Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 181007
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
506 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 18/1200 UTC THRU JAN 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1 UPDATE...

CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF WERE TO INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS
SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY BASED ON RADAR TRENDS...THE
LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE..AND ESPECIALLY THE LATEST ECMWF WHICH LATE
IN THE PERIOD SUGGESTS SOME HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS RE-ALIGNING
ITSELF ACROSS PORTIONS OF AR/LA AND POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHEAST TX.
OTHERWISE NO CHANGES WERE MADE.


DAY 1...

...NORTHEAST...

A SHORTWAVE SHEARING OUT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY WILL
STILL FOSTER SOME ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS NY AND INTERIOR
NEW ENGLAND BEFORE THE ENERGY DAMPENS OUT. ONE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR LAKE ERIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE WHILE
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND ADVANCES EAST
OUT TO SEA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE REMNANT VORT ENERGY MOVES
OFFSHORE. EXPECT SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW AND SOME POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN OVER THE INTERIOR...WITH JUST RAIN CLOSER TO THE
COAST. ADDITIONAL WATER EQUIVALENTS SHOULD BE MAINLY UNDER A 0.25
INCH...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHERN APPALACHIANS WHERE THE
TERRAIN OF NH AND WESTERN ME WILL SEE SLIGHTLY HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION. WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THE
QPF.

...EASTERN TEXAS/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

THE TAIL END OF A FRONTAL ZONE STALLED OUT OVER SOUTHEAST TX AND
THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS PERIOD...WITH HEAVY TO POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL EXPECTED AS A DEEP LAYER POOL MOISTURE AND AT LEAST
MODEST INSTABILITY POOLS ALONG THE FRONT. MEANWHILE...FAVORABLE
RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE
OVER THIS REGION DOWNWIND OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND CLOSED LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. BY
LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY THE UPSTREAM TROUGH WILL
BE ADVANCING EAST AND BECOMING MORE NEUTRALLY TILTED AS IT EJECTS
EAST TOWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE JET FORCING/LARGE SCALE ASCENT OVER SOUTHEAST
TX AND INTO SOUTHWEST LA IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT. PWATS ARE
FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 1.75 INCHES OVER THIS AREA WITH THE HELP
OF A 30 KT S/SW LOW LEVEL JET ADVANCING IN OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
IN ADDITION...THE CIRA-LPW PRODUCT SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP COMING NORTHEAST ACROSS MEXICO FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN IN THE 700/300 MB LAYER WHICH WILL BE
FOSTERING WARMER RAIN PROCESSES THAT WILL ENCOURAGE HEAVIER
RAINFALL RATES. THE MEAN LAYER FLOW WILL TEND TO BE NEARLY
PARALLEL THE FRONT...AND WITH THE PERSISTENT LEVEL OF LARGER SCALE
FORCING...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE AN AXIS OF BACKBUILDING AND
TRAINING CONVECTION. THE NAM/GFS AND ECMWF MAY BE TENDING THE
FOCUS THEIR HEAVIER RAINFALL POTENTIAL A BIT TOO FAR NORTH AWAY
FROM THE BETTER INSTABILITY AXIS...AND AS A RESULT KEPT THE FOCUS
OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS JUST A BIT FARTHER SOUTH OVER FAR EASTERN TX
AND WESTERN LA WHICH IS A BIT CLOSER TO THE HIRES MODEL CONSENSUS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS PERIOD ACROSS THIS REGION WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS FARTHER NORTH UP THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CALIFORNIA INTO THE GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONDITIONS WILL BE WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW...AND THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY ADVANCE SOUTH DOWN
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT SETTLES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE
LATEST CIRA-LPW AND AMSU 89 GHZ DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW AN
ORIENTATION OF THIS ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT EXTENDS IMPRESSIVELY
WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY BACK TO THE TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. PWS IN THE 700/500 MB LAYER ARE QUITE HIGH AND WILL BE
AIMED NEARLY ORTHOGONAL INTO ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHWEST OR/NORTHWEST
CA COASTAL RANGES BY LATE WEDNESDAY AND THEN DOWN INTO CENTRAL CA
AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN SIERRA-NEVADA THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.
ENHANCED MOISTURE FLUX AND PW ANOMALIES WILL BE IN PLACE GIVEN THE
STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELD AND UPSTREAM MOISTURE FEED. IN
FACT...A SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET UPWARDS OF 70 KTS IS FORECAST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST OR AND NORTHWEST CA WHICH WILL FOSTER 850/700 MB
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES OF 4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN...AND PW VALUES OF 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN.
THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THESE AREAS WHERE AS
MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
CONCERNS FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS INCLUDING DEBRIS FLOWS AND MUDSLIDES
NEAR ANY BURN SCAR AREAS. THESE AREAS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
FLOODING IN PARTICULAR. SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WILL BE EXPECTED DOWN ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA COASTAL RANGES AND
INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL SIERRA-NEVADA WITH
ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. RUNOFF PROBLEMS HERE WILL ALSO AGAIN BE
A CONCERN AND ESPECIALLY WITH SUCH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.
FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD SOUTHERN CA THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW LATE IN THE PERIOD AND SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY
APPROACH THE COASTAL RANGES HERE BY EARLY THURSDAY. FARTHER
INLAND...THE DEEP FETCH OF MID LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO OVERRUN COLDER AIR OVER THE GREAT BASIN WHICH WILL
PROMOTE A LARGE AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SOME SNOW
BUT ALSO SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN/ICING OVER THE DEEPER INTERIOR
VALLEYS OF WA/OR NEAR AND EAST OF THE CASCADES INCLUDING THE
COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE. SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALSO OVER
FAR EASTERN OR AND SOUTHWEST ID AS THE PACIFIC MOISTURE OVERRUNS
THE SHALLOW COLD AIR. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INCLUDING THE SAWTOOTH AND
BITTERROOTS. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON
THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CALIFORNIA/SOUTHWEST US/PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

THE SERIES OF MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES ONSHORE FROM THE
PACIFIC OCEAN AND THEN CONTINUES DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
US...RESULTING IN A WET PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
DAY 2 HAS A WAVE CROSSING SOUTHERN CA INTO THE SOUTHWEST US...WITH
WELL DEFINED 70 MB CONVERGENCE COMBINING WITH ONSHORE FLOW TO
PRODUCE AN INITIAL BURST OF VALLEY SHOWERS/MOUNTAIN SNOW IN
SOUTHERN CA.  WITH THE WAVE MOVING STEADILY INLAND...A BREAK
DEVELOPS AS THE SURGE OF MOISTURE AND LIFT CROSS INTO AZ WITH THE
SOUTHWEST LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW INDUCING UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE MOGOLLON
RIM...WHERE HIGHER PRECIP TOTALS ARE EXPECTED.

THIS WAVE WEAKENS AS IT CROSSES NM AND REDEVELOPS ON THE HIGH
PLAINS ON FRI. THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF WAVES MOVING ONSHORE
DOWNSTREAM FROM A CLOSED PACIFIC CIRCULATION MOVES ONSHORE IN
SOUTHERN CA...WITH WELL DEFINED 700 MB CONVERGENCE PROGRESSING
ACROSS SOUTHERN CA. EXPECT 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES OF 3-4
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...WITH SYNOPTIC ASCENT AHEAD OF
THE SHORTWAVE AUGMENTED BY TOPOGRAPHIC LIFT IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHERN CA...WHERE A PRECIP MAXIMA IS EXPECTED.   A DAY 3
MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS SHOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
THE EXPECTED ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...COMBINED WITH GOOD
SYNOPTIC FORCING AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND INCREASING INSTABILITY ALL
POINT TO A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE
THE FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE
DURATION OF ANY HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3"
(HIGHEST IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN) SEEM PROBABLE IN THIS 24 HOUR
PERIOD ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.

AS THIS WAVE /TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN
FRI NIGHT SO WILL THE PRECIPITATION THREAT. THE GFS SHOWS A 700 MB
JET OF 50-60 KT IN AZ WITH WELL DEFINED CONVERGENCE MAXIMA ACROSS
AZ INTO SOUTHERN UT...AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY 12Z SAT.  THE
MODELS AND GEFS ENSEMBLE MODEL REFORECASTS SHOW POTENTIAL FOR AN
INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT IN AZ WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND THE WPC QPF
FOLLOWS CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND. WEAKER LOW-MID LEVEL
CONVERGENCE MAXIMA WITH WAVES ROTATING ONSHORE INTO NORTHERN CA
AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESULT IN CONTINUING SHOWERY CONDITIONS
THERE.


...MS VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC...

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AS SHORTWAVE
ENERGY OVER THE PLAINS CONSOLIDATES AND EJECTS EASTWARD. THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL ALSO BECOME VERY DIFFLUENT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY
INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST WITH DUAL
RIGHT ENTRANCE AND LEFT EXIT REGION JET DYNAMICS BECOMING EVIDENT.
 UPPER DIVERGENCE/LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAXIMA COMBINE WITH
ABOVE NORMAL PWATS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX TO PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
ACTIVITY MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY IN TANDEM WITH THE
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND UPPER LEVEL JET.  THE SYSTEM HAS TRENDED
A BIT FASTER ON THE 00Z RUNS OF THE ECMWF AND GFS...AND MANUAL
PROGS FOLLOWED SUIT ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
BOTH THE GREAT LAKES AND ALSO THE MID ATLANTIC.

THE DAY 2/3 QPF (12Z THU-12Z SAT) IS A GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN REGIONAL
GEM/00Z ECMWF MODEL CONSENSUS.  THE 00Z GFS QPF OUTPUT CONTINUES
TO PLACE THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS AR INTO NORTHERN MS AND
WESTERN TN...AND NOT CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST WHERE THE BETTER
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST. SINCE
THE HEAVIER RAINS USUALLY OCCUR FURTHER SOUTH IN THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...GREATER WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN TO
THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN REGIONAL GEM.
THE EARLIER TIMING DIFFERENCES HAVE NARROWED AS THE SOLUTIONS HAVE
CONVERGED TO SHOW LESS SPREAD.

FOR THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON DAY 2. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE VERY ANOMALOUS PWATS AND MOISTURE FLUX...A
MARGINAL RISK IS WARRANTED AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS
LIKELY. BOTH MEAN WINDS AND CORFIDI VECTORS HAVE A LARGE COMPONENT
PARALLEL TO THE LOW LEVEL FRONT...SO TRAINING OF BANDS SUPPORTS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN UPGRADE
TO A SLIGHT RISK.

ON DAY 3...THE MODELS SHOW A LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPING ON THE HIGH
PLAINS...WHICH INVOKES RETURN MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO INTO LA AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  COUPLED UPPER
DIVERGENCE/LOWER CONVERGENCE MAXIMA HELP CONTRIBUTE TO THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/STORMS.  THE 00Z UKMET/CANADIAN ARE MORE
ASSERTIVE AND COVER MORE AREA...WHILE THE GFS HAS THE LEAST
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE. THE REFORECAST DATA INDICATES HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS...AND THE 00Z GEFS AMOUNTS
ARE HIGHER...GIVING CONFIDENCE THE GFS AMOUNTS SHOULD BE
INCREASED.  CONSEQUENTLY...SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE
00Z ECMWF AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN/00Z NAM WERE USED.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORRISON/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 523264 522253 520250 519246 517236 517230 516227 513216
      514214 516214 520214 528216 531211 533209 535197 533187
      525173 519164 513159 509154 502147 492137 476131 470135
      467139 464136 451143 447144 445141 444137 444132 444126
      444121 441119 437119 434122 430124 427126 423126 420129
      416129 413126 407126 404127 399126 396126 394129 392132
      388134 385135 381133 377131 373129 366131 352139 347144
      342148 337153 336155 333155 328155 321157 320161 319168
      318173 320175 323180 322184 320193 318203 319212 322219
      328226 329230 328236 327242 328247 332254 336261 344264
      351267 358265 365263 369265 371269 377275 385280 401282
      404282 409283 415282 431280 438279 443278 448279 463283
      468284 470287 477292 480295 483297 490296 499296 506293
      512287 518277
 0.01 506675 505667 503661 498654 495651 491649 488647 483648
      479650 474654 469657 464659 458661 453665 450667 447672
      445677 442680 436675 425662 419661 414662 402664 398664
      391666 379669 373669 371672 365677 350689 334701 331711
      327722 323741 318761 322773 323778 325778 331778 338775
      341773 342776 345781 347780 351780 356779 357775 362767
      363762 364760 366757 368746 372736 374731 378728 387726
      393727 397726 402725 405722 408723 408727 408731 412742
      413746 411749 408754 405757 404762 402764 403768 403777
      397784 384797 378805 376808 376814 377817 379817 383816
      386818 389816 392813 394810 397808 400808 408815 410819
      416819 419817 421813 426805 430796 433791 434785 438773
      453760 459753 463750 466750 467752 470757 470766 468776
      463787 463794 463797 466798 470799 473795 478787 494748
      504727 506715 506701 504695 504688 506675
 0.01 391906 388895 385890 379884 372879 365874 359868 353860
      346857 338856 333854 331852 329856 327861 328867 337869
      332878 327886 322892 315896 307900 304891 304884 305881
      305875 306869 306858 305843 306839 306831 305826 302825
      302834 302840 301845 298853 298865 299880 293897 292910
      287914 275925 263939 257945 253952 248958 244964 242968
      242973 244982 248984 249985 248988 244994 242999 242005
      240007 239011 239017 245023 252021 258016 265012 277000
      279997 281996 284997 289998 293000 306994 314990 317988
      320985 324982 328986 331993 337994 342996 349002 356007
      359007 362005 367005 371003 376999 378995 378990 374986
      370985 361982 355976 353971 350967 347960 354954 361952
      366947 370943 374942 379938 379933 386925 388922 389915
      391906
 0.01 354846 354844 355841 354841 352842 352844 350846 352848
      354846 354846
 0.25 531197 530191 528188 522182 515174 509171 502167 495161
      489158 483156 480155 475154 469149 462146 459147 457150
      453154 448151 441145 436136 433136 429138 424146 424151
      423157 421161 420166 416176 419185 423188 427191 431194
      434198 440204 445207 447202 450198 453195 455192 458191
      461193 460200 455207 451210 447210 443213 438212 432211
      427209 421203 413205 411203 406201 401200 395198 392197
      388194 381189 372183 365179 361175 356177 350183 346180
      343176 338176 335178 333185 332194 332207 336227 338237
      338242 339245 343248 347250 356250 365252 370254 373259
      377262 381263 393267 409267 419267 426266 436264 444262
      451260 456260 461262 469266 476271 483277 491282 500284
      504284 508281 513272 516256 516248 516243 513234 506216
      503205 501200 501196 505193 509193 514193 519196 525203
      528202 530200 531197
 0.25 485233 486231 485228 485227 484227 482226 481226 482229
      483231 484232 485233 485233
 0.25 466697 465693 464693 461696 458697 455696 451699 447705
      444707 440707 437706 435708 434714 437717 441716 450715
      457715 461709 463706 464702 466697
 0.25 426693 424684 420678 414674 407673 398675 391680 391684
      392690 394693 397695 405696 412696 418697 423699 426693
 0.25 366701 366696 365692 363689 359690 353693 347698 339707
      336713 334720 330733 328740 329746 331748 336747 340752
      344751 346749 350747 354748 357746 359743 361736 363720
      365705 366701
 0.25 364916 363902 365897 364891 360886 355882 351876 348874
      345875 340882 333894 324905 319909 313912 305915 299919
      288927 279937 271948 267956 266961 269966 272971 275974
      279976 286977 293976 300978 308975 314971 318967 323963
      334953 339950 345945 349939 353932 364916
 0.50 513258 515250 514245 512237 505219 503215 500211 492206
      489202 488197 488191 489185 492181 495179 497176 497172
      495167 492164 485160 475157 467151 462150 460152 456162
      452160 450156 445152 438145 436142 432142 430147 429151
      429158 428165 428168 430171 433175 435180 440187 442190
      444191 448190 453190 459187 466184 469183 471185 473189
      474196 475201 468207 461208 455212 448215 440216 431216
      424220 421221 418218 416213 413210 407209 405206 398202
      389197 383193 377188 369183 365181 359181 356183 356187
      363192 366198 364201 360201 356201 353199 350195 349191
      346185 342182 339184 337189 336195 336202 338211 341217
      345225 347234 378254 387259 394261 412262 421262 430260
      445256 452254 459254 468256 477261 489273 493277 497279
      501280 505277 513258
 0.50 489234 489231 489229 489228 487226 487225 486224 484224
      482224 481224 479225 478225 479226 480228 480229 481231
      482232 483233 484235 486235 488235 489234
 0.50 357716 357714 352717 350720 347724 346728 344732 345737
      349736 352732 354728 356723 357719 357716
 0.50 357901 357896 356893 353890 347888 342891 335897 327906
      320914 309920 300925 295929 290932 283939 279944 278948
      278952 282963 282968 285970 290971 295970 299970 301972
      303974 305973 310970 317962 323958 327955 334948 339943
      342939 347929 350923 351916 357901
 1.00 508246 509235 506229 503222 499214 484208 477209 471213
      463213 458215 453218 451220 447220 436226 422229 418226
      416223 415217 407213 403208 397204 390200 376189 370185
      364184 360186 365191 370198 372205 372209 368211 359208
      352204 348200 347193 344190 341192 341202 342206 346208
      353213 357220 360226 362233 367237 372239 383250 390254
      395256 400256 413257 420256 427255 453247 460245 466245
      472246 478250 482252 484256 488262 493269 496273 499274
      501273 503267 502259 493246 491243 488241 484240 482236
      477228 473228 470230 467231 463228 467222 469220 474220
      479219 488222 490226 492231 494238 500244 505248 508248
      508246
 1.00 463178 463176 461175 460175 459175 458176 456177 454179
      455181 455182 457183 459183 459182 460182 462181 462179
      463178
 1.00 452173 451168 449163 447160 444156 441153 438151 436149
      433150 433153 433157 435160 438163 441167 444171 448173
      452173
 1.00 348906 348900 343901 335906 323916 309926 296937 291942
      290946 293949 293955 291959 290963 294965 301962 305964
      306968 319956 325952 330944 335938 337933 339928 346910
      348906
 1.50 498266 498260 498258 496255 495251 493248 491247 488244
      486243 484243 484246 486249 487252 488254 490258 492261
      494264 495265 498266
 1.50 501238 502235 502230 501225 500220 497217 492216 489212
      486213 486218 490220 492221 492225 493230 495234 497238
      501238
 1.50 482244 482242 481239 480238 480236 479235 479233 478231
      476230 475230 473231 471233 470236 471238 472239 473241
      474242 475242 476243 478244 480244 481245 482244
 1.50 465239 466234 464234 462236 458234 452233 445234 438235
      431235 422231 416227 414220 412216 409216 396205 371189
      367189 368191 372197 383208 391219 390221 387221 382220
      377223 372218 370218 369222 371226 374228 377235 381241
      386246 394250 403252 409253 416253 424252 430250 455243
      461240 465239
 1.50 464221 465219 465216 463215 461215 459216 458216 457217
      456218 455219 455220 455221 457223 458224 458225 460226
      462226 462225 464224 464221
 1.50 443162 443159 442158 441156 439154 438153 437153 436154
      435155 436156 437158 439160 440161 442162 443162
 1.50 366218 365217 364216 363215 362214 360215 359217 361219
      361220 362221 364220 366218
 1.50 339915 339910 338910 332914 321920 311928 302937 299942
      299949 296960 305956 311960 316956 321952 325947 328941
      331934 336921 339915
 2.00 495259 495257 495256 494254 494253 492251 491253 492254
      492256 493258 493259 494259 495259
 2.00 499229 499228 499227 499224 498221 496221 495223 495225
      495228 495230 496231 497231 498232 499229
 2.00 478238 478236 478234 477233 476232 474232 473234 473236
      474238 475239 477240 478238
 2.00 462223 463221 463218 462218 461217 460218 459218 457218
      457219 457221 457222 458223 460224 462224 462223
 2.00 458237 449236 441237 437240 431238 427235 422233 417231
      414227 413221 410217 394205 386203 391211 396220 396224
      392225 387224 383227 382233 383238 386242 390244 396247
      401248 412250 421250 430248 438244 446243 454239 458237
 2.00 379199 380197 379196 377196 376196 377197 378199 379199
 2.00 332921 330918 326919 318924 312929 307937 305939 303945
      302949 305953 310952 313949 317949 318952 321949 324945
      328937 328932 330928 332921
 3.00 428242 427238 423236 413232 411228 411223 408224 406229
      403231 399229 390229 386230 386233 388238 392240 402244
      413245 421246 428242
 3.00 400216 400213 398212 397213 398213 399215 399216 400216
 3.00 325928 323925 319926 316929 312932 310935 308939 308943
      312943 317941 321939 322934 323930 325928
 4.00 423241 424239 423238 421238 421239 420238 419237 418237
      416236 415236 414238 415240 417241 419241 421241 422241
      423241

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 469621 476627 479630 482634 486644 489660 491664 492673
      494689 495697 494703 493710 490713 471718 467717 461719
      453716 451702 451697 447695 442696 439693 432687 429683
      428676 429671 429666 432654 436644 441636 445634 448630
      449628
 0.01 535201 536190 535187 531185 523175 514163 509156 505154
      502151 492140 487135 478132 474133 470138 480143 482147
      481151 474149 471148 470145 467137 467132 467127 469117
      476098 476092 475089 471083 463082 459081 457079 457076
      462070 464063 462060 454059 449061 443065 440071 437078
      436088 434090 430091 422088 419085 416080 415076 415071
      416066 414061 410057 407054 404053 384061 379062 371060
      363060 357062 357069 359077 355079 352076 349072 345072
      341076 337077 332076 328075 325077 324083 320087 314088
      308092 304097 301103 299112 301119 302125 304129 306132
      308134 312135 321138 322143 320149 314151 306150 303150
      301154 299162 297166 303171 308177 311183 320193 324198
      326200 325202 317204 314204 310205 306207 305209 305213
      307218 320241 327253 334264 339270 344274 359279 368281
      377285 385289 394292 402295 407298 419308 433315 440316
      447319 460319 472318 478317 480314 481308 483301 486298
      491294 498292 505293 508293 509287 512277 515270 519264
      521261 521259 519251 514236 508223 501208 492205 483204
      476204 471207 465208 461207 458208 446211 440214 433210
      430208 430205 432202 434196 439193 445193 473192 479196
      485198 492199 499198 513197 521201 523204 526205 533209
      534202 535201
 0.01 464925 464911 463900 461888 458875 452857 447850 442843
      432831 420818 416811 412807 409805 403800 397795 384790
      365788 361787 357788 350792 345793 341792 332793 323795
      316800 311805 305813 296825 290831 284835 277840 272845
      263861 257876 256881 256885 257895 254902 253911 249919
      245928 239942 237946 237952 239960 242969 246975 250982
      258987 273991 279991 282989 288983 308957 318945 323939
      329934 342926 347924 353924 361926 377930 386932 394936
      401939 404940 408941 418940 423939 426938 428940 443945
      453945 459940 461938 462933 464925
 0.01 441760 441757 440755 439753 438750 436750 435751 434751
      433753 433754 433756 433759 434761 436763 438763 439763
      439762 441760 441760
 0.01 403188 402186 400186 398186 396187 395186 393185 391185
      390185 389186 388187 388189 389191 389192 390193 392194
      393195 395195 397195 398194 399192 401190 403188
 0.25 514261 516254 515251 512243 505226 502220 497214 490214
      487212 484215 483217 485220 487228 491235 491237 489235
      486235 481230 478222 469220 468217 465215 461214 458216
      456218 453222 454226 453229 449230 443232 437236 434237
      430237 423234 416229 415221 415216 412214 408213 404210
      398205 391200 380191 374186 368183 360179 353178 349173
      346166 340161 331158 316157 311158 308161 309165 311168
      317174 322178 334186 338192 340195 344196 347198 349203
      351211 353219 354227 356235 358244 360251 363257 369263
      376267 388277 404284 418291 428295 436295 442293 448289
      457279 462276 467271 471264 480263 491271 496275 500275
      506272 511267 514261
 0.25 506179 505174 499171 492168 489165 483161 480163 480168
      484172 488176 491181 496182 501180 506179
 0.25 466162 467160 467157 466157 465155 465154 464153 462153
      460153 458154 457155 457157 456159 454161 454162 456164
      457164 459163 461163 462163 464163 466162 466162
 0.25 447165 447160 446158 443154 439150 435145 435138 436130
      436123 432119 424122 420123 415120 408113 400107 398103
      396097 394093 389089 385087 381088 374080 371085 371092
      369100 366101 363099 360094 356093 354095 356100 358105
      358112 356114 352114 349109 340090 335088 332088 325096
      318104 315108 315113 322119 329127 330133 332137 340144
      346150 347154 349156 356157 358160 362161 367159 369158
      370154 375157 377161 382165 385165 387163 391159 395158
      399160 405163 410161 412156 415151 419152 428157 437163
      442167 447165
 0.25 443894 442886 440878 437871 433865 425856 416844 408838
      397828 393824 387822 382823 376823 369822 365817 361817
      359819 355819 353816 351813 349813 343816 337819 332822
      291852 284861 278875 271886 269892 267900 267907 265914
      263921 263927 264932 265939 263946 262953 262958 263962
      266966 269971 272972 274971 280967 289960 294955 297949
      316933 326926 337920 347914 355911 361909 369908 377907
      383906 391906 414916 421918 427916 437909 440907 442902
      443894
 0.25 394142 394140 394138 393137 392137 392138 390138 389139
      388140 387141 388142 389143 389144 391144 393143 394142
 0.25 367207 366207 366205 365202 364200 364199 362198 361197
      359197 357198 357201 358202 358203 359205 361206 363207
      364208 366207 367207
 0.50 511260 512254 511249 507243 505234 502228 500224 497221
      495220 492222 492227 493232 497239 503243 505246 505252
      508260 511260
 0.50 479244 480239 479235 478232 476230 475230 473232 471234
      469238 468240 468243 471244 474246 477245 479244
 0.50 453253 454250 453249 451248 449248 448249 447250 447251
      449252 450253 452253 453253
 0.50 443249 428242 419238 415237 413233 413224 411220 407219
      401221 402215 401211 389201 382197 378192 371187 368185
      363184 360185 358187 359190 363193 368196 374203 387211
      392216 397219 400221 400225 396225 387223 379222 375222
      372224 370227 368232 368238 370242 374248 380254 385258
      392263 400266 404269 406272 412277 421280 424280 425276
      424273 420269 432268 434267 434263 437258 440252 443249
 0.50 429886 429877 427871 421860 414852 406845 397842 387836
      377834 366836 361835 357832 348825 343827 339830 330836
      321842 310847 300851 296854 293858 288867 281877 279881
      278887 275900 273910 272919 272923 273931 272939 269949
      270955 274959 279958 285954 300941 307935 316927 324921
      333916 342911 353905 363902 374898 381893 389890 393890
      404892 417893 420894 426894 429886
 0.50 375146 376140 375136 375127 373124 370121 366119 361120
      357126 354123 352119 351117 347116 344109 341101 340098
      337095 332097 328103 326107 326110 330116 334122 336125
      336130 340136 344141 350146 354148 358147 364145 371148
      375146
 0.50 346185 347179 347176 344169 342165 338163 333162 326160
      316159 314160 314163 314165 315168 322173 327176 334181
      338186 343187 346185 346185
 1.00 403252 405249 404245 401242 397240 392238 389236 386233
      381231 380235 382239 386241 391243 395246 398249 401252
      403252
 1.00 412866 408861 404857 401857 403859 406860 407862 400862
      399859 396858 392864 392867 394869 398871 400871 400867
      402868 407871 409868 412866
 1.00 384854 379848 376844 372843 364845 354847 348843 345840
      342842 340849 340852 334852 332854 332856 334859 332864
      329867 323872 316875 315866 307861 305858 304855 301856
      298858 296861 296872 292880 293890 290897 283932 280940
      281946 286946 292942 297937 303931 310925 321915 334905
      341901 349898 357894 364890 370885 375878 384854
 1.00 344180 343173 343169 341167 334165 329163 325163 323164
      323167 324168 329172 334175 338176 337172 339170 341173
      341177 341179 344180
 1.50 363878 363870 362863 358859 351859 348862 344868 336874
      316886 312890 307893 298899 295903 295908 297910 299911
      299914 296918 290927 287933 286939 290939 294935 302926
      310919 318911 333894 354884 360881 363878
 1.50 334169 334168 332166 330166 330167 331168 332169 333170
      334169
 1.50 303878 303876 301875 301876 299878 299880 300881 301880
      303878
 2.00 337880 334879 330880 329881 326883 323885 322886 320889
      320890 324890 325889 328887 331886 332884 335882 337880
 2.00 323900 322900 320899 318899 317900 317901 315902 314903
      313904 312905 311906 310907 310908 309909 310911 312909
      313909 315907 317905 318905 319904 320902 322901 323900

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 500295 500286 500277 501269 500267 501263 505259 506253
      504252 501253 498251 495246 486233 483228 480222 482214
      484210 487209 490208 492206 491199 489195 483196 479196
      475193 472188 469185 465184 463178 458175 451166 444154
      441146 439139 434124 432118 432114 434116 442123 449124
      455120 459116 462114 471108 480097 481089 482083 483080
      485080 491085 495087 494080 491074 484067 465051 460047
      452046 444045 441048 439057 436062 433068 429073 427075
      427078 426088 425096 423103 422106 419106 415105 415101
      417096 414090 413086 413081 414076 413071 407060 407056
      404056 398057 393059 391062 387063 383060 380060 379063
      375061 372057 368053 361050 355052 351052 347051 319045
      313043 305042 300046 298050 293064 285067 273072 269085
      268094 272100 277110 283122 283130 281136 279143 279150
      284159 285162 285165 283172 289183 292189 291193 292197
      291202 294210 307228 322243 340259 346264 353268 358273
      364275 369279 375281 383284 389287 440301 453303 468304
      478304 483302 487298 494296 500295
 0.01 521989 518970 516964 513958 509941 504919 500899 496881
      483842 472815 465800 457785 448775 435773 428759 420740
      413726 409722 404721 391716 384713 378711 368714 362717
      348720 341724 339733 338738 335742 328746 323761 316770
      298792 295798 296808 290824 282835 274851 272855 268862
      262872 256883 253887 256891 260897 264903 268908 270917
      273928 267942 261956 261962 262966 262971 266974 270977
      277980 281981 286981 288979 293980 293989 295993 300994
      304994 308992 314989 319986 332975 336971 340965 344960
      347953 348947 348938 345917 344907 344902 346897 345877
      345867 345861 348859 352856 356854 363850 370851 376855
      397867 403871 407875 413880 416884 418888 423894 426901
      432914 433926 436935 438938 439941 437942 431941 428938
      424938 419945 412952 407954 404952 396952 389956 386963
      385983 385989 386992 387997 389000 393002 398002 406002
      410008 414015 418018 423018 425016 429012 433008 438002
      446002 450001 454001 463002 480002 484000 487003 492008
      504019 507020 509019 514012 518001 521989
 0.01 390043 391041 391038 389036 387036 387038 387040 387041
      388043 389043 390043 390043
 0.25 487285 482275 483268 482263 480257 478252 473247 468243
      464240 460235 457230 456226 457223 461218 462215 462211
      458209 455211 445213 442215 439219 433219 429216 424211
      421207 411199 400199 391193 387190 383189 382186 378184
      375180 371172 372168 370165 373162 377163 382166 385161
      384157 386153 386148 386143 384138 381131 382124 384122
      382119 379116 377114 378110 383104 388100 389098 389093
      391086 394087 396085 396080 395076 394074 390073 388075
      384080 380080 378078 373067 369064 365064 362065 360064
      358067 359073 362078 365083 364086 362087 363093 363097
      365097 368104 372108 372112 370115 366117 360118 356117
      353113 350109 348104 348099 355091 351087 348085 345087
      340084 336079 330075 325073 321076 317079 312080 306080
      300078 291076 285077 281080 279086 279091 285101 290114
      294123 300131 308138 308141 302141 297141 293145 291152
      292158 299167 305178 309188 315197 320205 325211 335220
      342226 353234 364239 374244 384252 401263 412269 427272
      438273 450275 456277 462280 465282 468285 472289 476292
      478290 479284 481283 483284 487285
 0.25 493939 492927 490918 487912 483910 480914 477921 472927
      469934 471940 475947 477950 481951 485951 488949 492942
      493939
 0.25 467922 467912 466905 465898 462891 458886 454883 453890
      452898 453906 456913 459920 462925 464927 467925 467922
 0.25 452857 451857 450855 450854 449855 450856 451857 451858
      452857
 0.25 424805 424800 423796 421793 418792 414798 412801 408802
      405810 408819 411826 414829 417831 421830 423827 423821
      422815 421811 423810 424805
 0.25 410768 409763 407759 403756 401757 400760 398760 397760
      397763 399767 401771 404775 406779 409780 409775 410768
      410768
 0.25 377742 376738 374735 371734 368734 364736 360736 352740
      346745 343750 343756 345759 347761 352761 359757 365753
      370749 375744 377742
 0.25 374785 374783 374781 373779 372778 370779 369779 368780
      367782 367784 367786 367787 368788 369789 371789 373788
      374785
 0.25 338060 337057 336055 333053 331052 327052 325053 322055
      321057 320061 321063 324065 326066 328066 332064 333064
      336062 338060
 0.25 323139 323138 321138 319138 317137 316137 314137 315140
      317141 319141 321141 322141 323139 323139
 0.25 320149 321147 320146 319144 318144 317143 315143 314144
      313146 314147 315148 316149 316151 317151 319151 320149
 0.25 329842 328836 327832 324830 312837 307838 299840 294843
      293851 293857 295864 294871 294877 293884 291891 287904
      283934 281950 282954 285957 291958 297958 301956 310947
      314943 317937 322924 323918 324909 326894 326886 324878
      321872 320869 321864 329842
 0.50 448254 448248 445245 437240 426236 419229 417225 417219
      415215 411213 395200 365178 362171 359170 355172 351173
      348170 347165 342163 335158 331157 325156 314152 305147
      301148 298150 297153 299158 311172 330203 340217 348223
      356229 372237 382243 391248 398252 407257 419260 428261
      439259 444257 448254
 0.50 378139 377133 378128 376125 372124 369124 363128 358127
      355121 352114 348109 336084 332081 325081 319084 312085
      305084 298082 291083 289085 288089 289095 292102 295109
      296115 299121 303126 310129 318130 323128 327124 330125
      332128 335134 341146 354152 357156 359158 363160 366155
      372152 378139
 0.50 362200 362199 361197 361196 359195 357195 355195 355196
      355197 356198 357199 358200 360201 362200 362200
 0.50 332058 330056 328056 327057 328059 330059 332058 332058
 0.50 315909 316894 314889 309886 305886 302889 299893 297898
      295910 294924 296937 298942 303944 310938 313934 314926
      315913 315909
 1.00 429250 429246 428244 425241 416233 414231 413227 414223
      413219 412217 408217 405215 403213 370183 360180 355180
      352182 352186 357190 363193 371200 378208 388213 400220
      403224 402228 399228 389228 383226 379222 371213 361208
      353201 351197 348191 347185 346178 345172 342166 321158
      315156 307154 306158 309162 324177 333185 336196 340204
      344208 349212 357219 362223 369226 378230 385238 391243
      395246 408251 420252 426252 429250
 1.00 347134 347129 345125 345121 347116 346111 344107 338100
      333094 328094 324096 321097 321104 325111 331116 336123
      340131 343135 345136 347134
 1.00 318116 318108 314101 310096 309093 306090 300089 298095
      299103 302111 305119 306121 310123 314122 316120 318116
 1.50 423246 422243 420240 417238 414238 412238 408238 406238
      403239 403241 404243 405245 409247 411247 414247 418247
      420247 423246
 1.50 411226 412223 411222 409221 408222 408225 409226 410226
      411226
 1.50 401239 399239 398236 396235 395235 394235 394237 394238
      396239 397239 399239 401239
 1.50 401213 398210 392207 385200 375194 369186 366183 359182
      355184 356188 367193 375198 379203 383206 391211 396215
      400215 401213
 1.50 350206 349201 346195 344189 343182 341168 339171 334167
      331164 324161 319159 316159 314161 316165 321169 332175
      340183 341190 340195 342200 346205 350206
 1.50 338113 337110 335110 336112 336113 338113
 2.00 370190 369188 369187 368186 366185 364184 362184 361183
      359184 358185 359186 360188 362189 363190 365190 367191
      369191 370190
 2.00 330168 329166 328165 327165 325165 324165 325166 325167
      326168 328169 330169 330168

$$





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