Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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941
FXUS04 KWBC 252142
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
542 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 26/0000 UTC THRU MAY 29/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


18Z CYCLE UPDATE...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE DAY 1 FORECAST FOLLOWING RECENT
DATA TRENDS AND THE 12Z ECMWF QPF.

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
THE REGIME OF CAPPING OF CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN TX
TRANSITIONS TO A MORE FAVORABLE PATTERN AS THE DEEP LAYER RIDGE
MOVES EAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND RETURN INFLOW OFF THE GULF OF
MEXICO ADVECTS QUITE WARM/MOISTURE LADEN AIR...AS THE GFS
FORECASTS 2 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO BE IN SOUTHERN TEXAS
BY 12Z THU AND BEYOND. AS HEIGHT/TEMPERATURES ALOFT FALL AND LAPSE
RATES STEEPEN...
CONVECTION DEVELOPS ON THE NOSE OF THE UPPER JET OVER NORTHEAST
MEXICO,.  THIS CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE TONIGHT AND DOWNSTREAM INTO MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TX ON THU.
THE GFS SHOWS WELL DEFINED 850-700 MB CONVERGENCE OVER SOUTHEAST
TX WHERE THE MOISTURE PLUME IS INDICATED...SO ASCENT IS EXPECTED
IN THE MOIST AIRMASS.  THE HIGH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND PRESENCE OF
LOCAL BOUNDARIES TO PROVIDE LIFT STARTS A TREND OF INCREASING
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE.
MANUAL QPF BLENDED THE GFS/12Z CANADIAN REGIONAL GEM AND WRF ARW
FOR QPF.

...CO ROCKIES/CENTRAL PLAINS...

THE CENTRAL PLAINS SHOULD SEE A BRIEF LULL IN ACTIVITY BUT
DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW AMPLITUDE 700 MB RIDGE ACRS ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. ON THU...A 700 MB CIRCULATION CROSSES FROM CO ON TO THE
HIGH PLAINS.  LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ON THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...DRIVING A WARM FRONT NORTH.
AS THE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN DEVELOPS...THE MOISTURE
GETS LIFTED OVER THE WARM FRONT AND MODELS INCREASE SHOWER/STORM
COVERAGE QUICKLY IN THE FRONTAL CIRCULATION THU AFTERNOON...WITH
THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET ALL FORECASTING 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA TO ADJACENT IA BY 00Z FRI.
MANUAL QPF USED A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/NSSL WRF AND WRF
NMMB FROM NCEP FOR TIMING/AMOUNTS.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
DEVELOP IN THE TRAILING LOW LEVEL INFLOW AS THE 700 MB CONVERGENCE
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING TO 1.5-1.75 INCHES
PROVIDE FAVORABLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS TO
DEVELOP.

...NORTHERN PLAINS / MIDWEST / GREAT LAKES/ OH VALLEY/TN
VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/ APPALACHIANS ....

THE MODELS SHOW AN ELONGATED 700 MB CIRCULATION DRIFTING NORTH
OVER NORTH DAKOTA INTO MT...WITH AN INITIAL BURST OF LOW-MID LEVEL
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO
NORTHERN MN AND WI. WHILE THE CIRCULATION MOVES NORTH...THE MID
LEVEL DEFORMATION AXIS OVER ND MOVES IN TANDEM...SO THE STEADIER
SHOWERS MOVE MOVE ACROSS THE BORDER INTO CANADA...AS DOES THE 700
MB THETA-E ADVECTION MAXIMA AND CONVERGENCE.

THE FRONTAL PUSH ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA
SHOULD RESULT IN AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...AS 850-700 MB
VORTICES ROTATE ACROSS THE REGION...PROVIDING LIFT.
MANUAL QPF BLENDED THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET QPF WITH LESS WEIGHTING ON
THE WRF ARW AND NSSL WRF.

THERE ARE A PAIR OF MID LEVEL CIRCULATIONS CAUSING SHOWERS/STORMS
AS THEY INTERCEPT THE MOIST AXIS ACROSS WESTERN KY/TN AND DOWN IN
AR.  THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE EAST
OVERNIGHT...UNTIL IT HITS AREAS OF LESSER INSTABILITY AND LESS
AVAILABLE PRECIPITABLE WATER/SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  SPORADIC UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
IN SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUE TO TRIGGER SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST.

FURTHER NORTH...MID LEVEL WAR,M/MOIST ADVECTION AND A 700 MB WAVE
PRODUCE ASCENT AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE OH VALLEY TONIGHT AND THEN
INTO PA/NY ON THU.  MANUAL PROGS USED A CONSENSUS MULTI-MODEL
BLEND IN TIMING/AMOUNTS OF QPF WITHOUT A STRONG PREFERENCE GIVEN
TYPICAL SPREADS.

NORTHEAST WA/NORTHERN ID/NORTHWEST MT...

THE POOL OF RESIDUAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION IS UTILIZED IN
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AS A LOW AMPLITUDE 700 MB WAVE CROSSES WA STATE
ON THU.  WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND GFS FCST ASCENT IN THE 700
MB LAYER WHERE LAPSE RATES REMAIN NEAR 7 DEG C/KM SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN NORTHEAST WA AND CONTINUING INTO
NORTHERN ID AND NORTHWEST MT.

A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE STILL PREDICTED TO BE ACROSS NEVADA
AND ADJACENT CENTRAL CA SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAIN RANGE...WITH
RESIDUAL MOISTURE IN PLACE.  AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT GIVEN LIMITED
ASCENT FORECAST BY THE MODELS. FOR QPF...WPC USED A COMBINATION OF
CONTINUITY...AND A MULTI-MODEL BLEND.


DAYS 2/3...


...WEST...

THE PATTERN OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEMS THAT HAVE PERSISTED
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST OVER THE
LAST FEW DAYS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
SHORTWAVES ROTATING WITHIN THE TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH THE STEEP
LAPSE RATES TO RESULT IN SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING VIA DIURNAL HEATING.  THE QPF FORECAST HERE
IS GENERALLY A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF ACROSS THIS REGION WITH
LOCAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR TERRAIN.


...PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES REGION AND POINTS EAST...

THE WEATHER PATTERN ON DAYS 2/3 WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY ACTIVE
WITH SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS, POSSIBLE FLOODING RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER.
THE MAIN TROUGH WILL MIGRATE EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AS A NEGATIVELY
TILTED TROUGH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GIVEN THE HIGHLY CONVECTIVE
NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION...FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON
THE DETAILS OF SPECIFIC FEATURES ALTHOUGH MODEL ENSEMBLES AND
INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS SUGGEST MORE PREDICTABILITY FOR SOME OF THE
MESOSCALE DEVELOPMENT...AND ESPECIALLY FOR 24 HOUR TOTALS IN SOME
REGIONS.

MOIST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WITH A STRONG WARM FRONT BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL FOCUS POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL ESPECIALLY
OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA/NORTHEAST KANSAS/NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHILE A SEPARATE
AREA OF HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WILL FOCUS WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR AHEAD OF THE WEST TEXAS DRYLINE AND THROUGHOUT MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE SAME PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SOME
OF THIS RAINFALL WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE DIURNAL CYCLE.

ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE MECHANISMS PROMOTING HEAVY
RAINFALL MOVE EASTWARD AND DOES NOT PRESENT AS STRONG A SIGNAL YET
AS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT STILL SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO NORTHERN MIDWEST...AS WELL AS A SEPARATE AREA IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

DAY 2 (00Z FRIDAY-00Z SATURDAY)

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING APPEARS FOCUSED ON TWO SEPARATE
AREAS.  THE FIRST AREA IS CENTERED AROUND THE INTERSECTION OF THE
BORDERS OF IOWA/NEBRASKA AND MISSOURI WHERE THE AREAL AVERAGED
RAINFALL FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO OVER 3
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.  THIS AREA IS
LOCATED

THIS FIRST AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A
STRONG SHORTWAVE WITHIN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH MOVES FROM THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.  LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
DOWNWIND OF THE ROCKIES AND WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT
DIRECTLY BENEATH THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET.  THE MOST RECENT
BIAS CORRECTED MULTI MODEL MEAN...AS WELL AS THE GEFS/ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEANS SUPPORT A MAXIMUM QPF IN THIS AREA WHILE THE
ECMWF/GFS/UKMET ARE ALSO SUPPORTIVE OF MAXIMUM QPF IN THE REGION.
THIS AREA ALSO EXTENDS TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST IN MORE OF A
DEFORMATION BAND EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA INTO EASTERN
AND CENTRAL COLORADO...WHERE AREAL AVERAGED QPF VALUES ARE
GENERALLY FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES.

THE OTHER REGION OF FLOODING POTENTIAL ON DAY 2 IS ACROSS TEXAS.
THERE IS GROWING CONFIDENCE IN THIS AREA OF CONVECTIVE RAINFALL AS
A DISTINCT SIGNAL EXISTS IN SEVERAL OF THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS.  THIS FEATURE SHOWS UP IN THE ECMWF/GEFS AND CANADIAN
ENSEMBLE MEANS BUT WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE FORECAST AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN THE 12Z GFS AND EVEN THE ECMWF.  FORECAST TOTALS IN
THE GFS APPROACH 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS OVER DAYS 2
AND 3...WHILE THE HI RESOLUTION ECMWF GENERALLY HAS 4 TO 6 INCHES
FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS....AND THE 12Z CANADIAN APPROACHES 7 INCHES IN NORTHEAST
TEXAS.  THE WPC FORECAST HAS A LARGE AREA OF 2 TO 3 PLUS INCHES
FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS AND DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES AT THIS
POINT...STILL WENT WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
ALTHOUGH ALSO CONSIDERED GOING WITH A MODERATE RISK. THE 12Z
NAM/UKMET WERE LESS ROBUST.

DAY 3 ((00Z SATURDAY-00Z SUNDAY)

BOTH AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE PRESENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS HEAVY AS ON DAY 2.  THE
NORTHWARD AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A BROAD AREA OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF QPF
FORECAST FROM NORTHERN IOWA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.  THE SOUTHERN AREA HAS SHRUNK AS THE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MOVES INTO ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA WITH AREAL
AVERAGED TOTALS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES.  IN GENERAL...THE ECMWF AND
GEFS MEANS LOOKED RELATIVELY SIMILAR WHILE THE 12Z RUNS ALSO HAD
ELEMENTS IN COMMON WITH THE MEANS AND WERE USED TO GENERATE THE
FORECAST.

ACROSS THE EAST COAST DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION SEEMS POSSIBLE
UNDER THE WEAK FLOW BENEATH THE RIDGE...MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN.
THOUGHT THE GFS WAS TOO WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY WITH ITS
DEPICTION...WITH THE ECMWF PROBABLY TOO WEAK/DRY. OPTED FOR A
SOLUTION IN BETWEEN.

...SOUTHEAST...

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD UPPER LOW NEAR AND NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS
WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3...AS AFTERNOON HEATING COULD
ACCELERATE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE CAROLINA COASTS AND
JUST INLAND.  THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF A POSSIBLE LONGER AND MORE
WIDESPREAD FEATURE FOR THE EAST COAST BUT CURRENT GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS MOST AMOUNTS REMAIN BELOW A QUARTER INCH.


BURKE/CHENARD




24HR QP VT 27/00Z
 0.01 531704 528715 524725 514747 508756 505761 502764 497766
      492767 489763 486758 485750 485746 483744 477746 473748
      466755 457764 454767 452771 450777 449783 448797 445802
      443808 440808 437803 434797 435789 437776 438770 437760
      438755 437747 433735 429731 424731 418731 414729 407724
      403720 400717 398712 403710 412712 420716 430717 433717
      435715 434707 432701 433694 437685 440682 443676 450669
      457660 462652 469643 479639 486637 490638 494637 495638
      499643 502643 504640 506633
 0.01 540189 541182 540177 538168 535160 528156 520150 514145
      506143 498138 494135 487132 480126 477123 476117 481110
      483106 485105 488104 490102 493102 497100 499095 499087
      499085 496081 488081 481082 480084 477082 476078 478074
      481072 487067 495065 498062 500057 503053 507050 508050
      508046 510039 512033 513028 513020 515013 515998 512987
      510979 509972 508967 505944 497931 491924 486916 483907
      479899 475889 468880 467873 468868 472858 475850 477846
      479842 488828 492820 493815 493811 491801 487793 484790
      479792 474796 468803 465812 463824 462831 458834 455834
      454833 449833 445834 443830 442825 448819 447814 443814
      439815 435818 432823 433827 432830 430830 421832 406829
      400830 397832 393833 389831 378832 374832 371835 368855
      360870 336897 330903 323906 317911 316914 313917 308923
      306926 306931 309940 310945 313948 313961 312965 315969
      319970 320974 322979 325981 331986 334990 333994 349996
      365002 368003 372004 382004 385003 390002 394001 396002
      396005 395017 397024 400049 403057 403063 401067 398072
      398074 402077 404078 403081 398108 399115 402124 404132
      397135 394135 390138 387141 385146 380154 375159 371162
      370166 362170 358174 355178 356184 357189 363196 368201
      382210 388216 390219 391224 393231 400235 408233 417235
      421235 422232 418228 417224 422216 428216 432215 432206
      431201 429197 427192 427184 427172 428165 428159 427152
      429150 431152 434159 439165 443171 446179 450181 453184
      458185 462183 465174 468171 472172 476174 479179 481183
      484187 487190 492193 494195 498196 504198 507202 514208
      518210 522210 526210 529208 536201 540189
 0.01 536907 535893 534888 531886 529886 526886 523881 522874
      520870 517873 517879 516884 516892 516897 518905 521915
      524926 526929 530928 533917 536907
 0.01 508246 509239 508234 504225 500216 496210 492212 488212
      479208 473211 470214 466216 459217 454217 449216 445216
      442219 441222 444226 449227 452227 456225 462225 468223
      475219 479219 484220 489222 492226 494230 495235 499245
      504250 508246
 0.01 333177 333175 333173 331172 330170 328170 326171 325172
      325174 325175 326176 327177 329178 330178 332178 333177
 0.01 306007 307999 306990 304985 299981 281970 274969 268970
      263973 257975 255976 255979 257985 262995 264998 261999
      257996 244992 239990 234992 232995 232998 234004 240013
      246024 253030 262038 269038 273036 278033 284031 293026
      296021 298015 306007
 0.01 280825 275820 272820 268818 267814 268808 264804 265798
      263784 262776 260772 250769 236771 231773 228777 223787
      223791 221794 221801 221808 222814 224819 224823 226823
      227827 228833 227839 229839 231832 232828 234826 239828
      241829 245829 251829 255826 263827 265829 271829 276828
      280825
 0.25 522674 519673 516675 510683 506691 501700 496707 494712
      496719 499721 503721 511721 516719 518716 522707 525698
      527689
 0.25 492656 487652 481655 475660 471667 468674 467678 469681
      475684 480681 484677 489670 492661 492656
 0.25 498021 499013 498006 497000 497995 495979 494967 491961
      487957 482947 479936 476925 475919 474915 469906 463898
      458890 439886 434883 431879 433870 428870 425872 418878
      410883 403878 396871 389866 385864 379864 374868 371871
      366878 363881 359883 356887 353891 351895 347897 337912
      330921 326930 326937 327941 330951 331964 333969 335971
      340975 343980 346984 351985 355985 360982 361978 364978
      367988 371991 376992 394984 402981 406983 406991 403021
      403028 405032 408035 412033 419026 422025 424026 425032
      424039 425041 428040 435035 443031 447031 448035 447039
      444048 440059 435068 436075 439078 442081 444084 436088
      432090 427089 428096 429101 426103 423105 423111 426115
      430117 435119 439122 443132 447132 449129 454119 459110
      462106 464102 461092 459087 458080 458075 461072 467067
      472064 475063 480061 484056 486051 487045 498021
 0.25 422202 422200 422199 420197 418198 417199 416200 415201
      414201 413202 413205 414205 415205 417206 419205 420204
      421204 422202
 0.25 404177 402171 403168 403164 399164 397160 393161 388163
      384169 382172 382177 380179 377181 371183 365184 364186
      365189 370194 375198 382201 387203 389202 388199 384194
      381188 382183 385183 390180 403177 404177
 0.25 386945 385940 382936 379934 376931 371931 368934 368938
      370943 372945 376947 380948 384946 386945
 0.25 260809 257802 255794 251788 249786 245785 237784 234790
      235798 238805 239810 240814 243816 248816 255816 259811
      260809
 0.25 251010 251006 250004 247002 245001 244000 240998 238999
      238002 240004 242006 245008 247009 249010 251010
 0.50 521686 520684 517684 517685 515685 512688 511692 510695
      510697 511700 514700 517698 518695 520692 520689 521686
 0.50 490018 491011 490005 487996 485986 481978 474974 472975
      470979 468989 466001 463010 462023 463033 462040 460044
      456051 453054 452059 454061 458063 462063 466062 473059
      475056 478052 480041 482032 488025 490018
 0.50 473967 474961 474955 473942 470920 466913 462906 457900
      451895 445893 437891 428891 420890 415894 410899 406906
      404911 404917 409921 410929 409935 410940 413949 414958
      416968 414978 412987 411998 408007 407012 407016 409020
      413019 417013 419009 422007 430021 432024 436024 442021
      456015 458012 459006 457996 455986 456983 459981 462976
      465969 469970 473967
 0.50 393172 393171 391171 391172 389172 387173 387174 389175
      391175 392174 393174 393172
 0.50 400903 399896 398890 396884 393881 389879 388879 386883
      385888 381893 375900 372903 369908 369914 371920 374923
      380924 386922 387918 391906 395908 398907 399904 400903
 0.50 391970 391962 388958 384958 381958 377963 374967 371972
      369978 370985 373987 376986 381983 385980 389976 391970
 0.50 374191 373189 372188 371188 370188 370190 371190 372192
      374191
 0.50 359907 360905 359903 358903 357903 355905 355906 354908
      355909 357909 358908 359907
 0.50 358956 358951 356947 354939 353930 351927 347925 344924
      339925 335930 334937 335947 337955 340963 342965 346966
      350965 354963 357958 358956
 0.50 253810 253808 252807 251806 250806 250808 251809 252810
      253810 253810
 1.00 468053 469051 468049 467050 466053 468053 468053
 1.00 463930 460925 455927 450928 447928 444930 443937 445945
      445949 447952 450950 452949 454945 456945 458937 462932
      463930
 1.00 433976 433968 432959 431951 429945 426940 424938 421937
      417942 417947 421954 422961 423968 426973 431976 433976

24HR QP VT 28/00Z
 0.01 541157 542149 542144 539132 538127 535125 527123 524072
      524062 519062 511065 506067 503067 501065 503062 506058
      512059 521057 523055 526055 528052 531048 533043 533032
      531019 529007 526996 525991 525984 525976 525973 523973
      515973 515960 517948 520934 521927 524922 528915 531910
      532905 536899 537893 539890 539886 539876 539870 539860
      538840 537808 536794 534788 533782 531777 529774 529769
      530764 532753 532750 530745 526733 521722 517711 513702
      510695 506693 498690 487686 484684 478683 464678 454668
      450667 445668 441675 437683 434691 424710 415734 409740
      403746 400750 396749 391748 385749 381755 375762 379769
      382773 381779 375785 371792 362806 357814 354818 351824
      346835 344840 345846 345857 351864 363853 385829 387833
      386839 384847 384853 382858 378866 371874 368877 364880
      358882 354886 351888 347888 342888 329901 324910 318915
      311919 303924 294936 285947 279955 274960 270964 266968
      262970 256970 253974 252980 250986 249992 251000 255010
      256015 261019 267024 288025 306029 311029 316029 322024
      335015 344009 352006 358005 359009 359014 358031 356042
      356050 357054 361063 362067 364068 367072 371079 373084
      373089 382103 382106 378109 376112 374117 374136 375141
      379142 383142 385143 385147 383153 380156 378160 378162
      381163 386163 390161 397154 403153 408150 413155 415151
      416132 416121 421121 422120 424114 425108 433106 435107
      435110 435114 430120 444145 450155 453159 459161 465162
      470161 473173 476183 476191 475196 474199
 0.01 474199 472204 469207 459212 450214 445216 441219 440223
      443227 446234 447239 459242 461250 464254 470256 474256
      477255 479253 483250 488251 491255 496267 497273 500272
      504267 509264 510264 510259 511255 516240 523208 527194
      532178 541157
 0.01 502067 486060 484052 480042 474026 465011 462009 460011
      452015 440026 438027 438031 439039 440043 440049 442052
      451056 464064 479071 494068 498069 502067
 0.01 489874 489871 489869 489866 489864 489861 487859 486861
      486864 486866 486869 486871 486874 488876 489874
 0.01 392200 388192 383184 376179 373176 368174 359171 355171
      357174 360177 362181 363185 365190 368193 372196 374198
      380201 383203 387202 392200
 0.01 365103 365099 365096 364092 362090 361087 359087 355086
      353086 351088 351093 351097 352099 354100 356102 359103
      361105 363105 365103
 0.01 291809 287803 286797 284792 280785 277782 273780 270779
      265779 259780 255778 247776 242775 238775 233780 229789
      228792 229797 230810 231814 233818 237822 241822 246821
      248819 250817 253817 257820 264822 272826 279828 283827
      284821 286812 286810 289810 291809
 0.25 531154 531146 529142 517140 513139 508140 504153 501158
      498161 493163 489167 486169 484174 482182 484188 490194
      492196 493200 491206 475214 476220 476225 479228 483229
      488230 495233 500230 504228 508225 510227 512225 514205
      518193 523181 525176 525170 527162 530156 531154
 0.25 508750 508744 506740 503730 500722 498720 494719 489724
      489730 490736 488739 488745 489747 491746 496752 501757
      502760 503756 506754 508750
 0.25 514014 515999 514994 510991 509991 505988 499985 494985
      490986 489992 489000 490015 490028 492032 496034 500034
      503031 509024 513017 514014
 0.25 504800 504792 504785 502778 500775 497776 492779 489782
      487785 487793 489800 491803 496804 499806 502807 504803
      504800
 0.25 474216 473216 472215 471216 470216 468217 467217 466217
      464218 463218 461220 460222 460223 462224 463225 465225
      467224 469224 470223 471222 472221 472219 473217 474216
 0.25 478109 480106 479102 475096 472094 465094 462094 457098
      452109 446116 444123 443130 445134 449138 458143 464136
      466132 466123 465117 466112 471113 476111 478109
 0.25 476969 476959 477951 477945 475933 472921 468905 466893
      463888 458885 451880 443876 438871 433870 429868 423862
      417860 417855 419850 421845 423840 424833 423825 421816
      413813 410815 408819 408832 408838 410842 411849 410854
      406857 403863 397871 391881 386886 378891 369894 360895
      354897 350899 344907 341912 336915 326918 302941 296949
      290958 285968 281978 278995 276999 277002 280006 283009
      292015 300021 304025 310024 318018 342995 348989 353985
      357982 368980 374980 380980 384983 385988 386999 385011
      384017 384024 384031 382035 373042 370051 372056 375062
      380068 384070 389070 397069 404065 409062 412058 417047
      420042 422035 422028 424022 430002 433993 438985 453971
      460963 463959 467956 471964 473970 476969
 0.25 460714 460713 458713 458714 460715 460714
 0.25 433751 432746 430741 427739 423739 420741 416745 414753
      413765 412777 413791 416794 420796 423793 426789 429781
      432771 432759 433751
 0.25 258789 256787 252785 247786 243788 240791 239795 242799
      244801 250801 253798 257796 258791 258789
 0.50 511217 511204 515192 514186 514182 515175 514168 513165
      511163 508163 501165 494169 492173 490180 491185 495188
      498190 499197 499203 499206 501207 504210 507216 509218
      511217
 0.50 458121 458120 457118 457117 455116 453115 452117 451119
      450122 449124 450126 451127 452129 454132 455133 457133
      457130 457128 456125 457123 458121 458121
 0.50 464947 465934 464929 462926 460924 456925 454928 451928
      449922 449916 445904 443901 439901 429900 422898 417893
      413889 412884 409881 405880 401882 396888 390895 385900
      382902 378904 369903 363901 356901 351910 346917 339922
      334922 330923 324926 319931 309940 302945 297952 292960
      288966 286969 286975 287978 289981 292987 290994 288999
      288002 295008 300014 304021 307022 311020 316016 325006
      337993 342987 348980 352975 359972 368974 376973 380970
      384968 387972 388976 390989 389002 388010 390018 389027
      389034 387039 383042 376046 375051 377056 382061 390064
      396063 403060 404057 406052 407046 410042 413032 414026
      416022 420015 424007 426999 429991 433985 438977 443971
      451965 456959 460954 464947
 0.50 425772 425770 424767 424765 424764 422764 422766 421768
      420768 420771 419773 421775 421776 423776 424775 425772
      425772
 1.00 438945 438937 436931 433925 427924 420923 413922 408928
      403929 398926 391926 386928 382931 380934 377936 370937
      366937 363934 363925 366920 371917 368915 362915 359918
      358921 351923 345926 337926 331928 328932 324936 320939
      314943 310947 301957 294965 292968 294973 299988 301990
      302994 301000 304012 307017 310015 328996 341979 346974
      350967 355964 359963 363963 366961 365955 375949 378948
      382948 387948 389950 391958 391968 394983 393991 394000
      413014 417010 419004 424991 429976 431968 433961 437954
      438945
 1.00 406028 406021 402022 399025 400030 400033 398032 395035
      392038 392041 389043 384047 383049 385054 387057 391059
      394058 398055 401046 403042 404039 403036 406028
 1.50 426952 426948 424945 419941 415938 411936 409938 403938
      399938 396939 395958 394966 395975 396984 398991 401996
      406997 408998 413002 415000 414996 416989 416983 416977
      416973 419966 426953 426952
 1.50 392050 393048 392046 391048 390050 392050 392050
 1.50 360954 359949 359943 357936 352932 347931 344930 341931
      334932 330937 321942 314952 305958 301963 299968 301979
      303982 307983 312983 316980 321978 325979 324982 320986
      312992 307005 307010 308013 311013 315009 318003 332986
      338977 342972 345967 348962 351960 358957 360954
 2.00 418952 418945 416942 408942 404942 400945 398955 397968
      398977 398988 401991 405990 408988 410984 413973 416961
      418952
 2.00 356952 353945 351941 348939 341936 334941 328943 324945
      321948 317954 314958 310959 305963 303967 303971 304975
      306978 310979 314979 320975 325974 329975 326983 328985
      330982 335976 334969 343958 346956 350956 356952
 2.00 325990 325988 323986 318988 315991 312994 311998 309002
      308009 311012 313009 316005 318001 320998 322994 325990
 3.00 411961 411959 410957 410956 409955 408954 407953 405953
      404954 404956 404959 404961 404963 404966 404968 405970
      407969 408968 409966 409963 410961 411961
 3.00 333960 330959 327958 327956 324956 322958 321960 319963
      317965 316969 315971 317972 320971 323970 325969 328967
      329965 331962 333960
 3.00 319992 319989 317990 315992 313995 312998 311000 310005
      311009 313005 314003 315001 317998 318994 319992

24HR QP VT 29/00Z
 0.01 548129 549123 547120 541113 538110 536103 538088 538079
      539073 540056 540048 537044 531036 528033 525028 523025
      518025 507023 501023 496020 487019 479021 461024 452024
      446028 438032 431037 424041 420043 419039 420032 422026
      426023 432016 439010 444003 449997 453994 459993 462992
      467991 477988 482995 483000 487005 491010 493010 497008
      501008 505003 509995 512991 514986 515980 516972 525950
      528941 526936 524931 517909 515895 513890 511881 507857
      502835 498808 494797 495791 494784 493767 495753 496745
      495736 491727 487714 483704 480693 475681 465665 461658
      459659 457664 452672 447675 444673 433689 429695 428699
      427705 424710 418728 414737 409747 406755 402763 391780
      388788 383795 381798 378803 375811 370822 368831 366843
      367859 364864 361867 357870 354874 345888 343893 340897
      335902 332905 326906 317909 300913 290916 282919 275929
      272937 268941 268945 270950 270954 257984 263992 269997
      272001 273006 272009 274013 278019 284024 290029 296029
      300028 310026 315020 321011 327003 330992 333988 334983
      335979 337976 339976 350979 358983 368985 378986 381985
      385988 386992 383995 383005 383013 383018 384031 393035
      397037 399037 400040 396042 391041 386039 382035 378035
      375037 368041 363047 359054 365060 369070 372080 376094
      375100 376104 378108 377113 373123 371123 370120 369122
      364126 360122 358118 354115 351110 348109 344109 344111
      346115 353130 355133 360136 370138 373141 373143 374145
      373148 368157 361151 357150 356153 358156 360159 358162
      350165
 0.01 350165 346167 344169 346171 350177 354178 373197 384204
      390207 394208 397210 401212 402210 400202 396191 395187
      396182 397172 399167 401165 405161 409159 413160 416160
      417154 418144 422138 427126 431118 436115 439114 441117
      441125 441135 446140 451151 455158 459163 471171 479182
      481188 477193 472196 468202 464210 463213 458214 453215
      449214 448217 446221 454224 457225 458228 453233 452238
      451243 451252 459255 462256 464255 464263 465267 468268
      476272 481276 492285 498271 503268 509269 514251 525217
      530199 535180 540162 544144 548129
 0.01 442098 441097 439097 438096 436095 434095 433095 431097
      432099 434099 436100 437100 439100 441100 442098
 0.01 402095 402093 401090 399092 398094 398095 396096 397098
      399097 401096 402095
 0.01 387091 386089 384088 382086 381087 380088 379089 380092
      382092 383092 385092 387091
 0.01 373740 372738 367739 364741 359741 343736 327733 310732
      307731 302731 291734 287736 284739 282742 280746 277753
      275762 273770 271779 270788 269792 269795 267797 257799
      253801 253806 254810 256814 262819 266821 271822 274823
      279823 287823 297821 302825 309829 317830 323829 326827
      331821 332817 332811 337805 340802 344799 348797 353796
      359792 362784 365774 367764 368755 373740
 0.25 533072 530066 525060 520057 513053 507051 501049 487048
      481046 474047 472050 473054 479059 484063 487070 491076
      489080 486082 462092 460099 458103 456105 451110 448118
      446127 449130 453130 458127 463123 467118 471112 475104
      480100 486099 494101 498102 500099 504091 506089 510090
      518092 522091 523088 527081 527076 529074 533072
 0.25 516187 517181 516176 514168 508164 500162 497161 495166
      495176 497185 500188 500191 501199 504200 506197 510191
      516187
 0.25 496223 496217 492212 487211 482213 477212 473214 471216
      471219 476221 477224 476229 476235 476244 477250 481252
      484250 484244 482237 481231 479226 483223 489224 496224
      496223
 0.25 495878 494865 493852 492837 491827 490819 485796 482783
      482771 479763 474754 468747 463738 457729 454725 453723
      450724 440739 436746 436750 439755 444764 447776 448784
      448790 447804 446817 443827 436843 432852 426860 416877
      411885 404889 398892 390895 379896 368899 358903 349906
      345906 341908 335913 328917 318919 309922 305924 302927
      299931 298935 297940 297947 297967 300969 305970 310969
      314966 323964 333962 343959 353957 368954 375954 384954
      390955 395956 399959 400964 400995 402005 408010 412011
      415010 419008 422005 425001 429999 434998 438996 446990
      452983 463971 487946 491937 493928 494912 494896 495878
 0.25 357766 355761 351763 346759 333756 329757 326760 322765
      313773 303782 300787 300796 306799 312799 320799 327799
      338793 343788 347783 354773 357766
 0.25 308005 309001 308998 304997 299996 293996 288997 286001
      287007 289011 294012 300011 304009 307007 308005
 0.50 487902 487893 487884 485865 483848 482832 483823 482814
      478797 475782 470769 467766 464767 461765 457760 456756
      454757 453764 453774 454789 455804 454812 453818 451825
      453827 453831 451839 449845 438865 432874 427888 424899
      417910 412919 405929 402934 400940 399943 400947 404951
      407954 409962 408977 407985 406991 406998 409001 412001
      417000 422997 431990 439985 444983 448978 456970 462961
      469954 477944 481932 485917 487902
 0.50 461114 461111 459112 457112 456113 455113 453115 452117
      452118 451119 450121 450124 451125 451124 453123 454122
      455122 456120 458118 458117 459116 460114 461114
 0.50 370934 370924 367922 364920 361918 357917 350916 341915
      334919 328921 319924 312925 306930 305933 307937 309945
      310953 309956 310961 314961 319960 327958 339953 346950
      354949 358949 361947 366941 370934
 0.50 336767 334766 332766 331767 330768 329769 328770 328771
      327773 326774 326775 325777 326778 328777 330776 332774
      333773 334771 335771 336769 336768 336767
 0.50 303002 302001 300001 298000 297000 295000 293000 292002
      292004 293005 295006 296007 298006 299006 300006 302004
      303002
 1.00 473917 473910 471903 469899 465896 461894 455894 452892
      449892 446893 444897 441902 436909 424924 419932 415942
      416955 416966 416969 419970 423972 427975 433974 440969
      449966 456960 458956 460949 463938 467930 473917
 1.00 422989 424987 422986 421985 419986 417987 415989 417990
      419990 420990 422989 422989
 1.00 358938 352933 346932 343930 342926 339923 332927 326932
      320939 319943 319949 319954 325954 332950 339947 347943
      355941 358938
 1.50 446916 445915 443915 442916 441916 440918 439918 438921
      438923 438924 440924 442923 443921 445918 446916
 1.50 340941 341939 339937 337935 334935 330936 328937 326939
      325942 325944 326947 327947 330947 334946 336945 338943
      340941

$$





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