Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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121
FXUS04 KWBC 282102
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
501 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 29/0000 UTC THRU OCT 02/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...
MINOR REVISIONS MADE TO DAY 1 ACRS THE MID ATLC BASED ON RADAR
TRENDS THAT AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM SUPPORT THE MORE ERN SOLNS
OF THE HRRR RUNS..THOUGH ALSO EXPANDED HEAVIER RAINS IN THE
ERNUPSLOPE AREAS OVER CNTL APLCNS/BLUE RIDGE WITH INCREASING ELY
LOW LEVEL FLOW.  SULLIVAN

MID ATLANTIC INTO THE UPSLOPE AREA OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS

MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF STRONG CLOSED LOW
INITIALLY OVER THE MID WEST---SINKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE OH
VALLEY.  PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL BE INCREASING
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND
INTO THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THIS PERIOD.
THERE IS A STRONG MODEL SIGNAL FOR HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC WHERE
TRAINING OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE.  THERE IS OVERALL
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
POTENTIAL---ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE MAX AXES.
 THE NAM HAS BEEN THE MORE WESTERN OUTLIER OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS
WITH THE AXIS FOR THIS PERIOD---WHILE SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION RUNS---INCLUDING THE GEM---ARW AND MANY OF THE HRRR AND
HRRR EXPERIMENTAL HAVE BEEN FARTHER EAST.  THE HRRR AND HRRR
EXPERIMENTAL HAVE BEEN MORE CONSISTENT--WHILE THE HI RES ARW AND
NMMB HAVE SHOWN MORE VARIABILITY.  THE HRRR AND HRRR EXPERIMENTAL
SHOW VERY HEAVY TOTALS IN THE DC-BALTIMORE METRO AREA---WITH
VALUES OVER 10".  THE HRRR TIME LAGGED ENSEMBLES ALSO SHOW VERY
HIGH PROBABILITIES OF 2...3 AND 6 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE 6 HOUR
PERIODS ENDING 0300 AND 0900 UTC THURSDAY.  HRRR TLE PROBABILITIES
ARE AS HIGH AS 70 TO 90% FOR 2 INCH AMOUNTS...50 TO 70% FOR 3 INCH
AMOUNTS AND 20 TO 30% FOR 6 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED 6
HOUR PERIODS FROM NORTH CENTRAL VA INTO CENTRAL MD.  WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE HRRR EXPERIMENTAL`S VERY HIGH
TOTALS---THE POTENTIAL FOR THE PRECIP AREA TO PIVOT OVER THIS AREA
EARLY MORNING HOURS THU TO AROUND SUNRISE THU AS THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW BACKS TO A MORE EAST SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION---DOES WARRANT
POTENTIAL FOR VERY  HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS.  NO CHANGES MADE
TO THE PREVIOUS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK ACROSS THIS
AREA AS THE MODERATE RISK AREA SEEMS TO FIT WELL WITH THE HIGHER
HRRR TLE PROBABILITIES.  AREAL AVERAGE 2-4" AMOUNTS DEPICTED DAY 1
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC---WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TOTALS OF
5-10" WHERE THE RAIN BANDS TRAIN OR PIVOT EARLY THURSDAY.  THE
EMPHASIS FOR THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK
MORE TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST DURING THURSDAY INTO THE UPSLOPE AREA
OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS FROM NORTHWEST VA INTO NORTHEAST WV AS
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS TO A MORE EAST SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.
DAY 1 QPF DID BEGIN TO SHOW THIS TRANSITION BEING SLIGHTLY WETTER
THAN THE PREVIOUS RUN OVER  NORTHEAST WV AND NW VA FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST---WITH THIS TREND MORE EMPHATIC DURING THE DAY 2
TIME PERIOD.

LOWER LAKES INTO THE OH VALLEY

SHOWERY CONDITIONS LIKELY TO CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY OF THE SLOW
MOVING CLOSED LOW DROPPING INTO THE OH VALLEY DAY 1.  THE MOST
ANOMALOUS PW VALUES WILL BE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION---WITH PW VALUES CLOSER TO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
SEASONAL MEANS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS CIRCULATION.  THIS WILL
SUPPORT MUCH LESS PRECIP AMOUNTS DAY 1 OVER THE LOWER LAKES INTO
THE OH VALLEY THAN POINTS FARTHER EAST.  BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY
TOTALS WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL CENTER FROM
NORTHERN IN---NORTHERN OH--SOUTHEAST L.P. OF MI WHERE THE COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIP BAND HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF SETTING UP.
HERE .50-1"+ AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED---WITH LESS TOTALS
SOUTHWARD INTO THE OH VALLEY--BUT HEAVIER IN THE UPSLOPE SECTIONS
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN

THE CLOSED LOW INITIALLY OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON THE SOUTHEASTERN SIDE
OF THE AMPLIFYING MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROF OFF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST.  SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE AXIS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD WITH THIS CLOSED
LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN.  CONFIDENCE LOW WITH
DETAILS---WITH AREAL AVERAGE LIGHT TO MODERATE AMOUNTS DEPICTED
WITH ISOLATED HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE CUTOFF LOW CENTERED OVER KY
AT THE START OF DAY 2 WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY NORTHWARD BEGINNING
LATER FRIDAY AS UPPER RIDGING STRENGTHENS IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
RATHER COMPLICATED QPF PATTERN WILL BE SETTING UP FOR THE DAY 2-3
PERIOD...WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD AMONGST THE GUIDANCE...WHICH
IS LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF THIS FORECAST.

FOR DAY 2...IN GENERAL THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT SHIFT SOUTHWESTWARD
FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS OF THE HEAVIEST QPF AXIS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES.  BELIEVE THAT THIS MAY BE A RESULT OF MORE
STABLE AIR NOSING SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND AND SETTING UP A
TEMPORARY PSEUDO-DAMMING PATTERN.  INSTEAD...THE HEAVIEST FOCUS
MAY BE IN THE UPSLOPE REGIONS IN VA/WV AND SOUTHERN PA WHERE
INSTABILITY IS MARGINALLY BETTER GREATER AND LIFT IS ENHANCED BY
THE UPSLOPE FLOW.  AT THIS TIME...EXPECTING AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS
TO RANGE FROM 1.5 TO 3 INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY.  WHILE WE HAVE SHIFTED THE HEAVIEST QPF AXIS
WESTWARD...DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT WESTWARD MODIFICATION TO
THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FORECAST...MAINLY DUE TO THE LACK OF
CONFIDENCE WITH THE DIFFERING MODEL SOLUTIONS AND THE LIKELIHOOD
THAT HEAVY RAINS ON DAY 1 WILL LOWER THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.

THE ATLANTIC MOISTURE WILL WRAP INTO THE DIFFLUENT ZONE NORTH OF
THE UPPER LOW...SO EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL EXTEND
NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES STATES...AS WELL AS WESTWARD
INTO THE OH VALLEY UNDER THE COLD POOL ALOFT. MEANWHILE...THE AXIS
OF HIGHEST PWATS WILL BE LIFTING TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
COMBINED WITH STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY ON THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE HIGH IN NEW ENGLAND...SUSPECT THERE MAY BE A
SECONDARY AXIS OF HEAVIER QPF ALONG OR JUST OFF THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

FOR DAY 3...THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND
WEAKEN...LOSING ITS CONNECTION WITH THE DEEPEST MOISTURE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST. THERE WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF MOISTURE (PWATS
REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL) TRAPPED IN THE CIRCULATION OF THE UPPER
SYSTEM.  COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS UNDER THE COLD
POOL...EXPECT PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WHICH LIKELY WILL BE
MORE ACTIVE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH SURFACE HEATING.  AREAL
AVERAGES WILL BE IN THE .25 TO .50 INCH RANGE...BUT LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING
TAKES PLACE. FARTHER EAST...EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...BUT
GRADUALLY RELAX TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF DAY 3.  THIS WILL ALLOW
THE COASTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
TO LIFT NORTHWARD...SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. NOT EXPECTING EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS AS
THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY AND DEEPEST MOISTURE REMAINS OFFSHORE.

ACROSS FL...DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE TRAILING
SURFACE FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK IMPULSES ROUNDING THE BASE OF
THE UPPER TROUGH TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE PENINSULA BOTH DAYS.  THE UPPER DYNAMICS APPEAR TO BE MORE
FAVORABLE ON DAY 2...SO ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO BE MORE ORGANIZED
DAY 2 VERSUS DAY 3.


...SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

A DOUBLE-LOBED UPPER LOW (WIT ONE LOBE CURRENTLY IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN US AND THE OTHER WEST OF BAJA CA) IS EXPECTED TO FILL
AND LIFT NORTHWARD IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH DEEPENING IN THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC.  DURING DAY 2 AND EARLY DAY 3...THE REMAINS OF
THIS SYSTEM...A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ORIENTED SHEAR AXIS ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST...WILL PUSH SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. AS EVIDENCED IN CURRENT WV
IMAGERY...THERE IS A DECENT FEED OF TROPICAL MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED
DIURNAL CONVECTION MOSTLY TIED TO THE OROGRAPHY. NOT EXPECTING
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POTENTIAL...BUT WITH PWATS RANGING ABOUT 1 TO
2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...AM MAINTAINING A RELATIVELY
BROAD MARGINAL RISK AREA FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE DAY 2 TIME FRAME.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...

MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEEPENING A LONGWAVE TROUGH JUST
OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST THIS PERIOD. ONE POTENT SHORT WAVE
WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND LIFT INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 3. INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS
FEATURE WILL SUPPORT LIGHT POST-FRONTAL RAINFALL ACROSS WESTERN WA
AND OR.  MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO BE FOCUSED ALONG THE
COASTAL RANGES...WHERE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM
ABOUT .1 TO .25 INCH.  FARTHER EAST...UPPER DIVERGENCE IN THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET STREAK LIFTING ALONG THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THE TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH ABOVE NORMAL PWATS TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN EASTERN
WA/OR...NORTHERN/CENTRAL ID AND WESTERN MT.


ORAVEC/SULLIVAN/KLEIN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 30/00Z
 0.01 496328 493325 489322 486319 481317 472318 464315 463311
      462306 467298 473293 481290 484291 488289 494285 503288
      508290 513290
 0.01 544041 544032 542023 539008 536002 531998 528994 526997
      522003 519009 517017 516025 512042 512045 513050 512056
      512067 510075 509084 511089 512095 510101 508109 504119
      503124 501127 501137 504135 506130 513117 518106 522099
      525094 527089 530085 539054 544041
 0.01 506158 506154 505152 500148 496147 493145 491137 485134
      482130 477131 474135 474140 479145 476147 473147 470145
      467142 466137 464133 459130 457124 458114 460106 459102
      457098 453095 447093 445091 441090 437092 432093 428089
      426089 425092 424099 415101 412099 412096 412087 409083
      409076 414073 413069 414066 414063 410063 409060 407058
      404058 402059 399059 390063 388069 386071 383070 381067
      375065 370063 366063 355068 353070 349070 342070 338071
      330070 325071 321069 314069 309072 303070 299067 297063
      294060 287055 282053 275052 267051 263053 262055 260061
      259069 259078 261082 264087 268089 273089 278092 286090
      289093 292096 301098 304104 308109 316116 319117 320115
      322112 325111 328110 330112 332114 330118 329123 327129
      323132 321138 313141 312143 310140 311131 313128 314123
      310119 296136 291140 289144 288150 289155 292158 296160
      301163 305162 316161 321158 325152 340135 363138 367147
      370150 376151 381150 388150 391152 390157 385163 383163
      382167 382170 384168 388170 389172 391172 393168 398159
      404158 409155 417161 423157 427153 430152 432154 436160
      444162 448165 452166 454164 457159 461156 472158 476162
      479160 495159 499161 503162 506158
 0.01 442791 441776 441767 439758 438748 436742 432740 427733
      419733 409735 404736 401734 399728 396724 393720 388717
      378717 370720 364724 357729 340737 330740 321745 312751
      305757 292769 286775 283776 279777 273777 269780 263781
      258779 257776 254777 250779 248782 243784 249787 253788
      259788 257791 254791 254795 256797 253806 252812 253820
      253826 252830 249841 246849 248852 250855 259858 262859
      264862 265868 267872 271874 279874 284872 286876 290885
      292886 294883 300878 310865 319847 323840 329831 338819
      345812 348811 350813 352815 358822 359826 358828 354832
      349841 345850 344853 344860 349857 351861 351864 352870
      359870 386893 390895 393895 400891 406889 410887 415882
      422881 427879 429876 430874 431862 434853 435841 438833
      438807 442791
 0.01 422136 421129 417129 415130 412128 409125 407126 402126
      400123 398120 394121 391123 388123 384125 384128 387134
      388139 391141 394139 399140 407142 412142 414141 420137
      422136
 0.01 405100 404098 404095 403093 401093 399093 398094 397097
      399099 401099 402102 404101 405100
 0.01 383195 381192 378189 375186 370184 364183 359183 359186
      364188 367189 372192 375195 381196 383195
 0.01 373175 374166 374163 371161 368158 363154 359158 356162
      354168 353173 351175 350179 352180 358179 363178 369177
      373175
 0.01 345182 345177 344171 343168 341166 336167 330165 327168
      332170 335172 339171 341175 341180 344183 345182
 0.01 268783 266783 265783 263783 261783 260784 260787 261788
      263786 265785 267785 268783
 0.01 231994 233996 233999 233005 236010 240014 242013 245010
      247008 251009 252016 254014 262004 261999 257996 254994
      254989 257983 266977 270971 271966 271949 267919 267914
      268910 267904 265890 263891 262895 262903 262919 260927
      258927 257925 254921 251919 248919 242921 239927 237932
      236940 236948 234954 231963
 0.25 434778 434767 431758 428750 423747 411746 405745 400744
      388740 383740 376739 371740 366744 363749 361756 359761
      353766 346769 338770 330772 324775 322778 318781 311784
      303786 288786 282787 277789 274791 276793 278799 282803
      285806 286809 290813 294815 296813 303811 309810 315808
      320805 335801 349801 355802 359805 364809 369811 375811
      378813 383813 385814 380819 376824 374830 372836 370842
      369844 369847 371848 376843 387836 393833 397832 400834
      403840 402848 398863 400867 402869 408871 416871 419871
      421870 426860 431844 431836 432825 431809 433792 434778
 0.25 380081 381078 381076 379075 378074 376074 375075 374078
      374080 375081 377082 379082 380081
 0.25 370095 370091 369088 366085 361083 357080 345077 336080
      330081 326085 326089 327093 329096 332101 335105 338110
      341113 345116 351117 354114 357111 360107 364105 370095
 0.25 295828 294824 293822 288821 276822 270822 266823 262832
      258842 258846 260848 263850 269852 271855 275859 280860
      286858 289856 292850 293845 293837 295832 295828
 0.25 293079 293074 289072 284070 280069 277066 273065 269064
      268070 269075 272077 277079 281080 285080 288081 292080
      293079
 0.25 231986 239987 244986 248984 253978 259973 262969 263966
      262958 260953 255952 250947 245948 243950 239958 235966
      232975 232976
 0.50 430769 429764 426759 423755 419753 409754 403752 394749
      390748 385749 378753 373758 367766 360772 344775 339776
      335780 334784 338785 350793 353797 359797 365802 374801
      378800 381802 389805 393807 395812 395815 392819 385825
      383827 381829 383831 385831 390829 399826 403826 406829
      411837 409847 408857 409859 411856 415858 421856 424853
      426848 428838 427826 425813 424803 426793 428784 429774
      430769
 0.50 344098 343097 343096 343094 342091 340090 339089 337089
      335090 335093 335095 336097 337097 338099 339100 340100
      341101 343100 343099 344098
 0.50 310801 311797 310794 308793 303791 298791 293791 289791
      284791 283796 286799 290800 294801 298802 303803 309802
      310801
 0.50 288833 287830 285829 282828 280827 276826 272827 270828
      270833 271835 274836 275836 279835 282834 286834 288833
 0.50 283848 284846 283844 281844 279844 278844 277844 276844
      274845 273847 273849 274851 274852 275853 276854 278854
      280853 280852 281850 282850 283848 283848
 0.50 231982 237984 242982 246978 251976 255972 257968 257964
      252961 248960 245962 241966 238969 236975 233979 231981
 1.00 422773 420767 418764 412760 398756 389754 385755 382757
      371770 361781 358784 356788 357791 361794 364796 368797
      377795 386795 393798 401802 403803 408802 412793 415788
      420780 422773
 1.00 423834 422829 422827 420824 418821 416820 414818 411817
      409819 410822 413823 415824 417826 418830 419833 422834
      423834
 1.50 416779 416773 414768 409766 403762 398758 392757 388758
      378766 372772 369777 362787 363790 366791 371793 378791
      384792 397795 403795 407791 415781 416779
 2.00 412774 410770 406768 402765 399761 394759 390760 381766
      375772 371776 369782 369787 373789 379788 384789 393792
      399792 404790 410782 412774
 3.00 406778 404774 402772 396768 394764 392763 385766 378771
      374776 372781 376783 379783 387785 393787 400786 406780
      406778
 4.00 399777 397776 395774 393773 390771 388769 385769 382770
      380772 379775 382776 386774 388778 388781 392781 395781
      399779 399777

24HR QP VT 01/00Z
 0.01 534193 536183 536174 531164 527157 522154 514146 510144
      506144 501142 498140 491133 483125 479124 474125 470122
      468115 470108 467102 460101 456098 452095 449094 445095
      441093 434091 430089 426089 426091 427096 429098 427102
      423105 420110 416112 412109 411101 409094 407091 409088
      411081 414079 416073 417066 421062 423058 423053 420050
      409052 399049 393047 385046 380044 375041 371039 368038
      366039 362047 345056 335058 332059 329058 324055 318054
      316055 312055 297053 289051 283050 279052 268054 262062
      263074 265079 269083 275086 278090 281095 285098 289101
      294103 299102 305103 309106 311111 313114 316116 322117
      328116 334117 337121 340123 340128 343133 353136 356138
      361139 364138 369140 374140 377136 384129 393124 397122
      402123 414125 417126 419128 420135 422134 426129 432121
      436119 440119 441124 440129 436135 435141 434150 434155
      435157 438162 442164 450176 454176 455172 457165 460162
      463162 465164 467167 466172 461173 458176 454181 454185
      465185 467184 470186 475185 480183 483181 487187 490186
      496188 500192 506194 511195 516198 523201 528198 534193
 0.01 508019 508011 507006 505001 502998 500995 495993 487991
      477992 470994 462999 459001 456005 452013 449015 447019
      447027 451027 454025 457025 463023 463027 461027 457029
      455032 455037 459036 464036 469038 472039 476038 484036
      487038 492038 495036 496031 499027 504026 508019
 0.01 466277 468267 469259 465246 463238 460235 454235 450236
      444237 440239 434242 432246 430248 429253 429260 429268
      429272 431273 436277 442280 446281 447278 451280 457280
      462280 466277
 0.01 445206 446204 446201 445198 444198 443196 441195 441198
      442200 442201 443203 443205 443206 445206 445206
 0.01 459852 457835 455822 451807 447796 443783 439772 433751
      432746 432740 432732 432726 432717 432710 431701 429696
      427690 425688 418684 410679 406679 403682 397684 394687
      391692 387694 378701 369708 355719 347723 337727 327731
      316734 302738 293743 284747 276753 272759 266763 258769
      252776 246786 241800 243820 246827 249829 251829 257829
      258836 260838 263836 266835 270836 271839 275841 278841
      280839 285832 283827 286825 293818 295809 300808 305807
      313801 322794 330788 333785 336784 343788 357799 362807
      366810 369814 368819 367822 367827 374833 379834 381839
      382842 381845 377848 370852 363856 359860 357865 355876
      356885 358891 363899 370905 373907 378908 382909 386908
      394909 400909 404907 413902 425898 429896 434897 438895
      443894 448889 453879 455870 459852
 0.01 448075 446072 445070 443069 441069 443072 444075 446075
      448075 448075
 0.01 430212 430211 429209 427208 426207 424205 422205 421204
      419206 417206 416208 417208 418209 420210 422210 423210
      425211 427213 428212 430212 430212
 0.25 520178 520171 519167 516161 513158 507153 501147 496144
      492144 491148 493153 494159 492163 491167 493171 499177
      506183 509186 512186 516183 519180 520178
 0.25 448848 449842 448835 446823 444812 440803 437796 433789
      429783 426777 423768 420758 420745 421734 423715 424707
      422701 417696 411693 405694 400696 393701 375722 370727
      364732 353735 345738 332746 322752 315757 311763 304769
      298773 285781 281785 279792 279801 281804 284806 290804
      294802 301798 312791 317786 321782 327777 334774 343770
      348768 353767 357772 359782 362789 366795 383824 387829
      391835 393845 392854 388861 383867 377873 374880 373886
      375890 380895 385898 391899 398898 405894 411888 416882
      422877 430876 434872 437866 439860 445856 448848
 0.25 410070 407067 403065 401065 398067 394069 391068 388069
      386072 374071 369079 368082 364084 359084 355085 354089
      353095 352099 354103 355106 359107 362105 366108 373112
      378115 382115 383112 391109 394107 396103 397097 398092
      400087 400081 405074 410070
 0.25 342096 342091 342089 341086 339083 337082 334080 330080
      328083 329088 330090 331093 333095 335097 338098 341098
      342096
 0.25 284812 282808 279807 276805 272804 267802 263801 257802
      255806 256811 259813 264814 269814 275813 279813 284813
      284812
 0.50 442839 442830 441821 439813 437807 432795 426789 419782
      416777 413770 408761 407756 409752 413740 417727 419721
      419716 419709 418705 414701 410698 406699 402701 398705
      392713 387721 382731 378743 368759 364764 362769 366781
      369793 375801 381810 388821 392828 397839 399846 399853
      398860 395866 381879 381885 384889 390892 396890 401888
      404884 409877 415867 417861 420855 429855 434852 436849
      440844 442839
 0.50 401074 401072 401071 399071 398071 397073 397076 399076
      401074 401074
 0.50 392082 393080 393078 392076 390077 390078 389079 388082
      388084 389085 391084 391083 392082
 0.50 381085 382083 382081 381079 381078 379077 378078 377078
      376080 375082 376085 377086 379087 380086 381085
 0.50 356750 354746 350744 343746 334751 328757 322763 317770
      317772 322771 326769 331769 340766 347760 353755 356750
 0.50 314779 311777 307781 300783 294785 289789 287793 287798
      290798 295795 299792 304788 308784 312780 314779
 1.00 433826 431814 428805 423798 418794 411789 406784 395773
      389767 383766 380766 376770 375778 375785 376792 381796
      386804 391809 396814 401815 405814 411820 415826 421832
      425833 429832 432828 433826
 1.00 412718 412713 410709 408707 405709 403711 402714 401718
      400721 400725 402729 404729 406729 409726 410723 411720
      412718
 1.50 425815 423808 419805 414802 411797 403789 396780 391776
      386774 382775 379780 380788 383793 390802 395806 399808
      407806 413805 418809 422813 425815
 2.00 406799 403795 400790 396784 392781 386779 383780 382784
      383788 386793 390798 394802 399804 401804 403802 405799
      406799
 3.00 395791 395789 394788 393787 392786 390785 389785 387785
      388788 389790 391792 393793 395792 395791

24HR QP VT 02/00Z
 0.01 499324 488322 484323 478322 473322 466319 461316 458312
      456306 455299 453292 448290 439291 431292 426289 419286
      409280 407276 408272 411272 418266 400250 399239 407236
      412233 417232 422231 426229 430223 433219 442215 462210
      471210 479207 484203 486201 486197 486190 486186 483185
      479181 475183 471180 468180 466182 463186 462188 459189
      455193 452194 450193 448188 443190 440190 441184 445180
      446176 445174 439164 434160 432155 428144 426142 423143
      419147 415146 413140 410129 409124 406120 400117 395118
      390121 385120 385115 388113 392109 392104 391102 386099
      385097 382098 381099 376100 374097 373092 373085 372079
      372071 371068 368066 368063 370063 373064 375061 377058
      377054 383047 390046 392047 401052 414052 418053 420057
      420072 419079 414080 409084 411090 418098 421099 423098
      427094 431092 436092 442091 446093 456098 462098 467097
      474098 478099 480097 488093 497089 508088 514090 517092
      524092 528087 539072 544068 549069 554066 558063 561058
      562049 560034 560029 558024 559014 560007 561997 562991
      562981 563966 564961 564956 566952 569960
 0.01 522226 521223 518220 517218 515216 512213 511210 508209
      505208 503212 504215 507219 508221 509224 512225 516226
      519227 522226
 0.01 518991 518986 516985 508985 503982 497977 486979 482979
      479981 475984 469988 467989 468991 465998 465003 466006
      472006 477004 481003 484003 488003 492005 496008 503009
      507009 508007 508002 507998 504997 506994 513994 518991
 0.01 485841 483832 482822 481811 481807 479805 472800 468796
      464789 451770 448761 447753 448741 452735 452726 450718
      447713 447697 445679 444671 441666 437661 434657 432656
      428651 424650 418652 414654 404663 396671 390676 387680
      383685 381689 378695 374699 365708 357716 354719 349722
      335727 325733 319736 314740 307747 290763 287768 281769
      277767 272768 245768 232772 228775 225779 222790 220795
      221802 221809 223813 224816 225831 226839 230844 234847
      239848 241849 245849 250852 257859 268862 271867 275867
      279863 282856 284852 289848 292842 295837 301834 304831
      309826 311822 310815 313812 316811 322810 328806 336799
      355786 361784 364789 369802 373806 379808 383809 387813
      389817 388822 385827 381831 380837 377843 372846 370849
      367856 367874 369879 371886 374892 376896 376901 377906
      378909 381910 387911 395911 405915 410917 415921 419924
      424924 428924 431926 438926 441926 443924 448923 459918
      463913 466909 469903 470894 473888 476888 478885 480879
      480872 481864 481854 485841
 0.01 373037 372032 372026 366021 359016 356016 352018 347024
      341030 337034 339036 340039 346039 352033 355031 358031
      360034 365041 369041 371039 373037
 0.01 339056 340049 336045 331042 326041 310030 308027 305027
      300028 293035 289037 286038 283037 288029 289020 289014
      287012 284011 281014 278017 276018 274015 267009 264005
      261001 255993 251990 246988 239989 235995 235999 235006
      235013 239022 242026 246028 258032 261032 263034 263037
      262043 258045 253048 253055 255059 260062 265070 269075
      275076 277080 281080 287087 296092 302093 306091 311090
      315086 319083 323080 332076 335073 331068 324063 317062
      312063 309064 305063 308060 313058 318054 328059 332060
      335059 339056
 0.25 557120 553118 549118 539118 523121 518122 515125 509131
      503138 495141 486144 483147 483151 484157 483165 484171
      487176 496181 504186 512191 516195 519199 523202 528203
      531201 532199 532195 530191 529184 530182 533186 537188
      539190 543195
 0.25 487267 488255 487250 485245 480239 477235 472235 469236
      464236 457236 448236 442239 436243 428242 421244 418246
      418249 425255 432259 439265 443264 446263 453262 461263
      469263 476266 483268 487267
 0.25 467863 466849 464837 459819 454809 450802 445797 441791
      436782 435778 436774 440755 440743 436735 432711 432698
      431686 429681 426677 420675 411676 407679 404682 395694
      385708 380714 375715 372715 367715 365717 360724 355730
      353733 349735 340740 335745 330751 326758 323765 319772
      314778 309783 302789 301793 304795 309795 314794 320790
      324784 334781 348774 357770 361770 366771 373774 375776
      375779 378787 382791 386792 393793 399795 402800 403804
      400811 400816 402820 403824 404830 389839 381852 377860
      374868 374875 375880 380885 382877 386874 391873 398874
      403880 405885 407889 412894 416896 421897 425897 430896
      444888 451889 455889 458888 464876 467868 467863
 0.25 298802 295798 290797 284796 277795 270796 264798 254805
      253810 253812 256814 265820 270821 274820 275818 267810
      267806 269804 276805 286808 293809 296807 298804 298802
 0.25 277044 276044 275042 273042 271044 271046 271047 271048
      272049 274049 275048 276046 277044
 0.50 552151 553141 552135 551134 546136 541137 536137 531139
      530142 529145 532150 536150 536155 538157 544159 549157
      552151
 0.50 521160 516153 513151 509151 502152 497154 495157 493163
      489167 489172 492174 500176 504177 508177 512173 516166
      518161 521160
 0.50 462248 462245 459242 457242 456241 452241 449241 447242
      445244 444247 444250 447251 449251 452251 456251 458251
      460250 462248
 0.50 462861 461849 459839 455833 451826 450822 448820 444827
      444839 446849 449858 453864 455868 457870 460868 462864
      462861
 0.50 427700 427694 425690 422685 415685 410688 402699 396710
      389720 385724 382726 380725 374727 367730 363733 357736
      346743 341748 338751 333764 335769 337769 344768 350766
      355762 366755 370755 376757 381759 388759 393755 397751
      404741 414732 419719 424710 427700
 0.50 419832 419827 416823 414819 411815 407813 405813 405815
      406820 409824 410828 412833 416837 418837 419832
 0.50 414788 414786 413784 411783 410782 408783 406783 405785
      406787 407787 408789 410788 411789 412789 414788 414788
 0.50 402785 401785 399784 399786 401786 402785
 0.50 393849 395845 393843 390846 387849 385853 382857 380861
      379866 379869 381870 384866 385863 388858 390854 392851
      393849
 1.00 420704 420699 419697 415696 414696 412697 410699 409702
      408705 407709 406712 407717 410718 413716 414715 416712
      418709 419707 420704

$$





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