Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 122204
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
604 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 13/0000 UTC THRU OCT 16/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE FIRST PERIOD TO PRELIM GUIDANCE.

...OVERVIEW...

A LONGWAVE TROUGH...THOUGH LARGELY MOISTURE STARVED...WILL PRODUCE
MEANINGFUL RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW THROUGHOUT THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY. ELSEWHERE SATURATED LOW LEVELS IN THE
WAKE OF A DEPARTING EAST COAST SYSTEM WILL SLOSH AROUND AS
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW TRIES TO SET UP FROM THE PLAINS EASTWARD.
THIS MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT LIGHT RAIN IN SPOTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MID ATLANTIC...THOUGH A LACK OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND GENERALLY
STABLE CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATION. THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH
AFFECTING SOUTH FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE EASTERLY ONSHORE
FLOW AND A SHOWERY REGIME...WITH GREATEST AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE PENINSULA AS WELL AS THE UPPER
KEYS...AND AMOUNTS DROPPING OFF WITH WESTWARD EXTENT. SOME LOCALLY
HEAVIER DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY AS LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE INCREASES COINCIDENT WITH THE TROUGH AXIS MOVING
ONSHORE FRIDAY. STILL...THE HI-RES MODEL QPF SIGNAL IS NOT
ESPECIALLY FOCUSED OR HEAVY...AND THE ODDS OF ANY EXTREME RAINFALL
APPEAR LOW.

THE APPROACH TO QPF WAS TO MAKE MINIMAL CHANGE IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WHERE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS IN VERY GOOD SHAPE.
ELSEWHERE WE STARTED WITH A BLEND OF PREVIOUS WPC...12Z GFS...00Z
ECMWF. THE HI-RES MODELS OFFERED TOO LITTLE SIGNAL SPATIALLY...TO
BE OF MUCH USE...ALTHOUGH POCKETS OF CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED FROM THE CAROLINAS TO FLORIDA.



DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING DAY 2 TAPS PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
QPF ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND
12Z ECMWF/GFS/NBM.

A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 2...REACHING THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES LATE IN THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE (AND ITS
ATTENDANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY)...A LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS
0.75/1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST... AND THE COMBINATION OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AND
UPSLOPE FLOW PRODUCES LOCAL 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
THE OR CASCADES.

FURTHER EAST...THE MOISTURE IS NOT AS ROBUST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...BUT THE UPSLOPE FLOW IS STRONGER...MAKING
THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN. THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE
FLOW AND SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT...AS
WELL AS THE ABSAROKA RANGE IN MT AND WY...EXTENDING INTO THE BIG
HORN RANGE IN NORTH CENTRAL WY.


...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAIN THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH TRACKING FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
ON DAY 2 REACHES THE GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY DURING DAY 3 AS IT
BROADENS. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED THE LONG WAVE TROUGH FEED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...MAINLY ACROSS THE UPPER AND UPPER MS
VALLEY INTO UPPER GREAT LAKES ON DAY 3. WHILE THERE WERE SOME
TIMING DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST ON DAY 3... THERE WAS ENOUGH CONSENSUS
TO ALLOW THE WPC QPF TO BE CREATED FROM A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS/NBM.

DAY 2...
AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE ROCKIES TO THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 2...LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH IT SPINS UP
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHEAST CO. THE
SURFACE LOW TRACKS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25/1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
AND MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS IA/NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN
WI...MAINLY TOWARD 14/12Z. THE RESULTING CONVECTION... FORMING ON
THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF
0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS.

DAY 3...
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW MAXIMIZES BETWEEN 14/18Z AND 15/00Z...AS THE 50
TO 70 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST JET TRANSPORTS 1.75/2.00 INCH
PRECIPTABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS ABOUT THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN) AND MODERATE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
FRONT ACROSS THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
THE RESULTING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 2.00 TO
2.50 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN CENTRAL IA ACROSS
NORTHERN IL AND NEARBY SOUTHEAST WI INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
THE LP OF MI. THE 850-300 MB MEAN FLOW BECOMES BETTER ALIGNED WITH
THE PROPAGATION VECTORS (AS THE MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ALMOST
PARALLEL TO THE FRONT FOR A BRIEF TIME)...SO THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ON THIS AXIS...AS TRAINING
BECOMES AN ISSUE. FOR THE MOST PART...THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY CLOSE TO THE WPC QPF VALUES...SO THE
SLIGHT RISK WAS RETAINED HERE FOR DAY 3.


...MID ATLANTIC...

DEEP MOISTURE AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY FOCUSES ON A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...MAINLY DURING
DAY 2. THE RESULTING CONVECTION IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

AS HIGH PRESSURE EXITS THE NORTHEAST STATES FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC
ON DAY 2....THE RETURN FLOW WILL AID IN DRAWING A WARM FRONT NORTH
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. ALONG THE FRONT...A 25 KNOT LOW
LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
(WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS
EASTERN VA INTO CENTRAL PA. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE MAINLY
ELEVATED MARGINAL INSTABILITY...AND THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY COULD SUPPORT CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES AN AXIS OF
0.25 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THIS LINE. SHORT TERM TRAINING ALONG THE
FRONT COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH THE 12Z ECMWF
SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR
1.00+ AMOUNTS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST VA.


...GULF COAST/FL...

WEAK WAVES IN AN EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS FL AND THE GULF COAST TAPS
DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY THAT FEED CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FL DURING DAY 2.
OVERALL...THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE
SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
A WEAK WAVE IN A LOW TO MID LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW CROSSES FL DURING
DAY 2. THE WAVE FOCUSES DEEP MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES BETWEEN 1.75/2.00 INCHES) AND MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE FL EAST COAST...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
SETS UP THE RESULTING CONVECTION HERE AND OVER SOUTHEAST FL. IN
THESE LOCATIONS...AREAS OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WHERE PLACED
HERE...AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL 2.00+ INCHES OF QPF IN
THESE AREAS.

DAY 3...
THE WEAK WAVE MOVES FROM FL EARLY ON DAY 3 TO A POSITION SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE (AHEAD OF A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE
BAHAMAS) BECOMES FOCUSES IN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS SOUTH FL AND
THE KEYS...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. AS THE
WAVE REACHES A POSITION SOUTH OF LA/MS/AL BY LATE IN THE
PERIOD...IT FOCUSES THE DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY THAT FEEDS
DEVELOPING CONVECTION...WHICH PRODUCES AN AREA OF 0.25 INCHES OF
QPF OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LA/MS/AL AND THE FAR
WESTERN FL PANHANDLE.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BURKE/SULLIVAN/HAYES

24HR QP VT 14/00Z
 0.01 529170 529160 527155 522149 515147 509145 504142 498133
      490124 482122 478121 476123 469121 469113 475106 475101
      474098 473091 470090 469092 466101 461098 457093 452091
      447093 442096 437098 435102 435107 436114 440118 440123
      439127 434138 431145 430154 429160 428165 426174 426189
      426194 427196 427204 422217 420219 419225 423231 417239
      419245 423249 428253 433253 441255 448255 453255 458252
      467248 473248 479249 487252 493251 501244 513248 516248
      517245 518236 517231 519228 521226 522220 522212 520204
      517199 515192 514183 514181 511180 506184 504186 501182
      502172 504163 506161 508160 513164 522172 527172 529170
 0.01 513903 512894 510887 502876 496863 496859 494856 492851
      489846 486840 484831 482826 482820 481811 480804 478794
      476790 474787 474783 475777 475772 473769 467769 458775
      450782 444793 443799 441801 435806 427813 423817 418820
      416821 415825 417829 428836 440837 452836 456836 459837
      460840 460844 456849 453852 449853 435854 427860 426862
      426867 431866 439866 443874 447875 451874 452872 457871
      462866 465863 467856 470855 472860 472863 475866 479870
      484872 487871 488879 483889 477905 472915 474917 476918
      480922 484937 486942 489939 490936 491928 491923 490920
      491917 494918 499920 505919 510913 513903
 0.01 469205 469203 470200 470198 470195 469194 468193 466192
      464192 463192 462193 461194 460195 459197 459200 460202
      461204 463205 464206 466206 468206 469205
 0.01 465910 463905 462900 463893 460888 456889 453894 450901
      450908 455908 457915 462915 465910
 0.01 445766 444761 439762 435768 430778 426786 421794 415800
      408805 403811 396818 390822 387826 388829 394824 397825
      403825 408824 410822 408817 411814 417809 420804 424801
      428794 439780 443772 445766
 0.01 443894 443887 442881 440877 437875 433873 429875 426878
      425883 423886 422893 419903 417914 415924 413936 412947
      408957 403963 402966 405968 412964 418958 423952 427942
      430933 438916 441904 443894
 0.01 437009 438999 436993 434992 431999 428006 424013 421020
      419029 420033 422036 426039 430032 433023 436016 437009
 0.01 413774 412767 408766 398762 391745 387743 383742 379742
      378738 377729 374719 368714 359709 351704 346705 344710
      343715 341719 341732 336741 328758 323767 319778 320788
      317796 315801 314806 314814 316822 322829 324833 324840
      323845 320850 317855 315860 313863 314869 317868 321866
      325862 329859 334857 339855 356847 360838 361831 361827
      362824 369817 375812 403784 405781 409780 413774
 0.01 363782 361774 358768 353767 350762 343762 342759 339760
      336765 337769 338773 340773 346772 348776 352781 358783
      363782
 0.01 360014 360007 360000 358000 355004 353007 350011 347015
      345017 341021 341024 347024 350022 354020 358018 359016
      360014
 0.01 351839 351837 350836 348836 346836 344836 342837 341838
      343840 345840 346841 348841 350841 351839
 0.01 338782 338780 339777 337776 337778 337780 336782 338784
      338782
 0.01 338788 338786 338784 336783 335784 335787 336789 337789
      338788
 0.01 337054 338049 338045 338041 338036 336036 333037 331039
      329041 327043 325046 325048 324053 325055 327058 330058
      332057 335056 337054
 0.01 335824 336821 335819 335817 335815 334813 334811 334809
      333807 332809 332811 332813 332815 332817 333820 333822
      334824 334825 335824
 0.01 310081 308075 304071 287070 275065 263059 255057 251059
      249061 249066 250073 254078 259082 271086 278089 286090
      294091 300091 307087 309085 310081 310081
 0.01 300804 300796 297789 294783 294776 292770 290767 287765
      282764 278767 275772 274779 273782 269783 265785 254783
      245790 239800 232801 226803 224807 223809 223814 224829
      227833 233836 244838 248835 250832 250827 258833 269837
      275836 279834 282829 280823 279820 282819 286817 292816
      297812 300804
 0.01 285976 284974 282971 277967 272963 266961 263960 261957
      257952 255951 250951 246954 239965 235969 232975 233980
      234983 237984 238987 239990 242993 248995 256994 262993
      275989 280985 283981 285976
 0.25 491222 492214 491210 479207 471209 465211 456213 452213
      446211 444207 446200 447196 450193 453189 456187 464182
      468180 472180 478185 482187 486186 489183 491175 493163
      492158 489156 479154 473151 469147 465145 461147 459151
      458157 454159 451155 447150 443148 438148 437154 437158
      440162 448168 448174 448178 446181 440187 438192 439199
      439205 437209 433212 430216 424223 425227 428230 429236
      428240 430245 436246 445246 452243 457236 464228 471224
      479224 488226 491222
 0.25 492147 492145 492143 491142 490141 489142 488143 488144
      488146 488147 489148 491149 492147
 0.25 428914 428909 427907 426903 424907 423909 422913 421917
      421921 421924 421926 424927 426923 426921 427916 428914
 0.25 384756 371755 369754 368750 367745 368741 367734 364729
      357721 355719 352719 350724 348730 348738 348745 350751
      354755 359758 364760 367766 370771 375774 379772 383768
      382760 384756
 0.25 366809 367807 366804 365804 363804 362805 360807 359807
      358809 358810 357812 356815 357816 358817 359817 360816
      361816 362814 363814 364812 365811 366810 366809
 0.25 291803 290789 287786 283785 271797 268800 264798 261795
      256793 253793 248796 243803 238811 234809 232812 231817
      235820 237819 238824 240828 241830 244829 246824 246819
      251812 255809 260809 258810 258817 260818 262817 263813
      262809 264807 268810 272813 277813 288810 291803
 0.25 262976 261970 260966 257962 254960 250962 246964 243968
      241971 240976 242978 246981 250983 254982 257979 261977
      262976
 0.50 483217 482213 478210 472212 461216 459217 454217 447215
      439214 435216 429221 427223 428227 433232 437238 442242
      446241 447232 451227 456224 461223 467220 473220 479219
      483217
 0.50 482176 482170 479167 475164 473161 471155 467153 464156
      466160 468165 470170 473172 478175 481177 482176
 0.50 461180 462178 462176 461175 460175 459176 458177 457178
      457179 457181 459181 460181 461180
 0.50 363747 363740 362733 359729 357727 355728 354730 352734
      351739 351744 353748 356752 360752 363749 363747
 0.50 285802 286798 286793 284791 281792 279794 277796 275798
      274799 272802 272806 273808 275809 278809 280809 283806
      285804 285802
 0.50 255801 253798 250799 248800 245803 244805 242807 242811
      242812 244813 245812 247810 250808 252806 254804 255801
 0.50 250978 250977 249976 248974 246973 246974 247976 247978
      248978 250978 250978
 1.00 445223 446221 445220 443218 442217 440217 438218 437218
      436219 434220 432222 432224 434225 435227 437228 439228
      440227 441227 442226 444225 445223
 1.00 357745 357743 357745 357745
 1.50 442220 441220 440219 438220 437221 438223 439223 441222
      441220 442220

24HR QP VT 15/00Z
 0.01 541203 539194 536189 528177 520168 516163 512167 509170
      505175 502182 501194 504198 507204 505212 504215 500217
      495217 493219 492223 491232 494239 494242 490241 486235
      480233 478233 476235 474238 472239 466242 464250 463253
      464256 462266 463274 468286 472301 474307 477312 478315
      481317 485318 487318 493316 497314 505307 508302 511297
      515286 516283 516282 517281 518278 518276 519275 520274
      520271 521269 521266 522266 524262 524259 525257 526255
      526252 527250 528247 529245 529242 530241 531240 531238
      532235 533233 534230 534228 535225 535223 536221 536220
      537218 538216 538215
 0.01 515942 515928 515913 513906 513900 511889 506877 504875
      500875 496873 493876 483880 477872 473861 471850 470843
      469836 468822 472812 475802 478792 484772 492756 501736
      503731 502722 500706 494697 483696 475696 470696 467699
      463697 462695 462691 464682 461678 459676 454677 450680
      445686 443690 444696 446701 445708 441709 438712 440719
      440727 435736 432740 432742 429744 425746 421747 420746
      417742 420740 424739 427735 435716 435711 434705 427702
      422708 417717 413724 407730 400736 394741 389743 386738
      384732 381729 379727 379724 382720 380712 377709 372708
      371710 364715 358721 348723 345725 344727 338729 344738
      335754 333756 334761 337770 341771 343772 342774 341779
      341784 345786 350785 360783 365783 370785 373785 378783
      381782 385784 392787 401786 409784 412782 414783 417785
      427779 430776 433777 434781 432786 428791 424797 423802
      424808 428808 430811 427822 417841 409859 403878 396899
      390918 384941 378947 373954 369961 366970 358990 354000
      353002 352006 357007 364005 368002 372003 381006 386006
      390005 401005 402003 404005 404012 404017 407021 416027
      419025 423025 431021 434023 437022 442021 446019 453015
      460009 462009 465011 466015 466018 468023 471022 474018
      476018 477021 478026 479034 480037 480044 478051 475051
      471053 468057 464059 459059 456054 454047 451042 447039
      442033 437033 435035 438043 442050 445055 446060 442062
      437060 434056 430051 427049 421048 413047 405050 397053
      394056 393059 403080 408089 404098 401107 401114 402118
      411120 415124 417128 417132 415134 411138 412150 414160
      414167 416172 418182 419192 419199 419204 417214 415221
      414227 415230 417231 422233 431234 437228 444225 451220
 0.01 451220 449214 444210 448197 453184 452181 454176 456172
      468171 474169 480171 492173 497170 499170 501165 503160
      504156 503153 505145 503140 501134 498128 496120 497110
      497105 498103 499093 500072 502063 503055 503045 503037
      504027 505019 506011 508001 511986 512978 513967 513951
      514945 515942
 0.01 445121 441118 436119 432120 430124 428130 426134 426141
      426144 428146 430145 431142 433138 435133 438129 440126
      444123 445121
 0.01 442082 441079 439078 437078 436077 434078 434079 432080
      432083 432085 432087 433088 435088 436088 437087 438086
      439085 440084 440083 442082
 0.01 429985 429981 428978 426973 423973 419974 416976 413980
      411984 410991 409996 411998 413998 417996 420994 424992
      427987 429985
 0.01 366816 364813 361814 355817 351824 350827 347827 344831
      341838 342841 345840 347837 349835 351837 355835 357831
      358828 359822 361819 366816
 0.01 346041 346033 341032 337034 335040 331046 330048 327046
      322046 316050 314054 315060 314062 312060 312058 305057
      282063 271065 266066 258067 254069 252071 252075 259082
      263086 269089 278094 285096 292096 298095 303093 305091
      309092 312088 313079 314076 318076 322074 326068 331067
      335064 338059 340056 340052 342046 346041
 0.01 302804 301797 299792 298785 296779 293777 288776 275778
      271780 264782 256786 245789 241792 238795 234806 232816
      236827 237832 240837 243839 248841 253842 259842 270839
      272836 276838 283844 287846 292845 296842 299838 299831
      300823 302804
 0.01 296956 296951 294949 288945 284945 281943 274943 268947
      266956 262957 257957 252960 246965 243971 237983 238986
      242987 250989 266987 275987 281985 287970 295958 296956
 0.01 288024 289020 289016 287015 283015 281016 278017 276017
      272019 270021 270022 274022 276024 279024 283025 287025
      288024
 0.25 533214 533211 533209 533206 532203 530202 528201 528202
      527202 525203 523206 523208 524210 525211 526212 527214
      527215 528216 530217 531216 532216 533214
 0.25 515277 517270 518262 516259 512255 509254 505255 502257
      500261 498266 494269 491270 489275 492284 497294 500297
      505297 510291 514280 515277
 0.25 502985 502983 503980 502978 502977 500977 499980 498983
      498985 498988 499989 500988 501988 502986 502985
 0.25 481967 481961 481956 477949 475947 477942 478938 478931
      477926 475924 471925 469928 464934 463933 463927 464918
      468911 472903 474894 475888 473882 470882 468885 460901
      457906 451904 450898 450892 451879 454860 457840 457831
      456819 454809 451801 449797 445795 439799 441800 440805
      440809 437813 433816 431816 430820 425839 423846 420854
      413870 407884 404892 402902 401908 402914 401923 394938
      387952 380968 379972 379977 382984 385987 389988 393989
      396988 401984 405978 410971 414964 421950 424942 428934
      432928 436923 441918 443917 445920 446924 450946 449969
      446975 447985 448997 450000 453001 459997 465991 474979
      478973 481967
 0.25 455830 455828 455826 454828 453829 452830 452833 454835
      454833 455831 455830
 0.25 452080 452078 451077 450075 448074 446073 446072 445072
      443071 442072 443072 445073 446075 448077 448078 449079
      450080 451081 452080
 0.25 439806 438805 437804 436802 435804 436806 437806 438807
      439806
 0.25 379739 376735 371731 367728 360728 355727 352729 350731
      351735 353738 357743 361746 367747 374745 378741 379739
 0.25 373769 373768 372767 371767 369767 368768 369770 371771
      373770 373769
 0.25 303080 304076 302074 293071 285072 276072 268072 267075
      268079 273083 280086 283087 288087 293085 301084 303080
 0.25 297807 296802 293798 289795 284794 274795 268795 264796
      259799 253799 247800 244803 239810 238815 239822 243829
      247831 251833 255834 260833 263830 263827 262821 262819
      265818 269820 272824 279829 281827 281824 278819 275816
      272814 268811 266806 270804 275806 282812 292812 296809
      297807
 0.50 514274 515267 510267 506268 503270 501273 498278 498281
      500285 505288 509286 511283 513277 514274
 0.50 474962 471960 469957 467947 465946 463949 459957 458966
      457978 453983 452989 453994 457994 460991 464985 467976
      471971 474963 474962
 0.50 471897 471895 471892 471890 470889 469890 468892 468893
      467895 467896 466898 466900 467901 468901 469900 470899
      471897
 0.50 443863 433835 428836 427843 425850 422857 411882 409885
      408889 406896 405917 404924 402932 399939 396947 392961
      390969 389975 391979 393979 398977 404973 408968 419942
      425928 433917 438904 440896 440885 441872 443863
 0.50 295079 294079 292079 294080 295079
 0.50 284078 283078 281076 280076 278075 276075 274077 274079
      275081 277082 279082 281082 283080 284078
 1.00 427905 425879 426872 425869 423869 418875 413884 410894
      411900 413905 419905 418909 417915 412922 407931 403940
      400949 400959 402964 405962 408959 410954 414945 417936
      422928 426919 427905
 1.50 421926 422921 421917 417918 415921 413926 410931 409938
      406945 404952 405955 407954 410947 412941 414935 418931
      421926
 1.50 417889 416886 415888 414889 414891 415893 415894 415893
      416891 416890 417889

24HR QP VT 16/00Z
 0.01 537213 540198 539192 537188 533181 528175 524165 520158
      518153 515152 512153 512157 511162 509164 507162 505160
      500159 498162 498166 502174 507181 512189 515208 515221
      517230 526234 532230 533228 535221 537213
 0.01 521272 523262 523254 521250 517241 513232 509224 506220
      502219 498220 495217 492219 491224 491230 491234 489236
      481231 476230 474232 473239 475242 479251 484258 487270
      488280 491303 494307 498308 504304 510296 514288 516283
 0.01 525783 524767 523757 522752 518727 517714 516702 514688
      512679 510664 507656 504647 499639 495632 490628 486625
      482625 479624 475626 472629 467631 463634 457636 449640
      443646 432658 427663 423670 420677 417685 414694 412705
      413711 413715 410722 407729 404733 401737 394742 391746
      388746 386749 389753 391754 391757 386763 382770 378776
      372781 367786 363793 359799 356806 353814 351824 349834
      347844 345854 344860 344867 343871 345873 347875 352875
      357872 362867 373855 382844 384845 383848 381852 378859
      363889 360899 355910 350925 346934 346945 347948 345952
      339955 336957 331957 325954 321954 318955 314956 312958
      292983 290986 287982 284978 279978 272981 269983 267986
      265989 264994 263002 261010 261022 262026 264029 268031
      272032 277033 279036 282043 286048 287053 285056 283055
      280050 271052 263056 259058 256061 254065 254069 259075
      264080 271085 273088 277089 279091 283091 291090 297085
      301080 305073 310066 313059 316056 316052 317045 319041
      321037 323036 326038 331038 334036 343022 348016 354012
      360008 367006 373004 378999 384993 389988 400975 404968
      409962 414954 418945 421936 424928 427923 430921 435917
      439918 441922 441928 440933 443951 445961 448967 452974
      461969 467966 474963 479962 483960 494960 500955 505950
      510945 513934 518916 520906 520893 521889 521883 521870
      525820 526811 525800 525789 525783
 0.01 415069 416057 413052 408051 406049 403046 399045 396043
      394045 389045 387047 385049 384054 385057 388059 390062
      395062 399063 403065 408068 415069
 0.01 400018 400016 399014 397011 395009 394009 392013 392016
      392018 393023 393027 393032 393034 394034 395030 396027
      398023 399021 400018
 0.01 317851 317844 316838 312831 307825 307818 304807 300798
      297790 294786 291784 286784 283783 273784 265784 254785
      246789 241795 237801 237812 245828 249836 253841 261845
      267849 273854 278861 280865 282869 278877 277885 278898
      279911 280920 280926 282929 284933 288934 296930 302925
      307920 310911 312906 312900 313896 313891 312867 314857
      317851
 0.01 288989 289987 288985 287987 287989 288990 288989
 0.01 268970 269965 267962 263957 257953 252949 243948 237948
      234951 234955 234961 236963 241969 246972 253975 258975
      263975 268970 268970
 0.25 534214 535207 535200 532195 529192 526190 523189 521194
      521199 522205 524210 526215 530217 533215 534214
 0.25 518273 520266 519259 518254 516249 510241 504236 501236
      499243 499248 498253 497260 497265 496279 498284 500288
      505289 508288 513282 518273
 0.25 514762 504696 502681 499672 497666 492656 487650 482647
      478648 476649 472652 469665 465673 461684 457692 453703
      448714 441723 436732 432743 428752 427760 430765 435765
      437767 438771 438778 436785 434794 431807 430814 429821
      429830 428836 424843 418851 414859 407866 400874 387891
      381899 376908 367924 361934 356943 351954 346963 335979
      340998 343999 347999 352996 359992 368985 375979 387963
      398949 411933 419924 424915 436900 447886 453885 456889
      458906 459913 459921 458928 459935 462941 465943 471942
      474941 481935 486925 493903 499890 503879 508855 511844
      514833 515815 516801 515778 514762
 0.25 331001 330995 327992 324994 320999 317007 314013 312024
      312029 313033 318033 320031 324025 327016 327012 329008
      331001
 0.25 304990 304988 304987 304985 303983 301982 300983 299984
      298985 297986 297987 296989 296991 297993 299993 301993
      302993 304992 304990 304990
 0.25 294801 292799 291799 290799 288799 286799 286800 287800
      289801 290802 292802 294801
 0.25 292081 292075 290073 285071 282069 276069 273071 273077
      275081 278084 282085 286085 290083 292081
 0.25 294862 295859 295857 294855 294853 293851 292850 291850
      289851 288852 287853 286854 286856 286858 287860 288862
      290864 291864 293863 294862
 0.25 282010 282008 281007 280006 280005 280003 279001 278001
      277999 275999 273999 272001 272003 272005 272007 273008
      273009 274011 275011 276013 278013 280012 281012 282011
      282010
 0.25 262796 260794 255795 252798 249797 245799 243801 242809
      244814 246818 251824 256832 259832 258826 254818 252808
      254804 257801 262796
 0.25 255964 255962 254960 252958 250956 248956 246955 245954
      243954 241955 241956 240958 241960 243961 243962 244963
      245964 246964 248965 250965 252965 254965 255964
 0.50 515275 517265 516258 514252 510247 506245 504247 503252
      503260 502270 500280 502283 504284 509283 513279 515275
 0.50 508753 499691 498683 496675 490666 487663 485665 483675
      481680 478686 471693 467696 464700 460707 451723 446734
      444744 446755 445767 441790 437812 437818 438824 439831
      437836 424853 420861 416871 413881 409888 403897 396902
      391904 387904 383906 380911 370925 363934 361939 363945
      365948 364952 362956 359960 352969 350973 352975 363974
      370970 377962 381953 393941 400932 406926 413920 418914
      424905 431898 441884 446873 452865 458859 462850 466838
      468836 468844 465866 463896 462910 465916 469916 476908
      481899 490881 493869 497858 500847 504839 506833 506825
      509812 510798 510786 510776 509767 508753
 0.50 287079 287078 286076 285076 283075 282074 281074 281076
      281078 281079 283080 285079 287079 287079
 1.00 513266 512264 511263 510265 509267 510268 511268 513266
 1.00 495696 495686 492681 488680 486683 481694 475700 469710
      465720 464726 464733 464740 463745 456768 452779 452792
      452801 453809 455821 455826 458823 463820 466816 475797
      477796 479797 481804 482812 482819 477830 474841 473853
      472859 472866 474867 476872 477880 479879 481873 487850
      492840 497830 500819 501814 500809 496810 494806 489796
      486786 483771 483767 486767 491766 492760 492752 494738
      495725 495710 495696
 1.00 454828 453826 452828 451828 452829 453829 454828
 1.00 446846 447840 445838 440844 432852 428858 426862 427867
      425874 422881 418887 415891 410897 409901 410905 411908
      414908 418903 427893 435883 438877 440870 440864 443857
      446850 446846
 1.00 386931 384931 383931 382933 382934 380936 379938 379939
      378940 379943 378945 379945 379943 380942 381940 382939
      382938 384936 385934 386932 386931
 1.50 488709 486705 483705 479706 477710 474715 473720 472725
      474730 479731 482728 485724 487719 488714 488709

$$





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