Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162114
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
414 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 17/0000 UTC THRU FEB 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


18Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE GIVEN DECENT
RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY.

CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON TAP FOR THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL REGION DURING THIS UPCOMING
FORECAST PERIOD.  THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES CURRENTLY
SINKING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
STATIONARY AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO
THE AMPLIFYING UPSTREAM TROF APPROACH 140W AT 0000 UTC FRI. THIS
ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS IS THEN EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOCUSED INTO THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA REGION WITH PW ANOMALIES OF 2-3+
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN IMPACTING THIS REGION THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD AS THE AMPLIFYING UPSTREAM TROF
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST.  STRONG SOUTH
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE AMPLIFYING TROF AND IN
THE ANOMALOUS PW AXIS WILL PRODUCE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FLUX VALUES
OF 4-5+ STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE THE MEAN---WITH THE SECOND HALF
OF THE DAY 1 TIME PERIOD EXPECTED TO SEE THE GREATEST PRECIP
IMPACT INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE FROM
MONTEREY---SOUTHWARD TO THE TRANSVERSE RANGE OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA.  AREAL AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS OF 3-5" POSSIBLE FROM THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST RANGES---WITH ISOLATED MAXIMA
UP TO 8" POSSIBLE.  AWAY FROM THE MAX PRECIP AREA FROM MONTEREY TO
THE TRANSVERSE RANGE---MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS LIKELY
ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL TO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.   WITH SUCH HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THESE AREAS---THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
RISK OF RUNOFF ISSUES---ESPECIALLY IN THE NUMEROUS BURN SCAR AREAS
THROUGH THE TRANSVERSE RANGE.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

THE LEAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS MOVING OFF THE PACIFIC THIS
AFTERNOON INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION
TONIGHT.  WELL DEFINED UVVS WITH THESE HEIGHT FALLS EARLY IN THE
DAY 1 PERIOD WILL SUPPORT LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE PAC NW---NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES
REGION TONIGHT.  IN THE WAKE OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS---SHORTWAVE
RIDGING BETWEEN THESE HEIGHT FALLS AND THE AMPLIFYING TROF FARTHER
TO THE SOUTH APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST---WILL
DECREASE ONSHORE FLOW AND PRECIP POTENTIAL DURING FRIDAY.

WESTERN GULF COAST

THE CLOSED LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO FORECAST TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DAY 1.  THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OFF THE WESTERN
GULF---SUPPORTING INCREASING PRECIP THREAT FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE TX COAST INTO COASTAL LA.   MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT
THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE UPCOMING DAY 1
PERIOD---WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THIS PRECIP AREA POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE CENTRAL TX GULF
COASTAL AREA.  DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS CONSENSUS
IDEA---FOLLOWING THE HI RES ARW MORE CLOSELY FOR ANY SHORTER TERM
DETAILS.

WESTERN TO NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

THE MUCH BELOW AVERAGE MID TO UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO
RISE FROM THE EASTERN LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST THIS PERIOD AS THE
STRONG UPPER VORTEX CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES.  ADDITIONAL PRECIP/SNOW AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
WESTERN TO NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT.



DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WESTERN U.S....

THE HIGH IMPACT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS CALIFORNIA WILL
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY/DAY 2 AS THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW SINKS
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND DRIVES A SURFACE FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST US. THIS WILL
DIRECT VERY ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TOWARDS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. ALL OF
THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR AN ANOMALOUS RAINFALL
EVENT...INCLUDING IMPRESSIVE MID-UPPER LEVEL JET
DYNAMICS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL...AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW APPROACHING 5O KNOTS AT 850
MB. WPC 48 HOUR DOWNSCALED QPF TOTALS VALID FRIDAY (DAY 1) AND
SATURDAY (DAY 2) SHOW 5 TO 10+ STORM TOTALS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST AND ADJACENT TERRAIN. FOR THIS REASON...CONTINUED
TO MAINTAIN THE MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON THE DAY 2
GRAPHIC (VALID 12Z FRI TO 12Z SAT) ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST...WHICH INCLUDES THE LOS ANGELES METRO AREA AND
SURROUNDING COASTAL RANGES. EXPECT WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN ALSO FARTHER NORTH ALONG AND IN THE SIERRAS WHERE
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
SEE THE WPC HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS ON WINTER
WEATHER.

MAIN FOCUS SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY
AS THE HEIGHT FALLS MOVE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL
SHIFT THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL TO SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOUTHERN NEVADA...AND CENTRAL ARIZONA AS TROPICAL
MOISTURE ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT
DOES NOT QUITE SUPPORT THE AMOUNTS FORECAST ACROSS COASTAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON DAY 1 AND EARLY DAY 2 BUT DO EXPECT SOME 1
TO 2 INCH...AND LOCALLY HIGHER...AMOUNTS AND DID CONTINUE THE
MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON THE DAY 3 GRAPHIC (12Z SAT
TO 12Z SUN) ACROSS THIS REGION. MOISTURE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
SPREAD WELL INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND EVEN UP INTO THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AHEAD OF A WEAKER NORTHERN STREAM
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

AS FOR MODEL CHOICES...THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT MASS FIELD WISE
WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS
SEEMED TO TRANSLATE TO DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE QPF SO A BLEND OF
THE LATEST GFS/ECMWF WITH PREVIOUS SHIFT CONTINUITY WAS USED TO
GENERATE THIS CYCLE OF THE WPC QPF.


...GULF COAST REGION...SOUTHEAST...TN VALLEY...

AN UPPER LOW PUSHING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY/SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW SHOULD DRAW ENOUGH GULF MOISTURE
NORTHWARD TO SUPPORT SOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ALONG
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...GRADUALLY
PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN FLORIDA SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS SHOW A SECOND AREA OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVE
RAINS OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IN AN AREA OF STRONGER
FRONTOGENESIS AND INSTABILITY BUT CONTINUE TO INDICATE THESE RAINS
SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST. LIGHTER WARM ADVECTION RAIN
IS ALSO EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MASS FIELD WISE...THE 12Z GFS IS A LITTLE
FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE LOW/TROUGH AXIS THAN THE CONSENSUS...BUT A
BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SEEMED TO MITIGATE ANY QPF
DIFFERENCES.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORAVEC/SULLIVAN/SANTORELLI

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 477617 479624 481627 484636 486637 488635 490633 495634
      498638 499644 500656 499666 497673 493682 490688 484694
      482696 478697 475695 473692 472688 473685 476678 478671
      481661 481652 479647 477645 472642 459639 457636 456632
      456628 457625
 0.01 355282 362284 367284 373282 377277 390261 394258 398257
      407254 412255 417258 425258 430258 436256 448254 458253
      463252 468253 473252 476255 480258 483261 490269 496281
      503289 508286 512281 515276 518269 519263 520255 520248
      518242 516235 514231 509222 504214 501209 500206 498206
      494202 487199 478200 469203 467203 464201 461196 459192
      459189 461186 475178 481179 486182 492183 497186 503189
      506193 512200 516204 519210 526218 528221 531218 535207
      537202 536196 530181 520159 514152 507147 500140 491132
      488128 483125 472121 463127 455130 450130 450126 451123
      455120 455115 453111 454103 453096 452094 448093 435091
      429087 427085 424086 426100 422100 420102 419109 415111
      412110 412107 411101 410096 408098 406102 405105 402106
      397107 393110 378110 375110 373109 369110 364119 359130
      355142 353148 352153 347162 342163 337165 330165 324168
      317176 310181 303186 297193 292201 289207 287213 286221
      288226 290230 288237 343274 344274 346272 347272 349275
      350278
 0.01 458709 454706 447708 440710 439712 439716 444718 443722
      442724 435726 433728 434730 439732 446731 453728 456724
      458721 458717 458709
 0.01 451740 449736 445737 441742 439745 437752 433749 429747
      425746 422747 421749 421752 424757 425765 426772 428777
      432773 433766 441760 447752 449746 451741 451740
 0.01 444210 443203 442197 440190 435189 427191 425187 426182
      429175 429169 430164 429159 425154 423154 422158 421164
      417166 413170 410174 404184 403193 404200 412206 416210
      418214 418227 418231 422232 425228 424225 422224 423222
      425215 423210 418201 420199 426200 433207 439211 444210
 0.01 453081 451078 451075 450073 448070 445069 441069 440071
      439074 441074 443077 446078 448080 451081 453081
 0.01 348261 349259 350257 350255 349253 349255 348257 347259
      348261 348261
 0.01 310911 308907 308901 302893 298887 295885 291884 286883
      281885 275889 269894 265901 253913 249919 246927 240936
      237943 236955 237965 237970 235975 240978 244981 247982
      249986 247990 238993 235997 234001 232005 234007 237006
      239009 246016 251022 259025 265023 269019 270013 273003
      273994 274989 272984 272980 279981 285977 291971 296966
      305948 307941 309936 309930 308918 309913 310911
 0.01 279088 280079 278073 272065 263059 255058 250055 239051
      235050 233052 232055 233059 235060 240063 246066 250069
      257077 263086 273092 277090 279088
 0.25 518185 518183 518181 517180 516178 516177 515176 513174
      513173 512172 510171 509171 508172 507174 508177 508178
      509180 509181 511183 512183 512184 514185 516185 517186
      518185
 0.25 503238 502230 500220 496213 493211 489210 483210 479210
      476212 475215 476217 485221 490226 494233 498240 501241
      503238
 0.25 493658 493653 492651 490647 489650 488655 488657 488663
      487665 487671 489673 490671 491668 493664 493661 493658
 0.25 494150 493144 491140 489136 484134 481132 477129 473127
      471133 474138 477139 480139 484141 487144 489149 493151
      494150
 0.25 480244 481242 481239 481237 480236 479234 478233 476232
      475232 474232 473234 472236 471238 471240 472241 473242
      475243 476244 478245 479245 480244
 0.25 483166 484162 483159 480157 475156 472153 469148 466146
      464146 463149 463155 466159 468162 473166 478166 483166
      483166
 0.25 462223 464221 464218 463218 461217 459217 458217 457217
      456217 454217 453218 454221 455222 457223 458223 460224
      462223 462223
 0.25 450224 451222 450220 448220 447220 445219 443219 442220
      441222 443224 444225 446225 448225 450225 450224
 0.25 451161 452156 450154 448153 445150 443149 440146 438148
      438151 439154 443156 444157 447160 449161 451161
 0.25 444111 444109 442108 440109 440110 440111 442111 443112
      444111
 0.25 327263 331261 336259 342252 346245 351237 355234 361234
      363234 365236 365242 362254 361260 362265 366269 371269
      374268 378265 390255 397246 403241 406238 409234 412226
      414221 414217 411216 409215 406212 401204 395198 387191
      385188 385181 388168 389162 388157 385152 381148 374141
      371145 369149 363154 360157 358166 357170 353173 349173
      346171 344167 339169 330173 324178 318184 312191 307200
      305205 305211 307220 303230 298239 299244 302246
 0.25 298947 298939 296936 289931 287925 287918 288908 286904
      282900 277902 273904 266911 261917 257925 254934 249943
      245952 243972 248974 253974 263972 283973 290967 295960
      298947
 0.50 317256 322258 328258 334253 339248 342240 345236 348233
      353228 358228 363229 370233 369256 371259 375261 378260
      381257 391242 396238 402233 403231 404227 403224 402220
      402214 402210 399206 394201 382190 377184 375175 374164
      372161 369161 366163 364166 360172 352177 350179 347177
      345170 343168 339170 327180 322184 317190 314193 311198
      311203 312208 312215 311221 310225 306233 305237 306241
      311252
 0.50 388217 387214 385212 382209 381208 377206 376205 372204
      371206 373209 374211 375214 377217 379218 383218 385218
      388217
 0.50 294949 295943 292940 288939 285937 282929 283920 283914
      283908 281906 277906 273907 270909 265915 261922 258929
      252945 249953 247962 246966 247970 255970 264968 270969
      279971 283970 286968 292962 293954 294949
 1.00 387231 387226 386223 381224 376224 374219 366209 360199
      353197 351191 350185 347180 345174 342171 338173 335178
      328189 326194 324202 318215 317228 315236 314244 316248
      322250 328249 331244 337234 346226 350224 356223 369226
      374228 377233 380237 383236 387231
 1.00 386200 382197 379192 375187 370183 365180 358180 353182
      353186 355187 360190 365195 370197 376200 382202 386200
 1.00 286964 287962 287960 287958 287956 286956 285955 283954
      281955 279955 278956 277956 276958 275960 275962 276962
      277964 279965 281965 282966 283966 285965 286964 286964
 1.00 279916 277912 271913 266919 261929 258939 258947 256952
      252962 253965 259964 266958 270949 274937 276927 279916
 1.50 375196 376193 374190 373188 371186 368184 364183 361182
      359185 361188 363190 365191 368193 372195 374196 375196
 1.50 368221 366213 361206 355201 353199 351195 350189 348185
      346183 345178 344173 341172 336178 330197 324215 321227
      318236 320240 322241 328238 338225 345220 352219 362222
      366222 368221
 1.50 276921 276917 275916 271917 266923 263931 263941 259949
      256958 256960 260960 265953 268945 270935 274926 276921
 2.00 371190 371188 369187 367187 366185 364185 363186 364187
      366188 367187 369190 371190 371190
 2.00 365221 365216 364213 360208 354203 351199 349190 347185
      345178 342172 338178 336185 334195 331201 326216 325225
      326227 328227 338218 345216 350215 364221 365221
 2.00 272925 272924 270924 269925 268927 270928 271927 272925
      272925
 3.00 364218 362213 360210 355207 353204 349197 346187 343184
      344178 342175 341179 341184 340188 336198 336205 337207
      343210 347211 353212 356214 360217 364218
 4.00 349205 350201 349199 348195 347192 346189 344189 342190
      341192 339196 339201 340203 343206 344207 346207 349205
 5.00 347203 348201 348198 347196 347194 347192 346191 345191
      343193 342195 342197 343200 344200 345201 346202 347203
      347203

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 518244 517230 514224 513220 514215 516214 516209 517204
      516200 516195 515192 511186 509150 500139 498136 495135
      488133 485133 483134 480140 477139 475136 470138 468142
      461144 454144 451143 448141 446135 449128 452122 457120
      455116 457112 459108 452094 440092 437092 435093 430089
      426086 423088 425094 426099 425101 419103 415103 412101
      411093 410089 411085 416072 414069 414064 411062 409059
      406056 402056 396059 391060 384061 380064 366061 363062
      359062 356067 353071 352077 358091 358095 354095 346093
      342089 339085 335084 329086 320091 305093 290091 282089
      277087 248080 246088 243090 234097 231102 229111 227116
      227123 227127 225130 221133 215141 208154 205160 207167
      209172 213174 218177 221179 220183 220189 222196 223199
      226200 231201 239201 242200 244203 247209 248211 252212
      258215 266217 274219 281220 304220 320223 327225 331230
      339239 343244 348248 358255 374260 385259 396258 407256
      413253 419252 424251 430249 436247 442247 448248 455246
      466242 476243 483245 484248 488249 490251 492249 493243
      483232 487224 492225 495233 499239 501242 503243 505239
      503236 502232 504226 506224 507227 508235 511241 512245
      515246 518244
 0.01 502775 500759 499745 496732 491718 482698 477691 473689
      472688 469688 463696 459706 457717 458731 460746 464757
      465762 467767 472778 483796 489801 494800 497796 499791
      501786 500779 502775
 0.01 505895 504874 502867 501862 499859 497852 495843 492835
      489826 485821 481822 477824 475827 474830 474835 473838
      473843 473854 475858 475864 477870 483882 480889 480899
      478902 479907 480916 481920 483923 485925 489927 489932
      487941 483959 482969 482978 482984 483987 484991 487993
      490993 492991 494984 495960 495949 497941 499934 501929
      501924 499922 499917 502911 505895
 0.01 479142 479139 477139 475141 473143 475145 476144 476143
      478143 479142
 0.01 439755 437753 437751 437748 436746 434744 433744 432747
      433749 433752 434754 435756 435758 437758 439755 439755
 0.01 387854 387846 386836 385826 383818 382811 378803 372799
      370799 367802 364806 360810 356812 353813 346809 323797
      318796 312796 298800 295802 290801 285800 271795 259797
      252798 248802 247808 250810 256814 261816 262820 262825
      256834 252840 249845 246852 245859 241873 239886 239895
      241902 238908 236916 234922 235932 236937 239942 249945
      252948 256948 263946 270947 277949 282950 286950 288948
      293948 295946 299943 303937 307933 312927 317922 322920
      328919 329926 334923 339919 346917 349915 353916 359919
      364917 368914 371907 373900 376893 379887 384872 386863
      387854
 0.01 361938 361932 359927 355927 352929 348931 345934 343936
      344941 346943 352943 357943 359941 361938
 0.01 345954 345949 345947 343945 339943 337943 336941 332941
      332943 330945 332947 333949 332952 334954 336956 337956
      341958 345956 345954
 0.01 341969 341965 337965 330965 323965 317968 314969 312970
      306973 306977 314977 315976 319975 321974 325973 330971
      337971 341969
 0.01 333898 331897 329897 327896 326896 324896 322896 320897
      318897 318898 318900 319902 320904 322902 324902 326902
      328902 329901 331900 333898
 0.25 464184 466176 464171 460167 457162 452153 445150 442144
      442136 444127 446123 447116 446113 444114 443118 441122
      435121 431123 429125 427130 426137 428151 430158 430166
      427171 422173 419172 416173 415176 415180 415186 413191
      407194 399193 393192 387187 386183 388180 392176 392168
      392153 390148 385145 380140 378134 380129 384125 387120
      393117 401116 406114 408109 408102 408098 406098 404104
      395103 392108 388112 381111 376115 372121 370128 369136
      366140 361141 356138 353135 353131 355123 356120 355117
      347108 344104 339102 335105 333114 330120 328122 325123
      320119 316115 310107 302102 298100 291099 263095 251096
      245098 240100 236105 234111 234120 236127 233132 230135
      223141 220146 217152 218158 220162 231168 233178 236183
      243186 250188 259188 268202 274205 282206 292205 311195
      317195 324198 329201 334206 340212 350218 361223 374225
      378222 382222 383227 381232 380234 382236 388238 394238
      399238 406239 415238 426239 435233 444229 451221 457219
      456215 454213 448213 447210 449206 451200 455196 460189
      464184
 0.25 375871 375866 371866 366871 361872 354873 350879 348888
      348893 349897 353898 358897 363893 369889 372882 375873
      375871
 0.25 324874 323870 321868 315864 315861 317858 319851 320847
      319842 314837 308834 305827 301822 296818 288817 284818
      281821 279826 274830 263839 256850 254856 251865 251871
      252874 250877 248884 247891 246900 246909 250915 257919
      263919 268920 270922 272930 278933 284933 290930 295926
      299920 313894 318885 324874
 0.50 455179 453171 451162 446157 441151 439141 437139 435143
      434152 439158 442162 443166 446174 449180 452181 455179
 0.50 420221 421216 420214 417212 414212 411213 408211 403205
      380188 378185 378180 382175 388172 387164 386155 384153
      380153 377153 374150 373145 366146 360147 355145 350140
      344137 339136 336138 329139 324139 321136 317131 312127
      310120 306115 301111 294108 277103 270103 264103 259099
      251099 245101 240106 239115 242121 243127 244131 243135
      238139 234145 232147 232152 235159 237162 240164 242166
      242171 245175 250178 258180 265181 271193 277196 285198
      308190 316189 324189 329191 333193 337198 340203 345207
      352207 356203 354201 353197 353193 356190 367200 376208
      387217 391223 397228 403232 411231 417227 420221
 0.50 349125 350121 349118 347116 346112 345109 342107 340109
      338112 338115 337119 337121 339125 340127 344128 347127
      349125
 0.50 333158 330154 325151 320148 316144 317140 314137 310137
      304139 303142 304144 309148 314152 318155 324157 331159
      333158
 0.50 314879 314875 312873 310872 308868 311851 309846 302844
      299840 299834 296828 291823 289822 286823 285831 282836
      277840 269850 264854 261852 260854 261856 263864 258875
      255881 253889 250902 251910 257914 269910 275911 277913
      279918 278923 278928 280930 285930 289929 293924 306901
      308897 310890 313885 314879
 1.00 403219 404217 403214 402212 402211 400209 399207 397206
      396205 394205 392206 391206 390209 391210 391211 393213
      393214 394215 396217 397218 399219 401220 403219 403219
 1.00 381204 383201 383199 381195 376188 370181 369176 371173
      373170 374166 372162 369158 366150 357154 354149 350147
      345146 335145 331144 328146 330149 334151 343155 353159
      356160 359165 355172 352176 347174 343165 338164 332164
      326165 319161 303152 295148 292145 289146 291148 291153
      289160 292163 291168 288169 288172 293172 298175 301178
      305180 317182 327183 332185 337187 340191 342195 344199
      347201 348198 349191 351187 356185 359185 363187 367190
      369194 375201 378203 381204
 1.00 304886 303884 300883 296884 294886 293888 291889 289893
      291896 295897 297897 299897 298895 299893 301891 303888
      304886
 1.00 299861 300859 300857 298856 298857 297858 296859 295862
      294864 295864 297864 297863 299862 299861
 1.00 298908 298905 297901 295902 291905 290908 287912 285916
      284920 285926 289925 292920 293917 295913 297909 298908
 1.00 283865 284858 282851 277853 275858 270867 267878 266883
      263886 256894 255900 256903 258905 261904 264900 268890
      272880 279873 283865
 1.50 376196 376193 374192 372192 372193 373195 374195 375197
      376196
 1.50 350185 346176 344171 341166 332171 327171 323168 315161
      310160 305160 306164 310168 312171 318174 324175 329177
      334180 337183 343191 346192 347190 350185
 1.50 352152 350151 349150 348150 347149 345149 344149 345150
      346151 347152 348154 350154 352152
 1.50 279865 279863 278861 277861 276861 275863 274865 273867
      272869 272871 272872 271874 271876 272877 274876 274875
      276874 276873 277871 277870 278869 278867 279866 279865
 2.00 345187 346185 346182 346180 345178 345176 344173 343171
      343169 341170 341171 340172 338173 337174 337176 338178
      338179 339181 341183 341184 342185 343186 344187 345187
 3.00 344180 343178 343177 342177 342179 343181 344180

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 542179 544160 546151 544146 535128 529124 523118 517116
      512118 510120 507128 504134 500136 496136 488130 485128
      480126 473121 471118 472113 470105 462100 456098 453095
      447092 443092 433090 425084 420091 417094 414094 406093
      404096 399096 397095 398092 400087 407082 412077 415073
      416069 417065 415064 412061 404065 400067 397065 396062
      393061 386062 381063 375062 371059 370057 372056 378056
      382058 382056 379053 374050 372047 369043 371039 374030
      375027 375021 374017 374010 370002 359988 344978 328968
      308963 297961 293962 289964 283967 279968 276971 269976
      266984 263989 263993 265997 269999 275999 280001 283005
      282009 278018 276021 272025 270032 269038 273040 278041
      282039 289034 295028 299025 303023 311022 319023 329026
      335032 337036 336044 336049 334051 331056 327059 323055
      317049 309045 300044 296044 291045 283047 278049 274052
      272054 274057 278059 281058 290056 296055 301057 299061
      301064 305069 306073 304071 300067 297065 294066 289066
      279065 274065 270063 260060 252065 243067 237073 233077
      230081 226089 225095 226099 227105 230108 235115 240120
      250130 258136 262139 267142 276147 281154 295166 301170
      309173 316174 320174 329177 336183 339187 341192 344198
      347201 349199 351197 352192 354190 360191 369196 375204
      378207 377214 374214 370212 365211 361212 360215 361219
      364223 366223 366228 364234 365239 366244 368249 373256
      374260 378264 383272 395280 401282 405283 415284 423283
      428283 435285 439288 445290 455294 464297 472298 475297
      479300 487306 490307 492306 494303 496293 503291 507288
      510284 513278 515276 519273 520269 521264 522257 521247
      504210 503203 509204 517203 520205 524206 529208 532205
      534203 534197 538191 542179
 0.01 510742 509726 508712 506695 504683 500669 497660 491651
      488648 485647 481646 476648 472650 469653 465662 463671
      454688 453693 451698 450702 447706 440712 436715 433718
      436722 438725 436727 430728 429731 431733 436732 438738
      434746 435753 437756 442756 446753 449744 452733 453729
      458727 462731 462739 464752 470776 470784 472789 473793
      476797 483801 486801 492800 497793 501785 505776 508766
      510753 509745 510742
 0.01 410197 410190 408188 405184 404181 405177 407174 407171
      405171 402172 384172 376172 366170 363170 360168 354163
      351161 348161 345165 345171 347180 350182 354181 357180
      362180 370183 379187 382189 387190 400200 404201 407200
      410197
 0.01 390750 390742 389737 385738 382743 380752 379761 377767
      374771 370772 367770 365766 361758 356758 353759 353756
      356752 358748 361737 361725 361720 362716 363705 362697
      359691 355688 352688 344688 337690 333692 328694 324697
      312708 300719 291727 285733 278740 273747 269755 265761
      261768 258772 257778 254782 251785 241789 236790 234794
      239801 244808 242815 243821 246821 252820 256822 261825
      263829 271833 278840 283842 287842 293836 296829 301822
      306822 309827 310842 314852 319851 322849 325839 328835
      329831 332822 336814 340809 344805 346801 350799 352796
      357795 362798 365800 365805 363810 361818 356826 353835
      353839 355841 357839 362830 367824 370822 371825 370830
      368842 362860 362866 362872 365874 370874 374871 377866
      382859 385848 388837 390815 393794 390780 389769 389763
      389758 390750
 0.01 338786 336785 335787 333788 331790 328792 326793 325795
      322797 320799 322803 324805 327804 329803 332800 333798
      334795 335793 337789 338786
 0.01 318080 318078 316078 316077 314075 313075 312075 311073
      309073 307074 309076 309077 310079 312079 314081 316081
      318081 318080
 0.25 505276 505271 503265 504259 505255 507249 505243 501234
      473224 474214 472211 468209 460211 453214 437216 426215
      424217 420216 417212 413212 409213 406210 398204 395202
      389200 387201 385203 387208 393214 400219 404222 403226
      397233 396237 397241 400250 402261 404266 406269 410272
      414273 423274 428276 434276 451277 460279 468283 471281
      473274 473271 475271 478274 484281 488285 494286 497283
      499278 505276
 0.25 473226 472224 470224 469225 468225 467226 466227 468228
      469228 470226 472226 473226
 0.25 473161 473154 472149 465142 456143 452143 448141 445138
      444133 445128 446125 450122 452120 454116 455108 453104
      450100 445098 436098 432099 429103 423105 421107 423112
      417113 411111 410100 408097 405100 403106 399106 390107
      384107 379106 375105 370106 359106 353104 350102 346099
      344095 340089 336085 331084 328087 325091 323094 318094
      310091 300086 292082 278073 269068 264066 259066 254067
      251069 245073 239078 235083 234088 236093 239095 244098
      253100 259102 262104 267111 272115 281118 285118 289118
      293118 296115 302116 305118 309121 310125 306127 301126
      296125 299127 307130 313132 318131 324131 327133 340145
      350149 354151 357154 360158 364159 369156 386159 389156
      390152 389148 386145 384140 384134 385129 388125 392124
      397125 405130 408133 411138 416145 421145 424146 429151
      433162 439169 442172 445176 444181 441185 441188 444189
      451190 454186 458183 459178 456172 456167 459165 464165
      468165 470164 473161
 0.25 381085 382081 382076 381074 380071 378068 376066 373064
      372068 371073 370075 370079 371082 372084 374087 377088
      379087 381085
 0.25 352715 350708 346705 341709 336713 331716 324718 318721
      312724 306728 303732 295742 288750 282761 279767 277772
      277780 278786 277793 280799 283806 286810 298807 303804
      309800 317792 325784 338762 344752 347745 349739 351727
      352715
 0.25 341006 341001 339999 333995 321990 315989 312988 310984
      309976 308973 305973 298973 292975 285977 283980 284983
      287989 291994 297997 303994 307993 310993 315998 321001
      328002 340007 341006
 0.50 495259 495255 493251 491248 489249 486259 483258 481255
      477250 473245 463239 460233 458229 459226 462220 457219
      454222 451222 451225 453225 455226 457230 452234 440236
      434239 428239 421238 417239 416241 412246 410251 412260
      413262 416263 426268 432268 437265 447258 449256 452255
      457254 472258 478261 482267 486273 488275 490274 491267
      491263 492261 495259
 0.50 479238 477237 476236 474235 473236 473239 475238 477238
      479239 479238
 0.50 452173 451166 453159 449156 445152 442146 440139 439136
      437136 434143 435150 436158 440163 445165 448167 450170
      452173
 0.50 451109 446104 437104 434105 432109 429116 426119 423120
      420121 420124 422128 424130 430127 436122 438121 443120
      445120 448117 451109
 0.50 415222 415221 415220 413217 412218 411218 410219 409220
      408222 407223 407224 407225 409226 410226 411226 412225
      413224 415222 415222
 0.50 398113 398112 396112 394111 393112 393114 394115 395115
      396114 398113 398113
 0.50 353139 354132 352126 353118 350114 347111 344106 340096
      337093 335092 333094 327103 324105 322109 328118 333127
      338135 346141 351141 353139
 0.50 345737 345732 342732 338735 335740 334746 328756 323760
      318761 318757 320754 323751 326745 327738 324727 322726
      318726 313729 305736 297745 291754 289759 287766 286773
      287780 286787 286791 288795 292797 297798 304797 310795
      318788 325779 331770 337759 343749 345743 345737
 0.50 316110 315104 312100 309096 304093 295089 286083 280077
      271072 266069 260068 254069 251073 243077 240081 239084
      239088 243091 246093 251096 257098 273109 278109 279104
      274101 269099 264097 268096 275098 279100 286101 290103
      301107 309111 314112 316110
 1.00 344129 346125 345120 345118 344115 342111 341109 339107
      335108 334110 334114 335117 336119 337122 339125 340127
      344129 344129
 1.00 285091 282084 277080 268077 261075 257074 253075 249076
      247078 249082 251083 258086 266089 273092 282093 285091
 1.50 340117 340115 339115 339117 340118 340117
 1.50 279086 277085 275084 275083 273083 272083 270082 268082
      267083 268084 269085 270085 271086 273087 274087 275088
      277087 279086
 1.50 263080 263079 261078 259077 258076 256077 254077 255079
      256079 257080 259080 261080 263081 263080

$$





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