Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162100
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 17/0000 UTC THRU FEB 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON TAP FOR THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL REGION DURING THIS UPCOMING
FORECAST PERIOD.  THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES CURRENTLY
SINKING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
STATIONARY AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO
THE AMPLIFYING UPSTREAM TROF APPROACH 140W AT 0000 UTC FRI. THIS
ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS IS THEN EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOCUSED INTO THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA REGION WITH PW ANOMALIES OF 2-3+
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN IMPACTING THIS REGION THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD AS THE AMPLIFYING UPSTREAM TROF
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST.  STRONG SOUTH
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE AMPLIFYING TROF AND IN
THE ANOMALOUS PW AXIS WILL PRODUCE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FLUX VALUES
OF 4-5+ STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE THE MEAN---WITH THE SECOND HALF
OF THE DAY 1 TIME PERIOD EXPECTED TO SEE THE GREATEST PRECIP
IMPACT INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE FROM
MONTEREY---SOUTHWARD TO THE TRANSVERSE RANGE OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA.  AREAL AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS OF 3-5" POSSIBLE FROM THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST RANGES---WITH ISOLATED MAXIMA
UP TO 8" POSSIBLE.  AWAY FROM THE MAX PRECIP AREA FROM MONTEREY TO
THE TRANSVERSE RANGE---MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS LIKELY
ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL TO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.   WITH SUCH HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THESE AREAS---THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
RISK OF RUNOFF ISSUES---ESPECIALLY IN THE NUMEROUS BURN SCAR AREAS
THROUGH THE TRANSVERSE RANGE.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

THE LEAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS MOVING OFF THE PACIFIC THIS
AFTERNOON INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION
TONIGHT.  WELL DEFINED UVVS WITH THESE HEIGHT FALLS EARLY IN THE
DAY 1 PERIOD WILL SUPPORT LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE PAC NW---NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES
REGION TONIGHT.  IN THE WAKE OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS---SHORTWAVE
RIDGING BETWEEN THESE HEIGHT FALLS AND THE AMPLIFYING TROF FARTHER
TO THE SOUTH APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST---WILL
DECREASE ONSHORE FLOW AND PRECIP POTENTIAL DURING FRIDAY.

WESTERN GULF COAST

THE CLOSED LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO FORECAST TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DAY 1.  THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OFF THE WESTERN
GULF---SUPPORTING INCREASING PRECIP THREAT FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE TX COAST INTO COASTAL LA.   MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT
THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE UPCOMING DAY 1
PERIOD---WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THIS PRECIP AREA POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE CENTRAL TX GULF
COASTAL AREA.  DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS CONSENSUS
IDEA---FOLLOWING THE HI RES ARW MORE CLOSELY FOR ANY SHORTER TERM
DETAILS.

WESTERN TO NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

THE MUCH BELOW AVERAGE MID TO UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO
RISE FROM THE EASTERN LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST THIS PERIOD AS THE
STRONG UPPER VORTEX CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES.  ADDITIONAL PRECIP/SNOW AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
WESTERN TO NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WESTERN U.S....

THE HIGH IMPACT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS CALIFORNIA WILL
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY/DAY 2 AS THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW SINKS
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND DRIVES A SURFACE FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST US. THIS WILL
DIRECT VERY ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TOWARDS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. ALL OF
THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR AN ANOMALOUS RAINFALL
EVENT...INCLUDING IMPRESSIVE MID-UPPER LEVEL JET
DYNAMICS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL...AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW APPROACHING 5O KNOTS AT 850
MB. WPC 48 HOUR DOWNSCALED QPF TOTALS VALID FRIDAY (DAY 1) AND
SATURDAY (DAY 2) SHOW 5 TO 10+ STORM TOTALS ALONG THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST AND ADJACENT TERRAIN. FOR THIS REASON...CONTINUED
TO MAINTAIN THE MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON THE DAY 2
GRAPHIC (VALID 12Z FRI TO 12Z SAT) ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST...WHICH INCLUDES THE LOS ANGELES METRO AREA AND
SURROUNDING COASTAL RANGES. EXPECT WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN ALSO FARTHER NORTH ALONG AND IN THE SIERRAS WHERE
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
SEE THE WPC HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS ON WINTER
WEATHER.

MAIN FOCUS SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY
AS THE HEIGHT FALLS MOVE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL
SHIFT THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL TO SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOUTHERN NEVADA...AND CENTRAL ARIZONA AS TROPICAL
MOISTURE ROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT
DOES NOT QUITE SUPPORT THE AMOUNTS FORECAST ACROSS COASTAL
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BUT DO EXPECT SOME 1 TO 2 INCH...AND LOCALLY
HIGHER...AMOUNTS AND DID CONTINUE TO MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ON THE DAY 3 GRAPHIC (12Z SAT TO 12Z SUN). BY EARLY
SUN...EXPECT PLENTY OF PACIFIC MOISTURE TO HAVE SPREAD WELL INLAND
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND ADVANCING WELL NORTH UP INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES WHICH WILL BE OUT AHEAD OF A WEAKER NORTHERN
STREAM UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY THAT
TIME. OVERALL...WPC QPF ACROSS THE WEST WAS MORE CLOSELY ALIGNED
WITH THE ECMWF MASS FIELDS...BUT WITH A MUCH WETTER SOLUTION. THE
AMOUNTS WERE HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARD THE HIRES ARW/NMMB QPF
SOLUTIONS FOR THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2 COVERING FRI...AND THEN
WEIGHTED CLOSER TO THE GFS/UKMET MODELS THEREAFTER FOR AMOUNTS.
THE ECMWF HOWEVER WAS AGAIN CLOSELY FOLLOWED FOR TIMING.


...GULF COAST REGION...SOUTHEAST...TN VALLEY...

AN UPPER LOW PUSHING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY/SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW SHOULD DRAW ENOUGH GULF MOISTURE
NORTHWARD TO SUPPORT SOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ALONG
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...GRADUALLY
PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN FLORIDA SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS SHOW A SECOND AREA OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVE
RAINS OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IN AN AREA OF STRONGER
FRONTOGENESIS AND INSTABILITY BUT CONTINUE TO INDICATE THESE RAINS
SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST. LIGHTER WARM ADVECTION RAIN
IS ALSO EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MASS FIELD WISE...THE 12Z GFS IS A LITTLE
FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE LOW/TROUGH AXIS THAN THE CONSENSUS...BUT A
BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SEEMED TO MITIGATE ANY QPF
DIFFERENCES.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORAVEC/SANTORELLI

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 477617 478624 480627 484636 488635 490633 495634 498638
      499644 500656 499665 497673 493682 490688 484694 482696
      478697 475696 473692 472689 473685 476678 478671 480661
      481652 480648 477645 472642 459639 457637 456632 455628
      457625
 0.01 355282 363284 368284 372282 376278 390262 396258 400255
      405253 412255 416258 420259 425258 437256 447254 466253
      471252 474253 476255 480258 484261 490270 496281 503289
      507287 511283 517271 519266 520258 520251 519244 515233
      510222 504214 501207 498206 494202 488200 479200 470202
      465203 462198 460193 459189 475178 482179 487182 491182
      496185 502187 506191 512199 525217 528221 530218 535207
      537201 535194 530182 529176 526171 521161 514153 507146
      491132 487128 482125 472121 464126 456130 452131 450129
      450126 453122 455120 455116 454112 453109 453104 453097
      452094 448093 441092 434090 429087 428086 424085 424091
      425096 425101 421100 420102 419107 417110 415111 413111
      412108 411102 410096 408097 406102 405105 402106 396107
      392110 378110 369108 367113 365119 360127 357139 352149
      350157 347162 341163 336165 330165 325168 318175 315178
      311180 303186 299190 296194 292202 289207 287213 287221
      288226 289229 288237 343274 344274 346272 347272 349275
      350278
 0.01 458709 454706 447708 440710 439712 439716 444718 444722
      442724 435726 433728 434730 439732 446731 453728 456724
      458721 458717 458709
 0.01 451740 449736 445737 441741 439745 437752 433749 430747
      425746 422747 421748 421752 424757 425765 426772 428777
      432773 433766 441760 447752 449747 451741 451740
 0.01 444210 443203 442197 441192 438190 435189 427191 425189
      425187 426182 429175 429170 430165 431161 429159 425154
      423154 422158 421164 417165 413170 410174 407178 404184
      403193 404199 412206 416209 418214 418227 419231 422232
      425229 425226 422224 423222 424217 425215 423210 418201
      420199 425200 429202 433207 439211 444210
 0.01 453081 451078 451075 450073 448070 445069 441069 440071
      439074 441074 443077 446078 448080 451081 453081
 0.01 348261 349259 350257 350255 349253 349255 348257 347259
      348261 348261
 0.01 310911 308901 303894 298888 295885 291884 286883 282884
      275888 269894 265901 253913 246927 241935 237942 236953
      237965 237970 236975 242980 249984 248989 244991 236995
      233003 234007 239007 241012 253023 257025 261025 267021
      269016 271011 271006 273002 274991 270982 280980 287975
      292970 297962 305946 309938 308926 308916 310911
 0.01 279088 280080 278073 272065 263059 255058 250055 239051
      235050 233051 232055 233059 235060 240063 246065 250069
      257077 263086 268089 273092 277090 279088
 0.25 518185 518183 518181 517180 516178 516177 515176 513174
      513173 512172 510171 509171 508172 507174 508177 508178
      509180 509181 511183 512183 512184 514185 516185 517186
      518185
 0.25 503238 502230 500220 496213 493211 489210 483210 479210
      476212 475215 476217 485221 490226 494233 498240 501241
      503238
 0.25 493658 493653 492651 490647 489650 488655 488657 488663
      487665 487671 489673 490671 491668 493664 493661 493658
 0.25 494150 493144 491140 489136 484134 481132 477129 473127
      471133 474138 477139 480139 484141 487144 489149 493151
      494150
 0.25 480244 481242 481239 481237 480236 479234 478233 476232
      475232 474232 473234 472236 471238 471240 472241 473242
      475243 476244 478245 479245 480244
 0.25 483166 484162 483159 480157 475156 472153 469148 466146
      464146 463149 463155 466159 468162 473166 478166 483166
      483166
 0.25 462223 464221 464218 463218 461217 459217 458217 457217
      456217 454217 453218 454221 455222 457223 458223 460224
      462223 462223
 0.25 450224 451222 450220 448220 447220 445219 443219 442220
      441222 443224 444225 446225 448225 450225 450224
 0.25 451161 452156 450154 448153 445150 443149 440146 438148
      438151 439154 443156 444157 447160 449161 451161
 0.25 444111 444109 442108 440109 440110 440111 442111 443112
      444111
 0.25 327263 335259 342253 351237 356234 360234 363234 365236
      365241 362253 361260 362265 366269 370269 374268 378265
      390255 396247 403241 406239 408236 411232 412226 414220
      414217 412216 409216 407213 401205 395198 387192 385188
      385182 387169 388162 388157 385152 381149 375142 373142
      371145 369149 363154 360158 358165 357169 353173 350173
      346171 343167 339169 331173 324178 319183 312191 307200
      305205 305211 307219 303230 299239 299244 302246
 0.25 298947 298940 296936 289931 287925 287919 288908 286904
      283901 277901 273904 266910 261917 257925 254934 250943
      245952 243972 248974 253974 263972 283973 290968 295960
      298947
 0.50 317256 323258 328258 333254 338248 342240 348234 353229
      357228 361229 370233 369255 371259 375261 381257 386249
      390242 396239 402233 404230 403224 402221 402215 400207
      394201 382190 377184 375175 374164 370161 367162 365165
      360172 352177 350179 348178 345170 343168 339170 327179
      322184 317190 313193 312197 311203 312207 312215 311221
      310225 306233 305237 305241 311252
 0.50 388217 387214 385212 382209 381208 377206 376205 372204
      371206 373209 374211 375214 377217 379218 383218 385218
      388217
 0.50 294949 295943 292940 288939 285937 282929 283920 283909
      281906 277906 273907 270909 265915 261922 258929 252945
      249953 247962 246966 247969 250970 255970 264968 270969
      279971 283970 286968 292963 293954 294949
 1.00 387231 387226 386223 381224 376225 374219 366209 360199
      353197 351192 351186 347180 345175 342171 339173 335178
      329189 326195 324202 318214 317228 315236 314243 315248
      322250 328249 331245 337234 346226 350223 356223 369226
      375228 377233 380238 383236 387231
 1.00 386200 382197 379192 375187 370183 365180 358180 353182
      353186 355187 360190 365195 370197 376200 382202 386200
 1.00 286964 287962 287960 287958 287956 286956 285955 283954
      281955 279955 278956 277956 276958 275960 275962 276962
      277964 279965 281965 282966 283966 285965 286964 286964
 1.00 279916 277912 271913 266919 261929 258939 258947 256952
      252962 253965 259964 266958 270949 274937 276927 279916
 1.50 375196 376193 374190 373188 371186 368184 364183 361182
      359185 361188 363190 365191 368193 372195 374196 375196
 1.50 368221 366213 361206 355201 352198 351195 348186 346183
      345178 344173 341172 336178 330197 324215 321227 318236
      320240 322241 328238 338225 345220 352219 362222 368221
 1.50 276921 275916 271917 266923 263931 263941 259949 256958
      256960 260960 265953 268945 270935 274926 276921
 2.00 371190 371188 369187 367187 366185 364185 363186 364187
      366188 367187 369190 371190 371190
 2.00 365221 365216 364213 360208 355203 351199 349191 347185
      345178 344174 342172 338178 336185 334195 331201 326216
      325225 326228 328227 338218 344216 350216 364221 365221
 2.00 272925 272924 270924 269925 268927 270928 271927 272925
      272925
 3.00 364218 362213 360210 355207 353204 349197 346187 344182
      344178 342174 340179 340186 338192 335202 337207 340209
      346211 351211 359217 364218
 4.00 349205 350201 349199 348195 348192 346189 344188 342190
      340192 339196 339201 340203 343206 344207 346207 349205
 4.00 343180 343177 342177 343180 343181 343180
 5.00 347203 348201 348199 348197 348196 347194 347192 347191
      345190 343190 343191 342193 341195 341197 342199 342200
      343202 345203 347203 347203
 6.00 347198 347196 346194 345192 343193 343195 344198 346199
      347198

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 518244 518234 516227 513219 516212 517203 515193 511187
      509179 510162 509154 508148 503142 499138 497136 494135
      488133 476138 474136 472138 470138 469141 466143 463143
      460145 456144 452143 448141 446135 448128 451123 453121
      456121 455118 457111 459108 457107 455100 452094 436092
      433093 431091 427087 425086 423088 425093 427096 425101
      419103 413102 411096 410088 412081 415076 415071 414067
      414064 409059 404056 398057 393060 387061 384061 382063
      378064 374063 367061 360062 357065 353070 352077 354083
      357089 359093 357095 353095 346093 343091 341088 339084
      336084 331085 327088 320091 313092 307093 298092 284090
      270086 260082 254081 248080 247086 245088 240092 232100
      229106 227114 227122 228126 226129 218137 215141 212147
      207156 205161 207167 209173 216176 219177 220181 219188
      223200 231201 234200 239201 256213 260216 268218 274219
      281220 295220 302219 308220 325225 335234 342242 350249
      354254 360256 374260 381259 388258 400258 412254 418252
      424251 435247 440247 446248 466242 472242 480244 485248
      491250 493248 493244 489239 488236 484234 486225 491223
      493230 500241 503243 505240 503234 502230 504226 506225
      507227 509236 512243 514246 516246 518244
 0.01 502775 500757 499745 495730 493723 491718 487707 482698
      480693 476689 472688 469688 466692 463697 459706 457717
      458731 460746 462749 462753 464757 466763 469769 472778
      478789 483796 486799 490800 495799 497796 500791 501785
      501777 502775
 0.01 505895 504872 502864 499859 496851 494841 489826 485821
      482819 480820 475825 474830 473839 473852 477867 479875
      483883 480890 480899 478903 479909 480912 480918 484924
      489927 489933 487943 483959 483966 482969 482981 484990
      487993 491993 492990 494981 495960 495948 497939 500931
      501928 501924 499920 500915 502908 505895
 0.01 479142 479139 477139 475141 473143 475145 476144 476143
      478143 479142
 0.01 439755 437753 437751 437748 436746 434744 433744 432747
      433749 433752 434754 435756 435758 437758 439755 439755
 0.01 382832 381820 379813 376805 374803 371801 360805 352805
      345803 338803 333806 328811 325814 320814 315812 311809
      307803 303799 297795 291795 273796 266796 258797 252797
      246800 243805 244811 251810 256814 261817 262821 262826
      256834 251840 249845 247849 246852 245860 242871 240879
      239886 239896 241902 237909 236916 234923 235932 237938
      239942 243944 245943 248944 250946 252948 256948 263946
      270946 276948 282950 288948 293948 296946 300942 308931
      318923 323924 328928 334930 337930 338927 340918 344917
      348917 360917 364914 367907 369905 370900 373895 374886
      376877 377862 379853 380846 382832
 0.01 361938 361932 359927 355927 352929 348931 345934 343936
      344941 346943 352943 357943 359941 361938
 0.01 346960 345953 345947 336941 332941 331944 330945 332947
      333950 331953 325954 319954 316958 318962 322963 324964
      319968 314969 308972 306973 306977 312977 317975 328971
      336971 339971 341969 343964 346960
 0.25 464184 466178 466174 462168 458164 456159 452153 446150
      442145 442137 443128 446123 447115 446113 444114 442120
      441122 438122 433121 429125 426132 426138 426142 429154
      430161 430166 429170 424173 420172 417173 415174 415178
      415184 413191 408193 404194 398193 392191 387187 386182
      390178 392175 392170 392163 392154 390148 386145 382143
      381140 380134 382128 389118 399116 403115 407112 408107
      408102 408098 406098 404104 400103 397102 395104 391110
      385112 382111 378112 375115 372119 369123 368129 367137
      364141 359140 354135 353131 355123 356118 353115 350112
      346107 342103 338102 334108 333116 330120 328122 325123
      321120 315113 308106 302102 296100 283098 267095 260095
      254096 243098 238101 236105 234112 234120 235125 236128
      234131 225139 220147 217154 218160 222163 227167 230168
      231170 232177 234181 237184 243186 250187 256188 260188
      264200 269203 274205 283206 289205 294204 299201 307196
      310195 316195 323197 328200 335207 340212 346216 355220
      363224 367224 370225 374226 376223 381221 382223 383227
      380233 383237 389238 397238 403239 408239 414238 422239
      427238 431236 441231 446227 450222 453220 456220 457217
      455213 450213 447212 448208 449203 457192 464184
 0.25 330867 330862 327859 321853 319850 316848 309847 301843
      299840 299835 300827 298819 293814 288812 283814 277818
      272822 262836 256848 251868 251872 250877 249883 245903
      242911 242914 244916 248915 251916 257922 260923 264923
      267922 271923 273927 273932 275936 279937 287936 293933
      302918 306901 316889 321883 325879 330867
 0.50 455179 453171 451162 446157 441151 439141 436140 435143
      434152 439158 442162 443166 446174 447177 449180 452181
      455179
 0.50 420221 421216 419213 415211 413212 409212 406208 401203
      390196 380188 378183 379178 384174 387173 388170 387161
      386156 385153 378153 375152 374150 374145 367145 360147
      357147 354145 349140 344137 340135 337136 332138 327139
      323138 318132 313128 310120 306114 300110 293108 281103
      265103 259100 254099 251099 244102 240106 238114 241118
      243122 243127 244130 243134 238139 233145 232148 232153
      235158 238163 242167 242172 244175 249178 258180 266181
      271191 276196 283198 291197 296194 303191 309190 316189
      325190 332192 336196 340203 344207 349208 352207 356203
      353197 352194 354191 357191 359193 365198 375208 388218
      391224 397228 403232 408232 413230 417227 420221
 0.50 349125 350121 349118 347116 346112 345109 342107 340109
      338112 338115 337119 337121 339125 340127 344128 347127
      349125
 0.50 333158 330154 325151 320148 316144 316140 314137 310137
      304139 303142 304144 309148 314152 318155 324157 331159
      333158
 0.50 322872 322869 321867 317868 312867 311863 306859 300856
      296851 293841 293836 294833 295826 293822 290822 284825
      281828 277829 271830 266836 263844 262848 263853 261860
      259867 256876 254883 252891 250897 249901 249907 253912
      257917 260917 262915 268911 274907 280905 281914 277922
      276925 276930 278933 281934 289932 292930 294927 297920
      299914 302905 305897 313888 319879 322872
 1.00 403219 404217 403214 402212 402211 400209 399207 397206
      396205 394205 392206 391206 390209 391210 391211 393213
      393214 394215 396217 397218 399219 401220 403219 403219
 1.00 381204 383201 382198 380194 374186 371183 369178 369176
      371173 374169 374165 371160 368157 367151 365150 357154
      353148 348146 342145 333145 331144 328146 331150 334152
      345156 354159 357162 359165 354173 350176 346172 345168
      342165 337164 332164 328166 325165 317160 303152 295147
      290145 291150 290162 292165 291168 287170 289172 296173
      299177 308180 317182 323182 328183 334185 338188 342197
      344200 347201 350190 353186 358185 361186 365188 369194
      376202 381204
 1.00 309886 307884 303887 297895 293899 291903 286911 281921
      279925 279928 281928 288927 292925 295915 299904 304895
      309887 309886
 1.00 290870 290858 288850 287833 282840 279846 275864 267878
      262884 258891 256899 256909 258913 262911 268906 278895
      283889 287883 290875 290870
 1.50 376196 376193 374192 372192 372193 373195 374195 375197
      376196
 1.50 350185 346176 344171 341166 332171 326170 323168 315161
      310159 305160 307164 310168 313172 318174 325175 329177
      337183 343191 346192 347190 350185
 1.50 352152 350151 349150 348150 347149 345149 344149 345150
      346151 347152 348154 350154 352152
 1.50 292918 292916 293914 293912 293910 291910 290911 289912
      288914 289916 289918 289920 290922 291920 292918 292918
 1.50 286862 284857 280859 275869 272878 269883 266886 261895
      259907 260909 264907 270900 276892 281883 284873 284866
      286862
 2.00 345187 346185 346182 346180 345178 345176 344173 343171
      343169 341170 341171 340172 338173 337174 337176 338178
      338179 339181 341183 341184 342185 343186 344187 345187
 2.00 280869 280867 279866 278867 277868 277869 277871 278871
      279871 280869
 2.00 275888 275886 274886 272886 271888 270888 269889 268890
      267891 266892 265893 265894 265896 266898 267897 268896
      269896 271894 273892 274890 274889 275888
 3.00 344180 343178 343177 342177 342179 343181 344180

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 542179 544160 546151 544146 535128 529124 523118 517116
      512118 510120 507128 504134 500136 496136 488130 485128
      480126 473121 471118 472113 470105 462100 456098 453095
      447092 443092 433090 425084 420091 417094 414094 406093
      404096 399096 397095 398092 400087 407082 412077 415073
      416069 417065 415064 412061 404065 400067 397065 396062
      393061 386062 381063 375062 371059 370057 372056 378056
      382058 382056 379053 374050 372047 369043 371039 374030
      375027 375021 374017 374010 370002 359988 344978 328968
      308963 297961 293962 289964 283967 279968 276971 269976
      266984 263989 263993 265997 269999 275999 280001 283005
      282009 278018 276021 272025 270032 269038 273040 278041
      282039 289034 295028 299025 303023 311022 319023 329026
      335032 337036 336044 336049 334051 331056 327059 323055
      317049 309045 300044 296044 291045 283047 278049 274052
      272054 274057 278059 281058 290056 296055 301057 299061
      301064 305069 306073 304071 300067 297065 294066 289066
      279065 274065 270063 260060 252065 243067 237073 233077
      230081 226089 225095 226099 227105 230108 235115 240120
      250130 258136 262139 267142 276147 281154 295166 301170
      309173 316174 320174 329177 336183 339187 341192 344198
      347201 349199 351197 352192 354190 360191 369196 375204
      378207 377214 374214 370212 365211 361212 360215 361219
      364223 366223 366228 364234 365239 366244 368249 373256
      374260 378264 383272 395280 401282 405283 415284 423283
      428283 435285 439288 445290 455294 464297 472298 475297
      479300 487306 490307 492306 494303 496293 503291 507288
      510284 513278 515276 519273 520269 521264 522257 521247
      504210 503203 509204 517203 520205 524206 529208 532205
      534203 534197 538191 542179
 0.01 510742 509726 508712 506695 504683 500669 497660 491651
      488648 485647 481646 476648 472650 469653 465662 463671
      454688 453693 451698 450702 447706 440712 436715 433718
      436722 438725 436727 430728 429731 431733 436732 438738
      434746 435753 437756 442756 446753 449744 452733 453729
      458727 462731 462739 464752 470776 470784 472789 473793
      476797 483801 486801 492800 497793 501785 505776 508766
      510753 509745 510742
 0.01 410197 410190 408188 405184 404181 405177 407174 407171
      405171 402172 384172 376172 366170 363170 360168 354163
      351161 348161 345165 345171 347180 350182 354181 357180
      362180 370183 379187 382189 387190 400200 404201 407200
      410197
 0.01 390750 390742 389737 385738 382743 380752 379761 377767
      374771 370772 367770 365766 361758 356758 353759 353756
      356752 358748 361737 361725 361720 362716 363705 362697
      359691 355688 352688 344688 337690 333692 328694 324697
      312708 300719 291727 285733 278740 273747 269755 265761
      261768 258772 257778 254782 251785 241789 236790 234794
      239801 244808 242815 243821 246821 252820 256822 261825
      263829 271833 278840 283842 287842 293836 296829 301822
      306822 309827 310842 314852 319851 322849 325839 328835
      329831 332822 336814 340809 344805 346801 350799 352796
      357795 362798 365800 365805 363810 361818 356826 353835
      353839 355841 357839 362830 367824 370822 371825 370830
      368842 362860 362866 362872 365874 370874 374871 377866
      382859 385848 388837 390815 393794 390780 389769 389763
      389758 390750
 0.01 338786 336785 335787 333788 331790 328792 326793 325795
      322797 320799 322803 324805 327804 329803 332800 333798
      334795 335793 337789 338786
 0.01 318080 318078 316078 316077 314075 313075 312075 311073
      309073 307074 309076 309077 310079 312079 314081 316081
      318081 318080
 0.25 505276 505271 503265 504259 505255 507249 505243 501234
      473224 474214 472211 468209 460211 453214 437216 426215
      424217 420216 417212 413212 409213 406210 398204 395202
      389200 387201 385203 387208 393214 400219 404222 403226
      397233 396237 397241 400250 402261 404266 406269 410272
      414273 423274 428276 434276 451277 460279 468283 471281
      473274 473271 475271 478274 484281 488285 494286 497283
      499278 505276
 0.25 473226 472224 470224 469225 468225 467226 466227 468228
      469228 470226 472226 473226
 0.25 473161 473154 472149 465142 456143 452143 448141 445138
      444133 445128 446125 450122 452120 454116 455108 453104
      450100 445098 436098 432099 429103 423105 421107 423112
      417113 411111 410100 408097 405100 403106 399106 390107
      384107 379106 375105 370106 359106 353104 350102 346099
      344095 340089 336085 331084 328087 325091 323094 318094
      310091 300086 292082 278073 269068 264066 259066 254067
      251069 245073 239078 235083 234088 236093 239095 244098
      253100 259102 262104 267111 272115 281118 285118 289118
      293118 296115 302116 305118 309121 310125 306127 301126
      296125 299127 307130 313132 318131 324131 327133 340145
      350149 354151 357154 360158 364159 369156 386159 389156
      390152 389148 386145 384140 384134 385129 388125 392124
      397125 405130 408133 411138 416145 421145 424146 429151
      433162 439169 442172 445176 444181 441185 441188 444189
      451190 454186 458183 459178 456172 456167 459165 464165
      468165 470164 473161
 0.25 381085 382081 382076 381074 380071 378068 376066 373064
      372068 371073 370075 370079 371082 372084 374087 377088
      379087 381085
 0.25 352715 350708 346705 341709 336713 331716 324718 318721
      312724 306728 303732 295742 288750 282761 279767 277772
      277780 278786 277793 280799 283806 286810 298807 303804
      309800 317792 325784 338762 344752 347745 349739 351727
      352715
 0.25 341006 341001 339999 333995 321990 315989 312988 310984
      309976 308973 305973 298973 292975 285977 283980 284983
      287989 291994 297997 303994 307993 310993 315998 321001
      328002 340007 341006
 0.50 495259 495255 493251 491248 489249 486259 483258 481255
      477250 473245 463239 460233 458229 459226 462220 457219
      454222 451222 451225 453225 455226 457230 452234 440236
      434239 428239 421238 417239 416241 412246 410251 412260
      413262 416263 426268 432268 437265 447258 449256 452255
      457254 472258 478261 482267 486273 488275 490274 491267
      491263 492261 495259
 0.50 479238 477237 476236 474235 473236 473239 475238 477238
      479239 479238
 0.50 452173 451166 453159 449156 445152 442146 440139 439136
      437136 434143 435150 436158 440163 445165 448167 450170
      452173
 0.50 451109 446104 437104 434105 432109 429116 426119 423120
      420121 420124 422128 424130 430127 436122 438121 443120
      445120 448117 451109
 0.50 415222 415221 415220 413217 412218 411218 410219 409220
      408222 407223 407224 407225 409226 410226 411226 412225
      413224 415222 415222
 0.50 398113 398112 396112 394111 393112 393114 394115 395115
      396114 398113 398113
 0.50 353139 354132 352126 353118 350114 347111 344106 340096
      337093 335092 333094 327103 324105 322109 328118 333127
      338135 346141 351141 353139
 0.50 345737 345732 342732 338735 335740 334746 328756 323760
      318761 318757 320754 323751 326745 327738 324727 322726
      318726 313729 305736 297745 291754 289759 287766 286773
      287780 286787 286791 288795 292797 297798 304797 310795
      318788 325779 331770 337759 343749 345743 345737
 0.50 316110 315104 312100 309096 304093 295089 286083 280077
      271072 266069 260068 254069 251073 243077 240081 239084
      239088 243091 246093 251096 257098 273109 278109 279104
      274101 269099 264097 268096 275098 279100 286101 290103
      301107 309111 314112 316110
 1.00 344129 346125 345120 345118 344115 342111 341109 339107
      335108 334110 334114 335117 336119 337122 339125 340127
      344129 344129
 1.00 285091 282084 277080 268077 261075 257074 253075 249076
      247078 249082 251083 258086 266089 273092 282093 285091
 1.50 340117 340115 339115 339117 340118 340117
 1.50 279086 277085 275084 275083 273083 272083 270082 268082
      267083 268084 269085 270085 271086 273087 274087 275088
      277087 279086
 1.50 263080 263079 261078 259077 258076 256077 254077 255079
      256079 257080 259080 261080 263081 263080

$$





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