Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 270919
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 27/1200 UTC THRU SEP 30/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

NEW ENGLAND---MID ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST

THE MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THE TIMING OF THE SURFACE
FRONT---INITIALLY STRETCHING FROM INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GA---AS IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST...WHILE STALLING ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND WELL DEFINED FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE IN AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL SUPPORT AN
ORGANIZED AREA OF FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL PRECIP---WITH AREAL
AVERAGE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE. HIGHEST
AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS AROUND 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MA.


COASTAL CAROLINAS

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST AND NC COAST AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WAVE TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER---THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION SHIELD MAY AFFECT
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC AND PARTICULARLY NC WITH
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.


UPPER LAKES

LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NEARLY STATIONARY
CLOSED LOW IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE SUPERIOR TODAY...WHICH WILL
DROP SOUTH ACROSS LAKE MI OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WED. THE WESTERN
END OF THE ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES REGION FROM NORTHEAST MN---ACROSS
NORTHERN WI--THE U.P. OF MI...AND WESTERN LOWER MI. A 90-100 KT
250 MB JET STREAK ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW (AND RESULTANT
VORT LOBE) WILL ENHANCE THE LIFT ON THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTH
SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW. CYCLONIC FLOW OFF OF THE RELATIVELY WARMER
WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL ENHANCE
PRECIP TOTALS OVER THE U.P. AND NORTHWEST L.P.  WIDESPREAD
MODERATE TOTALS IN THE .25-.50" RANGE DEPICTED WITH HEAVIER TOTALS
IN AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO THE PRECIPITATION.


SOUTH TX

A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE
LOWER TX COAST TODAY. DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY (AT LEAST 500-1000
J/KG) AND DEEP MOISTURE (PWS 2-2.25 INCHES) WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT
FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LOWER TX
COAST...ALTHOUGH THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL INFLOW (AROUND 10 KTS) AS
WELL AS BULK SHEAR (<20 KTS BETWEEN 0-6 KM) WILL KEEP THE ACTIVITY
FROM BECOMING ORGANIZED. GIVEN THE PERSISTENT FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICAL SETUP (INSTABILITY ADVECTING IN OFF THE
GOMEX)...EVEN WITH PULSE TYPE ACTIVITY EXPECT AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS
OF 1-2" PER A MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS(HIGHEST AROUND
BROWNSVILLE-PORT MANSFIELD EAST TO SOUTH PADRE ISLAND)...WHILE PER
THE HIGH-RES CAMS EXPECT ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3-6" IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION...

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF FROM THE
MEAN FLOW AND DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE EXACT EVOLUTION AND LOCATION OF THIS UPPER LOW WILL
PLAY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF HEAVY
RAINFALL THIS PERIOD ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND
MID-ATLANTIC REGION. AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH EXPECT
THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT TO STALL ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
INTO THE EASTERN MID ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALONG IT IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING
HEIGHT FALLS. THIS WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO HELP
CONCENTRATE AN AXIS OF LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE CAROLINAS...WITH THE ACTIVITY
LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING AS THE LOW AND MID LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO BACK AROUND AND
STRENGTHEN AROUND THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE UPPER LOW.

INCREASINGLY STRONG AND BACKING LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED
OVER THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
RESULT IN A RATHER QUICK RESURGENCE OF DEEPER MOISTURE UP NORTH
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT REGION. THIS
COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH 250
MB RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS AROUND THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE UPPER LOW WILL FACILITATE THE EXPANSION OF A NORTH/SOUTH
ORIENTED BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A CONSENSUS OF
THE GUIDANCE LED BY THE GFS/UKMET AND ECMWF ALL SUGGEST HEAVY
RAINS WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG AN AXIS FROM CENTRAL VA
TO SOUTHERN PA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY PROMOTE
A THREAT FOR SOME RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND/OR FLASH FLOODING...AND AS
SUCH...A SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN ISSUED TO ADDRESS THIS.

THE DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BACK AROUND FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS ON THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTH OF THE OH
RIVER AND DOWN INTO KY. THIS IS WHEN SOME OF THE BIGGER MODEL
DISAGREEMENTS SHOW UP AS THE ECMWF INSISTS ON THE UPPER LOW
FOCUSING FARTHER WEST THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS. THE GFS/NAM/UKMET
AND CMC ARE FARTHER EAST. THE ECMWF POSITION WOULD ALLOW FOR
SUFFICIENT BACKING OF THE FLOW FOR THERE TO BE A SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE FLOW RAINFALL EVENT FOR THE SPINE OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...INCLUDING SOUTHWEST PA...WESTERN MD...CENTRAL WV
AND FAR WESTERN VA. THE REMAINING MODELS SUGGEST THE FOCUS OF THE
STRONGER UPSLOPE FLOW OCCURRING A BIT FARTHER EAST WITH AN
EMPHASIS ON THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS REGION OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
BUT INCLUDING THE BLUE RIDGE FROM NORTHERN VA INTO CENTRAL PA. THE
GFS SUGGESTS 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES REACHING OVER 3
STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL OVER CENTRAL PA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ECMWF FOCUSES THESE ANOMALIES FARTHER BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST. WPC AT THIS TIME HAS DECIDED TO LEAN GENERALLY AWAY
FROM THE ECMWF IN FAVOR OF A CONSENSUS THAT IS CLOSE TO A
GFS/UKMET COMPROMISE. STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WITH ENHANCED ATLANTIC INFLOW WILL SUPPORT HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE BLUE RIDGE
AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. THE SET-UP FOR THIS EVENT BASICALLY IS
CONSISTENT WITH THAT OF AN EAST COAST ATMOSPHERIC RIVER GIVEN THE
LONG-FETCH ATLANTIC TRAJECTORY THAT WILL BE IN PLACE. A MODERATE
RISK IS BEING INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AT THIS
TIME FROM CENTRAL/NORTHERN MD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL PA. LATER MODEL
RUNS WILL ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL FINE-TUNING OF THIS OUTLOOK...BUT
CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND
FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY...

DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND MOISTURE ADVECTION COMING IN FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL FOCUS MODERATE RAINS OVER THE LOWER LAKES
REGION AND THE OH VALLEY THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. SOME OF THE
RAINS WILL TEND TO BE CONCENTRATED IN PARTICULAR WITHIN THE MID
LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH WILL BE ACROSS IN/OH AND LOWER MI.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AS MUCH AS A 0.50 TO 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED.


...SOUTHEAST/FL PENINSULA...

THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN AHEAD OF
THE DEEP UPPER LOW ADVANCING SOUTH INTO THE OH VALLEY WILL FOCUS
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF SC
DOWN INTO GA AND ULTIMATELY THE FL PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
THEN DOWN THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THURSDAY. DESPITE RATHER HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...THE STRONGER FORCING WILL BE MUCH
FARTHER NORTH AND SO THE CONVECTION WILL BE RATHER DISORGANIZED
WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT AREAL AVERAGE TOTALS.


...FAR SOUTHERN TX...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED WITH TIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR.
HOWEVER THE GUIDANCE HANGS ON TO A NORTH/SOUTH AXIS OF STRONGER
SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOWER TX COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE COLD FRONT SETTLING FARTHER SOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH
TX COAST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
THEREAFTER.


...SOUTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH INTO TE GREAT BASIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST.
INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT AROUND THE NORTHEAST FLANK OF THE
UPPER LOW...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR
ASCENT...SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE ACROSS THE WEST
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING NORTH WITH
TIME. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL THREAT FOR SOME FLASH FLOODING
GIVEN THE INFLUX MOISTURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH OROGRAPHICS.
WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AS AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL
TOTALS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT.

HURLEY/ORRISON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 458624 461632 466638 471640 472653 473657 471660 468662
      467666 467677 467680 469680 473681 480683 486686 491691
      495696 499703 502710 511721 513728 515739 515743 514744
      508739 503733 499732 497729 493721 492717 489714 485710
      480706 477705 473706 465708 455711 447712 442711 442708
      439707 435710 427719 424719 421721 416726 412731 408737
      401753 394768 392775 390783 385788 382793 376799 372804
      366818 361832 354845 350853 347855 344856 339857 338859
      333863 328870 323875 319880 316886 311892 308893 306897
      302901 300903 296905 293911 292920 292944 291951 290956
      288958 285964 283970 280976 275980 271988 269991 268994
      270996 275000 282003 294010 296016 297020 296024 292029
      290032 288036 289042 291045 296052 301057 304062 304073
      308078 328092 328087 328081 330079 336075 338073 340076
      343077 343080 345083 349086 351088 351093 349098 350103
      354107 357104 358100 360097 363097 363099 365097 367099
      370104 369113 369121 367128 364136 359140 355146 351147
      349145 346142 343142 341142 338144 335145 333145 330138
      338124 335117 332115 329116 326117 325123 323130 320132
      321138 322143 326159 324165 321167 317167 311164 305159
      299155 292149 284141 278130 280130 283129 285131 287131
      289126 292119 293114 291111 279105 281099 287095 289092
      286089 283085 283082 278075 273072 266073 260070 249065
      237056 234048 234044 233041 228027 229922 232910 233905
      238907 249909 252914 254919 256924 260928 262923 262915
      262899 263894 263886 263880 267878 269882 271890 272919
      274924 275932 279934 283930 284923 284915 285910 284904
      281899 278894 275882 274874 274866 275861 276853 278834
 0.01 278834 277831 274831 271830 268835 264836 257838 252835
      250830 249828 247827 243826 238824 234828 231836 228839
      225835 226826 223815 222803 221797 223791 225783 232776
      239771 243770 250769 256768 261767 265765 272764 278763
      283764 288763 292764 296765 300764 304761 306759 306758
      302756 302753 304748 308744 314738 321731 329726 337720
      345716 355711 361705 364702 367697 378682 384674 393669
      402665 410658 415650 418647 423644 429641 437639 441637
      444629
 0.01 540170 539164 536158 531158 527155 524154 522156 518161
      515166 511170 506166 503165 501168 500175 502181 510191
      519199 526196 531193 534187 537181 539172 540170
 0.01 501227 501223 499219 498215 496211 488209 481210 475213
      471213 469215 470218 473219 480217 488220 492226 496232
      501227
 0.01 512918 510913 507908 500900 500894 500891 498890 493886
      488886 485886 482881 483874 485866 488861 489858 489853
      485841 486834 486825 484819 483812 484806 483796 478790
      465790 459791 454794 450798 446800 442804 438810 436815
      437818 438821 442825 445826 444828 441832 446832 450833
      452835 451838 443844 441844 439842 435837 432840 430842
      428840 425840 423842 421846 418851 414854 411859 409866
      409872 409877 410880 412886 415889 417890 419896 420903
      424910 431919 433921 435920 435916 437915 439918 442922
      449931 457940 464945 476945 481944 486946 490947 494947
      499943 503939 509929 512918
 0.01 450746 449736 445734 442738 442742 441745 436750 435756
      432771 430786 425798 424803 424806 427805 435797 441786
      444773 448761 450746
 0.01 337806 336800 331801 326810 321815 314822 309824 305821
      306818 310811 310809 307808 302808 299811 296815 291822
      293826 291830 290834 290839 293839 296836 300836 301840
      299844 302846 305846 312850 316849 320847 325842 328839
      331835 332824 337806
 0.01 293872 293868 291864 291862 290858 289854 288858 288862
      288866 288870 288873 288877 288881 290881 290878 292874
      293872
 0.01 264029 262025 261021 257018 252017 249015 246015 245018
      247022 248026 250030 253034 257032 261030 264029
 0.01 239846 239844 239842 237842 236842 235842 233844 235846
      237846 239846 239846
 0.25 460651 460646 458642 456640 453640 445643 438646 425650
      418655 414661 407672 404678 399684 395685 394682 390681
      387683 382688 378695 368705 358714 353718 347722 333730
      321737 317740 311746 311752 313758 322771 325777 327786
      328789 330789 336785 343775 351762 360753 363754 364757
      363767 360772 355778 351784 349789 345804 343811 343814
      344819 347824 351826 353825 359814 363808 367802 374789
      381778 386764 394752 401739 416717 424705 433692 439680
      442673 447667 457660 460651
 0.25 475852 476843 473837 469834 467829 463825 461824 459826
      457832 456839 440854 435855 429855 427854 424855 420860
      418864 418869 420872 425873 431872 443869 453864 458863
      460864 461868 461878 458885 459890 460907 468914 472911
      474905 476888 475870 475859 475852
 0.25 461815 462810 461805 460802 456801 453803 452805 450806
      448809 446812 446817 448819 451819 454819 458819 460817
      461815
 0.25 353128 353127 353126 352124 350122 349123 348124 347125
      346127 347129 347131 349132 351132 352130 353129 353128
 0.25 320115 320113 320112 319110 318110 317109 315107 313107
      313109 313111 314114 316115 318115 320115 320115
 0.25 289806 289801 288796 286790 283784 277781 269783 261783
      253784 247787 244793 242800 242808 244815 247822 254822
      260821 264820 266818 268816 269811 268807 268803 275800
      280802 282809 282812 284813 288810 289806
 0.25 231987 232995 233998 236001 242004 251006 257006 259003
      259998 258995 258990 262985 272976 277970 281964 283958
      285949 282946 279944 270945 266938 260935 254936 246938
      239938 234941 230951
 0.50 455650 454648 450648 443649 435650 427653 422656 417660
      413667 409674 403685 395697 391699 388690 386689 383692
      380696 371706 360715 356719 350723 337730 325736 319741
      314746 313749 314752 318757 326768 330774 332776 335776
      340772 345767 361745 365741 367739 371738 372751 368767
      361778 355788 352795 350804 348811 348818 351818 352816
      357808 364798 368793 370785 372778 375772 383761 390750
      399738 414715 422704 429691 433678 436671 440665 449657
      453654 455650
 0.50 472888 472881 472875 470871 470865 470855 470850 468847
      465854 464860 464866 466870 464873 463883 464889 463895
      463899 463903 466902 468899 471890 472888
 0.50 458844 456844 454845 451847 449848 448853 447855 445857
      443860 443861 447861 450860 451858 453856 455853 456850
      457847 458844
 0.50 454811 454810 452810 451811 452812 454812 454811
 0.50 438866 438863 436862 434862 433862 432862 431861 429861
      427861 426860 424861 423862 422863 421865 421867 423869
      424869 426869 428869 430869 431869 432869 433869 435869
      435868 436868 438866
 0.50 231981 235986 235993 237997 239999 244002 248003 252003
      254001 254996 252989 255984 267978 272974 275968 279963
      280958 280953 277952 270951 264948 260943 257942 253942
      248945 237952 231959
 0.50 261792 258791 254791 253791 251792 249794 247796 246799
      246803 246807 247809 249808 252806 254804 255801 256799
      259797 260795 261792
 1.00 434659 432657 427658 421662 416667 412674 405687 397700
      394707 391714 390723 393730 398730 400727 405722 414709
      421696 424689 426681 432665 434659
 1.00 384708 383701 380700 374707 366713 359720 352726 344730
      335736 326740 322742 319746 319751 322755 327763 333770
      338769 341766 347758 353751 358743 371729 379725 381723
      381720 384708
 1.00 274966 274960 272957 261957 252955 244958 239959 235961
      232967 231973 233977 235979 241981 250979 253977 259977
      264977 268975 273968 274966
 1.50 421682 421675 417674 414676 412680 407688 403696 399704
      396712 397718 401720 404717 407714 413706 416698 420688
      421682
 1.50 378709 373711 366715 356726 343735 338739 331742 327743
      324745 322748 323754 332765 338767 341765 342761 346755
      351750 354744 359738 365733 369727 373722 376714 378709
 1.50 268972 269968 268965 263963 257961 250961 244962 237963
      234967 234971 235975 239978 245978 252976 257975 264975
      268972
 2.00 417683 415680 412684 410688 408693 407696 404701 402705
      403708 407707 409704 412699 413695 415691 417686 417683
 2.00 372718 371714 368716 364719 360725 357728 352731 347736
      348741 350743 352742 356738 361734 365730 369725 371720
      372718
 2.00 341759 340757 339753 337751 335749 333748 330748 328746
      328747 330748 332752 333756 333761 334763 338764 340762
      341759
 2.00 267970 265967 261966 255964 250964 244964 239965 237967
      236973 239975 244976 248975 253974 257972 263972 266971
      267970

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 231990 236988 240990 242990 243986 248984 259983 264981
      266977 271974 273970 271964 273960 274952 272945 269942
      265941 258941 254943 248951 245954 239954 231957
 0.01 476882 476879 474877 471878 468875 465870 464865 465861
      465856 467852 463845 460840 454840 444837 453830 452826
      451817 449802 445784 444777 444770 443760 441752 433737
      431730 429727 429723 430709 431705 434699 437695 439690
      438682 437675 440662 440653 440647 434642 431642 428644
      424650 422654 418665 414675 408683 405690 404697 402702
      400710 397716 395723 386734 371737 359740 355741 353740
      348740 341746 331752 326755 321759 316763 308765 305767
      301768 294769 272778 265780 261782 256789 254792 255794
      258800 252802 246804 245807 245811 248818 250820 252821
      258824 261828 262833 260837 261844 264848 266853 268858
      273860 275867 276870 276874 277882 278891 278896 280898
      285896 289891 292885 296883 298877 301872 305867 308865
      312861 316852 322849 326844 330842 334837 346831 349829
      351833 356837 354841 350845 349851 344855 340862 346871
      351867 354863 357862 358866 359874 361876 363875 368871
      372866 378866 383865 386868 392870 396871 397873 394878
      393879 393883 395886 395890 396898 399905 408908 411906
      415905 420910 428911 433916 453911 458908 461908 462911
      464911 466905 468903 469899 471890 475887 476882
 0.01 445839 443837 442838 441839 442841 444841 445839
 0.01 442844 442841 440840 439842 439843 438844 437845 437847
      436849 437851 439849 440846 441846 442844
 0.01 424122 423119 420116 419111 418107 416106 414108 413106
      411103 409097 406095 404098 401098 399094 396088 392088
      384087 380087 379083 377080 379076 378073 374078 369075
      367077 365087 365092 362092 359089 357084 351081 347077
      334075 331075 327076 322080 315085 306089 302093 299099
      299103 301106 305111 313116 319115 324114 331115 336118
      337121 337125 336132 339137 343140 345145 347148 347152
      349152 349157 348165 342163 339164 337166 336171 338173
      340174 340177 343188 344195 348199 350198 352193 356189
      360188 364189 374196 377197 381197 385194 385187 385182
      388180 391175 391170 394164 397161 401157 401150 396145
      395140 397136 400132 401124 413123 424122
 0.01 370111 369108 368111 369113 370111
 0.01 298073 297067 293062 281057 270058 260049 253047 249044
      245044 242046 242054 247066 260071 265075 271075 275075
      278076 281077 283079 290079 296076 298073
 0.25 231978 237977 239979 242979 250979 257979 263976 266972
      267966 265961 261958 254957 248958 243960 236961 231963
 0.25 431776 430764 428757 426754 418745 415743 412739 406735
      395741 386744 379749 368757 355766 344773 337777 331782
      326786 321791 317797 318800 321804 321813 325816 332812
      340809 348808 355808 362805 367800 380793 386789 389787
      394785 400786 405791 409797 412800 417801 420796 422787
      427781 431776
 0.25 433833 433827 432822 428816 422812 414813 407817 402821
      396826 392833 392837 393843 397847 400849 402850 404848
      407841 412838 417842 417848 414851 410856 410859 413861
      419858 425855 429850 432841 433833
 0.25 299832 295826 289822 285822 281822 272824 270826 269831
      270836 270841 272846 274848 277849 280848 287844 294841
      298836 299832
 0.25 263062 262060 261058 260057 259056 257055 256055 254054
      252053 250053 249054 249056 250058 251059 252059 253060
      255061 257061 259062 260063 262063 263062
 0.50 424768 423762 419757 412752 403747 397747 392749 380754
      373759 356770 340783 335793 334796 336799 340800 350802
      359800 364797 369794 378790 388784 392782 397781 402782
      407784 411785 415782 423775 424768
 0.50 426831 426824 423820 420818 414820 411822 408825 405828
      406831 412830 415831 419834 422837 425836 426831
 0.50 290831 289827 287826 283825 280826 276827 274828 273832
      274836 275840 277840 279840 282838 284837 287835 289833
      290831
 0.50 232975 236974 238975 244976 248976 255978 261975 264970
      265967 261962 255960 248961 244964 239967 233968 232968
 1.00 416769 415765 412761 407757 401754 393755 383758 378762
      366771 359774 354778 348784 345790 346794 350795 356795
      363791 371789 385782 391778 398776 406777 412774 416769
 1.00 261968 261967 259966 257965 255965 254964 252964 250965
      249966 248967 247968 246968 245970 246972 248973 250973
      252973 254972 255971 257971 259970 260970 261969 261968
 1.50 412767 411765 408761 404759 397758 389759 383762 378766
      368774 361776 356780 351786 350789 352791 359790 364787
      372784 378782 385779 389776 398774 403774 410771 412767
 2.00 407768 406764 404762 400760 393760 387763 383766 378771
      375774 374779 377779 384777 389774 394772 401771 407768
 2.00 364780 363780 361780 359781 358782 356783 356784 355786
      356787 358786 359785 360784 361783 362783 363781 364780

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 516169 516161 515154 512149 505147 502144 497142 489136
      477129 473131 474136 476138 479138 482140 486145 489152
      484155 478153 473151 469145 464137 464131 461126 458124
      456120 456115 456110 454103 454098 453096 452088 451083
      449077 446072 443072 446077 449084 448089 447093 442093
      440091 435090 431091 427087 422086 416089 411086 408083
      409080 414075 416064 411063 406064 405062 406060 403056
      386062 382062 380064 374062 371062 365064 359065 355070
      347067 340069 335070 329070 323070 319071 317069 308065
      299061 292057 288053 281052 275053 267053 262054 255056
      254063 256069 258073 267080 272083 277085 288085 293084
      297088 300091 303093 304096 308102 308106 309109 309113
      311115 315116 318115 321115 323117 327120 333124 336128
      340131 343134 352139 357139 362141 366142 368141 374146
      376148 379149 384147 384143 383140 385134 389129 393128
      405124 412126 413127 413131 411138 407140 404142 400147
      395150 391156 389162 388169 390172 393172 397167 400162
      404158 408154 414154 417163 421162 423155 427149 430152
      432155 441163 445167 447172 453185 460186 463182 463177
      462174 457170 456166 459161 462161 464164 467167 485179
      491178 497180 501181 504180 507174 510172 512173 516169
 0.01 451185 450183 450182 448182 446183 445183 443183 442183
      441185 440185 441186 442188 442189 443188 444187 445186
      446185 448186 449186 451185 451185
 0.01 449816 449809 447805 445800 442796 443787 443783 443776
      443767 442758 437748 434744 430744 426742 423742 422739
      424734 424732 421725 421718 425710 425705 424698 423694
      421692 417689 414686 409687 405689 403693 396701 391708
      387711 383713 378715 375714 371715 368717 363720 359724
      352731 347738 344741 342743 339742 335743 335745 336750
      332753 319763 313768 305773 293776 287778 281779 277782
      272782 261784 254789 249794 246795 245800 243809 244814
      242819 242825 243833 249838 251841 258840 263840 265837
      271837 278832 284831 287829 287823 290818 297809 303805
      314806 323805 331801 334800 337798 341799 343803 348806
      350809 355811 360810 364807 366808 367811 364814 360817
      359822 363827 366829 371830 380831 384834 385837 383840
      374839 368837 366840 363845 362849 356857 357862 358866
      361872 368876 374882 382889 387891 394891 397888 402888
      414887 420883 427879 432874 432867 433861 434853 436847
      438842 442837 445834 447829 449816
 0.01 383195 381192 378189 375186 370184 364183 359183 359186
      364188 367189 372192 375194 381196 383195
 0.01 345182 345177 345171 343168 341166 336167 330165 328168
      332170 335172 339171 341175 341180 344183 345182
 0.01 231988 246988 253980 257977 259972 261966 262958 263954
      263945 260933 258928 255921 252919 246919 241923 238928
      237933 236942 236949 235955 234960 231963
 0.25 435775 436770 436766 432761 428757 423757 419756 413754
      409748 409744 411742 413736 414727 413720 414713 413706
      412704 408705 402715 394722 388724 382725 376725 371727
      366731 363738 361744 358750 357754 354758 343766 333772
      324780 322785 325789 332790 337788 344785 351783 372787
      377789 379791 380795 381806 379814 377818 381822 388828
      391830 392828 392819 393816 395818 401820 404826 403834
      397843 396852 394858 391863 390872 393876 400876 409873
      414868 416863 420858 425853 428848 431843 434831 435822
      436815 435806 433797 431791 430783 434780 435775
 0.25 434112 433110 432109 432108 430108 429108 428109 426110
      426113 428112 428113 429114 431114 431113 433112 434112
 0.25 398111 394105 391106 388103 383102 383099 387095 391097
      395096 397092 396087 396080 394077 390075 385077 382075
      379071 377068 373068 370077 366084 363086 357085 353086
      353091 356099 357103 359105 361105 361108 364109 371112
      376113 380112 383110 387109 391109 396110 398111
 0.25 360123 361119 360116 358111 357108 355107 350104 347101
      345096 341086 339081 336080 330081 329088 334097 336100
      339106 340111 342116 345120 348124 354126 359124 360123
 0.25 287074 286069 282066 279064 275063 270060 266060 262061
      261066 264070 266072 271074 274075 279077 283076 287074
 0.25 266812 264811 262811 258811 257813 254814 254818 256820
      259821 262821 264821 264818 265815 266812
 0.25 247978 247976 246975 245974 244973 243973 241974 239974
      237975 236975 235976 233977 232979 233981 233982 235983
      237983 239982 240982 241981 242981 244980 245980 246978
      247978
 0.50 428772 427767 425764 419763 411760 405755 403752 402748
      403744 405742 410735 410730 409723 407721 404722 399727
      397731 393733 385732 377735 373740 373745 374751 372761
      367767 366772 368776 374780 381784 386788 390793 395799
      398802 399809 407820 410823 411828 412835 411842 409851
      405856 403859 403864 408860 417849 423844 426836 430819
      431813 430807 428795 423782 425776 428772
 0.50 364097 363095 362094 361094 361096 361098 361099 362098
      363098 364097
 0.50 355120 355117 354116 354115 353113 352113 351112 349111
      348110 346109 345109 344111 344112 344114 345116 347117
      349118 349119 350120 352121 354121 355120
 1.00 422801 421793 417784 416780 417777 419773 417768 404762
      400758 395752 390747 388746 383747 380753 378762 376768
      377773 379776 390784 394790 396793 400794 405798 410803
      415807 418810 421808 422801
 1.50 416771 413768 408767 400763 392757 387756 384758 383761
      381766 381768 382772 388778 392782 395787 398790 403792
      411798 415799 417797 416792 415788 413779 416771
 2.00 412788 410779 411776 411770 405768 399765 392762 386764
      385767 385772 390777 395782 399788 406789 411791 412788
 3.00 408782 407780 407775 405773 403771 400769 398768 396768
      392768 391771 393775 394777 396779 398781 400783 403784
      406785 408782
 4.00 404778 404776 404775 402774 402773 400772 399772 398772
      396772 395773 395775 397777 399779 401780 402780 404779
      404778

$$




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