Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 310814
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
413 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 31/1200 UTC THRU AUG 03/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1


SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN PLAINS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO POUR INTO THE SOUTHWEST
STATES...AND SOME OF THE DEEP MOISTURE IS BEING DIVERTED INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE DEEP
MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...COULD
RESULT IN ORGANIZED CONVECTION WHICH PRODUCES HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION DURING DAY 1. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND THE DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS. THE 00Z WRF ARW AND 00Z
REGIONAL GEM WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS
STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST NM ACROSS NORTH TX.

CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS DEEP MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
1.25 INCHES) FEEDS THE ACTIVITY. THERE IS A MULTI HIGH RESOLUTION
MODEL SIGNATURE THAT AN MCV WILL BE EJECTED FROM THIS
ACTIVITY...WHICH CROSSES NORTHEAST NM ACROSS NORTH TX INTO THE
WESTERN OK PANHANDLE. THE MCV ENCOUNTERS DEEP MOISTURE AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG EN ELEVATED BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS
NORTHEAST NM AND NORTH TX...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE
TO LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPING AFTER 31/18Z.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW INCREASES ACROSS WEST TX INTO WESTERN OK AND
WESTERN KS AFTER 01/00Z...THOUGH THERE IS SOME SPREAD CONCERNING
JUST HOW STRONG IT GETS. ASSUMING A 20 KNOT LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO
NORTH TX...A SMALL MCS COULD DEVELOP AFTER 01/06Z THERE...AND
CONTINUE EAST SOUTHEAST ALONG THE DIFLUENT THICKNESS PATTERN INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL OK BEFORE 01/12Z. THE MOISTURE IS DEEP ENOUGH FOR
HIGH RAINFALL RATES WITH THE MCS...SO AN AREA OF 1.50 TO 2.00
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER NORTH TX AND NEARBY WESTERN OK.
WHILE THE QPF VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES...THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH RAINFALL RATES SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. ACCORDINGLY...A SLIGHT RISK WAS
EXTENDED FROM NORTHEAST NM (WITH THE MCV) INTO NORTH TX AND A
PORTION OF WESTERN OK.

FURTHER WEST...THE MONSOONAL FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS AZ/WESTERN NM.
THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL THAT A SHORT WAVE IN THE MID LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW UNDER THE RIDGE COULD CROSS AZ DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF THE PERIOD. THAT COULD ENHANCE LIFT ACROSS EASTERN
AZ/WESTERN NM...ALLOWING CONVECTION TO FORM OUTSIDE OF THE
TERRAIN. THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES TOPPING OUT NEAR 1.75 INCHES IN SOUTHWEST AZ) COULD ALLOW
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER...AT THIS
POINT...IT IS UNCLEAR JUST HOW WIDESPREAD THE HEAVIER RAINFALL
WILL BE...SO FOR NOW NO SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED.


GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A SLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT
STRETCHES FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE GULF COAST REGION
DURING DAY 1. ALONG AND HEAD OF THE FRONT...DEEP MOISTURE AND
STRONG INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND FL.
THERE WAS GENERALLY DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT (THOUGH THE 00Z NAM MAY BE A TAD FAST...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COAST). THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF...WITH SOME SUPPORT
FROM THE 00Z REGIONAL GEM.

A DEEP MOISTURE SOURCE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2.25
INCHES EXTENDING FROM COASTAL SC ACROSS SOUTHERN GA THROUGH
NORTHERN FL) REMAINS IN PLACE JUST AHEAD OF THE SLOW ADVANCING
FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE SOUTHEAST STATES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
THAT THE BEST INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS
WELL...WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY INDICATED. THE RESULTANT
CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...BUT THE MID LEVEL FLOW IS FAIRLY WEAK...AND SLOW CELL
MOTIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.75 TO
1.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE FL BIG BEND REGION...EXTENDING INTO
THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE.

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SLOW MOTION
CELLS OR CLUSTERS...AND HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE LIKE THE 00Z
REGIONAL GEM AND THE 00Z WRF ARW SUGGEST AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ON THE FL WEST COAST...SOUTH OF THE BIG BEND. ONE AND
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 3.00
INCHES...SO AT THIS POINT ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING DOES NOT APPEAR
LIKELY.


UPPER GREAT LAKES
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SHORT WAVES RIDING THROUGH THE FAST MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND
LIMITED INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE QPF DURING DAY 1. FOR THE MOST
PART...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL
PATTERN...BUT THERE WERE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE SHORT
WAVES (WHICH IS TO BE EXPECTED IN A FAST FLOW). IN AN ATTEMPT TO
MITIGATE SOME OF THE TIMING DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON
A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

THE AIRMASS IN PLACED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INITIALLY IS FAIRLY
DRY AND GENERALLY STABLE. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
WITH THE APPROACH OF EACH SHORT WAVE...ALLOWING THE COLUMN TO
BECOME MARGINALLY UNSTABLE NEAR 01/00Z ACROSS NORTHERNMOST WI AND
THE UP OF MI. THE LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WILL TAP 0.75 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO PRODUCE A STRIPE OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD OF MN AND THE UP OF MI.


CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDWEST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SIPHONED FROM SOUTHERN PLAINS ON LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW INTERACTS WITH SHORT WAVES IN THE FAST MID
LEVEL FLOW TO PRODUCE A SWATH OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE
REGION...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THERE WAS
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...BUT THERE
WAS SOME SPREAD CONCERNING JUST HOW MUCH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
BECOMES INVOLVED IN THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THIS IS RESULTING
IN DIFFERENCES IN THE MAXIMUM QPF IN THE AXIS ACROSS ME INTO
IA/NORTHERN MO. THE 12Z ECMWF APPEARS TO BE INJECTING TOO MUCH
MUCH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTO THE FLOW FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND CONSEQUENTLY PRODUCES TOO MUCH QPF. THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED MORE ON A BLEND OF THE
00Z NAM/GFS...WHICH HAS THE SUPPORT OF THE 00Z WRF ARW AND THE 00Z
REGIONAL GEM.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
STRETCHING FROM EASTERN NE ACROSS SOUTHWEST IA AND NORTHWEST MO.
THE LIFT FROM THE SHORT WAVES IS RATHER WEAK...BUT SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO ALLOW STRIPES OF CONVECTION TO DEVELOP...AIDED BY
HEATING OF THE DAY. THE BEST CONVECTION SHOULD CROSS SOUTHEAST NE
INTO NORTHWEST MO...WHERE A STRIPE OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED. THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE LOW TOPPED CONVECTION
SHOULD BE BEST FAST ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE MUCH HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS.



DAYS 2/3...

THE WEST
~~~~~~~~
ANOMALOUS MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
MONSOON, WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION DRAGGING MOISTURE THROUGH
CA INTO SOUTHERN OR AND RESULTANT SOUTHWEST/WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE INTO CO.  INCREASED
AMOUNTS FROM 00Z/06Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY TOWARDS A COMPROMISE OF
THE 00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF.


MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DISTURBANCES IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TAP MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE PLAINS.  IT APPEARS THE MOISTURE FETCH IS SOMEWHAT
OFFSET FROM ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  WITH EACH
DISTURBANCE, PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP TO ABOVE 1.5", WHICH
COULD LEAD TO HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 2" WHERE CELLS TRAIN.  THE
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF IA/MO
DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL -- 30 DAYS TOTALS ARE IN THE 6-12" RANGE IN
THIS REGION.  DUE TO THE ABOVE, INTRODUCED SLIGHT RISKS FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THIS REGION.  STARTED WITH A BLEND OF 00Z
WPC CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z ECMWF.  DUE TO THE LACK OF A CAP ALOFT,
CHANGES MORE TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST ARE POSSIBLE IN FUTURE
RUNS/FORECASTS.  BELIEVE ANY CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES IN THE MIDWEST
WOULD ROB MOISTURE FROM THE FRONTAL ZONE MOVING THROUGH MI ITSELF,
SO KEPT AMOUNTS IN MI RELATIVELY LOW, BELOW MOST OF THE AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE.  STILL, THIS IS AN INCREASE FROM THE 06Z WPC QPF
CONTINUITY.


SOUTHERN PLAINS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF CO EACH DAY SHOULD PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHERN TX AND WESTERN OK
NEAR WHAT APPEARS TO BE THE EDGE OF WEAK CAPPING (USING THE 12C
ISOTHERM AT 700 HPA AS A GUIDE).  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
PROGGED TO RISE CLOSE TO 2", WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR RAIN RATES UP
TO 2.5" WHERE CELLS TRAIN.  AS THE AREA HAS BEGUN TO SATURATE
RECENTLY, AND COULD FURTHER SATURATE ON FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY, ADDED SLIGHT RISKS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR AREAS NEAR
THE NORTH TX/WESTERN OK BORDER.  FOR SATURDAY, WENT SOMEWHAT
WETTER THAN A COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z ECMWF/00Z GFS, WHICH WAS
SUPPORTED BY THE 31/00Z GEFS-BASED REFORECAST.


FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOR THE THIRD TIME IN THREE WEEKS, A FRONTAL ZONE SETTLES INTO
NORTHERN FLORIDA, WITH ONSHORE FLOW OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED.  THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE COULD LEAD TO HOURLY RAIN RATES IN THE 2.5-3"
RANGE IN AREAS WHERE CELLS ATTEMPT TO TRAIN.  LIKE THE OTHER TWO
EVENTS, LOCAL 4-7" AMOUNTS EACH DAY ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SHORT
TRAINING BANDS FORM.  PER SOUTHERN REGION PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES,
THIS AREA HAS SEEN LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 12-20" OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS,
WHICH IS ANOMALOUS EVEN FOR FLORIDA.  ADDED SLIGHT RISKS FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THIS INCREASINGLY SATURATED REGION, WHICH
WAS COORDINATED WITH THE TBW AND TAE (TAMPA BAY AND TALLAHASSEE)
FORECAST OFFICES.  THE QPF WAS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 00Z WPC
CONTINUITY AS WELL AS THE 00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF FOR SUNDAY.  ACROSS
THE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST, THE 21Z SREF MEAN/00Z UKMET (DUE TO ITS
FORMING A TC-LIKE ENTITY OVER LAND) WERE BY THEMSELVES IN
PRODUCING HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS OF GA AND THE
CAROLINAS AND NOT CONSIDERED USEFUL PER THE OTHER DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCE AND THE 31/00Z GEFS-BASED REFORECAST.  USERS OF THE
PROBABILISTIC QPF SHOULD TAKE NOTE THAT PROBABILITIES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST AT VARIOUS THRESHOLDS ON SUNDAY COULD BE OVERINFLATED
DUE TO THIS APPARENT SREF MEAN BIAS.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

HAYES/ROTH

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 450627 451633 454630 455633 455636 458638 462636 467634
      469631 478627 485628 493632 498642 500658 499672 497683
      495692 492697 487699 484696 482695 479695 476699 474702
      476706 479709 481713 481720 481725 481728 482730 485732
      490739 492741 493747 494763 498772 500779 500785 500793
      499799 496813 495825 493835 491840 493848 500853 504860
      505866 506872 505878 504886 506892 539963 543973 544980
      544990 537995 537997 534999 530000 520000 516999 512995
      508991 506986 500978 496972 491965 482952 481947 477942
      474932 472927 469925 467921 465914 465905 463899 464894
      461888 447878 445872 446867 446858 447851 449847 453844
      453837 453830 452817 452811 452807 454796 456788 458782
      459779 457776 451782 445789 440799 436809 432820 427829
      423834 418835 412835 410832 409817 416800 421783 423773
      422768 423763 426753 429744 433735 436729 439725 462688
      463686 461682 458680 450677 449672 451671 451665 449657
      446652 440650 436650 432652 427658 421667 416674 410683
      406691 402699 396708 383725 380729 378734 375742 367762
      364769 359775 355781 352789 348796 345806 344813 343818
      340829 337838 332848 330851 328857 321866 319870 317874
      314882 304899 299906 298915 296924 296929 293932 291936
      288941 282946 278948 273948 266948 261950 256950 252948
      247939 244932 244921 245908 245901 247895 250885 252875
      254855 256848 259840 260835 260829 258825 255823 254820
      255815 255810 254805 253800 254794 256782 259777 261772
      267765 273759 279751 284745 291740 293737 299736 304734
      308731
 0.01 308731 312725 317718 321713 326705 330700 335692 339687
      346681 351677 359672 366667 369665 373666 379669 383671
      382674 387680 388683 389681 391678 396671 400664 410650
      419638
 0.01 466652 466649 466647 466644 465642 463641 462642 460642
      459643 458644 458647 459648 460649 461650 462651 463652
      464652 465653 466652
 0.01 467664 466662 465661 464660 463659 462658 461657 460656
      459655 458655 457654 455654 453654 453656 453658 453661
      454663 455665 455668 457669 459669 461669 462668 464668
      466666 467664
 0.01 481004 480994 478989 475983 472978 469973 467971 464971
      463974 464979 466984 469990 472995 474002 478006 481004
 0.01 429044 429037 428031 428025 425008 424999 424991 429995
      431993 432987 431980 428971 425964 423956 418940 415933
      413930 410927 405924 400924 399915 398910 396906 392904
      385904 383904 382906 382911 384915 386920 390926 393934
      394939 394945 395981 396991 396000 397005 399007 402009
      406010 410010 412019 414026 417036 422044 427046 429044
 0.01 398206 394200 389198 387194 387189 386185 383181 379179
      372180 364175 361169 359167 360172 358174 355171 355173
      356176 359179 358182 355182 352183 351187 359186 362189
      367191 372195 380201 379202 375200 373201 372205 375204
      379206 386211 390212 393210 398206
 0.01 412915 410901 406891 403886 401880 397869 392860 388858
      385859 385861 385868 387874 392884 396894 401906 403910
      407915 409917 412915
 0.01 406061 407055 404051 397048 393046 391042 384036 386021
      388020 390017 390012 385006 378000 377995 379992 382986
      371976 367967 364963 361958 353953 350952 345951 339954
      337958 337963 339968 338970 331975 328978 325983 322986
      322990 325991 330992 331995 329997 327999 327003 328009
      328015 328020 330024 334030 340037 341041 340043 335044
      331045 325047 325053 327057 330066 328072 327075 325079
      323082 315085 309084 305082 301079 296076 292075 286074
      280073 275071 267067 258067 256069 255074 255081 256085
      261092 266099 274106 286118 297126 314135 322139 332136
      347134 346140 348143 351143 352148 355147 358147 360150
      359154 360156 362159 379169 379166 375162 369160 367159
      366156 370153 367151 364153 359148 360142 359140 355140
      353140 352137 354134 357134 361137 364140 368140 373137
      376134 378131 379126 379122 381120 387115 389110 388106
      383096 383093 385093 385090 383088 383084 386079 392073
      396072 400067 402062 406061
 0.01 345180 345178 344175 345173 345171 344170 343169 343166
      341167 339167 338165 337167 337168 339170 341171 342173
      343175 343177 343180 345180 345180
 0.01 312981 312973 312966 309961 305956 296951 293950 290952
      284954 280958 280966 284977 292985 292993 293002 296006
      300005 306004 309999 311992 311983 312981
 0.25 529970 529965 527962 524955 521948 518942 510929 503919
      495909 492907 489909 488913 489917 492923 496929 503942
      510955 517965 522970 524971 528971 529970
 0.25 485760 483755 479756 477760 471772 466787 464793 464804
      466814 468824 470830 474837 476838 479837 480828 479810
      478799 478790 480781 483774 485768 485760
 0.25 407973 407970 407968 407966 407963 407962 406961 405959
      404959 403958 403959 403961 402963 402966 403968 403969
      404970 405972 406973 407973 407973
 0.25 381195 379192 378191 376189 373187 370185 368184 364184
      367187 369188 372190 374192 377194 379195 381195
 0.25 377691 378686 376682 375679 373677 370676 365677 359682
      353689 350695 343710 338721 335728 331734 327740 321745
      316750 308754 296759 289762 282766 277771 273776 272780
      271785 273790 275793 279797 281801 280809 276817 271822
      269825 268831 272837 273842 273847 271861 265875 260891
      254905 252912 251918 252926 252931 254936 255940 258941
      262943 266943 274939 280935 284930 286924 288917 290908
      291899 294890 302887 307883 312872 316865 318857 324843
      330826 335814 338798 338787 341780 349767 370708 377691
 0.25 378098 378096 378095 376096 376097 376098 378099 378098
 0.25 381056 381051 379049 376050 371048 370044 372039 376030
      378022 375013 366996 361992 360987 361983 358976 346975
      343977 343982 342986 341989 343991 346993 348997 347002
      345008 344017 347026 350035 352039 352046 353049 351052
      347060 346064 348067 350072 347075 343075 341072 339072
      335075 331076 329078 330081 329090 332091 333094 332097
      335101 341102 344098 346093 351094 358097 363103 365092
      358080 363080 363076 365073 369071 372068 375066 375063
      375060 377059 381056
 0.25 373111 373109 371107 371106 370105 368105 367106 368107
      369108 369109 371111 373111 373111
 0.25 346109 345107 344106 344105 343103 341104 340106 340109
      340110 342110 344111 346109
 0.25 330101 329098 328098 327098 325100 325101 324102 325104
      326105 327105 328103 330101
 0.25 319108 319106 319104 318102 316102 314103 312103 310104
      309104 310106 310107 311109 313110 314112 315112 316112
      317111 318110 319108 319108
 0.25 320095 319093 318092 317093 316094 316095 318097 320095
 0.25 301103 301100 300097 296093 291090 287087 282084 279083
      275083 271087 274094 279096 285099 290101 295103 301103
 0.25 296960 296959 294958 292957 290957 289958 288959 287960
      288962 288963 289964 290965 292965 293964 294964 295962
      296961 296960
 0.50 374692 374687 372684 366682 358696 343721 338734 335741
      330747 326751 320756 313760 305763 290767 285772 284776
      283781 287787 292791 303800 307801 311800 316795 327784
      330779 335774 345762 348757 351750 357734 361720 368705
      374692
 0.50 371032 373026 374019 372013 369009 363003 355996 353993
      352987 351982 348985 347988 348990 349994 351000 351007
      347015 347020 348025 356044 356047 354051 352056 352058
      355060 356064 354069 352074 353076 356075 357072 361069
      364065 369063 367054 368053 367049 366047 367043 371032
 0.50 352084 353082 352081 350081 352084 352084
 0.50 354062 353062 352061 351062 352063 353062 354062
 0.50 342098 343096 342094 342093 340091 339093 338094 337095
      336096 336097 338098 340099 342098 342098
 0.50 341089 341087 341085 342083 341082 339081 338081 337082
      336082 334084 333086 335088 337089 339090 341089 341089
 0.50 342076 342075 340074 338076 340077 342077 342076
 0.50 332079 333077 332077 332079 332079
 0.50 312865 312862 313860 311859 310860 310861 308862 307863
      306864 305865 305867 304869 304871 304874 304876 305877
      307876 307875 308874 309873 309871 310870 310869 311867
      312865 312865
 0.50 305844 306837 302831 296826 293821 292816 290813 288814
      284817 278826 276830 277834 280846 282860 285863 289861
      298856 304848 305844
 0.50 295809 296807 295805 294803 292801 290800 289801 289802
      287804 287806 287808 288810 289812 291812 293811 295811
      295809
 0.50 287883 286876 283870 277873 273878 270882 267888 262901
      255913 255929 256936 261939 267939 273935 278932 282927
      284920 285912 285893 287883
 1.00 360707 357707 355712 353715 351720 350725 348729 347734
      349735 351733 352728 354724 356720 357716 358712 360707
 1.00 370023 370016 365012 360010 356011 354013 352019 353024
      355030 356038 360043 361043 364038 368033 370025 370023
 1.00 340751 341747 338746 334752 328761 326766 322769 315771
      309771 303772 299776 299781 305784 307790 311789 316786
      321782 323778 328773 334763 339753 340751
 1.00 301840 301838 299836 296834 293832 291832 288832 287835
      288837 289841 290843 292846 296845 298844 300842 301840
 1.00 279919 280908 279903 277901 274899 269899 267901 265905
      262911 259918 258927 259932 261934 265934 269933 274929
      277927 278923 279919
 1.50 368023 368020 367017 365015 361014 360013 357014 356016
      355020 355025 356027 359029 361030 363028 364027 367025
      368023
 1.50 276923 276917 275910 273906 270906 267909 264912 262915
      260919 261925 261929 266931 270928 274925 276923
 2.00 273921 273917 272913 270911 268913 265915 264917 262919
      262923 263925 264927 266927 269925 271923 273921

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 556131 551113 546096 545092 543087 542078 541075 541068
      538056 534053 529045 527037 525028 524022 528021 532024
      532029 539043 545044 550047 554053 558062 560069 560075
      562076
 0.01 569977 565980 564977 564970 561958 556953 553950 549952
      545949 542944 539936 538931 535928 534919 532914 530911
      526910 526913 525922 522924 517924 514925 514928 510935
      507937 503937 501939 502941 505947 512959 515968 516973
      518978 523978 525981 526989 528989 528992 529999 527004
      527012 524014 522012 519007 517007 515007 511004 510998
      507994 493984 487967 484959 482951 480941 480927 483919
      487919 490921 492922 487909 485900 486895 485887 483885
      481880 478875 476872 474868 474857 480852 481848 481845
      479837 480834 479832 478828 475825 471826 467826 464825
      460825 456823 455819 452817 445822 444826 446830 453835
      460837 465842 465850 463854 461858 458860 455862 450863
      446862 442860 437854 436852 433851 433854 433860 435864
      440868 444877 446884 447892 448896 452908 455917 456927
      455939 454942 452948 452960 454972 454979 455985 460993
      460997 458002 456006 453008 445009 442017 439024 435031
      429037 426040 422038 417034 412026 410023 406021 402014
      397996 395987 391979 386956 384940 383934 382929 382924
      383920 384915 387911 394906 396886 396880 397876 400867
      403859 407850 410840 410833 411828 414819 416816 419815
      427823 426817 424814 422810 419808 398809 397798 400793
      405785 407778 409774 410768 411765 411758 412753 414749
      421742 427726 439697 447680 451672 455665 465648 467644
      471641 479640 492641 496641 498646 499651 501658 506676
      512697 523744 525757 524768 526796 525802 526810 526818
      526821 529822 534815 538811 541809 549812 557817
 0.01 569972 569969 569966 569963 567960 568958 569955
 0.01 542151 543138 543132 542127 540125 539122 541119 542111
      540105 537102 535107 533110 533117 536123 538132 540135
      539138 539145 538152 540154 542151
 0.01 538183 538173 539167 538164 538156 533152 530137 526134
      519132 516131 515127 515122 513121 510123 508125 508130
      510136 507140 506150 509155 518163 522168 525174 528178
      530184 532187 535188 538183
 0.01 523081 521078 520078 519078 518077 516077 515077 513079
      513082 513084 514087 516088 517088 519086 520085 521083
      523081 523081
 0.01 522060 522057 523054 523052 523049 521046 519049 518051
      518054 519057 519059 521059 522060 522060
 0.01 502034 503026 501021 499018 496013 495010 493013 493018
      496023 497028 497036 497041 500039 502034 502034
 0.01 477984 477974 476969 472964 469959 466954 462949 460949
      460954 462959 465967 465976 465981 467984 470989 474989
      477984
 0.01 470900 468898 468895 467895 465893 463893 461896 463898
      463900 465903 467903 468903 470900 470900
 0.01 435230 436225 435223 431218 425218 420220 417225 414231
      410237 410242 414246 420246 425244 429241 432234 435230
 0.01 428695 428690 427685 421684 415687 411692 402703 394713
      390718 387724 383738 385747 392746 403739 410728 418717
      425705 427700 428695
 0.01 401204 401178 397168 395162 392158 382150 376142 382115
      387106 390095 389068 388047 376042 374037 374033 375029
      379026 379021 379016 380010 383004 383997 382992 380989
      380985 380979 379972 377967 373970 370973 365975 355969
      352965 348964 339967 330973 327979 324983 322988 321992
      317992 313990 307988 303985 300981 298975 297968 295968
      293964 289960 286964 288989 286991 279992 276993 273996
      273999 276001 283001 288002 287004 291006 297011 300013
      306013 309013 316012 321014 325018 331025 338034 340040
      339043 336045 333048 327050 325057 327063 328068 326082
      323085 317083 297074 289068 279063 270058 266058 264062
      264068 267073 270077 274080 278082 280088 283099 286104
      290106 296109 300113 307119 316123 322124 328123 334125
      333131 329135 325138 316141 317151 319155 323160 329166
      337173 345180 353186 364194 373200 382205 387204 394206
      396208 399208 401204
 0.01 398700 398698 398697 396697 395698 396701 398700 398700
 0.01 380702 376700 369704 361708 355713 347718 341722 334727
      328733 320743 310756 305761 303764 298766 291768 288766
      284764 276765 272766 269769 263773 260780 260786 258789
      254793 250800 248804 250808 251812 253814 258819 260823
      259826 260836 262841 263847 263852 263856 265866 264876
      262883 261892 261904 259913 258917 257922 254930 250936
      245941 241946 239953 237957 237962 238966 240969 249970
      256968 263966 270962 276958 280952 286935 295924 299917
      302908 304902 306893 307888 309884 314878 321864 331850
      333845 336837 338827 340819 342809 345801 349795 351786
      359752 361744 365737 369730 373722 376710 380702
 0.01 251775 249773 245772 239772 234773 231776 229779 229785
      232787 236788 238785 241783 246781 249779 251775
 0.01 244000 244994 244990 241986 239983 235981 233983 231987
      231993 233997 234001 236005 240006 242004 244000
 0.01 235818 234812 232808 230804 228801 226799 224801 222805
      222811 223817 226821 228825 230826 232824 234820 235818
 0.25 501695 501692 500690 500687 499685 497684 495684 494685
      492686 491687 491690 492692 492695 493697 494698 495699
      496699 497699 498698 499698 500696 501695
 0.25 494671 494666 493661 492657 488659 487661 486664 484667
      483670 482674 482675 484677 487676 489675 492673 494671
 0.25 442933 442923 440916 435904 429893 425888 421886 417887
      412891 409896 407903 407912 408917 410919 418926 426935
      435941 438941 440940 442933
 0.25 424999 424975 421966 417958 413951 410942 408919 405917
      402918 401922 401929 399939 396948 395951 394957 396968
      403984 405992 410001 413008 415010 419013 422013 423007
      424999
 0.25 385196 384193 381191 379190 377187 375185 372183 368183
      367185 367187 369188 372190 374192 377194 379195 382197
      385196
 0.25 379085 380083 379080 379078 378076 377076 376075 374075
      374076 373077 372080 372082 373084 373085 375086 377086
      379085 379085
 0.25 365719 364716 361716 356720 342726 337730 332735 325745
      310764 302772 295775 290778 281786 275789 271793 260800
      257802 258804 264807 269809 271816 269824 270833 271843
      271851 270867 269882 269891 268898 263910 259925 257937
      256946 258949 261950 267947 271943 276931 279927 284923
      287917 289910 294897 296891 300885 310863 313857 317852
      323840 328829 331822 332814 330804 332795 334789 339779
      345767 357742 362731 364725 365719
 0.25 373071 373066 372060 368052 359049 356049 354052 355055
      356060 355065 353071 349072 346074 345079 346082 350085
      355086 357083 357078 361077 364074 369073 373071
 0.25 369014 369007 369001 367995 364990 357985 352982 346982
      342984 339988 334997 333001 334008 335013 338017 342020
      348022 353023 359024 364022 367019 369014
 0.25 356127 356122 355120 353117 351115 349114 347114 345116
      343118 343121 344124 346125 350127 353128 356127
 0.25 343103 345101 345098 345096 345094 344092 343092 342090
      340091 338093 337095 338097 338099 338100 339102 341104
      343103 343103
 0.50 426919 437933 434923 432919 431914 430912 428909 427907
      425905 423902 420901 417901 415904 415907 416910 419912
      421914 422916 424917 426919
 0.50 419982 419978 417973 414968 409961 405956 401955 398958
      399966 403972 405979 408989 409991 413992 418987 419982
 0.50 358732 358728 357725 351725 344728 339731 333739 327750
      300784 291790 287793 285800 287806 289809 289813 286818
      281821 278826 277832 276847 275860 274867 274875 277888
      276894 273900 271904 267908 264912 262919 260931 262937
      265939 267937 274928 281920 283908 287895 288889 291885
      298875 303867 306854 309849 314847 317841 320836 324827
      326820 325816 325812 324810 320809 321803 326794 337775
      348754 353742 358732
 0.50 361069 360067 359067 358067 358069 358071 358072 359071
      360070 361069
 0.50 363012 362003 360996 355990 348988 342991 340995 340000
      342006 339013 341015 345017 354017 361015 363012
 0.50 315822 315817 313814 310815 307816 305818 303820 302823
      302827 303831 304835 306835 308835 310833 311830 313827
      314824 315822
 0.50 273803 274801 273799 272798 270798 268799 266799 264800
      263801 261801 259803 261804 263804 264804 265805 267805
      269805 271805 272805 273803
 1.00 410970 409968 409967 407966 407965 405964 401965 405968
      408970 409972 410970
 1.00 352733 352730 350730 344732 338738 336743 334748 333752
      330757 323762 317770 313778 307784 301792 296800 296805
      298809 303810 309808 315802 320793 330777 338760 342752
      348743 352733
 1.00 358007 358005 356000 355998 353997 350996 348995 346997
      345000 346002 347005 349007 351009 354010 358009 358007
 1.00 300844 300838 298832 295824 292821 287822 283825 282829
      281840 281850 281863 280867 281872 283872 286871 288868
      295862 298854 300844
 1.00 277917 277914 275911 271911 268911 265913 264915 264919
      263923 263927 264929 266929 269927 271925 273923 274921
      276919 277917
 1.50 353005 353003 353002 351001 349000 349001 349002 351004
      352004 353005 353005
 1.50 316794 316787 311787 308790 304792 302796 299799 300803
      304805 307806 310803 312800 315796 316794
 1.50 298845 299838 297832 295829 292825 289824 285826 284829
      283835 284842 285848 286852 289854 293853 296849 298845
      298845
 1.50 269921 270919 270917 269915 268914 266914 266915 265917
      265919 266921 266922 268922 269921
 2.00 298840 297836 296834 295831 293828 291826 289825 286827
      285829 285833 286837 286841 287843 289847 290848 294847
      296845 297842 298840
 3.00 295841 295838 295836 294834 293833 293832 291830 289829
      289828 289829 288831 288833 288835 289837 289839 290840
      291841 292842 294842 295841

24HR QP VT 03/12Z
 0.01 530243 528245 526247 525246 524249 524251 522253 522256
      521258 521261 519263 518265 519265 520268 520269 521269
509302 508303 507303 506305
      505305 504306 503307 502308 501309 500310 499311 498312
      497313 495314 494317 494319 494322 494324 495325 496328
 0.01 550159 550155 548151 547147 544146 542143 538137 536129
      533122 530119 526126 524128 522126 520127 514129 512130
      510133 507140 508151 510158 517169 524182 528188 534191
      539187 542179 544173 545169 548167
 0.01 548909 548887 548876 548870 546866 545855 543844 539831
      537826 536820 535815 534798 533777 532767 530758 524747
      518732 506707 499700 493689 490682 491673 493658 490651
      484652 472651 465660 462659 460661 457667 452679 447687
      442699 438712 435725 434727 433732 430738 420747 414757
      402780 391796 390804 391810 392814 393819 394830 391837
      388842 384847 385854 380880 378886 374891 370900 371909
      373914 375921 375929 380941 387951 390956 395960 398963
      405966 415968 419967 424966 430965 436964 445955 449952
      452947 454940 455934 458933 463931 465936 469949 469958
      472964 475969 479972 481974 484975 490976 497975 502970
      504967 504964 503957 502948 500940 499931 497924 495916
      493909 489898 485884 482879 480872 479862 479850 478838
      481832 487840 490843 491841 491837 491830 491825 493824
      498841 500847 501855 509887 518915 521921 523926 529935
      533941 538941 541939 544931 547920 547912 548909
 0.01 517114 516111 514108 513105 512102 510102 506104 505106
      504109 504111 507115 509117 512118 515116 517114
 0.01 455221 454217 451213 447211 445207 446202 447194 445191
      437184 428182 425178 424174 420152 417141 414128 413123
      413116 413108 412104 410077 409073 410068 410063 409059
      406049 400041 393034 388027 383019 377013 374010 372005
      371001 368996 362989 354984 345979 336977 328973 324973
      321975 319978 319984 319990 319993 317994 309998 307001
      307009 309013 312017 318024 324033 330039 332042 332047
      327053 325058 325062 324069 319071 306070 297067 288062
      282061 279059 275059 271060 269067 280083 282087 284093
      285097 288101 293107 301112 315122 320124 323122 330115
      335116 337120 340131 346139 350141 355143 359141 361145
      361155 363160 365164 368168 369171 367173 363177 361181
      363190 365194 368196 375201 393210 399217 401222 400231
      401235 405238 410241 415241 424240 430238 447232 453228
      455221
 0.01 398698 396684 391685 387689 382696 375703 371707 367709
      359715 354720 350722 345724 336728 328735 321742 316749
      306763 300768 289771 279771 274770 268771 257771 243773
      232776 228784 223799 224812 226826 226832 228838 230839
      233838 234835 235816 234810 235807 238806 242807 249807
      250812 253815 261821 263824 265830 268843 269857 269870
      266888 264893 264899 263904 263912 264927 264933 262937
      259945 254951 250959 250966 252969 254969 259968 267963
      283952 288946 292939 299922 306901 310891 312880 319864
      322857 325846 342808 345801 350794 355786 357783 361778
      366772 369768 369760 371751 372746 373745 376741 381734
      384726 394708 397703 398698
 0.01 398143 398138 399134 398129 396131 394133 390135 388137
      386138 388141 391144 392146 394148 396145 398143
 0.01 362092 360090 359089 357091 358093 360093 362092
 0.01 304042 304040 304038 302038 300040 302042 304042 304042
 0.25 470895 469863 469853 468846 463834 458822 456818 457810
      458803 456798 455798 452797 450799 446799 443803 440808
      438813 438818 441819 439824 434823 430825 427829 423834
      420839 419844 420853 421860 422865 424866 433869 438868
      443865 449863 452863 454867 459877 463888 466895 470895
 0.25 425222 426217 426213 428206 427198 425196 422195 420195
      417192 416187 414183 414178 411172 409170 405168 397167
      393171 394178 398184 403188 405190 406194 409201 407208
      409213 414228 418229 423226 425222
 0.25 438909 438903 434898 432894 429891 426888 422886 414882
      402881 398883 395885 388892 383900 382907 383915 384921
      386925 387932 389936 395944 399947 403948 405947 410949
      415950 420949 423947 425942 424936 423931 419920 415910
      416905 419906 427911 436913 438909
 0.25 420799 421794 419790 416793 415795 414798 413800 412804
      410807 410810 410814 412815 415814 416811 417808 419804
      419801 420799
 0.25 408105 408103 408100 408099 407100 407103 406105 407107
      408105
 0.25 399106 398104 397103 395103 394103 395105 396107 398108
      399106
 0.25 393057 389054 388051 386053 382053 381051 376053 370054
      365051 361050 358051 356055 356063 355066 356071 362072
      367075 372086 374093 375100 377102 381101 385098 388092
      388084 387076 389069 393057
 0.25 379126 379124 379123 378123 377124 375125 375126 374127
      375129 376129 377128 379126 379126
 0.25 372725 372720 370717 366717 363720 351726 341731 333738
      304772 293779 289784 287789 285794 285802 287805 292807
      297809 299816 299819 296820 290818 286818 281822 280828
      280834 281851 280866 279874 278879 274890 272896 271903
      272910 275914 282916 288914 292910 295906 301896 306884
      308873 309865 309856 309840 308832 305827 304824 307820
      316813 323803 330794 343775 349765 355755 367735 372725
 0.25 365018 361011 359007 358000 354994 348989 339986 335987
      331990 330995 332999 338005 345011 351015 359019 364020
      365018
 0.25 355122 354118 352116 350117 348119 346121 344122 342124
      344126 346128 347130 350130 350126 350125 353124 355122
 0.25 352079 353077 353075 352075 351076 350077 351077 352079
      352080 352079
 0.25 344107 344100 343096 341091 340087 338082 335080 330079
      328081 329085 331090 333093 336097 338100 340104 342107
      344107
 0.25 277805 276803 273801 270800 267800 264800 261800 258801
      256803 256805 257807 260809 262809 265809 269809 273808
      275807 277805
 0.25 260793 258789 254785 250785 250782 246781 239782 235786
      235790 238791 241791 245791 246792 251796 255795 260793
 0.50 462859 462856 462854 462851 461849 461847 459845 459847
      458849 458852 460854 460855 461856 461859 462860 462859
 0.50 437856 437852 436847 435842 435840 433835 431834 429836
      428838 427843 426845 426850 427855 427858 429860 433860
      435859 437856
 0.50 419940 419933 418928 415924 412921 405917 399913 396908
      396904 394901 392900 389903 388909 391913 395920 398924
      401926 405929 407931 412940 416942 419940
 0.50 381083 382078 381075 380072 380069 378066 376067 375065
      372066 372071 372074 373077 374080 375083 379084 381083
 0.50 365726 362725 359727 353729 343734 335741 328748 321758
      314766 308774 300781 292788 293795 294801 300810 304814
      308813 316805 321797 327787 333778 340769 346761 357743
      362733 365726
 0.50 349998 349996 348995 346993 344992 342993 341993 340993
      340995 342997 343997 344998 346998 347998 349998
 0.50 304863 304853 304844 304838 303832 300825 296822 292821
      288821 285823 282827 282833 284844 285855 286864 288876
      284883 279889 275896 274900 275906 277908 281909 288906
      293900 298893 302886 303878 304867 304863
 1.00 348743 346740 342741 337746 333752 328757 324762 323766
      323771 320774 321777 326773 333768 337763 342757 345752
      348744 348743
 1.00 319780 314781 311784 306789 302791 299796 301802 304807
      307807 313804 316799 318793 319787 319780
 1.00 301842 301835 298828 295824 292823 289823 285827 284835
      286843 289847 292853 296856 299855 299851 301844 301842
 1.50 312796 312794 312792 311791 310791 308792 308793 306794
      305795 305796 304797 304799 305801 305802 307803 309802
      310801 311798 312797 312796
 1.50 299842 299836 298832 296827 292824 289824 287827 286833
      287839 290843 292847 296849 299844 299842
 2.00 297842 298838 298834 297831 295828 293826 291825 288827
      287829 287833 288835 289839 290841 292843 296844 297842
 3.00 295834 295833 295832 294830 293829 292828 291827 290829
      289831 289832 289833 290835 291837 292838 293839 294839
      295836 295835 295834

$$




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