Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 042241
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
641 PM EDT SAT JUL 04 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 05/0000 UTC THRU JUL 08/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...MID/LOWER MS VALLEY..TN VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES/MID-ATLANTIC...

A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE DRIFTING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY...ALONG WITH LESSER DEFINED UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVES DROPPING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. TROUGH...WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN LOWER
HEIGHTS THRU THE MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY AND CENTRAL
GULF COAST STATES THIS PERIOD.  THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE NOW
IN THE VICINITY OF AR IS FORECAST SIMILARLY BY THE MODELS TO DRIFT
EAST ACROSS THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NORTH
INTO THE OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON SUN.  LARGE SCALE LIFT
WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE BETTER
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...HOWEVER LOCALLY MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE
RAINFALL AND BRIEF EMBEDDED HEAVIER RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TN VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...A COMBINATION OF AMPLE
INSTABILITY..DEEP MOISTURE...BROAD MID-LEVEL ASCENT AND MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN SUITABLE FOR CONVECTION PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST.  FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND EAST...A SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO LIFT OFF OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. CONVECTION ALONG
THE TRAILING FRONT SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING...BUT MAY RETAIN LARGE AREAL COVERAGE OVER SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND THROUGH LATE EVENING. THEN AS THE
SHORTWAVE OVER THE TN VALLEY BEGINS TO LIFT TO THE NORTH
TOMORROW...THIS FRONT WILL BEGIN RETURN TO THE NORTH...WITH
PRECIPITATION SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC. WPC AMOUNTS RELIED HEAVILY OF THE
HI-RES GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD...THEN
INCORPORATED A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...CENTRAL PLAINS...

A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET UP THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY A DECENT INCREASE IN
MOISTURE/PWS...ALONG WITH WEAK SHORTWAVES DROPPING DOWN THE EAST
SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE THROUGH THE REGION...SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
FORCE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION MOSTLY THRU PARTS OF NE AND KS.
AS WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WE REMAINED CLOSE TO THE HIGHER RES
QPFS HERE...MOST NOTABLY ACROSS KS LATE TONIGHT WHERE
PRECIPITATION WAS ABSENT IN MANY OF THE GLOBAL MODELS...BUT WHERE
THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SHOWED SOME COHESIVE SIGNAL OF
THUNDERSTORMS PROPAGATING SOUTHWARD INTO THE LOW LEVEL JET.
CONVECTION SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE..AND THUS KEPT AREAL AVERAGE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 0.50-1.00 INCH RANGE...BUT AGAIN WITH
ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

...NORTHERN PLAINS-UPPER MIDWEST...

AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA WITH
A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS
EARLY SUN.  BOTH TONIGHT...AND AGAIN SUN
AFTERNOON-EVENING...ORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MN BACK INTO THE
DAKOTAS AS A 30-40 KT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET SUPPORTS INCREASING
PWS TO GREATER THAN 1.5 INCHES.

...WESTERN STATES...

SHORTWAVES RIDING UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES RIDGE THRU PARTS OF CA AND NV...AND ALSO
TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE THRU THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
AND ROCKIES...WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HEATING
AND SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WHICH HAS WORKED ITS WAY INTO THE
PARTS OF THE REGION TO SUPPORT INCREASED CONVECTION THRU MUCH OF
THE WESTERN STATES.  WPC QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF REASONABLY
AGREEABLE MODEL QPFS AND CONTINUITY...WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO
MODERATE AMOUNTS EXPECTED.


DAYS 2/3...


NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

AS NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND FORCING IN THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER JET ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA INTERACTS
WITH A SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING FRONT...EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL HELP
INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX INTO THE REGION...WITH ANOMALIES
AS HIGH AS 4-5 SD ABOVE AVERAGE. PWAT VALUES WILL ALSO INCREASE
ABOVE 2 INCHES...WHICH ENDS UP AROUND 2-4 SD ABOVE AVERAGE. THUS
GIVEN THE FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE FORCING AND THERMODYNAMIC AND
MOISTURE PARAMETERS...A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT SHOULD EXIST.
SOUTHERN EXTENT WILL INITIALLY BE LIMITED Y WARM MID LEVELS...BUT
SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE ACTIVITY EXPAND SOUTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT BY
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO QPF WITH NO MAJOR OUTLIERS SEEN. THUS
WPC FAVORED A CONSENSUS APPROACH WITH A WIDE RANGE OF GUIDANCE
CONSIDERED...FROM THE VARIOUS HI RES MODELS TO THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/CMC/UKMET. OVERALL THERE WAS NOT A HUGE CHANGE IN
QPF TOTALS FROM TH PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH A SLIGHT NORTHWEST
SHIFT IN THE HIGHER QPF AXIS. THE DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED
FOR THE REASONS MENTIONED ABOVE AND FORECAST AREAL AVERAGED QPF OF
1-3 INCHES...AND LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 5INCHES POSSIBLE. HARDEST
HIT AREAS AT THIS POINT SEEM TO BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
SD...FAR SOUTHEAST ND AND WESTERN MN.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MENTIONED ABOVE WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY WITH THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHIFTING WITH
IT. LOOKS LIKE A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE EJECTING OUT OF THE WEST WILL
HELP ENHANCE FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
COMBINE THAT WITH STRONG FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...MODERATE
INSTABILITY...PWAT VALUES OVER 2 INCHES (AROUND 2-4 SD ABOVE
AVERAGE) AND A SLOW MOVING FRONT...AND APPEARS TO BE A GOOD HEAVY
RAINFALL SETUP. MODELS WERE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...ALTHOUGH
TIMING DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE
NAM/CMC/UKMET ARE ON THE SLOWER SIDE...WITH THE LATEST GFS AND
ECMWF QUICKER. MODEL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY HAS BEEN RATHER LOW
INCREASING UNCERTAINTY. WPC OPTED TO  TO GO WITH A CONSENSUS OF
THE 0Z ECMWF AND 12Z ECMWF...WITH SOME WEIGHT ALSO TOWARDS THE 12Z
GFS. THIS SEEMED TO REPRESENT A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION
FAVORING THE TYPICALLY BETTER PERFORMING DAY 3 GUIDANCE. THIS
RESULTS IN A AREA OF 1.5 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS
INTO OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH 0Z WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS LIKELY. GIVEN THE HIGH QPF SEEN AMONG THE GUIDANCE AND THE
FAVORABLE SETUP MENTIONED ABOVE...FUTURE SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO
CONSIDER A MODERATE RISK FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA AS CONFIDENCE
IN THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATION OF HEAVIER AMOUNTS INCREASES.

LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC...

WPC GENERALLY FAVORED A MULTI MODEL GLOBAL AND HI RES CONSENSUS
FOR THIS REGION FOR DAY 2 QPF AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE TRACKS
NORTHEAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THE TREND AMONG THE
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY FURTHER WEST AND QUICKER WITH THE
SYSTEM...AND WPC TRENDED THIS DIRECTION. A LOOK AT THE LATEST 12Z
ECMWF SHOWS THIS TREND CONTINUING...THUS FUTURE SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO
CONSIDER INCREASING QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WV/MD/DC IF
TRENDS CONTINUE ON DAY 2 (MONDAY). FROM 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH 12Z
MONDAY...CONSIDERED A SLIGHT RISK FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION IN WESTERN VA/NC...WITH UPSLOPE FLOW...THE
SHORTWAVE AND MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY HELPING TO GENERATE
CONVECTION. HOWEVER THE GENERAL CONSENSUS FROM THE GLOBAL AND HI
RES GUIDANCE IS THAT THE ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE
EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS...WHERE FFG VALUES ARE HIGHER. ALSO PWAT
VALUES ARE INCREASING...BUT NOT EXTREMELY ANOMALOUS. HOWEVER
TRENDS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS ALL HI RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHER NC INTO VA.

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST SOUTHWARD...WITH
PERTURBATIONS CONTINUING TO ROTATE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER HIGH...ALONG WITH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM UPSLOPE DUE TO
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE
PLAINS...SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY LIKELY COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION.  RELIED UPON A 3-WAY BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS AND 12Z
ECMWF TO DERIVE THE AMOUNTS WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS
ACCOUNTED FOR DUE TO THE TERRAIN.

PEREIRA/CHENARD


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 06/00Z
 0.01 539947 539939 538935 536931 532930 528930 525930 523928
      524923 525920 527915 528907 528901 528882 527877 526875
      522877 515878 511880 504882 497886 485900 479907 472915
      467921 462927 458935 455945 450954 446964 443968 442970
      439971 430975 421979 417981 411978 397971 394969 389969
      386967 385962 388950 387945 389943 391939 389936 380931
      373927 366924 362922 360921 359918 357905 357897 357890
      362879 366870 372860 376854 378845 380824 383813 385807
      388803 392794 393789 392785 390778 388776 385773 383770
      389764 392761 390755 382746 379742 379734 382711 384691
      382686 375680 373679 370684 364692 355708 346721 336738
      326755 323759 319763 312770 299781 291783 282785 265794
      258800 253801 255806 257809 255812 254818 257822 261823
      265824 269827 272832 270834 266835 260842 262865 265878
      269884 275891 282897 292907 301921 305927 309935 311946
      312952 314958 320964 332967 340973 343976 346973 350972
      353969 357966 360968 365971 366975 371985 374994 376997
      380000 383002 384004 385007 384013 386018 387022 384024
      377028 369032 360035 352038 344045 339049 333049 320048
      317049 312049 309048 309046 311041 311034 308030 303023
      295024 288024 280021 272017 269015 265014 258018 262023
      270028 274030 278033 282038 282045 283051 283055 280057
      272057 265062 258059 253059 249060 245062 245065 249070
      253075 262081 268086 273090 277093 281095 283104 286107
      287112 304126 307130 312133 322136 325138 329137 332132
      336130 348133 358136 363137 366134 367133 366127 365123
      368120 372119 372125 371129 373133 379137
 0.01 379137 385168 384172 382172 377176 372179 369181 365180
      360183 362186 366188 373193 378198 384202 388206 393210
      400214 405218 408220 407223 404226 407229 412231 413233
      416234 418233 422234 426228 429221 432212 432209 431206
      425189 424183 423178 424173 425166 427160 427153 427139
      427135 428130 434126 437125 440126 443128 446129 452134
      456140 464149 470146 473145 475149 477155 481161 492170
      506171 511165 513161 518162 524165 527163 529160 521146
      518142 514134 510128 506120 503105 502104 499067 498057
      497047 496038 497033 498031 503024 506017 521990 527978
      533961 539947
 0.01 486691 480670 478667 476664 470658 464655 460656 458659
      445668 442672 440676 439687 440699 441704 443708 442712
      441716 439716 435720 448729 455727 459720 472711 478704
      483698 486691
 0.01 442740 442733 439730 436729 434732 433737 432744 432749
      435754 438755 440753 441748 442742 442740
 0.01 387104 386103 384102 383100 381101 383103 383104 384106
      386106 387104
 0.25 527949 526945 522943 517944 515945 512944 512934 513927
      513918 511905 510897 510895 506893 499898 493904 487911
      482919 476928 473937 470947 466959 463970 462981 464991
      471999 473004 472013 469021 464029 460031 455030 449023
      446021 442022 440025 443028 446032 448039 445043 444047
      447049 451049 459045 467039 471037 475040 479040 482039
      488033 493023 498012 502006 507998 512988 520970 525959
      527949
 0.25 502147 503142 502136 501129 498111 494094 492087 488081
      484077 481077 478078 476088 475096 476106 478113 477121
      477129 478138 482143 491153 494155 497154 501149 502147
 0.25 451102 452100 451099 450097 448096 446095 445095 443095
      443096 443097 444099 445099 446101 448102 449103 451102
      451102
 0.25 440007 439002 436999 431996 424998 417999 408999 403004
      401008 402014 409016 416015 425013 432012 438009 440007
 0.25 420112 419107 418104 415101 411099 409097 406099 402104
      398112 392115 394121 398127 399133 401132 406126 410119
      415113 420112
 0.25 410073 410067 407063 400059 397057 393057 389059 386062
      380062 375062 371063 370068 371079 374083 377086 380088
      386088 393086 400083 405081 408079 410073
 0.25 405996 401993 397988 393984 389980 386976 381972 378974
      380981 382987 385993 387994 391993 396996 401998 404998
      405996
 0.25 375189 375188 373186 371186 373186 374189 375189
 0.25 383798 382793 381789 375783 371781 370785 370791 365792
      368759 369751 371742 372731 372724 370718 367717 363719
      359725 351740 348747 346756 345767 343773 341777 338784
      333789 322801 318806 315811 318814 327818 330820 328825
      323831 319836 317840 313843 307843 303842 299846 299852
      297856 291856 287855 281856 276860 274868 275873 277878
      281884 292895 297901 303909 318937 321939 322937 323933
      326930 330936 335946 341950 343949 345947 348945 350948
      353951 356954 366943 369941 370938 366934 362932 354930
      347932 340917 336910 333902 329892 329888 331883 337869
      341869 344870 348879 354879 359871 368855 374840 374828
      377819 375814 379807 382802 383798
 0.25 379759 379757 379755 378753 376755 375758 375760 375762
      375765 375767 376769 378767 378766 379764 379762 379761
      379759
 0.25 368052 367051 365050 363052 363053 365054 367053 368052
 0.25 358801 358797 356795 352791 348793 345797 341801 338807
      336813 333817 335819 338819 343818 348816 353812 356807
      358801
 0.25 349081 347077 340074 333075 329078 328084 331090 334095
      337099 341104 344098 343092 344087 346085 349081
 0.25 323115 323110 323106 320099 311090 309076 307073 304071
      298068 297066 292065 286066 283068 282073 283081 285083
      286088 287095 295103 300108 302114 304121 310124 317125
      321119 323115
 0.25 303817 300814 297812 291812 288810 282806 281802 279798
      272801 265806 263815 266818 270820 276819 278822 282823
      287825 298822 301820 303817
 0.50 519962 519953 517949 507955 505953 506944 506935 506926
      507919 507911 504903 501903 497907 493911 487919 484924
      481930 477942 475948 473956 470969 470978 475980 479984
      482989 483996 482007 481014 483019 488017 491012 495007
      498004 501000 505993 510983 515972 519962
 0.50 498141 498133 497128 494117 491109 489096 484089 482087
      479089 479093 482103 484113 484120 482125 483132 484136
      487140 490142 495143 498141
 0.50 427006 425005 422005 418005 417006 413006 410008 408010
      410012 413013 415012 418012 422011 423009 425008 427006
 0.50 391080 390077 387075 383074 381073 380071 376070 376073
      376076 377080 379081 383081 386081 388082 391080
 0.50 379800 380793 379789 376788 373790 372794 370800 369804
      364805 360807 357811 350820 347824 342827 333828 329831
      326835 320845 316849 312853 307850 305852 305856 304861
      299865 285876 287880 289884 296893 301901 308911 313923
      315927 318928 320926 323923 328926 335936 337940 339942
      341941 342934 341927 320885 317874 317870 319870 325872
      329872 331867 338858 342857 345862 350864 353871 357868
      359864 365854 369844 371841 371837 372829 373824 370818
      370815 373808 377804 379800
 0.50 369736 368725 366723 364726 361732 358740 356747 353755
      352763 352767 355769 357767 359764 360756 364749 368742
      369736
 0.50 319116 319112 317110 315108 312107 310107 309107 308106
      306108 307110 307113 309116 310118 314120 317118 319116
 1.00 501929 498928 496930 492937 490947 487954 485958 485964
      487973 494975 496972 496967 496958 497948 500939 501929
 1.00 365827 366820 365813 362814 359818 358821 354826 353829
      351833 353835 359835 361832 365829 365827
 1.00 360854 360852 358852 356852 355855 354855 354857 354859
      355861 355862 356861 357861 358859 360856 360855 360854
 1.00 336928 336923 334919 330913 326906 323900 319898 317902
      315906 313908 311911 312914 314918 317919 319915 321915
      326920 331926 334928 336928
 1.00 332839 332837 330838 328840 327843 325846 324849 323851
      321854 321856 321857 322857 323857 326856 327854 329851
      329848 330844 330841 332839
 1.00 315886 314881 312876 310872 306871 301871 298874 296877
      296880 298884 302887 305888 307889 310888 314888 315886
 1.50 333924 332921 332920 331919 330919 329917 328916 327915
      326914 325913 324913 325915 326917 328919 328920 329921
      330922 331924 332924 333924

24HR QP VT 07/00Z
 0.01 532816 532809 530804 529795 528790 527783 524783 520782
      511783 507784 505788 503793 499798 487819 478832 468846
      462854 457859 441865 433870 428878 422887 415893 404898
      398898 394897 388897 384896 382893 376886 374882 376877
      377873 377868 375847 383842 393840 398833 406830 410829
      412824 414819 416814 420804 423793 424786 422782 420776
      416773 411772 406770 399763 393756 390750 384751 382750
      381747 378741 372736 366737 362739 347747 313768 297779
      288785 284789 281793 278796 273797 262798 259797 253798
      254803 250804 246805 244809 242817 242821 243825 245826
      244829 245833 249835 261835 268841 276847 283852 288860
      291866 294872 294883 297886 301887 311890 313893 315899
      317909 321917 326922 332926 337928 344934 344948 341954
      340959 337965 338967 343969 345966 348961 351957 354953
      356951 358952 357960 355965 348983 344991 339997 333003
      327007 323012 314015 304015 299016 294016 289017 284020
      277026 276028 278032 286039 291043 291050 292061 294071
      291074 290080 288094 292101 300113 305118 312123 315125
      319124 323122 324117 329115 333114 334117 337121 338127
      338131 339133 346135 358138 361138 364142 363146 361150
      362153 362157 366155 369154 371156 373160 375168 376172
      375178 372180 369181 364181 363187 368192 376198 383203
      392207 396204 399200 400191 399186 398180 399177 401176
      403173 403166 404162 408162 412164 417164 419160 423131
      425127 427124 431122 434125 438134 443138 451142 459143
      463144 462139 460127 460122 464119 470112 475102 479092
      476088 475084 475080 475073 473065 470055 470046 475039
      479032 482030 484035 487045 488048 490043 494031 495025
      495016 492008
 0.01 492008 488002 489995 493977 496960 500942 502934 504926
      507919 509911 515895 519880 524865 525855 527846 530830
      532816
 0.01 428211 426206 424203 425198 424194 421190 422183 423176
      421173 417173 417180 415189 408193 405196 403200 402207
      402212 403215 405216 409214 414207 419207 423210 428211
 0.01 378107 377103 375100 372093 369086 367082 365081 363083
      366092 362094 354096 349099 347101 349103 352105 355108
      359109 364112 368114 371112 377109 378107
 0.25 513879 513866 512851 510838 508834 505831 499830 492830
      488834 484840 467870 459879 446887 439890 433894 423908
      419914 414919 407930 402934 391935 386940 382948 375964
      369974 365981 361989 357998 352004 349010 349019 349023
      351025 356022 361016 367011 370009 376008 379008 383006
      389004 393004 398000 403993 412981 418977 423977 427979
      427990 426002 423018 424027 424038 423049 431047 438045
      444043 449039 453034 461019 469002 474988 479972 486953
      492934 497920 505906 510891 513879
 0.25 449107 450104 451102 451100 451097 450095 448092 447092
      445092 443093 443094 443096 443099 444101 444102 445104
      446106 447107 449107 449107
 0.25 450075 450069 448065 444062 440061 435061 431063 427072
      424075 423079 421084 419090 420097 422100 425104 430106
      436106 439103 441091 440084 442082 449078 450075
 0.25 425065 425058 423053 420048 416048 411046 404045 399044
      396042 392040 385038 382037 379033 377028 373024 368025
      366027 359036 353042 351047 352055 354058 359060 368065
      373071 375076 379078 383072 385070 388069 389071 390075
      397075 400076 403075 405072 410075 415074 418074 422071
      425065
 0.25 389201 389199 388197 387196 386195 385193 383192 381191
      380191 379192 379194 381196 381197 382198 384199 385200
      385201 387202 389201 389201
 0.25 401804 399797 398789 397782 394774 385767 376762 366755
      362756 359759 354764 346773 342777 338780 330781 326781
      325784 317788 317794 321798 322803 318808 313810 304811
      296811 290809 284808 278809 272811 266812 261809 259807
      255807 256812 258814 264818 274822 285824 291825 298827
      305829 311832 314836 315840 314845 313850 313858 312865
      312871 314880 318886 326894 329898 332902 335907 340910
      350912 356914 359912 362905 360898 358893 354888 349885
      344880 342872 342864 344858 349848 352843 357839 370833
      383832 388829 390826 395821 398814 401804
 0.25 355120 356118 354116 354115 353114 351113 350112 349112
      347112 347113 347114 349116 349117 350118 351119 352120
      354121 355120
 0.25 341812 342805 338802 335805 332809 330812 326815 324818
      322823 322826 327825 331824 335821 338819 340814 341812
 0.25 324109 325107 324106 323109 324109 324109
 0.25 319108 317106 315104 314103 311100 310098 307097 305097
      304102 304104 306107 308109 310111 313113 315111 317110
      319108
 0.50 510882 510872 509862 508856 506852 504844 500839 498838
      494839 488846 481858 473870 468879 464884 460887 454890
      447891 441894 436899 422914 415925 412932 409940 411943
      414943 420944 417956 410968 406973 401977 396980 391983
      390985 391988 393991 430963 433968 435975 433982 431991
      429009 430023 431031 435032 439031 446029 451026 462006
      465001 468992 474977 478965 482953 492924 497914 503901
      510882
 0.50 435097 434096 434095 433093 432092 431091 430089 428088
      426089 426090 426091 426092 428093 428094 429095 431096
      431097 432098 434099 435097
 0.50 413064 412060 410057 406054 400051 397051 392052 388049
      384045 378042 373042 369046 358047 357051 358054 365055
      372056 379058 385060 389059 393058 396060 402062 407065
      408067 411066 413064
 0.50 400949 399945 396942 393943 390945 382958 373973 364987
      357002 353011 354014 357011 363005 367001 375996 380990
      385983 388977 395961 400949
 0.50 391787 383779 380774 376771 371767 367765 363765 360767
      357772 355778 356786 358793 359801 362807 364808 367808
      374808 378810 382811 384813 388815 391811 390805 388798
      389792 391787
 0.50 329883 329878 329874 328872 327868 325866 323866 321868
      320870 320875 321879 322881 324883 327884 329883
 0.50 302821 301819 298817 295816 293815 290814 286814 283817
      282819 284821 287821 290820 294821 296822 300823 302821
 1.00 504880 504876 504870 504865 501860 499857 495856 489861
      484866 478875 475881 471890 468898 462903 458910 455918
      443932 443936 446938 448942 443949 442955 441962 441968
      440973 439978 441981 440986 438991 434001 434009 436019
      438023 443022 447012 455000 460992 464984 466975 471969
      474960 478949 484934 492914 500901 502896 503888 504880
 1.00 447904 447901 446901 445901 445904 446904 447904
 1.00 423928 421926 420926 421927 423928 423928
 1.00 381051 380049 379048 378048 377049 377051 379053 381052
      381051
 1.00 375051 374049 372049 371050 372052 374052 375051
 1.50 494876 496871 492869 488874 480882 474894 472900 469905
      462915 455923 451928 454935 457940 459942 457946 445961
      444971 445980 446988 448994 452990 456984 462974 468962
      472952 483927 488912 493901 493886 494876
 1.50 441017 441014 441012 441010 439009 437009 436011 437014
      437015 438016 439017 441017 441017
 2.00 487904 485904 481907 478908 475906 473909 472915 474917
      474922 471930 466937 459952 454959 450961 448964 449968
      448976 449983 452983 455981 459974 463964 467957 474940
      475935 475927 479919 487904 487904
 2.00 461935 461932 461930 460929 459928 457929 455930 456932
      457934 457935 459936 460935 461935


24HR QP VT 08/00Z
 0.01 526174 525166 524157 524154 521152 517149 515145 511141
      510134 507131 502128 497125 494125 491126 490128 487128
      482125 474123 471115 471109 470105 470100 465099 462096
      458095 451075 449070 449062 453054 453044 455037 452034
      449034 447031 442030 438031 434033 429034 419036 408039
      405040 401039 397040 394038 386035 380030 377023 376021
      376017 378013 379003 383994 388984 390979 393976 400967
      407959 413952 418943 422934 428926 431920 434917 441911
      448904 450901 454900 463898 466896 470896 486892 490891
      494889 501883 516868 519864 519855 519847 517841 506822
      503817 498817 494817 491812 490807 486806 476805 480802
      482799 485791 489783 492774 495765 498755 489731 484720
      480710 475700 473695 471693 462699 451703 431707 424708
      418713 416717 412720 405726 404729 400732 395733 390733
      383736 376737 366735 361736 358739 354742 351746 345754
      340753 336754 327760 320765 310776 301788 299792 296794
      293794 283796 277796 273795 262796 257797 255804 253815
      252820 252825 255835 263841 268843 272843 279842 283840
      286837 292839 297840 299844 303853 308857 311849 316843
      320840 325842 330844 331847 329848 325848 318849 316851
      316855 317863 319867 319873 322884 329891 334891 339894
      342897 344902 347906 347913 335947 334957 330966 327974
      322982 318986 313990 305995 298002 292006 284012 278012
      274011 262023 260028 260033 261037 255037 246038 243040
      243044 246050 251057 253061 256063 262069 278082 282085
      286089 291095 294098 297101 306108 309111 314112 319114
      322114 326111 327108 332108 336110 343117 346125 350132
      356136 367138 371140 371147 368152 363154 368156
 0.01 368156 374161 376166 377170 375175 369176 365177 364182
      366188 370192 390207 398215 402218 404222 403226 401227
      398229 399231 406243 410246 415246 420246 424244 427242
      427240 424235 427229 432225 435222 437218 433213 431209
      428201 425196 423190 416187 408189 407191 405188 405182
      407178 407173 406166 405159 407156 411155 412150 409145
      406140 403137 409129 409124 407123 408120 410119 413118
      415119 418123 420125 425122 430119 433121 435123 433130
      432138 435138 437141 439140 446130 450125 455128 459128
      461131 463139 464144 466148 472158 488180 495177 504174
      509172 512171 516172 522175 526174
 0.01 378803 374797 373792 370786 370782 368779 368777 365776
      361779 357783 355787 346793 341795 339799 337806 339810
      344813 350813 355814 359812 362811 365809 369806 372803
      376805 378803
 0.25 507851 504844 500840 497837 494833 478822 474820 470820
      463824 454828 449831 446831 450826 452820 450818 450814
      451808 449801 453797 459789 465782 471775 473770 472766
      467765 462766 457771 454776 448784 434801 429809 424818
      420827 418837 416840 413841 406841 396845 390847 385849
      381853 379857 374865 371875 368885 366896 364910 360922
      357927 355932 349941 344947 341956 337967 334976 321995
      309011 306015 303018 294022 288026 286032 288038 291043
      296046 300049 306050 312050 317053 320057 327059 329059
      330056 328046 326044 328042 331040 335038 340037 353019
      360011 367004 373997 378989 382982 386972 397951 403940
      408931 419917 426910 431904 441896 448891 466880 484874
      493870 499865 502862 505857 507851
 0.25 408211 407210 406210 404209 402208 401209 402210 404211
      406211 407211 408211
 0.25 424048 423045 420044 417046 416049 412052 408051 402049
      395049 387045 374041 364041 358044 354048 353054 350059
      346063 340063 330065 327071 327077 330082 336083 341082
      346078 353072 364068 369070 374073 378076 385077 394074
      403069 410069 414068 417063 419055 423051 424048
 0.25 319800 318798 317798 316798 315798 314799 312800 311801
      311802 309803 309805 311806 313805 314805 315804 316803
      317802 318801 319800
 0.25 291066 293061 292058 287052 280049 273046 265048 262051
      262055 265062 270066 276071 279073 283074 289069 291066
 0.25 270814 269813 268812 266812 265813 264814 264815 266816
      268816 270815 270814
 0.50 500852 498845 495840 489840 485842 481847 478852 477860
      478867 479872 481872 486870 491866 495863 499858 500852
 0.50 466866 465861 463859 460859 455862 451867 447872 445877
      444883 446885 453885 458882 462878 465873 466866
 0.50 441810 441808 440806 438808 436810 435811 435812 434814
      433815 433816 433819 434820 435821 436821 437819 438818
      439817 439815 440813 440812 441810
 0.50 436830 431833 427836 423841 420847 419856 417861 410870
      408872 407868 405864 403862 396862 391864 387868 384873
      380884 376900 375907 372914 368917 365922 359932 345954
      340965 337976 330989 324000 318009 313020 313025 316027
      322026 336025 343025 347022 353013 362004 367999 371994
      377986 382974 388961 394949 399939 405930 410924 413919
      414911 413908 410906 408905 407902 408896 409887 413882
      423876 427874 429872 431864 426861 424858 423851 425847
      432837 436830
 0.50 395055 393053 392052 390052 389052 390054 391056 393056
      395055
 0.50 387054 385051 381048 376047 371047 367049 364052 361056
      366058 370060 374062 379063 381060 384058 387054
 0.50 283064 283059 282057 280055 278053 276052 272052 270054
      270056 270059 271062 273064 275065 279066 281065 283064
 1.00 495853 495850 495849 494848 493846 491846 490847 489848
      488850 488851 487854 486856 485859 486861 487861 488861
      489861 490859 491858 492858 494856 494855 495853 495853
 1.00 398929 397926 395927 390926 383926 378927 375929 372929
      368927 365930 362934 356947 350954 346959 343965 339977
      337983 334990 328999 322009 322013 323015 329015 337016
      343017 349011 366995 374986 378975 388952 391945 394939
      397935 398929
 1.00 395890 396885 394883 391881 390881 388882 386886 385888
      384891 384895 384900 386902 389903 390901 392899 394896
      395892 395890
 1.50 393936 387934 384934 375940 371940 368933 365931 363935
      359948 355953 352955 344964 342969 341975 337987 333997
      325007 326008 329010 333010 338013 342014 344013 351005
      360999 366992 371987 374983 378972 388950 393936
 1.50 363974 362969 359971 356974 353978 351980 346981 344984
      345989 348991 352991 355989 358985 360980 362976 363974
 2.00 390940 386940 381942 375946 371949 370954 368964 368970
      366976 362984 357992 351997 337995 333004 338010 342011
      345009 349002 362995 368988 371984 372981 375977 377972
      378967 380963 384954 388947 390940
 2.00 366945 366938 366935 364935 363941 362945 361952 358954
      356958 355963 359963 361961 363956 364949 366945 366945
 2.00 349967 350965 348963 346964 346965 345966 344967 343969
      343971 344973 346972 346971 348969 348968 349967
 2.00 343978 344976 343975 342976 341978 340980 340982 341984
      341982 342980 343979 343978
 2.00 339986 339984 339986 339988 339986
 3.00 386945 387943 386942 385943 384944 383945 383947 384947
      386946 386945
 3.00 381958 381954 379953 376954 374956 373959 372963 371965
      372967 372972 371974 371976 373976 375973 375970 376965
      379963 380961 381958
 3.00 368985 369983 368981 368980 367981 366982 365983 364985
      366987 368986 368985

$$




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