Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 240947
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
446 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 24/1200 UTC THRU FEB 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...


...NEW ENGLAND...

A SHORT WAVE STARTING DAY 1 OVER NORTHERN MANITOBA SWEEPS ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES...THEN TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT APPROACHES
NEW ENGLAND BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SHORT WAVE INDUCES CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE
MID LEVEL FLOW ALLOWS THE SURFACE LOW AND ITS INVERTED TROUGH TO
BACK TOWARD THE NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT
OF SPREAD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST TO BRING THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD ALONG THE INVERTED TROUGH...WITHE 00Z REGIONAL GEM FURTHER
WEST AND THE 00Z UKMET/00Z ECMWF FURTHEST EAST. CONSIDERING HOW
WELL THE MODEL SUITE CONVERGES ON A MID LEVEL SOLUTION...THE WPC
QPF IS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

THE KEY TO THE FORECAST WILL BE THE PLACEMENT OF THE INVERTED
TROUGH STRETCHING FROM EAST OF THE MA COAST INTO CENTRAL ME. AS
THIS POINT...THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
PLACEMENT...WITH THE 12Z ECMWF FURTHEST EAST WITH THE FEATURE. THE
INVERTED TROUGH BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP UP TO OVER 0.50 INCHES ALONG THE
TROUGH)...AND THERE IS NOW FAIRLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH AREA EXTENDING FROM EAST OF I95
IN MA/RI ACROSS SOUTHEAST NH INTO SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ME. THE
00Z REGIONAL GEM IS THE FURTHEST WEST...BRINGING 0.25+ INCH
AMOUNTS TO NEAR KPVD/KBOS THROUGH THE MID COAST OF ME.

THE HIGHER QPF COULD BE DUE TO INCREASED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AS
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ALONG THE INVERTED TROUGH. IF THIS
OCCURS (AS DEPICTED BY THE 00Z REGIONAL GEM)...A SLIVER OF 0.50+
INCHES OF QPF IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID COAST OF ME.
HOWEVER...SINCE THERE IS NOT YET WELL SUPPORTED...THE QPF ACROSS
CENTRAL ME WAS NOT QUITE THIS HIGH.


...SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

A PAIR OF SHORT WAVES CROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC DURING
DAY 1. THE FIRST SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE SOUTHEAST BEFORE
24/18Z...PRODUCING MAINLY LIGHT QPF. THE SECOND SHORT
WAVE...ORIGINATING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY... APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC TOWARD 25/00Z. THE SHORT WAVE INDUCED
CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE SC COAST...WHICH THEN TRACKS NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE END OFF THE PERIOD. THE 00Z NAM/21Z SREF MEAN WERE THE
FURTHEST NORTHWEST WITH THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SURFACE LOW...AND THIS APPEARS TO BE TOO FAR NORTHWEST INTO
THE COLD AIR. THE 00Z GFS/UKMET/ECMWF WERE SIMILAR WITH AMOUNTS.
THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE THREE MODELS.

THE FIRST SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE SOUTHEAST STATES BEFORE 24/18Z.
AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...IT INTERACTS WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM WESTERNMOST VA DOWN
THROUGH CENTRAL GA. THE INCREASED SURFACE CONVERGENCE ALLOWS FOR A
BIT OF ENHANCEMENT IN THE PRECIPITATION OVER THIS AREA...WITH
LOCAL 0.10 INCH QPF AMOUNTS POSSIBLE EARLY. FURTHER SOUTH...A LINE
OF SHOWERS MOVING WEST TO EAST CROSSES SOUTHERN GA. THE LINE OF
SHOWERS IS RIDING THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF BETTER MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR AN INCH. THE COMBINATION
OF MID LEVEL INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE COULD RESULT IN A LOCAL 0.25
INCH AREA OVER SOUTHEAST GA AND NEARBY SC.

AS THE SECOND SHORT WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE MID MS VALLEY AFTER
24/18Z...WARM AIR ADVECTION PRODUCES QPF ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN TN AND NORTHERN GA. HOWEVER...THE MAIN QPF PRODUCER SPINS
UP ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OFF THE SC COAST TOWARD 25/00Z.
THE TRACK OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SUGGESTS THAT THE BEST LIFT
LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING OCCURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SC AND
SOUTHEAST NC. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE 00Z NAM/12Z SREF MEAN
APPEAR TO BE TOO FAR NORTHWEST WITH THE 0.25 INCH QPF (WITH TOO
MUCH QPF DEEP INTO THE COLD AIR)...AND THE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF
AREA WAS BASED ON A NON-NAM/SREF MEAN BLEND.

SNOW AND ICE ARE EXPECTED DURING DAY 1 ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER
PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...GREAT LAKES...

A STRONG SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF DAY 1. LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE RESULTS IN A LARGE AREA OF QPF
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE FLOW BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE ALLOWS
FAVORABLE LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/21Z SREF MEAN.

LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE IS IMPRESSIVE AS IT CROSSES THE GREAT
LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. WARM AIR ADVECTION (IN
THE FORM OF ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 290K SURFACE) PUMPS A BIT OF
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE. THE COMBINATION
OF MOISTURE AND LIFT PRODUCES A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS THE UP OF MI AND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
LP OF MI. BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE...A RAPIDLY DEEPENING MIXED LAYER
AND STRONG LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN LAKE ENHANCED
QPF EAST OF LAKE MI ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LP OF MI.
ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF LAKE MI...LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...ICE COVER SHOULD INHIBIT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF LAKE ENHANCED QPF...EXPECT FOR LAKE ONTARIO...WHICH
STILL HAS A FAIR AMOUNT OF ICE FREE WATER. EAST OF THIS
LAKE...LOCAL 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.


...NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

A PAIR OF SHORT WAVES IN THE FAST MID LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW RESULT
IN AXES OF QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS.
THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE
SHORT WAVES (AND SURFACE REFLECTIONS)...AS WELL AS THE QPF AXES.
WITH THIS IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

THE FIRST SHORT WAVE TRACKS FROM MT INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...ALONG A LOW LEVEL ARCTIC BOUNDARY. A SURFACE WAVE SPINS
UP ON THE BOUNDARY IS IT MOVES SOUTH...INCREASING LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE FLUX ALONG IT. THE INCREASED
MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH THE STRONG MID LEVEL LIFT...SUPPORTS A
SWATH OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST ND INTO
NORTHEAST NE.

THE SECOND SHORT WAVE CROSSES WESTERN MT AND NORTHERN WY LATE IN
THE PERIOD. WHILE THE LIFT IS STRONG WITH THE SHORT
WAVE...MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN IS FAIRLY SCANT (AS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAINS BELOW 0.25 INCHES). UPSLOPE FLOW ADDS SOME
MOISTURE TO THE COLUMN...SO THAT AXES OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF
QPF WERE PLACED ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS FRONT RANGE IN MT...AS
WELL AS THE GRAND TETONS IN WY.


...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN PLAINS...

THE CLOSED LOW OVER EASTERN CA AND WESTERN NV EARLY ON DAY 1
FINALLY WEAKENS AND OPENS UP AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT CROSSES
THE SOUTHWEST AND AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF DAY 1. THERE
IS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE CLOSED LOW CROSSING
THE SOUTHWEST STATES AND OPENING UP AND CROSSING THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS (THE 00Z NAM APPEARS TO BE TOO FAST WITH THIS TRANSITION
AND MOVEMENT...AND WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE WPC QPF). GIVEN THE
REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT... THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF...WITH SOME 21Z SREF MEAN USED TO BETTER
DELINEATE HIGHER TERRAIN QPF ACROSS AZ/NM.

THE CLOSED LOW WEAKENS AS IT CROSSES THE SOUTHWEST STATES DURING
THE FIRST PART OF DAY 1. INITIALLY...THERE IS A SOURCE OF MOISTURE
FROM THE SEA OF CA...BUT THIS ERODES QUICKLY AS THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM OPENS UP AND MOVES EAST. THE ADDED MOISTURE...LOCAL UPSLOPE
FLOW (AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY...DRIVEN BY STEEPENING MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES) RESULTS IN LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
EASTERN AZ AND WEST CENTRAL NM...WHICH ARE SURROUNDED BY A MUCH
LARGER AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN AZ AND
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NM.

FURTHER EAST...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TX. THE FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 TO
1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INTO THIS AREA. THE
COMBINATION OF MOISTURE...LIFT FROM THE LONG WAVE...AND RESIDUAL
MID LEVEL INSTABILITY PRODUCES AN XIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TX.




DAYS 2/3...

...LOWER SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...

THE CLOSED LOW PRESENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST SHOULD
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE DAY ON WED AS IT TRACKS FROM ERN
TEXAS TO THE CNTRL MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY THU MORNING. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT SITUATED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO
WITH THE LOW TRACKING THROUGH NRN FLORIDA WED NIGHT. AS THE LOW
DEEPENS...A RELATIVELY NARROW AXIS OF PRECIPITABLE WATER IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH VALUES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES AND 850 MB
FLOW OF 50-60 KTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WHICH WILL ADVECT THE
MOISTURE RAPIDLY NWD WITH A 6-12 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED HEAVIER ELEMENTS.

ALONG NRN PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST STATES...WELL WITHIN THE COLD
SECTOR...CONVERGENCE ALOFT ALONG THE 850 MB FRONT WILL COINCIDE
REASONABLY WELL WITH A WELL DEFINED UPPER JET ENTRANCE/EXIT REGION
COUPLET. THIS AREA OF ENHANCED LIFT WILL TRACK FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO ERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION
TYPES ON THE NORTHERN END OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD. TO THE
SOUTH...INSTABILITY WILL BE CONFINED TO NEAR THE GULF COAST BUT
STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
GIVEN MOISTURE AVAILABILITY. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM
SHOULD PRECLUDE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS FROM EXCEEDING 2 INCHES WITH
LOCATIONS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SRN GEORGIA AND COASTAL
SOUTH CAROLINA FORECAST TO LIKELY SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL.

THE ECMWF/UKMET WERE CONSIDERED MOST LIKELY TO VERIFY GIVEN THE
00Z GFS APPEARED FLATTER THAN THE CONSENSUS...WHILE THE 00Z NAM
WAS A STRONG DETERMINISTIC OUTLIER ALOFT. REFER TO THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW/ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD.

...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...

PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE THE AVENUE
FOR MULTIPLE LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES TO DROP THROUGH THE
REGION...PRODUCING MAINLY LIGHT AMOUNTS. OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT
CAN BE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER PRECIPITATION TOTALS
WITH WPC FOLLOWING CLOSE TO A 00Z GFS/ECMWF BLEND.

...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MID MO VALLEY...

A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT WEAK SURFACE LOW ARE
EXPECTED TO HELP PAINT A STRIPE OF MAINLY LIGHT AMOUNTS FROM THE
DAKOTAS SEWD INTO IOWA/NRN MISSOURI ON WED.  WPC FOLLOWED AN AXIS
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NRN/SRN CAMPS AS SEEN IN THE 00Z MODEL
SUITE...BUT AWAY FROM THE NAM GIVEN ITS NWD-PLACED SURFACE LOW WAS
NOT SUPPORTED BY THE REMAINING MODELS.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC/WESTERN N
AMERICA IS EXPECTED TO BUCKLE AHEAD A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE
DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE GULF OF AK TOWARD THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST LATE ON THU.  HEIGHT FALLS AND AN INCREASINGLY ONSHORE
LOW LEVEL FLOW COMPONENT BECOMING MORE PERPENDICULAR TO THE
COASTLINE IS EXPECTED. WIND SPEEDS ARE RELATIVELY WEAK WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE LATEST
MODEL SPREAD...CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF COMPROMISE.

HAYES/OTTO


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 550096 549091 547086 545082 542077 539073 536069 529060
      523054 518046 514038 506032 494017 482002 474996 469989
      465986 462981 457974 451967 445961 438953 433950 429949
      425949 421951 417954 416957 415964 414969 414972 412975
      414980 417991 419996 421999 424004 425008 425012 425020
      426025 428023 432023 437019 441018 450032 453037 449036
      445034 441034 436035 434039 434042 436045 439050 442058
      443064 441066 439067 433059 430059 429060 425056 421054
      417057 410063 406065 401067 406075 410076 415076 417074
      415070 414067 418065 421069 426070 432078 443079 450088
      452088 452092 448093 439094 436096 433094 426089 427093
      429097 432102 427104 423105 423110 428113 431114 434112
      437113 442115 444119 449120 454121 459122 468126 472130
      474136 479144 481148 485151 489151 495153 501160 507167
      506175 508180 511183 514185 519187 523190 533194 538194
      540189 542187 542182 542174 537164 535159 535152 534146
      535138 534133 534125 534119 538118 543116 547110 550096
 0.01 504241 503239 501235 500234 498231 497228 496223 494225
      495228 496231 497234 499237 501239 502241 504241
 0.01 495257 494250 491245 484235 477233 472233 467232 462233
      451235 448236 446239 445240 446243 452246 458248 469247
      476256 479257 481254 481249 484248 493257 495257
 0.01 506094 504089 502088 498082 490074 487068 484065 479059
      476054 473049 470046 467043 463043 461045 460047 461049
      468060 470066 472071 478082 483087 486090 491094 494097
      497097 506094
 0.01 485658 484653 481652 472649 467651 462650 453653 451656
      448656 444655 439658 436662 430665 425666 419667 415667
      406665 396665 388669 380676 369686 364692 356698 353700
      349702 344712 329724 323730 317735 310744 305753 302760
      298768 295779 294791 293802 289809 286816 283823 278830
      273838 265855 263860 263868 264875 265880 267898 269901
      269907 269920 267932 266937 263941 257947 253954 250963
      250972 258974 261978 262984 262990 264995 266999 269001
      273003 276003 278002 285996 294992 298995 300998 303021
      304032 307042 308053 307057 306063 304068 303072 303078
      305081 308083 311085 311088 311092 314098 315103 313107
      311112 312116 331119 337120 341124 343126 345125 345121
      347120 350121 354123 365126 369129 371133 372138 375142
      378140 378133 379128 378125 376121 375116 374111 375107
      377104 379103 381099 382094 380089 379087 381083 383080
      388080 391080 393078 393074 391068 388069 385072 372060
      369057 370055 374055 379056 381056 381053 379051 374050
      362048 352047 350044 351040 355031 359020 360016 361009
      362001 360998 360994 357985 354974 354967 352965 352960
      352956 350948 346924 342902 342897 340892 337884 332877
      337870 340868 345867 357866 360859 365848 368838 370827
      372817 375817 379814 382809 385806 388802 395801 403804
      407812 410814 411820 410824 411828 413830 414836 411847
      408859 412868 414870 417870 419872 421877 425879 430886
      436896 447912 452920 456932 459940 464949 469957 473959
      477960 479959 479956 479949 476937 471917 469905 469897
      473893 476882 479871 485849 487819 489808 492798 493793
      493786 494781 493773 492759 488748 487742 483738 479738
      476736 471738 467740 462745
 0.01 462745 456752 453753 452748 448741 444737 435739 432746
      430755 429762 426770 422773 418773 412779 408782 382795
      377799 375802 372803 370801 370796 368792 369787 371784
      374778 377770 380755 383746 388741 391738 395737 399731
      406729 411722 419720 427717 430716 434714 439713 441711
      453702 460699 467693 467689 467683 470676 478674 480673
      482670 484664 485658
 0.01 482214 481211 477212 474213 470215 468217 465219 463218
      459219 457222 460223 464221 468220 471218 475217 478216
      482214 482214
 0.01 360152 361145 360141 358137 353137 348138 345139 340139
      336141 334145 334148 336149 340147 345148 351149 354151
      359152 360152
 0.01 345008 344991 341973 341960 339958 336959 335967 336975
      336984 335994 334001 333012 331019 329026 329036 333041
      339040 341038 341033 339028 340019 343013 345008
 0.25 520162 518159 515155 512152 509148 506145 503142 500142
      498144 501148 504150 509154 512157 515160 518162 520162
 0.25 509063 507062 507063 509063 509063
 0.25 494140 492139 492137 491136 489137 490138 492140 494141
      494140
 0.25 438697 437693 434691 432690 430690 427690 424691 422692
      420695 421699 422701 425703 427703 431704 434702 436700
      438697
 0.25 410688 410684 408681 405680 400679 394682 391683 388687
      385695 384700 380703 371707 361710 354715 349722 343729
      337735 329739 323745 317751 313759 309767 302784 301794
      301804 303815 307825 310828 314829 320824 330809 334803
      341797 348792 353785 356781 357776 358767 362758 366749
      371742 376737 389723 395717 399710 407700 410688
 0.25 374071 375069 375068 373066 371065 371066 373068 374071
      374071
 0.25 361069 362067 360066 359066 357067 358069 360070 361069
 0.25 357082 357078 355073 352071 348068 342068 339067 337069
      337071 339076 343078 345081 350083 353084 355085 357082
 0.25 347099 348094 348090 346088 344087 341086 339087 337089
      335093 334097 335101 336104 337106 341107 343107 345105
      347101 347099
 0.25 327965 327955 325946 322944 317943 314947 314952 315962
      316972 316981 316987 318990 321990 322988 325980 326969
      327965
 0.25 300830 300825 298822 296822 289829 287837 284846 284852
      285858 286862 286866 287871 290874 293874 296872 297861
      296853 298842 300832 300830
 0.50 378723 378719 376719 369720 363722 360726 352733 342739
      338742 332745 325751 321756 319761 314770 309781 306791
      306799 307805 310811 315812 319808 322804 328794 335787
      342779 345774 347769 352758 357748 362738 364734 369730
      378724 378723
 0.50 342098 343096 342094 340094 338094 337095 338097 340098
      341099 342098

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 464622 473623 478622 481625 484628 488629 491633 494637
      498646 501660 500667 498671 495679 487686 480692 472698
      470709 462727 461732 461739 459751 458756 456759 452764
      449765 443761 438761 434764 427760 426755 427750 430746
      431740 440737 440731 436730 430732 428732 427729 430726
      435724 440721 444714 452708 454706 453704 448705 441704
      432701 425697 418690 414684 408676 405673 401671 387663
      385662 384658 387653 392648 396644
 0.01 520271 521267 521262 522253 520246 518238 513226 510220
      507216 505209 504200 503193 502189 500188 490180 482173
      471168 464166 461171 456173 454171 452167 452161 448157
      441156 438155 436153 433156 432159 428160 423157 420156
      419159 417161 419164 419171 417175 420182 423188 427188
      442205 447206 451201 461196 464197 465200 467203 465205
      459204 455208 452211 446212 440214 437219 434223 431228
      430238 431244 432246 435247 441249 443248 447250 453253
      457253 464256 467260 469266 471273 470283 469299 469307
      471315 474319 479321 488317 491316 494317 499314 505304
      511292 520271
 0.01 532173 531166 528159 523155 518150 513144 506141 501137
      498130 499124 498121 498116 499113 503106 505098 504096
      500095 497100 491111 486113 482118 479116 478111 479106
      481104 485099 487096 487094 483087 481084 477083 471081
      466080 461064 459058 458052 460047 466053 471056 475059
      478056 475048 473040 480039 484037 484034 486030 486026
      486020 485016 483009 482004 480002 470991 467986 463983
      458980 454976 449973 445968 439953 435939 431930 428923
      419893 423880 425876 424873 422872 418872 414872 412868
      411866 410861 406857 400858 396862 392868 388874 385883
      381895 374905 366916 362932 366946 368949 368955 367964
      366967 366972 366976 368981 374981 377981 379978 383972
      388966 389976 391981 396984 402982 409982 412984 413989
      424014 425017 423019 420020 417021 414021 405021 399023
      396020 391018 386017 384015 375014 363018 358017 356016
      354017 352019 349023 348026 349029 350036 350047 369066
      373070 374079 377083 381078 384076 386077 390082 392084
      396085 402083 406084 408092 406096 406100 409105 416094
      424095 429100 424104 421108 421114 422115 425114 430115
      442117 446121 453123 451135 453139 455141 459146 462153
      464156 467158 471155 478158 481158 483157 491158 495161
      497159 502158 507156 510157 513159 517165 522169 528175
      530175 532173
 0.01 474860 474858 474857 472855 472853 470853 468853 468856
      468858 469861 470861 472863 474860 474860
 0.01 454811 453804 451799 449797 446793 444795 442798 441805
      440808 440815 442820 444822 448824 450821 451814 454811
      454811
 0.01 437047 437045 436044 434043 433044 433047 434048 436048
      437047
 0.01 427037 426036 424035 422035 422036 422038 424039 426039
      427037
 0.01 389711 388698 386684 383677 380673 375664 374662 372662
      368664 360668 355671 351675 344681 338686 334690 331693
      329702 323710 318719 316727 313736 310747 307754 304759
      303763 300772 296782 285796 273809 267814 262822 256830
      251838 246845 243851 243857 242862 240867 242871 248875
      253878 255881 258883 257888 252897 249905 250918 250927
      248931 248937 246941 246947 246960 246966 248970 253980
      260984 263984 267981 283973 298965 304966 307968 311979
      313988 318996 320999 326999 329995 330990 334968 339959
      342948 345938 348926 350916 351910 352905 354895 356885
      361874 364865 366854 368845 374824 378815 382806 384799
      386795 389786 389778 387771 385760 386756 386748 387737
      388722 389711
 0.01 383070 382067 382065 382062 381059 379057 375057 372056
      370057 370059 371062 375064 376066 378067 380069 383070
 0.25 505289 507284 507278 504270 501262 497255 491250 489249
      487254 487261 489264 491267 495274 499282 499286 501289
      505289
 0.25 488655 487649 486645 480639 476636 469633 455633 448633
      444640 442649 441653 443659 448665 449668 447672 442674
      440676 438680 440684 443686 451686 458685 464682 473680
      478673 487660 488655
 0.25 487218 485216 483216 482215 480215 479216 480216 481219
      483219 484219 485219 487218 487218
 0.25 481244 481242 480239 479236 478236 477235 476234 474234
      472236 472237 473239 474239 475240 476242 476243 478244
      479245 481245 481244
 0.25 490142 491140 490139 489137 488136 487135 486133 484132
      483131 481130 479130 478132 479133 481135 482135 484136
      486137 487139 489140 490142 490142
 0.25 477217 473215 470217 466217 462218 457218 454220 452220
      457222 462224 466224 469220 472218 476217 477217
 0.25 469243 469240 469238 468237 467236 465235 464236 463236
      462237 461238 461240 463241 464242 466243 468243 469243
 0.25 448224 449222 448221 447220 445221 446223 447224 448224
      448224
 0.25 449075 448073 446071 445070 444070 443069 441069 440069
      440070 439071 439072 441072 443074 444075 446076 448076
      449075
 0.25 426063 426061 423058 421060 419058 409053 404051 399047
      394045 388047 385047 378045 375046 376050 379053 390054
      393057 392062 390068 394068 399071 399074 403075 405074
      408075 413073 417068 419066 423066 426063
 0.25 430971 431966 430961 428956 423944 420938 417932 409925
      405921 400918 396920 396922 394929 395936 398942 403944
      407948 414957 421966 426971 430971
 0.25 377714 377704 375694 372683 370681 366681 359684 354689
      343699 340703 336710 329722 324737 320750 309776 304788
      297800 291812 287818 281822 278824 277827 279831 279837
      275849 276867 277875 279886 279896 277905 277914 280921
      284925 290927 305923 309923 312926 313930 316932 319937
      319946 323962 325965 327965 330956 334951 336945 341930
      344913 347894 348875 350859 352852 354845 359829 364813
      368800 371785 373777 373767 376733 377722 377714
 0.25 362049 362047 362046 360046 358047 358048 357049 358050
      360051 361049 362049
 0.50 407058 406056 404055 402055 400055 402057 403058 404059
      405060 407058
 0.50 369709 368703 365697 362695 360696 356699 346705 339715
      333725 328736 324749 320759 311782 307792 302804 297813
      288822 287827 289832 285841 283846 283854 285869 285882
      283894 284900 286907 288915 290919 294920 298917 300910
      304907 307906 309907 315906 320904 326905 333915 339903
      341889 342873 347846 349840 352835 355828 355821 355814
      358809 361794 363781 365766 368739 369723 369709
 0.50 335932 335930 335928 334926 334925 333926 332927 331928
      330929 329930 329932 328934 328937 328939 328941 328943
      328944 330943 330942 331941 331939 332937 332936 333934
      334934 335932
 1.00 355726 354721 352716 347715 343718 338725 334734 320769
      317777 314787 313811 309818 304825 294839 291843 291846
      292849 295851 295857 293867 292881 290889 292893 294899
      297899 300895 304888 306878 309867 319853 324846 325834
      327823 330815 334806 338798 341793 342788 342783 344779
      347769 352761 354750 355741 355726
 1.50 344728 344723 342725 337731 336734 335739 332745 326759
      321773 319780 322788 324790 325795 323801 324804 326801
      329794 333788 334780 336771 336762 341746 342737 343730
      344728
 1.50 323812 321811 319813 316817 308827 301835 299840 302844
      300858 298872 299874 301872 303866 308856 314846 318834
      321829 323823 321818 323812
 2.00 336749 334749 334750 332751 332752 331754 330755 329756
      329757 328759 327762 328764 330764 331763 332761 333759
      333758 334756 335754 336752 336750 336749

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 530216 528209 528205 529201 525192 523184 525179 527176
      528173 528169 524168 521162 517156 503147 504149 503156
      500158 498156 494147 489137 487136 486143 487148 483147
      475146 473146 470148 468149 466147 463143 464132 458130
      454130 452132 452135 454139 454143 452145 449143 442135
      439133 436135 429155 426152 424148 424141 425136 427130
      429128 434121 438118 441116 445117 448119 452117 454115
      453112 450110 448107 449103 453103 453098 450096 443090
      440088 437089 434091 431089 429087 425086 424091 426095
      428099 427103 424103 419102 416098 413094 416090 414087
      410089 409089 406093 405098 403100 401104 398106 393107
      389106 386102 387096 389091 392091 392098 395099 397097
      398091 400087 404079 408075 411074 413073 414071 415067
      418056 418050 420044 423043 424039 419034 411033 407032
      405030 398024 395018 392013 389013 386011 382010 379008
      374007 365007 362009 357009 351008 347006 340002 334003
      327005 318009 300012 287007 277006 273005 271002 265997
      258995 252995 250998 251002 255003 260008 263013 265016
      270018 276022 282022 285024 295029 309039 320046 325051
      328059 332060 335064 338071 338078 339080 344085 348091
      351095 352099 355110 357118 359120 363121 368122 370120
      375112 377110 380112 381114 379117 377123 377128 379128
      382126 385124 390123 398120 399125 407127 409123 411122
      413125 416127 416131 409137 406135 402134 399134 397136
      393139 387138 383139 382143 387157 389163 391167 394169
      397171 402172 411174 413176 412178 410184 409185 410190
      412197 414205 418208 418212 413217 409225 405230 402233
      400238 400246 403249 423256 436257 452256 459257 464257
      468259 475263 481268 484271 488273 494280 501287 507289
      512289 515280 518271 517266 519259 522248 522237 524227
      525221 527219 530216
 0.01 483194 480188 477185 472184 468187 466189 463192 460195
      459198 462200 467199 470199 474198 479198 481195 483194
 0.01 436206 436204 435201 435198 434196 433194 431193 429192
      428192 426194 426196 427199 427201 426203 428206 429206
      429207 431209 432209 434208 434207 436206
 0.01 439173 437171 436171 435172 435174 437175 439173
 0.01 428663 428658 426655 421651 413649 410649 407648 395659
      383671 372680 360690 334710 328714 325717 323721 315732
      297759 283756 279756 277758 273760 271763 265769 260776
      254789 253804 251806 247808 243813 239821 239833 240838
      242836 245837 242841 239846 237854 238859 240860 248862
      257863 261861 264858 268853 274847 283838 287831 291825
      295817 299811 306796 310791 313788 318788 323788 324793
      332792 339797 344792 349787 358783 360781 364780 372783
      378785 381782 382779 387760 390751 394745 397738 399730
      401721 404713 407704 409700 412697 418695 420687 425676
      428663
 0.01 437868 422869 415870 413872 411871 411865 414845 417835
      417831 419827 420819 421815 420812 417803 418794 418783
      418769 419766 418758 417755 415750 411746 409744 407747
      400760 395779 392782 388783 385784 382786 378791 373792
      371795 367800 362805 355810 351817 346823 343829 341837
      341843 343845 343850 345853 347853 350849 353847 357841
      362834 364832 367832 369833 373831 376832 376834 375839
      375849 377858 381859 384858 386858 387861 385865 382873
      381877 381882 378889 375897 371902 367909 353918 349924
      344928 333935 330938 330941 336943 346943 352938 358933
      360932 362934 363936 366943 374943 383943 386940 389940
      395936 398927 397916 394910 393906 394903 397894 400886
      402883 405882 409874 410872 412872 413875 416877 418875
      421879 423879 437868
 0.01 295891 295887 293887 291889 289889 287891 286895 284897
      283900 284902 288902 289900 291898 293895 293893 295891
 0.01 254824 255820 255816 252816 252818 250821 249824 248827
      247830 246833 248833 250830 251828 253826 254824
 0.25 502278 503272 504266 502258 500249 496242 493235 490233
      486232 471228 472226 476225 479225 483226 487228 490231
      494231 493228 491219 486213 480208 477206 474206 448214
      436218 430220 427221 425224 428230 433231 438233 436234
      430237 426241 425244 429246 438248 445248 459247 466247
      469247 474249 479253 484258 494271 502278
 0.25 462181 463176 459175 454175 452178 448182 445184 444187
      446192 450195 452195 454191 457187 460184 462181
 0.25 448231 447230 445230 443230 442231 440231 440232 441233
      443232 445233 447232 448231
 0.25 420157 420156 418155 418156 417158 418159 419159 420157
      420157
 0.25 393699 393692 389688 383689 379692 369699 361706 354712
      346719 328731 321739 314746 302764 296771 293776 288778
      285779 281778 276780 273785 274793 275795 272801 268810
      260830 257834 255840 257842 260843 264840 272833 278826
      284818 290810 296801 302793 312775 318767 326758 332752
      338750 342753 348754 352756 355757 359756 364753 368750
      371746 378738 385730 388725 390720 393699
 0.25 380051 380048 377046 373041 369038 365041 361045 355047
      353047 351051 349057 350060 354061 359060 365057 368054
      374052 380051
 0.50 496262 496257 495254 494252 492249 492245 490242 488241
      486241 483242 482245 483247 485251 487254 488256 489258
      492261 494263 496262
 0.50 485222 475212 469215 466217 461217 454217 447219 443220
      440222 438226 442228 449228 453226 456226 460227 459232
      452235 446237 442239 444240 451242 455242 459241 467240
      468239 465235 463232 465226 467222 471221 476219 479221
      484222 485222
 0.50 381718 378712 375709 371710 366714 361721 358727 360730
      358734 355739 356742 360741 362739 363733 361731 363730
      368728 374725 380720 381718
 0.50 361056 359054 358054 356055 355055 356056 357057 359057
      361056
 0.50 333739 334735 331733 327737 321745 315753 309760 303768
      301773 300779 304778 308775 314768 321759 326751 331743
      333739
 0.50 296790 295787 293787 289791 282794 277801 273809 270816
      266825 267829 271828 278821 282815 287808 290801 292796
      295792 296790
 1.00 282806 282805 280805 280804 280805 278806 277807 276809
      275811 276813 277814 278813 279812 280811 280810 281809
      282807 282806

$$




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