Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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951
FXUS04 KWBC 240921
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
520 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 24/1200 UTC THRU MAR 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


CENTRAL US

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW WILL STEADILY PROGRESS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS TOWARD THE MID-MS VALLEY DAY1. A WELL DEFINED COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND WILL LIFT FROM ERN COLORADO
NEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS FRIDAY. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR
SOME MODERATELY HEAVY PRECIP BAND TOTALS IN THIS COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION BAND STRETCHING FROM SNOWY ERN CO TO THE UPPER
MIDWEST. DIFFERENCES WITH THE MODEL QPFS REMAIN RELATIVELY SMALL
WITH THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST TOTALS. DAY 1 QPF LEANED HEAVILY ON
WPC CONTINUITY BLENDED WITH A LATEST GLOBAL MODEL AND HI RES
GUIDANCE COMPOSITE FOR UPDATED DETAILS.

FARTHER SOUTH...A FAVORED GUIDANCE COMPOSITE SHOWS A SWATH OF
FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE ADVECTION AS PER
AN ENHANCED LLJ THAT WILL FUEL DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE
CONVECTION AS PER SPC AHEAD OF A TRAILING ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS THE S-CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-LOWER MS
VALLEY. SUSPECT THAT HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH SOME TRAINING/RUNOFF
POTENTIAL WILL FLOURISH ERN OK/TX AND THE MID-LOWER MS VALLEY
FRI/FRI NIGHT WHERE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY 2-4" AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH LOCAL TERRAIN LIFT FOCUSING OVER THE
OUACHITA AND OZARK MOUNTAINS WHERE A WPC SLIGHT RISK EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED. WPC RAINFALL PROGS WERE
DERIVED FROM A BLEND OF THE GFS/ARW AND A HEALTHY DOSE OF WPC
CONTINUITY.


GREAT LAKES INTO NRN NY/NEW ENGLAND

WELL TO THE EAST NORTHEAST OF THE DEEPENING CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
LOW...STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO NRN NY STATE AND NRN NEW ENGLAND IN
THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE ON THE NW SIDE OF THE RETREATING EASTERN
ANTICYCLONE. THIS WILL SUPPORT A STREAK OF MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS
IN THE .50"+ RANGE ACROSS THESE AREAS. ACCUMULATING SNOWS WITH
THIS PRECIP EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIP
SHIELD MAINLY OVER SRN CANADA BUT LINGERING DOWN ACROSS FAR NRN
NY/NEW ENGLAND.


PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO N-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

LATEST BLENDED TPW LOOPS SHOW A LONG FETCH DEEPENED MOISTURE PLUME
FROM NORTH OF HAWAII TO THE WEST COAST WITH EMBEDDED DERIVED
RAINFALL RATES RANGING .25"-.35" PER HOUR AND HIGHER WITH LOW/WAVE
POOLING...ALL UNDER A POTENT UPPER JET. STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW
AND INCREASING PW VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWARD INTO NRN AND CENTRAL CA ASSOCIATED AS A
SERIES OF IMPULSES WITHIN AN AMPLIFIED AND STEADILY PROGRESSIVE
ERN PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACH AND MOVE INLAND. THE GREATEST PW
ANOMALIES AND STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW WITH THIS UPCOMING
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT ARE SLATED FOR THE N-CENTRAL CA COASTAL
RANGES THAT MAY LEAD TO RUNOFF ISSUES AND INLAND TO THE SNOWY
SIERRA WHERE PW ANOMALIES WILL ALSO REACH UPWARDS OF 2.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN. HERE WIDESPREAD HEAVY LIQUID TOTALS OF
1-2"+ ARE LIKELY...WITH MAX TOTALS OF 5"+ POSSIBLE IN THE FAVORED
UPSLOPE REGIONS. NORTH OF THIS THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL NOT HAVE AS
GREAT AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT AND MOISTURE FLUX VALUES WILL NOT BE AS
ANOMALOUS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT MORE
MODEST PCPN VALUES...WITH .50-1"+ AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED
THROUGH THE WASHINGTON/OREGON CASCADES AND OLYMPICS AND .5"+ AREAL
AVERAGE AMOUNTS INTO THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF NE OREGON/SE WASHINGTON
AND THE SEVEN DEVILS...BITTERROOT...SALMON RIVER AND SAWTOOTH
MOUNTAINS OF ID.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WEST COAST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES ON SATURDAY WILL BRING
AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION ON DAY 2...WITH THE MAIN FOCUS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF UT/CO/WY/SOUTHERN MT. NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH AND THE WAVE WILL BE PROGRESSIVE..THUS NOT EXPECTING TOTALS
TO BE TOO HIGH. IN GENERAL FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR QPF
WITH THIS FEATURE...AS MODELS WERE IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT.

A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO STEADY
PRECIPITATION FROM WESTERN WA/OR INTO NORTHERN CA. THE STRONGEST
PLUME OF MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO STAY OFFSHORE AND
QUICKLY SINK SOUTH OF THE AREA. THUS AS THE STRONGER FORCING AND
BETTER UPSLOPE FLOW MOVES ASHORE...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
ONLY BE MARGINALLY ANOMALOUS. THUS NOT ANTICIPATING VERY HEAVY
TOTALS...ALTHOUGH LOCAL 1"+ AMOUNTS WILL BE PROBABLE THROUGH 12Z
MONDAY ACROSS THE FAVORED TERRAIN OF THE NORTHWEST INTO NORTHERN
CA. MODEL DIFFERENCES WERE RELATIVELY MINOR...AND THUS WPC QPF IS
CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND.


...GREAT LAKES/MS VALLEY/TN AND OH VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID
ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A CLOSED LOW WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE KS/OK/MO/AR BORDER AT 12Z
SATURDAY...AND WILL STEADILY MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WEAKENING INTO AN OPEN WAVE AS IT MOVES EAST. EXPECT
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE...EVENTUALLY IMPACTING
MUCH OF THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. HAVE A COUPLE AREAS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z
SAT-12Z SUN). THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER THIS PERIOD IS LIKELY TO
BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY AND
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE EXPECTATION IS THAT
CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON FRIDAY NIGHT WILL
BE IN A WEAKENING STATE BY SATURDAY MORNING AS IT MOVES ACROSS MS.
HOWEVER THINK ENOUGH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TO KEEP THE
COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION MOVING EAST. THIS
BOUNDARY SHOULD THEN BECOME THE FOCUS OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MS INTO
AL...AS MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW INTERACTS WITH THE INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE LEADING TROUGH/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. WPC
LEANED QPF ACROSS THIS REGION TOWARDS THE MORE PROGRESSIVE AND
HEAVIER HIGH RES ARW AND GEM REGIONAL. THESE TWO MODELS TYPICALLY
HANDLE PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE PROPAGATION THE BEST.
THE ECMWF/NAM AND HIGH RES NMMB CORE MODELS TEND NOT TO PROPAGATE
CONVECTION QUICK ENOUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THESE SITUATIONS. DO
THINK THAT ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FURTHER WEST ACROSS MS ALONG THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS ALSO
LIKELY...BUT THINK THE MAJORITY OF THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE PROBABLY
UNDER DOING CONVECTION WITH THE LEADING TROUGH/OUTFLOW. THE NEW
WPC QPF IS THUS SHIFTED SOUTH ACROSS MS/AL...WITH QPF MAGNITUDE
INCREASED AS WELL.

OVERALL MOST SIGNS POINT TO PRETTY PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION AS THE
SYNOPTIC SYSTEM STEADILY MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. ALSO
PRECIPITABLE WATER AND MOISTURE FLUX ARE NOT ALL THAT ANOMALOUS
WITH THIS SYSTEM. SO WHILE 1-2" OF AREAL RAIN IS PROBABLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF AL/MS...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS PROBABLY
LOW...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. HOWEVER DO
NOTE THAT THE FLOW DOES SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
BACKBUILDING CONVECTION...WITH WEAK CORFIDI VECTORS. THIS SUGGESTS
THAT SOME BRIEF TRAINING IS POSSIBLE. THIS IS MOST LIKELY AT THE
BEGINNING OF ANY CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ACROSS MS/AL/TN...AND
ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHERN MS/AL WHERE
CONVECTION COULD TAKE ON MORE OF A WEST/EAST ORIENTATION FOR
AWHILE. AGAIN NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATING A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT...BUT THE POTENTIAL DOES SEEM TO WARRANT A MARGINAL RISK.

ANOTHER LOCATION THAT COULD SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS
UNDERNEATH THE CLOSED LOW ACROSS MO...WHERE THE LOW WILL RESULT IN
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT/INCREASED INSTABILITY AND SLOW STORM
MOTIONS. HOWEVER THE FACT THAT THE CLOSED LOW WILL REMAIN
PROGRESSIVE...AND PWAT VALUES WILL BE DECREASED UNDERNEATH THE
LOW...DOES SUGGEST THAT THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS MINIMAL. THUS AT
THIS TIME THINK THE THREAT IS BELOW THE THRESHOLD FOR A MARGINAL
RISK. WPC QPF ACROSS THIS AREA GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL
BLEND.

THE THIRD AREA TO WATCH IS NEAR THE WARM FRONT FROM NORTHERN IL/IN
INTO SOUTHERN MI. ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES ALONG THE FRONT...COMBINED
WITH BACKBUILDING WIND PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST A POSSIBLE HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT. ALTHOUGH SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION AND THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF RAIN AND CONVECTION
ACROSS THIS AREA. THUS IN GENERAL THE HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNAL IS
CURRENTLY NOT STRONG ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL RISK. ALTHOUGH WORTH
WATCHING...AS THE COMBINATION OF ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AND POTENTIAL
BACKBUILDING...COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY LOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
DOES OPEN THE DOOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES. WILL CONTINUE TO REEVALUATE AS GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY HIGH
RES GUIDANCE..CONTINUES TO NARROW IN ON THE SYSTEM EVOLUTION
ACROSS THIS AREA.

BY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT THE PRECIPITATION SHIFTS INTO THE
NORTHEAST QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY. OVERALL THE SYSTEM WILL BE IN A
WEAKENING STATE BY THIS TIME AND WILL BE MOVING INTO A MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT...SO GENERALLY EXPECTING LOWER QPF AMOUNTS. BY THIS
TIME WPC QPF IS PRETTY CLOSE TO A GENERAL MODEL BLEND...WITH
WIDESPREAD 0.25"-0.5" AMOUNTS. LIKELY TO BE A FEW SWATHS OF
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE EXACT
LOCATIONS.

...SYSTEM MOVING INTO PLAINS AND MS VALLEY ON SUNDAY...

A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY WILL RESULT
IN SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT TO SEE
CONVECTION BREAK OUT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE BY SUNDAY EVENING. SOME
MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE EXACT TIMING/PLACEMENT OF THIS FEATURE
AND RESULTANT QPF. HOWEVER THE GENERAL CONSENSUS AT THIS TIME PUTS
THE GREATEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN KS/OK
INTO WESTERN AR/MO. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR ROBUST
CONVECTION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY. HOWEVER AT THIS
TIME THE RISK OF ORGANIZED FLOODING APPEARS LOW...GIVEN THE
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE WAVE AND LACK OF REAL DEEP ANOMALOUS
MOISTURE. NONETHELESS SOMETHING WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON OVER THE
COMING DAYS.


SCHICHTEL/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 537215 538206 537202 534193 530181 525172 521165 515158
      506148 498142 493137 486131 477126 472123 471118 471107
      470103 466102 464104 462102 460104 462105 462108 461110
      456109 455107 456104 454096 450094 443094 442091 439091
      431091 428094 427099 427104 425107 422111 417111 414111
      410112 409115 415116 414120 411123 407130 403134 397139
      390144 383149 379154 374165 370176 366179 363179 355180
      350180 347178 343173 340170 339170 342179 340184 337189
      335198 337205 342211 347216 353223 356226 358230 362237
      369245 377250 387253 397255 405256 411255 419254 427254
      436253 441253 446254 454254 464257 472258 477261 489274
      494278 499282 502285 507286 513281 515279 518274 520266
      521258 519237 517230 515224 509217 504210 505204 508201
      512202 515206 519210 524215 526218 530219 533220 534218
      537215
 0.01 531050 532040 530034 527030 522029 516029 512031 507033
      504036 498044 494056 495063 497067 501070 504068 509064
      512062 521059 525057 529054 531050
 0.01 505777 505770 504766 502757 500751 499746 497738 488728
      477717 473713 471709 473705 474699 475695 474691 472682
      468676 469667 468661 464653 461646 450640 446638 442640
      440642 435644 430649 425654 417662 413674 411680 412690
      414701 418705 421709 421713 422722 421731 420735 418737
      410739 404743 399751 396759 395766 394769 394773 397779
      400784 404788 410791 413791 416794 417804 418817 419825
      417841 416853 414858 412861 401869 371874 358876 345879
      319889 303896 298900 294905 285916 281927 277939 279954
      278980 286995 288997 291998 298997 304994 310991 321984
      329979 341974 353968 355967 357970 357975 357978 359981
      362987 370988 375988 377985 382984 387984 393996 393001
      390004 386008 376015 372017 366021 359031 360039 360045
      356053 358057 373056 379055 385055 391059 393060 395058
      404051 413040 421029 426015 433999 440981 445964 449950
      452937 456923 458912 460905 464889 468867 471859 472851
      475837 477830 479825 481824 489813 497802 501787 505777
 0.01 409202 407199 404194 403190 398188 393186 390184 385184
      385189 389192 393195 397197 400200 405202 409202
 0.01 289806 285800 279796 266794 261793 258791 256789 254790
      244799 239805 235810 232817 234826 239830 244827 248820
      251816 257810 263807 268807 272808 278810 286811 289806
 0.25 516270 518264 518260 517253 512238 503215 497204 490199
      485200 480202 480206 476205 473206 467208 462209 456211
      450212 439212 432210 429208 425206 423208 425213 425219
      423222 421225 418225 418220 418215 415213 406208 385193
      376187 370184 365184 359186 361192 364198 365203 363205
      357205 352202 349203 350208 353214 356218 367228 373236
      380243 386247 392250 407252 416251 426249 437247 450245
      459242 465243 469246 478254 487265 495274 503281 507282
      512277 515273 516270
 0.25 514187 516182 515177 512171 505162 484156 480155 474151
      465144 460143 455146 450147 446144 441139 438137 436138
      431149 432156 435162 435170 436177 435186 437193 444203
      449206 453206 454202 453198 456196 457192 467187 477186
      489191 499189 508190 513189 514187
 0.25 500251 498245 495238 491233 487229 482225 478223 474226
      474228 477229 481233 484238 489237 493243 496248 498250
      500251
 0.25 492147 491147 490146 488145 488147 490148 491148 492147
 0.25 454740 454729 453721 451715 448710 442707 438708 437711
      433723 431727 429729 430733 433737 433740 432747 431750
      428751 423751 419753 416755 415758 420761 424762 427767
      430773 431781 433791 433801 433815 433829 432843 427855
      422865 416874 407882 401883 395883 389881 383882 371885
      351889 338892 328895 322897 317900 312904 308907 302913
      295921 291929 289935 289939 290943 294947 296948 299947
      304947 303949 294954 290959 290967 293970 297972 299977
      301981 306981 311979 319975 329969 337965 348959 360955
      371951 377950 383950 392955 398960 402961 408961 410965
      410970 408980 407987 405993 401999 396007 391014 378031
      378035 379038 383041 392046 395045 398044 402039 409031
      418014 423004 428992 433980 436967 439951 441942 443937
      448925 452913 455901 456891 458874 459859 460841 460820
      456762 455747 454740
 0.25 397157 397156 395154 393154 392154 390155 388157 386159
      386161 386164 387165 388164 389164 390163 392162 394161
      394160 396159 396158 397157
 0.25 258801 257799 253798 250799 248801 246803 244805 243807
      242810 242813 244814 246813 248810 250808 252806 254805
      256803 258801
 0.50 515269 515261 514254 509240 500217 497213 491210 484209
      478209 460214 437218 435219 433217 430220 424228 420230
      415229 416219 415215 413214 406211 402207 394201 373187
      367187 366194 373200 380209 383212 382217 376219 372217
      366216 362216 363218 368222 370227 375232 379238 388245
      398248 403249 410249 421248 431246 435244 439241 442234
      445231 451228 457228 463228 467225 474221 480220 486222
      490227 494233 497239 501243 505252 509265 512270 515269
 0.50 507279 507275 506272 505267 503261 500257 494248 491243
      487239 482240 481236 477231 473233 471235 471240 473244
      480252 487260 494269 502277 507279
 0.50 502176 502171 501170 496168 490166 486163 483161 478161
      474157 471153 466150 462153 459152 457153 458156 460154
      462156 465159 471162 474165 477170 481170 486171 490174
      495177 499177 502176
 0.50 464179 462174 457172 456159 448152 444148 440144 439143
      437144 435150 438161 441166 445169 447176 446179 441182
      442186 444188 448192 453191 460184 464179
 0.50 448726 448724 447722 447721 445720 444722 443723 442724
      441726 440728 441729 442730 443731 445731 446732 447732
      447729 448728 448726
 0.50 456840 455822 454808 453801 450793 447787 445780 442771
      440769 438775 437787 438803 439821 440833 439842 438850
      434862 433867 434873 434881 432887 429894 424894 421891
      418885 413886 405891 400892 396888 384888 345895 338897
      334898 325902 315907 307914 300920 297924 296929 294932
      293937 297939 303937 308935 312934 315937 320938 323939
      321941 317944 309950 303955 299961 301964 306965 311968
      314968 321967 325965 333962 345956 352951 362949 371945
      380942 384941 388943 397949 401950 404948 408947 408942
      407935 416931 419929 425930 424937 422942 418950 418957
      418963 417978 413988 407999 401008 394017 390025 387032
      389037 392040 398038 401035 407028 414017 419008 422997
      426983 430964 431957 433951 437941 443928 447917 450906
      452892 454879 455869 456852 456840
 0.50 445744 444743 443744 442745 441747 443749 444747 445746
      445744
 0.50 357212 355209 353208 353209 355211 356212 357212
 1.00 501270 500265 497261 496257 494252 492248 490244 487243
      486246 488252 490255 492260 495265 498268 501270 501270
 1.00 478215 477214 475214 474214 475215 477215 478215
 1.00 474216 473215 472215 470215 471217 473217 474216
 1.00 452869 452862 451857 449867 449873 447877 444889 441899
      438909 439916 441913 445906 448894 450884 452872 452869
 1.00 424244 424238 420234 415234 413233 412229 413225 413218
      408215 400208 393202 384197 377192 372190 372195 378202
      386209 392214 401221 402223 402225 398225 393225 387224
      382225 380227 379232 383237 390242 395244 402246 411246
      420245 424244
 1.00 421905 419900 416899 414898 410901 401913 394917 389918
      386917 380913 373909 373902 369898 365898 359901 351901
      342904 339904 335905 331906 333907 342907 347908 347913
      345917 341920 333923 330925 330927 335933 338936 335939
      323945 315949 309955 309957 314956 321954 328952 337949
      345947 354946 362943 369940 382937 408920 413919 417914
      421905
 1.00 415005 416000 415998 411001 408006 404012 400016 397021
      395027 398028 402025 406021 410017 413012 415005
 1.00 321913 321911 319912 317913 319914 321913 321913
 1.50 421243 421240 419238 419237 418236 416237 417238 418240
      417242 418243 420243 421243
 1.50 417244 417242 415243 414243 415244 416244 417244
 1.50 410244 406241 406233 401229 394228 388228 383229 382232
      383235 388238 393242 399244 404244 410244
 1.50 402216 402212 400210 396206 391203 385200 381197 376193
      375196 377198 381202 385206 389210 394214 399216 402216
 1.50 395924 393923 389924 387925 384926 382927 380929 378931
      377934 379935 382934 384933 387931 389930 391928 393927
      395924
 1.50 371934 366925 364918 361919 360925 359929 357930 353929
      351929 350932 346936 343939 337940 332942 329945 330947
      333947 337947 342944 346943 356943 365938 371934
 2.00 398241 399236 398234 396231 394230 392230 388230 384230
      384232 386235 387236 390238 392240 395241 398241
 2.00 400213 400212 399211 398210 397208 396208 395207 394206
      392206 390204 388205 388206 390208 391209 393211 394212
      395212 396213 398214 400214 400213
 2.00 364936 364934 362933 361933 359932 357932 355932 354932
      352934 350936 348937 347939 348940 350941 351941 352941
      354941 355941 357941 358941 359940 361939 361938 363937
      364936
 2.00 340943 339941 337941 336942 334942 333943 332945 334945
      336945 337945 339944 340943
 3.00 359936 357935 355936 355938 357938 359937 359936

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 524055 526039 526023 527007 524996 521998 519002 514009
      508016 507022 507029 511037 515046 521053 524055
 0.01 525928 526926 526923 526920 526918 525915 525913 525910
      524910 523912 522913 521914 521915 520918 519921 519923
      519926 520928 520929 522930 523930 525929 525928
 0.01 509201 510194 511188 513173 513161 514155 512152 505148
      501148 494144 487138 483133 478133 472134 468130 464127
      463123 461115 461111 464110 466112 469113 470108 469105
      465096 464087 464081 465077 468069 471062 479044 481037
      484030 486022 486012 483007 482004 478004 475004 472005
      466008 459010 456010 452013 448018 444025 435037 432039
      428037 426034 424029 421025 415021 402016 400020 404026
      407029 408035 407037 403040 399040 395038 393034 390034
      387035 380035 378039 377045 375049 370050 367050 363051
      361052 359055 355073 353087 356093 354099 352106 353111
      351117 345120 348127 351133 355138 361152 363155 364161
      363168 364172 367178 366182 363184 355182 349185 347201
      347203 350204 356203 359202 364202 374205 381206 385205
      390206 399218 405217 402209 395207 394205 390203 381192
      377188 374182 373179 375177 380174 385173 389174 394175
      397173 401167 408164 413165 415167 416170 419170 422169
      426165 429168 431173 433179 437187 441200 444199 447201
      448204 448208 446212 444215 439216 433217 426223 421227
      419228 416229 414227 415221 414218 412216 410218 408220
      407227 410228 412229 411232 406235 403240 399245 395248
      385256 381260 377254 372253 369256 369265 372271 378275
      385279 393282 412289 426293 438294 445293 451294 452300
      453308 457316 463324 470327 474328 477327 480328 483325
      485321 487314 489302 492293 493285 495277 499261 499256
      500250 501244 503240 506219 505205 509201
 0.01 486192 486189 484187 480186 476184 476182 473177 471176
      470178 464180 460188 455194 453198 455201 454208 457211
      460210 464210 471209 476206 482203 485194 486192
 0.01 479862 479855 478851 473841 471831 467823 464814 461806
      453787 447774 445764 444751 444743 442735 440726 437714
      435704 433698 431692 427686 427676 427666 426660 424656
      418655 411661 401671 392682 389687 388694 386703 387712
      390722 392726 393733 396754 397760 397765 397776 392785
      389791 388795 390797 395796 400792 405790 408792 410796
      410801 410808 409819 405819 402817 398816 396817 390819
      385818 379814 374809 368806 364806 360807 353811 343815
      338818 331820 317825 303832 295841 286843 282845 277844
      269844 259845 257847 254846 248840 244832 243827 245821
      246815 249808 253805 262803 263800 263796 261789 260784
      260779 268777 273781 280786 282788 286787 288782 284777
      280775 275776 272774 267774 263774 259776 253774 247774
      241775 237781 236782 233778 230781 229785 226791 228799
      235838 237843 240845 245849 256861 261864 265869 266880
      266890 265896 265907 266915 268923 273928 273934 272939
      270947 269958 268960 268966 273972 276973 281972 285970
      285965 287962 292959 301952 307946 311943 323933 329929
      337924 342920 350917 353926 355936 357945 363951 368956
      372960 382968 391977 394979 397980 405982 410982 413980
      420976 430964 434958 436948 437937 439931 443928 449928
      452926 456926 458927 462927 465927 466921 469915 470910
      471905 473897 475890 479862
 0.01 444171 442161 441154 442149 444147 448138 442132 439130
      436131 429133 426136 425141 424153 425157 428161 431166
      433171 435172 442173 444171
 0.01 377714 376708 374707 367711 364717 360724 357730 353737
      351740 352744 357743 359741 362742 364740 369734 372727
      376719 377714
 0.01 338176 337174 337170 337167 334166 330166 328168 326170
      327174 329175 331177 334178 336178 338176
 0.01 279800 279798 279796 279794 277794 275795 275797 275799
      276801 277801 279801 279800
 0.01 253789 253787 252786 251788 250789 250790 249791 247791
      246792 247794 249794 251793 252792 253791 253789
 0.01 236786 236784 235783 234784 234786 236787 236786
 0.25 485315 487303 486295 486289 485286 478285 471286 466287
      463291 462296 461306 462311 463314 467318 470320 478320
      482321 484318 485315
 0.25 496223 496220 495218 493215 491211 489211 487211 485212
      482214 481216 481220 483222 486223 488223 491223 494225
      496223
 0.25 502178 502176 502174 501173 502172 503171 503168 503165
      501165 500165 498166 497167 496169 496172 495174 496177
      497177 498179 500179 501179 502178
 0.25 459099 457092 456084 458073 459064 455059 449057 443059
      438061 433063 430068 432076 434081 446081 449082 450086
      448092 445100 444107 445113 447115 450115 454110 456105
      459099
 0.25 454867 447823 440781 438767 434760 432757 428755 424754
      422756 422759 424778 423798 422809 419818 415826 410833
      405836 399839 394836 389831 385829 380827 372826 357820
      353820 350822 345827 340832 333836 326841 320845 311848
      307850 303852 299857 297860 296864 298872 295878 290885
      289889 290892 297898 297907 297914 300923 303926 306924
      312920 319916 325912 333908 341905 352898 360895 367893
      378893 381893 383896 382899 381903 379907 378911 377919
      376927 373934 374937 377939 386939 394936 400931 402932
      401937 399941 401945 406948 411952 414952 417949 421942
      423938 424930 424920 426915 429911 434905 442894 449879
      454867
 0.25 417123 417118 415116 412115 406116 401119 397122 391125
      389132 390135 393137 399139 402139 404138 408133 412129
      415125 417123
 0.25 402065 402062 402060 402059 400058 399058 398057 397058
      396059 395062 394064 394066 394067 396066 398066 399067
      400067 401067 402065
 0.25 394075 393073 393071 392068 390070 389072 388072 387074
      386074 387075 387077 388077 390078 392079 393078 394077
      394075
 0.25 285941 286939 286937 285935 283935 281937 281939 283941
      285942 285941
 0.50 481311 482309 481308 480307 479305 478304 477303 475303
      473302 472302 471302 470303 469304 469305 470307 471308
      472309 474310 475310 477311 479312 480312 481311
 0.50 451076 452073 452071 452070 451068 450067 448066 447066
      445067 444067 443068 442069 442072 443073 444075 446076
      448076 450076 451076 451076
 0.50 444844 445839 444834 443828 440824 436821 431820 429825
      423834 416842 413845 411850 412856 414861 412870 412877
      410883 409889 410894 410902 410911 411919 409924 409929
      412926 415921 417917 420903 423893 431887 439882 444871
      444867 443865 441861 440854 442849 444844
 0.50 401922 401917 400910 398907 392907 387907 385912 384918
      383922 382927 381931 382933 387933 391931 394928 398925
      401922 401922
 0.50 386875 382858 381849 377847 371846 367845 365842 364834
      362829 358823 355822 351824 347827 344834 340838 335842
      325847 314855 311859 309865 300891 300897 301906 305910
      307916 311916 313915 317913 318911 321907 326904 334902
      339899 349893 368879 373875 379877 384877 386875
 1.00 358874 355867 356859 353855 350854 344852 336855 329858
      328861 330863 327868 320871 315875 310881 307888 306892
      306894 308895 315894 319894 320898 328899 334894 338890
      345886 349880 358874
 1.00 354837 354835 353833 353832 351831 349831 348833 347835
      346837 346838 346839 348839 350839 352839 353838 354837
 1.50 339875 334877 331874 328874 321876 315879 311885 309892
      313890 318885 324883 328884 332882 338880 339875

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 494331 483325 477321 471320 464317 457312 455307 455303
      455296 451290 444290 433291 417287 402283 388279 374273
      362265 353255 346252 343247 342242 343237 345234 349228
      353227 355224 352222 352219 353211 354202 355198 357196
      358189 360186 364184 367183 376185 378188 383189 387191
      389187 391181 387175 386170 387160 401134 403130 404126
      402118 401116 403114 406108 419108 422102 427103 429099
      427094 431097 436102 444103 448103 449102 451103 453107
      453113 455117 458125 456130 459136 463141 466139 468136
      470132 475133 481135 492144 496148 499154 502158 506165
      518172 522173 524177 527183 530189 534195 537202 542198
 0.01 568985 567988 562983 558980 555974 553969 552966 552960
      552950 553941 550925 550916 553908 553901 554889 551882
      550880 546879 543877 542866 550857 557848 560845
 0.01 559112 558106 556102 552102 548104 547106 543111 541113
      539118 539126 540129 543133 546136 551137 554138
 0.01 525238 525235 523232 522229 520223 518218 515215 513213
      511215 511222 512226 514232 515237 517242 520246 523243
      525238
 0.01 539083 539078 536072 535069 531066 527065 524062 522065
      523070 525073 528079 529084 532088 533088 537086 539083
 0.01 522931 523928 522924 521920 519918 517921 512929 510934
      507939 506944 504947 501952 497954 493962 489970 489975
      492975 492985 490983 485985 478988 472991 470994 459993
      453998 446007 443007 439009 432009 424006 420001 419996
      415989 413990 410993 405000 399998 398996 398991 402981
      405967 407955 410944 415922 435921 440926 443924 446926
      453932 454934 454937 449937 443937 440940 441944 446944
      450945 451949 450961 450964 452964 456962 462957 467947
      473940 476935 479931 486922 488918 492915 494910 495904
      497893 499881 501869 502857 505846 506836 506832 507828
      507823 509810 507776 501746 500738 498732 494721 490708
      488704 484700 474690 468684 464680 462676 452666 441665
      437670 432674 427676 417683 411690 409700 405705 404706
      405709 402721 398731 394740 392747 387755 386758 384764
      385770 387772 387776 384779 381780 379777 374778 372783
      371788 368791 364794 359796 353797 347796 343796 339799
      333805 325812 314817 312820 311824 308835 306839 306844
      304852 297859 289860 278860 273861 273867 274871 276874
      283877 287879 291877 299882 302885 304891 309892 312890
      333889 337884 339884 340886 341890 341898 340904 337912
      323945 321950 321954 323955 328957 331962 328971 337978
      339980 344981 350980 353978 358977 361977 362979 366987
      373990 376992 378997 379002 380007 383015 384020 383023
      381024 375027 373030 373037 371044 367045 363047 362050
      366061 369061 371056 382057 388059 389062 388066 380073
      378077 377082 380085 384083 392071 398064 400060 403062
      403070 405072 409073 412071 421070 428075 436072 435069
      430066 428063 429059 433056 441051 451049 460046 469043
      472041 475037 486023
 0.01 486023 491018 495013 495003 495997 494992 495990 499990
      504985 507978 509970 512965 515957 517947 519936 522931
 0.01 411054 411052 411049 410047 408046 407047 406047 404048
      403049 404051 406053 406054 407055 409055 411054
 0.01 408912 406910 405908 403906 401904 401903 399902 398903
      399905 400906 401907 402908 403909 404910 405912 407914
      408912
 0.01 385708 384700 384699 380698 376702 373706 370707 367710
      362720 357729 355733 354739 356744 361745 364742 367737
      369733 371728 374724 376722 380722 383718 384713 385708
 0.01 392895 387886 382878 373876 368871 363863 361865 359870
      356879 356885 360890 363891 369891 378891 387894 392895
 0.01 351755 351753 349753 349754 348755 346756 344756 342756
      340757 339759 339760 339762 339764 340764 341764 343764
      343763 345761 346759 348758 349756 351756 351755
 0.01 312990 312988 312986 312983 310981 308981 306981 306983
      304985 304987 306990 306992 308992 310992 312990 312990
 0.01 308933 308932 307930 306928 305928 304928 303930 302931
      303931 305933 306933 308933 308933
 0.01 270800 264793 261789 261783 260778 256776 251777 247780
      252789 252792 251795 248794 245796 245799 247800 252801
      256803 254807 255812 259814 262811 261806 263802 267803
      270800
 0.01 244778 244777 244776 242776 241777 242778 243779 244779
      244778
 0.25 520271 518260 513250 504226 501220 499216 494213 488211
      476209 465211 457212 447213 446211 447205 445191 443186
      438184 435186 434194 435200 432202 427202 421199 418202
      415205 412208 407209 403207 398203 386196 377192 374194
      374197 376203 382211 387215 394219 395222 392223 386223
      381223 378227 377230 378233 379239 382246 388252 395260
      405267 410271 415273 425274 430276 436277 448277 455278
      458280 463284 468293 487306 494309 502316
 0.25 482224 481223 479222 478223 479224 481225 482224
 0.25 490792 490781 488777 485775 483775 480777 477777 474775
      471771 469766 468754 466750 464748 460738 457734 456726
      447714 444715 444721 441725 437724 433722 429722 423723
      418726 413732 409737 405743 403750 402761 402767 400772
      397782 395787 391793 386793 384792 382790 378789 368800
      363803 361805 357811 352815 346819 342823 340827 339832
      344841 347843 350841 354834 356826 360821 366818 368819
      367823 364831 360840 360845 364845 369839 373833 375827
      377824 380828 381830 385830 387833 389838 392842 397841
      399837 397833 396830 397827 402822 408818 413818 413821
      412829 412833 414837 417838 419836 423838 428838 431835
      434831 438832 441834 446836 449838 451842 455846 456850
      457857 456861 459863 466866 473869 474875 476877 479877
      481875 483871 483866 482857 485849 488843 489835 488828
      486825 486818 487808 490792
 0.25 453178 454171 454164 453160 448158 444156 439156 437158
      436163 438168 439174 442177 447177 452179 453178
 0.25 434773 434769 433767 429766 425767 421770 418773 417778
      417785 418788 421789 423789 424782 427780 432778 433775
      434773
 0.25 422799 422798 421797 420796 419797 419799 420799 422799
      422799
 0.25 409031 409026 408024 405023 404024 401025 398026 396028
      395032 395036 398039 401037 403036 405035 408033 409031
 0.25 402938 401932 399927 396923 391920 384915 380913 375914
      372915 369914 367910 365909 363910 361916 361923 361926
      358927 352925 350924 348928 341932 337934 334939 333942
      333946 334951 335959 337963 347965 352967 357966 360965
      363967 365971 369981 375982 379981 384977 387972 395949
      399945 402938
 0.25 400970 401968 400966 399966 398965 397968 397970 398971
      400971 400970
 0.50 511295 506286 504281 503274 503267 505258 504250 503246
      501234 499227 497222 494221 492223 490226 490231 489236
      485238 483240 480235 478230 475225 472224 470225 468229
      463230 465226 468222 466217 462215 457215 447217 440215
      435216 430216 426217 419225 415224 412218 404212 396205
      392202 387199 382197 379196 379199 384207 401220 401224
      400226 394228 384231 385235 388239 391243 395247 402255
      413262 421263 425263 432264 438266 445266 455267 466271
      475277 492294 507304
 0.50 427748 425744 423742 419742 416744 412749 409758 408767
      405775 400790 397796 392803 388808 386811 385815 387819
      390817 396812 403799 410785 416771 417763 421756 427748
 0.50 427810 427807 427805 426805 425805 424807 422808 421810
      421811 421812 422813 423813 425813 425812 426812 427810
 0.50 388936 389932 388929 384926 380924 375927 368933 363942
      361946 359952 360956 364960 368963 371967 373971 378974
      383972 386966 386961 384955 383949 384943 388936
 0.50 348952 349949 349947 348946 347945 346945 345944 343944
      341944 339945 338947 338949 338952 339954 339956 341958
      342958 343958 345957 346956 346955 348954 348952 348952
 1.00 477238 478235 477235 476232 474232 472234 472236 472238
      472239 473240 475241 476240 477239 477238
 1.00 427244 426241 424238 422236 420234 417232 413231 410233
      410237 411240 413242 415244 418245 421246 424246 427244
 1.50 420240 420238 419237 418237 416237 417239 417240 419240
      420240

$$





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