Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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088
FXUS04 KWBC 210947
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
546 AM EDT WED JUN 21 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 21/1200 UTC THRU JUN 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST...

*SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING REMAINS
LIKELY TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL INTO THE FAR
WESTERN FL PANHANDLE...AND THUS A HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS THIS REGION.*

HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF
COAST REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY...WITH THE
THREAT SPREADING A BIT FURTHER INLAND AS WELL TODAY OVER PORTIONS
OF MS/AL. A BROAD PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH PWAT VALUES OF 2"+ EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH VALUES AROUND 2.5" PROBABLE AS
WELL. IN FACT RECENT RAP RUNS ARE FORECASTING PWAT VALUES NEAR ALL
TIME RECORD MAXES ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/MS/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE
(ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST COULD BE A BIT OVERDONE). NEEDLESS TO SAY
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE RIPE FOR EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RATES EVEN WITHOUT ROBUST DEEP
CONVECTION. CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE WE WILL SEE TWO SEPARATE AREAS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ONE ASSOCIATED WITH A CONVERGENCE AXIS WELL
NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM...AND ANOTHER CLOSER TO (ALTHOUGH
STILL NORTH OF) THE CENTER OF CINDY.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER THE DAY 1 PERIOD APPEARS TO LIKELY BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVERGENCE AXIS AND FEEDER BAND WELL
NORTHEAST OF CINDY. ALREADY SEEING HEAVY RAINFALL IN THIS AREA
MOVING INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE.
SHOULD SEE WAVES OF RAIN CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH STRONG LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT PERSISTING. EXPECT THAT WE WILL SEE A
BROAD SHIELD OF STRATIFORM RAIN WITH EMBEDDED LOW TOPPED
CONVECTIVE CORES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.
THE THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY PROGRESS A BIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH THE
DAY AS WELL...ALTHOUGH WOULD EXPECT THE INTENSITY TO GRADUALLY
WANE THE FURTHER NORTH YOU GO. AS CINDY PROGRESSES WEST THIS
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS MAY TEND TO SLOWLY SHIFT WEST AS
WELL...WITH CONVECTION EVENTUALLY PROPAGATING A BIT BACK TOWARDS
THE NORTHEAST LATER IN THE DAY. SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE
WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THIS HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS AND ITS
INLAND EXTENT. STAYED AWAY FROM THE 12Z ECMWF...WHICH APPEARED TO
BE TAKING CINDY TOO FAR WEST AND THUS ALSO WAS WEST WITH THE HEAVY
RAINFALL. OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE THE 0Z GFS AND UKMET SEEMED TO
BEST MATCH OUR EXPECTED EVOLUTION...ALTHOUGH THE GFS WAS PROBABLY
TOO FAR INLAND WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS...AND THINK THE UKMET IS
PROBABLY KEEPING THE HIGHEST TOTALS TOO CONFINED TO THE COAST.
OVERALL THE QPF FORECAST RELIED HEAVILY ON THE 0Z SUITE OF HIGH
RES MODELS. WPC QPF GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE
AVAILABLE HIGH RES GUIDANCE...WHICH ENDS UP CLOSEST TO THE AXIS
SHOWN BY 0Z NSSL WRF AND GEM REGIONAL. THE DAY 1 WPC QPF IS
CALLING FOR 3"+ FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO SOUTHWEST AL AND THE
WESTERN FL PANHANDLE...WITH 5-8" (LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 10") IN FAR
SOUTHEAST MS INTO FAR SOUTHERN AL AND THE FAR WESTERN FL
PANHANDLE. THIS IS A BIT OF A SHIFT EAST FROM OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST...AND BRINGS SOME HEAVIER TOTALS FURTHER INLAND. AMOUNTS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE SUPPORTED BY ALL THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE.
AGAIN THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY IS NOT REALLY WITH THE GENERAL
MAGNITUDE OF AMOUNTS...BUT WITH THE AXIS OF HIGHEST TOTALS. SOME
CHANCE THE AXIS SHIFTS A BIT WEST OR EAST OF OUR CURRENT
FORECAST...WITH OUR CURRENT FORECAST FEATURING A PLACEMENT IN THE
MIDDLE OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE.

SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING REMAINS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL INTO THE FAR WESTERN FL
PANHANDLE...AND THUS A HIGH RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS THIS
REGION. THE MODERATE AND SLIGHT RISKS WERE EXTENDED A BIT FURTHER
INLAND OVER MS/AL.

THE SECOND AREA OF HEAVIER TOTALS IS FORECAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN
LA COAST INTO FAR SOUTHEAST TX TO THE NORTH OF CINDY`S
CIRCULATION. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE SPEED AND TRACK OF
CINDY WHICH WILL IMPACT THIS RAINFALL AXIS...WITH WPC FOLLOWING A
CONSENSUS...WHICH MATCHES WELL WITH THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK. ONLY
REALLY LEANED AWAY FROM THE 12Z ECMWF (TOO FAR WEST) AND THE 0Z
HRW ARW (TOO FAR EAST)...OTHERWISE A BLEND OF THE GFS/UKMET AND
THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE WAS USED. LOOKING AT AMOUNTS UPWARDS OF 2-4"
THOUGH 12Z THURSDAY..WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS APPROACHING 6"
POSSIBLE. WILL MAINTAIN THE MODERATE RISK FOR FAR SOUTHEAST TX
INTO SOUTHERN LA GIVEN THE HIGH PWAT AIR AND LIKELIHOOD OF
LOCALIZED 5"+ AMOUNTS. DID HOWEVER TRIM THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE
MODERATE RISK. THIS IS BASED ON A SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE
LATEST GUIDANCE AND THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK.


...PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...

LIKELY TO HAVE CONVECTION BREAK OUT TODAY ALONG THE DRY LINE FROM
THE TX PANHANDLE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF A WARM FRONT OVER THE MS VALLEY AND
GREAT LAKES AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES INTO THIS
BOUNDARY. WPC QPF FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE ACROSS THESE REGIONS. NOT EXPECTING ANY ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH PWAT VALUES AROUND OR
JUST ABOVE 1 SD ABOVE AVERAGE ALONG THE DRY LINE COMBINED WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED INTENSE CONVECTIVE
CORES...DOES SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD RISK. NEAR
THE WARM FRONT SOME BRIEF TRAINING COULD LEAD TO A LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT AS WELL...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE AND MAGNITUDE OF THE
THREAT IS LOW. OPTED TO EXTEND A MARGINAL RISK ALONG THE EXPECTED
CONVECTIVE AXIS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WRN/CNTL GULF COAST NEWD INTO THE TN/LOWER OH VALLEY INTO THE
MID ATLC REGION

DAY 2 AND 3

TROPICAL STORM CINDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE BY THE START OF
THE DAY 2 PD NEAR THE TX/LA COAST THEN MOVE SLOWLY NWD THEN NEWD
AROUND THE WRN PERIPHERY OF WRN ATLC/SE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS...EVENTUALLY SHEARING INTO INCREASING WLY FLOW BY DAY 3
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  THOUGH EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WIND WISE...THE
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN A HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT ACRS THE CNTL
AND WRN GULF COAST STATES AS WELL AS NEWD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND
CNTL APLCNS AS DEEP TROPICAL MSTR SPREADS NEWD TO THE EAST OF THE
CIRCULATION.  PATRN SUGGESTS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL REMAIN
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PD..BUT AS THE STORM MOVES NWD THROUGH ERN TX INTO AR THUR
NIGHT...POTNL WILL EXIST FOR SOME NOCTURNAL CONTRACTION OF THE
MORE INTENSE RAINS TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION
THAT COULD ALSO REPEAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE TN VALLEY FRI NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY LEADING TO LOCALLY VERY INTENSE RAINS.  BY DAY 3 THE
INTERACTION OF TROPICAL MSTR SPREADING NWD THROUGH THE TN AND
LOWER OH VALLEYS WITH A COLD FRONT DROPPING SEWD FROM THE UPPER
MIDWEST WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ORGANIZED INTENSE RAINS ACRS PORTIONS
OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY EWD INTO THE CNTL APLCNS.  MANUAL QPF WAS
BASED PRIMARILY ON LATEST NHC STORM TRACK GUIDANCE...WITH HEAVY
EMPHASIS ON A UKMET/GFS BLEND THROUGH MUCH OF THE  DAY 2/3 PD AS
THESE MODELS HAVE COMPARABLE SOLNS WITH NORTHERN STREAM DVLPMENTS
AND WERE REASONABLY CLOSE WITH TS CINDY REMNANTS.  DAY 2 EXCESSIVE
RAIN HAS INCLUDED A SLIGHT TO MDT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS ALONG
CINDYS TRACK NEAR THE ARKLATX REGION AS WELL NEAR THE CNTL GULF
COAST NWD INTO ERN MS AND AL WHERE PERSISTENT ERN END OF DEEPER
LAYERED INFLOW WILL FOCUS MUCH OF THE DAY 2 PD. LOCAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE PSBL ACRS THIS AREA WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES PSBL IN STGR INFLOW BANDS AS WELL AS
WITH NOCTURNAL ENHANCEMENT NEAR THE CENTER.   BY DAY 3...HAVE
INDICATED A RATHER BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA FROM NRN PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER MS VALLEY ENEWD THROUGH THE TN/LOWER OH VALLEYS INTO THE
CNTL APLCNS..GIVEN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWS BETWEEN 2 TO 2.75 INCHES
TO THE NEAR AND WELL EAST OF CINDY THAT WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
AREAL AVG RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THIS
AREA..WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

...UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST...

DAY 2...

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW OR STALL INITIALLY ACRS THE
WRN GT LAKES/UPPER MIDWEST REGION THURS MORNING AS SUPPORTING
UPPER ENERGY SHEARS INTO CANADA.  LOW LEVEL SWLY FLOW IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE ALONG THE BNDRY ON THU IN RESPONSE TO STGR UPSTREAM
ENERGY DROPPING SEWD FROM SASK/MANITOBA REGION..ALLOWING MSTR TO
DEEPEN ALONG THE FRONT TO OVER 1.75 INCHES.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS/TSTMS ALONG THE BNDRY THROUGH THE DAY..SOME
OF WHICH WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY WITH PSBL TRAINING BEFORE SUPPORTING
LOW PRESSURE MOVES NEWD TOWARD THE WRN GT LAKES REGION LATE
THUR/THUR EVENING AND ALLOWS ASSOCD COLD FRONT AND ATTENDING
CONVECTION TO SHIFT RAPIDLY SEWD THUR NIGHT.  THERE IS DECENT
GLOBAL MODEL SUPPORT FOR AN AXIS OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINS ACRS
THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE LOWER GT LAKES REGION..BUT WITH TYPICAL
N/S LATITUDE DIFFERENCES AT THIS TIME RANGE.  GENLY FOLLOWED THE
TREND OF THE GFS/UKMET ALONG WITH THE NAM CONEST WITH THE AXIS OF
HEAVIER RAIN..THOUGH KEPT HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE SOUTHERN AXES OF
THE UKMET/GFS GIVEN TYPICAL BIAS OF BEING TOO FAR NORTH WITH THEIR
CONVECTIVE RAINS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLD
HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL SUPPORT POTNL FOR FLASH FLOODS FROM NE IA EWD
THROUGH SRN IA AND INTO NRN PORTIONS OF THE L.P. OF MI WHERE HAVE
INDICATED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS GIVEN RELATIVELY LOW
FFG VALUES THERE.

DAY 3...

COLD FRONT SHOULD ACCELERATE INTO THE OH VALLEY AND NORTHEAST ON
FRI/FRI NIGHT AND AT THE SAME TIME..SHOULD BEGIN TO DRAW IN SOME
DEEPER TROPICAL MSTR FROM THE TN VALLEY...THOUGH THE NWD EXTENT OF
THE DEEP TROP MSTR WILL BE TEMPERED BY GRADUAL VEERING 85H FLOW
ACRS THE OH VALLEY WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE MUCH DEEPER TROPICAL PWS
AOA 2 INCHES FOCUSED ACRS THE TN AND SRN OH VALLEY EWD.  THE 00Z
UKMET TRENDED TOWARD THE MORE AMPLIFIED GFS WITH S/WV MOVING ACRS
THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GT LAKES BY THE START OF THE
DAY 3 PD.  THE RESULTANT STG DEEPENING OF SFC LOW TRACKING NEWD
INTO CANADA WILL HELP TO ACCELERATE THE COLD FRONT EWD INTO AND
THRU MOST OF NEW ENGLAND BY SAT MORNING.  GIVEN THIS TREND..AND
RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE GFS WITH THE WAVE...LEANED TOWARD A
GFS/UKMET COMPROMISE WITH THE QPF TIMING AND AMOUNTS.  TIMING OF
FRONT WITH PEAK HEATING COULD SUPPORT SOME INTENSE HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS WITH THE COLD FRONT WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINS
EXPECTED FROM NRN NY INTO NRN MAINE WITH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF .50
TO NEAR 1 INCH EXPECTED.  RAINS COULD APCH SOME OF THE LOWER FFG
VALUES BUT OVERALL QUICKER MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FF ISSUES.


...CNTL/SRN PLAINS...

NWLY FLOW PATRN WILL FAVOR SCTD TSTM DVLPMENT IN THE HIER
TERRAIN/UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE CNTL ROCKIES ESPECIALLY BEHIND COLD
FRONT DROPPING SWD THRU THE REGION THAT WILL TRACK SEWD INTO THE
PLAINS ON DAY 2 BECOMING A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG THE FRONT BY
DAY 3 OVER THE SRN PLAINS AS FRONT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER
SIGNIFICANTLY HIER PWS BEING DRAWN WWD ACRS THE RED RIVER REGION
BY SAT MORNING. BY LATE FRI NIGHT..WOULD SUSPECT THERE WOULD BE
SOME INCREASED THREAT OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS AND PSBL ISOLD
EXCESSIVE RAINS DVLPING VCNTY OF THE RED RIVER WWD INTO SE CO/NE
NM GIVEN INCREASING ELY MSTR FLUX INTO THE BNDRY BUT CONFIDENCE IN
AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME RANGE IS RATHER LOW GIVEN LARGE MODEL SPREAD
AND WEAK FORCING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


CHENARD/SULLIVAN

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 559110 551109 547107 543104 537094 534089 532082 529072
      528067 525063 519057 513046 505031 502027 500025 494021
      489014 482008 476001 468002 465999 463998 462994 460991
      460987 458984 457988 457993 457002 456020 454027 452032
      450037 447041 444043 441041 439031 434005 433001 435995
      439987 440983 438979 435972 432974 430978 430985 428987
      397013 392019 389024 387028 386034 387040 392048 397055
      397060 394064 391064 388061 384054 383049 383044 382041
      379041 378047 377062 373066 369064 367059 366055 363050
      357051 352052 348056 342058 340063 334062 327059 319054
      322052 326051 330049 333045 341042 351043 356042 357040
      356037 352036 347038 343038 335034 337023 338019 341013
      345013 349009 367997 374992 382989 390985 394981 395977
      397972 398965 403957 412942 409938 407933 408926 410921
      410915 412912 415911 417907 418898 418891 420891 424893
      424889 423883 423877 419870 415862 411852 407843 405837
      403838 402841 400850 399857 398860 397872 395881 392889
      388892 385889 383884 383877 383870 384865 385852 387840
      389825 391810 390799 392787 392781 389779 386779 376783
      373781 372774 367781 364783 362788 361797 365798 365802
      365807 363811 360818 359822 360827 366850 370861 373866
      375869 376873 375898 368918 361934 356939 346939 341939
      336941 330947 319959 312966 306971 301973 294971 290969
      287965 280961 271958 262954 255948 251941 247932 247920
      248910 251891 252882 254875 258865 262857 265853 274852
      279850 283847 290843 293840 291836 284831 274827 261821
      254817 249811 247807 246802 248798 251797 261798 268800
      276802 280805 291809
 0.01 291809 307812 316809 318801 323767 325758 329749 331740
      330735 331730 335728 341729 346728 348726 352719 356712
      361703 362699 365700 370705 377717 381727 381736 380747
      377758 378760 382759 389755 389747 391739 395722 403705
      405701 409699 413698 417698 419700 422700 425702 426706
      425716 424725 419769 417785 415793 415800 414805 414811
      413816 414819 417819 420817 428814 434816 443827 451840
      456848 462856 466858 470857 475851 477849 481849 488848
      502854 508856 517861 523864 526866 528870 532875 535882
      542898 546908 550919 552930 552944 552957 555966 561982
      564985 565990 566998 567007 568013
 0.01 525256 522256 520256 517257 515257 513259 511260 508262
      507264 507266 507272 508275 510278 511280 513283 516285
 0.01 542197 536190 532189 528187 528181 528175 526166 522157
      522150 521146 521141 519137 516131 512123 509118 509114
      506105 504096 504089 503083 502074 498054 494034 492030
      490030 487032 486037 483049 482060 482071 483082 488102
      489111 488124 491134 491139 491146 494153 498159 494169
      497177 500182 505188 510189 514187 516187 518191 517197
      518201 518207 519210 523216 527217 529216 534216 538213
 0.01 501642 501637 499633 493630 483631 479632 476635 469638
      464642 461646 453660 445670 440684 439691 438695 440697
      442699 441706 440713 439716 439722 442726 446727 447732
      448737 446741 444742 443746 443752 459753 463753 469751
      484728 489711 491695 498680 500676 501672 500666 498664
      498659 499652 501642
 0.01 385196 384195 383193 383192 381192 380195 381195 382197
      384196 385196
 0.01 338080 338078 336075 333074 329074 327076 325076 323080
      323083 324085 326087 328088 331088 333087 335085 336082
      338080
 0.25 559090 555063 555055 554050 551039 548025 548017 545018
      543023 541024 540020 542014 545012 548010 550003 550996
      548989 546979 544974 544968 543959 542951 541935 537926
      533919 526911 521912 518913 515921 507923 504924 498922
      497926 499932 504937 500944 497949 495955 493968 493976
      494982 499988 505996 512002 524014 527018 530024 532027
      537029 539033 537039 535043 535046 532046 532052 534059
      537070 539075 543078 550082 551088 555091 557092 559090
 0.25 471680 470676 468673 461672 458675 457679 456687 456697
      459707 457711 458715 463713 464710 465706 464702 461691
      463687 466687 469686 471683 471680
 0.25 456884 456876 455870 452860 449849 444842 440839 436839
      433847 431853 431859 429862 424864 426873 428886 429898
      429909 427916 424919 422921 421928 423934 426935 428933
      435930 440928 443924 445915 448904 450894 456884
 0.25 444012 445010 445007 445005 446002 446000 446998 445995
      445994 443994 443995 442997 442000 442002 442005 442007
      442009 442012 442014 444013 444012
 0.25 435957 435952 434949 433946 431944 430945 429942 428938
      426936 423938 423942 424947 426949 428951 430953 431955
      434957 435957
 0.25 421964 420961 417961 414966 412971 408977 405982 402986
      399991 401993 405993 411991 414987 415980 418973 421966
      421964
 0.25 420860 420858 420856 420853 420851 420849 420846 419844
      419842 418840 417839 416838 414840 415842 415844 415847
      416849 416851 416854 417855 417856 417858 418860 419861
      420860
 0.25 386004 385001 382001 378004 375006 372006 369007 365011
      361012 354018 347019 345019 343022 347026 352028 357027
      361023 364019 368016 375019 382020 381015 379010 383007
      386004
 0.25 373751 373744 371737 368732 363729 360729 356730 353734
      351738 343752 339760 334767 330771 329776 327789 326794
      325798 322809 316814 312816 307817 291813 279814 273814
      268811 267808 265805 263805 260805 258808 259811 264817
      272822 278825 287826 293826 296828 304823 307823 311826
      317832 317838 315841 312844 307845 297847 292851 284857
      276864 270870 265876 262885 260895 260905 260917 261928
      263934 266939 272945 279951 285956 290959 293962 298962
      305957 314954 319952 323948 322938 326930 330922 331918
      327915 323917 320916 322912 328912 333910 336907 338901
      343899 346897 351897 355897 358894 361891 366889 369888
      368883 361881 358870 356865 356858 356842 357832 351826
      347831 341829 334825 329823 328818 330808 335797 340789
      345781 349775 355769 361774 364776 366773 373751
 0.25 351848 351846 351844 350842 350841 350842 349844 349846
      349848 351850 351848
 0.25 315824 315822 314821 313820 312820 310820 312822 314824
      315824
 0.50 539973 539966 537960 535953 532949 528946 525949 520959
      512963 508967 507973 512983 518991 523994 525994 524988
      529989 534986 536979 539973
 0.50 449879 450874 450870 449862 448856 446850 444848 442849
      439854 435864 433868 431873 432882 431890 432897 433904
      433909 436913 443904 444898 445892 447885 449880 449879
 0.50 357881 356875 353871 347868 345859 342853 340849 336845
      331840 329839 326838 325841 321845 305851 298853 291856
      284861 279867 275871 272878 270888 271897 272906 273917
      271927 271933 272936 277942 281946 288952 293956 295958
      297958 305954 312950 317945 319937 321930 322924 319921
      313916 313912 315909 318903 322901 328901 335898 345890
      352886 357881
 0.50 324818 324816 323814 321814 320815 319815 317816 316817
      317819 318820 319821 321821 323820 324818
 0.50 300819 299817 295817 290816 290820 283819 277819 272817
      274821 279823 285823 292824 298824 300819
 1.00 340882 340876 339872 334867 326866 324864 322862 320858
      317856 309854 304855 299856 294860 284869 281873 281876
      281884 287900 291901 296901 299901 302902 310903 315900
      323897 329894 335889 339884 340882
 1.00 314939 315930 313924 310918 306914 302910 297908 292905
      290904 286906 283911 281916 276927 275933 277937 287944
      294952 300952 307950 311947 314941 314939
 1.50 335882 335877 335873 330870 321865 313858 307856 302857
      297861 293865 286873 286877 286881 289887 295896 306901
      318896 324894 327891 332887 335882
 1.50 312939 313932 311928 307920 301914 293911 287916 282923
      277930 278934 281936 287941 295945 298948 303948 307947
      310944 312939
 2.00 333880 333875 331873 326870 322868 317864 314860 309858
      305858 302859 299862 291870 288875 289881 292887 296891
      299895 304898 317895 322892 325889 330884 333880
 2.00 311939 311933 309930 305924 303918 295914 291916 286921
      283927 281930 283933 284936 287939 292941 300943 304944
      308943 311939
 3.00 327878 326874 323871 316866 310861 306860 303863 297869
      292875 292881 294884 300891 302893 306895 313892 318890
      321887 326881 327878
 3.00 299931 300926 299924 297921 294921 292924 291927 290931
      289933 290937 292938 294937 297935 299933 299931
 4.00 322879 321873 319871 314867 310866 308863 304866 299871
      294876 298884 302889 307890 314887 320881 322879
 5.00 319877 317873 315870 311869 307867 304868 301872 299874
      298878 299882 302886 305888 311886 314884 316881 319877
      319877
 6.00 317877 316874 314872 311871 308869 305870 303872 301875
      300878 301881 303884 305885 309884 311883 313881 315879
      317877
 7.00 313877 313875 312874 310873 308872 306872 305872 303874
      303875 303876 302878 303880 305881 307881 309880 310879
      312878 313877

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 561082 554025 554017 553009 553993 553958 553925 553919
      552914 551898 550892 550885 546872 543861 540855 539848
      535835 531825 528820 527816 522804 518795 512785 508776
      500773 488767 482768 478767 476764 476761 475753 474745
      472741 467731 463723 457714 456712 453711 449710 446709
      442708 441704 438698 436703 435708 430726 418743 412766
      404771 400773 396770 390766 388764 382765 366773 358778
      356781 353784 349783 341781 336782 334781 334778 334774
      330774 327777 324777 323782 320791 319796 316799 309803
      302808 278810 273811 269814 263819 261822 261828 269833
      278834 284835 288837 298836 302836 303842 301846 299846
      295848 290849 287852 273863 268869 263874 252887 249894
      246905 246917 250925 255935 257946 259950 262953 266955
      271956 276956 279957 281959 284967 289969 295969 306969
      318969 323970 327968 343956 348952 355945 359939 364932
      367929 371926 376927 381927 384927 385931 385937 385952
      383964 380974 378981 376985 374990 371994 364000 356005
      345017 346021 343024 339028 337032 333038 331041 332045
      379044 378053 383055 387057 390061 393066 396073 398076
      402075 405072 410073 415066 414055 420048 423045 428045
      432047 436045 440043 442039 442032 444027 448016 451005
      453994 454983 455977 456970 457957 458942 458924 459918
      461915 467906 470903 473898 477895 477888 477881 482880
      488880 492881 496882 500885 501893 502901 500907 497909
      491918 486926 482934 479944 479951 481957 484965 487975
      491986 493992 493998 494006 494013 494028
 0.01 494028 494035 495039 495051 497059 499069 503087 506104
      509104 511106 514115 518133 519137 519144 517148 514144
      508129 503123 498117 492113 489114 487118 486124 486130
      487134 490140 495146 505158 516167 520168 522171 527177
      532184 537183 542181 544177 545171 550151 552140 553126
      554112 556103 561082
 0.01 435026 428016 424014 420013 418010 418007 420003 424999
      425996 425992 421980 418977 415980 410991 408995 407003
      410014 412020 418022 424022 428025 432027 435026
 0.01 386201 386196 385194 383192 380190 378189 375187 373185
      370185 369186 371189 372191 375193 377196 379198 380199
      384201 386201
 0.01 348112 346107 343102 340096 337091 335086 332084 331088
      333090 336095 338100 341105 344111 348112
 0.01 351037 350035 348035 346037 348039 349039 351037
 0.01 316118 317110 314103 313096 314088 309075 300077 295073
      292067 290062 285059 283066 279063 272062 265060 258059
      250056 246053 236046 233046 231049 234054 242063 245067
      250071 259078 266087 271091 276094 284096 287096 288097
      287099 303114 310118 316118
 0.25 536928 536920 534915 533912 530907 528904 526904 525907
      526915 526923 527928 527936 528942 532941 534936 536931
      536928
 0.25 523076 525067 524059 523052 521049 518049 517042 514030
      513015 514007 513999 509989 505980 502966 501960 499962
      497965 498972 500983 505995 506008 506039 506048 507054
      509059 512061 515062 514071 514079 516085 519085 521082
      523076
 0.25 522863 522853 521847 515837 509830 501824 497822 493823
      490827 487833 485846 484853 485860 487862 490861 493858
      498857 501860 509864 515866 520865 522863
 0.25 467824 467808 466793 465786 463779 459773 456772 454773
      451776 443776 441779 440786 439791 437794 429793 421795
      412795 406799 404804 405809 410818 413826 418835 421839
      423842 427841 429839 430841 432848 431854 429864 417878
      415888 414894 414900 415913 415925 415931 417937 418940
      421945 427951 430952 433950 437942 440932 451889 453878
      456868 458857 462849 464844 466837 467824
 0.25 450961 451955 449952 445961 443969 441978 439988 438000
      437004 439006 442003 443000 445990 447981 449971 450961
 0.25 399802 397795 392793 387791 380792 371799 367802 360805
      350811 346815 342820 335843 332849 329853 325857 320860
      298870 287875 280883 277888 277893 279896 281908 283910
      287912 294911 300909 302911 295918 289920 284923 280927
      278934 281939 286938 290936 292939 293945 297949 305958
      311960 315960 322959 326957 336949 344943 352934 360925
      366917 373907 379897 384884 390877 395864 397857 398850
      399835 400818 399802
 0.25 397021 396014 396004 398998 398993 396992 392995 388999
      385004 382010 381016 385020 389025 391026 393025 397021
 0.25 283082 283080 281079 279079 278080 278082 279082 281082
      283082 283082
 0.25 276079 277077 276077 274077 276079 276079
 0.50 460805 460794 459790 457787 454791 451798 447803 445810
      444817 442820 439821 437819 434820 433824 433830 434839
      435849 434858 431865 426878 422892 421900 421909 421920
      422930 426934 428935 429940 430943 433942 435936 440923
      446891 453862 456845 458827 460805
 0.50 395816 395805 394800 392798 387798 385800 382802 380806
      381817 380820 377822 371825 367820 362816 355817 350822
      347828 345835 345845 343851 338857 332861 326864 312869
      300874 294877 291879 289883 288886 287892 289901 292903
      297903 305901 311899 319899 326897 333894 338889 342884
      346879 348878 350879 353880 359882 361886 355891 350895
      344898 337901 325908 319910 313913 308917 301920 293922
      287924 283929 282933 283935 288931 296932 301946 305952
      310956 318957 325954 345937 353927 357921 361914 363907
      366903 372898 376893 379886 384880 388874 391867 393861
      394852 395843 394835 395816
 1.00 453823 453816 452819 449829 445837 441846 438856 435866
      432876 430885 428898 426909 426917 428923 431931 436923
      438918 438914 443891 446880 448870 450859 451846 453823
 1.00 390842 386840 382840 378841 376846 375851 376856 378861
      380866 381870 385870 387865 388861 388854 390849 390844
      390842
 1.00 371876 370869 369865 367858 364856 362853 357854 355859
      354863 357867 362867 365869 367874 370877 371876
 1.00 350919 349912 347909 344908 332913 321917 312922 306926
      303931 303937 304943 311952 314953 318953 323951 328948
      332945 340936 347928 350919
 1.00 334876 335872 333870 329872 325873 320872 312873 304878
      297882 295887 296893 300895 303895 309893 318891 324890
      327888 330880 334876
 1.50 448855 448847 445847 444850 440861 438873 435885 431897
      430912 429917 431919 434914 436909 440897 443885 445872
      448858 448855
 1.50 344921 344917 341913 335914 332915 323919 315923 309928
      306932 305937 310945 312948 317949 327945 332941 338934
      343928 344921
 1.50 321881 318878 313877 310877 305880 301882 299884 298888
      300890 304891 307890 313889 316887 320883 321881
 2.00 446855 446853 446852 446853 446855 446856 446855
 2.00 442875 443873 442871 441873 440875 442877 442875
 2.00 441882 441877 440878 439880 437885 437887 436892 435895
      434899 434902 436903 437899 438897 439894 440890 440885
      441882
 2.00 341926 341919 337916 332917 328920 323923 321927 316935
      313935 314933 317928 314926 310930 308934 310937 312943
      316947 322945 327943 334936 339929 341926
 2.00 316883 316881 314880 312880 310880 309880 307881 305882
      303883 302884 302886 301886 302887 304887 305887 307887
      309886 311886 312886 313886 314885 316883
 3.00 334926 331924 328926 326928 323932 321935 317938 317943
      321940 327939 330937 332933 333928 334926

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 462623 470624 474625 478623 486624 494622 499630 502632
      503638 507645 510653 511662 513670 515676 518681 523693
      523704 522717 525725 529735 529748 530761 529768 529775
      528799 528808 527812 527824 526848 524873 528901 531915
      533930 533939 532945 531960 527966 526973 525978 520983
      515985 511985 504983 501980 497980 485970 482967 479962
      474952 472947 471940 471934 472928 473923 473916 472910
      472902 478887 483879 487871 486863 485859 483848 482842
      481837 480830 477825 473819 469814 461820 455825 448831
      443838 431852 429857 426862 423872 408904 400919 398927
      397933 396939 395944 395952 397966 398979 398991 400996
      403998 405996 408991 411988 417993 422999 425003 426007
      429016 435035 435040 431040 427042 423042 416043 407043
      401042 398046 402058 401061 395060 389060 383060 374061
      370062 368057 359058 355058 351057 346051 344047 343043
      342037 339036 337036 335033 325032 315030 324021 328012
      331001 328991 324982 320974 314969 305967 296965 293962
      292958 289949 288943 290943 290939 288937 286937 279939
      276932 275929 277925 280918 279912 280910 285903 290894
      296889 304883 310877 313874 315869 318860 328848 337835
      342828 345820 350806 352804 351801 348798 344794 343787
      342781 344776 348769 352762 358754 369740 376723 379716
      385719 398726 405728 409727 411725 418719 427713 435697
      440687 443676 444671 443663 441650 441642 444639 447633
      450627
 0.01 533174 534170 534167 531164 523157 519147 512140 506135
      501131 496129 488126 482124 479119 475111 472107 468105
      464112 465118 468122 473129 481136 487143 492153 494156
      497159 504167 510173 521177 524181 528180 533174
 0.01 528047 528042 527039 525033 521025 516020 508010 508004
      506002 502997 494987 484977 476969 467959 460948 458945
      455944 450942 447945 447947 449953 452962 454969 459982
      462989 465992 467991 469989 472987 477990 482997 486002
      490008 490013 489026 489038 492043 497046 504048 510051
      515051 519050 525049 528047
 0.01 446048 446046 445043 445041 445038 443036 441036 440038
      441041 443043 444046 446048 446048
 0.01 321061 319056 316052 311048 306045 300043 297043 296046
      296053 297056 299057 305056 311058 315062 319063 321061
 0.01 303842 303840 301838 301837 299836 299835 297834 295834
      295836 295838 295841 294843 295845 296845 298847 300847
      300846 301845 302844 303842 303842
 0.01 258801 257799 253799 251800 249802 248804 248808 248812
      249816 250816 251813 252810 253808 255806 257803 258801
 0.25 516158 516153 514151 510146 505143 500140 496137 492137
      490139 492144 495148 499152 504157 508160 514160 516158
 0.25 487655 487651 486647 483643 481636 478632 476631 473633
      470638 465645 461650 457654 455659 454665 451677 450692
      446702 442713 439723 435732 430745 425754 424763 421768
      419771 417763 415760 407754 399749 392746 387744 380744
      377745 376748 374753 372765 373770 371775 364794 358814
      353826 348835 337854 332862 326869 320877 315883 311888
      309893 307897 312899 317902 319906 318912 319917 320924
      322929 325933 327937 330942 334945 337946 342945 345942
      347937 348931 351925 359916 363913 368911 370911 374908
      381902 387895 392887 397876 401864 410843 417822 425803
      427797 429790 431783 433779 439770 444760 446761 447764
      447771 447778 445784 442794 441800 442804 444804 457785
      462782 468780 478776 489773 492769 494764 495757 495751
      495743 494736 489707 485692 484687 485683 486676 485663
      487655
 0.25 385049 385048 384047 383047 381046 380046 379046 378048
      377049 377051 379051 381051 382051 383051 385051 385049
 0.25 356002 357991 355985 352977 346972 342967 339966 335968
      335972 335978 336986 339994 342002 346006 348009 352009
      354007 356003 356002
 0.50 478648 477641 473637 469643 468649 467656 465661 463668
      462676 460686 454699 451710 447724 446736 448744 453747
      456751 458758 460766 462771 475753 477746 477740 478731
      478724 476710 474701 473695 474663 476654 478648
 0.50 408796 407789 405785 401778 396767 393763 390760 387758
      383759 379766 377772 376777 373788 370796 366803 362813
      358823 355832 352839 340856 331869 326877 323882 323887
      325891 327894 333895 333897 328907 326911 325917 326924
      328927 335930 340930 344927 350920 376895 387884 391875
      395865 399855 402847 408826 408818 408810 407800 408796
 1.00 462713 461711 460712 459714 459716 460717 461716 462715
      462713
 1.00 399802 399797 397794 394788 390785 387785 384786 382789
      378795 375801 367815 361828 358836 356844 353851 349857
      345864 344868 344873 345881 344889 341897 340901 337904
      333908 330915 331922 333924 338924 341922 346919 351914
      356908 360903 369891 371883 377878 381878 384875 387870
      392853 395845 396837 397826 398816 399802
 1.50 394810 395800 392794 387796 381799 379805 376810 368820
      362831 360838 359845 356852 354857 351864 350868 351873
      353879 352885 349892 346898 339906 335912 334917 335920
      339920 342919 346915 353904 361896 364891 366883 371871
      382864 391840 394810
 1.50 384818 382817 381819 379821 378824 377828 376831 376835
      378837 380838 382836 384832 384829 384825 384820 384818
 2.00 392808 392803 392801 390801 388804 387807 387811 387815
      387820 388824 388829 389832 389829 389824 390822 391817
      391815 392810 392808
 2.00 383850 381845 376845 374848 372848 374844 375840 374835
      372828 369825 367827 364833 362841 361845 362850 359856
      356861 355870 356877 356885 354893 356895 359894 363881
      366875 369867 371861 374858 377857 381853 383850
 2.00 343915 343912 343910 342909 341910 339912 339913 337915
      338917 339917 340917 341916 342915 343915
 3.00 370840 370838 369838 368836 366838 365840 365842 364843
      365843 366844 368843 368842 370840 370840
 3.00 367865 366863 364864 363865 362866 361867 361868 360870
      359872 361873 362872 363872 364869 366867 367865

$$





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