Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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339
FXUS04 KWBC 172011
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
410 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 18/0000 UTC THRU AUG 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

UPPER OH VALLEY---CENTRAL APPALACHIANS---MID ATLANTIC INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS LIKELY DAY 1 AHEAD OF THE
STRONG HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES/OH VALLEY LINE---INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS---MID
ATLANTIC AND INTO THE NORTHEAST.  MODEL SHOW THAT FAVORABLE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION DYNAMICS WILL ENHANCE LIFT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY---INITIALLY FOCUSING ACTIVITY
FROM THE LOWER LAKES INTO THE OH VALLEY---PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED CONVECTION SHOULD THEN FORM SOUTHWARD FROM
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC LATE THU AFTERNOON
AS THE BEST UPPER DIFFLUENCE FOCUSES ACROSS THESE AREAS.  WITH PW
VALUES MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE---2 TO 2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN---ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT---LOCALLY HEAVY TO ISOLATED
EXCESSIVE TOTALS POSSIBLE .

NORTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY

IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS EJECTING EAST
NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER LAKES-OH VALLEY REGION---ADDITIONAL
UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE PRESSING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE
NORTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.  WHILE PW VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS
NEXT ROUND OF HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY--THEY WILL NOT BE ANOMALOUS---MOSTLY NEAR SEASONAL
LEVELS.  THIS AND THE EXPECTED QUICK SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT OF
CELLS SHOULD KEEP PRECIP TOTALS IN THE MODERATE RANGE WITH
ISOLATED HEAVY AMOUNTS WHERE CONVECTION IS MOST ORGANIZED.

SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT PUSHING INTO THE NORTHEAST WILL
BECOME STATIONARY AND BEGIN TO PUSH BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT
OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  PW
VALUES WILL BE HIGHER IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT THAN POINTS
FARTHER NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PLAINS.
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO THIS FRONT LATE
FRI AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY
OF THIS BOUNDARY.  CONFIDENCE LOW ON DETAILS---BUT THE HIGHER PW
VALUES WILL SUPPORT A BETTER CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY.

DAYS 2 AND 3...


...CA/GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSING NORTHERN CA MOVES OVER THE GREAT BASIN
AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES DURING DAY 2. AS A CLOSED LOW
FORMS OFF THE SOUTHWEST CA ON DAY 3...THE MONSOONAL FLOW BECOMES
BETTER ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE
FEATURES...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES FROM SOUTHWEST OR INTO NORTHERN CA
DURING DAY 2...AS A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW FORMS OFF THE SOUTHWEST
CA COAST. THE SHORT WAVE PROVIDES SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER
CA/NV/UT INTO CO DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...WHERE
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND PRECIPTABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 0.75/1.00 INCHES. THE
RESULTING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCAL 0.25/0.50 INCHES
OF QPF OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN CA...AS WELL AS EAST
CENTRAL NV INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WASATCH RANGE IN UT.

THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS SHOWED LOCAL 1.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF EAST CENTRAL NC INTO THE SOUTHERN
WASATCH...WHERE THREE HOUR FLASH GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS A LOW AS
AN INCH. BECAUSE OF THIS...A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS IN PLACE HERE
FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OFF THE SOUTHWEST CA COAST OPENS UP INTO
A LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT CROSSES CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CA DURING DAY
3. SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...AND THE SHORT WAVES
INTERACT WITH THERMAL PROFILES SIMILAR TO THOSE OF DAY 2. THE LOW
TO MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH INTRODUCES DEEPER
MOISTURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON DAY
3...WHERE LOCAL 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE SIERRA
NEVADA RANGE IN CA...AS WELL AS THE SAN JUAN RANGES IN CO.

WEAK 850-300 MB MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE SLOW CELL
MOTIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE AND THE GREAT
BASIN. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCAL 1.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS
HERE...BASED MAINLY IN THE SLOW CELL MOTIONS. A MARGINAL RISK
REMAINS IN PLACE HERE FOR DAY 3.


...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY INTERACTING WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND MODERATE TO
STRONG INSTABILITY AIDS IN DEVELOPING ORGANIZED CONVECTION ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING
DAYS 2 AND 3. THE RESULTING CONVECTION COULD RESULT IN HEAVY TO
LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EACH DAY. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM A LONG WAVE TROUGH OFF THE SOUTHERN
CA COAST REACHES NE/KS LATER IN THE PERIOD. THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY
PROVIDES SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM OK INTO AR...WHICH ALLOWS CONVECTION TO ORGANIZE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR A SMALL MCS TO
FORM IN THE PRESENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET OVER EASTERN OK...WHERE
AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. WHILE THREE HOUR
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES HERE ARE FAIRLY HIGH...TRAINING OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION COULD RESULT IN A FLASH FLOOD THREAT ACROSS
WESTERN OK AND NEARBY WESTERN AR...SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA REMAINS
IN PLACE HERE FOR DAY 2

DAY 3...
ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY RIDES ACROSS CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 3. THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY PROVIDES
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
WESTERN NE ACROSS SOUTHWEST IA INTO NORTHERN MO. AHEAD OF THE
SHORT WAVE...A 25 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY INFLOW TRANSPORTS 1.75
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR AND STRONG INSTABILITY ALONG AND OVER
THE FRONT ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY. THERE WAS A MULTI
MODEL SIGNAL FOR AN MCS TO FORM ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL
JET...AND AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER
EASTERN NE. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ARE GENERALLY
ABOVE 1.50 INCHES...THE 00Z GFS INDICATED THE POTENTIAL FOR 2.00+
INCHES OF QPF HERE...SO A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS IN PLACE FOR DAY
3.


...OH VALLEY....

SHORT WAVE ENERGY PUSHES A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OH VALLEY
DURING DAY 2...AND LOW TOPPED CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD
RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY AT THE BASE OF A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH
CROSSING THE OH VALLEY DURING DAY 2 PUSHES A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE REGION. AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THE SHORT WAVE...A LOW
LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY ACROSS THE NORTHERN OH
VALLEY...MAINLY BETWEEN 19/18Z AND 20/00Z. AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 0.75
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER NORTHERN IN...SURROUNDED BY A MUCH
LARGER AREAS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING FROM
NORTHEAST IL ACROSS NORTHERN OH.


...NORTHEAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TRANSPORTED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE NORTHEAST STATES DURING DAY 2 FEEDS DEVELOPING
CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES. THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE
PERIOD. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING
OF THE FRONT...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT
CROSSES THE EASTERN OH VALLEY TO WESTERN PA/WESTERN NY DURING DAY
2. AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...A COLD FRONT EXITS THE
NORTHEAST COAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR FROM SOUTHERN NJ INTO EASTERN MA. THE
COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL FEED
CONVECTION THAT INITIALLY TRAINS ALONG THE FRONT. AN AREA OF
1.25/1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED FROM SOUTHERN NJ ACROSS THE
NY METRO AREA INTO EASTERN MA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS
1.50 INCHES IN THE NYC METRO AREA...SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA REMAINS
IN PLACE EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST MD ACROSS NJ/NY/SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND INTO SOUTHERN ME.


...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST...

A SLOW MOVING FRONT CROSSING THE MID ATLANTIC TO THE GULF COAST ON
DAY 2 WILL FOCUS DEEP MOISTURE AND MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
TO PRODUCE HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE FRONT WEAKENS
DURING DAY 3 ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND GULF COAST...WITH
ADDITIONAL HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
THE FRONT...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

DAY 2...
A NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHEAST STATES
PUSHES A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST DURING DAY 2. AHEAD OF THE SLOWING SURFACE
FRONT...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS DEEP MOISTURE (WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 2.00+ INCHES) FROM NC/SC INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE TO
LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY. CLUSTERS OF STORMS FORMING IN THE DEEP
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF 0.75
TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 2.00 INCHES...TRAINING
COULD PRODUCE LOCAL QPF AMOUNTS THIS HIGH...SO A MARGINAL RISK
REMAINS IN PLACE FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE FRONT WEAKENS AS IT CROSSES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST ON DAY 3...AS THE BEST SUPPORT FOR THE
FRONT SHEARS OUT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES. AHEAD AND ALONG OF
THE FRONT....1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR POOLS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL TO
LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY. THE INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE ARE
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES
OF QPF STRETCHING ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF
NC/SC INTO COASTAL GA. SHORT TERM TRAINING COULD PRODUCE LOCAL
2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS HERE...AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON DAY 2 COULD
RESULT WET SOILS. BECAUSE OF THIS...A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS IN
PLACE HERE FOR DAY 3.

FINALLY...TROPICAL MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 2.25 INCHES) CROSSES FL DURING DAY 3 IN CONJUNCTION WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH. AN AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH...WITH LOCAL
3.00+ INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS MUCH RAINFALL COULD
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN AREA OF SOUTHEAST
FL...SO A MARGINAL RISK AREA REMAINS IN PLACE FOR DAY 3 ACROSS
PORTIONS OF FL.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


ORAVEC/HAYES


24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 541187 543176 543170 542165 537150 536144 530140 526145
      524155 522163 519171 515174 513186 512197 513206 520220
      523224 526226 529226 533220 536212 538205 540192 541187
 0.01 514269 515262 515256 515248 513243 508224 504215 501212
      496210 493209 489211 487215 490219 492222 494225 495231
      498235 502243 501250 497250 493243 489241 485240 480235
      476236 476240 480247 487254 497270 499274 503276 510273
      514269
 0.01 528825 527803 526781 524760 520746 514730 511724 507714
      500700 491685 481680 476678 471676 463672 452668 440665
      433664 427668 422670 420672 417674 414677 411683 407688
      405695 401701 396705 392710 379729 374734 369738 355745
      350744 348743 341744 337749 334756 324763 314770 306778
      299786 295787 293786 287789 283790 280792 277797 275800
      270800 263799 261796 257794 254793 249794 240800 234810
      234818 235826 237831 241835 246841 250848 254852 262855
      274859 280861 288861 292917 293923 295926 297931 305943
      309949 314956 317962 320969 326999 328003 332006 337009
      345009 349004 352002 354007 355015 356020 357025 359027
      362027 368026 377025 380026 382025 392019 399018 402014
      407010 411008 414006 417007 422011 426018 431022 433024
      437023 443018 448012 450010 453009 461009 466011 471016
      476019 482020 488018 491015 495013 499007 499996 497987
      491984 484981 481979 478975 485961 489955 491949 494944
      493941 492936 492929 497924 502924 505919 510906 515898
      517891 520882 522879 523872 525867 523857 523848 524839
      528825
 0.01 469915 465910 463905 458896 452884 449879 448870 448865
      445863 440860 435860 431862 425860 420858 420853 421851
      424848 428844 440842 445841 450838 450834 448832 443830
      439829 433830 427829 425825 424822 421821 415824 408833
      402842 396850 387859 378865 370871 364878 348895 342902
      338905 338912 340918 344923 355927 364932 372936 377939
      382936 386933 389929 403915 406910 408908 411907 422902
      431897 435898 438902 445911 448916 450918 453919 469915
 0.01 225050 227057 230062 240070 249077 258088 261092 265095
      271100 279101 285100 290102 295103 298102 305100 307094
      312092 314088 313084 310079 310075 310070 314066 325059
      330055 329053 319043 309038 301038 293039 288035 283032
      278027 276026 272025 266022 261019 247016 241015 236015
      231017 229021
 0.25 518845 517832 516821 511803 503783 500773 497762 492743
      489735 485727 480721 473718 469716 467711 464703 461692
      455688 449687 442688 425695 418701 412707 407713 404720
      402727 399734 395741 391749 385757 379764 376769 374773
      375777 382779 391777 395778 397780 399786 398792 397798
      394801 390808 384823 376834 372843 369847 365849 359854
      354859 351866 351869 353870 357869 362865 368862 373860
      377857 384851 393837 401827 411817 416809 419805 422802
      427801 431802 434804 436807 446818 452820 455822 456826
      459834 463843 468853 470858 470865 471873 472877 474880
      479884 481886 486886 495882 499881 503878 509872 514866
      517858 518845
 0.25 452966 452962 450958 448952 443948 440942 437943 433943
      432947 430952 432957 435961 439966 445967 452966
 0.25 426982 426979 424976 423973 422971 419969 417971 415973
      413975 412977 411982 413984 415985 418985 419985 422986
      424985 426982
 0.25 366967 364965 360963 355958 350952 346947 341943 337942
      334945 335950 336954 339961 341969 343971 348972 355971
      363969 366967
 0.25 312879 311864 309856 306853 303852 302844 305839 308832
      309824 308818 305812 302809 298810 291812 288813 285812
      281808 274805 267806 261808 259809 260813 265818 270822
      274824 278825 279828 274833 271839 273845 276849 286850
      292851 300859 297866 298874 300881 299887 297905 299913
      302918 306920 310918 311914 311909 311893 312879
 0.25 299086 298076 294067 289061 281055 275052 266048 251039
      243037 239035 235036 231039 230042 230049 230053 235059
      242066 254077 267087 275090 284090 291089 296088 299086
 0.50 511848 511831 511823 509817 503805 498793 493782 489772
      486753 484744 482739 479736 475734 471733 467731 455706
      453702 448699 440697 435698 430701 426705 424710 412727
      405736 398744 388761 383765 381770 382773 386773 392771
      401769 403769 407772 410777 415779 420782 425778 428774
      431770 434769 436770 438775 443787 446793 449797 453802
      455807 459817 462824 464830 472837 479844 484852 487858
      492863 496864 502864 506862 509859 510856 511852 511848
 0.50 411805 411801 409799 406799 397805 393814 387824 382832
      379843 382843 386839 391831 398823 404815 410807 411805
 0.50 302829 302825 302821 301818 299816 295816 293818 292820
      290822 287825 285827 287831 289832 291833 295833 299832
      300832 302829
 0.50 290081 290075 286070 277063 268057 258051 253049 247047
      241048 237051 238056 241062 249069 258076 268083 273084
      281085 286084 290081
 0.50 275813 275812 275811 273810 272810 271809 269810 267811
      266812 268813 269814 270814 271814 273814 275814 275813
 1.00 501844 502839 502834 501831 499828 497825 495823 493821
      490821 488823 488828 488833 489838 490841 492843 494845
      496846 500846 501844
 1.00 447739 443725 443717 444713 440711 436711 433713 430716
      431731 426735 424741 423744 421746 415750 412754 410756
      411759 415757 421757 422761 425762 429760 437753 443750
      445744 447739

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 536209 537198 538191 537188 535181 531174 523163 520157
      516152 510153 506151 506154 507158 513163 514166 513171
      507169 504175 504181 505184 513194 516202 518205 521206
      532214 536209
 0.01 517265 517259 513254 512253 511249 510243 508237 505234
      501221 499215 496212 494212 493215 488216 489222 490227
      496237 497242 501247 506258 508262 512266 516267 517265
 0.01 530790 530781 529776 527764 520746 521734 516722 514715
      515709 515705 516701 514698 513691 511687 510682 507669
      503661 498654 485645 481642 477640 468637 449641 441642
      437647 421658 405672 391685 379698 355729 345744 338757
      332765 327768 325771 319778 316782 310783 306785 304788
      299795 297800 293802 287804 281802 278800 277798 276792
      277786 279777 277773 273772 262772 257772 254774 246786
      241794 238797 238805 238808 240811 246819 257829 267831
      279831 283833 282838 279846 277857 275869 276882 278890
      282897 284907 285912 286919 287925 290929 298946 303955
      312958 327953 330952 333953 333961 334977 335980 335986
      340995 341997 341001 340005 340012 342014 342018 344022
      346024 348026 346028 338032 334034 328033 324031 321031
      321027 318026 313028 292027 287028 283026 277019 271019
      267017 263015 259016 257018 257024 259033 257037 254039
      248045 247055 247060 248063 249069 251073 257081 258086
      262089 267091 269094 274102 282107 289107 296104 301103
      303100 310094 314095 320095 322092 322085 323078 326075
      333071 340068 348068 354070 358073 366074 370077 372081
      373088 372095 378101 380105 378107 376113 374117 370120
      360118 355117 354120 358121 361123 369129 373132 375134
      375136 377141 378147 377153 373156 371158 370163 372165
      375164 388178 392179 396175 397167 400163 407155 410154
      410147 406142 404141 402139 398137 396135 397131 400128
      405126 406121 408113 411109 411102 411099 410096 406095
      403098 400101 398096 397087 401079 410075 412073 415067
      416061 416057 415055 410047 408046 407041 407039 409035
      415034 419036 423037 430041 440046 444048 448047 448040
      447034 447030 450029 457023 458018 454017
 0.01 454017 452015 448014 443016 435015 431012 429009 424004
      422003 419004 412007 406011 400014 396017 388019 384019
      381017 377017 374018 367019 361023 359024 358022 359018
      363001 365991 368985 372967 383958 393952 399947 403940
      406935 411934 415935 419954 423959 424962 427962 431962
      434960 439954 442948 444938 444927 445923 444918 440913
      437907 435897 434885 434880 432874 432863 432852 433842
      434826 436815 438806 438772 441765 442762 445764 447768
      447773 448783 450791 451803 454812 454818 458820 464832
      469838 473845 476851 479860 491866 515854 518851 520848
      524840 527833 529825 531819 531808 530795 530790
 0.01 503273 503267 501261 500258 497253 495249 491247 490250
      492256 494260 496265 499268 501273 503273
 0.01 416227 415222 411221 408223 405224 400225 396225 394225
      393228 395232 400233 404233 408230 412229 416227 416227
 0.01 416757 413756 411757 409759 401765 392770 386776 375788
      367794 363803 360810 354816 340825 335826 331828 327837
      323845 320855 318863 318870 319876 322885 325889 329889
      334891 336893 342901 345903 349903 354905 360905 368902
      372899 374895 379889 383884 384879 387872 392870 393866
      392854 390847 388845 386840 385835 383831 385825 387815
      388811 391807 394804 396801 399791 404783 409775 413766
      416757
 0.01 401211 401206 398203 393200 390197 385190 379183 377180
      373179 370182 365181 361182 358185 366189 374195 380201
      387205 395210 399212 401211
 0.25 522808 521802 519798 517796 515798 513793 509790 506789
      503790 500796 499801 499807 498812 497819 498827 499832
      502836 506834 512826 516818 521814 522808
 0.25 507729 507722 506716 502709 500706 497706 491707 487705
      482700 476693 474689 472683 468671 464664 463658 460657
      452656 450648 445646 438653 431658 427661 424665 419671
      414675 403690 396695 390702 384708 377714 367724 363728
      362732 361743 359747 356750 348754 338767 329779 323786
      316791 303801 300804 298807 299818 300823 303826 307826
      311825 315823 318827 324821 330816 338811 346807 353803
      361791 365782 368774 371766 375757 378753 381750 385752
      387758 390761 394761 400756 405750 408739 411732 417724
      424718 430713 439712 446711 454708 457710 460713 459717
      460724 465732 462741 462749 465757 488777 493767 496768
      498767 501764 505756 507746 507729
 0.25 439942 438938 437935 436933 435930 433926 431924 428926
      426928 426931 426935 428938 429940 431942 433945 435946
      438945 439942
 0.25 427819 426807 425800 423796 418792 415793 412796 407802
      404806 403811 402819 401824 401830 407847 405866 408876
      409882 411887 414888 419887 422884 423879 425870 426860
      424838 425827 427819
 0.25 391936 391933 387932 384934 382935 380936 377938 376940
      376945 377947 379949 382949 384949 386947 388945 389942
      391938 391936
 0.25 368961 368957 366956 364954 361952 357952 355951 353949
      350949 349952 350956 352958 354959 357960 359961 363961
      366961 368961
 0.25 361981 362978 362976 361974 361972 359970 357970 356972
      356974 356976 357978 357979 357980 359982 360982 361981
 0.25 315084 317079 316074 316065 316060 312059 305056 289056
      276050 267048 262049 260051 258059 260067 263074 266080
      270085 275090 280094 285096 289095 294094 300091 306087
      314086 315084
 0.25 312913 313906 310903 305904 302905 299904 296900 296894
      298889 299882 296880 292883 289887 287891 287898 289903
      292907 293914 296924 300928 305926 308922 311918 312913
 0.25 303840 303838 301836 301835 299834 297835 295836 295838
      295841 294843 295845 296846 296847 297849 298850 300850
      301848 301847 302846 302844 302842 303840 303840
 0.25 272812 272808 270805 267800 264794 260792 253793 249796
      245801 245807 247811 251815 257816 264816 270814 272812
 0.50 498734 498729 498724 496722 493722 492723 490726 489730
      488733 488737 489739 492741 493741 495740 498737 498734
 0.50 481741 480736 478734 477734 474737 473739 472742 470745
      468746 470749 472749 474748 477746 480744 481741
 0.50 463685 462679 459672 458667 456663 451663 439664 428671
      421680 417684 411687 403696 398700 395705 382725 388749
      389756 391758 394757 400746 402741 405736 407728 408722
      410717 414713 421709 426707 451697 459692 463685
 0.50 408700 407698 405700 404701 404702 402704 402705 402706
      403706 404706 406703 407701 408700
 0.50 421860 421851 420841 417836 414836 412838 411841 411845
      412852 411859 411868 412877 414878 416876 418870 420863
      421860
 0.50 364769 364763 360761 355762 351764 346770 341777 337782
      329786 317797 312801 304806 303809 305813 309814 313813
      321811 327805 330804 333807 337807 341806 347800 352795
      356788 359781 363774 364769
 0.50 308079 308068 307063 301061 292060 281059 276056 270054
      265056 262060 263065 265069 270079 276086 281088 288088
      293088 299086 302084 306081 308079
 0.50 304918 303916 303914 302914 301913 299913 297913 297914
      297916 297917 299918 301919 303920 304918
 0.50 260809 260806 258804 255803 257801 255797 253797 252799
      250800 248802 249806 251807 252809 254810 258810 260809
 1.00 448675 447673 444672 437674 432677 428682 424686 421692
      421697 427698 431696 436692 441688 444683 447678 448675
 1.00 295079 294074 291072 285071 282070 276069 273071 272073
      276076 279078 283081 288082 293081 295079

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 539907 540898 539890 535882 531876 530872 526871 523870
      520872 517873 515872 512867 510864 506861 496858 492856
      487856 477860 471866 465872 459883 459890 459898 460910
      463915 467915 474912 479905 482902 484902 485905 482914
      480919 477922 474926 471929 462934 457935 455937 452937
      444941 437941 431940 427939 424936 421933 417932 413931
      407931 398935 384945 378944 375942 372945 366940 361935
      348919 346917 345911 342901 339897 335895 331895 329892
      334888 336887 337884 339878 339873 339869 329865 326868
      325872 325877 326880 325885 323887 320885 318881 318874
      319864 322859 324855 324849 326840 328835 331832 337823
      341814 346806 349794 351789 355786 363778 367768 368764
      367759 362755 366748 366736 367732 367726 367718 365714
      361714 357714 354715 350719 347722 342731 337740 330758
      321772 308787 304777 300772 295772 289773 285775 280781
      275785 268788 264791 260791 258790 252791 248794 242800
      239807 235816 237825 236830 236836 239843 243847 246851
      250853 256853 260854 267854 272852 278851 284850 286851
      285854 284862 284873 284878 283881 283888 281893 281899
      282905 284910 286914 289917 291919 291922 293928 295931
      301939 305943 306951 308956 312960 316961 322961 325959
      330961 334963 335967 336978 335982 337985 338991 340995
      343997 345996 347998 347002 349004 351006 355002 356997
      358993 360989 361983 359977 357974 356966 357959 364958
      375956 378965 381974 380980 379984 368983 366983 366986
      366992 368004 367009 365012 357024 354029 350031 343034
      335040 324041 317040 313039 309041 306046 303048 298050
      291050 286051 282052 276051 271051 267049 264047 258047
      254048 252051 252061 249064 249067 250075 254081 257084
      260085 262087 265092 265097 271098 276100 281105 284108
      287110 291113 295114 299115 302114 306113 309111 312111
      317112 321109 323108 326109 330110 334110 336113 339124
      341127 344130 346132 352133 356131 362132
 0.01 362132 370134 375137 382137 385139 387143 388148 386153
      385164 386171 391174 393170 394166 396158 400151 404144
      399129 404127 406125 408121 409116 413116 420116 424114
      422112 417111 414109 412106 413099 414096 414091 411088
      408089 405093 403101 399101 396099 392099 390105 387107
      383108 379107 375109 374112 366114 364109 365103 370100
      373098 377100 381099 387093 389091 394089 400085 402083
      403078 408073 411071 415071 417071 418068 420059 416052
      412046 409037 406029 405024 404019 405013 407010 411006
      415001 417999 421996 427992 431986 435983 438986 440988
      445988 448983 450977 452965 459962 466962 469960 473960
      482960 491958 498958 501959 500962 499967 500974 503983
      504986 506989 508991 512990 519991 528992 533989 536984
      538974 538963 536953 535947 533944 530936 530923 535915
      539907
 0.01 498680 495667 491659 488654 484649 479645 468640 459638
      451640 446640 439642 432645 421654 414663 410669 408674
      407677 408681 411686 416689 425686 428686 430688 433694
      434696 435702 437712 442728 439731 433734 428736 423739
      421742 418743 415750 412758 406761 399762 397763 395766
      389776 381784 377791 374797 373804 374808 377810 382809
      387807 392803 395802 399802 402804 402806 401809 398811
      398813 402817 406820 409822 413818 418814 421808 424803
      427796 432790 436787 439772 445761 448754 451747 453742
      460738 465735 468731 473727 479727 485725 489721 491713
      492709 491703 498680
 0.01 473056 473051 472048 470043 469039 467037 465035 462035
      457035 455037 455042 454046 456049 457052 457057 457061
      459062 461065 464065 468063 471058 473056
 0.01 450012 448007 444005 439007 434010 431016 430019 428020
      426023 426027 426030 430031 435030 440032 445029 446022
      447017 448015 450012
 0.01 413198 413194 411192 407191 405192 399194 390191 383180
      375179 368180 362180 359181 358185 358187 362190 368193
      373198 377203 381207 388211 395213 399207 401202 399199
      402198 409199 413198
 0.25 481678 481670 479663 473658 467653 459652 455652 450654
      445659 448663 451665 459669 461672 465675 471681 473682
      478683 481678
 0.25 421982 421975 418968 414965 409963 398957 393956 389959
      387961 387965 389972 391978 390984 389002 390004 393006
      399004 401998 403990 407989 414990 418987 421982
 0.25 384195 383193 381190 378187 377186 373185 370185 368186
      367187 371189 373191 376192 379194 381195 384195
 0.25 384070 385067 384066 383065 382063 380063 378063 377064
      377065 375066 375069 375071 375073 375075 376078 376080
      377081 379081 379080 381078 382076 383074 383072 383071
      384070
 0.25 385056 383051 379049 376048 371047 367049 363051 364054
      366057 370056 375056 380058 382058 385056
 0.25 361736 361729 357725 351727 347732 342741 338753 333764
      331770 327775 314794 307802 304807 303814 303828 304832
      306833 311831 317822 324814 329811 333806 339796 341791
      341783 347772 357750 361736
 0.25 350059 348056 345052 339049 333047 327047 321048 312054
      303059 297060 290059 284058 277059 270058 263058 259059
      259064 266072 271081 275085 278090 283097 289100 294100
      300099 304097 313091 319084 332087 335089 338088 339085
      341074 343070 346067 350062 350059
 0.25 341932 341926 339921 337918 333916 330915 326917 325922
      324926 324932 325938 328940 333939 337938 340934 341932
 0.25 314920 314918 313916 312917 310918 308919 307920 306922
      306924 306925 307926 308927 310927 312926 312924 313922
      314921 314920
 0.25 289801 290797 288793 284792 280794 273795 268798 262797
      253799 248802 243807 241812 240817 243821 248822 252828
      258840 262844 267841 269835 271828 275824 279817 281812
      285808 289801
 0.25 262807 262805 261804 259805 259807 258809 258811 260810
      261809 262807 262807
 0.50 416980 415977 414973 412971 410969 408968 405966 403966
      400966 401970 402972 403976 405978 407981 408983 411984
      413984 415982 416980
 0.50 382074 382072 382069 382068 380067 378068 377069 377071
      376073 377076 377078 379078 381076 381075 382074
 0.50 358736 357734 353733 350733 348736 344743 342750 340757
      337764 336768 337771 340770 342768 345761 349754 353748
      357741 358736
 0.50 339058 339053 336051 330050 325051 319053 312057 306061
      299063 282061 275064 270065 269068 272075 277081 289090
      294091 299091 305087 306083 309080 311076 314073 321070
      328066 339058
 0.50 331079 330079 329077 329076 327077 329078 330079 330080
      331079
 0.50 285802 283799 277800 272799 270801 267808 262816 256822
      255826 257830 261831 264830 267823 275819 278810 284804
      285802
 0.50 255806 255804 254803 252803 250803 249804 248805 247806
      247807 246809 245810 245811 244812 243813 243815 244816
      246815 247813 249813 250812 251811 252810 252809 253808
      254806 255806
 1.00 411980 411977 410975 409973 409972 407973 407975 408977
      408978 410980 411980
 1.00 334056 332055 329054 325055 323055 320056 318058 315060
      314062 315065 319066 321065 324063 326062 328060 330059
      333058 334056
 1.00 304074 304070 302068 299068 295068 291068 289068 286070
      284072 285075 287077 290079 292080 296081 299080 301078
      303076 304074
 1.50 321061 321059 319060 319061 321061 321061

$$





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