Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 170918
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
417 AM EST WED JAN 17 2018


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 17/1200 UTC THRU JAN 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1 (12Z WEDNESDAY - 12Z THURSDAY)

...EASTERN U.S...

THE VIGOROUS MID-UPPER TROUGH PIVOTING TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD
WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE ON A MORE NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE TILT WED AND WED
NIGHT -- AS THE 00Z MODELS AGAIN SHOW A 500 MB LOW CLOSING OFF
ACROSS THE CENTRAL-SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC.
STRONGER UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE AND DPVA AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, ALONG
WITH THE SHARPER 700-500 MB DEFORMATION/FRONTOGENESIS TOWARD THE
TROUGH AXIS, WILL FAVOR HEAVIER PCPN TOTALS ACROSS NORTHERN SC
THROUGH CENTRAL NC AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VA AS PER THE 00Z GLOBAL AND
HIGH-RES MODEL CONSENSUS. CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS WPCQPF
INCLUDED AN EXPANSION OF THE 0.25" CONTOUR FARTHER WEST TO INCLUDE
CHARLOTTE NC, GREENSBORO NC, AND DANVILLE VA -- LINING UP WELL
WITH WHERE THE 00Z HREF PROBABILITIES OF 0.25" OR MORE QPF BETWEEN
12-18Z EXCEEDS 70 PERCENT. MOREOVER, A SWATH OF 0.50+ INCH AMOUNTS
WERE ALSO INCLUDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA INTO
FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL VA -- BASED ON THE MORE RECENT GLOBAL AND
(ESPECIALLY) HIGH-RES MODEL CONSENSUS AND SUPPORTED BY THE HREF
PROBS OF 0.50+ INCH QPF AROUND 70-75 PERCENT BETWEEN 12-00Z
WEDNESDAY.

THE OTHER AREA OF MODERATE QPF (AVERAGING 0.25" OR MORE) IS
FOCUSED ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH THIS AREA BENEFITING
FROM AN INITIALLY SW-NE ORIENTED WARM CONVEYOR BELT (WCB) BUCKLING
MORE S-N AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS OR JUST EAST OF
CAPE COD. WHILE THE APPROACHING NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE (DIVING
SOUTHEAST FROM EASTERN CANADA) WILL ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL
CONFLUENCE AND THEREBY STRENGTHENING THE UPPER JET STREAK AND
DEEP-LAYER FRONTOGENESIS POTENTIAL, THE TIMING OF SUCH FAVORABLE
FORCING WILL LIKELY BE SHORT-LIVED AS IT WILL HELP STEER THE WCB
AND MORE VIGOROUS SOUTHERN UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE FASTER THAN WHAT
WOULD OTHERWISE BE THE CASE. AS SUCH, THE 00Z MODEL CONSENSUS
INDICATED A DECIDED EASTERLY SHIFT IN THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE
0.25-0.50" AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

GIVEN THE EXPANSIVE WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
ELONGATED AREA OF PCPN ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S., PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR DETAILS REGARDING THE SNOW AND/OR ICING
POTENTIAL.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A STRONG, DEEP-LAYER LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR AND JUST OFF THE
BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A BROADENING AREA
OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND LEFT-EXIT REGION UPPER JET FORCING WILL
EXPAND THE WCB INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON THE APEX OF A 1.00"
PW AXIS (WHICH WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CA NORTH COAST AND
TOWARD THE BAY AREA LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT). GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
CONSENSUS AMONG THE 00Z GUIDANCE, A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WAS UTILIZED
IN COMPOSING THE QPF, WHICH WAS HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARD THE 00Z
ECMWF, HREF MEANS, AND NBM.



DAYS 2/3...


...WEST COAST TO INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...18/1200Z...A MEAN UPPER LOW WILL SPIN
OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST WHILE LONGWAVE TROUGH ENERGY SWINGS
UNDERNEATH TOWARD THE WEST COAST. 500-MB HEIGHTS WITH THIS FEATURE
SHOULD BE FAIRLY ANOMALOUS...GENERALLY IN THE 1.5 TO 2 STANDARD
DEVIATION BELOW AVERAGE RANGE. MODELS SHOW MODEST LOW-LEVEL
ONSHORE FLOW AIMED TOWARD THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST WITH THE
STRONGER WIND FIELDS LIKELY OVER THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
THIS ULTIMATELY WILL FAVOR OROGRAPHICALLY FORCED ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE WINDWARD SLOPES OF THE OLYMPICS AND WA/OR CASCADES WITH
LIGHTER AMOUNTS FARTHER DOWNSTREAM. SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE WORKING
ITS WAY TOWARD THE BLUE MOUNTAINS/BITTERROOTS/SAWTOOTH WILL FAVOR
A SECONDARY REGION OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION.

ELSEWHERE...MORE AMPLE MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO TAKE AIM AT
NORTHERN CA WITH EXPECTED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES POSSIBLY
EXCEEDING 1 INCH. ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD BREAK OUT ALONG
THE ATTENDANT FRONTAL ZONE WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS
EXPECTED OVER THE SHASTA...SISKIYOU...AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL SIERRA
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE 24-HOUR AREAL AMOUNTS ARE SHOWN TO
BE AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...SOME LOCATIONS
COULD SEE SLIGHTLY MORE WHERE MORE PERSISTENT UPSLOPE FLOW TAKES
SHAPE. GRADUALLY ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST
TOWARD CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA AND INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN AND
WASATCH MOUNTAINS. EXPECTED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DROP
CONSIDERABLY ON DAY 3 AS TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE DECREASES ALTHOUGH
MID-LEVEL FORCING REMAINS QUITE STRONG AS THE TROUGH SHARPENS OVER
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE WPC QPF DURING THE PERIOD FAVORED A
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS ON DAY 2 WHILE LEANING MORE ON THE 00Z
ECMWF/12Z UKMET AND 00Z IN-HOUSE PSEUDO-ENSEMBLE BIAS-CORRECTED
MODEL FOR THE FOLLOWING DAY. DECIDED TO NOT INCLUDE THE 00Z GFS
WHICH TRENDED SLOWER BUT REMAINS A QUICKER OUTLIER BASED ON
MULTI-DAY ENSEMBLE SPAGHETTI PLOTS COMPARISONS.


...SOUTH TX...

A BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
WILL WEAKEN AS PRESSURES LOWER IN RESPONSE TO THE NEXT BAND OF
UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A SHARPENING
NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG THE WESTERN
GULF OF MX UP TOWARD SOUTH TX. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE RETURN ENSUES
ALONG THIS CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH EXPECTED PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES REACHING 1.25 INCHES BY 18/1800Z ACROSS BROWNSVILLE TX. THE
COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL FORCING WITH THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG THE MENTIONED TROUGH SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS
FOR MODERATE/LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MX.
IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN IF THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY WILL MIGRATE INTO THE
LOWER/MIDDLE TX GULF COAST. BASED ON THE LATEST 00Z GFS...THERE IS
SOME HINT THE STRONGER BUOYANCY COULD PUSH INTO EXTREME SOUTH TX
WHICH WOULD LOCALLY BOLSTER QPF AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...THE PRIMARY
MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORS KEEPING THESE HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OFFSHORE. THE 00Z CMC/UKMET MADE SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENTS BACK
OFFSHORE AFTER BEING A PAIR OF THE MORE NORTHERN SOLUTIONS. WPC
FAVORED A COMBINATION OF THE 00Z GFS/IN-HOUSE PSEUDO-ENSEMBLE
BIAS-CORRECTED MODEL WITH THE 12Z ECMWF.


...GREAT LAKES/INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND....

MODELS DEPICT A WAVY NORTHERN STREAM FLOW WITH A COMPACT SHORTWAVE
ACCELERATING ACROSS THE MN ARROWHEAD ON THURSDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING SURFACE WAVE EXPECTED TO TRACK
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE NEARLY
SHEARING APART THEREAFTER. MODELS VARY WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THIS
FEATURE AND THE ATTENDANT WEST-EAST CONVERGENCE AXIS. THE 00Z/12Z
ECMWF HAVE REMAINED NORTH OF THE STRONGER CONSENSUS ALTHOUGH
OVERALL FORECAST AMOUNTS ARE QUITE MINIMAL. ON DAY 2...A BROAD
AREA OF UNDER 0.10 INCHES OF QPF IS FORECAST WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SLIGHT ENHANCEMENTS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO GIVEN MESOSCALE
EFFECTS. HOWEVER...MULTI-MODEL CYCLE TRENDS HAVE SHOWN A DECREASE
IN QPF AMOUNTS WITH HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE EVEN STRUGGLING TO
SQUEAK OUT OVER 0.10 INCHES DURING THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. PRIMARILY
FOCUSED ON A COMBINATION OF THE 00Z GFS/NAM CONUS NEST WHICH DID
REDUCE AMOUNTS FROM CONTINUITY.

ON THE HEELS OF THE INITIAL SHORTWAVE...A MORE CONSOLIDATED REGION
OF LOWER HEIGHTS WILL EMERGE FROM NORTHWESTERN CANADA AIDING IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RATHER HEALTHY SURFACE WAVE. THE 00Z GFS
SHOWS A 985-MB CYCLONE CROSSING THE MANITOBA/ONTARIO BORDER ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARM ADVECTION SNOWS EXTENDING FROM EXTREME
NORTHERN MN...ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO FAR NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORS HEAVIER AMOUNTS WELL NORTH OF
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. A COMBINATION OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF
WAS SUITABLE AND MAINTAINED THE EXPECTED LOWER AMOUNTS OVER THE
NORTHERN TIER STATES.



HURLEY/RUBIN-OSTER


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 502317 500319 498319 496321 494322 492324 489325 487325
      485326 481327 479327 477328 474328 472328 469328 465328
      463328 460327 457327
 0.01 542198 540189 536180 532170 526161 522155 516149 509142
      500138 494134 488128 484128 481132 480139 479143 476144
      471146 467148 465152 463166 461171 458175 452180 452166
      446171 441180 441188 445186 447184 449184 449188 447194
      441200 434205 431205 427207 420211 411213 405217 402220
      398222 391224 381227 378234 377240 378245 380248 379254
      377260 379263 382267 385268 390269 394268 397269 398271
      397273 390278 387283 385289 389302
 0.01 479617 478624 482626 485627 489630 499650 500655 501659
      500662 497664 496668 493674 479679 472686 468689 467694
      464706 463711 460716 454728 448738 444751 444757 441764
      438787 434791 430793 426791 428787 432784 433777 432768
      427763 423761 419760 413760 407757 403756 398758 394759
      391764 386772 385778 384785 381791 379797 375808 362825
      327844 317852 313854 307854 305849 306843 308837 311833
      314829 316824 320817 326809 323800 324793 325791 323789
      314796 310796 305794 298794 291793 283790 279783 276787
      272785 268784 264780 261779 259781 254784 247785 243789
      242793 237792 234786 234782 236780 239776 243773 249769
      255767 261765 267764 272764 285764 288765 289768 286772
      284776 285779 288776 294775 300772 298766 302759 309752
      315744 318739 321736 331729 339720 345711 359699 368692
      371689 374685 381677 388667 405650 412644 420637
 0.01 529237 529234 529232 530229 529226 528223 528221 527220
      526219 525218 523218 522219 523221 524224 524227 525230
      526233 526236 527238 529237
 0.01 530758 529743 527727 526718 525711 521709 515711 508714
      507711 508706 510694 511689 510684 508677 506670 502669
      499673 497678 496684 493689 496695 496699 494699 489702
      485704 482707 480711 478714 475715 469716 467720 470724
      472728 475732 478734 478739 473750 470761 471768 473771
      475775 476778 474780 461797 457804 458815 462829 466829
      469829 472830 473839 473845 476848 481846 483842 485836
      487831 494830 497827 499822 504812 506807 507804 509805
      516806 523800 525796 526788 528775 530758
 0.01 526005 520981 517972 514966 512962 509957 507952 504942
      499934 496927 494924 491921 487924 484934 487959 490964
      494967 498967 501968 502970 504977 505981 508986 512989
      516997 518001 515004 513006 511011 511014 513017 515017
      519013 523008 526005
 0.01 453794 454791 454789 452787 450787 449790 449792 451794
      453794 453794
 0.01 283881 283873 279870 275870 270874 268878 266884 267892
      267896 269898 273896 276892 280888 282883 283881
 0.01 231967 235975 237977 242978 252976 259973 265968 267964
      267958 268951 266948 261947 250947 242950 239951 235955
      233957 232962 231963
 0.01 265847 265839 260837 257837 251839 246842 243846 241851
      245854 251857 256857 262854 264850 265847
 0.25 449628 457633 467636 471638 475644 473650 470656 464664
      460676 457681 453688 446697 433713 425717 422718 419716
      416712 414703 414700 409698 404701 399705 391713 383723
      378732 372741 365752 358761 354764 349766 336768 325765
      317767 310766 308763 311758 318751 324741 332732 340726
      349720 359711 364708 370705 374703 377699 384690 392681
      397678 405675 409672 413669 416665 418659 421654 425649
      434640 443630
 0.25 525258 521249 517238 514226 510214 506206 503201 498199
      490193 485190 481196 469206 459208 451212 443213 434216
      425221 423224 418225 412224 409227 406230 401232 398234
      394237 394243 398248 401250 404254 407257 412257 433254
      440251 449251 454252 461253 463255 462259 460265 458270
      454272 448278 432288 429292 428298 431302 435304 446308
      457307 472304 482302 491302 499302 504302 507304
 0.25 529205 529196 525187 522183 518175 515169 511164 506160
      499157 487160 483160 482163 482169 483173 487177 490180
      491184 492187 495187 499180 501180 503181 508188 512192
      517193 521197 525204 528206 529205
 0.25 486230 485228 483229 483230 485231 486230
 0.25 374783 374777 370775 363777 355781 349787 344795 342798
      340803 341809 343814 348816 353814 360808 365802 370795
      374785 374783
 0.25 254966 253964 254962 252960 250959 246959 243960 241961
      239962 238965 239968 243969 246969 248968 250968 252966
      253966 254966
 0.50 522264 512228 506211 502207 499205 490202 486200 480204
      473209 471211 465211 453215 444216 438219 431221 428223
      428227 435232 436235 432238 427236 426233 420231 415229
      412231 408234 406235 404235 398238 400243 404244 411248
      421249 428249 431247 433244 437241 440241 450242 457242
      460242 464244 469250 474260 474268 477276 481285 487291
      493294 498294 510296
 0.50 490232 491229 491227 490227 489225 487224 486224 484223
      483223 481223 480224 480226 480227 481229 481231 482232
      483233 484235 486234 488234 490232 490232
 0.50 465647 462642 456640 450638 448637 444639 437649 430661
      423673 420679 420684 423687 426693 429694 433692 438688
      442684 446678 450672 452666 458660 461656 463652 465648
      465647
 0.50 410685 408685 407685 405686 404687 403687 402688 400690
      399692 398693 399694 401694 401695 403695 404694 405694
      406692 408691 409688 410685
 0.50 375721 374717 372715 368714 364714 358718 352722 339730
      333734 329740 321752 317758 315760 317763 324760 329758
      333758 339760 343760 346758 358748 362744 367738 370732
      374724 375721
 0.50 367782 364782 360785 356787 353791 351793 348797 350800
      354800 357798 361795 364791 366789 367784 367782
 1.00 517267 517262 515256 512242 505220 503215 500211 489209
      484208 480209 477215 483219 490221 492227 493233 494237
      492238 487237 482238 480231 477228 474227 473229 471234
      473241 480247 483253 484260 485266 486271 492282 495285
      499288 504287 507285 511272 515270 517267
 1.00 466222 466221 464219 463217 461217 460218 459219 458219
      458222 458223 460224 462225 464224 465222 466222
 1.00 448224 449222 448221 447220 445220 444223 446224 448224
      448224
 1.00 427242 426240 426239 425238 423237 421236 420235 418235
      416235 414236 414238 414239 415241 417242 418243 420244
      422245 423245 425244 427242 427242
 1.00 362729 360725 353726 348728 343731 338735 335740 334743
      334747 338747 344748 346749 349747 353743 357739 361734
      362729
 1.50 505281 506277 506272 505263 504254 503250 506248 507241
      505233 501217 499214 495214 493217 493221 494228 496237
      498245 492241 489240 486241 484244 485248 489262 491269
      495277 498281 502283 504282 505281
 1.50 489216 489214 487214 487215 487216 488217 489216
 1.50 480239 480236 479233 478231 478230 476230 475231 474232
      473234 473237 474238 475239 475240 476241 478242 480241
      480240 480239
 1.50 424241 422240 421240 420240 421241 422242 424241 424241
 1.50 353739 354737 354735 353733 352732 350732 348732 347733
      345734 343736 343737 343739 344741 346742 348742 350742
      351741 353740 353739
 2.00 504276 503270 501262 500256 497249 493245 490243 487243
      488252 490258 492264 495270 499275 502277 504276
 2.00 502238 502236 502233 502230 501227 501226 500225 500222
      498219 497218 495220 495223 495225 495228 495229 496231
      496233 497234 498236 499237 499238 501239 502239 502238
 2.00 479238 479236 478233 476232 475235 475237 475238 477239
      479238 479238
 3.00 498260 497258 497255 495253 494252 492253 492256 493257
      493259 494261 495262 495263 497263 497261 498260

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 521269 522259 521252 518240 511217 508213 506208 506198
      509197 512199 515203 518205 525211 528215 530216 532213
      534208 536201 536191 532180 529169 522160 519156 516153
      508147 499140 496137 492133 490128 485126 482122 480117
      481109 483105 484096 485088 483077 485071 487068 488063
      489061 490053 487041 485039 483039 479041 473049 471055
      470062 469068 465074 461076 456076 454079 452085 449090
      444092 438093 434095 428089 426091 427095 428113 425118
      421121 422126 421132 417136 415142 412147 408149 405153
      402157 398169 396174 395180 397182 400183 403188 402192
      401193 396194 388192 379187 369182 360182 355183 354187
      362194 365198 365201 363203 354198 350196 344195 342199
      343204 350211 354214 357219 356225 357230 365237 369240
      371246 373250 378252 388253 396259 407261 411260 416262
      421261 426264 461281 464285 467290 471294 470302 470308
      473312 477316 482317 498308 505303 508300 511295 515285
      519275
 0.01 504924 504912 504908 502905 497901 491901 489903 487899
      485893 482887 480884 480879 479870 476863 477858 479860
      484864 490876 493876 494874 494866 490849 488843 484838
      482828 482824 480820 478812 476807 471802 467797 466789
      464787 462785 462781 466750 462744 457743 455744 455749
      456760 452767 450767 448765 447763 448748 449741 447739
      444738 432744 430751 430760 432767 434773 436784 440786
      442790 441795 437801 434806 432809 432814 441820 446826
      450829 453835 454840 452844 448850 442851 443856 445856
      448858 454854 458859 464872 464876 466878 467882 467887
      466895 468903 471909 472917 474925 481925 489915 492922
      494929 497930 501929 504924
 0.01 483196 483191 478189 475189 470190 467192 464195 462198
      462203 466205 469203 472201 475199 481199 483196
 0.01 474715 473710 470706 468701 466702 463700 458702 452707
      447709 442710 439713 439717 443718 446719 446722 442730
      451731 455731 458728 461724 466722 469719 472718 474715
 0.01 432785 431783 429781 427783 427784 426785 425786 426789
      426791 428791 430789 430788 431786 432785
 0.01 230971 232975 232980 234983 237985 243988 246994 249002
      251004 255004 259000 262994 264989 266987 275987 283985
      286981 286974 282968 278962 272959 263958 256956 250953
      241953 237953 234954 231959
 0.25 517273 519263 518256 515244 512231 507221 501212 498207
      494204 484203 476206 467210 457211 448212 444213 440209
      447200 454193 467179 470175 473174 476175 486176 492177
      496175 501175 505179 510186 516188 520191 524193 528193
      525190 523187 524185 522179 516171 509163 507157 502154
      496146 490135 486131 482128 477128 471126 466124 462119
      466109 457103 454099 450097 451108 447105 444101 441103
      437107 436111 440113 451119 455121 457123 456125 452130
      450135 448140 446142 442140 438137 436140 433153 432157
      430161 426162 423167 421175 426179 424184 421189 417191
      414194 411199 406202 395198 390196 384193 375190 370191
      370194 371197 377206 380211 382213 385214 394219 399222
      399225 395226 389225 376221 373218 370218 371223 373227
      381236 383240 388243 398248 403250 408251 421253 427254
      432253 440251 449249 460248 470250 478256 481260 484266
      486272 487279 487286 488293 492297 498297 501297 505295
      509290 512285 517273
 0.25 499248 498246 497244 495242 495241 494239 493238 492237
      491237 492239 493240 493242 494243 495244 496245 497247
      498248 499248
 0.25 488234 488233 488231 487229 486228 485227 484225 482224
      481224 479226 480228 481229 482230 483232 484232 484233
      486234 488234 488234
 0.25 442178 443176 443174 442173 441173 439175 439178 440180
      442179 442178
 0.25 270974 270970 268968 263963 254962 246960 239959 234962
      232967 233971 237976 246977 255977 264976 270974
 0.50 517267 517262 516253 510235 504223 501217 496211 491209
      484208 477210 474213 470215 463213 458216 447216 440216
      433217 430217 431215 431209 428204 425201 420199 416201
      414204 408206 380193 377193 374194 376201 380206 386212
      398219 401221 404224 403228 398228 392229 389229 386232
      389236 393240 399243 406246 414247 424250 429249 434246
      437240 442234 447231 453229 456228 459231 462230 465225
      473217 480218 485221 489225 492233 497241 502248 504253
      502254 500253 495247 492241 487238 482240 481235 479231
      475229 472231 468235 466237 468240 474244 479247 482249
      484252 488259 491268 493277 494285 496289 499292 505292
      509288 511283 513274 516270 517267
 0.50 489167 487157 486154 482152 475147 470144 466142 461142
      455145 453147 449149 444147 438141 437142 436148 436154
      437158 441164 447169 449175 452179 453184 456185 458182
      461181 462178 461175 461171 463169 470166 476166 478168
      482167 487169 489167
 0.50 491142 490139 489136 487134 484131 483130 481130 478131
      476132 473133 474137 475139 478141 482141 485143 487144
      489144 491142
 0.50 255970 254967 252966 248964 246964 243963 239962 236963
      234965 233967 234969 235971 239973 243973 246973 250972
      253972 255970
 1.00 508282 508277 507274 505265 501258 497252 492245 489242
      486243 487251 491259 495267 498273 501282 506284 508282
 1.00 507242 506239 504235 503233 502230 501227 500222 498219
      495219 493222 493227 493231 494234 496237 498239 500241
      503244 507242
 1.00 489216 489215 487214 486215 487216 488217 489216
 1.00 478241 479238 479236 478233 476232 474233 474234 473237
      474238 475240 477241 478241 478241
 1.00 428242 425238 420233 415231 411230 410232 405234 401231
      398235 403238 408239 413242 420244 427245 428242
 1.00 415222 414218 411216 406211 402209 399206 394202 386199
      380197 381201 383204 388209 394214 401218 404219 406222
      408226 412226 415222
 1.00 243968 243967 241966 239966 237966 235967 237969 238969
      239970 241970 242970 243968 243968
 1.50 505276 504271 503267 501261 499258 497254 494250 490250
      491255 493260 495264 498268 499271 502276 505276
 1.50 499232 499229 498226 497225 497223 496223 495223 494225
      494226 494228 495231 496233 498233 499232
 1.50 477238 477236 477235 476234 475235 475237 475238 477238
      477238
 1.50 420238 419237 418237 417237 417238 419238 420238
 1.50 406215 403213 400211 399209 397207 394205 393205 390205
      390206 392209 394212 396213 400215 403215 406215
 2.00 501269 501267 500264 498261 497258 496254 494253 492253
      492256 494259 496261 497263 499266 501269 501269

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 523262 521253 518246 511228 507221 505218 503213 499206
      492203 488201 483201 477203 471206 464208 459209 456211
      453213 448214 440213 436213 432214 427207 425204 425200
      410202 408204 403204 400205 396202 388189 391185 393184
      402184 406182 410179 416180 419184 420187 423189 427191
      430190 431183 429180 430176 433179 437174 436167 433164
      428163 426160 427154 428143 431141 434144 432152 435160
      440162 444164 445171 448173 451176 453178 453182 452186
      454186 458185 462181 463177 461173 457176 455173 453169
      455167 458159 462160 464164 465168 468170 470170 474169
      480171 486176 491181 494185 496190 505194 509199 515206
      519212 534220 537214 537209 537199 531184 526178 522170
      520167 516166 513168 510167 505163 502161 502156 506154
      505148 499142 495141 493138 491133 488130 481127 475127
      472125 468125 465121 465116 470110 469100 469091 468087
      469081 469069 469063 468058 462054 456049 455049 454053
      452058 450063 447066 443065 440062 435056 433057 430058
      428056 423053 421058 424070 425074 425080 420081 419083
      420093 416094 412091 410083 410076 414075 415073 412069
      407065 401069 397071 397076 399081 399086 396090 394094
      395096 398094 403088 405091 405096 402106 397111 392114
      379117 377121 374123 373127 372133 371140 370145 367148
      361154 358158 357164 360172 361176 358180 352181 348182
      346179 347173 346169 343165 338164 332164 328162 324162
      321164 323167 324170 328172 335184 336194 334202 336208
      339212 346216 353220 360226 383248 384253 386254 390257
      394258 412262 419262 423262 428263 435267 444270 450272
      454271 461270 464277 466282 469286 478297 485300 493298
      497297 503300 507300 511297
 0.01 544804 540786 538777 537770 536757 534753 534747 532738
      532728 530720 528708 527698 524688 521681 518672 512654
      511650 509647 505642 503639 500640 497638 494639 481639
      475638 471640 469643 464645 458651 454656 453663 458681
      460691 460701 461711 460721 458738 458749 459761 460771
      462780 466819 467830 465834 466839 469846 467855 465861
      465867 467870 473872 478875 480877 482880 481889 481895
      480899 480912 482915 482920 482926 483929 484952 484955
      486958 491962 495958 499952 502935 504931 505925 505916
      505908 509902 518890 526881 531875 533870 535858 536854
      536848 534840 534834 536832 542820 544804
 0.01 483148 481148 481145 480144 478144 476143 475144 473146
      474148 476149 478149 479150 481150 483148 483148
 0.01 446751 445746 443746 439746 436746 434746 433748 433752
      432756 432759 432761 434764 436766 440765 441764 444761
      445759 445754 446751
 0.01 445087 446082 445080 443077 441076 438076 436078 434079
      432080 430085 431090 433091 436091 438089 441089 444088
      445087
 0.01 399225 397219 390215 387212 382209 378205 373201 369206
      369210 370213 375216 379221 384225 391226 393225 396226
      399225
 0.01 363200 363197 363196 362195 361194 360194 359197 359199
      360200 362201 363200
 0.01 231969 232976 234978 238978 245977 249982 254984 262985
      267986 273982 286983 290979 297977 303976 308972 310969
      314969 317967 321967 333963 338960 341956 338952 332953
      326956 323958 319958 303958 299958 296956 294953 293949
      293945 291943 287939 281935 276931 265926 263925 261921
      257917 249917 244919 240925 239932 234944 230957
 0.25 520271 521265 519260 517252 513244 510236 507229 503221
      499213 491209 485207 478207 474209 472212 469214 465213
      452217 438219 426227 425232 422234 414234 408238 402240
      399242 398246 400250 405251 412251 420254 429255 436254
      443252 449251 457251 462252 466253 472257 479258 486274
      491280 497285 504291 509292 511289 515279 520271
 0.25 529790 528780 527772 526760 525749 525741 524730 521722
      517716 514714 508712 499706 495702 490699 484699 479703
      476707 471711 469719 471725 474730 475740 474747 473758
      476788 477797 479804 483809 487808 491813 494818 499821
      503820 506819 509815 515815 522813 525807 528798 529790
 0.25 520188 519186 520183 519182 518180 517180 516179 515178
      513177 511177 510177 508177 508179 508180 509182 510183
      511184 512185 513187 514187 515188 517189 518189 520188
 0.25 499248 498245 497244 495242 495241 494240 493240 494241
      495244 496245 497247 498248 499248
 0.25 486233 487231 487230 485228 484228 482229 483231 484232
      485233 486233 486233
 0.25 456105 457100 457096 456088 456078 451075 448075 450080
      452085 448092 443095 437097 432102 430104 426105 424106
      421109 420112 416112 408111 406114 404119 402125 380142
      378143 378146 381148 382152 379160 378163 379167 381168
      384168 392167 396162 399160 403160 407156 409152 408148
      406145 406139 405136 406130 410126 416124 418125 422125
      427121 429118 432117 434115 438115 445119 450117 453114
      454111 456105
 0.25 405217 403215 401216 402218 403219 405217 405217
 0.25 377196 378192 376189 375188 373186 370184 366183 363183
      359183 357184 357186 358188 362190 365191 367192 370193
      374195 375196 377196
 0.25 373177 373176 372174 371174 370174 369175 369176 368178
      369179 370180 372179 372177 373177
 0.25 288960 288952 285949 281948 274951 271949 269945 268941
      267938 263932 257928 253928 248929 244933 241940 238947
      234953 232961 234969 236972 240973 247974 255973 260973
      263974 271976 279974 285970 287967 288962 288960
 0.50 518273 518267 517262 514251 505233 502228 501224 499219
      495216 490214 486212 481211 477212 477215 480218 485222
      489223 492234 494238 498242 501246 503249 502252 500253
      497249 492241 488238 484238 481236 478231 473232 471234
      467235 463231 462227 464221 463218 459217 455219 455224
      456226 456230 453232 449232 445234 437237 430239 420239
      415239 412243 419248 425250 430250 438248 446247 462243
      466244 469246 475248 480252 486259 489268 491273 494277
      501282 507287 511283 518273
 0.50 453100 452097 448097 447099 444101 442102 441105 439108
      440110 442113 445115 447112 449109 448104 451102 453100
 0.50 400148 401141 399138 394138 391139 389143 389146 387152
      385157 388155 392154 395152 398150 400148
 0.50 285960 286955 284953 281954 278956 271957 268956 265954
      263939 259934 254931 247932 243937 239952 236956 233961
      235967 237970 241970 249971 257970 272969 278970 283966
      285960
 1.00 515272 516270 515267 515266 515264 514262 514261 513259
      512257 511257 510257 509259 509262 509265 510266 510268
      511270 511271 512273 514274 515272
 1.00 507279 506273 504265 501261 498255 494250 489247 488249
      488253 491260 493266 496271 500276 505280 507279
 1.00 503241 502238 501235 500232 499228 498224 496221 493222
      493227 493230 495234 496237 499239 500241 503241
 1.00 478241 478238 477236 477235 476234 474234 474235 473237
      473239 474239 475240 477241 478241
 1.00 261962 260954 260945 257941 254935 248935 245939 243945
      243954 243962 244965 246967 250968 255965 261962
 1.50 500266 499263 498260 497257 496256 496254 495253 494252
      492252 491253 491255 491256 493258 494261 494262 495264
      495265 497267 498267 500268 500266
 1.50 256954 257949 256945 255943 254940 252939 250937 248937
      246939 245943 245947 246952 247954 248957 250959 254958
      255956 256954
 2.00 252950 252947 252945 252943 250941 248941 247941 247943
      247945 247947 248950 248951 249952 250953 251952 252950
      252950

$$




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