Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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338
FXUS04 KWBC 280911
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
510 AM EDT TUE MAR 28 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 28/1200 UTC THRU MAR 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...ROCKIES AND S-CENTRAL PLAINS...

IT REMAINS THE CASE THAT STRONG JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE
BACKSIDE OF THE FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH NOW MOVING THROUGH THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO AMPLIFY CONSIDERABLY
AS IT REACHES THE ROCKIES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE 4 CORNERS AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHERE THE MORE VIGOROUS SOUTHERN STREAM COMPONENT
WILL LEAD TO A DEEPENING CLOSED LOW THAT SUBSEQUENTLY TRACKS
STEADILY INTO THE S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS LATER DAY1. THE ENSUING
LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELONGATED STRIPE OF MOD-HVY
PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT AND EVOLVING/EXPANDING
CCB/DEFORMATION AND DEEPENING TROWAL. MAINTAINED CLOSE WPC
CONTINUITY OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT TRENDED SLIGHTLY UPWARDS WITH
AMOUNTS OVER FAVORED S-CENTRAL ROCKIES TERRAIN GIVEN FAVORABLE
SET-UP/CLOSED LOW. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM THE WPC WINTER WEATHER
DESK FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER THREATS.

LEAD POTENT LLJ MOISTURE INFLOW UP THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS WITH
SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT SUGGESTS CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND OVERALL TRANSLATION
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND POTENTIALLY PROGRESSIVE WITH MESO COLD POOL
DEVELOPMENTS...BUT DEEPEST AND MOST ANOMALOUS MOISTURE (PWS UP TO
1.5") AND HEIGHT FALLS/INSTABILITY SEEMS TO COMBINE/FOCUS MOST
OVER S-CENTRAL OK AND NRN TX...ESPECIALLY WITH CELL MERGERS. WPC
PROGS HAVE TRENDED HEAVIEST QPF UPWARDS TO 3-5" LOCALLY
THERE...WITH MUCH MORE MODEST AMOUNTS WRAPPED UP ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SCENARIO IS WELL SUPPORTED NOW BY CLUSTERED
00 UTC ARW/NNMB/WRFNSSL/NAM CONEST GUIDANCE. THIS THREAT AREA IS
ALSO IN LINE/AN EXTENSION OF A SPC ISSUED ENHANCED SEVERE WEATHER
RISK AREA.

...PAC NW...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT ANOTHER AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED/LEAD SURFACE SYSTEM WILL INCREASINGLY WORK
HEIGHT FALLS AND LEADING ENHANCED MOISTURE INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY INTO WED MORNING. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD PCPN/ELEVATION SNOWS...WITH 1" PWS WITH STRONG LEAD
SWRLY LLJ FLOW SUPPORTING SOME 2" LIQUID AMOUNTS OVER THE OLYMPICS
AND 1"+ AMOUNTS INLAND INTO THE WA CASCADES. MAINTAINED CLOSE WPC
CONTINUITY HERE. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM THE WPC WINTER WEATHER
DESK FOR MORE DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER THREATS.

...MID-ATLC/NORTHEAST...

GUIDANCE ALSO REASONABLY AGREES THAT EXITING MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ENERGY AND WAVY SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM REFLECTION WILL
SUPPORT A LINGERING MODEST PCPN POTENTIAL SWATH ACROSS THE REGION.
EXPECT THE MORE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS TO SWEEP THROUGH MID-ATLC
TUE...WITH WAVE OVERRUNNING MOISTURE/RAINFALL UPWARDS OF .5"
FOCUSING OVER THE NRN MID-ATLC AND ESPECIALLY WITH GREATER
LONGEVITY OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TUE NIGHT BEFORE FINALLY
EXITING OFFSHORE WITH THE MAIN LOW. ALSO MAINTAINED REASONABLY
CLOSE WPC CONTINUITY WITH THIS SCENARIO.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY AND POINTS
EAST...

AT 12Z WEDNESDAY A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE EJECTING
EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD WITH TIME ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND INTO OH/TN VALLEY
BY FRIDAY. EXPECT TO SEE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM
GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL BECOME MAXIMIZED BETWEEN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE
SUBTROPICAL JET AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE NORTHERN
STREAM JET...WITH FORCING ALSO ENHANCED AHEAD OF VORT MAXES
ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW. AS THE SYSTEM MATURES ALSO EXPECT
A WELL DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE TO FORM ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW. COMBINE THIS
FORCING WITH ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...AND POCKETS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY.

A COUPLE AREAS OF INTEREST DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z WED-12Z
THU) WITH REGARDS TO AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT. ONE AREA WILL
BE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONVECTION
SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE ALONG THIS FRONT AS THE FORCING
MENTIONED ABOVE OVERSPREADS THE BOUNDARY. THUS A LINE OF
CONVECTION APPEARS PROBABLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON STRETCHING FROM
CENTRAL MO SOUTH INTO EAST TX. WOULD GENERALLY EXPECT THIS
CONVECTIVE LINE TO BE PROGRESSIVE GIVEN THE STEADY EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF BOTH THE CLOSED LOW AND THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY.
MEAN WINDS DO HOWEVER DISPLAY A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO THE
BOUNDARY...WITH INDIVIDUAL STORM MOTIONS FROM SOUTH SOUTHWEST TO
NORTH NORTHEAST LIKELY. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME REPEAT
CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH STILL WOULD EXPECT ANY TRAINING TO GENERALLY
BE SHORT LIVED. WITH THAT SAID GIVEN PWAT VALUES AROUND 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ROBUST
CONVECTION...WOULD EXPECT SOME HIGH RAINFALL RATES. THUS WOULD NOT
TAKE MUCH TRAINING TO RESULT IN LOCALIZED 1-3" AMOUNTS. FOR THIS
REASON OPTED TO INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM
CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL AR...WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS AS LOW
AS 1-1.5" IN AN HOUR. FURTHER SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN AR TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS CONSIDERABLY HIGHER. AND JUST
NOT SURE CONVECTION WILL BE ABLE TO HANG UP LONG ENOUGH GIVEN THE
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM TO EXCEED THE FFG. THUS WILL JUST
KEEP A MARGINAL RISK FOR THOSE AREAS...ALTHOUGH WILL HAVE TO
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR...AS THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THESE
CONVECTIVE LINES DO HAVE A TENDENCY TO ORIENT THEMSELVES MORE WEST
TO EAST...RESULTING IN A BIT MORE TRAINING.

THE NEXT AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM NORTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHEAST
NE...SOUTHERN IA AND NORTHWEST MO. ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE AN
UPTICK IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WHICH SHOULD RIDE UP AND OVER THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT SHOULD BE POSITIONED SOMEWHERE ACROSS KS/MO. BOTH THE ECMWF
AND GFS SUGGEST THAT THE ORIENTATION OF THE CLOSED LOW WILL ALLOW
FOR LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO REMAIN POINTED INTO THIS FRONT
FOR A GOOD 6-12 HOURS WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE IT EVENTUALLY KICKS EAST. THUS WOULD APPEAR TO BE A GOOD
SETUP FOR ELEVATED BACKBUILDING CONVECTION INTO THIS WARM FRONT
FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD TO POTENTIALLY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN PWAT VALUES FORECAST AS HIGH AS 3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE A
GENERAL LACK OF INSTABILITY..AS CURRENTLY ONLY ANTICIPATING JUST A
BIT OF ELEVATED CAPE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE INTENSITY
ENOUGH TO PREVENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM GETTING TOO EXTREME.
HOWEVER WOULD STILL EXPECT TO SEE AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 1-3"..WHICH
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LOW FFG ACROSS THE AREA...COULD LEAD TO SOME
FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. THUS ALSO OPTED TO INCLUDE NORTHEAST
KS...NORTHWEST MO...SOUTHEAST NE AND SOUTHERN IA IN OUR SLIGHT
RISK.

LASTLY WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE DEFORMATION BAND FROM THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES INTO CENTRAL KS. SHOULD BE A LONG DURATION STEADY
RAINFALL...WITH SOME SIGNS THAT A TOUCH OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY
COULD ALLOW FOR EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. THESE EMBEDDED
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WOULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES. GIVEN THE HIGHER FFG ACROSS THESE AREAS AND THE LIMITED
INSTABILITY...NOT ANTICIPATING TOO BIG OF A FLASH FLOOD
THREAT...BUT ENOUGH OF A LOW END RISK TO WARRANT A MARGINAL RISK.

OVERALL A MULTI MODEL BLEND WORKED WELL AS A STARTING POINT FOR
QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM ON DAY 2. THIS GAVE A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND
SOLUTION...WITH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES NOTED IN THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE DEFORMATION BAND AND ALSO WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF CONVECTION
LONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MS VALLEY. GENERALLY LIKED A
SOLUTION IN BETWEEN THE FURTHER NORTH NAM/GFS AND SOUTH
ECMWF/UKMET WITH THE DEFORMATION AXIS. ALSO THOUGHT THE ECMWF WAS
PROBABLY TOO LIGHT WITH QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE MS VALLEY CONVECTIVE
LINE...WITH THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF/GEM ALL HEAVIER...ALONG WITH MOST OF
THE AVAILABLE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. ON THE OTHER HAND THE 0Z GFS IS
PROBABLY A BIT TOO HEAVY.

ON DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI) THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST FROM THE MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST.
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS MUCH LESS CERTAIN BY THIS TIME. WILL
LIKELY BE A MESSY SETUP WITH A PRETTY LARGE AREAL COVERAGE OF AT
LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION. GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES AND
AREAS OF LOW FFG...THINK AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD RISK EXISTS OVER
A FAIRLY LARGE PORTION OF THE OH/TN VALLEY. ALTHOUGH AT THIS TIME
NOT CONFIDENT IN THE DETAILS...AND WHETHER OR NOT A LOCALLY
ENHANCED RISK EXISTS ANYWHERE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL WE GET
CLOSER TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY PRESENT
AND OVERALL CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. THUS FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH A
LARGE MARGINAL RISK AREA.

UNCERTAINTY ALSO EXISTS ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEAST LA
INTO THE FL PANHANDLE. THE GFS IS MUCH WETTER ACROSS THIS
REGION...BEING STRONGER WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH...AND THUS STRONGER WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE GULF COAST. MEANWHILE THE ECMWF/UKMET ARE A BIT WEAKER
WITH THE WAVE AND LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND TEND TO FOCUS HIGHER
AMOUNTS OFFSHORE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. NOT REAL CONFIDENT AT THIS
TIME...ALTHOUGH DO THINK AT LEAST SOME HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
EXISTS. THE GFS IS VERY LIKELY OVERDONE WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF
AMOUNTS...BUT THE ECMWF COULD VERY WELL BE UNDERDONE. WILL THUS GO
WITH A MARGINAL RISK ACROSS THIS AREA...AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR
TRENDS.

WITH REGARDS TO THE GENERAL QPF ON DAY 3...AGAIN STARTED WITH A
MULTI MODEL BLEND WITH SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS. DID REMOVE THE NAM
FROM THIS BLEND AS IT APPEARED TO BE TOO SLOW WITH THE EASTWARD
EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM.

...WEST...

SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING ASHORE WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. EVEN THOUGH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...IT SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUICK MOVING AS IT
DIGS SOUTHWARD THUS LIMITING ANY EXTREME OR EXCESSIVE QPF AMOUNTS.
BY 12Z THURSDAY A STRONG COMPACT SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE OR AND NORTHERN CA COAST. THIS WAVE WILL DIG
SOUTHEASTWARD...FORMING INTO ANOTHER CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT
BASIN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. MODEL DIFFERENCES WERE GENERAL NOT THAT
LARGE WITH THIS SYSTEM...THUS WPC QPF FOLLOWED A MIDDLE GROUND
MULTI MODEL BLEND.

SCHICHTEL/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 537213 538202 537195 532183 525171 517161 500145 492136
      481127 478128 473126 471126 471130 472133 471136 469139
      471141 476141 478143 478147 473148 468147 463149 461156
      458161 453164 451170 448177 448187 449190 452191 456189
      462186 468187 475189 475195 472198 464205 455210 451212
      446213 434217 434220 439224 446227 448230 446233 437237
      432239 428242 426244 429246 437248 444250 451253 463258
      469261 473267 481277 491285 501291 506289 511286 518276
      519266 520257 518241 518236 517232 515225 514222 514218
      516215 520217 525220 530220 533220 536218 537213
 0.01 534992 534980 534976 533973 528969 523965 520966 516971
      507980 493005 490012 483017 478020 473022 465023 459024
      455023 453021 448017 440010 439003 438991 438981 437974
      433958 430947 430936 426932 424931 421931 419934 418938
      414945 407944 403943 402940 395931 391926 386922 380918
      374915 369915 367917 360919 355919 349920 346921 345925
      343932 340939 337946 324949 318951 310951 305949 300945
      296940 290944 285950 282957 277969 276982 276991 278997
      286006 288006 288010 288014 289017 294020 300022 308021
      312020 314018 317017 322018 327022 331027 337029 342033
      345039 344043 342045 340047 341049 339052 336054 330055
      326058 329062 333069 333073 334076 333080 330082 327084
      325088 319086 317086 315090 330089 332091 334093 334099
      335101 338107 339109 341107 347092 359099 364098 365094
      366092 370091 374092 375096 375100 375105 377108 382106
      386099 390099 394100 396101 399100 405100 404105 403109
      398112 394112 392114 387117 383120 380124 385124 389122
      395119 400117 415115 420114 417111 417106 419098 421094
      426095 431098 436102 437107 439108 447109 451109 452104
      453101 456095 461091 466086 469079 469066 473059 477054
      482050 495046 497045 499048 503052 506060 507070 509084
      514084 516082 518078 519066 519059 518056 518051 516047
      515043 513040 510036 512032 516028 519020 520016 524015
      529005 532996 534992
 0.01 494686 493679 491677 484671 486661 486650 484645 481641
      477638 475636 472636 466642 462645 457645 449647 443654
      439658 434659 425661 415665 404669 397675 392682 388691
      386701 387712 389716 392717 390727 388732 383736 376739
      373744 370746 363752 357746 354744 350744 344748 338755
      336761 335768 334778 330785 326792 325798 325804 326814
      330823 323868 323879 323892 324903 327912 328919 328926
      328937 330939 332930 332925 333919 337899 339878 343867
      346857 351851 354846 357843 368843 373835 378828 380834
      382834 385832 387827 388820 390818 394817 401820 406820
      408817 419803 424785 428772 433765 439758 445753 449753
      454752 460746 471734 478727 483721 489714 493708 493702
      494686
 0.01 353815 348812 345807 342803 340799 336802 333806 334815
      336821 338828 340834 344835 346833 349826 350822 353815
 0.01 275793 275790 271790 267791 264791 260791 256792 254793
      252796 252800 254803 257803 261802 265801 266799 269798
      271796 273795 275793
 0.25 532208 531202 527199 524190 512173 507166 503164 498163
      480160 477162 476165 478170 482173 494188 496198 490202
      486204 481205 474207 460215 456216 453219 453223 456224
      460227 453245 462250 471254 479260 485266 491276 497283
      502284 506284 510281 512276 514271 515264 516256 515248
      512237 509229 503218 500209 499203 498201 499198 506196
      510195 515196 524202 527209 529210 532208
 0.25 475674 473671 469669 464671 463676 462681 464685 467687
      470691 473693 474690 476684 476677 475674
 0.25 457079 456075 454072 450066 450063 450058 454052 456045
      455036 446022 435016 430012 427006 423999 422990 419981
      416976 400975 390969 387966 389963 392961 392956 387943
      383938 378934 372931 365930 343947 333954 328957 322959
      316962 310966 303969 296970 293971 292975 290979 292982
      295996 299000 297004 296009 299013 303014 306013 319008
      324007 330009 350028 351036 351043 349047 351051 354055
      354058 352062 351066 352071 354074 358075 362072 366070
      370072 372079 376083 380084 382083 394083 396086 400088
      405084 408077 410074 413073 419072 423074 424076 425084
      428085 430083 436083 436077 438074 441072 444075 448078
      450081 454081 457079
 0.25 425710 424698 421685 416680 413679 410681 404687 401697
      402702 401713 400723 397733 394740 390748 389752 389755
      392757 397755 400756 402759 404764 407767 411765 413763
      415759 417750 421742 423732 423722 425712 425710
 0.25 414781 414776 412772 410772 409773 406775 405778 404782
      404785 405787 408789 409789 412786 413784 414781
 0.25 397779 397776 395774 393773 390771 387771 384770 382770
      380771 380775 381777 383781 385783 387784 389785 392786
      394784 396782 397779
 0.25 395793 393792 389794 388795 386797 384800 383802 383805
      385807 387806 390803 392801 393798 394796 395793
 0.25 372763 370758 366758 363759 357762 353759 350758 347760
      347766 352769 355775 357779 363776 366771 369767 372763
 0.50 513266 514259 514253 512244 508235 504227 500220 498216
      494212 483209 475210 468214 466216 466221 468226 466232
      461236 459240 461244 467249 475253 481258 486266 491272
      496278 501281 504281 507278 509272 513266
 0.50 485233 486230 486228 485227 484225 483224 482224 481223
      479223 477222 476222 476223 474224 475227 477228 478228
      480230 481231 481232 483234 485233 485233
 0.50 450049 451043 450040 445035 438026 430024 425022 421016
      419006 417998 415996 412994 406992 401989 397984 393976
      387973 383977 380978 376978 375975 376972 378965 383963
      384958 379952 378949 374948 366946 360944 356943 352944
      342950 337954 332957 326960 319962 308970 297975 295977
      296981 298984 299987 303986 307981 317975 325973 328975
      330978 326984 321988 310996 305000 301004 299007 300010
      305011 311008 317004 324001 331003 334004 336006 340010
      350018 354024 355031 356039 357043 360047 362053 363056
      366059 370059 373057 376057 381060 384065 387067 389070
      397073 399076 403074 403069 409066 412066 419066 428066
      433062 438059 446056 450049
 0.50 418705 418699 417694 415691 411691 409693 407698 405705
      404715 403724 402732 403737 405738 409738 412737 416729
      417721 418712 418705
 0.50 382074 381073 381072 381069 380067 378065 377064 375063
      373063 372064 372066 372068 373071 373073 373075 374077
      374078 376079 377079 379079 380078 381076 381075 382074
 1.00 511260 510249 507241 503234 499227 496221 493219 490222
      490232 492236 494239 498245 503252 507258 509261 511260
 1.00 502275 504271 504267 502262 497252 495246 492240 489236
      486236 482237 479233 477230 474231 470233 468238 468242
      469245 473249 477251 482254 486258 491267 495271 499275
      502275
 1.00 488221 489219 488217 488216 487214 485214 484213 482213
      480213 479213 477214 476214 477216 478217 480218 481218
      481219 483220 485220 486221 488221 488221
 1.00 409017 388007 383003 380997 378993 374991 367993 363994
      361996 355996 355991 356987 360981 365976 367968 367961
      365958 362952 354950 350950 346951 339956 335960 332963
      334967 336970 336975 332981 328986 322990 318995 319998
      328998 344000 348001 350004 352008 355009 363010 365012
      364016 361018 362020 368020 377019 384022 389024 392022
      399019 406019 409017
 1.00 399046 392042 385039 380033 373031 365032 365037 367040
      369043 370048 371051 375053 381056 385057 388054 390053
      393050 399046
 1.00 322967 321966 319966 318967 317967 316968 315969 314970
      312971 310972 309973 308974 307975 308976 310975 311975
      312974 314973 316972 317971 319970 320969 321967 322967
 1.00 308004 307004 306003 304004 304005 303006 304008 306007
      307007 307005 308004
 1.50 499269 499263 498259 494251 491244 489241 485239 483242
      482242 478233 476232 473234 471237 471243 473246 477248
      484251 488257 493264 498269 499269
 1.50 503241 502240 501238 501237 500235 500234 499232 498231
      497229 497228 496226 494225 493228 493230 493231 494233
      494235 495236 496237 497239 498240 499240 500241 502242
      503241
 1.50 384051 383049 383048 382047 381045 380044 380043 378042
      377044 376046 376048 377051 379053 381053 381054 382054
      383053 384051
 1.50 378006 378005 376004 375003 374003 372002 371002 369003
      370005 371006 372007 374007 376007 378006 378006
 1.50 362005 363003 362002 360002 358002 356002 355002 354005
      354006 356007 358007 360006 362005 362005
 1.50 363967 360956 351954 348954 345957 341959 340967 339973
      337978 330986 324992 327995 333996 339996 344995 345988
      346985 348984 353983 357980 360976 362969 363967
 2.00 496260 495257 493254 492251 491250 491248 491247 490245
      490244 488243 487242 486243 485245 485248 486249 487251
      488253 489255 490256 491258 493259 494261 496260
 2.00 479241 479238 478236 477235 476234 474234 473236 473239
      473241 474242 475243 476243 478243 479241
 2.00 357978 358971 357965 357960 355958 351961 347965 341973
      335981 330988 327993 330993 331991 336994 341993 341990
      338989 335988 344982 355980 357978
 3.00 354976 354971 353969 350968 347969 345971 343973 342976
      340978 338980 337982 339983 341981 343980 346979 350978
      352978 354976

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 537215 538208 539201 539197 537191 531177 522163 518158
      512153 506148 500142 491134 486129 480126 475125 472122
      470118 467116 463116 461119 456126 454128 450128 448125
      451122 453111 453102 452097 450095 444096 437100 432106
      431109 433112 437117 437123 435128 429134 421143 417151
      412157 408163 405170 404181 405187 406193 405198 403202
      398202 393201 389202 390207 392211 397216 399222 394228
      390231 388233 387236 387242 388247 395262 395271 398277
      399279 403281 411284 418285 425280 439275 449269 455266
      459266 463267 474278 482292 486298 491303 496303 503302
      509297 512290 520272 522262 523254 523248 522245 519238
      517230 516225 518223 521222 523225 526226 530227 531226
      535222 537215
 0.01 523952 522947 520945 517934 513927 510925 505926 500931
      495937 492941 491945 490950 490957 491961 487962 481967
      485980 480986 479989 480994 482997 486998 495998 502996
      505994 508991 510986 511982 517975 522957 523952
 0.01 477679 475674 472670 468670 464670 461673 460676 458682
      457687 459692 462690 465686 468683 473682 477679
 0.01 464703 458698 455702 452706 446712 440714 439719 440723
      441735 440740 443745 451743 453740 453733 456722 458713
      463705 464703
 0.01 455655 454649 452646 450644 447645 444643 440643 432644
      423647 415649 406653 400656 387663 380669 375673 370679
      365685 358696 350709 345723 344728 345732 349736 356734
      361729 366723 370717 379706 385701 392697 397696 401697
      405701 410709 413708 415706 419701 426696 437686 443681
      448675 452665 455655
 0.01 453903 448880 446876 445870 442862 439851 437844 433847
      428847 418850 413851 410851 408850 405847 403847 399848
      397853 393859 386862 376864 369868 364869 359872 328886
      314895 299903 291907 290912 287915 273922 264925 264933
      264960 264973 266978 266984 266994 270991 285982 292981
      303979 307978 313978 323977 326976 328981 331988 333991
      332994 330998 327004 323012 320017 319022 319036 318043
      320047 327060 339069 343068 349068 355063 363059 368058
      373058 375056 379058 380062 383065 386063 385059 384054
      384049 385043 388043 388050 389054 393057 397057 399055
      401049 401042 403037 406029 411022 416015 427002 438988
      441985 442980 443977 443970 451928 453903
 0.01 371804 371799 368798 363802 360805 356810 354816 351822
      352826 354827 358826 360824 363820 367815 369809 371804
 0.01 347873 346866 344860 340851 334843 328835 320827 317829
      316834 318840 321845 326853 331861 337869 341873 345875
      347873
 0.25 535212 534205 532200 528190 525182 523178 519175 496150
      490142 488137 485135 481133 476132 472133 469136 466139
      462139 458141 456144 454148 450150 446151 442149 438148
      435151 434155 433161 431164 428166 426170 427174 426179
      424183 424189 428192 432201 440207 443209 440210 431210
      430202 421198 417199 414202 418210 419215 416218 415221
      416225 402235 401238 402242 407248 410257 413264 415268
      419269 423268 427266 434261 440254 443251 447250 453248
      461247 467248 472250 479254 486260 491268 495278 496283
      499287 504287 511283 516273 518268 519264 518255 515243
      512233 505217 501209 499205 495203 485200 481202 476205
      470209 461210 446209 450204 455197 467182 470180 474178
      477180 481183 493189 495193 499197 504197 508196 512196
      514199 518205 522211 527215 530217 532215 535212
 0.25 486228 485227 484226 482226 480226 480227 481229 481231
      481232 483234 484232 485230 486228
 0.25 417664 414660 410661 407663 402666 399668 395670 391674
      390679 395679 400677 403675 408673 412670 415667 417664
 0.25 436928 436919 437910 436900 434894 431889 427885 422882
      416878 413877 410877 403879 392883 385886 378886 363888
      339897 315909 304915 300919 295922 284926 286943 285951
      286959 282971 283974 285975 291974 306971 320968 331964
      334965 338966 342971 346975 349980 351987 353989 352991
      350994 346995 345997 343003 341011 339017 338023 339028
      341032 344035 347035 351035 355037 359042 361044 364043
      366043 369045 371047 374046 380033 383027 387021 395014
      401003 408989 412984 416978 424970 430959 432952 434942
      436928
 0.50 515269 517263 516257 514249 512242 508234 502219 497212
      491208 483205 477207 471211 465213 457213 451215 443214
      437215 429216 424220 422223 421226 422232 417230 413231
      409235 407238 407240 412247 417253 419256 423258 429255
      435251 446245 454244 459242 463241 467242 472246 480247
      485253 494267 498274 503279 507279 510277 515269
 0.50 493238 491232 488226 486224 482223 476222 471223 467226
      465229 466232 467235 469235 473229 475228 478230 481235
      482239 485238 487237 490239 493238
 0.50 495171 491165 486159 481154 475154 469149 465147 461146
      456152 453154 450154 443155 441160 442165 444173 444178
      442181 441185 440190 440195 443197 450196 455191 460186
      464180 468172 474169 487173 492173 495171
 0.50 478139 477137 475137 474136 472138 473140 475140 477140
      478139
 0.50 461233 461230 461229 459228 458227 456227 454227 453228
      452228 451229 450230 448231 448232 450232 452233 453233
      454233 455232 457233 459233 460233 461233
 0.50 428945 429935 429925 429916 428909 421902 410897 406893
      398894 388896 382896 377894 370893 365894 352897 341901
      332907 325915 316922 311924 306925 296929 291931 292941
      292948 294955 288962 286966 285970 287972 294971 301969
      306966 313965 319964 323963 331958 338958 342963 345964
      349965 356965 360966 364970 366976 366985 362996 356006
      351016 351021 353024 357028 365034 371035 375031 381022
      386013 394003 405983 419965 424954 428945
 1.00 500237 500232 500230 499225 498222 497219 495218 492217
      490219 491222 492225 494229 495232 496234 498237 500237
 1.00 490219 489214 487212 484210 481209 479210 476211 474214
      472216 475218 478219 481220 484220 486219 490219
 1.00 479238 479237 478236 478234 476233 474234 474237 475239
      477240 479239 479238
 1.00 462223 462220 457217 450219 442216 436218 429220 427222
      426226 428230 433231 440230 447228 451223 458224 462223
 1.00 454238 453237 451237 450236 448236 447238 447239 449240
      450239 451239 453238 454238
 1.00 461180 462178 461176 459176 458177 457177 456178 454179
      454180 453181 453183 453185 455185 457185 457184 459183
      459182 460181 461180
 1.00 443240 442238 441237 439237 437238 437239 435239 434239
      435241 436241 438242 440242 441242 442241 443240
 1.00 428242 426240 424240 423239 423238 421237 420236 418235
      416235 415236 415239 415240 416241 417242 418243 420244
      421245 421246 423247 424246 425246 427244 428242
 1.00 421942 421934 419928 415923 410920 404918 400915 395912
      392911 389912 385917 385924 385934 385943 379953 377961
      380966 382968 384972 384979 384986 380991 376995 373000
      367010 361023 363025 366025 370022 374018 377014 383002
      384994 386988 394979 409963 417954 420949 421942
 1.00 372923 366922 363922 361920 360914 361912 359910 351910
      350909 355906 355904 351904 346903 341905 337908 337910
      339913 346912 339921 331927 326926 322925 320926 316930
      314935 305941 301945 299949 300955 301957 305957 315952
      325948 330947 336946 339949 342949 346947 358943 362940
      365936 366931 368928 372923
 1.00 298966 299964 299962 297961 296961 295962 294963 293964
      293966 293968 294969 296969 296968 297966 298966
 1.50 447226 448224 447221 447220 445219 443219 442218 440219
      438221 438223 439225 441226 442226 444226 446227 447226
 1.50 432227 433224 432223 430223 429224 430225 431226 432227
      432227
 1.50 402954 402949 400944 396942 393944 390947 388950 385954
      386959 389962 395962 398960 401956 402954
 1.50 363936 362932 361930 357926 352923 348920 343922 339927
      335931 334934 337936 339937 341941 345943 350942 355940
      361938 363936
 1.50 331941 332937 328935 325930 321927 319928 317932 315937
      310940 307945 304949 305952 308952 312949 317946 323944
      328943 331941
 2.00 361934 359933 357933 355933 354934 352934 354935 355935
      357935 359935 361934 361934
 2.00 351936 350935 348936 350937 351936
 2.00 348930 349928 348926 346925 344925 343925 343926 341928
      343929 343930 344931 346931 348930 348930
 2.00 328939 326938 325937 324937 323936 321935 319935 319937
      317938 317939 317940 319941 321941 323941 325940 327939
      328939

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 528172 529153 528147 522145 517142 511140 501136 494134
      488130 486127 486122 487112 488106 489103 492098 498085
      500080 502074 502056 501047 499041 497033 497031 498029
      505016 510004 514997 513993 504987 500985 498993 493004
      487005 480006 474014 470019 465023 462025 459022 457017
      454015 452016 454023 452033 450037 441034 439050 437056
      436060 433059 425062 420066 412065 404064 399065 391065
      388066 387070 386077 384083 382085 382090 383093 381096
      378096 376098 373101 368104 364107 360111 355112 350112
      349115 350121 353127 354131 354136 356141 359145 370147
      374152 375155 374160 374163 375166 377171 378174 377179
      376184 369182 363181 356184 355186 356188 367196 372198
      375203 378208 382212 388215 394219 397223 396230 394235
      398238 409245 421248 429248 435248 443250 449249 456251
      460250 465247 471246 469235 469232 472231 477235 484231
      494225 504221 507212 508202 508195 510193 505192 500191
      496191 494192 488201 485205 483207 480207 475209 471211
      465214 459215 452214 449213 449209 453204 454199 455196
      456191 458188 461183 466179 470177 475176 481176 489172
      498180 502175 504172 503169 499164 497160 499157 506158
      511160 516164 521167 528172
 0.01 498944 498929 497916 495911 492913 488922 484931 481941
      478952 476964 474967 477968 481967 484964 491958 496950
      498944
 0.01 475825 474807 472803 472795 471786 469781 464772 454750
      448739 445734 442730 439726 435722 429716 410716 400714
      396717 393717 393721 386744 384749 380752 371756 355767
      347772 341776 336778 317789 313792 312797 310808 308813
      303812 294811 287812 284815 291822 295826 293830 286835
      278842 270847 253856 249859 251865 251873 253878 254884
      256889 255903 248917 251919 250921 248925 244935 244943
      246949 249961 254969 261976 265976 270974 276970 284963
      290957 299950 306942 313936 317934 323933 332937 338944
      343954 346963 350966 354968 367970 373971 377974 380979
      384981 395981 402977 410971 417965 424958 428954 431949
      442930 452911 456901 460891 461883 465878 468873 467865
      467858 465851 466843 468838 475825
 0.01 392091 393089 391088 389087 388088 387089 386090 385091
      384092 385094 387094 389094 390093 391092 392091
 0.01 381081 381078 380076 380074 378071 376071 374071 374073
      374075 375078 375080 377082 377083 379083 381081 381081
 0.25 510152 509150 509149 508148 506146 505146 503147 503148
      504150 504151 506151 507152 509152 510152
 0.25 487075 488070 488064 487056 484054 481054 479056 475055
      471055 470059 467068 463073 459073 456071 451066 447065
      443072 445076 449082 451085 451091 450100 450103 447105
      436095 438098 436100 434104 432105 425104 419105 414105
      413110 410110 409108 407105 405106 400110 394113 391118
      385120 380123 377130 376134 378137 381143 383149 388155
      390162 389171 391178 393181 395183 403183 406189 406198
      406204 404207 401208 399206 395201 388198 384196 380197
      380200 382204 395211 400215 402217 406217 410213 412211
      415212 418214 421213 425208 430203 434197 438191 440183
      440175 442167 447165 454169 460165 464161 467158 468153
      470145 473137 476132 475121 478111 483095 485082 487075
 0.25 454223 452220 448220 443219 438219 435220 432223 428224
      427226 429228 431229 437229 440228 444227 448226 451225
      454223
 0.25 450802 448790 446778 443769 439760 432756 428752 424751
      414751 409753 405756 402765 401775 401781 399785 396793
      394799 391803 386811 376826 366838 363841 359842 356839
      357834 361825 367816 371808 374801 373797 370795 364795
      361796 350808 343814 335820 328817 325819 327821 330824
      326827 320831 314838 309842 300847 290851 283855 278861
      274869 272878 271886 266894 264898 266902 269907 270913
      275933 279935 285935 294933 308926 315922 324916 328914
      333913 342911 348910 352912 354916 355922 355931 355936
      357939 362947 365956 368958 370955 373952 380947 385940
      388933 394927 398926 401927 411931 414931 419928 424922
      429914 434907 438899 441892 444881 445870 447863 448858
      451833 451824 450816 450802
 0.25 426227 427225 426223 425221 424220 422219 420220 420221
      419223 418225 418228 419229 420230 422230 424229 426227
 0.50 475106 474094 474089 473085 471083 464089 461089 459086
      454078 448072 446072 449078 454084 461090 462094 463102
      463106 465112 469114 472112 475106
 0.50 439161 439157 438155 433152 428150 428144 430139 433136
      436131 437124 435120 431123 427123 423119 420115 415116
      407121 401127 398124 393125 388126 387130 389135 391142
      393145 399147 403143 406137 408133 410131 415134 418137
      420143 420147 419151 414160 413166 414172 415175 418176
      424177 428175 431171 433166 438163 439161
 0.50 440813 441801 440796 437794 432790 429786 424778 421776
      417778 414779 412783 411786 409789 404794 401799 398805
      394811 391817 387825 385832 382840 376843 372848 368852
      362855 347861 339863 336858 334850 332848 329847 314846
      307848 299851 292855 289860 282871 276883 274890 271895
      273898 276900 281904 284906 284909 284915 288921 292924
      297926 301924 308921 313917 316911 319905 324900 330898
      338899 371901 375900 378902 378909 375917 371922 369925
      368931 370936 373938 380935 384930 387923 391918 395914
      399908 402906 406907 412907 415909 419908 423902 428888
      433873 437857 440838 440832 440824 440813
 0.50 365813 364809 362807 358812 352816 347821 343827 340834
      340839 343841 347841 350839 355833 358825 361820 365813
 1.00 401890 402880 400878 397877 393881 391888 391897 387901
      383905 384912 387913 392909 396906 399899 401892 401890
 1.00 377877 376873 372876 370880 367883 361884 358883 357881
      358876 357870 353866 348869 342877 340883 340887 342890
      345893 350892 354890 360889 366888 370885 377878 377877
 1.00 360819 359817 357819 357820 359819 360819
 1.00 357821 356820 354820 353822 352822 351824 351825 350826
      349828 348829 348831 347831 347833 346836 348837 350836
      350835 351834 352833 353832 354830 355828 355826 356823
      357821
 1.00 325872 326867 325862 323859 320857 314854 311852 307852
      302855 297861 290874 291880 294889 297894 295901 293910
      295918 298920 302920 308915 310912 311908 312899 313894
      315892 320885 325872
 1.50 353828 354826 353826 352826 351828 351831 353829 353828
 1.50 349881 350879 348879 347881 345882 344884 345886 345887
      346886 347885 349884 349883 349881
 1.50 318870 318866 316865 312860 308857 303861 301865 297872
      295876 297882 301886 303888 302893 297903 296909 296914
      297916 301917 302915 306911 307907 306903 308897 310891
      313886 317873 318870
 2.00 312871 310870 306869 304869 303870 301872 299874 299877
      301878 304880 305882 307885 310884 311882 310879 310875
      310873 312871
 2.00 303912 304909 302907 301906 300907 299910 299911 299912
      299913 301912 302912 303912

$$





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