Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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713
FXUS04 KWBC 182101
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EST WED JAN 18 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 19/0000 UTC THRU JAN 22/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SE TX AND LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES/TN
VALLEY...

AN AMPLIFIED AND INCREASINGLY NEGATIVLY TILTED MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW WILL SWING THROUGH THE S-CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY. HEIGHT FALLS AND FAVORABLE UPPER JET FLOW/DIFFLUENCE
WILL ENHANCE LIFT IN A MOISTURE FUELED REGION AS PER 30-40 KT LLJ
INFLOW INTO/OVER A LOWER ATMOSPHERIC AND WAVY FRONTAL ZONE. THE
REGION HAS A MID-UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE CONNECTION TO THE TROPICAL
ERN PACIFIC AND THROUGH LOWER LEVELS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS
SUPPORTS MODEL PRECIPITATBLE WATER VALUES THAT PLUME/POOL TO AOA
1.75". WHILE ACTIVITY MAY TEND TO INCREASE TO THE NORTH WITH
SYSTEM NEG TILT LATER PERIOD...HEIGHT FALLS AND CONVECTION RELATED
GRADIENTS SHOULD TEND TO FOCUS HEAVIEST CONVECTION (UPWARDS OF
2-4"+ LOCALLY WITH TRAINING) MORE TO THE SOUTH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
THIS WOULD LEAD TO RUNOFF ISSUES. THIS SCENARIO IS MORE IN LINE
WITH THE 12 UTC ARW/GEM REGIONAL AND RECENT UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE. A COMPOSITE OF THESE CLUSTERED SOLUTIONS
MAINTAINS CLOSE WPC CONTINUITY. THE GFS/GEFS/NAM CONTINUE TO OFFER
A MORE NORTHWARD SHIFTED CLUSTER OF SOLUTIONS.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CALIFORNIA INTO THE GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

SATELLITE/BLENDED TPW LOOPS SHOW A LONG FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER
SLAMMING INTO THE WEST COAST WITH UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS BACK
THROUGH THE WRN TROPICAL PACIFIC. THIS IS FUELING HEAVY RAIN AND
HIGH ELEVATION AND INLAND ICE AND SNOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SETTLE SOUTHEAST DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. PWS IN THE 700/500
MB LAYER ARE QUITE HIGH AND WILL BE AIMED NEARLY ORTHOGONAL INTO
ESPECIALLY THE SW OR/NRN CA COASTAL RANGES LATE WEDNESDAY AND THEN
DOWN INTO CENTRAL THEN SRN CA AND THE SIERRA-NEVADA INTO THURSDAY.
ENHANCED MOISTURE FLUX AND PW ANOMALIES WILL BE IN PLACE GIVEN THE
STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELD AND UPSTREAM MOISTURE FEED WITH
PW VALUES OF 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN. THE
HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THESE AREAS WHERE SOME
LOCALLY TERRAIN ENHANCED RAINS UPWARDS TO 4" ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEAKENING. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE CONCERNS FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS
INCLUDING DEBRIS FLOWS AND MUDSLIDES NEAR ANY BURN SCAR AREAS.
THESE AREAS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING IN PARTICULAR.
RUNOFF PROBLEMS HERE WILL ALSO AGAIN BE A CONCERN AND ESPECIALLY
WITH SUCH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. FARTHER INLAND...THE DEEP
FETCH OF MID LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRUN
COLDER AIR OVER THE N-CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WHICH WILL
PROMOTE A LARGE AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SNOW BUT
ALSO LINGERING FREEZING RAIN/ICING OVER THE DEEPER INTERIOR
VALLEYS. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE
EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CALIFORNIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST US...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES THIS
PERIOD AS AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG PACIFIC JET SENDS A SERIES OF
ENERGETIC SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REGION.  MODEL MASS FIELDS WERE IN
RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT...SO GENERALLY FAVORED A MULTI-MODEL
BLEND FOR THE DAY 2/3 QPF.

AT THE START OF DAY 2...00Z FRIDAY...ONE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BE
MOVING QUICKLY THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION BEFORE EXITING INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY.  STRONGEST DYNAMICS WILL FOCUS EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS
AZ AND TO A LESSER AMOUNT FARTHER NORTH INTO SOUTHERN UT AND THE 4
CORNERS REGION.  PWATS REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH (1-2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL)...BUT OVERALL WILL BE DECREASING WITH THE
SYSTEM BECOMING CUT OFF FROM ITS PACIFIC MOISTURE SOURCE.
REGARDLESS...WITH UPSLOPE FLOW ENHANCING LIFT ALONG FAVORED WEST
TO SOUTHWEST-FACING SLOPES..EXPECT MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION (SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS) ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
AZ.  AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY RANGE UPWARDS OF 1-1.5
INCHES...HEAVIEST ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM.

UPSTREAM...THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF SYSTEMS WILL REACH THE CA
COAST BY 12Z FRIDAY...THEN ADVANCE QUICKLY THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT/SATURDAY...EVENTUALLY EMERGING INTO THE SOUTHERN HI PLAINS
BY THE END OF DAY 3. IMPRESSIVE UPPER DYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT TRIPLE
POINT LOW DEVELOPMENT JUST OFF THE CA COAST FRIDAY MORNING...WHICH
COMBINED WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
PRECIPITATION INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA BY FRIDAY MORNING.  WITH
THE COLD FRONT PUSHING INLAND DURING FRIDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL
ADVANCE DOWN THE COAST AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE IN THE DAY.
MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL TAP INTO DEEPER MOISTURE
THAN ITS PREDECESSOR...SO WHILE IT IS A FAST-MOVER...SUSPECT THE
DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG DYNAMICS WILL LEAD TO HIGH PRECIPITATION
RATES...ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL RANGES AND INTO THE SIERRAS.
AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS IN THESE AREAS WILL RANGE FROM 1-3 INCHES.
MAIN CONCERN FOR FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
CA BURN AREAS...SO AM MAINTAINING A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THROUGH THE DAY 2 AND EARLY DAY 3 PERIODS.

DURING DAY 3...THE HEAVIEST QPF WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. MODELS
ARE TRACKING THIS FEATURE FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE WAVE THAT MOVES
THROUGH ON DAY 2...AND ALSO MAINTAINING A BETTER CONNECTION TO ITS
PACIFIC MOISTURE SOURCE (POSSIBLY A RESULT OF LESS SHORT WAVE
RIDGING DEVELOPING IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM).  AS A RESULT...BELIEVE
QPF WILL BE BOTH HEAVIER AND POSSIBLY CENTERED A LITTLE FARTHER
SOUTH THAN ON DAY 2. AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN AZ WILL RANGE UPWARDS OF .50-1
INCH...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG FAVORED SLOPES ALONG THE
MOGOLLON RIM. MEANWHILE...PERSISTENT POST-FRONTAL ONSHORE FLOW
AROUND THE CYCLONE OFF THE PAC NW COAST WILL MAINTAIN UNSETTLED
SHOWERY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA NORTHWARD THROUGH
WESTERN SECTIONS OF OR/WA.


...MS VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/SOUTHEAST/GULF
COAST STATES AND MID ATLANTIC...

DAY 2...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD WILL OPEN UP AND TAKE ON AN INCREASING NEGATIVE TILT AS IT
LIFTS THROUGH UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES STATES. HIGHLY
DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT OUT AHEAD OF THE LOW AND ITS TRAILING SHORT
WAVE ENERGY COMBINED WITH A FEED OF GULF MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM THE EASTERN GULF
COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH THE TN INTO OH VALLEYS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
MODELS WERE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE MASS
FIELDS...SO AGAIN OPTED FOR A MULTI-MODEL BLEND INCORPORATING THE
GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN GEM AND NATIONAL BLEND. WHILE THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN PROGRESSIVE...GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS PWATS OF 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL AND SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL CELL
TRAINING...WILL MAINTAIN A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES INTO THE TN VALLEY THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF DAY 2.

DURING FRIDAY MORNING...ENERGY ALONG THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION AND
PUSHES OFF THE EAST COAST...TAKING WITH IT THE MAIN FEED OF GULF
MOISTURE. AT THE SAME TIME...THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY FARTHER NORTH
BECOMES MORE STRUNG OUT AND IMPINGES UPON A MORE STABLE AIR
MASS...THUS OVERALL QPF WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE LESSENING DURING
THE DAY ON FRIDAY. EXPECT AN AREA OF .10-.40 INCH QPF FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND
MID-ATLANTIC REGION BETWEEN 12Z FRI-00Z SAT (SO SOME RAIN FOR THE
INAUGURATION IN DC ON FRIDAY...BUT AT THIS TIME...FORECAST AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE FLASH FLOODING
CONCERNS).

DURING DAY 3...THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST ON
DAY 2 WILL PUSH INTO THE PLAINS...LOWERING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN GULF COAST STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW
GULF MOISTURE TO ONCE AGAIN FLOW NORTHWARD AND OVERRUN THE
REMNANTS OF A WEAK BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVEMENTIONED
FEATURE MOVING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST DURING DAY 2.  MODELS
INDICATE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A SOUTHERN STREAM JET
COUPLET...AND COMBINED WITH HIGH PWS AND A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT CONVECTION
BREAKING OUT FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND EXPAND
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S SATURDAY. THERE ARE
SOME DIFFERENCES HANDLING THE SPEED AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THIS
CONVECTION...WITH THE NAM NOTABLY FARTHER NORTH THAN THE CONSENSUS
OF OTHER GUIDANCE.  AT THIS POINT...AM FAVORING A BLEND OF THE
GFS/ECMWF AND IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE BIAS-CORRECTED GUIDANCE...WHICH
SUPPORT AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES FROM CENTRAL LA
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN MS/AL AND CENTRAL GA.  BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD...LEFT EXIT REGION JET DYNAMICS FROM THE SYSTEM
THAT AFFECTS CA AND THE WEST COAST DAY 2 WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE CENTRAL EASTERN GULF
COAST BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SCHICHTEL/KLEIN

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 469621 476627 482636 484642 488647 494650 500657 503663
      505670 505694 507710 505725 504730 501736 497743 487763
      479784 475793 472798 467800 463797 461793 461789 464784
      469775 471769 472761 469755 467751 463749 457749 446752
      442755 439762 436763 434760 431754 433749 434744 434738
      434734 431733 430731 429729 427731 423733 422730 426722
      425717 422712 422708 425703 428700 429694 430689 431685
      429683 429672 429666 431658 433649 436644 439641 441637
      443634 449628
 0.01 535201 536194 536189 530181 524171 520168 517164 513162
      510159 503152 492139 489136 485134 480133 478132 472138
      481144 482147 481149 477150 472148 470145 467140 464138
      464129 463125 464118 464117 461112 452110 450111 447111
      440110 432106 421105 413107 411107 409105 408100 406092
      404086 402083 399087 394083 388085 381080 375079 370081
      365086 360086 356084 343101 340095 335095 333098 331103
      331111 330118 328124 324131 322136 322142 321146 319149
      315151 303150 301154 299160 297166 299167 305173 307175
      309179 314185 320192 326200 328211 339225 345231 350237
      371244 389255 399260 409264 419266 423268 427267 447273
      458277 464279 466278 469279 488286 498290 508293 511284
      516275 519270 519264 520255 519247 517235 516228 514224
      513218 513215 515214 519215 522214 528215 531211 535201
 0.01 434909 434898 432890 423874 419867 415863 411857 405852
      393846 386844 378840 365838 362839 357840 351842 350837
      348835 345841 341844 336845 326846 307847 300849 294853
      284862 275875 267886 264893 261899 255911 246925 244932
      244943 244953 243960 241968 242979 246984 249986 248988
      246991 242997 240007 239014 239018 241020 243022 247023
      254020 257017 260015 264013 266010 271005 277001 286991
      290987 294981 298974 304968 315960 321957 328959 336958
      340957 344956 356947 367938 369936 373934 379940 384943
      388943 391941 400939 407941 415941 422938 428933 431926
      434909
 0.01 409789 407787 405787 403789 400790 398791 395793 393794
      391796 392799 395798 397796 400795 404795 405794 407792
      409789
 0.25 516259 516252 515244 510230 503215 499210 491207 486202
      482203 472210 466211 461211 452215 442217 436221 431222
      427223 423223 421219 421215 420211 418208 413204 412201
      408199 402201 396198 388194 380187 375183 370180 366177
      364171 362164 366163 370163 371160 373162 380165 387167
      392168 396170 402174 408176 413181 415183 418181 422178
      424176 428176 433180 437184 442186 447185 458182 470173
      474175 476178 477182 479190 481193 484196 487196 489194
      494190 503184 508183 514185 518189 522192 522188 518182
      513177 508173 501169 496163 491159 485157 480158 475158
      472156 467153 463153 462158 461163 460166 459165 455161
      452155 443145 437128 433124 426127 417133 407126 401123
      397124 396127 396132 395136 393140 389140 382138 379137
      378133 375127 372120 366118 355127 349117 344113 340113
      339116 340121 338131 339136 340139 343144 347155 350157
      349161 345160 330158 313158 310160 310164 313169 322178
      326182 329188 331193 331199 332205 334212 337217 343222
      369237 380242 394247 402250 410252 422253 432253 445251
      458251 467253 475256 483265 491276 496281 502284 507282
      510278 512274 514267 516259
 0.25 486236 487233 487231 485233 486235 486236 486236
 0.25 480680 480675 477675 475674 472673 470673 468674 466677
      466681 465684 465687 467689 470687 472688 474687 477684
      478683 480680
 0.25 400901 401894 399887 394876 389869 382862 375857 370856
      364855 352855 342858 332862 321866 310869 303872 295877
      287885 277900 273907 268917 264927 262937 259947 254958
      252962 254968 259970 261972 267980 271981 277979 283974
      290966 296960 304954 312949 319945 337935 344931 350930
      354927 363923 366921 369915 379916 384916 387913 391908
      395906 400901
 0.25 359163 358162 356161 355162 356164 358164 359163
 0.50 513263 514259 515253 513245 510235 507228 500216 497213
      493213 486211 481211 474214 472216 468216 464214 460215
      449221 444223 444226 447227 453227 457228 458231 443231
      439234 435234 430233 424233 419228 417223 417218 416214
      413211 410211 405207 400203 393199 383192 372184 358177
      352180 349178 347175 345169 341164 336162 331162 327160
      322160 320160 316163 315166 317168 323173 327177 330181
      333186 335195 335204 338211 342216 347221 359228 371234
      386242 401247 414249 428250 441248 455246 465246 472247
      480249 488265 495276 498278 502279 505277 507274 513263
 0.50 503254 502248 500244 494237 490228 488223 485220 479219
      474219 472221 469225 475227 478231 481235 483245 490244
      496251 498255 501256 503254
 0.50 452173 452166 451161 446154 440147 437138 434135 429133
      425136 423140 422145 424150 426159 429163 433166 439172
      442174 446174 452173
 0.50 407159 407156 407154 406152 404151 403151 401153 400155
      401157 402158 403160 405160 407159
 0.50 375143 374139 370136 365137 363141 360141 356138 351139
      352144 357145 361145 363144 366145 369147 373147 375143
 0.50 380895 380890 380884 379878 377874 371869 365867 351861
      345862 338867 332870 323873 309878 301880 294885 288890
      284895 275908 272914 270921 269931 267941 266950 267958
      272963 275965 281965 286962 292957 305949 317941 341924
      353915 364907 374902 378898 380895
 1.00 502236 502233 502232 501230 500228 500227 500224 499224
      498221 496221 495221 493222 493225 493228 494229 494230
      495233 496235 498236 499236 501237 502236
 1.00 445240 444239 443240 444240 445240 445240
 1.00 446162 445160 443157 441154 440152 438151 436148 434145
      432144 430147 430152 431154 432157 435160 437161 439163
      442165 445164 446162
 1.00 430243 428240 424237 415233 413229 414224 413218 412216
      408215 405212 399206 385196 372185 363182 357182 356187
      362192 365195 367200 370208 368210 363208 355204 352201
      349197 345179 343170 340167 337168 340172 340174 338174
      335169 335167 330164 325165 326168 332174 337181 339189
      340200 341204 344208 351213 356218 358221 362224 379232
      395241 404244 413244 424246 428245 430243
 1.00 366889 364883 360877 352870 344870 338873 329879 305889
      293894 288897 284902 277912 275916 274925 275933 274943
      277950 283951 288952 294949 303943 323930 333922 342915
      351906 359899 363894 366889
 1.50 442159 441156 439155 438154 436153 435155 436156 437158
      439159 440161 442159
 1.50 411223 411221 410220 408220 407222 407224 407225 408227
      410225 411225 411223
 1.50 404217 402211 399208 390202 382195 375188 370185 364184
      360185 362189 369196 376205 379208 384211 394216 398219
      403218 404217
 1.50 372222 373220 372218 370218 369219 369222 371223 372222
 1.50 365220 366219 365216 363214 362213 360212 358211 357212
      357214 358215 358217 359218 360219 361220 362221 364221
      365220
 1.50 346198 346196 346195 346196 346198 346198
 1.50 355894 356887 354879 350875 346874 337879 329884 320889
      311893 300897 291901 288903 284908 280916 279923 279929
      280935 280941 283944 289946 297942 314931 330919 337913
      343906 355894
 2.00 400216 400211 397208 392204 385200 379194 374189 368186
      364186 364189 370194 375200 381204 386208 393212 399216
      400216
 2.00 350892 350886 349882 347879 344880 329888 322893 314896
      297903 289906 286910 284914 284918 284925 285935 286940
      292940 299937 307932 314926 326916 339905 345899 350892

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 521261 520255 518247 514235 501209 494207 491205 490202
      491196 486197 479199 475201 471200 458200 456201 453201
      450197 448195 449193 453188 470169 475172 480173 481178
      482183 484186 488188 491191 493194 495195 502195 511191
      521181 523179 522176 518171 511158 509155 506157 501160
      494163 488162 486158 483156 477154 470150 468142 467127
      470112 474106 478100 480097 481094 482083 485080 488083
      493087 495083 493079 489073 484069 478066 472063 466062
      461062 459066 457068 451068 445065 440066 436069 432075
      431086 425089 423088 421086 418083 416078 415073 416067
      409056 404053 397053 393058 389062 386062 384060 381060
      379061 375061 373059 374053 367051 358051 351055 349056
      345056 329053 325054 321056 315060 312064 310073 295088
      292093 291096 290100 287107 285112 286113 289129 291137
      291146 289154 286160 284168 283172 285175 299218 308229
      318240 323244 326251 329257 333262 336267 341271 345274
      351276 367281 383287 390291 398293 406298 413303 419307
      424310 430314 437317 449319 459319 472318 478318 480316
      481312 482306 484301 489296 491294 494293 501291 505289
      506286 505282 507278 514270 519265 521261
 0.01 499152 498149 495147 491140 489137 486135 479132 473126
      472133 470137 472141 480140 484142 486145 488148 491150
      493153 496153 499152
 0.01 491942 491934 490928 489921 488916 482888 478875 472861
      463841 453823 449813 447807 444801 442795 439790 435778
      423753 418745 412739 398725 394724 389723 383724 377723
      372722 364722 360722 356725 341736 337740 333742 328745
      326750 321758 321767 320771 321773 324778 323784 324792
      321797 314802 309808 297824 289831 281838 272845 269849
      267853 260871 257881 254887 255890 257895 256900 253911
      253919 255926 257932 259936 268940 264948 260959 262971
      265975 265981 267983 270984 275982 286981 292979 295975
      299966 302957 301950 300944 300937 301931 301922 303917
      308903 321903 331905 335906 341906 352906 356904 363904
      376903 383903 388906 392910 394915 409929 416935 423938
      428940 434942 445944 461957 466960 473960 478959 482957
      486949 491942
 0.01 443171 441168 440163 437159 434155 434150 437146 434141
      431140 429142 424150 421150 417147 414144 409145 409148
      411150 415153 419161 426167 432173 437174 441173 443171
 0.01 433983 433975 431971 426966 423961 417952 411942 409938
      405933 402931 396931 393936 393943 393959 392972 389979
      387986 383997 381004 381010 380026 380031 382033 385038
      387040 390041 392039 397027 400016 403009 406005 409000
      413996 417992 422990 425987 429987 433983
 0.01 340069 340067 339065 337065 335065 333065 331066 330066
      328066 327068 328070 328072 329074 331074 333074 334074
      336073 338071 340069
 0.25 498229 498226 497226 496226 495228 495229 497230 498229
 0.25 482273 484267 483261 479256 474247 472242 467240 460234
      455231 448230 439230 432234 428233 426230 428228 435227
      437222 436218 431215 426215 422217 421215 416206 411207
      410204 405200 400199 387191 384191 380188 375180 369174
      366171 364167 366161 368155 372152 374148 377138 376129
      376126 375123 371120 362118 358118 354115 351113 348108
      345099 346090 333082 328082 324084 318089 311094 309098
      307103 307110 309115 311120 314122 328129 342140 345144
      349145 353148 354151 353155 353159 349163 346165 343164
      340161 337161 329159 320156 311154 306154 305158 306164
      309168 311172 312178 314187 319201 324207 330215 334222
      340230 344239 349247 354253 359258 374269 410289 419293
      428295 437296 445294 459289 469289 476286 478284 480279
      482273
 0.25 478233 478232 476231 474231 474232 474234 474235 473237
      473239 473240 473239 475238 476237 477235 478233
 0.25 462913 463908 463902 462893 459886 456878 451860 443849
      435840 431835 428828 423811 421802 417795 410785 405782
      398781 395787 395792 393794 391809 378809 365807 356806
      348808 341811 335815 325822 314830 301836 295839 290844
      283853 280859 277864 274877 272883 269892 271900 273904
      279908 285907 291905 297902 302896 307890 314883 320880
      325881 327882 332886 340884 344883 348884 356885 362886
      367884 373881 377880 381881 388882 395885 406893 415900
      424908 450919 453920 457920 462913
 0.25 399120 400118 399116 397115 396115 394113 392114 392116
      392117 394118 395119 395120 397120 399120 399120
 0.25 396089 398082 397076 393073 387071 383073 380073 373065
      369063 365065 365073 366079 367084 369090 375098 375101
      378101 379100 380097 387098 390095 392096 396089
 0.25 367137 367136 365136 363137 361137 360138 360141 361142
      362143 364142 364141 365139 366138 367137
 0.25 289952 290945 289939 286937 283939 282943 280947 279952
      277957 276962 276968 279968 283965 285962 287958 288953
      289952
 0.50 457269 459262 458257 456251 453248 449245 444243 433242
      426237 418231 416227 416220 416217 413215 408213 403207
      395200 386196 378189 372183 362179 357177 353178 349175
      346171 344167 340164 330162 325159 319158 313158 311161
      312165 321178 327188 331197 334204 338212 344220 350228
      356234 362242 368250 374258 382263 391267 401272 405276
      410279 418283 427285 436282 444277 451272 457269
 0.50 434883 434875 433871 428862 417842 412834 405829 401826
      396824 386829 368836 362828 354824 349823 344824 336830
      329836 319841 298846 294849 291853 286862 283870 280880
      278891 279896 280898 284900 291895 298889 305882 314877
      321872 325872 331873 336875 340876 346875 350875 361875
      366874 371872 380868 385868 389870 404880 413886 422890
      425891 429890 433886 434883
 0.50 365202 364199 362197 361195 359192 356189 355187 353185
      350186 349190 350193 352195 355198 357199 360201 362202
      365202
 0.50 352122 351117 347112 343104 342098 339093 336090 333089
      330090 327092 324098 321101 319106 319110 323115 327118
      332120 336122 339126 343129 346130 347127 349123 352123
      352122
 1.00 428252 408218 395205 389203 384200 379197 376192 369185
      365183 359183 359187 364191 371198 388209 391213 396217
      401220 402224 398227 394227 385221 364211 360208 356206
      349198 347192 346187 344174 343168 339167 329163 322161
      319162 318165 321169 326172 330175 332179 336189 340199
      346208 353213 356218 361221 366223 368228 371234 374237
      382243 391248 401254 414258 422256 428252
 1.00 347851 348849 348846 348844 347842 346840 344839 343840
      343841 341843 341845 341847 341848 342849 343850 345851
      347851 347851
 1.00 312867 311862 306861 300862 297865 295868 292872 290876
      290881 292883 296881 300879 303876 306873 308871 312867
      312867
 1.50 411228 410224 408221 408222 406224 407226 407227 408228
      410229 411228
 1.50 401246 402240 400235 397233 393234 390231 387228 382227
      380231 382236 385238 390241 394242 398245 401246
 1.50 400213 398211 397210 395209 394209 394212 396214 398214
      400213 400213
 1.50 369190 368187 367187 366186 364185 362185 361186 362187
      363188 364189 365189 367190 369190 369190
 1.50 346200 346198 346197 345196 345194 344195 344198 345200
      345201 346200
 1.50 344189 344186 343184 343182 343181 341180 341181 340183
      340186 341188 342189 343189 344189
 1.50 332166 330166 329165 327165 328167 330167 332167 332166

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 569972 567967 567960 564952 563948 561944 558941 555938
      552932 549925 544920 537920 524896 520894 516895 514897
      512895 511892 508882 508877 506872 504865 500855 497847
      494840 491833 488825 480809 476801 472795 467788 462782
      461786 462792 463800 469818 475835 476844 472839 463828
      453816 440788 436778 434775 433769 426750 420733 416727
      412724 406719 400716 395712 391710 387712 383710 379711
      370713 366714 363717 354719 341724 337731 332730 330732
      323736 319742 315747 311752 308758 305765 300772 301781
      301786 300791 301801 300806 298809 293813 289819 284823
      273834 268838 266841 266846 263853 263860 263870 262879
      261882 261888 263897 266934 266944 267953 268959 270963
      272966 275968 281968 289965 294968 297971 297975 299982
      300987 300992 296012 294018 290024 288027 287033 285041
      285046 286049 285059 277062 270064 267066 267070 269077
      271080 270084 268091 269096 272100 275106 278112 281118
      283122 283126 281134 279144 279149 280151 284159 288167
      291172 294178 301191 306196 311199 317205 323209 328214
      335220 346230 352236 358242 356244 355248 356257 358264
      359267 362270 367275 376277 392282 409287 418290 423292
      427291 435293 440291 443289 448289 451292 456295 457298
      457304 460311 461314 465315 472318 484323 496328 516280
      512276 511268 511249 509243 509238 508235 507227 505221
      502217 498216 496213 495207 497203 496195 492191 480188
      472195 463198 458201 454200 453198 451196 451193 451185
 0.01 451185 451176 454176 456172 455167 456159 454152 448141
      457141 457138 453133 446128 443122 445118 446117 450114
      451111 451107 447098 443096 438098 434097 430092 426091
      428094 429101 427106 423105 420104 417102 412093 410088
      412082 414076 414069 412065 407061 397055 392054 387051
      383049 378044 375040 375033 376021 378016 379012 378004
      376999 376994 373990 367990 362988 353989 347989 344989
      344992 342998 342004 345008 347013 344016 340019 336021
      332021 327020 323020 320018 318013 317010 317005 317001
      315997 315994 319983 323972 328960 334950 341943 357930
      362927 365924 368920 373916 379907 385902 395884 397881
      398882 400885 402890 406903 410916 410931 409933 409937
      408946 407952 407961 405963 405967 404975 405991 408003
      411007 413013 416017 422018 430011 436004 441993 447993
      452996 461999 468009 471013 473019 481027 484027 486027
      487030 487036 486043 487050 490055 496066 495074 493078
      497092 500095 503103 506107 510113 517119 523126 534128
      547126 553124 556122
 0.01 493079 490073 484067 475059 465050 460047 453046 445045
      443045 441048 440053 439057 438067 442071 448073 450075
      454076 460077 463075 465071 469071 472072 483078 489081
      493079
 0.01 447736 447734 447732 446731 445731 443732 443735 445737
      445738 447737 447736
 0.01 437211 434198 431193 426189 425186 425182 421178 416173
      411170 404168 402172 402176 403189 401190 398190 397194
      399195 402196 405196 410194 413193 420197 423198 425200
      428204 432209 437211
 0.01 441834 432824 431820 429817 425813 421808 417802 410791
      407784 403778 400772 396768 391763 389761 384761 381761
      377760 370762 367764 369766 371770 372774 377789 378799
      380807 381812 382816 385822 394832 398837 402843 405848
      410854 407868 413872 416872 419874 422871 424867 426862
      430861 429857 427850 427845 428841 431835 435834 439835
      441834
 0.25 506967 506959 504952 502938 501931 498926 493916 490912
      488911 485912 481921 477924 472926 468928 464931 456937
      450945 443954 441958 437961 435965 435968 436969 445965
      454961 458962 462964 471969 476972 479971 482971 483973
      485978 490981 495982 499980 502976 506967
 0.25 476289 476287 476286 475285 474285 475286 475288 476289
      476289
 0.25 480262 483248 481243 480237 478232 476231 474232 472239
      468238 465236 463231 462225 464218 465214 460211 453216
      446218 437219 427219 423217 421214 417210 415210 409210
      405207 396201 390196 382191 374185 370182 366180 356178
      352178 349181 344190 338197 338202 340206 346211 354217
      360224 368230 380243 387250 395256 403261 412266 423268
      432269 450269 459267 467268 476268 480262
 0.25 469281 469278 469277 468276 468274 466273 465272 463274
      464276 464277 465279 466280 467281 468282 469281
 0.25 417123 417119 416117 410117 405117 402113 399109 395108
      384110 383106 386102 390099 390090 389084 385079 381076
      378071 373063 369060 362060 351062 347065 349070 347077
      343078 340079 338078 336072 338068 341065 342060 341056
      338053 327050 321049 316047 309045 305045 303047 301054
      301061 302069 297070 285071 280072 277073 276078 277084
      278090 282099 286109 291119 297126 305133 311134 318134
      324132 327134 330138 331144 336147 340148 351150 358151
      363154 368154 373152 381147 383141 384133 387129 392125
      399120 404119 408122 414125 417123
 0.25 399225 399222 397220 394218 390215 385213 377209 371203
      362197 359196 355196 355200 359203 366209 373214 379220
      382223 387226 390227 394227 399225
 0.25 359819 360810 358803 353793 341773 341764 342759 342752
      342748 339747 335746 329748 324752 320756 316765 316772
      318778 320784 320791 318802 314813 309824 305827 300827
      295828 291831 284839 280849 275861 273871 272879 273886
      276900 277907 279914 281926 285935 290945 295949 301951
      308951 310950 317951 321949 328940 332935 328933 326928
      325926 326922 335900 342877 346866 350855 357832 359819
 0.25 354111 353109 353108 352107 351108 351109 352110 353111
      354111
 0.25 343177 344171 343167 341165 336161 333157 328153 323154
      317152 312148 307145 300144 297144 294146 292153 295158
      298162 308170 318176 328181 333182 340181 343177
 0.50 459240 457236 455236 450235 446236 444240 440241 434236
      427232 420227 417227 415224 414220 412217 388198 375189
      368183 361181 354180 351183 351188 367194 378205 391214
      397218 402220 404223 403226 399229 393230 389230 385229
      382231 382236 388242 394247 401251 408254 417256 425256
      431256 439254 442252 444250 444245 447244 454243 459240
 0.50 377139 379123 366124 363121 362122 361128 358127 354119
      351114 348108 345099 343091 339085 334080 327077 325076
      321078 316080 307079 300076 292075 285076 281080 282088
      287102 291108 295113 299120 304124 311128 318129 328121
      333127 336133 341139 346143 350143 352142 357137 361138
      363142 367148 369149 373146 377139
 0.50 378098 379096 380094 379092 378091 376091 374093 373096
      373098 374099 375100 376100 377099 378098
 0.50 351822 351811 347803 342796 337792 332792 330794 326802
      322808 319816 314831 312835 308836 302834 297833 295835
      290841 287849 286856 284864 281873 280878 280884 282892
      285911 287920 290928 294934 296937 299939 302939 305936
      310930 317918 322911 325904 327896 331889 336874 342857
      346840 349830 351822
 0.50 338170 337167 334165 327160 320157 314153 307149 302149
      299152 300156 302159 309164 314167 321171 325172 328172
      335171 338170
 0.50 332060 333058 332056 330055 329055 327054 325055 324057
      324059 325061 326062 327061 328061 330061 332060 332060
 1.00 427247 427244 425242 421238 416234 411233 405235 400236
      399239 400241 404245 407248 410249 417249 423250 427247
 1.00 390208 391206 390205 390204 389203 387202 385201 385200
      384200 382199 380198 379197 377196 376198 377199 378201
      380202 381203 383204 385205 386207 388208 389208 390208
      390208
 1.00 367189 367187 366186 364185 362184 361184 359184 357184
      355184 356187 357187 358188 360188 362189 364189 365190
      367190 367189
 1.00 347116 347113 346110 343105 341100 338094 337092 333092
      329095 325098 322100 321104 324109 329113 333116 338120
      341121 343120 347116
 1.00 340825 340818 338811 333808 330811 324819 320830 316842
      314847 309850 304847 300844 297844 295846 294851 292865
      290878 290892 292898 294903 297908 300913 302914 305914
      308911 311906 313901 315894 317890 321879 326868 334847
      340825
 1.00 328168 329166 328166 327164 326163 325163 323162 322161
      320161 318160 317159 316159 315161 316163 317164 318164
      319165 321166 321167 323167 325168 326168 328168 328168
 1.00 317116 317110 315106 314103 313096 314090 312087 306086
      303083 299082 294081 290083 289087 292096 297103 303108
      307115 310118 315118 317116
 1.50 418242 419240 417239 416238 414238 414239 412240 413242
      415243 417243 418242
 1.50 343114 343111 342111 341109 339107 338106 337106 335106
      334105 333106 333108 334110 335112 336114 338114 339115
      340115 342114 343114
 1.50 329826 329824 327826 326827 326829 328830 329829 329827
      329826
 1.50 304093 305091 305089 304088 303087 302086 301085 299085
      297084 296086 295087 295088 296090 297091 298092 298093
      300094 302094 304093 304093
 1.50 303871 303870 303869 301868 299868 298868 297866 297868
      297870 297872 297874 297875 298876 299877 301876 301875
      302874 303873 303871

$$





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