Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180858
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
458 AM EDT TUE JUL 18 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 18/1200 UTC THRU JUL 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...PLAINS / UPPER MIDWEST...

LEFTOVER CONVECTION FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON WAS DIMINISHING IN
SOUTHERN SD/MN...BUT EXPECT OTHER ACTIVITY TO THRIVE AND EXPAND IN
COVERAGE EARLY THIS MORNING FARTHER NORTH...AS AN ELONGATED UPPER
TROUGH SWIPES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AN ASSOCIATED JET STREAK
WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS FROM WISCONSIN INTO
AREAS OF MICHIGAN BORDERING LAKE MICHIGAN. MEANWHILE ENERGETIC
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO ORGANIZED STORM MODES FOR
DIURNAL / AFTERNOON STORMS FORMING BACK ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN
THE FOUR-STATE AREA NEAR SIOUX FALLS. THE UPPER RIDGE POSITION
INVITES SOME DIFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW IN THIS AREA...WITH LIKELY
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND INFLOW TO SUPPORT SOME PROPAGATION OF
OUTFLOWS WELL INTO IOWA...SO WPC QPF SIDED WITH THE MORE
AGGRESSIVE SOLUTIONS SUCH AS THE NAM CONUS NEST AND GFS...WHEREAS
THE ECMWF...GEM REGIONAL...AND WRF-ARW INDICATED AN AXIS FARTHER
NORTH.


...SOUTHWEST...

SUBTLE MOVEMENT OF UPPER AIR FEATURES HAD PUSHED THE GREATER PW
AXIS...VALUES ABOVE 1.5 INCHES...OUT INTO THE DESERTS AND FARTHER
INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS SHOULD MAKE FOR A SOMEWHAT LESS
PRODUCTIVE DAY FOR RAINFALL IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA. ALTHOUGH COVERAGE WILL REMAIN RATHER HIGH...CELLS SHOULD
BE LESS ORGANIZED WITH GREATER INHIBITION TOWARD REDEVELOPMENT
ALONG OUTFLOWS.

THIS CREATES A QPF DILEMMA...AS THE RICH MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO
THE COLORADO RIVER BASIN WHERE MODELS TYPICALLY UNDER-FORECAST THE
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION. THINKING AT WPC BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE
LOCAL OFFICES / NDFD COMPARED TO ANY MODEL GUIDANCE...WITH
INITIATION LIKELY OVER THE MULTI-STATE REGION FROM NORTHWEST
ARIZONA NORTH AND WESTWARD...AND WITH SLIGHTLY ENHANCED 850 MB
SOUTHERLY FLOW PERHAPS LEADING TO MORE SUSTAINED...REGENERATIVE
ACTIVITY HERE COMPARED TO ELSEWHERE.


...MID ATLANTIC / NORTHEAST...

THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE EAST WILL BREAK APART...WITH ONE VORT MAX
MOVING OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND AND ANOTHER LAZY CIRCULATION
FORMING OVER VA/NC. PROBABLY MORE IMPORTANTLY...THOUGH...THE LOW
LEVELS WILL CHANGE VERY LITTLE...WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE DEPTH
AND STRONG HEATING TO ALLOW FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG THE PIEDMONT AREAS IN VA/MD...AND UP THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE MODELS OFTEN DO A POOR JOB OF PROPAGATING THIS
ACTIVITY TOWARD THE COAST AS REFLECTED IN THEIR QPF...SO WE TOOK A
MORE GENEROUS APPROACH...AND PUSHED THE CONVECTION EASTWARD
THROUGH THE CAPE AXIS...PARTICULARLY THE NAM CAPE. WE BOOSTED THE
AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION A LITTLE BIT...BUT IT STILL LOOKS
RATHER TAME GIVEN THE DISORGANIZED STORM MODES THAT ARE EXPECTED.
STILL...WITH WEAK STEERING FLOW THERE MAY BE ISOLATED VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND AN ASSOCIATED LOW PROBABILITY RISK OF FLASH FLOODING.


...SOUTHEAST...

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WAS REDUCED ON MONDAY...AND SHOULD BE
FURTHER REDUCED ON TUESDAY ALONG THE GULF COAST...AS THE AXIS OF
SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE BEGINS TO STRADDLE THE OFFSHORE AREAS. THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY MORE ACTIVE WITH PLENTY
OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND CONVECTION PLAYING MAINLY OFF SEA
BREEZES IN OTHERWISE BENIGN FLOW. WPC USED A BLEND OF CONTINUITY
ALONG WITH THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST AND GFS.


...DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHWEST...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
THE GREATEST ANOMALIES SPREADING INTO UTAH FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. THE STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTING A BIT EAST
WILL ALLOW FOR THIS MOISTURE TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO UT/CO...WHILE
ALSO ALLOWING FOR WEAK VORTS TO MOVE NORTH AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE. THE COMBINATION OF PWAT VALUES APPROACHING
CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES...AND THESE VORTS HELPING ENHANCE
LIFT...SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION EACH DAY WITH
LOCALIZED HEAVY AMOUNTS. ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE POCKETS OF
1-2" OF RAIN IN AN HOUR...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES..ESPECIALLY IN MORE SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS. THUS WENT AHEAD
AND UPGRADED TO A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR BOTH DAYS
2 AND 3 FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL UTAH. TOUGH TO SAY AT THIS POINT
WHICH OF THE DAYS WILL SEE THE HEAVIEST RAIN...AS LIKELY DEPENDENT
ON THE TIMING OF THE VORTS MOVING NORTH AND THE DEGREE OF CLOUD
COVER PRESENT.

THE SLIGHT RISK IS SURROUNDED BY A BROAD MARGINAL RISK ON BOTH
DAYS 2 AND 3 COVERING MUCH OF AZ...FAR SOUTHEAST NV...AND WESTERN
CO/NM. ANTICIPATE THAT THE COVERAGE OF HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE
LESS IN THESE AREAS..HOWEVER STILL WILL LIKELY HAVE AN ISOLATED
FLASH FLOOD THREAT. SOME SIGNS THAT ANOTHER MORE FOCUSED AREA OF
CONVECTION COULD MOVE INTO SOUTHERN AZ ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE ECMWF AND UKMET BOTH SHOW A 700MB WAVE AND INVERTED
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE AREA. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR MAY HAVE TO
CONSIDER A DAY 3 SLIGHT RISK FOR SOUTHERN AZ. HOWEVER MODEL
SOLUTIONS ARE NOT CONSISTENT IS SHOWING THIS FEATURE...AND THUS
FOR NOW PREFER TO STICK WITH THE MARGINAL RISK. CAN REEVALUATE ON
FUTURE SHIFTS.

...NORTHERN PLAINS/MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES...

A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MID WEEK. SHORTWAVES RIDING ALONG THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES MOVING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO THE MID/UPPER
MS VALLEY AND TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE ONE ROUND WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER FORMING THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT.
BOTH OF THESE COMPLEXES WILL HAVE GOOD MID/UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT...WITH SHORTWAVES RIDING OVER THE RIDGE...AND RIGHT
ENTRANCE JET STREAK DYNAMICS FROM 100+ KT JETS TO THE NORTH. IN
THE LOW LEVELS WILL HAVE A NEARLY STATIONARY WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
BOUNDARY...WITH PERIOD OF ENHANCED MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO/OVER
THIS BOUNDARY AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED WAVES/JETS. ALSO
ANTICIPATE MODERATE TO EXTREME INSTABILITY ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY...WITH PWAT VALUES OF 1.8"+. THUS WOULD APPEAR TO BE A
GREAT SETUP FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION...POSSIBLE
MCS ACTIVITY. IN GENERAL WOULD ANTICIPATE THESE CLUSTERS TO BE
PROGRESSIVE...BUT WITH THE TRACK OF THESE COMPLEXES PARALLEL TO
THE INSTABILITY AXIS AND BOUNDARY...BOUND TO HAVE AT LEAST SOME
POCKETS OF TRAINING. TUSH SEEMS LIKE A GOOD SETUP FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND AN INCREASING FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF THE LAST
FEW ECMWF/GFS/GFSP RUNS...WHICH LINED UP PRETTY WELL WITH THE
EXPECTED INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AXIS. SLIGHT RISKS
ON BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 WERE EXTENDED ALONG THIS PREFERRED
AXIS...STRETCHING FROM EASTERN SD INTO SOUTHERN MN...FAR NORTHERN
IA AND SOUTHERN WI. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
SITUATION...AS IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT THE SAME LOCATIONS GET
HIT BY MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES IN CONSECUTIVE DAYS. IF THIS
WERE TO OCCUR...MAY HAVE TO EVENTUALLY CONSIDER A MODERATE RISK
FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT CONFIDENCE
CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT WE WILL SEE A FLASH FLOOD RISK DEVELOP
OVER A PORTION OF THIS AREA...HOWEVER STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
THE EXACT LOCATIONS...AND EVEN A GREATER UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
TIMING OF THE INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES. WILL HOPEFULLY BE
ABLE TO CONTINUE TO FINE TUNE BOTH OF THESE ASPECTS OVER THE
COMING SHIFTS.


...SOUTHEAST...

SCATTERED CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND GA/SC COASTS..WITH PWAT VALUES REMAINING AT OR ABOVE 1.75".
THE GREATEST FOCUS OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE ACROSS FLORIDA BOTH
DAYS. DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL TRIGGER
CONVECTION EACH DAY...AND WITH PWAT VALUES ABOVE 2"...LOCALLY
HEAVY AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY WHERE CELL MERGERS OCCUR. ANTICIPATE THAT
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL WILL SEE LOCALIZED 2-4"
AMOUNTS ON BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BURKE/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 480693 462672 459666 455667 452669 452674 451677 450682
      448686 440696 439698 437697 431694 426696 422704 419710
      414718 405730 398742 388751 384757 380762 374767 371768
      370764 370746 378737 382730 382724 380720 377717 371713
      365712 358714 352719 348724 341735 337739 334745 329756
      328760 327766 324773 321778 317785 314792 312796 312799
      312804 311808 304806 299804 299800 298798 294793 289789
      282787 273788 267791 262792 259791 251791 245794 241798
      239803 239813 241822 243825 247825 253823 258823 257825
      256828 258830 261835 266839 273841 279844 281847 282851
      281859 280867 280875 280879 278882 275888 274896 274907
      276915 277920 272953 271958 267958 261958 255961 251965
      249969 248974 250978 255977 261975 268974 273972 277975
      279976 283977 288973 296962 297960 300959 305964 310971
      314975 316974 316970 316964 314961 311956 309949 311942
      316937 324925 325922 326918 327915 327909 325901 324892
      322889 322884 322873 322861 323852 324845 326837 330833
      331826 333819 334816 336821 337824 339827 342831 341837
      341845 342848 346849 347851 350851 352850 354847 356844
      359840 361833 364827 368821 370819 374817 379815 382814
      385811 389806 393800 398793 407781 410775 413768 419755
      422749 426742 435731 440726 443723 447722 449724 452721
      457717 464707 480693
 0.01 481837 480832 479823 477817 475815 475810 474802 472797
      469788 464782 459785 457788 454799 451809 450820 447831
      443840 439849 422886 419896 416910 414921 411931 408940
      404949 399958 397962 394967 393972 392977 390980 390986
      394987 398985 402983 402989 399015 398021 399027 400033
      405036 408040 407044 406046 394046 388046 383047 380047
      376045 369041 365043 362046 345051 335050 327048 321047
      316045 313042 312037 310032 312027 315023 319021 320016
      319011 313003 306998 295998 276997 272999 269002 266006
      262004 257997 257992 253988 251987 249989 246993 243996
      241001 243010 247018 253022 259026 266031 277033 282035
      281038 278038 275040 274046 282051 293052 295051 300053
      304053 308055 312058 315063 319065 325066 326069 324073
      322076 319078 314078 307074 300071 290067 282062 276057
      269050 263042 260038 255036 251038 250042 250051 247053
      247056 246062 247068 250073 254075 261079 275088 293095
      300101 304107 309114 313125 317128 320129 322127 325124
      329119 332121 335125 335129 333134 331139 333143 335145
      334149 335154 333160 331162 327161 324158 320159 320162
      328168 335172 340175 342178 344183 346184 348182 348175
      350172 367163 371161 374158 380149 386141 387136 389132
      392121 394117 392112 387110 386105 384101 384098 387097
      392092 396082 399079 404078 407077 409073 416066 417059
      420056 429059 433061 436066 438070 442074 446077 450078
      447068 442060 440050 438047 436045 433044 429042 426045
      424046 422043 420041 415039 416036 420026 426009 429004
      431001 432008 433013 435019 437023 440029 443033 448041
      452045 452054 456062 460071 464082 466093 468103 469109
      472110 475106 476097 479083 474061 473053 470045 466036
      465032 466026 467996
 0.01 467996 467979 467970 467964 467947 467938 467930 469917
      472911 474907 477902 479897 481882 482875 481867 480854
      481837
 0.01 455103 455098 454095 452090 445088 438088 433088 429092
      429099 432102 436098 441096 445095 446097 451102 455103
 0.01 409108 409105 410103 410101 410098 408096 406095 406098
      406100 405102 405105 405107 407110 409108 409108
 0.01 407840 406828 402820 397819 398822 399824 397828 398832
      396836 395842 393844 383859 380861 376862 371867 370871
      370877 370889 373897 378902 383898 383888 384878 386875
      387870 392865 397858 406845 407840
 0.25 473870 473856 470845 467838 465833 462831 457832 455835
      451843 448852 445860 437875 430890 426899 424907 423919
      421924 419927 416935 414941 415947 416953 417956 421964
      423968 426972 431973 439975 442976 443983 443993 442005
      442011 443015 446018 449017 452012 454008 455004 455998
      459979 459954 460940 459927 460916 463905 469888 471878
      473870
 0.25 425715 424713 422713 420716 418718 417721 416724 415727
      416731 418732 420730 421727 423723 424720 425717 425715
 0.25 423996 422987 420983 415983 408984 410992 411997 409001
      408005 406008 404017 404020 407024 410024 412022 414012
      418006 422999 423996
 0.25 405769 405760 401758 397755 394755 392757 390763 389769
      384777 377781 374785 371789 370795 372799 377800 381798
      387790 395782 402774 405769
 0.25 409975 410973 410970 409969 407970 407973 406975 407975
      409976 409975
 0.25 378126 378122 376122 372123 366119 360114 355107 351100
      349092 346088 343086 341084 337085 335088 333094 334099
      336102 339104 341109 342118 342140 344160 347162 351161
      358159 365156 370149 371137 372131 375129 378126
 0.25 379078 379076 379074 378071 377071 376071 375073 374075
      374078 376080 377079 379078
 0.25 367734 366730 363728 359729 355732 350737 344743 340750
      337757 334765 333774 333780 331783 329787 328792 331791
      335789 336785 338784 340787 339790 337794 337796 341798
      355789 353766 360750 367736 367734
 0.25 370806 369805 367805 366807 365807 364809 362812 361814
      361816 363818 364816 365816 366814 367813 368812 368811
      369808 370806
 0.25 367793 366792 365791 364791 362791 361792 359792 357793
      356795 356797 355799 355801 356802 358802 360801 361801
      363801 365800 366798 366795 367793
 0.25 368066 369063 368061 366060 365061 364062 363063 362063
      361063 359063 358065 358067 358068 360069 362071 364071
      365070 366068 368066 368066
 0.25 355828 356826 355824 354822 352823 352824 351825 350826
      349829 349831 349833 351833 353831 353830 355828 355828
 0.25 330105 330101 329099 327097 324096 323096 321095 320093
      317093 318096 321097 321100 323102 325104 328107 330105
 0.25 320117 321115 321112 320111 318111 317112 316112 316114
      316116 318118 320118 320117
 0.25 321821 317818 314817 303818 294815 289808 287806 285803
      287801 286796 282794 278794 275795 272798 266800 255801
      253804 252808 263819 267822 267827 267831 269833 279836
      283836 288835 291832 292828 296827 300828 306827 309829
      312832 317833 321821
 0.25 320917 320915 319915 317914 316915 315918 315920 314922
      314924 315926 317924 318922 319920 319919 320917
 0.25 314864 313856 309849 306846 303846 299851 295852 293856
      293864 292874 291882 289885 285887 282892 280902 281908
      282912 286918 288925 291928 294926 297919 299916 300912
      300907 303905 305902 306898 307888 309882 310876 310871
      314864
 0.25 308087 308085 306083 305083 303082 301082 300082 299082
      297083 296084 296086 297087 298088 299088 300089 302089
      304089 306089 308088 308087
 0.25 289083 288079 285076 278071 271065 266060 259054 255056
      253059 252065 255068 261074 268077 274079 277081 286084
      289083
 0.25 290027 290026 288024 287023 285022 283021 281021 280022
      281024 283025 284026 285027 286027 288028 290027 290027
 0.25 292949 293945 292942 291939 288937 286939 285941 284945
      284949 284954 285957 287958 288958 290956 292952 292949
 0.25 282018 282016 282015 281014 280013 278012 278011 276010
      274010 273010 271011 270013 271015 272017 274019 276019
      278019 279019 281019 282018
 0.50 469865 469859 468855 463850 460848 458844 454848 448864
      445872 443880 441890 439899 435903 430904 429907 427924
      424931 419935 417942 419947 422954 424964 430966 447969
      448973 448979 446988 445995 445000 448010 449010 451005
      452995 455986 457976 455965 453957 453932 457913 462897
      466880 468872 469865
 0.50 364146 365137 366129 364126 360130 358132 354132 349134
      347136 346140 345147 346154 351155 354155 359153 363148
      364146
 0.50 361740 360738 358739 357739 355741 353741 351742 350744
      350745 348746 348747 349748 350748 352747 353746 354746
      355745 357744 359743 360741 361740
 0.50 354120 355117 354117 354115 353113 351110 350108 349105
      348104 347105 346106 346107 345109 345112 345114 347116
      349118 350119 352119 353119 354120 354120
 0.50 304823 303822 302821 301821 299820 298820 296821 295822
      296824 298824 300824 302824 303823 304823
 0.50 287831 287829 285828 283827 282827 280827 278828 278830
      280831 281832 282832 284832 286832 287831
 0.50 284812 284809 282808 276807 272802 268802 261804 258805
      256807 258810 262814 266818 270820 274822 277819 281816
      284814 284812
 0.50 269073 269068 268066 266065 264063 262062 259061 257062
      257065 258067 260069 262070 263072 267073 269073
 1.00 464868 462861 458862 454867 452872 449879 448887 448896
      451903 455898 458891 459886 463878 464871 464868
 1.00 452906 451904 450905 450906 448908 448909 446910 446911
      446912 448913 448914 450914 450913 450911 451908 452907
      452906
 1.00 447949 447940 447931 446928 443926 440926 436929 435934
      431939 428943 427952 428956 430958 437957 440958 443958
      447952 447949
 1.50 456881 457879 457876 456876 455876 455879 454880 453881
      453884 453885 452886 452889 453890 453889 454887 455886
      456884 456882 456881
 1.50 444949 443947 442945 441947 441949 442952 443951 444949

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 493269 494261 492254 485245 480241 473239 467236 461235
      455235 451237 458247 466255 473265 480276 482281 487280
      493269
 0.01 497711 494688 492674 488668 479645 474637 470638 467641
      460656 456665 455676 459686 460693 460701 456709 450718
      447724 444732 440750 439757 436760 432764 434766 441770
      436780 432787 430795 427805 426816 425828 421839 417847
      413859 407873 404884 404892 406896 410899 419905 420908
      422913 424924 428947 428951 427956 426966 431989 434001
      428011 427015 426020 425031 423055 422061 419063 414055
      410047 401040 396040 392041 385044 369049 362053 355058
      360066 359070 354073 351073 347074 341075 333076 328076
      322076 320073 319067 317057 316050 314047 311043 307040
      303034 299032 296031 290031 288033 282040 280043 275044
      269051 266062 267065 266072 264080 264089 267095 273101
      284113 292118 301123 303125 308126 313127 314123 318122
      322124 325128 328128 331128 333130 335133 339140 343143
      345149 343151 343154 342160 347161 349159 352157 356158
      360160 365159 367156 368154 371154 382156 386155 388152
      398133 408121 419107 426101 434100 438098 440093 442089
      437088 452059 455047 459037 462038 464044 466055 468065
      470069 474073 478071 482068 484066 486066 489068 501029
      503021 505012 505005 504000 504986 504972 500974 497972
      492971 489967 487954 486949 483946 481942 478939 471934
      469930 468923 464900 463894 460888 456878 447867 446865
      446861 447857 450848 450841 452835 453831 457828 464823
      468821 471816 475810 477800 480787 481782 481775 482769
      481760 481753 483750 489742 493733 495728 497722 496714
      497711
 0.01 423723 422716 421708 419708 417712 417718 415724 409730
      393742 386748 384752 383759 382763 379768 371774 366780
      363785 366789 369789 373786 376781 379778 386773 390770
      394772 399771 403767 407757 411748 416739 420731 423723
 0.01 364769 360764 357761 354761 349768 347771 343773 341770
      340765 337761 333764 331767 327766 323767 318765 302768
      298769 293771 287772 267775 262776 259778 254779 250782
      241791 237798 235802 235807 236816 238826 242835 244838
      248839 256839 260845 271856 277863 278867 277871 272879
      271886 271891 267898 262906 260914 257931 255935 255941
      255947 254953 253971 253974 255974 260975 263976 260979
      256986 259989 264991 267991 270989 279987 283983 287977
      292970 296963 301958 305951 307947 310943 312941 313935
      317918 318913 318907 318895 319887 320883 320877 319864
      317853 315846 316837 317826 321819 331807 333808 333815
      335819 338821 340824 344824 347817 346803 346798 349799
      352800 358799 360800 363796 362792 360788 359785 359781
      359776 361773 364769
 0.01 345171 345169 345167 345166 343165 341165 340164 338164
      336163 334163 332163 331163 329163 328163 329164 330166
      332167 334168 335169 336169 337171 339172 340172 342172
      344171 345171
 0.01 319804 319802 319800 319797 317796 316798 314800 315802
      315805 314805 313807 313809 315810 316809 317808 318806
      318805 319804
 0.25 485010 485000 482987 480983 476980 472979 470977 468967
      464957 461932 460922 459915 458910 455898 451891 442876
      437869 433866 429865 424870 421873 419877 419884 420889
      424899 427907 430917 433929 433940 433949 432957 433964
      435987 441005 443010 447011 455007 460011 462016 464021
      471038 474046 476049 478047 480041 478017 485010
 0.25 474001 473000 473999 472996 471999 472000 473001 473002
      474001
 0.25 411106 412100 410099 408100 402106 400109 396108 394104
      397102 399101 399096 399092 397091 394093 392096 388096
      384094 380093 377095 379099 386099 388101 389108 386111
      382111 381107 379111 378116 376121 372128 372130 374132
      380132 384132 387130 390127 391122 396116 403113 407112
      408110 411106
 0.25 401074 402072 401069 398067 397063 398059 398055 395054
      392055 390057 386064 380069 377076 376081 378085 381086
      382082 384078 386076 389078 391075 393072 396073 399076
      401075 401074
 0.25 367133 367132 367131 366128 366126 366124 365121 364121
      363122 361123 361124 359125 359126 358127 358129 359131
      360134 361136 363136 364135 365134 367133 367133
 0.25 342100 343098 342096 342095 340095 338095 337097 338099
      339100 340100 341100 342100
 0.25 321108 321104 320102 317097 315092 312087 309082 305077
      301074 295071 291071 284072 280075 279082 279088 282094
      288104 291107 297110 304111 309114 315114 319110 321108
 0.25 304831 302821 295817 291817 289816 287812 287806 285802
      286799 286795 282792 280790 275789 266792 257796 250801
      245808 245811 249810 263817 269822 278824 282825 280827
      275833 277836 282836 289832 293830 296830 304831
 0.25 306907 306902 306898 302891 300884 298880 294879 291885
      288893 287902 289910 292917 297922 299924 301924 303921
      304916 304911 306908 306907
 0.25 244815 245813 244811 243813 244815 244816 244815
 0.50 480002 481999 481997 481994 480992 479990 477990 475990
      474992 474994 474997 475999 477002 478003 480002 480002
 0.50 473029 473024 473021 470011 467994 465986 465979 464974
      462966 459957 455942 454931 454923 453913 451903 448896
      444891 440886 433883 429878 426878 426883 427891 429902
      431912 433920 435926 437936 435957 436966 436976 440995
      443000 446004 449002 452995 453991 456991 462004 465011
      467021 470027 473029
 0.50 387125 388123 388120 388118 387117 385116 383116 381117
      381118 380119 380121 380124 380125 382126 383126 384127
      385127 386127 387125
 0.50 311105 309098 307093 304088 301084 296081 291083 289085
      289089 291094 295098 299101 305104 308105 311105
 0.50 299912 299910 299909 298908 297905 295904 294906 295908
      295909 296910 297911 298912 299912 299912
 0.50 284812 284807 282804 276801 270798 264798 257803 255804
      253808 255810 258812 264815 270819 273820 277821 281819
      283817 284812
 1.00 462991 462989 462986 462984 461981 460979 459976 459974
      457974 457976 457978 457979 458981 458984 458986 459988
      460990 461991 462991 462991
 1.00 458971 456966 455959 454955 450952 447951 446945 443945
      440949 442954 444959 447961 450965 454968 455972 458971
 1.00 445978 445976 445973 445972 445971 444969 443968 442967
      440967 439969 439971 440973 440974 441976 442977 443978
      443979 445979 445978
 1.00 444918 445913 444909 443905 441902 439900 438898 436897
      434898 433902 433904 433907 434911 435914 436918 438920
      440922 443921 444918
 1.00 279809 278807 276806 274806 274807 273810 273811 272812
      272814 273815 274814 275813 276811 277811 278811 279809
 1.00 269802 268801 267802 265802 267804 269803 269802

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 533190 535177 536166 536154 534146 532143 528141 523139
      519138 517139 510139 500144 494150 490157 489167 488177
      488188 490196 490202 488205 484209 481212 477212 470213
      458214 453215 451217 452222 458225 460228 461230 459232
      458235 460238 464244 475253 479255 481257 489260 496262
      501259 505253 509246 513239 516235 521228 525220 530205
      531196 533190
 0.01 526005 523997 518988 514983 509975 505969 504964 501963
      489954 486949 483947 480944 474944 464942 462938 460934
      456924 454920 454916 455913 458896 461873 461867 460861
      460850 459838 459833 457830 449814 439797 438794 438791
      441787 447781 455760 459722 457719 456711 457707 457701
      451684 448684 445687 441695 436698 434703 431706 429710
      432714 437714 435724 432732 433738 432742 430748 428752
      428756 430759 434761 436760 439761 442763 441766 439767
      435768 430769 426767 425762 423758 420754 414748 406747
      403750 402754 400758 401763 402770 403774 402776 399785
      395789 389790 386795 391808 398826 403843 405853 403862
      407886 409890 409897 412907 417926 418932 419939 419952
      419959 417963 417969 416973 415980 410982 401982 396986
      392993 392998 394000 398001 400003 405013 399021 393028
      390031 387032 382033 380035 376042 371049 368051 363052
      347054 344052 338051 330052 325052 321051 316047 309043
      306040 303040 275058 273081 272093 276099 279107 284112
      288119 291122 296123 304125 313127 321128 324127 326124
      329120 332117 336120 339124 341128 342132 344136 347140
      350142 351147 350154 353155 357158 360157 365157 368156
      374157 377156 381156 384155 391150 396145 399143 400141
      403132 405126 409125 415123 424119 427116 431114 438111
      440110 441103 443099 443094 441084 438073 442071 446070
      450069 453071 457074 460075 474084 485093 496103 500106
      501102 503092 506081 507068 506061 507053 508047 509040
      510033 514030 520026 522025 523022 524017 525008 526005
 0.01 354773 353767 351766 347771 344775 341780 337784 334782
      327779 315776 302774 295773 288773 258775 256778 253779
      247783 238790 236796 235804 239820 243825 245827 249827
      255829 260832 265837 270842 271845 272849 273859 273878
      274887 273893 274901 276909 280915 277923 277930 280936
      288944 290946 291950 288956 284962 281970 279975 278980
      281983 286983 290979 301950 308939 314928 316921 317911
      317902 315894 311879 310869 309864 309856 309851 311847
      312838 314835 317832 330827 341821 343819 343816 346807
      348791 354773
 0.25 506234 506232 505229 504228 502227 501226 499227 499228
      498229 498230 499232 499235 501237 502237 504236 506234
 0.25 503013 503009 503008 503004 502001 502997 500995 499992
      497995 497998 496003 495007 494010 495014 496017 500016
      501016 503013
 0.25 480019 481015 480012 478007 476002 475997 468987 464978
      459969 458962 458955 458946 456940 451930 444909 439899
      438891 441887 444884 447879 449875 450869 450863 448855
      445843 441832 441825 439818 437813 433810 427803 421803
      418806 415816 415827 417835 417839 415865 415874 416879
      418885 419893 419909 420917 422921 427930 432940 435951
      437963 440977 443981 447980 452980 455984 458993 463004
      464012 463021 465023 467023 471019 477018 480019
 0.25 417050 416045 412043 409046 407051 406055 403054 400053
      397054 394058 395064 394071 391075 387078 384082 383088
      384091 387091 393082 400083 404080 408077 410072 411063
      416052 417050
 0.25 407105 409101 408098 404100 402102 398099 397093 396092
      393091 390094 389098 389102 390108 386111 383110 380109
      378111 377117 377124 379130 384128 390118 395110 404107
      407105
 0.25 407813 407810 407808 407806 406805 404804 403804 401803
      399802 397804 397805 398807 398808 398809 398811 399814
      399816 400817 402818 404819 406818 406817 407815 407813
 0.25 354091 351088 346086 342088 339091 335092 333093 334097
      336099 340102 343100 345096 349095 353093 354091
 0.25 328107 330103 329099 324096 320092 318086 314082 309080
      302080 294078 290077 287078 285080 285096 289107 292111
      298115 303118 310119 316118 322115 328107
 0.25 298823 297819 296817 293811 286800 282794 278789 273787
      265786 259789 257792 257795 253801 252804 251808 255813
      260817 268827 272830 278834 283836 290838 294834 294830
      297828 298823
 0.50 474011 474009 473007 473006 473004 472001 471999 470998
      468998 468999 467999 465000 465001 465002 465003 466006
      466008 467008 468010 469011 470012 471013 473013 474011
 0.50 450964 452949 449936 445925 440916 437906 434902 432897
      431890 431883 434878 435873 433861 432855 430854 427855
      424858 422861 421867 420874 420882 422887 424900 427912
      431923 435932 437937 437945 437952 438958 441971 445973
      448971 450964
 0.50 314109 315105 314101 313094 310090 306087 301088 297092
      295098 297105 300109 304113 307114 311113 314109
 0.50 287820 287815 286810 282804 278799 277795 273793 270793
      268795 267799 265802 260806 259810 260813 268816 272820
      275823 279822 284822 287820
 0.50 270812 270810 269809 267809 266810 266812 268813 269812
      270812
 1.00 447952 449947 447942 446940 445937 443935 440934 439937
      440942 440945 441949 442952 443955 446954 447952

$$





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