Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 160900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT WED AUG 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 16/1200 UTC THRU AUG 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...ERN PLAINS/MS VALLEY...

MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS IN SEVERAL STREAMS WILL
BE EJECTING EAST NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NRN PLAINS AND
INTO THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY DAY1. INSTABILITY/THETAE ADVECTION
INCREASES WITH PW VALUES AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS POOL UPWARDS
TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN ALONG/AROUND A DEVELOPING
SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS COMBINED WITH WELL
DEFINED UPPER DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE EJECTING HEIGHT FALLS WILL
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE FOCUS WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS/MAXIMA SPREAD WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGRESSION
DOWN TROUGH THE SRN PLAINS/MID-UPPER MS VALLEY...AS WELL IN ERNEST
BACK AROUND THE LOW WRAPPING FURTHER UP ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
WITH MAX POTENTIAL PIVOT POINT CENTERED OVER MN. THERE REMAINS A
TYPICAL AMOUNT OF SPREAD WITH CONVECTIVE PRECIP DETAILS LEADING TO
AVERAGE (LOW) CONFIDENCE WITH THE DETAILS. HOWEVER...MODEL
CONSENSUS IS QUITE SUPPORTIVE OVERALL FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY TOTALS STRETCHING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE ERN PLAINS
AND ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY WITH THE ARW AND TO A
LESSER EXTENT THE LIGHTER/BLENDED NBM PROBABLY MORE IN LINE WITH
ONGOING ACTIVITY ALONG WITH WPC CONTINUITY. WPC MESOSCALE
PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION #701 COVERS LEAD IN PERIOD SYSTEM DETAILS
WITHIN OUR CURRENTLY VALID NEBRASKA CENTRIC SLIGHT RISK EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT.

...CENTRAL COAST STATES TO THE SOUTHEAST/COASTAL CAROLINAS...

PW VALUES REMAIN 2"+ FOR THE UPCOMING DAY 1 TIME PERIOD AND THIS
MAY SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SCATTERED SLOW MOVING
CONVECTION ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOW CONFIDENCE ON QPF DETAILS...BUT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WOULD FUEL POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. THE LOWER MS VALLEY MAY OFFER THE MOST POTENTIAL WITHIN
THIS BROAD AREA AS PER INCREASED GULF INFLOW/INSTABILITY.

DAY 2 (12Z THU-12Z FRI)...


...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON
THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW. THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ASCENT...WITH A
STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST AND A VERY DIFFLUENT UPPER
PATTERN. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT ANOMALOUS
PWATS INTO THE REGION AS WELL...WITH VALUES AROUND THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL 95TH PERCENTILE. THUS ANTICIPATE WE WILL SEE A
RATHER LARGE SWATH WITH AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL UPWARDS OF 1-2"
FROM NORTHEAST MN INTO NORTHERN WI...MUCH OF MI AND INTO NORTHERN
OH OVER THE 24 HOUR DAY 2 PERIOD. TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LIKELY
TO HAVE AN ORGANIZED REGION OF DEFORMATION AXIS RAINFALL. IN
GENERAL RAINFALL RATES FROM THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BE THAT HIGH
GIVEN A LACK OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET SOME
EMBEDDED HEAVIER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. FURTHER INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY CONVECTIVE IN
NATURE. SEEMS PROBABLE THAT WE SHOULD SEE TWO ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION...ONE INITIAL WAA SURGE...AND ANOTHER WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. IN GENERAL THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF
BOTH THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS SHOULD KEEP
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM GETTING TOO EXTREME. HOWEVER LIKELY TO HAVE
AT LEAST SOME CELL MERGERS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED HEAVIER
TOTALS...WITH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS OF THE HIGH RES CAM GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING ISOLATED POCKETS OF 2-4" OVER LOWER MI. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE NEED FOR A SLIGHT RISK UPGRADE...HOWEVER GIVEN THAT
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS HAVE NOT BEEN THAT WET AND THE PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY ONLY BE LOCALIZED IN
NATURE. THUS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE RISK AT MARGINAL.

WPC QPF FOR THIS REGION FAVORED A MULTI MODEL BLEND. DO THINK THE
GLOBAL MODELS MAY BE A BIT SLOW MOVING CONVECTION ACROSS MI...WITH
ALL THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE DEPICTING A QUICKER PROGRESSION. THUS
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST DID LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE 0Z RUNS OF
THE HRW ARW...HRW ARW2 AND THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR.

THERE ALSO APPEARS TO BE A GROWING SIGNAL FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WV/VA/NC/MD ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE REGION IS
A WEAK LOW LEVEL WAA PATTERN. PWAT VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE
TO ABOVE 2" BY THIS TIME. STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY BE MOVING OFF TO
THE EAST AT AROUND 10-20 KTS...HOWEVER SOME SIGNALS FOR LOCALIZED
CELL MERGERS WITHIN THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE HIGH PWAT
AIR..WOULD ANTICIPATE THIS CONVECTION TO BE EFFICIENT HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCERS. SO LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1-2" IN AN HOUR SEEM
POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD BEGIN TO APPROACH FFG OVER PORTIONS OF WV
INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN VA. FOR THIS REASON OPTED TO EXTEND THE
MARGINAL RISK TO INCLUDE THESE AREAS...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES POSSIBLE.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...


A STATIONARY WEST TO EAST BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAPED IN THE
VICINITY OF NORTHERN TX AND OK THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. EXPECT TO
SEE AMPLE INSTABILITY ALONG/NEAR THIS FRONT...WITH ABOVE NORMAL
PWATS IN PLACE. THE NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN 850 MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO LOOKS LIKE AN UPPER
JET TO THE NORTH MAY GIVE SOME ADDED BOOST TO CONVECTION WITH THE
REGION IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THUS SEEMS LIKE A
SETUP FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION/POSSIBLE MCS TRACKING ACROSS THE TX
AND OK PANHANDLES. WPC FAVORED A SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE 0Z GFS.
SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN TOO
PROGRESSIVE FOR THERE TO BE AN ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
HOWEVER THE PERSISTENT 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE BOUNDARY
MAY BE ABLE TO SUPPORT SOME BACKBUILDING. AND GIVEN THE WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT
RISK.


DAY 3 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT)...


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
OVERALL THIS WILL BE A PRETTY COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A GOOD UPPER JET
STRUCTURE AS WELL. THIS FORCING WILL INTERACT WITH A SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND ABUNDANT INSTABILITY OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THUS SEE NO REASON WHY WE SHOULD NOT SEE PRETTY
ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. INITIALLY THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE
PRETTY PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER AS WE HEAD
INTO THE EVENING HOURS WE SEE AN UPTICK IN SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS OK INTO ADJACENT KS/AR/MO. THUS AS THE
FORCING PULLS AWAY TO THE EAST...ANTICIPATE THAT WE COULD SEE SOME
BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION OFF TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND POOL OF INSTABILITY. THUS WHILE NOT A SURE
BET...THERE APPEARS TO BE A THREAT FOR SOME TRAINING CONVECTION
RESULTING IN SOME HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. STILL QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SETUP...BUT THE GFS HAS BEEN PRETTY
CONSISTENT IN SHOWING POCKETS OF HEAVY AMOUNTS. AND IN GENERAL
(WHILE AT TIMES TOO HIGH WITH MAGNITUDES) THE GFS HAS BEEN THE
BEST PIECE OF GLOBAL GUIDANCE WITH THESE TYPE OF CONVECTIVE
EVENTS. THUS WPC LEANED OUR FORECAST MORE TOWARDS THE GFS. GIVEN
WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING...OPTED
TO INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK INTO FAR
SOUTHEAST KS...FAR SOUTHWEST MO AND FAR NORTHWEST AR. AGAIN WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND ADJUST THIS OUTLOOK AS
NEEDED.



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


SCHICHTEL/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 513288 505288 501286 497284 493282 489283 486284 483283
      481279 481272 481268 483263 484258 488256 498259 502260
      505257 507251 509246 514250 523254 525254
 0.01 533228 529224 526220 524214 523205 525190 518179 511168
      508164 508154 511148 516147 522149 526153 533163 534170
      532179 532183 535184 538185 540181 543179 545181 545185
 0.01 565999 566992 565987 562977 556961 552952 547945 542938
      536933 533931 529929 525928 521925 514919 511916 511911
      504890 493878 488871 482866 477862 471860 455856 448853
      441848 429840 422836 416829 409822 407819 404822 395828
      389828 383825 377821 370818 363816 356817 354819 350820
      347822 344827 338832 337834 335832 333827 331823 332818
      335809 337807 340808 342810 348809 352804 356806 360805
      359801 353800 352795 352791 353788 358782 363776 366769
      366753 363752 358752 351753 342756 334761 320774 314779
      310784 307786 304790 300791 298794 295794 289795 278795
      270795 265795 260797 252799 247803 245805 245810 245815
      244819 245829 250836 257840 260842 266842 270841 273838
      277835 280833 283835 287838 291846 295855 297860 298866
      296876 293886 292889 288891 285892 283895 282898 282903
      283907 287909 289911 289917 291927 295936 300941 303943
      308943 316940 320937 322932 326924 332916 338910 341906
      342900 343896 342891 340880 337873 336869 339869 344875
      350880 355879 359881 363890 364892 364895 363900 361904
      357906 348909 344912 342915 337923 334927 332932 327954
      325975 324983 319989 315995 313003 314007 312011 312018
      312021 315020 326021 334018 339013 346009 356008 362003
      374000 381001 383004 388012 388020 384026 384032 382035
      381045 384054 386057 389059 393064 397065 400067 406068
      410068 413066 417067 420065 423062 424055 424040 424028
      426015 429011 432009 438004 445000 456993 463988 469986
      477988 480989 485988 490988 493986 504986 510986 513988
      517992 521995 537000 542003 546004 554004 562005 565999
 0.01 492677 490669 487663 483657 479653 477652 476655 474657
      473661 474670 476677 478684 482690 484691 487688 490684
      492677
 0.01 473221 473219 474216 473216 472215 470215 469215 468217
      467220 468220 469221 470223 471223 472222 473221
 0.01 305032 304028 301025 295024 293022 294019 295015 293010
      289010 284011 276015 272017 272023 275031 275036 271035
      267035 265039 262043 261049 262060 262066 264070 268077
      277082 282083 287083 290079 293075 292071 293065 296061
      297054 296048 295045 292041 290035 291033 293033 297035
      301036 304032 305032
 0.01 292962 292960 293958 293956 292954 292953 290953 288954
      287956 285957 283957 282958 281960 282962 283963 284964
      285964 286965 288965 290964 292962 292962
 0.25 536960 535957 534955 532952 530950 527952 525952 522953
      520955 519960 520963 522965 525967 528968 530969 533968
      534966 536963 536960
 0.25 512949 512947 510944 509944 507944 505945 504947 504949
      505952 505953 507953 509953 510953 511952 512950 512949
 0.25 502929 502921 500914 497907 493904 485902 480899 475896
      470892 461885 452879 429866 421860 413859 412861 411866
      411871 409875 402876 397875 392869 391863 390854 387847
      384845 380847 377851 373857 374880 374889 374895 371902
      368907 363912 356914 352918 348925 343935 339939 336946
      335953 334964 333971 333976 334980 336982 339983 341984
      341988 340995 344998 349995 354992 356989 361988 364987
      367985 371982 376980 382977 386977 394978 398977 401979
      406983 414984 425983 431987 437989 444989 450986 460978
      469971 479965 488956 492950 496944 500937 502929
 0.25 412024 413019 413015 413010 411008 410007 408009 407012
      406017 405019 404022 404026 404028 406030 408031 410029
      412026 412024
 0.25 353764 350762 347764 343767 342770 341776 339779 338783
      340786 342786 345781 345776 348772 350769 352766 353764
 0.25 335897 333892 329887 324876 321871 316874 312877 309882
      307888 307892 306896 299905 298911 298916 299918 302923
      306927 309926 310924 314919 322912 331906 334901 335897
 0.25 304850 305848 304846 304844 303842 301842 300844 299845
      299847 299849 300850 301851 302851 303851 304850
 0.25 289814 285808 278807 272802 263804 254805 253808 255813
      259817 265822 267824 272824 279819 284816 289814
 0.25 287056 288054 287052 287051 285051 283050 281050 280051
      281053 281054 283055 285055 287057 287056
 0.25 268833 268831 267830 266829 265828 264827 263827 263829
      263831 264832 266833 267833 268833
 0.50 493932 494923 492916 488912 483910 464898 457892 447889
      440878 435878 434883 435888 437893 437897 432897 427895
      422893 415891 409893 407895 405899 402910 400915 395919
      392919 390917 387911 383908 379907 375908 368916 364918
      361920 358920 354923 351929 349935 348939 346941 340942
      338947 338955 338963 337970 339976 348983 353982 357980
      362981 365981 366979 369974 371967 375964 382967 387969
      389970 392969 396965 399964 402965 403970 408975 415976
      421975 430973 435976 439979 442983 445983 447981 456974
      463967 472962 477959 481955 485950 487943 491937 493932
 0.50 382891 382888 382886 381884 379886 379889 378891 377893
      378895 378896 380896 380895 381893 382891
 0.50 321898 322896 322894 321892 321890 320887 320886 319885
      318884 316884 314884 314886 313888 313890 314892 314894
      314896 314898 315901 317903 318903 319903 319902 320900
      321898
 0.50 272816 271814 268812 267810 264809 262808 258809 258811
      259813 261815 264817 266818 268819 271818 272816
 1.00 484932 485925 482919 474916 467912 458907 455905 453907
      453912 450916 447919 442918 436909 433908 429911 428913
      429917 433920 436922 438928 435933 431937 430940 430945
      432950 433959 434963 437966 442968 448966 462955 469950
      476943 481938 484932
 1.00 424928 425926 424925 423924 422923 421923 420924 419925
      419926 419927 420928 421929 423929 424928 424928
 1.00 391945 393940 391937 386934 382929 378922 375921 371923
      367927 364933 361940 359947 355954 348963 344967 344971
      348973 354970 359966 362960 366955 375947 388947 391945
 1.00 359932 359930 359929 357927 356930 355932 357934 357935
      358934 359932 359932
 1.50 478927 477925 472924 467922 463922 454927 450930 446933
      445938 442945 442948 445954 443959 448959 456954 464949
      471942 474937 476932 478927
 1.50 370938 370936 368937 368938 368940 370939 370938
 1.50 356963 355961 354963 353963 353965 354965 355964 356963
 2.00 469935 467932 464933 460934 457934 455935 454937 452942
      451945 451949 454950 455949 459947 461946 462944 464942
      466940 468937 469935

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 528862 523852 519841 513821 511814 507809 505805 502800
      489780 483771 477766 467755 442737 423735 420733 418728
      415726 410727 404727 401728 395732 392737 384745 378753
      373758 367764 362769 358770 355772 352775 347776 345772
      341772 337774 331776 326777 322775 311773 305777 300779
      296781 290785 281792 276796 271799 264799 258801 255801
      254797 251798 248801 243802 238809 235817 239823 242826
      245824 249820 263826 271833 273836 275842 276854 276859
      278863 284872 289879 295891 298892 302890 303884 304885
      305891 304894 302895 297899 295901 295906 295917 293928
      293940 295944 297946 298952 300955 303955 312958 314959
      315962 315968 315980 318994 320006 319019 318022 316023
      312024 298019 279021 277023 275028 271035 268039 268045
      268056 269060 273065 280070 289073 291071 293067 305051
      308046 312041 316037 321037 340038 347034 354032 357032
      358034 360039 358044 358049 364050 367049 372048 374046
      382038 386037 386044 386050 384056 378062 377063 376067
      376075 377078 379078 380075 381065 383064 387063 391066
      395067 396072 396076 399074 401072 402066 402060 401058
      397053 394050 391045 392039 394037 398033 402030 406031
      406037 407042 411040 415030 416027 418027 421028 423031
      424034 428035 428030 427025 429024 437024 442022 445023
      446025 447032 450037 454040 458043 464043 472049 483060
      487061 488057 489043 489037 488033 488026 491023 494021
      500019 509019 515012 516007 517001 518994 516988 508984
      491969 479960 476959 471959 468961 464961 458969 456973
      452975 443975 435971 426967 422965 418967 405975 395981
      391981 386983 381983 376980 371977 368972 359959 355952
      351947 368914 387909
 0.01 387909 393908 394901 394894 396891 399890 402890 405891
      410894 414898 417903 420907 422913 426926 430940 435948
      438954 442958 449964 452965 453964 459961 467955 477950
      486945 500929 508921 512916 513910 518897 521887 521882
      524875 528863 528862
 0.01 453100 454088 455081 453078 453072 452068 451064 449062
      447060 444062 440067 439072 441075 445082 443091 441095
      443098 448102 453100
 0.01 386200 384197 381193 378191 375188 371185 366184 364184
      367188 371191 374194 377197 380200 385200 386200
 0.25 512872 512866 512861 509853 506844 504840 494827 486814
      480799 473790 469786 464785 455782 452782 449780 447772
      443765 442758 437752 433750 431753 434763 434769 432773
      426774 421771 416770 411774 409773 406773 406776 403783
      397796 391798 391794 393791 396785 398777 398767 398764
      400760 403755 406748 407745 406740 403740 401742 394750
      393754 390754 387753 384756 388762 386768 380779 377787
      371790 356790 351791 348795 342793 341790 339789 333791
      330796 326803 322806 315811 311810 299807 292805 285806
      278806 275808 274812 273816 270818 267811 259806 256811
      259814 263817 270818 270822 272825 279827 282827 286825
      290825 293828 295828 298826 302826 307825 310824 318820
      339807 344808 348811 351816 352824 352835 351843 348856
      346865 344872 339879 336886 333892 329897 325902 323907
      321912 320918 320927 322932 325934 328931 334933 340923
      347910 348906 348899 351891 357879 359874 365872 368869
      371869 375873 377877 379881 383883 388879 391873 395869
      421868 426866 430867 435871 438875 444886 451896 455903
      456914 457929 456935 457940 459942 463943 471942 476937
      486929 494919 499911 505898 510884 512872
 0.25 387804 387802 385804 385805 387804 387804
 0.25 372017 374011 373005 371999 369994 367990 362987 355983
      351978 348970 345965 340964 336966 336970 336975 337985
      339993 340001 337008 336011 336016 339021 342024 346024
      352022 358022 364025 367025 370023 372017
 0.25 331954 331952 331949 332947 332945 331943 330942 328943
      327944 326945 326947 326949 326952 326954 326956 327956
      328958 330956 330955 331954
 0.25 310935 311933 311930 311928 310926 308926 306928 305930
      305931 304933 305933 306935 307935 308936 310935 310935
 0.25 305044 305042 306040 306038 306036 304035 302035 302036
      301037 300038 299039 298040 298042 298043 299044 300046
      302046 304045 305044
 0.25 300848 301846 300844 300842 300840 300838 300836 299834
      299833 298834 297835 297836 297837 298838 299840 299842
      299844 298847 299849 300849 300848
 0.25 291845 291843 290841 288841 287843 287845 286846 286848
      287850 288852 289852 290849 290847 291845
 0.50 502890 502881 501876 500866 500858 500850 498845 493838
      486832 481831 476828 468809 465803 463800 459797 452799
      446805 442805 439803 435800 431799 427797 426792 424787
      420784 417783 413784 406791 399802 396809 393814 389815
      386820 388823 396830 397833 399833 403831 408831 410835
      412841 414846 418850 423851 431857 438860 442862 444867
      445875 448881 452892 456900 460904 461910 464924 464931
      462935 462938 464939 469938 473935 476932 482922 487913
      493906 498898 502890
 0.50 390769 389767 388767 389769 389770 390769
 0.50 394856 390852 389845 387841 385843 382848 379852 377859
      379866 382873 384874 387872 391867 393863 394856
 0.50 374799 370796 365799 362803 358808 356815 357823 358826
      360825 363820 366814 368809 371804 374799
 0.50 369012 369003 366995 360990 351989 347991 345993 343997
      343002 340010 339014 340017 343020 347020 351015 354013
      358013 364016 367016 369013 369012
 0.50 349881 349879 349877 348875 347877 346877 345879 345881
      345882 347884 349882 349881
 0.50 335917 335912 333908 331904 331900 328904 326907 324912
      323917 324919 327918 329919 332921 334922 335919 335917
 0.50 310814 302813 295811 292810 288810 278812 275818 273822
      274824 279825 282823 288820 294822 303821 308817 310814
 1.00 494858 493853 492849 487843 480844 475845 468845 466839
      466833 466827 465824 461819 458816 455816 453820 451826
      448832 445829 440824 437821 435817 432810 429807 426810
      425813 424825 424834 426840 431845 438847 443851 446857
      450863 456868 461881 465888 466895 467901 466912 466922
      468927 470927 473919 477913 481909 484902 486898 489895
      491887 488879 488872 489865 492861 494858
 1.00 417809 417806 413805 411804 410801 407800 406803 405808
      405815 411813 413817 413826 415831 416823 417816 417809
 1.00 362003 361998 359996 357997 353998 349000 346004 344008
      343013 345013 349010 353009 356007 361005 362003
 1.50 485854 480854 475856 470859 469865 467869 466867 461871
      461876 465877 468876 473874 475875 476879 479872 481865
      484861 485854
 1.50 480899 480892 478887 476884 473880 469880 469885 470890
      470897 469902 470909 473905 475901 478902 480899
 1.50 462829 457827 456832 452836 450843 448849 449855 452860
      455857 460852 462846 461837 461831 462829
 1.50 435837 436835 436832 434831 434830 433829 431829 429830
      429831 429833 429836 430838 432839 433839 435837 435837
 2.00 457847 456845 456844 455842 454842 452842 452843 452845
      451848 452850 453851 455851 455850 456848 457847

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 525826 523821 523814 524807 522803 521796 519792 519784
      517779 516774 515772 514764 510753 509745 507743 507738
      502728 493710 490704 491698 491690 488687 479672 474666
      468659 464656 461655 452655 448654 443656 437661 428667
      422669 418673 412675 409678 405680 403684 381711 369725
      361732 353739 347745 340750 334755 330758 328761 323768
      320773 316776 312779 309783 302789 299792 297796 293798
      289797 281794 272795 263794 259792 256795 252799 247802
      242803 241805 241809 239817 237827 238832 240836 244843
      248852 251857 254860 270868 273869 275872 277877 278884
      279889 280896 282900 286900 290898 293899 292902 291906
      296914 299921 301925 305927 310927 313930 317938 325952
      331960 337961 342964 342979 342985 341990 338001 338010
      339016 339020 335023 335029 336033 340039 344041 347042
      350039 353041 357051 362056 366055 372055 376054 375057
      374063 373069 374076 377079 381081 384075 386070 389066
      395062 397057 392056 388054 383053 376047 373038 370029
      369023 370015 372011 378011 384004 394991 397988 402987
      410986 432981 443982 447983 452984 461988 464989 468988
      470986 469981 465973 462969 459966 458963 460962 464959
      468957 473957 478959 481957 484954 484949 481945 479940
      476932 471925 467920 462918 458917 455917 454915 451904
      451898 450894 448889 445885 439878 434873 431871 428869
      425871 423874 420879 418884 416887 412891 407890 400882
      397880 392880 386886 381893 375898 370900 364899 357898
      352900 348903 346901 346897 347893 361858 372842 383825
      386821 391819 395817 398816 406815 411815 415816 436818
      439821 439825 440832 440846 443857 445863 449867 462880
      478887 496887 501888 503886 508878
 0.01 508878 509876 511874 514872 517871 519868 519866 519860
      521858 522855 522850 522844 522842 523836 524834 524828
      525826
 0.01 375193 375191 376189 375186 373185 371184 370183 368182
      366182 365181 364182 363183 362184 362185 364186 364187
      366188 367189 367190 369191 370192 370193 372194 374194
      375193
 0.01 309045 310039 310034 307030 304030 301033 299036 296040
      295046 296048 300049 305049 308047 309045
 0.25 512854 512845 511835 509820 507811 505804 499791 494780
      488771 482760 475750 469741 466738 464730 464724 465721
      467715 468708 468699 470693 469684 467676 465671 461666
      456665 451664 446666 438674 435677 429680 420688 411696
      405705 403709 399713 391721 384732 378739 372748 371754
      368760 362763 356765 350767 345770 338777 330786 323794
      314799 310802 307806 307815 304816 296815 290816 284816
      279819 274823 275819 277814 278808 268804 264802 259805
      257808 257813 260817 264822 272825 270831 271836 273838
      277840 281844 287854 291864 296872 301880 303875 304867
      309856 311852 312846 315834 320823 323810 323803 327800
      339797 347798 353799 357799 361795 367782 370779 375776
      380773 383775 386779 392780 401779 410772 414769 418767
      421767 426769 431771 444772 447776 451780 455785 458788
      466794 468800 468809 467815 467824 467831 468840 470848
      473853 479862 483866 487868 496871 502870 507866 510860
      512854
 0.25 418949 419944 417941 414934 410929 407926 407922 405915
      400910 395911 390915 388922 384927 378930 370930 359924
      352922 346923 344926 343930 343941 343946 344950 345958
      351971 353987 353996 349000 346002 344005 345009 348011
      353011 360008 366005 371001 373996 378991 384988 388984
      391978 396975 403972 407966 413958 418949
 0.25 328937 326924 325909 325894 325886 324883 321881 318881
      314884 309892 307898 307905 307912 308918 311923 314923
      315921 318921 320926 325936 326938 328937
 0.50 507854 508846 506839 502829 500826 497823 494825 490825
      483821 481824 481832 480837 480844 481852 483857 485860
      489862 492864 497865 504859 507854
 0.50 463681 460671 456671 453674 449677 447680 445684 442687
      435691 428695 425698 425703 427708 427714 426717 422719
      419716 419709 420701 416701 411704 395731 392739 387746
      383754 383759 383763 385765 389769 392771 398772 403765
      406757 407753 409749 416743 420737 425736 426738 425746
      427757 429763 432765 436763 439760 444755 447756 452755
      455752 456748 456737 459729 460718 462707 463703 462696
      463681
 0.50 444735 443734 442733 441732 440731 439730 438731 437731
      437734 438735 439736 440738 442739 443737 444735
 0.50 409947 410941 407939 399938 391936 382936 378936 374938
      374944 375949 380954 385959 391961 398961 405958 407955
      408949 409947
 0.50 388977 388974 387974 386973 384974 384975 382976 381977
      380977 378979 377981 378983 380984 382984 384984 384983
      385982 386981 387979 387978 388977
 0.50 372949 370944 367941 361933 357930 352929 350930 349933
      351938 354951 355965 356978 359982 364985 369982 368976
      368963 370954 372949
 0.50 364001 365998 364996 365994 364994 363994 362995 362996
      361998 360000 360002 360003 362003 364001 364001
 0.50 354005 353003 351003 349003 348004 347005 346006 347007
      349008 351008 353007 354005
 0.50 305840 305837 305835 304834 303833 302833 301834 301835
      301836 301838 302840 303841 305841 305840
 1.00 414734 413732 413731 411732 410732 408732 406732 404733
      403734 405735 406736 408737 409737 410738 412738 413737
      413735 414734
 1.00 396954 397949 395947 393946 391945 388943 386942 382941
      381945 383947 385949 387952 389954 391956 393957 395956
      396954
 1.00 364978 365976 364974 362973 361974 360974 360976 361977
      361978 362980 364979 364978
 1.00 365952 366949 366947 365945 364943 363941 362941 361939
      359938 357938 356938 355939 355941 355943 355945 357947
      357948 358949 359951 359952 361953 363953 364952 365952
 1.50 364947 363945 363944 361944 360943 359943 358943 359945
      360947 361948 363948 364947


$$





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