Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250920
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
519 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 25/1200 UTC THRU MAY 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR



DAY 1...


...OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

THE AMPLIFIED...FULL-LATITUDE UPPER TROUGH NOW EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS GENERATING 500 MB HEIGHT ANOMALIES SOME 5-6
STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER LOW MIGRATING SLOWLY FROM THE OH VALLEY
ENE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WHILE THE
ATTENDANT TROUGH AXIS BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED...PIVOTING
NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...THEN NORTHWARD INTO COASTAL
NEW ENGLAND. SUCH A NEGATIVE TILT AND SHORTENING WAVELENGTH
BETWEEN THE UPPER TROUGH AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGE WILL PROVIDE ROBUST
DPVA/UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND ALONG-STREAM DIVERGENCE ALOFT FROM
EASTERN PA/NORTHERN NJ/SOUTHERN NY NORTHEAST THROUGH EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND...AND AS SUCH THE MODELS CONTINUE TO PORTRAY A FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD SWATH OF MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THESE AREAS...ALONG
WITH ANOTHER MAX NEAR/ALONG LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO UNDERNEATH THE
TROWAL WHERE THE MODELS DEPICT ENHANCED UPPER DIVERGENCE VIA THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET STREAK LIFTING NORTH.
ACROSS BOTH AREAS...INSTABILITY WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE (MEAN CAPES AT
MOST ~200 J/KG PER THE MODELS)...THEREBY INHIBITING SHORT-TERM
RAINFALL RATES AS EXPECT THE BULK OF 1-1.5" AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS
TO FALL WITHIN A 6-12 HOUR PERIOD. FOR THIS REASON...DO NOT
ANTICIPATE ANY SHORT-TERM RUNOFF ISSUES.

ACROSS EASTERN KY...SOUTHERN WV...AND SOUTHWEST VA...WITH THE MAIN
WARM CONVEYOR BELT (WCB) MOISTURE HAVING PUSHED OFF TO THE
EAST...LINGERING OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED RAINFALL DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION
AXIS/ELONGATED TROWAL WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL TOTALS ON AVERAGE OF
0.50-1.0 INCH. WHILE THE LACK OF INSTABILITY OVER THIS REGION WILL
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL/COVERAGE OF HIGHER AMOUNTS AS WELL AS RAINFALL
RATES...WPC WILL NONETHELESS INCLUDE A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL IN THE DAY 1 ERO GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT WET SOILS/LOW FFG
VALUES.



DAY 2 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT)...

ON FRIDAY WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY PUSH EAST
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND INTO THE OH VALLEY. MOST GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN SHOWING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INCREASES AND ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE WAVE.
DIFFERENCES DO HOWEVER EXIST WITHIN THE GUIDANCE WITH REGARDS TO
THE EXACT COVERAGE AND LOCATION OF GREATEST FOCUS. HAVE GENERALLY
OPTED TO STAY PRETTY CLOSE TO A BLEND THE GFS/ECMWF...WHICH HAVE
BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT. MODEL QPF SIGNALS ARE NOT ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE...AND NEITHER MOISTURE TRANSPORT MAGNITUDE OR PWAT
ANOMALIES REALLY STAND OUT AS ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER CAPE
AND SHEAR ARE CERTAINLY SUFFICIENT FOR CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION...AND COULD POSSIBLY SEE ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES FORM SOMEWHERE BETWEEN MO AND SOUTHWEST OH. THUS LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST ARE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NEAR THE OH/IN BORDER IS QUITE LOW...WITH WEDNESDAYS
RAINFALL HELPING SATURATE THE GROUND. WHILE WE WILL LIKELY SEE
SOME RECOVERY OF GUIDANCE BY FRIDAY NIGHT...THINK GROUND
CONDITIONS MAY VERY WELL STILL BE ANOMALOUSLY WET. THUS HAVE OPTED
TO INTRODUCE A MARGINAL RISK AREA OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN IN INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF OH/KY.

THE OTHER AREA TO WATCH DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD IS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. PORTIONS OF WY...EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS/NE WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN SYNOPTIC ASCENT WITH THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE AND
RIGHT ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS FROM AN UPPER JET PASSING TO THE
NORTH. IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL HAVE A STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AXIS...WITH AN UPTICK IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS
BOUNDARY BY 0Z. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE CONVECTION FORM OVER PORTIONS
OF WY/CO/NE/KS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE ACTIVITY MOVING
EASTWARD. LIKELY TO HAVE SUPERCELLS...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
CONVECTION ORGANIZATION INTO A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR TWO INTO THE
NIGHT. WITH PWAT VALUES RUNNING 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL AND THE EXPECTED ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION LOCALLY HEAVY
TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. HAVE THUS EXPANDED THE MARGINAL RISK TO
INCLUDE MOST OF NORTHEAST CO ONTO WESTERN NE AND NORTHWEST KS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE EXITING NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE
DAY FRIDAY. GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR THE
LINGERING QPF ACROSS THIS REGION.

DAY 3 (12Z SAT-12Z SUN)...

A COMPLEX CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS EAST INTO THE MS VALLEY...OH/TN VALLEYS
AND THE MID ATLANTIC ON DAY 3. A FEW DIFFERENT BOUNDARIES WILL
LIKELY COME INTO PLAY IMPACTING CONVECTIVE LOCATION. FOR ONE THE
FRIDAY NIGHT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND
OH/TN VALLEYS MAY VERY WELL LAY OUT A WEST TO EAST OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALSO SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPROACHING
THE PLAINS AND INCREASING DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO STRENGTHEN NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRIEFLY LIFT AS A WARM FRONT NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY...WITH IT PUSHING SOUTH AS A COLD
FRONT AS THE LOW MOVES QUICKLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALSO THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN
PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT COULD SURVIVE THE TRIP EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE PLAINS...ADDING ANOTHER POSSIBLE BOUNDARY AND MCV INTO PLAY.
IN THE BROADER SENSE THE APPROACHING TROUGH AND DEVELOPING LOW
WILL RESULT IN A BROAD WARM SECTOR...WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TRANSPORT...MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY...AND ANOMALOUS
PWAT VALUES. THUS APPEARS LIKELY THAT WE WILL SEE NUMEROUS
CONVECTION FORM SATURDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL STRETCHING FROM
OK/KS ALL THE WAY TOWARDS WV ALONG THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS. IN
GENERAL STORMS SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE...HOWEVER THE 850MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AXIS DOES NOT MOVE MUCH FROM OK TO WV THROUGH THE
DAY...AND WITH MEAN WINDS GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THIS AXIS...AND
RELATIVELY WEAK CORFIDI VECTORS...WOULD EXPECT THAT WE WOULD SEE
SOME REPEAT CONVECTION AND/OR BACKBUILDING AT TIMES. TOUGH TO
REALLY NARROW DOWN THE LOCATION AT GREATEST RISK...THUS HAVE OPTED
TO GO WITH A LARGE SLIGHT RISK FROM PORTIONS OF MO/AR EAST
NORTHEAST INTO WV. OVERALL A MESSY SETUP...AND WHILE WIDESPREAD
FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY NOT DEVELOP...WOULD EXPECT TO SEE AT LEAST
SEE SOME FLOODING CONCERNS WITHIN/NEAR THE SLIGHT RISK ZONE.

SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH THE AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF. OVERALL
STAYED AWAY FROM THE NAM/GEM/UKMET SOLUTIONS...WHICH ALL SEEMED TO
SHOW LESS LIKELY EVOLUTIONS. EVEN THOUGH THE GFS/ECMWF ARE A BIT
DIFFERENT...THEY ARE PROBABLY THE CLOSEST CLUSTER OF AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE...AND HAVE GENERALLY BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS EACH OTHER.
THUS WPC QPF STAYED PRETTY CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF COMPROMISE. AS
MENTIONED ABOVE ITS A TRICKY QPF FORECAST...WITH UNCERTAINTY IN
BOTH CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW LOCATIONS AS WELL AS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT
OF THE SYNOPTIC LOW MOVING NORTHEAST WITH TIME. QPF WILL DEPEND ON
EXACTLY HOW THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH THE VARIOUS
BOUNDARIES IN PLAY. IN GENERAL THE SLIGHT RISK REGION HAS DECENT
OVERLAP BETWEEN THE 0Z GEFS MEAN AND 12Z EC MEAN AXIS OF HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES FOR HEAVIER TOTALS.


HURLEY/CHENARD



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 559107 544118 536124 527128 526129 523129 519126 513118
      511113 509110 506110 497115 493113 491112 490108 489101
      490093 493076 491063 488049 489033 491028 494022 496016
      495011 493010 474001 473996 475989 482979 490974 492974
      493971 490967 487962 482960 481958 477957 471957 468957
      466955 460954 455952 454949 453939 454935 455932 459923
      462918 468916 477914 482914 485917 487917 497921 502921
      507924 509926 511926 516923 519923 520924 523931 525936
      530938 538944 541947 544952 547955 550960 553967 554974
      555978 557981 562984 565985 567988 568991 569997
 0.01 535179 535171 532165 533155 533149 531146 528142 523142
      520143 519146 518156 520162 521167 522170 521175 523179
      526183 530183 535179
 0.01 512176 512170 511166 510159 508151 504150 499135 496130
      492126 480119 480115 481112 484105 487098 486093 485090
      482088 477088 471085 466088 463094 460099 458102 456100
      454092 452089 447088 443086 439084 436085 433090 428085
      425086 424088 427094 431099 431104 427105 428108 433111
      436114 437119 438121 438127 434143 434153 438160 446169
      447172 444175 440178 438181 437185 437192 438194 441194
      444193 447190 450185 455182 459183 462186 467190 470187
      469182 464181 463176 464169 469165 474164 481164 484164
      484168 481186 481192 479194 474196 468198 462199 459200
      457204 455214 457221 459223 462224 468223 473219 485220
      493220 497218 499209 499203 498200 494194 492191 493184
      494180 496179 501178 512176
 0.01 496812 489778 484766 482761 481757 483753 484746 483736
      482726 479717 478707 477702 476699 473682 471661 471654
      470643 468636 464632 455630 429642 423643 420644 418646
      410652 402662 392670 388673 385678 378687 372699 368703
      362707 353713 341719 329725 324728 319733 313740 307749
      303755 299758 295761 290760 288758 282756 278757 272760
      268763 258769 249776 245779 243785 245787 245790 246794
      244795 245790 243785 240783 237783 233785 228789 224793
      222801 225809 225817 226826 225832 226841 227846 229851
      234854 239854 245852 248849 256842 266833 276826 284818
      291809 298801 301797 306793 326777 329774 335770 342764
      352755 354754 355756 353760 358773 357779 354784 352790
      348794 345801 347807 356810 354822 351828 349835 352840
      358841 363852 371858 381864 397864 402864 405864 406862
      415854 425848 430844 431841 435841 440842 445844 449846
      454850 458854 463854 470853 471848 473844 475842 481838
      488836 491833 494829 496824 495816 496812
 0.01 452078 450074 446072 443069 440067 436066 432068 430073
      430078 434082 436078 439074 444076 448080 451080 452078
 0.01 425139 426136 426134 426132 426129 426127 425126 425127
      423129 422131 422133 421136 421138 421140 423141 424141
      425139 425139
 0.01 429051 429044 429041 426032 423025 420015 419005 416998
      412990 410987 407984 403977 397974 388974 386976 383979
      382983 383987 384995 387003 392011 391022 392026 392032
      391044 385049 385052 388055 384063 382065 380067 378065
      374064 370063 367065 369068 372069 374074 374078 376081
      382088 380092 382094 385095 387093 393089 402093 402105
      403108 406110 409110 412107 413103 414097 414086 416078
      420071 424063 429051
 0.01 388959 388952 386947 386943 384936 384929 382922 380920
      377919 375925 375931 376940 378947 380954 382958 386961
      388959
 0.01 359752 358750 356751 355752 357754 358753 359752
 0.25 566044 565034 564026 559010 557003 554997 545989 540986
      534986 529989 525989 519985 513984 507985 502988 497993
      496996 497999 508004 510007 511013 511020 513028 517034
      521039 525042 529048 531055 527072 521086 520094 521102
      525106 530109 536108 540106 544102 550100 556097 560094
      562090
 0.25 482806 482799 479790 473780 470776 466775 464777 459779
      456776 453769 453762 458763 461763 463761 463752 465744
      464735 462728 459721 459716 459710 460695 458664 458653
      457648 453645 446646 441645 434645 423651 418653 412657
      404666 388681 376698 368709 359717 336728 326733 322736
      318741 313749 307758 303763 301765 296766 284763 279762
      273766 264772 261776 259781 255791 251802 247806 244813
      239823 235832 234838 233844 235847 238847 243844 246840
      248836 249831 254828 260824 264819 268815 271810 273805
      277801 284796 289792 295788 304782 315777 323771 332763
      341755 351748 359742 363738 370735 374732 381730 388729
      391733 393739 394747 393754 391759 389771 388777 389782
      387789 383795 379798 371806 364815 361820 362823 365829
      366836 369843 372849 377852 383853 388850 391846 394840
      394833 392826 392823 396823 406826 410830 416830 429827
      441822 445818 451816 461819 468818 471819 476820 480817
      482812 482806
 0.25 473108 473106 473105 472103 470104 469105 468107 468110
      469112 471112 472111 473109 473108
 0.25 469095 469093 469092 467093 468095 469095 469095
 0.25 452156 452151 453146 453143 451139 450137 446137 446140
      446143 444144 442145 441149 441152 443155 444158 445161
      449162 451158 452156
 0.25 442094 441093 441091 440090 438090 437090 437093 438095
      440095 441094 442094
 0.25 409068 405065 404061 405058 400057 399062 397067 395071
      395078 399080 402076 404072 406069 409068
 0.25 406017 407014 407012 407010 407007 407005 406003 405003
      404002 404003 403005 403006 402007 402009 402012 402014
      402015 403016 404018 406018 406017
 0.25 392997 392995 392993 392991 391988 390990 390993 390995
      390997 390998 392997
 0.50 563065 564055 564049 562041 560035 552030 549025 547023
      547020 547010 545004 541002 539002 537005 535012 532014
      524020 520021 518023 519025 522029 525031 528031 534031
      538029 541027 543033 545040 544049 540062 538069 536072
      530082 529089 529095 532098 537100 544094 554092 557089
      559084 563068 563065
 0.50 517994 516993 515991 514991 513993 512993 511993 512994
      513994 515994 516994 517994
 0.50 453663 453654 451652 448652 443651 438649 433649 428651
      418655 412659 409662 402670 393678 387687 380697 374706
      369714 361721 357724 351725 346726 339728 330734 323738
      320742 314753 308761 303768 297770 292769 286767 281766
      276768 270772 267776 264777 263779 261784 260789 260794
      260798 261801 266803 270800 273797 279795 287789 294783
      301776 307772 314771 320769 324767 341752 355739 363733
      373727 378723 382722 389722 394724 399737 401754 401761
      402763 405763 408764 410769 411775 408781 408789 403790
      398793 392794 384798 376807 372810 369814 367819 369828
      370832 373837 375842 379845 384845 387842 388839 385825
      384821 384813 386809 390804 394803 396809 400811 397805
      395802 398798 404797 408810 408816 410823 414826 420826
      425824 428818 437813 444805 447800 448795 448760 447752
      444752 440755 435757 431759 426757 426752 427745 426739
      426733 436729 442719 450709 453705 454698 454688 453675
      453663
 0.50 460743 460738 459734 457732 455732 454733 452735 449738
      448741 449746 451748 453749 457749 459746 460743
 0.50 447153 447151 446150 445149 444150 444152 445153 446154
      447153
 0.50 244839 245837 245835 245833 244831 243831 242831 240833
      239833 238835 238836 237838 237839 236840 236842 237844
      239845 241844 241843 242842 243841 244840 244839
 1.00 555072 556068 555065 552068 549071 547074 543076 539078
      537083 538086 540088 542084 545081 550081 553078 555073
      555072
 1.00 446695 445681 444673 441668 430654 420658 415660 412663
      406670 400676 394682 390690 387699 386703 386710 388714
      391716 399719 408721 416722 418727 421724 423720 427719
      434716 442711 445703 446695
 1.00 443778 444774 442769 440767 434771 431776 429783 427788
      424794 426801 431803 436801 440796 441788 443781 443778
 1.00 420818 421815 420813 419813 418813 417814 416815 415816
      414819 415821 416821 418821 419820 420819 420818
 1.00 412746 411745 410744 409744 407745 406747 407750 408750
      410750 411749 411748 412746
 1.00 349734 349731 347730 343731 336735 329739 324744 320750
      318757 319761 323761 329757 334752 339747 344743 348736
      349734
 1.00 292778 291773 287770 283770 278771 275774 273778 273783
      276786 278788 283787 287785 290782 292779 292778
 1.50 431667 428664 425663 416665 414665 412668 410671 405675
      399681 394687 395693 399694 403686 411680 420677 425675
      430673 431667
 1.50 434698 435696 433694 431696 431697 430699 430701 431701
      432702 433701 434700 434698
 1.50 438791 438789 438787 436785 434785 433787 432790 433792
      433795 434795 435795 437794 438791
 1.50 410697 407697 402697 398697 396701 393705 393711 396713
      400714 405712 407710 409705 410700 410697
 1.50 289778 289776 288774 287773 286773 284773 282773 280774
      279776 277778 277779 277780 277782 277783 278784 280785
      281785 283785 285784 286783 287782 288781 288780 289778
 2.00 285781 286779 285777 284776 282776 281777 281778 280780
      279782 281783 283783 285782 285781

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 486614 487621 489626 491639 491651 489660 488666 485671
      481680 473698 470744 468752 463758 454759 451760 448759
      443761 443768 442772 443779 440789 437796 435801 431804
      429803 429798 426791 423797 420805 417814 415817 410817
      409821 412824 416829 419832 418834 417838 418844 424862
      429871 434876 439882 442885 445882 447879 451877 453882
      458883 459869 461860 463851 468843 469841 473840 477839
      479837 487835 492834 495832 504831 511837 523847 534858
      537860 541863 547871 552877 557884 559888 560891 559894
      557896 553898 550899 549900 550903 553911 556922 558933
      561943 562950 563955 564968 565983 566996 566005 566012
      564029 561043 559054 556066 552077 547082 543084 539084
      532083 526079 520073 515067 515063 512061 505042 504032
      504024 501019 496011 496004 495000 495984 494979 494971
      492960 492956 491953 487950 481947 472945 465944 461943
      458942 451939 447938 442940 438940 435938 431938 428935
      421931 417924 415920 415914 418903 418898 417893 416890
      413889 410892 405897 401900 400904 398913 396918 396925
      398930 396937 394947 391956 389961 386964 382964 379961
      376951 375945 372945 365951 359954 354953 352949 350940
      350931 347924 342917 341912 342910 355903 362899 365896
      366891 366885 363881 360874 359867 359860 361850 363841
      367831 377816 379812 380805 383798 378795 376791 378788
      381785 385784 389785 391787 394789 398789 405785 412779
      416773 416767 415763 410754 403746 400742 403739 406734
      407729 406722 405716 402707 405699 409692 414684 418678
      422669 419664 417662 411657 406656 406651 412640
 0.01 478160 476151 472142 478134 480130 478126 475124 470122
      467119 464121 458123 454131 452128 453125 455121 457114
      460113 468108 471106 470105 465097 462094 457093 453075
      450071 447068 443061 443054 442049 439044 436041 434038
      434032 435025 436022 437010 438004 438999 435988 434984
      433977 431973 429974 424977 421978 416973 409968 401966
      397964 394965 390974 388985 387990 381992 376992 374994
      375998 375005 372014 370019 370023 370032 374039 377049
      380061 384068 387066 392068 397075 396081 393080 390077
      388078 382083 383086 386089 392091 391096 389102 389107
      396105 397108 397114 397121 400123 402125 404123 409129
      410132 409135 408138 407139 402141 400143 403146 404151
      413160 415162 415166 414172 415175 417180 418182 421181
      423178 424170 429166 427160 426155 429154 432154 436160
      442166 444169 444171 445176 442180 439181 436178 433178
      432180 433186 435190 438193 442193 455184 459178 461173
      462168 463163 466163 472166 478160
 0.01 450085 449083 449082 448080 446079 444079 443077 442077
      441076 440076 440079 441081 441084 442086 444087 445087
      447086 449086 450085
 0.01 445041 445038 445036 443034 443031 442031 440031 438031
      437031 436033 436035 436038 438038 439040 440040 441041
      443043 445041 445041
 0.01 439762 437761 436761 434761 432762 431764 429767 431769
      433768 434766 436765 438765 439762
 0.01 394195 393193 390191 387190 383189 382187 378186 375185
      372186 374188 375191 377193 379195 382196 386197 389198
      392197 394195
 0.01 393144 394138 394131 392130 389130 388123 388118 385120
      382122 381128 381133 385136 386141 389144 393144
 0.01 346187 347183 345181 343179 340177 338175 337173 335171
      332171 333174 334176 336179 337181 340183 342185 344187
      346187
 0.01 268777 265773 263771 260772 251779 245787 241792 239797
      238810 238818 238822 239824 241826 243825 248821 252817
      257815 262815 265811 266808 266804 262801 264796 266790
      268777
 0.25 476618 480629 481635 480639 476659 474669 472678 466696
      461703 456710 450715 443719 435723 432722 430719 430712
      432709 437702 440684 441673 440662 440650 441640 441630
 0.25 560013 561001 561993 558976 553962 550957 545959 541963
      539969 539979 538989 537001 537011 538020 540027 543034
      546038 550038 553034 558020 560013
 0.25 534885 534883 533882 532880 530880 529881 529883 530885
      531886 532887 534887 534885
 0.25 481927 481924 479924 474923 469922 465922 462923 457924
      454925 454928 457930 462930 466930 471929 476928 481927
      481927
 0.25 446075 446070 443067 439063 437059 438055 435052 429051
      427047 427042 429029 431018 432011 431004 429001 425999
      419997 416999 413003 408004 406001 405996 401988 400981
      400973 398970 396970 394975 394981 393988 392993 389998
      386000 383004 382010 380019 381024 383029 387038 388043
      390046 394044 397043 404047 406050 404054 406056 409059
      409065 408075 406089 410092 412088 414086 416087 421093
      426101 429105 434107 435110 439109 442098 442093 439088
      436085 432085 427085 426083 427080 429077 432077 441073
      446075
 0.25 432061 432059 431059 430058 428061 427063 427065 428067
      429066 430066 431063 431062 432061
 0.25 410866 410852 406846 396834 393831 390831 388840 380843
      377846 377850 380858 380868 388881 386902 384905 382910
      384912 385911 388909 392900 396894 404880 409872 410866
 0.25 357923 358921 357919 357918 355919 356921 357923 357923
 0.25 259805 258803 257802 256803 255804 254805 253806 254807
      255808 256808 257807 258807 259805
 0.50 463623 469623 472627 474629 475634 475641 472655 470671
      469678 466684 464690 461694 454696 450694 448689 448680
      449672 447663 447655 448648 450635 455626
 0.50 436100 437098 437095 438093 436091 435091 433092 431094
      430097 431097 432099 432100 434102 436100 436100
 0.50 429013 428009 425006 423003 418002 415010 411019 406025
      404021 403016 402005 401995 398992 394993 390002 388010
      384020 385026 387030 393036 396038 400037 401032 403028
      406032 408037 408042 410046 413048 416047 419045 420039
      424031 427023 429013
 0.50 404871 404862 403857 401856 397858 394851 392850 388851
      386852 386856 387863 393867 393874 392881 395885 399883
      402877 404871
 1.00 463660 463658 462656 462655 460655 459655 458657 457658
      457660 457662 458664 460666 461666 462667 462666 463663
      463661 463660
 1.00 425015 425013 423010 420009 418010 416015 416017 415022
      416026 416027 414029 415031 416031 419029 421027 423025
      423022 425018 425015
 1.00 397023 397021 397018 397016 395014 395013 395014 394016
      393017 392018 392020 393023 395025 397025 397023
 1.00 397004 396002 395002 394002 393004 394006 395006 397004

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 532878 531869 530862 530852 529846 528843 527834 525828
      522813 519799 515788 511775 508767 500750 497745 494743
      487740 478741 472745 469748 466753 465757 465762 463775
      462779 458778 456781 450789 442798 437805 429809 417799
      410794 407793 405790 395770 392760 389759 388754 386744
      381736 375728 366720 364720 363717 362709 360693 357682
      349688 343697 340704 335713 332722 330731 329736 330743
      332752 336758 344759 346762 346765 344770 340779 339787
      339795 341798 345799 350802 352807 350828 350835 346839
      341847 338849 333852 330854 331860 331865 333870 332881
      331885 331891 332896 333902 332908 331912 328921 326932
      325941 323948 317969 314980 314987 311991 307998 300004
      286011 279010 274009 264007 259007 256012 253012 253017
      257023 263025 266027 269030 273032 280033 288033 292031
      295028 299024 300019 298018 297016 302013 308006 313001
      322998 326998 329996 335991 337989 339990 342993 348989
      350987 354985 357985 358988 356992 354994 355997 356003
      358014 357021 358027 363039 365045 363050 366053 372054
      376057 376062 374067 373073 373081 374086 375093 378097
      379099 381097 384095 387095 391097 391102 389107 388109
      386111 379113 376115 374121 373123 376123 381122 385122
      388120 392118 397117 404117 412118 420115 430113 447107
      453101 449093 435094 431091 429085 430080 434077 436075
      441075 448080 449079 448075 443069 435062 436042 436037
      433032 432029 432025 434018 438995 438977 439962 439946
      439938 440933 442928 445923 450918 453899 453889 451887
      448891 443901 439906 434909 433911 430910 428904 431892
      438873 444864 450858 454847 458837 459833 460831 462832
      462839 461845 458866 460870 461873 459876 458886 460898
      463905
 0.01 463905 468907 467913 467921 470940 469944 468951 468958
      470977 470990 470000 472003 472007 471011 471014 476015
      478015 479018 478030 478041 480049 488061 492076 501078
      504078 506075 507073 507067 508055 506034 503016 502004
      502992 502981 502976 504972 505958 507950 510943 514936
      520922 526908 531891 531882 532878
 0.01 498146 493137 490132 486129 478124 467120 462118 457117
      453120 455123 461125 464127 474132 484137 491145 493146
      495144 498147 498146
 0.01 432776 432769 430766 427759 423753 417747 415746 411746
      406752 406756 407759 412765 416771 421778 425784 427786
      430786 432776 432776
 0.01 386201 385196 382193 378190 375187 371185 366182 363181
      362186 365188 369191 372194 375197 378200 381203 385201
      386201
 0.01 260805 260803 259801 257800 255801 254802 252803 251804
      251806 251808 252810 253811 254812 255813 257813 258811
      259809 259807 260805 260805
 0.25 506839 506836 507833 507831 506828 505828 504828 502829
      500830 500832 499833 498835 497835 497837 496840 497842
      498844 500845 501844 503844 504842 505841 506840 506839
 0.25 417879 417869 415863 413856 410851 405844 400834 397830
      396821 396805 395798 393792 392786 389781 386776 382775
      380782 378787 376791 376797 370804 366816 361826 357835
      352844 349871 349884 345893 342899 339904 336908 334913
      330937 327950 327957 330962 331969 331976 334980 338984
      341986 344985 351978 356970 362963 364961 368961 373964
      378966 381966 382964 384958 386954 391945 397935 402925
      404914 408905 414891 417879
 0.25 411059 409052 406049 401043 394037 386033 382033 380035
      378042 376046 376050 379053 384058 393063 397066 400063
      408061 411059
 0.25 409973 408964 405958 401958 399961 396965 393974 391980
      386985 380986 376992 373999 372008 372017 373020 377020
      381015 383015 386017 390020 393019 394016 396009 397004
      400002 402996 407981 409973
 0.25 381764 381757 379753 376749 374746 370744 364744 363748
      364751 364757 364762 365766 369770 373770 378770 380766
      381764
 0.25 354793 355790 353788 351787 349787 347786 346787 346789
      347791 348792 350793 351793 352794 353793 354793
 0.50 402873 401858 400852 398846 395837 390827 388822 389816
      391805 391800 390793 387789 385786 381789 383794 382800
      380805 375810 370818 367831 362839 359843 356845 355857
      353863 353869 353884 351892 346901 340909 337919 334930
      335936 335939 334942 332943 331947 331955 333967 336976
      341983 346980 349977 354969 358962 361958 364956 370956
      374956 379953 382949 386943 390933 394906 395894 398885
      401878 402873
 0.50 399055 399051 398048 396046 394043 392042 389042 387043
      384045 381047 383051 385052 386054 390056 393056 397056
      399055
 1.00 394865 394864 394862 394861 394860 394858 394856 392853
      391851 391849 390848 389849 390851 389854 389856 390858
      391860 392863 392864 394865 394865
 1.00 379841 379836 378832 375836 368843 364849 362854 358865
      358871 359875 361880 361885 358892 344910 344913 345916
      349920 348936 346943 345946 346950 350953 355950 357947
      359947 364950 368949 373945 375928 372922 369918 367915
      367911 369904 373893 377880 379873 378868 376860 377853
      379841
 1.00 345973 346971 346969 346967 346965 345964 344965 344967
      343969 343971 344973 344974 345973
 1.50 375873 375869 373864 369862 367859 367856 365857 363860
      361865 361872 365876 366878 370882 374878 375873 375873
 1.50 366938 367934 367929 366925 365923 362922 359923 357925
      357927 357932 355935 355937 358936 359936 362938 364941
      365941 366938
 2.00 370871 371869 370867 369867 368866 366866 364866 363867
      363869 364871 365872 366873 368873 370872 370871

$$




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