTABILITY OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THUS SEE NO REASON WHY WE SHOULD NOT SEE PRETTY
ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. INITIALLY THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE
PRETTY PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER AS WE HEAD
INTO THE EVENING HOURS WE SEE AN UPTICK IN SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS OK INTO ADJACENT KS/AR/MO. THUS AS THE
FORCING PULLS AWAY TO THE EAST...ANTICIPATE THAT WE COULD SEE SOME
BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION OFF TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND POOL OF INSTABILITY. THUS WHILE NOT A SURE
BET...THERE APPEARS TO BE A THREAT FOR SOME TRAINING CONVECTION
RESULTING IN SOME HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. STILL QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SETUP...BUT THE GFS HAS BEEN PRETTY
CONSISTENT IN SHOWING POCKETS OF HEAVY AMOUNTS. AND IN GENERAL
(WHILE AT TIMES TOO HIGH WITH MAGNITUDES) THE GFS HAS BEEN THE
BEST PIECE OF GLOBAL GUIDANCE WITH THESE TYPE OF CONVECTIVE
EVENTS. THUS WPC LEANED OUR FORECAST MORE TOWARDS THE GFS. GIVEN
WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING...OPTED
TO INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK INTO FAR
SOUTHEAST KS...FAR SOUTHWEST MO AND FAR NORTHWEST AR. AGAIN WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND ADJUST THIS OUTLOOK AS
NEEDED.

...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS CANADA WILL PUSH A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY. ANTICIPATE A PRETTY GOOD
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. ALTHOUGH
THE FRONT SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE...AND DISPLACED WELL EAST OF THE
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL FORCING. THUS UNCLEAR HOW INTENSE OR
ORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE BY THIS TIME. HOWEVER PWATS ABOVE 2"
DO SUPPORT A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS
SUGGESTS THE CORRIDOR FROM BALTIMORE TO SOUTHERN CT COULD BE MOST
AT RISK FOR LOCALIZED HEAVIER TOTALS. HOWEVER EVEN HERE NOT SOLD
ON THE THREAT AT THIS TIME GIVEN SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TIMING
AND INTENSITY OF CONVECTION AS IT MOVES ACROSS. BUT THE LOWER FFG
OVER THE AREA AND 2"+ PWATS DO SUPPORT THE INCLUSION OF A MARGINAL
RISK.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


SCHICHTEL/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 513288 505288 500286 497284 493282 489283 486284 483283
      481279 481272 481267 483263 484258 488256 498259 503260
      505257 507250 509246 514250 522253 526255
 0.01 533228 529224 526220 524213 523205 524195 523187 516177
      513171 509166 508164 508158 509150 513147 519147 524151
      528155 531161 534167 534172 533177 532183 538185 542179
      544179 545185
 0.01 565999 566990 564985 561974 557963 552952 542938 536933
      530930 523926 517921 511917 512913 511910 507900 506893
      503889 498883 493878 481864 477862 474862 472860 467860
      463858 456856 448853 441849 435844 422835 413826 407820
      400825 397827 391828 383825 377821 369817 365817 363816
      358816 354819 350820 338832 335832 333827 331823 332818
      335809 339807 342810 355806 360805 360802 352799 352794
      353789 358782 364775 366771 366765 366759 368754 364752
      358752 354752 351753 341757 334762 329766 315777 311783
      305789 297794 286795 270795 264795 260797 254798 250801
      246804 244807 245813 244819 244826 246830 251836 256840
      264842 270842 272839 277834 281834 285837 290844 296858
      298863 298869 296876 293887 290891 285891 283896 282901
      282906 286909 289910 289912 290918 292928 294935 297939
      300941 303943 308943 316940 319938 321935 325926 329919
      335913 340907 342900 343895 342890 340882 339878 337873
      336870 337868 344875 347879 351880 356879 359881 363890
      364894 363898 361902 357904 350909 346912 344915 339923
      334930 331938 327954 326965 325972 324977 323984 320987
      317990 315994 313003 314006 314010 312014 312019 312022
      314020 324021 329021 333019 336017 340013 347009 357007
      359004 362003 370000 378000 383004 386009 388014 388019
      386022 384027 383034 381038 381047 385055 391061 393064
      398065 400067 404068 410068 412065 413052 412048 412042
      413035 415030 420023 422013 427007 432004 449996 465988
      469986 471987 475987 479989 495986 499987 502988 503986
      508986 513988 518993 523997 532998 541002 544003 548004
      557005 561005 563003 565999
 0.01 492677 490669 487663 483657 479653 477652 476655 474657
      473661 474670 476677 478684 482690 484691 487688 490684
      492677
 0.01 473221 473219 474216 473216 472215 470215 469215 468217
      467220 468220 469221 470223 471223 472222 473221
 0.01 456108 457098 455093 450090 443089 441086 439086 435090
      431092 429094 429099 428103 430104 432106 435107 442108
      447111 454112 456108
 0.01 411105 411103 411101 411099 412096 410095 409094 408093
      406093 405095 403097 402100 402102 402104 404107 405107
      407107 409108 411105 411105
 0.01 305032 303026 300024 294024 294019 295013 293010 289010
      284011 275015 272017 272023 276032 275036 271035 268035
      266036 264040 262043 261049 262061 262066 264070 267075
      269078 277082 284083 288082 291079 293075 292069 294065
      296061 297054 296048 294044 291041 290035 291032 293033
      297036 301036 304032 305032
 0.01 292962 292960 293958 293956 292954 292953 290953 288954
      287956 285957 283957 282958 281960 282962 283963 284964
      285964 286965 288965 290964 292962 292962
 0.25 536960 535957 534955 532952 530950 527952 525952 522953
      520955 519960 520963 522965 525967 528968 530969 533968
      534966 536963 536960
 0.25 512949 512947 510944 509944 507944 505945 504947 504949
      505952 505953 507953 509953 510953 511952 512950 512949
 0.25 502929 502920 499911 495906 491903 485902 480899 475896
      471893 460885 451878 431867 421860 414859 412861 411865
      411874 406876 400875 397875 395872 393870 392866 390857
      388849 386846 383846 378849 374854 373861 374871 374891
      372898 370904 365908 360911 352918 345931 342936 338940
      336948 335954 333969 334977 335981 338983 341984 342988
      344990 347991 353988 357985 360983 364985 368983 373981
      377984 383983 388981 394979 399979 410984 425983 430987
      435989 443989 449987 457981 468972 477967 481963 486959
      493949 499939 502933 502929
 0.25 411019 412017 412015 413012 412010 411009 410008 408010
      407012 406014 406017 406019 407021 409021 411019 411019
 0.25 353764 350762 347764 343767 342770 341776 339779 338783
      340786 342786 345781 345776 348772 350769 352766 353764
 0.25 335897 333891 329887 327882 324876 323873 321871 316874
      309882 306888 307892 306896 299905 298912 299918 303924
      306927 309926 310924 314919 322912 331906 335900 335897
 0.25 304850 305848 304846 304844 303842 301842 300844 299845
      299847 299849 300850 301851 302851 303851 304850
 0.25 289814 285808 278807 272802 263804 254805 253809 255813
      259817 265822 268824 272824 279819 284816 289814
 0.25 287056 288054 287052 287051 285051 283050 281050 280051
      281053 281054 283055 285055 287057 287056
 0.25 268833 268831 267830 266829 265828 264827 263827 263829
      263831 264832 266833 267833 268833
 0.50 493932 494926 493921 490914 480909 464898 459894 455891
      444887 442880 439877 435879 434883 435888 437893 437896
      435898 425894 421892 414891 408893 405899 403906 401913
      399917 394920 390918 386914 382911 376909 365915 357918
      351927 348939 342941 339943 339946 337960 337968 338974
      343978 346982 350982 355978 359975 364973 369972 374969
      379967 382971 386975 392974 397972 398965 400963 401965
      403970 407974 412976 425975 430976 435980 438983 445983
      449981 452978 461969 469963 478958 482954 485949 487943
      489940 493932
 0.50 382891 382888 382886 381884 379886 378889 378891 377893
      378895 380896 380895 381893 382891
 0.50 321898 322896 322894 321892 321890 320887 320886 319885
      318884 316884 314884 314886 313888 313890 314892 314894
      314896 314898 315901 317903 318903 319903 319902 320900
      321898
 0.50 272816 271814 268812 267810 264809 262808 258809 258811
      259813 261815 264817 266818 268819 271818 272816
 1.00 484932 485927 484923 482919 477919 474916 465912 458907
      448918 445920 442919 440915 438911 434908 430910 428912
      428916 431919 435921 437923 438927 438930 436932 435938
      431936 428936 425937 425940 426944 429947 428954 430961
      433965 440969 444968 448966 455960 469949 482935 484932
 1.00 425928 425926 424925 423924 422923 421923 420924 419926
      420928 421929 423929 424929 425928
 1.00 391947 392941 391938 385934 382930 382926 380922 378920
      373919 370920 364924 359923 357926 356931 357935 360932
      361935 358943 355950 352956 347963 345965 343969 346972
      350973 352974 354971 366964 373961 379958 384957 386955
      391949 391947
 1.00 347952 347949 348947 347945 346945 345946 344947 344949
      343952 343954 345954 346953 347952
 1.50 476932 477928 475925 472924 464922 462925 459928 453928
      450931 446933 445938 443943 443949 444955 447957 452957
      455955 462950 468944 474937 476932
 1.50 377949 378945 377940 376934 376929 373927 369932 366937
      363943 361948 359954 358958 359962 364959 368956 373953
      377949
 2.00 468937 467934 465935 462937 459936 455936 454938 453942
      453947 455948 459947 461946 462944 464941 466939 468937
 2.00 372947 372943 371940 369941 366943 364944 363947 362949
      361954 361956 363956 364954 366952 368950 370949 372947

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 528862 523852 519841 513821 511814 507809 505805 502800
      489780 483771 477766 467755 442737 423735 420733 418728
      415726 410727 404727 401728 395732 392737 384745 378753
      373758 367764 362769 358770 355772 352775 347776 345772
      341772 337774 331776 326777 322775 311773 305777 300779
      296781 290785 281792 276796 271799 264799 258801 255801
      254797 251798 248801 243802 238809 235817 239823 242826
      245824 249820 263826 271833 273836 275842 276854 276859
      278863 284872 289879 295891 298892 302890 303884 304885
      305891 304894 302895 297899 295901 295906 295917 293928
      293940 295944 297946 298952 300955 303955 312958 314959
      315962 315968 315980 318994 320006 319019 318022 316023
      312024 298019 279021 277023 275028 271035 268039 268045
      268056 269060 273065 280070 289073 291071 293067 305051
      308046 312041 316037 321037 340038 347034 354032 357032
      358034 360039 358044 358049 364050 367049 372048 374046
      382038 386037 386044 386050 384056 378062 377063 376067
      376075 377078 379078 380075 381065 383064 387063 391066
      395067 396072 396076 399074 401072 402066 402060 401058
      397053 394050 391045 392039 394037 398033 402030 406031
      406037 407042 411040 415030 416027 418027 421028 423031
      424034 428035 428030 427025 429024 437024 442022 445023
      446025 447032 450037 454040 458043 464043 472049 483060
      487061 488057 489043 489037 488033 488026 491023 494021
      500019 509019 515012 516007 517001 518994 516988 508984
      491969 479960 476959 471959 468961 464961 458969 456973
      452975 443975 435971 426967 422965 418967 405975 395981
      391981 386983 381983 376980 371977 368972 359959 355952
      351947 368914 387909
 0.01 387909 393908 394901 394894 396891 399890 402890 405891
      410894 414898 417903 420907 422913 426926 430940 435948
      438954 442958 449964 452965 453964 459961 467955 477950
      486945 500929 508921 512916 513910 518897 521887 521882
      524875 528863 528862
 0.01 453100 454088 455081 453078 453072 452068 451064 449062
      447060 444062 440067 439072 441075 445082 443091 441095
      443098 448102 453100
 0.01 386200 384197 381193 378191 375188 371185 366184 364184
      367188 371191 374194 377197 380200 385200 386200
 0.25 512872 512866 512861 509853 506844 504840 494827 486814
      480799 473790 469786 464785 455782 452782 449780 447772
      443765 442758 437752 433750 431753 434763 434769 432773
      426774 421771 416770 411774 409773 406773 406776 403783
      397796 391798 391794 393791 396785 398777 398767 398764
      400760 403755 406748 407745 406740 403740 401742 394750
      393754 390754 387753 384756 388762 386768 380779 377787
      371790 356790 351791 348795 342793 341790 339789 333791
      330796 326803 322806 315811 311810 299807 292805 285806
      278806 275808 274812 273816 270818 267811 259806 256811
      259814 263817 270818 270822 272825 279827 282827 286825
      290825 293828 295828 298826 302826 307825 310824 318820
      339807 344808 348811 351816 352824 352835 351843 348856
      346865 344872 339879 336886 333892 329897 325902 323907
      321912 320918 320927 322932 325934 328931 334933 340923
      347910 348906 348899 351891 357879 359874 365872 368869
      371869 375873 377877 379881 383883 388879 391873 395869
      421868 426866 430867 435871 438875 444886 451896 455903
      456914 457929 456935 457940 459942 463943 471942 476937
      486929 494919 499911 505898 510884 512872
 0.25 387804 387802 385804 385805 387804 387804
 0.25 372017 374011 373005 371999 369994 367990 362987 355983
      351978 348970 345965 340964 336966 336970 336975 337985
      339993 340001 337008 336011 336016 339021 342024 346024
      352022 358022 364025 367025 370023 372017
 0.25 331954 331952 331949 332947 332945 331943 330942 328943
      327944 326945 326947 326949 326952 326954 326956 327956
      328958 330956 330955 331954
 0.25 310935 311933 311930 311928 310926 308926 306928 305930
      305931 304933 305933 306935 307935 308936 310935 310935
 0.25 305044 305042 306040 306038 306036 304035 302035 302036
      301037 300038 299039 298040 298042 298043 299044 300046
      302046 304045 305044
 0.25 300848 301846 300844 300842 300840 300838 300836 299834
      299833 298834 297835 297836 297837 298838 299840 299842
      299844 298847 299849 300849 300848
 0.25 291845 291843 290841 288841 287843 287845 286846 286848
      287850 288852 289852 290849 290847 291845
 0.50 502890 502881 501876 500866 500858 500850 498845 493838
      486832 481831 476828 468809 465803 463800 459797 452799
      446805 442805 439803 435800 431799 427797 426792 424787
      420784 417783 413784 406791 399802 396809 393814 389815
      386820 388823 396830 397833 399833 403831 408831 410835
      412841 414846 418850 423851 431857 438860 442862 444867
      445875 448881 452892 456900 460904 461910 464924 464931
      462935 462938 464939 469938 473935 476932 482922 487913
      493906 498898 502890
 0.50 390769 389767 388767 389769 389770 390769
 0.50 394856 390852 389845 387841 385843 382848 379852 377859
      379866 382873 384874 387872 391867 393863 394856
 0.50 374799 370796 365799 362803 358808 356815 357823 358826
      360825 363820 366814 368809 371804 374799
 0.50 369012 369003 366995 360990 351989 347991 345993 343997
      343002 340010 339014 340017 343020 347020 351015 354013
      358013 364016 367016 369013 369012
 0.50 349881 349879 349877 348875 347877 346877 345879 345881
      345882 347884 349882 349881
 0.50 335917 335912 333908 331904 331900 328904 326907 324912
      323917 324919 327918 329919 332921 334922 335919 335917
 0.50 310814 302813 295811 292810 288810 278812 275818 273822
      274824 279825 282823 288820 294822 303821 308817 310814
 1.00 494858 493853 492849 487843 480844 475845 468845 466839
      466833 466827 465824 461819 458816 455816 453820 451826
      448832 445829 440824 437821 435817 432810 429807 426810
      425813 424825 424834 426840 431845 438847 443851 446857
      450863 456868 461881 465888 466895 467901 466912 466922
      468927 470927 473919 477913 481909 484902 486898 489895
      491887 488879 488872 489865 492861 494858
 1.00 417809 417806 413805 411804 410801 407800 406803 405808
      405815 411813 413817 413826 415831 416823 417816 417809
 1.00 362003 361998 359996 357997 353998 349000 346004 344008
      343013 345013 349010 353009 356007 361005 362003
 1.50 485854 480854 475856 470859 469865 467869 466867 461871
      461876 465877 468876 473874 475875 476879 479872 481865
      484861 485854
 1.50 480899 480892 478887 476884 473880 469880 469885 470890
      470897 469902 470909 473905 475901 478902 480899
 1.50 462829 457827 456832 452836 450843 448849 449855 452860
      455857 460852 462846 461837 461831 462829
 1.50 435837 436835 436832 434831 434830 433829 431829 429830
      429831 429833 429836 430838 432839 433839 435837 435837
 2.00 457847 456845 456844 455842 454842 452842 452843 452845
      451848 452850 453851 455851 455850 456848 457847


24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 525826 523821 523814 524807 522803 521796 519792 519784
      517779 516774 515772 514764 510753 509745 507743 507738
      502728 493710 490704 491698 491690 488687 479672 474666
      468659 464656 461655 452655 448654 443656 437661 428667
      422669 418673 412675 409678 405680 403684 381711 369725
      361732 353739 347745 340750 334755 330758 328761 323768
      320773 316776 312779 309783 302789 299792 297796 293798
      289797 281794 272795 263794 259792 256795 252799 247802
      242803 241805 241809 239817 237827 238832 240836 244843
      248852 251857 254860 270868 273869 275872 277877 278884
      279889 280896 282900 286900 290898 293899 292902 291906
      296914 299921 301925 305927 310927 313930 317938 325952
      331960 337961 342964 342979 342985 341990 338001 338010
      339016 339020 335023 335029 336033 340039 344041 347042
      350039 353041 357051 362056 366055 372055 376054 375057
      374063 373069 374076 377079 381081 384075 386070 389066
      395062 397057 392056 388054 383053 376047 373038 370029
      369023 370015 372011 378011 384004 394991 397988 402987
      410986 432981 443982 447983 452984 461988 464989 468988
      470986 469981 465973 462969 459966 458963 460962 464959
      468957 473957 478959 481957 484954 484949 481945 479940
      476932 471925 467920 462918 458917 455917 454915 451904
      451898 450894 448889 445885 439878 434873 431871 428869
      425871 423874 420879 418884 416887 412891 407890 400882
      397880 392880 386886 381893 375898 370900 364899 357898
      352900 348903 346901 346897 347893 361858 372842 383825
      386821 391819 395817 398816 406815 411815 415816 436818
      439821 439825 440832 440846 443857 445863 449867 462880
      478887 496887 501888 503886 508878
 0.01 508878 509876 511874 514872 517871 519868 519866 519860
      521858 522855 522850 522844 522842 523836 524834 524828
      525826
 0.01 375193 375191 376189 375186 373185 371184 370183 368182
      366182 365181 364182 363183 362184 362185 364186 364187
      366188 367189 367190 369191 370192 370193 372194 374194
      375193
 0.01 309045 310039 310034 307030 304030 301033 299036 296040
      295046 296048 300049 305049 308047 309045
 0.25 512854 512845 511835 509820 507811 505804 499791 494780
      488771 482760 475750 469741 466738 464730 464724 465721
      467715 468708 468699 470693 469684 467676 465671 461666
      456665 451664 446666 438674 435677 429680 420688 411696
      405705 403709 399713 391721 384732 378739 372748 371754
      368760 362763 356765 350767 345770 338777 330786 323794
      314799 310802 307806 307815 304816 296815 290816 284816
      279819 274823 275819 277814 278808 268804 264802 259805
      257808 257813 260817 264822 272825 270831 271836 273838
      277840 281844 287854 291864 296872 301880 303875 304867
      309856 311852 312846 315834 320823 323810 323803 327800
      339797 347798 353799 357799 361795 367782 370779 375776
      380773 383775 386779 392780 401779 410772 414769 418767
      421767 426769 431771 444772 447776 451780 455785 458788
      466794 468800 468809 467815 467824 467831 468840 470848
      473853 479862 483866 487868 496871 502870 507866 510860
      512854
 0.25 418949 419944 417941 414934 410929 407926 407922 405915
      400910 395911 390915 388922 384927 378930 370930 359924
      352922 346923 344926 343930 343941 343946 344950 345958
      351971 353987 353996 349000 346002 344005 345009 348011
      353011 360008 366005 371001 373996 378991 384988 388984
      391978 396975 403972 407966 413958 418949
 0.25 328937 326924 325909 325894 325886 324883 321881 318881
      314884 309892 307898 307905 307912 308918 311923 314923
      315921 318921 320926 325936 326938 328937
 0.50 507854 508846 506839 502829 500826 497823 494825 490825
      483821 481824 481832 480837 480844 481852 483857 485860
      489862 492864 497865 504859 507854
 0.50 463681 460671 456671 453674 449677 447680 445684 442687
      435691 428695 425698 425703 427708 427714 426717 422719
      419716 419709 420701 416701 411704 395731 392739 387746
      383754 383759 383763 385765 389769 392771 398772 403765
      406757 407753 409749 416743 420737 425736 426738 425746
      427757 429763 432765 436763 439760 444755 447756 452755
      455752 456748 456737 459729 460718 462707 463703 462696
      463681
 0.50 444735 443734 442733 441732 440731 439730 438731 437731
      437734 438735 439736 440738 442739 443737 444735
 0.50 409947 410941 407939 399938 391936 382936 378936 374938
      374944 375949 380954 385959 391961 398961 405958 407955
      408949 409947
 0.50 388977 388974 387974 386973 384974 384975 382976 381977
      380977 378979 377981 378983 380984 382984 384984 384983
      385982 386981 387979 387978 388977
 0.50 372949 370944 367941 361933 357930 352929 350930 349933
      351938 354951 355965 356978 359982 364985 369982 368976
      368963 370954 372949
 0.50 364001 365998 364996 365994 364994 363994 362995 362996
      361998 360000 360002 360003 362003 364001 364001
 0.50 354005 353003 351003 349003 348004 347005 346006 347007
      349008 351008 353007 354005
 0.50 305840 305837 305835 304834 303833 302833 301834 301835
      301836 301838 302840 303841 305841 305840
 1.00 414734 413732 413731 411732 410732 408732 406732 404733
      403734 405735 406736 408737 409737 410738 412738 413737
      413735 414734
 1.00 396954 397949 395947 393946 391945 388943 386942 382941
      381945 383947 385949 387952 389954 391956 393957 395956
      396954
 1.00 364978 365976 364974 362973 361974 360974 360976 361977
      361978 362980 364979 364978
 1.00 365952 366949 366947 365945 364943 363941 362941 361939
      359938 357938 356938 355939 355941 355943 355945 357947
      357948 358949 359951 359952 361953 363953 364952 365952
 1.50 364947 363945 363944 361944 360943 359943 358943 359945
      360947 361948 363948 364947


$$





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