Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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463
FXUS04 KWBC 051030
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
529 AM EST FRI FEB 05 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 05/1200 UTC THRU FEB 08/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...MID ATLANTIC COAST AND NEW ENGLAND...

COASTAL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DROP JUST BELOW 1000 MB BY 00Z
SATURDAY AS IT COMES WHIPPING UP THE COAST TODAY...MOVING FROM OFF
NORTH CAROLINA TO OFF OF MAINE...PASSING NEAR THE 70/40 BENCHMARK.
THE SYSTEM WAS FORMING IN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF AN IMPRESSIVE 180
KNOT ANTICYCLONICALLY CURVED UPPER JET...WITH A SHARPLY DEFINED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING UP FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MODELS
CONTINUED TO TREND WETTER ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST FROM LONG
ISLAND TO MAINE...AND WPC INCREASED 24-HOUR QPF AMOUNTS BY 0.10
INCHES ALONG THIS ZONE...SLIGHTLY MORE ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS
CAPE...WHERE TOTAL PRECIPITATION BEYOND 12Z TODAY MAY EXCEED ONE
INCH LIQUID. WHILE SOME OF THAT WILL BE RAIN OUT OVER THE
CAPE...SNOW IS EXPECTED AS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE FARTHER
WEST. PLEASE REFER TO THE QPFHSD...HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION...FOR
DETAILS.

THE QPF WAS BASED ON A 40/30/30 BLEND OF PREVIOUS WPC / 00Z NAM /
00Z NAM CONEST. THE NAM WAS FAIRLY REPRESENTATIVE OF TRENDS IN THE
GLOBAL AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE. THE CONEST LEANED A BIT FARTHER EAST
WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY THAT WHICH WILL BE
CONVECTIVE NEAR THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW...SO THE CONEST WAS
USED TO TEMPER THE TENDENCY OF THE NAM TO SPREAD HEAVY AMOUNTS TOO
FAR NORTH AND WEST INTO THE DRIER CONTINENTAL AIR. AGAIN...THE
OVERALL CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WAS FAIRLY MINIMAL...BUT DOES HAVE
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE WINTER WEATHER DETAILS...INCLUDING MAJOR
POPULATION CENTERS IN THE NORTHEAST.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHWESTERLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A
SHARP WIND SHIFT AND THEN WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND A COMPACT AND
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FEATURE WILL FOCUS ANOMALOUS
MOISTURE FLUX INTO THE COASTAL RANGES AND CASCADES FOR SEVERAL
HOURS FRIDAY EVENING. AS THE WAVE CONTINUES DOWNSTREAM INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IT SHOULD LOSE THE CONNECTION TO PACIFIC
MOISTURE...AS THE SHARPNESS OF THE WAVE AND SHORT WAVELENGTH
LEAVES THE CORRIDOR OF MORE FAVORABLE PW VALUES PINCHED OFF IN AN
AREA OF WEAKER LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY
SATURDAY MORNING. AS SUCH...THE MODELS AND ANALOG EVENT DATA FROM
THE GEFS REFORECAST EFFORTS SUGGEST RELATIVELY HEAVY 24-HOUR
AMOUNTS WEST OF THE CASCADES...AND LESS THAN A HALF INCH AREAL
AVERAGE FARTHER EAST INTO IDAHO. MODEL QPF AGREEMENT CONTINUES TO
BE GOOD...BUT HAD SHOWN TRENDS TOWARD A SLOWER ONSET AND GREATER
EMPHASIS ON WESTERN WASHINGTON...WITH DECREASING EXPECTATIONS OVER
OREGON. FOR THE 06Z PRELIMINARY PACKAGE WPC HAD MADE LITTLE CHANGE
TO THE GOING FORECAST...BUT IN THE FINAL 0830Z PACKAGE WE FOLLOWED
THE TREND IN THE 00Z MODEL CONSENSUS TO DELAY TIMING AND DECREASE
AMOUNTS...WITH 1 TO 2 INCH AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS BEING CONFINED TO
THE OLYMPIC RANGE AND NORTHERN CASCADES.


...UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES...

A LOW AMPLITUDE AND MOISTURE STARVED TROUGH WILL PRODUCE LIGHT
PRECIPITATION AND A SMALL AMOUNT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. MODELS OFTEN
STRUGGLE TO PROVIDE MUCH DEFINITION WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
BETWEEN 0.01 AND 0.10 INCHES. WPC STARTED WITH A BLEND OF THE 00Z
GFS/12Z ECMWF AND 18Z GEFS MEAN GIVEN THEIR SIMILARITIES...AND
USED SOME OF OUR IN-HOUSE DOWNSCALED QPF AND PROBABILISTIC FIELDS
TO FILL IN THE DETAILS.


...COLORADO TO TEXAS...

THE SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE IN A DEVELOPING SPLIT FLOW WILL DIG INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. LIGHT SNOW WAS ALREADY ONGOING IN COLORADO
AND WESTERN KANSAS AT 10Z. THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE MAY BE LESS
EFFICIENT AT PRODUCING MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION AS IT COMES OUT
ONTO THE LOWER TERRAIN FROM KS TO W TX EARLY TODAY...BUT ASCENT
WILL THEN INCREASE AS THE WAVE SPINS UP AT LOWER LATITUDES...AND A
RETURN FETCH OF MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO TEXAS.
THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN DEPICTING ONE LOCAL
MAXIMUM OF PRECIPITATION FROM OK INTO NORTHEAST TX ALONG THE AXIS
OF DEEPEST FORCING...AND ANOTHER IN CENTRAL TEXAS NEAR THE
RETURNING MOISTURE. THE GEM REGIONAL MODEL AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE AND
GEFS PROBABILITIES WERE ALSO USEFUL IN CRAFTING QPF HERE...WITH
EVENT TOTALS REMAINING QUITE LIGHT...UNDER A HALF INCH AT BEST.


DAYS 2/3...

...UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVES CROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING DAY 2...AIDING THE
PRODUCTION OF GENERALLY LIGHT QPF.  A STRONGER SHORT WAVE CLOSES
OFF ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES LATE ON DAY
2/EARLY ON DAY 3.  AS THAT HAPPENS...A SURFACE LOW FORMS OVER
SOUTHERN CANADA WHICH THEN MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHEAST.  MOISTURE AND
LIFT BECOME FOCUSED ON AND NORTH OF A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SURFACE LOW. AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...THERE HAS BEEN SOME
CONSISTENCY ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM ON DAY 3 BUT
THERE HAS NOT BEEN AS CONSISTENT OF A SIGNAL AS TO THE POSITION OF
THE SURFACE LOW.  THE ECMWF APPEARED TO BE TOO QUICK TO SWEEP THE
SYSTEM OUT BUT THE NAM SEEMED TO BE TOO WET IN PLACES WHERE HIGHER
QPF IS GENERALLY NOT FOUND IN SUCH A SYSTEM.  AS A RESULT...THE
QPF WAS LARGELY BASED ON THE GFS/CANADIAN/UKMET WITH MOST EMPHASIS
ON THE GFS.

WHILE MUCH OF THE PCPN TIED TO THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE ASSOCIATED
WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT UP AND OVER THE COLD DOME NORTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW...THERE SHOULD BE A PERIOD ON SATURDAY WHEN NORTHERLY
WINDS ON THE BACK OF THE LOW SHOULD RESULT IN SOME LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS ESPECIALLY OVER THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN.

...NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

A SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM SHOULD BRING SOME LIGHT PCPN
MAINLY TO THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN THE WAKE
OF A SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD.  THE 00Z MODELS GOT
INTO FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE FORWARD SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM SO A
GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS SEEMED TO BE THE BEST APPROACH FOR QPF.

...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST/FL...

A SURFACE FRONT CROSSES THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND FL DURING DAY
2...AND THE FRONT ACTS AS A CONDUIT FOR MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GULF STATES LATE ON
DAY 2 AND INTO DAY 3...A SURFACE WAVE FORMS ON THE FRONT OFF THE
EAST COAST OF FL. AFTER THAT TIME...A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD
CONTINUES CONCERNING JUST HOW QUICKLY THE WAVE DEEPENS AND TRACKS
TO THE NORTHEAST. WE TENDED TO FAVOR A SOLN AWAY FROM THE ECMWF
AND MORE TOWARDS THE CANADIAN/GFS/NAM.

A SURFACE FRONT TIED TO A SYSTEM OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SHOULD
INITIALLY BE DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA.  THE FRONT
SHOULD BE SEPARATING AN AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF
1.25 TO 1.50 INCHES FROM PW CLOSER TO 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES NORTH OF
THE FRONT.  INSTABILITY STILL LOOKS TO BE LACKING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...SO THE QPF SHOULD TAKE THE FORM OF LOW TOPPED SHOWERS IN
AN ENVIRONMENT OF DEEPENING MOISTURE. WE ATTEMPTED TO MAINTAIN
CONSISTENCY AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE HERE.

A SURFACE WAVE SPINS UP ALONG THE FRONT...GENERALLY OFF THE FL
EAST COAST. THERE REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD ON THE TIMING AND
DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW. THIS CAN BE TRACED TO HOW THE MODELS
HANDLE THE CLOSING OFF OF THE BOTTOM OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...AS
IT SLIPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST.  ONCE AGAIN...WE
TENDED TO PUT MORE WEIGHT ON THE 00Z GFS/CANADIAN/UKMET AND LEAST
ON THE ECMWF.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

BURKE/BANN

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 477618 483625 487634 489649 489654 487658 475673 467681
      461691 456699 452706 442721 436730 429737 415751 401761
      394766 387770 380773 376774 367772 350764 343761 338762
      335764 325777 320785 313794 302808 299811 293813 286814
      278811 272808 265804 261801 258797 255797 252799 248802
      241809 237816 235823 232827 230828 228818 227810 231800
      239781 243773 249768 256764 266762 270764 272766 271770
      272773 277771 281772 282776 279780 276783 269789 269792
      272795 278794 282792 287787 294780 301773 317759 324755
      330750 336743 340737 353720 358714 367707 381696 389681
      400666 407657 415649 425642 432637 437632
 0.01 541203 539196 537190 535182 535175 532170 526166 517158
      499145 490135 486131 483129 480128 469125 468127 469133
      466133 464131 456130 451131 450133 451136 454141 453145
      450144 445145 443145 441143 438139 436140 435143 434152
      437158 442169 444174 446177 446180 441183 439185 438191
      438198 439202 442204 443209 439211 429213 421222 417222
      415224 412229 404236 396242 391245 387248 385250 383254
      385257 389257 394257 399260 404263 403269 401277 400286
      406298 410302 415304 427309 435311 441311 448314 454314
      464315 474314 484313 495309 501306 508300 524262 522252
      520242 518234 516227 512218 508211 507208 509202 514208
      520213 523214 525213 530219 531221 534223
 0.01 504826 503822 502819 500814 496812 490812 484813 478817
      475817 473819 469820 465819 463814 459811 455808 455802
      455797 456793 455784 452779 449780 448782 447790 445796
      439804 436806 435811 433816 439815 441814 444817 452822
      455827 456834 449845 445858 442873 442879 440882 441886
      441896 442905 438918 435931 433937 432946 429952 428955
      428960 428964 429966 433971 440981 443993 444997 444002
      446007 448010 451010 456008 462996 467986 472973 478959
      487936 489927 492920 494914 496906 501878 502868 502858
      501839 504826
 0.01 475197 475192 473189 470188 467187 465189 463191 461193
      459195 456199 458203 461203 463203 465204 467205 469203
      471201 474199 475197
 0.01 456113 454105 453100 448095 445096 443098 439098 438099
      434099 435105 437105 437110 440112 442118 444123 448121
      453117 456113
 0.01 441755 440748 436746 435749 435756 435761 434766 434773
      436780 437777 438772 440767 440762 440755 441755
 0.01 435787 431785 429781 427781 424781 422780 422782 419785
      413784 414791 418795 420799 424801 427798 427796 428793
      428788 429784 431785 435787
 0.01 432106 430106 428106 427106 426108 428108 430106 432106
      432106
 0.01 414064 412061 410059 407058 404058 402056 398055 391063
      389066 389070 390073 396066 402058 406061 407063 405065
      403065 401069 397073 399076 403074 408075 412072 412068
      410066 414064
 0.01 416968 415963 412964 405973 396993 392003 386015 373030
      366034 362038 364041 365048 364052 361054 361056 364054
      369053 375054 379051 382046 386043 390041 394037 399016
      403006 407993 416970 416968
 0.01 403792 402792 400793 398793 396793 395793 393794 391796
      390796 388797 388799 390797 391796 393796 395796 397796
      398795 400795 402792 403792 403792
 0.01 368985 365979 361973 362969 363963 361958 359956 354952
      346949 330944 317940 312939 309941 307943 305947 298949
      289948 283945 278937 272935 265935 258939 255941 254945
      254955 256961 258964 261966 268971 280978 290989 301996
      315988 321986 325981 326978 329978 333978 338978 341979
      342982 344985 344990 343001 345004 349005 355000 363995
      368985
 0.25 461623 468624 471625 473628 476633 478638 479645 478651
      471665 466673 461680 452692 440706 431716 418729 407738
      398744 390747 381749 374749 366747 362745 359740 361733
      366726 370720 376712 386701 396687 405675 417662 438637
      443632 450627
 0.25 530200 529191 526182 523176 517171 511167 507165 503165
      497165 492164 490162 487159 485156 483156 479157 473158
      475161 478163 483167 488175 491181 499185 505188 511194
      523203 527204 530200
 0.25 519274 520264 519254 518244 514235 511227 507220 498205
      493200 486200 479202 473206 467210 461212 454213 446216
      434220 434236 427236 420235 416237 414240 411243 411247
      418249 421250 423252 421265 422270 425271 430274 432277
      437277 443284 449290 457293 464294 481296 494296 501294
      508291 514285 518278 519274
 0.25 483857 483852 482847 480844 478842 476842 474843 473845
      473850 473853 475857 476860 479862 482859 483857
 0.25 459180 459180
 0.50 518271 519263 518256 515243 511231 505220 499211 495206
      488204 483204 479205 470211 462215 457219 458224 457229
      454231 449233 446235 446238 448241 453244 459247 465250
      480267 485277 493287 497290 501290 506288 510284 515277
      518271
 0.50 523189 521184 518179 513175 507174 504172 500171 496174
      502177 505178 506180 510186 515189 520192 522192 523189
 0.50 471645 471639 470635 466630 459627 457627 453628 447632
      443637 438641 432648 424658 414670 407680 397693 380714
      377720 375726 372733 371736 373737 378736 393733 400732
      406729 416721 423715 428711 446690 455680 464665 468657
      471645
 1.00 513271 515264 515256 513245 509235 504224 499217 496212
      491209 481207 477209 475214 481219 487222 489226 492237
      486238 483240 481237 480232 476229 471229 469235 470241
      473245 477249 480252 482257 487267 492275 495280 499284
      504285 507282 513272 513271
 1.00 463640 461636 457634 452636 448641 439647 433652 430656
      418674 404692 398700 390709 387713 385718 384721 386722
      392720 401714 407710 412708 418707 422704 429693 435685
      444676 451669 455664 457658 461649 463644 463640
 1.50 510257 512253 511249 509241 507235 504228 501223 498219
      495217 493218 492221 492226 494233 497239 500244 503249
      506256 510257
 1.50 505281 506277 506272 504265 501259 498255 494249 491244
      489242 486243 485251 487259 490265 493269 497276 499281
      502282 505281
 1.50 487213 486211 484210 484209 483209 481208 479210 478213
      479213 480215 482215 483216 485215 486215 487213 487213
 1.50 478243 480241 480239 479236 478233 476232 474232 473233
      472234 471236 472238 472239 473241 474242 475243 476244
      478244 478243
 1.50 448653 447650 442651 436655 431660 427666 423673 418679
      417681 420681 422679 427678 434677 438671 443664 446658
      448653
 2.00 503276 503269 501264 499260 497256 494251 491247 489247
      488254 489259 491263 493266 496271 499275 501277 503276
 2.00 506245 506240 505237 503234 502231 500228 499225 498223
      494223 495228 495231 497234 498237 500240 502243 503244
      506245
 2.00 477240 478238 477236 477235 476235 475235 474235 473236
      474238 474239 475240 477241 477240

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 480616 488623 492627 495632 497636 501640 506650 516674
      517682 518686 519689 521703 524729 523758 521768 525776
      527786 526790 526794 524797 520809 516814 513819 509828
      502837 499840 497846 496852 494859 500869 505876 514889
      519896 523905 528912 530918 533922 541936 547946 551951
      555954 558957 560961 562968 563976 562994 560008 557024
      556038 553049 550057 544063 538068 531072 526078 525081
      526083 527089 530100 530103 532105 535110 541119 542122
      541130 539137 537146 535153 534160 530173 529178 530183
      533187 536193 538197 539199 538203 533206 525206 517204
      512198 509195 506195 503195 500191 499185 496181 493176
      491175 489177 488180 486180 483176 481174 478173 473174
      469172 467170 466173 466177 464181 462183 456190 450195
      449189 449179 446172 441166 437158 435153 435148 435143
      437140 439139 442142 446143 448140 450134 451128 435117
      428125 424129 423126 423121 426115 422111 423105 428103
      430101 430098 427091 428089 430093 433095 436097 438095
      445094 451093 454096 456100 457096 451088 446083 443080
      437079 434076 433072 435069 443067 448070 451073 457082
      459086 461092 463099 464101 467102 472103 475106 476109
      473114 471118 473122 481126 486127 489130 497136 508147
      513149 515152 517151 517147 516143 513129 509124 505125
      500124 497121 490113 487107 483103 483100 481099 477099
      474096 470095 465087 459081 455074 451065 447063 443058
      437056 434052 433048 433037 437028 437026 440026 442026
      444029 452026 460022 464018 463012 463007 461003 460000
      455991 452980 452974 454968 457964 462964 465961 467957
      472940 469940 465937 463933 462929 460926 461921 462915
      465910 467910 468906 464902 461898 461889 456878 454874
      453866 445870 440873 435874 430874 426872 424872 424867
      424859 427852 435847 434839 433833 431827 426827 422827
      420824 418821 416819 414819 411814 410808 408803 413784
 0.01 413784 418776 423772 425767 423763 421759 421754 420747
      423744 430740 433738 436734 432733 427734 427729 430728
      432725 435726 438721 437714 438711 442709 447702 448698
      445695 444690 442686 441677 442664 442658 443654 445644
      449638 453631 457629 459626 462625 464622
 0.01 470332 487315 491312 496310 501310 505308 508302 511294
      517278 522263 524258 524251 514240 511235 508228 505222
      502217 500213 499210 496210 492209 489206 487204 483203
      478204 473207 465211 460212 455212 444213 438212 433215
      425220 429231 426233 423234 416232 408232 404233 400236
      401240 402243 401247 398253 391267 388274 388278 394278
      398277 406274 415265 424258 432251 436248 438241 441235
      446231 453231 458229 461226 463225 466226 472236 472240
      474244 476246 477251 476255 474259 471265 465277 463282
      461291 457313 457327
 0.01 494238 494236 493233 493230 492229 490227 489225 488226
      487226 485226 484227 484228 482229 483231 485231 486232
      488233 488234 489236 490237 490239 492240 494238
 0.01 475091 476089 476086 476084 475081 473081 471083 471086
      471088 471091 472093 474093 475091
 0.01 474074 472073 470071 471068 470066 469064 468065 468068
      469070 470071 472073 474074 474074
 0.01 415076 415073 413070 412068 414066 415066 416062 414061
      412063 409063 407065 405065 401067 405070 406070 408075
      410075 413076 415076
 0.01 356732 355724 352719 349715 346712 342710 337711 333713
      330717 316732 302743 269765 260771 257775 251777 245778
      242780 239783 237787 236792 232796 229800 228805 228810
      228816 226823 230828 233831 235839 237843 243847 247849
      252849 258848 262844 271839 278844 281844 284840 288835
      289831 292825 295822 299820 304819 316817 327814 336809
      343803 348798 355788 354781 352776 349771 350764 353755
      354750 355743 356732
 0.01 345958 343951 339943 335932 333928 330927 323924 317923
      312920 306917 299915 290909 284906 277903 272900 266900
      259903 255908 254915 255919 257920 259922 258925 257928
      257933 257941 258947 262963 266968 270971 274977 279981
      283981 284979 288975 296964 299959 305956 313958 319961
      328968 334969 339965 345958
 0.25 541995 541987 539984 535979 532976 531972 528965 518953
      513947 509944 506945 505950 506960 507971 510978 514987
      518992 520015 522026 523028 525028 529020 534016 537012
      538008 540998 541995
 0.25 516185 516182 516181 515179 515178 513177 512177 510177
      509178 508180 509183 511185 511186 512187 514187 515186
      516185
 0.25 478714 478711 477709 476708 475707 474706 473707 471708
      470709 468711 468712 467714 467717 468719 469721 471721
      472721 473720 474719 476718 477717 478714
 0.25 472158 472153 471150 469148 468146 466144 463142 460143
      460148 458153 460156 463158 466159 470159 472158
 0.25 447111 449109 447109 445108 445109 447111 447111
 0.25 442752 442751 440752 440753 440754 442752 442752
 0.25 429243 428239 424238 421237 418236 416237 413238 412240
      410244 410248 414249 417249 419249 422248 424246 427245
      429243
 0.25 342755 341746 339742 335741 331742 324744 313753 304759
      290766 279771 266778 259780 254783 238802 234808 236812
      240813 248811 255811 269812 277811 284812 292813 299813
      306813 313811 320809 326805 336798 340792 341789 341784
      340775 340768 342755
 0.25 324949 323946 321943 319941 317940 316938 312938 310941
      312945 314946 316948 319949 321951 324949
 0.25 279947 277947 277948 279948 279947
 0.50 466154 467152 466150 464150 463151 463154 465155 466154
 0.50 422243 423241 422241 421239 419239 417239 416241 417242
      418243 420244 422243 422243
 0.50 337758 336756 333754 327754 317759 307765 298770 287775
      277778 269781 264783 260785 256789 252792 248796 242803
      243805 247806 254805 261804 265805 278807 283807 288808
      295809 301809 313807 319805 323801 330795 334791 334783
      335771 337758
 1.00 328775 328769 325768 320770 313773 308777 303781 298785
      292788 286789 278789 273792 273795 276797 281799 284800
      288800 294799 299802 305803 310802 314800 317797 322791
      325786 328775

24HR QP VT 08/12Z
 0.01 474619 481621 486625 495634 498638 500645 502654 502664
      501674 499678 497681 491681 484680 476683 469688 466695
      459707 454715 451722 449741 447750 443756 441758 440754
      439743 440722 441714 442711 445708 449701 452692 454685
      457680 462671 465665 466660 465654 460649 453648 447651
      443646 440640 447632 454626
 0.01 520258 521253 520250 517246 514242 512239 509227 503220
      496213 488210 485212 485216 484222 487226 488230 486233
      482233 477230 472234 471238 470240 471244 476246 479249
      479254 478257 476262 471272 469276 471281 478287 482291
      487294 493290 502286 508280 513271 515264 518261 520258
 0.01 533979 533961 533949 530939 527930 526907 526901 525898
      524892 522886 517863 514854 513848 511845 507837 504831
      500824 495817 489810 484805 472797 470793 467792 459790
      445789 410796 395802 390803 388806 383809 378817 372824
      364836 361842 357850 356853 356858 357861 360865 360869
      359872 356875 350881 347888 345896 346906 347909 350910
      359910 362908 364905 367901 371898 373895 376893 377896
      379898 382896 385895 387893 388896 392913 398929 401935
      403938 409945 414947 417950 419954 423961 426967 431973
      431978 429980 428982 428986 429990 436994 441993 443996
      448003 473017 491023 499024 503024 505022 509022 512020
      517015 521010 525002 528996 530989 533979
 0.01 448051 448048 447043 447039 445038 443036 440035 438033
      436033 436036 438040 439043 441045 442048 444050 446051
      448051
 0.01 430885 427879 424874 421870 415866 408866 407868 403869
      399874 402876 405875 409875 409877 411882 414882 420884
      425886 427887 430885
 0.01 408702 406693 402688 398686 395680 389674 383675 378674
      356682 339694 304721 283733 273738 265744 251760 245769
      243773 242777 241782 244784 249784 254783 258779 266774
      275779 280783 283788 291793 299799 309801 317801 323799
      333794 349782 354777 357773 362763 363757 363753 365751
      374745 389729 399723 404715 407708 408702
 0.25 510260 511257 512255 511252 511250 510249 509247 508246
      508245 507245 506245 505246 504247 504249 503252 504253
      504255 504257 504259 506260 506261 507262 508262 509261
      510260
 0.25 501939 502937 501934 501931 500929 499928 498926 497925
      496924 495924 495927 495929 495932 495934 496935 496937
      496939 497941 498942 499943 500942 501940 501939
 0.25 490909 488899 485896 484892 485884 484877 481867 478857
      475849 466834 461828 459832 460834 463843 464850 463854
      464881 463905 464910 466915 469917 472914 478907 481906
      484908 489912 490909
 0.25 388705 388698 385695 380691 367687 359688 352691 342700
      331711 322721 313733 304742 294745 288749 284755 289757
      298760 299766 300775 304780 317786 325786 331784 344776
      349770 352766 365737 375726 382715 387709 388705
 0.50 376708 376702 374700 371696 367693 363692 356694 351697
      343704 335712 328719 321728 316737 310746 307750 305755
      305764 307769 313777 319780 325781 331780 335777 344769
      350761 358740 371722 376708
 1.00 363717 363710 361707 354703 348707 342713 336718 331724
      323737 315751 313759 314763 316767 322772 325774 330774
      335772 338769 342764 350749 356734 360727 363719 363717
 1.50 357723 357718 355714 349714 343717 339720 335725 332730
      327740 322752 320757 321763 326767 331769 336765 339762
      345751 350740 355729 357723
 2.00 353726 352721 348720 345721 340724 335730 331738 327746
      324756 324760 327764 331765 335763 340755 343748 347739
      352731 353726
 3.00 346732 344728 340731 338734 335738 333743 333748 333752
      334751 337747 339744 342739 343736 346732 346732

$$





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