Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250905
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
504 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 25/1200 UTC THRU MAY 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...


...OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

THE AMPLIFIED...FULL-LATITUDE UPPER TROUGH NOW EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS GENERATING 500 MB HEIGHT ANOMALIES SOME 5-6
STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER LOW MIGRATING SLOWLY FROM THE OH VALLEY
ENE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WHILE THE
ATTENDANT TROUGH AXIS BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED...PIVOTING
NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...THEN NORTHWARD INTO COASTAL
NEW ENGLAND. SUCH A NEGATIVE TILT AND SHORTENING WAVELENGTH
BETWEEN THE UPPER TROUGH AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGE WILL PROVIDE ROBUST
DPVA/UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND ALONG-STREAM DIVERGENCE ALOFT FROM
EASTERN PA/NORTHERN NJ/SOUTHERN NY NORTHEAST THROUGH EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND...AND AS SUCH THE MODELS CONTINUE TO PORTRAY A FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD SWATH OF MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THESE AREAS...ALONG
WITH ANOTHER MAX NEAR/ALONG LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO UNDERNEATH THE
TROWAL WHERE THE MODELS DEPICT ENHANCED UPPER DIVERGENCE VIA THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET STREAK LIFTING NORTH.
ACROSS BOTH AREAS...INSTABILITY WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE (MEAN CAPES AT
MOST ~200 J/KG PER THE MODELS)...THEREBY INHIBITING SHORT-TERM
RAINFALL RATES AS EXPECT THE BULK OF 1-1.5" AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS
TO FALL WITHIN A 6-12 HOUR PERIOD. FOR THIS REASON...DO NOT
ANTICIPATE ANY SHORT-TERM RUNOFF ISSUES.

ACROSS EASTERN KY AND SOUTHERN WV...OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED
RAINFALL TODAY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL
DEFORMATION AXIS/ELONGATED TROWAL WILL LEAD TO AN ADDITIONAL
0.50-1.0 INCH OF AREAL-AVERAGE RAINFALL. THE LACK OF INSTABILITY
OVER THIS REGION WILL ALSO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL/COVERAGE OF HIGHER
TOTALS AS WELL AS RAINFALL RATES. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT
WET SOILS/LOW FFG VALUES...WILL INCLUDE A MARGINAL RISK OVER THIS
AREA IN THE DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK.


DAY 2 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT)...

ON FRIDAY WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY PUSH EAST
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND INTO THE OH VALLEY. MOST GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN SHOWING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INCREASES AND ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE WAVE.
DIFFERENCES DO HOWEVER EXIST WITHIN THE GUIDANCE WITH REGARDS TO
THE EXACT COVERAGE AND LOCATION OF GREATEST FOCUS. HAVE GENERALLY
OPTED TO STAY PRETTY CLOSE TO A BLEND THE GFS/ECMWF...WHICH HAVE
BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT. MODEL QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE...AND NEITHER MOISTURE TRANSPORT MAGNITUDE OR PWAT
ANOMALIES REALLY STAND OUT AS ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER CAPE
AND SHEAR ARE CERTAINLY SUFFICIENT FOR CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION...AND COULD POSSIBLY SEE ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES FORM SOMEWHERE BETWEEN MO AND SOUTHWEST OH. THUS LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST ARE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NEAR THE OH/IN BORDER IS QUITE LOW...WITH WEDNESDAYS
RAINFALL HELPING SATURATE THE GROUND. WHILE WE WILL LIKELY SEE
SOME RECOVERY OF GUIDANCE BY FRIDAY NIGHT...THINK GROUND
CONDITIONS MAY VERY WELL STILL BE ANOMALOUSLY WET. THUS HAVE OPTED
TO INTRODUCE A MARGINAL RISK AREA OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN IN INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF OH/KY.

THE OTHER AREA TO WATCH DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD IS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. PORTIONS OF WY...EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS/NE WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN SYNOPTIC ASCENT WITH THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE AND
RIGHT ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS FROM AN UPPER JET PASSING TO THE
NORTH. IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL HAVE A STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AXIS...WITH AN UPTICK IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS
BOUNDARY BY 0Z. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE CONVECTION FORM OVER PORTIONS
OF WY/CO/NE/KS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE ACTIVITY MOVING
EASTWARD. LIKELY TO HAVE SUPERCELLS...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
CONVECTION ORGANIZATION INTO A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR TWO INTO THE
NIGHT. WITH PWAT VALUES RUNNING 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL AND THE EXPECTED ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION LOCALLY HEAVY
TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. HAVE THUS EXPANDED THE MARGINAL RISK TO
INCLUDE MOST OF NORTHEAST CO ONTO WESTERN NE AND NORTHWEST KS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE EXITING NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE
DAY FRIDAY. GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR THE
LINGERING QPF ACROSS THIS REGION.

DAY 3 (12Z SAT-12Z SUN)...

A COMPLEX CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS EAST INTO THE MS VALLEY...OH/TN VALLEYS
AND THE MID ATLANTIC ON DAY 3. A FEW DIFFERENT BOUNDARIES WILL
LIKELY COME INTO PLAY IMPACTING CONVECTIVE LOCATION. FOR ONE THE
FRIDAY NIGHT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND
OH/TN VALLEYS MAY VERY WELL LAY OUT A WEST TO EAST OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALSO SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPROACHING
THE PLAINS AND INCREASING DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO STRENGTHEN NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRIEFLY LIFT AS A WARM FRONT NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY...WITH IT PUSHING SOUTH AS A COLD
FRONT AS THE LOW MOVES QUICKLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALSO THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN
PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT COULD SURVIVE THE TRIP EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE PLAINS...ADDING ANOTHER POSSIBLE BOUNDARY AND MCV INTO PLAY.
IN THE BROADER SENSE THE APPROACHING TROUGH AND DEVELOPING LOW
WILL RESULT IN A BROAD WARM SECTOR...WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TRANSPORT...MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY...AND ANOMALOUS
PWAT VALUES. THUS APPEARS LIKELY THAT WE WILL SEE NUMEROUS
CONVECTION FORM SATURDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL STRETCHING FROM
OK/KS ALL THE WAY TOWARDS WV ALONG THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS. IN
GENERAL STORMS SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE...HOWEVER THE 850MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AXIS DOES NOT MOVE MUCH FROM OK TO WV THROUGH THE
DAY...AND WITH MEAN WINDS GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THIS AXIS...AND
RELATIVELY WEAK CORFIDI VECTORS...WOULD EXPECT THAT WE WOULD SEE
SOME REPEAT CONVECTION AND/OR BACKBUILDING AT TIMES. TOUGH TO
REALLY NARROW DOWN THE LOCATION AT GREATEST RISK...THUS HAVE OPTED
TO GO WITH A LARGE SLIGHT RISK FROM PORTIONS OF MO/AR EAST
NORTHEAST INTO WV. OVERALL A MESSY SETUP...AND WHILE WIDESPREAD
FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY NOT DEVELOP...WOULD EXPECT TO SEE AT LEAST
SEE SOME FLOODING CONCERNS WITHIN/NEAR THE SLIGHT RISK ZONE.

SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH THE AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF. OVERALL
STAYED AWAY FROM THE NAM/GEM/UKMET SOLUTIONS...WHICH ALL SEEMED TO
SHOW LESS LIKELY EVOLUTIONS. EVEN THOUGH THE GFS/ECMWF ARE A BIT
DIFFERENT...THEY ARE PROBABLY THE CLOSEST CLUSTER OF AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE...AND HAVE GENERALLY BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS EACH OTHER.
THUS WPC QPF STAYED PRETTY CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF COMPROMISE. AS
MENTIONED ABOVE ITS A TRICKY QPF FORECAST...WITH UNCERTAINTY IN
BOTH CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW LOCATIONS AS WELL AS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT
OF THE SYNOPTIC LOW MOVING NORTHEAST WITH TIME. QPF WILL DEPEND ON
EXACTLY HOW THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH THE VARIOUS
BOUNDARIES IN PLAY. IN GENERAL THE SLIGHT RISK REGION HAS DECENT
OVERLAP BETWEEN THE 0Z GEFS MEAN AND 12Z EC MEAN AXIS OF HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES FOR HEAVIER TOTALS.


HURLEY/CHENARD



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 559107 551114 543119 536124 527128 525129 522129 519128
      518125 512116 510112 506110 497115 494115 492112 490107
      489100 490091 493078 491063 488047 489033 494020 496014
      493010 487007 482005 480003 477004 474999 475989 482979
      486976 491974 493972 492970 489965 487962 482960 480958
      477957 471957 467957 465955 459954 455952 454947 453939
      454934 459923 462917 469916 474915 479914 489917 497921
      503922 507924 510926 513924 517923 530938 534941 538944
      545952 550960 553967 554974 555978 558981 563985 565985
      567988 568991 569997
 0.01 535179 535171 532165 533155 533149 531146 528142 523142
      520143 519146 518156 520162 521167 522170 521176 523179
      526183 530183 535179
 0.01 512176 512170 511165 509157 508151 504150 500137 496130
      492126 485122 480117 485103 486100 487095 484089 476087
      471085 468086 466088 462096 459101 457101 455098 453091
      447088 442086 439084 436085 432089 430086 427085 424086
      424089 427095 430097 431101 430105 427105 428108 433111
      436115 437119 438123 438129 436135 434145 435154 438160
      446169 446173 444176 439180 437182 437186 436191 438194
      442194 447190 450186 452183 455182 468190 470185 467182
      464180 463176 463170 466167 469165 474164 481164 485165
      484168 483178 482183 480188 480193 478195 472197 462199
      459200 457205 455216 458222 460224 463224 473219 485220
      493220 497216 499206 497199 494194 492189 493183 495180
      497179 501178 508176 512176
 0.01 496812 492793 491782 488775 482763 481757 483751 484742
      482731 481723 480719 479715 478704 475697 473680 472668
      471662 471658 470647 468637 465633 461630 456630 450631
      428643 422643 416647 411651 408655 399665 388674 381683
      375692 369702 358710 348716 338721 324728 319733 315737
      302755 299758 295761 290760 288758 282756 278757 273759
      264765 252773 247777 244782 245787 241783 233784 228788
      225792 223797 223804 226819 226829 225832 225836 226844
      228851 230853 234854 239854 243852 248849 265834 282821
      286815 291810 298801 302796 306793 314786 332771 342764
      347762 352762 361761 368759 371757 375758 375763 373766
      371769 368770 363773 356775 354777 352782 352786 351790
      349793 346796 345803 348807 350809 353809 355807 356809
      355815 354824 351830 350837 352839 355839 358841 359843
      362849 364854 369857 379863 382865 385864 392864 396863
      398864 404864 408860 412857 424851 433841 439841 444844
      449845 453848 457853 459854 463854 470853 472848 473844
      475842 479838 485836 489834 494830 496825 495816 496812
 0.01 452078 450074 446072 443069 440067 436066 432068 430073
      430078 434082 436078 439074 444076 448080 451080 452078
 0.01 425139 426136 426134 426132 426129 426127 425126 425127
      423129 422131 422133 421136 421138 421140 423141 424141
      425139 425139
 0.01 429051 429044 428040 428035 426032 423024 420015 419004
      416997 412989 407984 403977 397974 387974 383979 382983
      383988 385997 387004 392011 391022 392028 392033 392039
      390044 388045 385049 385052 387053 388056 384063 381066
      379066 377064 370063 367066 369068 373070 374075 374079
      376083 382088 380092 383094 385095 387093 390090 395090
      402093 402106 403109 406110 409109 412106 414097 414085
      417078 420070 424063 429051
 0.01 388959 388952 386947 386943 384936 384929 382922 380920
      377919 375925 375931 376940 378947 380954 382958 386961
      388959
 0.25 566044 565033 564025 559010 556002 553997 545989 539985
      536985 533986 528989 525989 519985 512984 506985 502988
      497994 496997 498000 508004 510008 511013 511021 514028
      517034 521039 526043 529049 531055 527073 521086 520094
      521102 526107 530109 537108 541105 545101 550100 557097
      560093 562090
 0.25 482806 481797 478789 472778 467776 463778 460779 458778
      454774 453768 453764 455763 461759 463757 463754 462748
      464741 464734 462728 459720 459709 460700 461694 461690
      461687 459678 458661 457648 453645 447646 441645 435645
      423651 417653 411658 402667 394675 387682 376699 368709
      359717 334729 325734 317742 312751 305760 302764 297766
      284763 278763 272766 263774 258783 254792 250803 245809
      240821 235832 233839 234845 236847 240847 245843 248838
      249832 252828 256826 265819 270812 274806 278803 286796
      296788 306781 317776 324770 342755 359742 364737 370734
      375731 382729 386730 389734 395743 395757 391771 389784
      387790 384794 378798 373802 366812 363816 362823 365828
      366834 368841 371847 375851 379853 386852 390848 393844
      395837 396830 401825 404826 406829 413830 417830 423829
      429828 433826 440823 444819 448816 453816 462817 470818
      474820 478820 481815 482806
 0.25 473108 473106 473105 472103 470104 469105 468107 468110
      469112 471112 472111 473109 473108
 0.25 469095 469093 469092 467093 468095 469095 469095
 0.25 452156 452151 453146 453143 451139 450137 446137 446140
      446143 444144 442145 441149 441152 443155 444158 445161
      449162 451158 452156
 0.25 442094 441093 441091 440090 438090 437090 437093 438095
      440095 441094 442094
 0.25 409068 405065 404061 405058 400057 399062 397067 395071
      395078 399080 402076 404072 406069 409068
 0.25 406017 407014 407012 407010 407007 407005 406003 405003
      404002 404003 403005 403006 402007 402009 402012 402014
      402015 403016 404018 406018 406017
 0.25 392997 392995 392993 392991 391988 390990 390993 390995
      390997 390998 392997
 0.50 563065 564055 564048 562041 560035 552030 549025 547023
      547020 548014 547009 545004 541002 538003 537005 535012
      532015 524020 519021 520025 523030 528031 535031 538028
      542027 543033 545041 544050 540062 538069 535073 530082
      529089 530095 532099 537100 545094 554092 557089 559084
      563068 563065
 0.50 517994 516993 515991 514991 513993 512993 511993 512994
      513994 515994 516994 517994
 0.50 453663 453655 451652 449652 444651 440650 437649 433649
      424653 416655 409662 404669 398674 390683 385691 380697
      376704 371711 364718 358723 349725 343727 337729 329734
      323739 318746 314753 310758 305765 302769 296770 286767
      282766 277767 264777 261784 260795 261801 263803 267802
      270800 279796 287791 293785 299780 305774 309773 315772
      323768 329764 343750 355739 369729 376724 384722 390722
      393725 395731 398735 399737 400743 401755 397776 399781
      403781 407783 409784 410787 414798 413804 412809 409817
      409823 412826 417827 422825 425823 427819 430816 435815
      440810 446802 448796 448789 449766 447753 438756 431759
      425757 427747 426735 428732 433730 438725 441718 447712
      453705 455700 454695 453677 453663
 0.50 455749 455747 455744 453745 452747 453750 454751 455749
      455749
 0.50 447153 447151 446150 445149 444150 444152 445153 446154
      447153
 0.50 400795 397793 394793 390795 384798 380803 376806 372810
      369815 368818 368821 373835 375842 379845 384845 388841
      389833 389826 387820 388813 389808 391807 395810 397812
      400811 398802 400795
 0.50 244839 245837 245835 245833 244831 243831 242831 240833
      239833 238835 238836 237838 237839 236840 236842 237844
      239845 241844 241843 242842 243841 244840 244839
 1.00 555072 556068 555065 552068 549071 547074 543076 539078
      537083 538087 540088 542084 545081 550081 553078 555073
      555072
 1.00 446695 445680 444673 441668 436661 434656 430654 420658
      415660 412663 406670 400676 394683 389690 387699 386704
      386710 388715 392716 401718 409719 411717 414713 418704
      419703 419709 422713 425716 429718 434716 438714 442711
      445703 446695
 1.00 443781 444776 443771 440767 435770 432773 430781 428787
      425792 424796 425800 429803 433803 436802 439798 441791
      442783 443781
 1.00 418745 418744 417743 416742 414741 412740 412742 411743
      409743 407744 407745 407747 407750 408751 410751 412750
      413749 415748 417748 418746 418745
 1.00 420818 418816 416817 415819 416821 416822 418822 419820
      420818 420818
 1.00 349734 349731 347730 343731 336735 329739 324744 320750
      318757 319761 323762 329757 334752 339747 344743 348736
      349734
 1.00 292780 292774 289771 285770 280771 276773 274776 273781
      274785 278788 282788 285787 289784 292780 292780
 1.50 431667 428663 422663 414665 410671 405675 397683 394687
      396694 397698 396701 393706 393711 395713 400711 403706
      404703 404699 401695 400690 402688 411680 416677 423676
      430673 431667
 1.50 434698 435696 433694 431696 431697 430699 430701 431701
      432702 433701 434700 434698
 1.50 437792 437789 437787 436785 435787 435789 435792 437794
      437792
 1.50 288781 289778 289776 288774 287774 286773 284773 282773
      280774 279776 277778 277779 277780 277782 277783 278784
      280785 281786 283785 285784 286783 287783 288781 288781
 2.00 285781 286779 285777 284776 282776 281777 281778 280780
      279782 281783 283783 285782 285781

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 486614 489625 491640 490654 488665 481681 477689 474694
      473699 470744 468751 464757 458759 451760 447759 444760
      443763 443769 442772 442776 441788 437796 434801 431804
      430804 429799 427792 424795 423799 421804 413825 418831
      416839 417846 418853 419856 425862 429871 435878 439882
      442885 444884 447879 450877 451879 454883 458882 459869
      462861 463851 468843 470841 474840 480837 489834 495832
      502831 506831 508834 514840 522847 528852 541863 551875
      559889 558894 556896 549900 551907 553911 554915 559935
      561945 563960 566991 566008 565021 563035 561046 555069
      552077 547082 541084 534083 531082 527079 523075 517069
      515064 512061 509055 508050 505039 504034 504028 503021
      501018 496010 496003 495997 495985 494976 493964 492954
      485950 482947 478946 468945 462943 454940 451939 446938
      441940 436940 428936 422932 417926 415921 415915 417909
      417905 419901 418898 417894 414894 410896 404899 401902
      399906 397915 395919 395925 396933 397943 393951 391954
      386956 382957 377955 375951 373945 372940 370939 368941
      368945 365948 358952 355954 352954 351942 351935 349931
      348921 348912 349907 351905 354896 354888 356881 358871
      359866 360859 361845 363836 372819 376814 379811 380805
      383799 382796 379795 376793 377789 379786 384785 390786
      392789 396789 404786 410782 413779 415775 416770 415764
      412758 410754 404748 401743 403739 407732 407725 405718
      403714 402708 405699 409693 412687 417679 421672 421667
      419664 414660 409657 406656 405654 407649 411640
 0.01 478160 476151 473146 472143 473139 478133 480127 477126
      469121 467119 464121 458123 454131 452129 453125 455120
      455116 458114 462112 469108 471106 469103 465097 462094
      458093 453075 450071 447068 444064 443058 443051 441047
      439043 435040 438999 434987 433975 431973 429973 427976
      424978 421977 415972 409968 401966 397964 394965 391970
      390975 388988 385991 380992 375992 374996 370032 375040
      378051 380056 380062 382065 385068 388066 392068 394071
      397077 395081 392080 390077 388078 382083 384087 389090
      391091 392094 390098 389104 389107 391107 397104 397116
      397121 399123 402125 404123 406122 407126 409129 410133
      409137 406140 400143 403147 404153 405156 408155 413160
      415162 415165 414172 415176 417180 418182 422181 423175
      425168 429166 428164 427160 426157 427154 430153 432155
      437161 443167 445176 442179 438181 434178 432183 433188
      435191 439194 443192 450188 455183 459177 461173 462168
      463163 467164 473166 478160
 0.01 450085 449083 449082 448080 446079 444079 443077 442077
      441076 440076 440079 441081 441084 442086 444087 445087
      447086 449086 450085
 0.01 445041 445038 445036 443034 443031 442031 440031 438031
      437031 436033 436035 436038 438038 439040 440040 441041
      443043 445041 445041
 0.01 439762 437761 436761 434761 432762 431764 429765 428767
      428769 428772 430774 432776 434777 435775 435774 435773
      436770 436768 436765 438765 439762
 0.01 394195 393193 390191 387190 383189 382187 378186 375185
      372186 374188 375191 377193 379195 382196 386197 389198
      392197 394195
 0.01 393144 394138 394131 392130 389130 388123 388118 385120
      382122 381128 381133 385136 386141 389144 393144
 0.01 268777 265772 263771 260772 251779 245787 241792 239797
      238810 238818 238822 239824 242826 244825 248821 252817
      257815 262815 265811 266808 266804 262801 264796 266790
      268777
 0.25 476618 480631 480637 480642 477664 475676 472685 468695
      464703 457709 453715 449719 444722 437724 433724 429721
      428717 428711 434703 435693 437682 439672 438659 439648
      440639 441630
 0.25 560013 561001 561993 558976 553962 550957 545959 541963
      539969 539980 538989 537001 537011 538020 540027 543034
      546038 549039 551038 553034 558020 560013
 0.25 534885 534883 533882 532880 530880 529881 529883 530885
      531886 532887 534887 534885
 0.25 481927 481924 479924 474923 469922 465922 462923 457924
      454925 454928 457930 462930 466930 471929 476928 481927
      481927
 0.25 446075 446070 442066 438063 437059 438055 435052 429051
      427046 427040 429028 431016 432010 431004 429000 424998
      419997 415000 412003 408004 405996 401987 400980 400973
      398970 395972 394981 393989 391994 389998 385001 383004
      382010 380019 381024 384030 387038 388045 392045 397043
      401045 406048 406056 409059 409065 408075 406090 410091
      412088 416087 421093 424097 427102 430105 435107 436109
      439108 442098 441092 439088 435084 432085 427085 426083
      427079 429077 432077 437074 441073 446075
 0.25 432061 432059 431059 430058 428061 427063 427065 428067
      429066 430066 431063 431062 432061
 0.25 409868 410858 410854 408850 401841 398834 396828 394826
      391824 387827 380837 377850 375858 376866 384875 386880
      390884 396883 401880 406876 409871 409868
 0.25 392853 392851 391851 390854 392855 392853
 0.25 259805 258803 257802 256803 255804 254805 253806 254807
      255808 256808 257807 258807 259805
 0.50 463623 469622 473627 476634 475641 473656 471671 469679
      467684 464690 461694 454696 449694 448688 448680 449671
      447663 447655 448648 450635 455626
 0.50 436100 437098 437095 438093 436091 435091 433092 431094
      430097 431097 432099 432100 434102 436100 436100
 0.50 429013 428008 425006 423003 418002 416006 415010 411019
      409023 405025 404021 403016 402011 402005 401995 398991
      394993 392996 390002 388011 384020 385027 387030 393036
      396038 400037 401032 403028 407032 408037 408042 410046
      413048 417047 419045 420039 424031 427023 429013
 0.50 403862 403857 402855 399854 397856 396860 395862 394865
      393868 391872 393875 395877 398876 400874 402871 402869
      403864 403862
 0.50 395839 395837 394837 394840 395841 395839
 1.00 463660 463658 462656 460655 459655 458657 457658 457660
      457662 458664 460666 461666 462666 462663 463661 463660
 1.00 425015 425013 423010 420009 418010 416015 416017 415022
      416026 416027 414029 415031 416031 419029 421027 423025
      423022 425018 425015
 1.00 397023 397021 397018 397016 395014 395013 395014 394016
      393017 392018 392020 393023 395025 397025 397023
 1.00 397004 396002 395002 394002 393004 394006 395006 397004

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 532878 531869 530862 530852 529846 528843 527834 525828
      522813 519799 515788 511775 508767 500750 497745 494743
      487740 478741 472745 469748 466753 465757 465762 463775
      462779 458778 456781 450789 442798 437805 429809 417799
      410794 407793 405790 395770 392760 389759 388754 386744
      381736 375728 366720 364720 363717 362709 360693 357682
      349688 343697 340704 335713 332722 330731 329736 330743
      332752 336758 344759 346762 346765 344770 340779 339787
      339795 341798 345799 350802 352807 350828 350835 346839
      341847 338849 333852 330854 331860 331865 333870 332881
      331885 331891 332896 333902 332908 331912 328921 326932
      325941 323948 317969 314980 314987 311991 307998 300004
      286011 279010 274009 264007 259007 256012 253012 253017
      257023 263025 266027 269030 273032 280033 288033 292031
      295028 299024 300019 298018 297016 302013 308006 313001
      322998 326998 329996 335991 337989 339990 342993 348989
      350987 354985 357985 358988 356992 354994 355997 356003
      358014 357021 358027 363039 365045 363050 366053 372054
      376057 376062 374067 373073 373081 374086 375093 378097
      379099 381097 384095 387095 391097 391102 389107 388109
      386111 379113 376115 374121 373123 376123 381122 385122
      388120 392118 397117 404117 412118 420115 430113 447107
      453101 449093 435094 431091 429085 430080 434077 436075
      441075 448080 449079 448075 443069 435062 436042 436037
      433032 432029 432025 434018 438995 438977 439962 439946
      439938 440933 442928 445923 450918 453899 453889 451887
      448891 443901 439906 434909 433911 430910 428904 431892
      438873 444864 450858 454847 458837 459833 460831 462832
      462839 461845 458866 460870 461873 459876 458886 460898
      463905
 0.01 463905 468907 467913 467921 470940 469944 468951 468958
      470977 470990 470000 472003 472007 471011 471014 476015
      478015 479018 478030 478041 480049 488061 492076 501078
      504078 506075 507073 507067 508055 506034 503016 502004
      502992 502981 502976 504972 505958 507950 510943 514936
      520922 526908 531891 531882 532878
 0.01 498146 493137 490132 486129 478124 467120 462118 457117
      453120 455123 461125 464127 474132 484137 491145 493146
      495144 498147 498146
 0.01 432776 432769 430766 427759 423753 417747 415746 411746
      406752 406756 407759 412765 416771 421778 425784 427786
      430786 432776 432776
 0.01 386201 385196 382193 378190 375187 371185 366182 363181
      362186 365188 369191 372194 375197 378200 381203 385201
      386201
 0.01 260805 260803 259801 257800 255801 254802 252803 251804
      251806 251808 252810 253811 254812 255813 257813 258811
      259809 259807 260805 260805
 0.25 506839 506836 507833 507831 506828 505828 504828 502829
      500830 500832 499833 498835 497835 497837 496840 497842
      498844 500845 501844 503844 504842 505841 506840 506839
 0.25 417879 417869 415863 413856 410851 405844 400834 397830
      396821 396805 395798 393792 392786 389781 386776 382775
      380782 378787 376791 376797 370804 366816 361826 357835
      352844 349871 349884 345893 342899 339904 336908 334913
      330937 327950 327957 330962 331969 331976 334980 338984
      341986 344985 351978 356970 362963 364961 368961 373964
      378966 381966 382964 384958 386954 391945 397935 402925
      404914 408905 414891 417879
 0.25 411059 409052 406049 401043 394037 386033 382033 380035
      378042 376046 376050 379053 384058 393063 397066 400063
      408061 411059
 0.25 409973 408964 405958 401958 399961 396965 393974 391980
      386985 380986 376992 373999 372008 372017 373020 377020
      381015 383015 386017 390020 393019 394016 396009 397004
      400002 402996 407981 409973
 0.25 381764 381757 379753 376749 374746 370744 364744 363748
      364751 364757 364762 365766 369770 373770 378770 380766
      381764
 0.25 354793 355790 353788 351787 349787 347786 346787 346789
      347791 348792 350793 351793 352794 353793 354793
 0.50 402873 401858 400852 398846 395837 390827 388822 389816
      391805 391800 390793 387789 385786 381789 383794 382800
      380805 375810 370818 367831 362839 359843 356845 355857
      353863 353869 353884 351892 346901 340909 337919 334930
      335936 335939 334942 332943 331947 331955 333967 336976
      341983 346980 349977 354969 358962 361958 364956 370956
      374956 379953 382949 386943 390933 394906 395894 398885
      401878 402873
 0.50 399055 399051 398048 396046 394043 392042 389042 387043
      384045 381047 383051 385052 386054 390056 393056 397056
      399055
 1.00 394865 394864 394862 394861 394860 394858 394856 392853
      391851 391849 390848 389849 390851 389854 389856 390858
      391860 392863 392864 394865 394865
 1.00 379841 379836 378832 375836 368843 364849 362854 358865
      358871 359875 361880 361885 358892 344910 344913 345916
      349920 348936 346943 345946 346950 350953 355950 357947
      359947 364950 368949 373945 375928 372922 369918 367915
      367911 369904 373893 377880 379873 378868 376860 377853
      379841
 1.00 345973 346971 346969 346967 346965 345964 344965 344967
      343969 343971 344973 344974 345973
 1.50 375873 375869 373864 369862 367859 367856 365857 363860
      361865 361872 365876 366878 370882 374878 375873 375873
 1.50 366938 367934 367929 366925 365923 362922 359923 357925
      357927 357932 355935 355937 358936 359936 362938 364941
      365941 366938
 2.00 370871 371869 370867 369867 368866 366866 364866 363867
      363869 364871 365872 366873 368873 370872 370871

$$





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