Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250954
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 25/1200 UTC THRU JAN 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

06Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE.

A COUPLE OF CLIPPER SYSTEMS WILL BE AFFECTING THE EASTERN U.S. IN
AN OTHERWISE DRY FCST FOR MUCH OF THE LOWER 48 STATES.

...MIDWEST INTO THE OH/TN VALLEYS AND MID ATLC...

LEAD CLIPPER SYSTEM DROPPING SEWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS IS FCST TO
DRIVE RAPIDLY SEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST TOWARD THE TN VALLEY BEFORE
TURNING MORE EWD ACRS THE CNTL/SRN APLCNS BY MON MRNG.  THE MORE
ORGANIZED PCPN BAND WILL ACCOMPANY PARENT LOW THAT IS FCST TO MOVE
FROM SE IA SUN MRNG TOWARD SRN OH BY MON MRNG BEFORE ENERGY BEGINS
TO TRANSFER TO DVLPG COASTAL LOW NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST.
QPFWISE..SFC-7H LIFT WILL MAKE THE MOST OUT OF LIMITED MSTR
AVAILABILITY WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF .25 INCH OR
MORE FROM PARTS OF SRN IL EWD INTO SW PA/NRN VA/WRN MD BY MON
MRNG.  THE 00Z GFS GENLY FELL IN LINE WITH THE 12Z EC WITH MASS
FIELDS AND THE TWO MODELS ALONG WITH INHOUSE BIAS CORRECTED
ENSEMBLE MEAN WERE GENLY FOLLOWED FOR QPF...WITH THE NAM INITIALLY
TOO DRY WITH PRE COLD FRONTAL PCPN SOUTH OF THE WAVE.   PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WWD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
REGARDING WINTER WEATHER DETAILS.


...ELSEWHERE...
GENLY LIGHT WAA SNOWS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE UPR MS VALLEY
WITH TRAILING CLIPPER SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING ACRS B.C. AND WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO SHEAR RAPIDLY SEWD THRU SRN MANITOBA SUN NIGHT.
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE SUN NIGHT AHEAD OF COLD FRONT THRU FL AS STG
HEIGHT FALLS PUSH SEWD THRU THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE SE U.S.
THE FAST MOVEMENT AND LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MSTR RETURN AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN LIGHT AMOUNTS.


DAYS 2/3...


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY ON DAY
2 DEEPENS AS IT TRACKS NORTH...REACHING A POSITION SOUTH OF
NANTUCKET ISLAND MA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE LOW THEN MOVES
NORTH ACROSS THE GULF OF ME ON DAY 3...CROSSING NOVA SCOTIA LATE.
THE SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED NEGATIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL TROUGH
PRODUCES HEAVY QPF AMOUNTS FROM NJ ACROSS SOUTHEAST NY STATE INTO
MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. WHILE THERE IS STILL MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST QPF
AMOUNTS... THE SPREAD IS NOT AS LARGE AS IT HAS BEEN DURING
PREVIOUS MODEL CYCLES. OVERALL...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND
OF THE 00Z GFS/21Z SREF MEAN/12Z ECMWF MEAN...AS THE 00Z ECMWF MAY
STILL BE TOO FAR WEST WITH ITS QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS NJ ON DAYS 2 AND
3.

AS A SHORT WAVE DIVES INTO THE BOTTOM OF A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...IT PULLS THE TROUGH INTO A NEGATIVE
TILT. THE STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE INDUCES
CYCLOGENESIS ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OFF THE NC COAST EARLY
ON DAY 2. THE LOW DEEPENS AS IT TRACKS NORTH...REACHING A POSITION
SOUTH OF SOUTHEAST MA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL SYSTEM POSITIONS A DEVELOPING MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENETIC BAND FROM NORTHEAST NJ ACROSS SOUTHEAST NY STATE
INTO SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. THE BEST LIFT GENERATED BY DIVERGENCE
IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 130 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING THE
MARITIMES BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED
BAND...AS AN EAST NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW TRANSPORTS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OF 0.75 INCHES INTO SOUTHEAST MA.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG LIFT AND INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE
BANDING PRODUCES IN AN AREA OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MA. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT THERE MAY BE SOME
PRECIPITATION TYPE ISSUES...SO NOT ALL OF THE QPF RESULTS IN
RAINFALL. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD VALUES HERE ARE ABOVE 3.00 INCHES
IN THREE HOURS...AND INSTABILITY APPEARS TO STAY CLOSER TO THE
POSITION OF THE GULF STREAM. THEREFORE...WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME
LOCAL FLOODING ISSUES ON THE ISLANDS OF SOUTHEAST MA...ORGANIZED
FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

PERHAPS THE MOST DIFFICULT PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS THE
PLACEMENT OF THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH AREA. THE
00Z ECMWF IS THE FURTHER WEST (AS IT PLACES THE BEST BANDING WEST
OF OTHER 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS)...AND FOR NOW THIS SOLUTION WAS NOT
EXPLICITLY FOLLOWED. THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE 0.50 INCH ISOPLETH
WAS STRETCHED FROM EASTERN NEW NJ ACROSS SOUTHEAST NY INTO
NORTHWEST CT AND CENTRAL MA.

THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS FROM THE BENCHMARK EARLY ON DAY 3 TO A
POSITION OF SOUTHERN OR CENTRAL NOVA SCOTIA BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. THE BEST BANDING OCCURS DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE
PERIOD...EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST NY STATE INTO CT...MA...SOUTHERN
NH AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ME. THERE IS SOME INDICATION
THAT THE BEST MID LEVEL BANDING REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD...AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM SLOWS OR PERHAPS
EVENS STOPS FOR A TIME. THE SOUTHWEST EXTENT OF THE 0.50 TO 1.00
INCH AREA WAS PLACED ACROSS NORTHERN NJ...WHICH IS A CONSENSUS
LOCATION. THE HIGHEST QPF AXIS STRETCHED FROM EASTERN MA ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NH AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN ME...WHERE 1.00 TO 1.75
INCHES OF QPF IS EXPECTED.

THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM FOR DAY 3 IS HOW FAR WEST TO EXTEND THE
HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS (GENERALLY GREATER THAN 0.50 INCHES). THE WPC
QPF PLACES THIS EDGE FROM THE MID HUDSON VALLEY IN NY STATE ACROSS
SOUTHERN VT...MUCH OF NH AND JUST ABOUT ALL OF ME. AGAIN...THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THESE QPF AMOUNTS WAS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
POSITION...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWING MORE OF A WESTWARD EXTENT.

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM PORTIONS OF NJ ACROSS SOUTHEAST NY AND
MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND DURING DAYS 2 AND 3. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES
DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2 FOCUSES LIFT ON A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING FROM LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC. THE
BEST LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE AND DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT
QUADRANT OF A 150 KNOT JET STREAK STRETCHES ACROSS NORTHEAST MN
INTO NORTHERN WI AND THE UP OF MI. MOISTURE BECOMES THE LIMITING
FACTOR FOR QPF...AS PRECIPTABLE WATER WATERS REMAINS AT OR BELOW
0.25 INCHES (DESPITE LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE
SHORT WAVE AND WARM FRONT).

THE COMBINATION OF LIFT AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN
SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF PLACED OVER
THE ABOVEMENTIONED LOCATIONS. LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
WERE PLACED ACROSS PORTION ACROSS THE UP OF MI...WHERE LOCAL LAKE
ENHANCED QPF IS POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORT WAVE. THE QPF
AMOUNTS WERE THE RESULT OF A MULTI MODEL BLEND.


...CA/SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES

SHORT WAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF A CLOSED LOW OFF THE CA ON DAY 2
INTERACTS WITH MOISTURE FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO TO PRODUCE QPF
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CA...THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN ON DAY 2.
THE CLOSED LOW OPENS UP AND CROSSES CENTRAL CA ON ITS WAY THROUGH
THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING DAY
3. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING
THE SEQUENCE OF EVENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW. WITH THIS
IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS...WITH SOME 21Z SREF MEAN BLENDED IN TO BETTER DELINEATE
HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

THE INITIAL SHORT WAVE COMES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AZ AND CA DURING THE
FIRST PART OF DAY 2. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A LOW LEVEL SOUTH
SOUTHEAST FLOW INJECTS HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO
SOUTHEAST CA AND WESTERN AZ (WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP
OUT NEAR AN INCH...WHICH IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL). THE INTERACTION OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE
LIFT AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PRODUCES A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CA INTO
SOUTHERN NV...WESTERN AZ AND SOUTHWEST UT. THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS
(BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES) WERE PLACED OVER SOUTHWEST
AZ...WHERE THE HIGHEST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD LIE.

THE CLOSED LOW OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST OPENS UP INTO THE SHORT
WAVE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
DURING DAY 3. THE MOISTURE SOURCE IS NOT AS GENEROUS AS IT WAS
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST STATES...BUT THE COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC
SCALE ASCENT AND STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES (DUE TO FALLING
HEIGHTS) SHOULD MAKE THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN. QPF
AMOUNTS OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES WERE PLACED IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN
OF EAST CENTRAL CA...NORTHERN NV...AS WELL AS THE GRAND TETONS OF
WY AND THE WASATCH RANGE IN UT.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

WHILE MUCH OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY INTO THE FAST NORTHERN STREAM
CROSSES INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA...A SHORT WAVE EARLY ON DAY 3 PUSHES
A SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE FRONT BECOMES
THE FOCUS FOR QPF DURING THAT TIME. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD 00Z
MODEL SUITE AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE AND
SURFACE SYSTEM...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS...WITH SOME 21Z SREF MEAN USED TO BETTER DELINEATE
HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

THE SHORT WAVE CROSSES VANCOUVER ISLAND AROUND 27/18Z...DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF DAY 3. THE SHORT WAVE PUSHES A WEAKENING SURFACE
FRONT ACROSS WA/OR. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE FRONT...A
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES INTO WA...AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES THE MOISTURE ON
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE COMBINATION OF PACIFIC MOISTURE...SYNOPTIC
SCALE ASCENT AND UPSLOPE FLOW PRODUCES AN AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WESTERN WA...AND AN AXIS
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN WA CASCADES.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 566035 561035 558032 555030 553029 553033 553039 552044
      549049 545051 536048 530042 526039 523034 519025 516017
      513007 510993 511989 513985 513981 510978 504972 497967
      489960 487957 485955 482955 474954 465952 457945 453937
      450928 450911 455905 461898 468893 481882 484879 489878
      499878 514887 518887 521889 526897 528902 528905 531906
      536907 539909 542912 545916 548919 550924 555933 559943
      564955 569969
 0.01 528245 531238 533229 537210 539204 540197 539188 536182
      531179 528174 525168 521164 516164 514166 513170 512180
      513189 514204 516219 518227 518232 516235 515238 513237
      508232 501225 500232 500241 501245 499250 493246 490246
      489248 488254 486264 486271 485282 484291 481309 484312
      487312 489314 491319 495319 499316 502316
 0.01 490142 491140 491137 489134 488133 486133 484133 483133
      482133 481134 479134 479135 480137 480138 482140 482141
      483141 485142 487142 488144 490143 490142
 0.01 433933 433912 433901 432897 431893 423858 421839 418820
      418812 419801 420793 420783 420775 417768 411754 409747
      407736 405726 405722 402715 400714 395719 393726 391733
      389750 387758 386762 383765 373773 364781 351789 341797
      338799 338802 345801 348800 352802 357805 357809 356811
      352817 345831 342836 337841 337845 336847 337855 335861
      330866 326872 325876 325881 329883 337883 341882 344884
      347890 349894 348899 344904 344908 342910 344915 348917
      350917 351921 352930 355934 361938 366941 371945 379949
      384952 396958 402959 408961 414961 421959 426954 430947
      433933
 0.01 379728 378721 376715 373712 368711 358711 344714 325723
      322726 319730 313740 310749 311756 310761 309768 308773
      301782 295789 288795 274809 263825 260829 258834 257846
      259850 263853 267854 269859 276865 286871 288870 291865
      295857 298845 299832 305824 309815 315806 321799 329792
      335785 339773 343764 350758 358752 367745 373738 377733
      379728
 0.01 333164 331159 327152 325137 323131 317127 308119 299109
      294110 289112 288121 291127 299135 305138 309143 314149
      317155 327163 333164
 0.01 293096 294089 292085 286076 280069 271064 266062 261060
      257063 256069 257074 259079 262082 266086 274092 281097
      287098 292097 293096
 0.25 524262 522259 520256 519254 516251 514249 511248 509249
      507253 507258 506263 505268 504273 504278 504281 506285
      508288 510290 511292
 0.25 533208 533206 534203 534201 534198 534197 532195 531194
      529195 528195 526196 526198 526201 526204 527207 528208
      529210 531211 531210 532209 533208
 0.25 408798 408788 406781 405776 402772 396775 391779 389785
      388790 389795 388800 387804 391805 392807 394817 391824
      385835 381841 375846 367853 363858 363864 366867 371862
      376862 378866 377871 375878 372884 370886 369890 372896
      378901 384902 390901 397898 401892 403877 405870 406861
      408853 408844 408832 408824 407810 408798
 0.50 520271 520267 520263 519260 517257 516256 513257 511258
      511262 510265 510267 509272 509276 510280 511281 513282
      514283 516282

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 452626 453632 449635 445640 446650 447677 447692 446706
      447721 446727 444730 442735 438739 434742 433746 433751
      435756 439760 441764 445766 448772 447775 440782 433787
      430790 427796 421804 417815 403827 399830 395830 389831
      385834 377841 370851 365858 358859 358853 359848 359845
      356845 349848 347847 346844 348840 351828 354819 357814
      360812 364811 365808 367802 365798 361795 357793 352794
      348796 345797 343795 342790 344785 348777 355771 359768
      358765 354765 350767 346772 344776 341782 340786 336789
      329796 325799 320800 314802 310804 300808 287808 283807
      280807 278809 275813 272819 269827 263835 257842 254846
      249848 245849 243847 241843 238836 243816 239812 237808
      238802 240792 246784 249780 253777 258770 263761 268751
      272744 277736 291723 304708 318694 329691 333688 339686
      343682 346678 353672 369659 384648
 0.01 526252 525246 527241 528234 531229 535220 537215 539208
      540202 540196 538185 536182 533182 534174 533168 528159
      524151 506145 503146 497146 495146 491148 491153 493158
      496166 501170 504171 509173 511178 511184 513189 518196
      522219 523224 524229 520242 511228 501212 498208 494206
      490205 486206 479210 473214 467240 464241 463248 470253
      476261 485265 491272 495280 497284 500286 506287 510282
      513288
 0.01 525939 522926 521910 521904 519897 518893 518889 519884
      522868 522855 521847 518843 512835 504833 499834 496836
      491837 487833 484831 479831 473832 469831 466829 462831
      457832 454836 450845 443851 440855 434856 424857 413856
      407856 403859 401861 402867 408875 414880 422886 424890
      423895 420905 420912 424916 433919 436921 442921 460925
      470929 477933 485939 490947 496954 502960 507961 513960
      518953 522950 523945 525939
 0.01 406213 403205 401201 401195 401187 396180 393172 392168
      393161 394150 392148 389148 382142 382137 384133 386126
      385118 378117 379104 378096 375089 367076 350075 346073
      343071 340062 335056 331051 327046 323044 319043 312045
      306040 297039 288040 281041 279044 280047 283054 285058
      281059 267062 264060 261059 258062 258067 258071 259076
      262082 264084 263088 260088 256091 245097 241097 238095
      231091 227090 225092 221098 219100 218106 217117 220131
      228143 240150 244151 248150 255147 273150 282152 289155
      298157 305161 321168 331177 329184 328196 330203 334209
      342211 346210 351211 357211 360215 362216 366216 368213
      370208 372206 375205 379206 384209 399215 402215 406213
 0.25 420637 429644 432649 433657 435671 436681 436689 435705
      432716 428728 423739 419750 414760 413763 410764 405767
      398769 394768 391772 387773 386770 384765 379762 375760
      371754 368752 363750 358749 353752 349754 346759 340768
      334777 325785 321787 315789 293790 290789 289785 289776
      292766 296755 301746 302740 306735 314729 329715 338707
      342704 345699 350691 355680 360676 365672 375667 383661
      391653 400643
 0.25 529202 529199 529198 527197 527199 528202 529202
 0.25 515264 515256 514251 512247 509243 506239 503236 501239
      502242 505246 507250 509254 510259 510265 513266 515264
 0.25 496262 496257 496254 494251 493248 491245 490243 487241
      485245 484248 484250 487253 488255 490257 492261 494263
      496262
 0.25 493871 492865 490861 484855 480854 477856 470862 464867
      461871 463876 464880 464884 468888 471888 473890 476890
      480889 483885 489879 491876 493871
 0.25 408789 407787 404785 401784 399786 398788 396791 394794
      391796 390799 393801 394801 397799 399797 402795 404794
      407792 408789
 0.25 378196 378190 376187 373184 370180 365179 361180 357182
      357185 360188 365191 368194 372196 377197 378196
 0.25 360123 359119 357115 351110 346106 343098 340089 336084
      332083 329085 330094 331104 330109 327109 323110 320107
      314103 309101 304100 296101 289102 286104 283107 289122
      290125 289130 284126 271117 264114 261115 261119 262123
      265126 271130 284138 289138 292136 298138 305141 311146
      317151 321153 324151 328144 331142 335143 338141 343142
      348146 351144 350139 348135 348130 356127 360123
 0.25 346176 347172 346168 345165 343164 340163 336162 334162
      331164 329166 330168 333171 335172 338174 340175 343177
      346176
 0.25 338154 338152 336151 334151 335154 337155 338154
 0.50 432675 429660 427654 424650 418645 413644 407644 402647
      398651 392657 386664 382668 377671 372674 367677 361684
      357692 353702 341718 334724 326730 310743 305750 302760
      300773 303777 307778 312779 317779 326775 330772 335768
      340760 345752 348749 352745 356743 361743 371744 379747
      382751 385755 390756 396755 406751 413746 416741 419735
      422725 426716 429705 431693 432683 432675
 0.50 372190 373188 371186 370184 368184 366183 364183 363183
      361183 360183 361184 361186 362187 364187 365188 367189
      367190 369191 371191 372190
 0.50 326146 325138 320132 314129 308123 304119 300113 296113
      296116 299122 303129 309133 312135 315137 318143 321145
      326146 326146
 1.00 425688 425684 424679 422674 418659 415653 411651 404653
      400656 396661 393665 390670 386673 376679 372683 371688
      360709 354717 352722 353726 354728 364731 374734 393742
      400740 404737 411730 417719 421709 423703 424697 425688
 1.00 341742 340738 338737 333740 328743 323746 318750 315755
      314762 315766 318766 323763 328759 331756 335752 338747
      341742
 1.50 418698 417691 417685 414672 412662 410660 408660 404663
      400670 395677 391684 389687 388693 386701 384704 381704
      372703 368709 367714 368720 374724 381726 391725 393727
      397728 402727 405724 409716 414710 417704 418698
 2.00 408705 407698 406691 404687 400688 398691 397696 395701
      394706 393711 393714 395717 399716 402715 405711 408707
      408705

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 494611 497619 501626 503631 505640 506649 505658 503676
      502684 500693 495704 487714 478723 469734 467737 462741
      451749 440755 435759 431761 429764 426767 419769 412770
      407770 398770 393768 389764 382762 374757 370752 367753
      366755 363760 358765 352767 345770 341773 336777 319794
      317796 313796 308793 306789 305781 304776 300771 297765
      296756 297749 297745 298742 300737 303732 308721 312716
      316711 321706 326702 335695 339691 344687 355680 367673
      373671 378668 406656 413646 417641 422637
 0.01 534220 537204 538196 537190 531174 529169 526166 526160
      527155 529150 529143 529137 527133 524131 523125 519114
      516107 514097 509077 508071 506067 502064 498062 494066
      491079 483094 478099 476101 473100 471104 471111 475112
      484113 488116 491119 496128 501132 507139 510147 506148
      502146 498144 493142 490141 489138 488134 485131 479132
      472136 468140 475141 479140 484141 485143 487142 489144
      496151 500158 500162 497169 499178 502186 503196 502201
      500205 497205 494203 488203 484204 481204 478206 470209
      467211 463211 451219 448220 444222 442225 442230 450228
      453229 453231 450232 443235 435240 427253 422260 418263
      417269 419269 427268 430266 434264 437262 440258 444250
      446247 451248 468249 473249 478252 484258 488266 494274
      500279 506280 510281 513280 516277 517270 520256 521249
      523246 528242 531237 533226 534220
 0.01 525238 526231 525225 525218 523213 519210 516209 514213
      512218 510220 510225 512231 514234 516238 520241 524240
      525238
 0.01 536861 536854 534848 534842 532838 529829 524823 518819
      511816 504813 496814 486816 484818 480819 465824 460827
      458830 455837 454841 454847 460852 465853 468853 475857
      481860 490858 494858 496856 498855 506855 510857 512860
      514866 512872 509876 504877 496878 493878 493882 496891
      500903 500906 503910 504914 507919 512924 515928 516933
      518942 521944 523941 523928 523913 525903 531897 534894
      534888 536861
 0.01 489162 487159 484157 477153 473152 471149 469147 464145
      459143 457146 456152 457156 460159 462161 466163 470169
      473171 477173 482169 487164 489162
 0.01 454176 452166 454152 455142 452134 450131 448129 449127
      453119 457109 458104 457101 457094 456089 453079 451072
      446067 442067 438069 435070 434074 436078 437081 436085
      435089 430088 422084 422090 424097 425099 424101 421104
      418107 414107 412104 411100 409095 407091 403088 403083
      404077 408076 411078 414077 417075 417069 415062 410056
      407054 405056 400057 396059 390061 389065 385069 383072
      382078 382084 383088 387093 392096 394098 397101 398104
      396105 391109 389111 384111 377105 371100 358102 352104
      348107 345108 337123 336129 338134 339137 344138 350137
      357134 365134 367137 367140 365141 363144 363150 365160
      368167 369173 368176 366177 353182 353185 356188 359190
      361194 364204 364209 367212 373209 376208 380211 384216
      391221 395222 398225 405229 410230 413227 417218 417215
      415212 415208 419205 422205 425203 425198 424194 430189
      432185 430181 431175 434172 435169 439168 443169 444172
      446177 452178 454176
 0.01 409794 408788 405785 402785 398787 392789 389791 383797
      378803 371810 365815 359821 353828 349835 350842 352844
      357838 363836 367838 369842 372842 374837 376833 379830
      385830 389831 394831 397829 399823 399812 398805 401802
      409794
 0.25 465622 471620 475619 477620 486625 491628 493634 495643
      495652 493669 489681 484692 476702 470708 465712 461715
      458719 450729 443740 432747 421752 416753 409754 402754
      398749 395743 390739 387736 384731 381724 375722 369725
      364729 359733 351735 344742 337753 330762 327764 322763
      317759 315755 313749 314742 315735 318729 322724 331715
      340709 347701 352697 355695 359694 363694 365695 367698
      371699 375701 379700 388692 399685 405681 410676 414672
      417667 422656 429645 433640 437635 441631 449628
 0.25 512263 514258 513255 511252 509249 508246 507244 505245
      504249 504252 505255 506259 507262 510264 512263
 0.25 515179 515177 515174 514174 514173 513173 513176 513178
      513179 515180 515179
 0.25 502236 501227 500221 495218 489214 484212 481211 479212
      477215 482219 488222 492226 495233 497238 500238 502236
 0.25 449112 449106 447102 443101 439101 435104 433107 431111
      433114 437114 441114 445116 448114 449112
 0.25 431168 427167 425169 420170 417167 413168 411174 412179
      417181 421181 423176 426172 429170 431168
 0.25 416161 416158 414157 414158 412160 414162 416161 416161
 0.25 416118 416116 415114 413114 412114 410115 409115 408115
      406115 405116 404116 406117 408117 410118 411118 413119
      415118 416118
 0.50 486653 486646 485640 481634 477630 471627 461632 449635
      437644 431649 426654 421668 414682 410688 406693 397704
      394711 394715 395720 398727 401735 404743 409747 412748
      416747 423744 434734 444725 453713 462703 470691 479679
      483673 485667 486660 486653
 1.00 476654 475645 471644 466646 461650 458652 453653 443658
      437660 433662 427671 422680 417691 414701 413708 414715
      416721 416728 417732 422733 426729 428726 431721 433715
      436711 440709 448704 453702 455698 460688 465678 470668
      474661 476654
 1.50 454678 454671 450667 444675 441672 437671 432674 429678
      427681 425686 424691 424696 425700 429702 435696 440689
      442685 446688 449687 452684 454678

$$




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