Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 040936
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
535 AM EDT SAT JUL 04 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 04/1200 UTC THRU JUL 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


INCREASED THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS THRU PARTS OF THE MID/LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY BASED ON THE 00Z ECMWF HIRES AND RECENT
RADAR IMAGERY/TRENDS IN THIS REGION.  OTHERWISE..CHANGES MADE
ELSEWHERE WERE VERY MINOR.

DAY 1...

...MID/LOWER MS VALLEY..TN VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

H5 S/WV ENERGY WILL CONTINUE TO DROP INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. H5 TROF..MAINTAINING TROFINESS THRU THE
MID/LOWER MS VALLEY..TN VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THIS
PERIOD..WHILE INITIAL S/WV ENERGY IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
H5 TROF LIFTS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THRU PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
AND NEW ENGLAND STATES ON SATURDAY.  THE S/WV NOW VICINITY OF KS
IS FORECAST SIMILARLY BY THE MODELS TO DROP SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES BY SUNDAY MORNING.  LARGE SCALE
LIFT WITH THIS SYSTEM..ALONG WITH A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AND MOIST
AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY..WILL
SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION FROM PORTIONS OF THE ARKLATEX
EASTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.  FOR
THE MOST PART..THE LATEST MODEL QPFS ARE IN REASONABLY DECENT
AGREEMENT ON THIS IDEA..SO WPC QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF
THEM..BUT WITH A BIT MORE WEIGHT TO SOME OF THE HIGHER RES
GUIDANCE..AS PER THE ARW..NMMB AND NSSL WRF.  MOSTLY EXPECT
0.50-1.00+ INCH AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS..BUT WITH SOME
ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.  FARTHER NORTH AND
EAST..DECENT LOW LEVEL WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION UP THRU
PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND STATES AHEAD OF
THE LIFTING OUT H5 S/WV SHOULD PRODUCE SOME LIGHT TO LOCALLY
MODERATE RAINS THRU THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY..WITH SOME OF THESE
RAINS CONTINUING ON SATURDAY NIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN
MD..SOUTHEASTERN VA AND NORTHEASTERN NC AHEAD OF THE WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVING THRU.


...CENTRAL PLAINS...

A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET UP THRU ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY NIGHT..ACCOMPANIED BY A DECENT INCREASE IN
MOISTURE/PWS..ALONG WITH WEAK H5 S/WV ENERGY DROPPING DOWN THE
EAST SIDE OF THE H5 RIDGE THRU THE REGION..SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTION MOSTLY THRU PARTS OF NE AND
KS.  STUCK REAL CLOSE TO THE HIGHER RES QPFS HERE..IN PARTICULAR
THE ARW..NMMB AND NSSL WRF.  CONVECTION SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE..AND
THUS KEPT AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 0.50-1.00 INCH
RANGE..BUT AGAIN WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION.


...WESTERN STATES...

H5 S/WV ENERGY RIDING UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES RIDGE THRU PARTS OF CA AND NV.. AND ALSO
TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE THRU THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
AND ROCKIES..WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HEATING AND
SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WHICH HAS WORKED ITS WAY INTO THE PARTS OF
THE REGION TO SUPPORT INCREASED CONVECTION THRU MUCH OF THE
WESTERN STATES.  WPC QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF REASONABLY
AGREEABLE MODEL QPFS AND CONTINUITY..WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
AMOUNTS EXPECTED.


DAYS 2/3...

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST SOUTHWARD...WITH PERTURBATIONS CONTINUING TO ROTATE ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH...ALONG WITH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM
UPSLOPE DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
ACROSS THE PLAINS...SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY LIKELY
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION.  RELIED UPON A 3-WAY BLEND OF THE 00Z
NAM/GFS AND 12Z ECMWF TO DERIVE THE AMOUNTS WITH SOME ADDITIONAL
ADJUSTMENTS ACCOUNTED FOR DUE TO THE TERRAIN.  THE HIGHEST BASIN
AVERAGE TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES DUE TO STRONGER AND DEEPER UPSLOPE FLOW DUE TO
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE PLAINS.

NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

THE SOLUTION SPREAD CONTINUES TO NARROW BUT REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY
LARGE TO RELY UPON AN
INTERMEDIATE TIMING INVOLVING THE 18Z GEFS MEAN AND 12Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN FOR THE COLD FRONTAL TIMING AND THUS THE ONSET OF
RAINFALL AND TOTAL AMOUNTS.  THE 00Z GFS MAY BE TOO FAST WITH THE
SURFACE LOW AND FRONT...WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF MAY BE TOO TOO
SLOW...AND NAM TOO SLOW ALOFT BY DAY 3.  AREAS FROM EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA INTO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
RECEIVING AMOUNTS THAT COULD EXCEED FFG GUIDANCE...GENERALLY ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW.  OVERALL...FORECAST CONTINUITY IS
REASONABLY GOOD...WITH BASIN AVERAGE TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
NEAR THE PATH OF THE LOW STILL EXPECTED...WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALSO CONTINUED NEAR THE PATH OF THE LOW.
CONSIDERED EXTENDING THE RISK AREA NORTHWARD TO THE CANADIAN
BORDER.  HOWEVER...WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW...CELL MOTIONS
SHOULD BE FASTER...THUS MINIMIZING THE RISK.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

THE COLD FRONT THAT SLOWS DOWN AND SETTLES INTO AN INCREASINGLY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH PW VALUES NEAR OR IN EXCESS OF
2 INCHES ALONG WITH DECREASING FLOW ALOFT PRESENT FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...PERHAPS INTO THE MIDDLE
MS VALLEY AS WELL.  DESPITE GOOD SYNOPTIC-SCALE AGREEMENT...MODEL
QPF FIELDS DISPLAY HIGH SPREAD..LIKELY DUE TO LIMITATIONS IN
SPATIAL RESOLUTION OF CONVECTION...AS WELL AS DIFFERING MODEL
PHYSICS.  THUS...MODEL QPFS WERE USED SPARINGLY TO
MODERATELY...BUT NOT WHOLEHEARTEDLY.  INSTEAD...RELIED UPON THE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
MOISTURE PLUME...AS WELL AS FRONTAL LOCATION THAT IS ABOUT MIDWAY
BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF...AND FASTER THAN THE 00Z NAM.
AMOUNTS COULD BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST IF SOME OF THE GUIDANCE IS
CORRECT...PARTICULARLY THE 12Z ECMWF...AS IT ALLOWS PERTURBATIONS
ROTATING AROUND AND FORMING WITHING THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE
ROCKIES...TO EVENTUALLY EJECT OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND OVER THE
FRONTAL ZONE.  DUE TO THE LOW PREDICTABILITY OF SUCH AN EVENT AT
THIS TIME SCALE...WILL ALLOW 1 OR MORE ADDITIONAL MODEL RUNS TO
CONFIRM BEFORE INCREASING ANY TOTALS.  FOR NOW...A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXTENDING FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SEEMS PRUDENT...ALIGNING BEST WITH THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE...LEADING EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...AND WEAKER FLOW
ALOFT.

LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC...

THE SLIGHTLY FASTER AND EASTERN TRAJECTORY OF THE MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE SOUTHEAST ACCORDING TO THE 00Z GFS
AND 12Z ECMWF...WHICH IN TURN INFLUENCES ANY LINGERING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXES...IS PREFERRED OVER THE
SLOWER AND MORE WESTERN 00Z NAM...WITH THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS
LIKELY DEVELOPING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROUGH CROSSING
THE APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC.  WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE
ABUNDANT AND THEREFORE INSTABILITY HIGH AT LEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON OF BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 BEFORE DECREASING AT
NIGHT...FORCING FOR INITIATION WILL BE QUITE WEAK GIVEN THE WEAK
MID LEVEL FLOW.  THUS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT
TOO UNCERTAIN TO DEPICT WITH AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA AT THIS
TIME.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

TERRY/JAMES

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 567933 566916 562905 557897 554895 550894 547892 545893
      538897 536901 535907 533920 532926 531929 529930 525930
      522932 518934 515930 512926 509923 500925 491930 484937
      477943 470950 464956 449966 446968 442969 437971 433971
      429973 425973 415972 404972 396967 388963 381960 376958
      372954 366947 361943 359937 356927 356920 356912 360903
      364895 367885 370876 371867 373856 375846 377838 378833
      381829 385820 391811 394808 397803 406798 417793 424788
      431780 436772 438768 442764 448758 453752 456743 456738
      457734 464727 465722 464714 461708 459706 455705 452708
      448716 441725 429727 411723 412709 412698 412695 413692
      416688 420680 420674 420668 416664 411661 401661 397660
      393662 388669 382677 376685 370693 366701 359708 353717
      347727 344735 336751 332760 327766 323772 317778 308783
      298786 287789 282791 279795 277799 273798 262798 253800
      249808 247812 250816 256820 263825 270829 273831 279831
      287831 295833 299834 302838 306847 302853 296862 292870
      290874 290881 291888 292891 296903 296911 295916 295966
      297970 299973 302975 305973 310967 312964 316963 320961
      324964 331971 339976 346985 353992 360998 364001 364994
      366992 365989 367990 371993 374997 376001 380010 383019
      385024 389026 391027 396028 402025 411023 416021 423020
      428019 434019 442015 449010 455003 463999 466997 470996
      472996 474998 475002 477017 475029 474036 472041 469053
      467063 469068 468074 467088 467093 468101 473120 473126
      470129 469133 475135 479138 481144 483155 488165 492164
      495164 498167 501168 504167 507164 509159
 0.01 509159 512159 513162 517166 525175 526178 528177 531171
      532168 533163 531156 529151 524147 520141 519135 516129
      512130 507130 505124 503116 506112 507102 507097 509092
      510084 513077 515072 519067 526058 530053 534049 540039
      546026 550013 552004 555998 560986 562977 564969 566953
      567933
 0.01 526708 525699 523690 519683 515677 511673 509671 506671
      501676 498683 495690 493697 491705 489713 486729 482743
      473753 471771 470774 470780 471788 480799 482807 485813
      490815 494815 496813 501809 504803 511789 516776 519769
      522760 523752 522742 525725 526708
 0.01 417232 417226 418219 418212 420207 420197 416191 413189
      413186 415181 419178 417174 415170 415165 416159 417153
      415147 416143 419138 419131 420124 418121 412115 411093
      413080 417069 418063 417058 415053 412051 409049 404048
      399047 396049 390049 385047 374043 372041 366040 362041
      358042 349046 340048 324052 318050 313049 304051 300053
      297056 291062 287065 283063 275059 261051 251050 247052
      245057 243062 245067 247070 250073 258079 266083 271088
      279092 285110 289114 294116 303121 311124 318130 322130
      324128 323125 321125 319121 321117 324113 327109 331110
      333113 337123 339128 341132 343136 348137 360128 363123
      368126 373129 378131 388133 394140 390143 388147 384156
      382158 381162 379165 379171 379177 378179 375178 369178
      364179 361181 361186 367193 374199 381205 388210 392211
      397215 398220 396225 394228 395232 396237 399236 405237
      411235 417232
 0.01 335811 335808 334806 334804 334802 334800 332798 331800
      331802 331803 330805 330807 330809 330811 330813 330814
      329816 329818 330819 332818 333817 333815 333813 335811
 0.25 558963 559950 557943 553938 553931 552927 550929 549933
      546940 542945 538952 536955 534955 531955 531950 526946
      518946 514950 509952 503950 497953 489962 484967 481974
      480978 480983 483989 490000 494006 498007 500006 511000
      518001 519010 520021 521031 524032 527031 530026 535021
      538016 545004 551990 556976 558963
 0.25 516722 516717 513710 511707 509706 506707 504711 502715
      500726 499739 498752 498757 499765 501767 506766 510758
      512748 515738 516724 516722
 0.25 497143 499138 498131 495123 493114 490106 486100 483098
      481102 480108 481114 482124 483133 487139 491145 495145
      497143
 0.25 432747 431741 427738 422738 418741 415746 412751 408761
      403771 402776 403781 407784 412784 416782 420779 426770
      429759 432747 432747
 0.25 433004 432999 431998 424998 412999 406998 403992 392987
      387985 382986 381990 382992 387997 395004 396011 400014
      413013 423010 429008 433004
 0.25 400197 396189 396179 398175 400169 396167 393170 391174
      391179 390184 386187 378188 373187 373191 379197 387202
      390204 394202 400197
 0.25 394750 395743 393738 387738 384740 378748 375751 372752
      370747 370744 371731 371721 368717 364719 360727 357737
      361746 361753 361760 358769 358780 358786 360789 363789
      366786 369784 373782 383778 386774 386770 388759 394750
 0.25 387093 387092 385091 384090 382091 380092 382093 383094
      385095 387094 387093
 0.25 381083 382076 380072 378068 375064 371062 366063 365068
      369070 371073 370077 368081 372082 374082 377085 381085
      381083
 0.25 370842 371830 369822 364816 361816 358819 351830 346836
      339839 324843 318848 313853 307857 306864 305875 307879
      306882 304900 307916 307936 307942 309945 313946 317945
      323946 327951 331958 333960 337962 343962 345959 346955
      345943 346932 354899 357882 363867 367855 370842
 0.25 360089 356082 350075 345073 342074 334077 325079 321080
      316081 310080 305079 298075 288073 282074 278076 279080
      282084 288090 296094 300096 305096 312093 317092 320094
      328094 334099 340106 345105 347101 354096 360089
 0.25 349064 350062 348059 346060 344061 343061 341062 340063
      341063 342064 344065 346066 348065 349064
 0.25 302821 300817 296815 288812 280810 273805 269804 263805
      259807 258810 268812 272818 275820 281821 290822 300822
      302821
 0.50 555966 555960 553955 551953 549954 545957 541965 537973
      533981 531986 529992 529999 530005 532010 535008 541000
      545992 550983 553974 555966
 0.50 519965 519959 517957 512960 507965 504967 501968 495972
      491980 492985 495987 500992 504991 507988 510983 515975
      518968 519965
 0.50 493137 494134 494130 493125 490119 489115 487111 485106
      482110 483115 484121 486126 488130 489135 492138 493137
 0.50 418771 419769 418766 417764 416764 415764 414765 413765
      412767 411768 410769 410770 409772 409773 408775 408777
      409779 410779 411780 413779 415778 416776 417773 418773
      418771
 0.50 417006 416003 413002 410003 407003 404003 401005 400007
      401009 404010 408010 409010 413009 415008 417006
 0.50 384198 386196 384195 383193 381193 379193 378194 379195
      381196 382197 384198 384198
 0.50 382757 383754 382753 381754 380757 381759 382757 382757
 0.50 379762 379761 378760 377759 376760 375761 374763 374764
      373765 374767 375767 376768 377767 378766 379764 379762
      379762
 0.50 367845 367835 365829 363827 359827 357832 353838 348842
      338849 334854 331859 325861 322866 318879 316885 314892
      313907 312926 312931 313935 318937 322938 324940 327945
      330951 334956 336957 339956 342949 342932 343924 346917
      349903 352888 355874 360861 364853 367845
 0.50 343087 343085 341085 339086 338087 338089 339089 340090
      342089 343087
 1.00 358850 358847 355847 351848 344855 338861 335866 334870
      330880 326889 324898 322906 321911 317918 319922 323922
      329941 331946 334947 336944 337938 338925 339920 341915
      344905 346893 345879 346873 350868 354861 358850 358850
 1.50 339904 340893 338888 336889 331895 328901 326911 327917
      329926 331934 332939 334943 335932 335921 336913 339904
      339904

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 535883 522873 519871 518869 518864 515851 514848 512848
      510846 507838 504839 502843 498850 476882 464900 461903
      453906 450907 443907 432908 427914 419933 415941 410947
      401959 393954 387949 386936 387929 391925 393922 389919
      381915 364905 359897 359892 360887 362882 365878 368876
      371871 375866 378857 380848 381845 381839 380826 382821
      384818 393812 396809 398805 403796 402788 401783 399781
      395778 390774 383766 380762 379760 380757 380745 378740
      374739 364738 355741 350742 348745 343750 337755 331760
      322764 306775 294780 283785 272789 264794 256809 256814
      258819 257829 256837 258845 264863 287898 289908 292917
      296927 303935 308939 312938 315941 323947 328953 338963
      346976 350980 354983 361984 361988 362996 364001 371006
      377007 381008 385007 389007 392009 379019 366030 350039
      336042 332044 328044 319040 315036 314031 312028 306027
      298023 294021 291022 287022 285025 284032 286037 289042
      292050 295053 297059 292079 284086 282096 282102 285105
      289110 294115 299122 305128 309131 315131 324130 328132
      332131 337129 343130 351139 359138 363137 366133 366125
      366122 368120 370118 369113 367102 365097 367095 365091
      365085 368083 371085 374091 377100 377107 378115 377119
      376122 376129 378133 379137 379142 387150 374177 370180
      366180 362182 361184 376196 383200 386201 389199 390195
      389190 387183 389178 394176 396175 398171 401165 403161
      405161 406165 405179 409188 407192 405196 403202 402209
      404216 408215 413217 413222 413234
 0.01 413234 422234 427228 429223 431214 432209 430204 428194
      425186 423181 424171 428161 427150 427137 427132 432128
      435125 440125 448131 453137 456142 460146 467152 481160
      487167 490169 492167 496164 502143 501111 500105 500098
      499088 498080 497073 496066 497056 498026 502995 504988
      504982 505975 506970 512959 517949 520940 523931 530904
      535883
 0.01 486691 480670 476664 470658 464655 461656 458659 445668
      441675 439680 439687 440697 441703 443708 442712 441716
      439716 435720 440723 444727 448729 455727 459720 472711
      478705 483698 486691
 0.01 414186 414184 414181 413179 414177 414174 413172 412172
      411170 410171 409173 409176 410178 410180 411182 412183
      412186 412187 414186
 0.25 510898 510890 509882 506873 504870 501868 498869 491877
      468907 462915 457920 452923 446925 440923 435925 429932
      426940 425947 424952 431960 434964 432969 429977 419998
      417003 416009 416021 416028 418033 421038 426041 431042
      432047 435049 440048 447039 452032 462016 468009 475000
      480991 484985 496967 501957 504949 506944 507936 508918
      508908 510898
 0.25 485103 485100 485098 485095 485093 484091 483090 481091
      479092 478094 477097 477099 478102 480104 482104 483105
      485103
 0.25 458103 456098 452094 445092 438091 433088 428086 426086
      426090 429095 434098 439101 444104 451106 457106 458103
 0.25 420057 420053 417051 411047 406049 403051 399051 391051
      383053 377053 375050 370048 366048 363049 361052 363055
      366068 369070 371073 374081 380084 389086 396083 400084
      404081 414073 417071 419068 419061 420057
 0.25 402982 403975 400971 394971 390972 387976 385979 382981
      378985 380992 383994 389994 392993 396990 399986 401983
      402982
 0.25 391789 388783 384780 379778 375775 371768 369758 365753
      360751 344767 334776 329781 326787 320798 317809 313814
      305818 299821 300830 301837 303845 305858 305863 304867
      301873 302878 303884 302891 300896 299900 300904 304908
      305913 308920 313924 326930 334939 341947 352955 356958
      363961 375965 381966 384966 385963 381958 375952 364945
      360942 356937 356930 357923 355917 350909 346905 342899
      339885 339876 339871 343865 347861 354857 360852 366842
      370831 375816 379811 383806 388798 390793 391789
 0.25 377189 376188 376187 375186 373185 371185 370185 369185
      369186 371187 373188 374189 376189 377189
 0.25 351121 350120 350119 349118 347116 346114 345114 345116
      345118 346121 347121 348123 350122 351121
 0.25 342098 342093 341087 342080 343074 340071 336073 333074
      329075 327077 329080 330083 333088 335093 336097 338100
      341099 342098
 0.25 324117 324113 322110 317103 316097 311091 307089 304091
      299097 299101 300105 304112 307117 314121 321119 324117
 0.25 299817 295812 289809 282808 274807 273810 269811 266813
      266816 270822 276825 282829 284830 287829 294824 299819
      299817
 0.50 503898 503893 501888 496886 490889 484894 465918 456928
      448931 438930 435933 433936 431944 430950 432954 435957
      437961 435971 433978 426997 424005 422014 422020 424025
      430030 439031 444029 449023 454016 472990 480978 489962
      493957 497951 500941 501929 503914 503898
 0.50 403069 402067 401066 400065 398067 398069 399071 399072
      400072 401071 403069
 0.50 386793 383786 380784 372783 368778 366770 365764 363760
      360759 356761 354764 350774 348781 346789 341799 338806
      337814 335820 332824 329825 324826 316828 311830 309834
      309839 311843 310850 311854 312856 315860 320864 325861
      332853 338851 347850 352846 355842 362831 374808 386793
 0.50 392986 392984 391982 389982 387983 387984 385985 385986
      385987 386988 387988 389988 391987 392986
 0.50 372958 372955 370953 364949 361947 355944 350941 346938
      343938 342941 345946 349949 354952 359955 364957 370959
      372958
 0.50 342919 335910 333905 333898 333890 329885 323877 318873
      314873 309875 307879 308884 309888 306894 305897 305900
      310903 315905 321909 324912 331913 334917 339920 342919
 0.50 336834 335833 333833 331833 330834 328835 326837 326838
      325840 324840 325842 325843 327844 328843 330843 332841
      333839 334839 335837 335835 336834
 0.50 316114 317112 315110 315109 313108 312109 311110 310111
      311113 313114 314114 316114
 0.50 291820 290819 288819 287820 286821 287821 287822 289823
      289822 290821 291820
 1.00 491937 490922 488917 484914 480915 476918 468925 462931
      457934 452937 448938 443938 440939 438945 440955 440964
      439971 432995 432002 434006 438011 441011 444010 458997
      464990 470981 476972 481962 486952 490939 491937
 1.00 374797 373795 372795 370795 368797 369800 370801 372800
      373799 374797 374797
 1.00 324889 322887 320885 318885 317885 318886 319887 320888
      322888 324889 324889
 1.50 481947 475947 474941 475936 471936 466940 458942 450944
      446944 443945 443951 443958 442970 441988 439991 440993
      443990 446989 452986 458981 467971 476959 481947
 2.00 461957 459951 454949 447947 445949 446957 445964 444973
      445977 448977 453974 456969 459964 461957


24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 532816 532808 530803 529793 528787 527783 525782 520782
      510782 506785 504790 498798 493809 485806 480806 476805
      471807 456814 447820 438824 427836 413849 399862 389860
      380856 373852 375847 379843 381840 382836 385827 397817
      405811 412807 417801 421797 423794 424790 426789 429786
      433783 435777 440770 443766 445763 445759 444752 441747
      438745 434746 424753 421753 418752 413749 408742 401736
      397733 393731 389732 386731 379730 375732 372731 356737
      337744 322758 317761 314765 306771 292782 287787 280792
      277794 273795 264796 259799 253800 248805 244811 246817
      244821 243825 246827 255830 260830 265833 264837 266841
      278859 286878 289887 296891 304895 313898 320899 328902
      332908 337915 340919 344921 352927 355935 353947 350956
      348962 344965 328978 316988 310994 304002 294012 289017
      281022 269034 264037 259037 247038 244040 243044 247052
      253061 261067 272078 279083 289087 288093 289097 293103
      298109 303115 322124 333128 340134 363138 369138 373140
      377142 380146 382157 381165 380168 381170 381175 378179
      374181 365181 361184 364188 368191 373196 381202 390207
      399214 403217 407216 413212 417209 419204 421196 421192
      419190 411192 408194 406197 400205 399185 403171 404163
      406161 409162 413165 415163 419161 420157 422140 420135
      417135 414141 411141 406140 402138 398128 398126 401126
      405126 411117 420120 423124 424129 430138 433141 435145
      442144 448141 455140 458140 460136 462131 463125 461123
      456122
 0.01 456122 450117 451111 453108 456104 457100 454093 446086
      444082 448080 451078 448070 447064 449058 450048 449045
      446043 443038 439035 430035 426034 424036 410039 402038
      396034 392033 389031 388027 390024 392018 395012 399005
      402998 404988 409984 417977 426966 431962 438960 442961
      444965 447972 453986 455991 458996 462003 466011 470017
      474022 481032 485038 489043 493050 496059 499065 505069
      508068 509064 511058 513052 510042 509032 507024 507998
      508995 509988 508985 505983 497975 495974 493970 494966
      494960 494948 498939 509913 515897 521881 524873 526865
      527847 530830 532816
 0.01 516156 516149 515145 512143 511139 510134 508131 505129
      501127 495125 490128 488133 489137 493143 499149 504154
      508159 513161 515158 516156
 0.01 378107 377103 375101 375091 373084 370080 360072 357068
      355066 351065 345062 337061 331058 327056 314050 309048
      303047 295044 293043 291044 288047 290049 293052 298056
      301063 301070 303075 307076 310079 314083 318087 324089
      327081 332077 337074 342073 346077 347080 346085 345089
      345093 346099 347102 350104 355108 365113 370113 373111
      378107
 0.25 525826 524819 521810 515797 500817 492821 487823 480824
      470821 458825 452827 446829 440833 436837 429845 422857
      416865 411873 404883 397891 388899 382900 377898 369887
      365876 362872 357870 353872 350877 349891 346894 342893
      338895 340901 345905 351906 355911 358914 365916 368922
      369930 368935 363947 359956 353965 346974 336981 326988
      322992 319997 318001 322005 324010 322018 321022 322028
      328035 337041 341047 344052 348056 355059 360061 365064
      369067 373069 377072 383072 387072 390077 394078 396075
      399074 403071 405070 407071 412068 413065 412061 409056
      404052 393046 384042 374035 370032 366031 360030 357029
      356027 356023 357018 359016 368008 372005 378004 384002
      387996 391983 395972 400964 407955 410951 416949 427943
      433941 441942 445944 448950 450954 452957 454958 459949
      462942 464939 476936 485929 493921 501909 507898 511889
      516877 518864 521850 525826
 0.25 438103 439098 439093 436091 433091 431090 428087 424089
      423091 424096 424098 424103 426106 428106 432107 435107
      437105 438103
 0.25 413779 398773 391769 385763 382759 379757 370757 356764
      353768 350772 351775 350778 349782 345791 343795 346797
      352797 356798 362803 366813 370815 373812 383808 386806
      388803 400790 413779
 0.25 390201 391199 389198 388196 386194 385193 383192 381191
      380191 378192 379193 380195 381195 382197 382198 384199
      385200 386200 387201 389202 390201
 0.25 376189 375188 373187 371186 370185 369185 369187 370188
      371188 373189 374189 376189
 0.25 355118 354116 353115 351114 349112 348114 349116 350117
      351118 352119 354119 355118
 0.25 332783 330779 326778 321780 318782 313788 308796 304798
      299799 295801 296805 300809 304810 311808 318803 325797
      329790 332783
 0.25 327109 326106 324107 322108 319108 317107 315105 312103
      310102 310104 312106 313108 315110 317112 320114 323113
      325111 327109
 0.25 332889 331887 331886 329886 327885 325885 323885 322887
      324889 325890 327891 329891 330891 331891 332889
 0.25 304827 304819 299815 295813 289811 284809 280809 277811
      275814 276817 281821 285823 292824 298826 303827 304827
 0.25 288066 289062 288060 285055 280051 274048 269048 264050
      262052 262055 264060 268064 273068 278071 283072 287068
      288066
 0.25 267808 267807 266806 265806 263807 262808 260808 259809
      258811 258812 260813 262812 264812 266811 267810 267809
      267808
 0.50 521823 520819 518813 514809 509812 496827 491833 485839
      481840 478842 473848 467856 465861 465865 464868 464872
      466876 463879 457879 457871 450865 448863 447857 452850
      458843 461837 461832 456832 451834 443838 437843 432848
      430852 428857 427862 423865 425869 423874 417882 416888
      420891 418900 407895 403896 399899 396902 394906 381920
      371938 363954 355967 349974 342980 335987 327992 325995
      325000 329008 329016 332019 336020 346019 354014 362009
      368003 380992 387974 396956 400948 406939 412931 417934
      426935 435935 440935 444936 448940 450945 452949 456950
      459938 462935 465933 472930 479927 486921 492914 498906
      507886 511876 514866 517858 519847 521834 521823
 0.50 468838 467837 466837 464839 464841 466841 468839 468838
 0.50 404063 404058 402057 399055 388051 378046 369042 362041
      356042 353044 350048 352053 356056 368057 379062 384063
      389066 400065 404063
 0.50 397782 396780 395779 394780 394781 393782 394783 396783
      397782 397782
 0.50 387783 388780 387777 384775 378771 374767 371764 368763
      366765 367771 368774 372777 375777 377780 373786 370790
      372792 375795 377793 384789 387783
 0.50 363887 362885 361885 361887 361889 363887
 0.50 292816 292815 290814 290813 288813 286813 284813 282815
      283817 285818 286818 288818 290818 291818 292817 292816
 0.50 281063 282061 282059 281057 279056 278055 278054 276053
      274053 272053 271054 270056 270058 271060 272061 273063
      275064 277065 279065 280064 281063
 1.00 515848 514840 513835 511833 507831 500837 496843 490850
      485855 481864 479872 470888 468890 470893 475897 478902
      477909 478915 482916 492904 497896 501888 508872 512862
      514853 515848
 1.00 452935 452928 450925 445918 443913 443906 444901 446899
      447895 446893 443892 441894 440900 438903 433910 431914
      431921 433925 436927 445930 450935 452935
 1.00 444884 444881 442880 439878 437877 436880 435884 435887
      433890 436890 437893 439891 442891 444887 444884
 1.00 393947 394939 393930 392924 387924 384927 380931 375940
      370950 365958 359967 353974 346982 339989 333996 333001
      336006 344012 354009 363003 369997 376989 380981 389959
      393947
 1.00 378053 377052 376051 374051 374050 372050 370049 369048
      367048 365048 363048 361048 360049 360051 361052 363052
      365052 367052 368052 370053 372053 374054 375054 377054
      378053
 1.50 509856 509851 508848 505846 500848 497853 492861 487871
      483882 482890 482894 484901 483907 488901 493896 495892
      499881 504870 508859 509856
 1.50 388952 388945 388938 386935 383936 378943 373949 365963
      355976 345987 340994 339998 342000 347001 351004 356004
      363998 368994 373987 377981 384964 388952
 2.00 503865 503857 501856 499857 495860 494863 491868 489872
      488876 488884 491884 494881 496878 499873 501869 503865
 2.00 385949 384945 382945 379947 371956 364966 357976 350984
      347990 346993 348996 351998 355997 362996 369988 375979
      380965 382960 384952 385949
 3.00 373963 373960 371961 368965 364970 361976 358980 357986
      361986 364987 368985 369983 371979 368974 371967 373963

$$




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