Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162133
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
532 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 17/0000 UTC THRU SEP 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1
~~~~~

SOUTHWEST
~~~~~~~~~
AN INCREASING HEAVY RAIN/POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS EXPECTED
THIS PERIOD AS MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (PWS)
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
WITHIN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF ODILE. PW ANOMALIES OF 2-4.5
SIGMAS ABOVE THE MEAN -- NEAR RECORD VALUES FOR MID-SEPTEMBER --
ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. FROM FAR SOUTHEAST
CA, FAR SOUTHERN NV, MUCH OF AZ, SOUTHERN NM, AND WESTERNMOST TX.
AROUND 25+ KTS OF 700 HPA INFLOW (PER RECENT GUIDANCE) COULD
ORGANIZE CONVECTION NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  THE EXPECTED EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ALLOW
ANY CONVECTION WHICH BUILDS WITHIN TOPOGRAPHY ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ
AND THE MOGOLLON RIM TO MIGRATE OUTWARD TOWARDS VALLEY/DESERT
FLOORS TODAY.  DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY, THE FLOW BECOMES MORE
SOUTHERLY WHICH SHOULD CONFINE THE THREAT MORE TO THE MOGOLLON RIM
AND SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS OF AZ, POTENTIALLY LEAVING THE
DESERT/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY HIGH AND DRY.

THE BIG QUESTION -- OTHER THAN TRACK -- CONCERNS WHERE INSTABILITY
WILL MAXIMIZE EACH DAY.  SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST PLACES JUST
OUTSIDE ODILE`S OUTFLOW JET/CLOUD SHIELD NEAR THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY AND THE MOGOLLON RIM COULD BE THE MOST UNSTABLE AND
THAT RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN NM/WESTERNMOST TX COULD
BE MORE STRATIFORM OR MORE OF A LONGER DURATION FLOOD CONCERN
RATHER THAN A FLASH FLOOD CONCERN THROUGH TOMORROW.  CORE RAINFALL
FROM SOME PORTION OF ODILE`S CIRCULATION (MOST LIKELY AT 700 HPA
AND 500 HPA) IS EXPECTED TO NEAR THE AZ BORDER LATE TOMORROW.
LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 4" ARE POSSIBLE HERE WHERE A HEAVY RAIN BAND
AND/OR CONVECTIVE CELLS MERGE AND/OR TRAIN, WHICH WOULD APPROACH
ANNUAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE REGION.  THE HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS COULD RIVAL THAT OF
MONDAY SEPTEMBER 8 WHICH OCCURRED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF NORBERT,
THOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER A LONGER TIME INTERVAL.  WENT
SOMEWHAT BELOW 12Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY IN THIS REGION PER
COORDINATION WITH THE TUCSON AZ FORECAST OFFICE, WHICH WAS
WELL-SUPPORTED BY THE 00Z GEFS- AND CLIMATOLOGY-BASED QPF
REFORECAST.


MISSOURI
~~~~~~~~
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT DUE TO A STRENGTHENING WARM
AIR ADVECTION PATTERN, WITH INCREASING BUT NARROW INFLOW AT 850
HPA INTO THE REGION TOWARDS 25-30 KTS.  THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD PER CORFIDI VECTORS, NEAR WHERE THE
1000-500 HPA THICKNESS IS MOST DIFFLUENT.  THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
CAP, REPRESENTED BY 700 HPA TEMPERATURES >12C, IS SOMEWHAT REMOVED
FROM THIS REGION, LYING ACROSS WESTERN KS.  STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES
IN THE PRECIPITABLE WATER FIELD IN THIS REGION ARE LIMITED,
LURKING NEAR ONE SIGMA ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID-SEPTEMBER WITH PW
VALUES IN THE 1.50-1.75" RANGE.  AS THE SYSTEM CAUSING THIS REGIME
IS FAST-MOVING, BELIEVE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS WILL BE RATHER
LIMITED.  STAYED THE COURSE WITH 12Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY, WHICH
REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE.  LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2-3"
ARE POSSIBLE WHERE CELLS MANAGE TO MERGE AND/OR TRAIN.


CENTRAL GULF COAST/COASTAL SOUTHEAST/FLORIDA
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
EARLY THIS EVENING EVENING, LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN REMAINS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT BEFORE
WANING OVERNIGHT.  AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES -- 1.5+
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN OR NEAR 2" -- WILL EXIST IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING ALONG THE
GULF COAST INTO THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST.  WIDESPREAD SCATTERED
CONVECTION IS LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONT IN A REGION OF
ENHANCED UVVS FROM FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET
DYNAMICS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
 ISOLATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN THE PAST TWO
DAYS ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC AND GA---WITH THIS POTENTIAL
AGAIN POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL GA INTO FAR NORTHEAST FL.  ISOLATED
TOTALS OF 3-5"+ REMAIN POSSIBLE.  ON WEDNESDAY, THE BOUNDARY SLIPS
SOUTHWARD INTO FL WHICH SHOULD BECOME THE FOCUS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL.  LOCAL AMOUNTS IN FL ON WEDNESDAY IN THE 3-4"
RANGE ARE POSSIBLE WHERE CELLS MERGE AND/OR TRAIN.


DAYS 2/3...

...SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS OF TEXAS...

WIDESPREAD MODERATE-HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED BOTH DAYS ACROSS THE
REGION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE IS FORECAST TO DRIFT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CA ON WED BEFORE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER DISSIPATES
OVER SOUTHERN AZ LATE THU.  WPC QPF BLENDED THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z
UKMET QPF THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.  THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES TO
STREAK THE RAINFALL FASTER TO THE EAST AND PRODUCES BULLS EYES
OVER NM WHICH ARE LOW CONFIDENCE IN AMOUNTS/COVERAGE...SO THE GFS
QPF WAS GIVEN LESS WEIGHT.  THE 12Z NAM 700 MB LOW TRACK WAS NORTH
OF THE PREFERRED CLUSTER...SO WHILE ITS AMOUNTS MAY NOT BE TOO
BAD...THE LOCATION OF THE QPF AXIS WAS ADJUSTED SOUTH TOWARDS THE
MAJORITY LOW TRACK.
HOWEVER...THE 12Z ECMWF DOES AGREE WITH THE IDEA OF A SLIGHTLY
FASTER EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE 700 MB LOW...SO AMOUNTS ARE A
LITTLE LOWER THAN PRIOR FCSTS AS A RESULT OF THIS FASTER TREND
(SHORTER DURATION OF RAINFALL AS A RESULT).

THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN AZ INTO NM...COINCIDENT WITH THE GREATER 700 MB
CONVERGENCE AND OVERLAP WITH THE HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PWS/LOW LEVEL
DEWPOINTS.

ON DAY 3...ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH ODILE MAY
NO LONGER BE DEFINABLE...PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN...WHICH ALONG WITH AMPLE MID-UPPER FORCING WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT.  THE ECMWF INDICATES
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AMOUNTS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST
ACROSS NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE/WEST TEXAS...WITH AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT OUTLOOKED ACROSS THESE AREAS ON DAY 3.

...CENTRAL TEXAS TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

MODELS SHOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL
TX TO THE TX GULF COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH PWS INCREASING
TO AROUND 2 INCHES.  THIS MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH LOW LEVEL
CYCLONIC SHEAR AXES
AND SPORADIC LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE WITH SOME HEAVY AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TX COAST.  MANUAL PROGS BLENDED
THE 00-12Z ECMWF AND GFS QPF AMOUNTS.

...FLORIDA...

AS A COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTH ACROSS THE PENINSULA....DEEP MOISTURE
POOLING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA IS TAPED BY SPORADIC LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA IN CONJUNCTION WITH LAKE AND
SEA BREEZES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW REMAINS LIGHT SO SLOW MOVING STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS.  THIS LOOKS TO BE AN EXTENDED PERIOD WITH ENHANCED
SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY AS THE FRONT LINGERS AND DRIFTS SLOWLY.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE 12Z GFS/12Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET.

...CENTRAL PLAINS TO MID/LOWER MS VALLEY...

INCREASING WARM AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION INTERACTING WITH LOW-MID
LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW AND FRONTOGENESIS MAY PRODUCE A COUPLE OF
ROUNDS OF CONVECTION DAY 2.  MODELS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE
AXIS/ORIENTATION OF THE CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/STORMS...AND THEREFORE
FOLLOWED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH BELOW AVERAGE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA DAY 3...WITH
QPF AMOUNTS/COVERAGE DECREASING AS A RESULT.

...GREAT BASIN...
A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EAST WITH RETURN LOW LEVEL FLOW
ADVECTING MOISTURE NORTH ONSHORE INTO OR AND CA ON DAY 2 AND THEN
ACROSS CA INTO NV/UT DAY 3.  IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...AN
UPPER LEVEL JET MAX SUPPORTS UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSING CA
INTO OR DAY 2 AND THEN NV INTO UT DAY 3.  THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
TROUGH LEADS TO PERSISTENT SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN UT ON DAY 3.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE MULTI-MODEL AND SREF MEAN/00Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN QPF BOTH DAYS 2-3.

ROTH/JAMES/PETERSEN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 525722 523707 521703 518701 515698 512698 509697 505698
      499700 494706 486719 482727 480730 478724 474715 471708
      468709 467713 465719 460736 456756 453776 449777 447780
      450787 453794 455806 456820 457833 460841 461854 462878
      463883 464886 468893 473899 476908 480915 483918 484922
      487931 490936 497952 500961 505961 507965 510974 513983
      519996 526011 532017 534014 534007 533994 532990 531984
      527964 523949 519939 516930 512922 511917 510911 502875
      497853 495843 493838 493830 492820 489809 487799 488795
      488790 491767 493758 495748 497740 501735 508732 517731
      524728 525722
 0.01 511173 509166 508159 508150 506147 503146 498143 492140
      489139 490145 494149 496153 497155 502158 502168 505173
      511173
 0.01 487220 488215 488210 486209 483208 481208 478209 476209
      472211 470213 469215 470218 473219 475218 478219 481220
      483222 484221 487220
 0.01 472272 474260 473253 470248 464244 459243 453244 448245
      441243 437242 434240 430236 421228 405223 398221 393222
      387225 383230 377240 376245 377248 376253 375255 376260
      380264 394272 399274 405277 418278 425286 431292 436295
      443297 448297 452297 455296 459293 463290 466285 472272
 0.01 456140 455131 456128 456123 456112 458105 453098 452095
      448094 444093 441091 436093 429091 426089 426091 427096
      429098 431101 430106 424110 430111 444118 445123 444127
      441134 438144 439148 442149 448146 454145 456140
 0.01 409112 410103 409096 405098 404104 401108 398106 396108
      392114 388116 392114 396115 398113 405114 409112
 0.01 407031 403028 400023 397016 397009 394004 390004 388006
      385008 385013 386015 388020 391025 395030 400035 403033
      407031
 0.01 407956 407947 404942 398935 393924 390911 385897 384892
      381886 379886 377888 376893 370902 363912 356919 343936
      337938 337943 340949 339952 341959 343961 346961 350963
      355961 364955 371955 375958 379962 382968 387968 391966
      398966 401966 403964 407956
 0.01 378698 361693 353690 349692 344692 334694 328695 324698
      317703 308709 303713 298719 292723 289730 285737 278746
      271758 265766 263770 261776 259786 255795 245809 243813
      244819 245822 246829 248837 250845 253870 254881 255886
      256893 260909 261913 261919 259933 259945 254953 243966
      239972 242975 243979 245982 248984 256987 263989 266991
      266996 267007 263009 260012 260015 263017 274021 281026
      286027 290027 292025 294023 292020 290015 290012 292010
      296009 302010 306012 309015 311018 310022 304029 302032
      301037 303048 301052 298053 294054 290053 278052 271051
      268050 260049 252053 246053 244056 242064 243067 248074
      250079 254082 260087 262090 261094 260106 263117 264120
      264126 263132 267140 272149 277154 283157 291160 297161
      300160 305161 309163 320160 325163 326168 330172 335173
      338175 341179 344180 346176 349165 353162 358161 362163
      364165 369166 373163 371157 372153 371149 368146 366143
      364139 362134 362129 364126 365121 363118 356113 358107
      361105 362108 366108 368106 365101 363100 363097 366095
      367091 364087 363082 363079 365077 369076 374084 377091
      377098 379099 381088 383079 381075 380070 378066 375064
      372050 367049 363047 360046 357048 353050 348052 343050
      344044 346039 346035 343032 338025 336023 337020 338016
      338010 337004 337993 337987 336983 336977 335974 334963
      332959 332952 328943 320928 315921 308913 305909 304905
      303898 302890 302877 306884 309886 313885 316875 316869
      315864 312856 310833 309828 310823 319821 329818 330816
      333817 336819 340823 342827 345829 349829 353827 355824
      361814 367809 370806 376805 378803 379798 380793 377791
      371788 367786 365782 364778 363772 365764 367758 368753
      370743 371722 376708 378698
 0.01 347160 347158 346157 344156 343155 342155 341153 339153
      338154 337156 338159 338160 340161 341161 342163 343162
      344161 345162 347160
 0.25 494899 494894 493890 491885 489880 488871 484841 483832
      482824 481814 477799 475785 473776 472770 469765 467769
      464783 464797 464806 463813 463819 464824 469837 473845
      477858 478867 480872 485883 487897 489901 492903 494899
 0.25 443269 445264 444262 439261 432259 425258 421257 416257
      413262 416266 423270 430272 436272 441271 443269
 0.25 397952 396947 395945 393940 387929 385922 382916 376915
      371917 364926 359929 356934 354940 353943 354946 361946
      366945 370945 372946 375949 381954 386956 393954 397952
 0.25 366157 364155 363155 362157 362158 364159 366157
 0.25 352715 351711 347707 341703 336704 331706 324709 311718
      302727 285754 278766 271778 265794 261799 255804 254808
      254812 255817 253826 255830 258832 259840 258851 258860
      260869 265883 271896 276940 276947 273954 266968 268975
      270978 272980 275979 281976 291975 300976 305976 308975
      312969 315962 314952 311942 306935 301930 297925 295922
      294917 293909 293901 294889 294879 293856 294840 294828
      294824 296821 303817 309811 322802 331793 335792 339794
      345797 350798 353794 354789 353783 351779 351773 354765
      353759 348753 346746 345736 352715
 0.25 356122 355117 352113 350109 348104 347095 346085 345078
      344073 340065 340054 335047 332044 326043 321044 317045
      312051 312060 302061 298062 292061 283061 275065 266062
      263061 257061 254061 253065 257071 264077 267079 273079
      283081 288082 292085 292090 289093 285095 282098 281103
      278106 277112 278117 277121 274124 273130 273137 276145
      280151 285153 289154 300156 308156 315152 326139 333134
      340132 347133 351134 353132 354126 356122
 0.25 275987 276984 275984 274982 273981 272980 270982 269984
      269986 269988 270990 271993 272993 273991 274991 275989
      275988 275987
 0.50 390949 389943 387936 384929 382925 377921 371923 369929
      367936 372938 376943 379947 384950 388951 390949
 0.50 354120 349112 347109 345103 342085 342077 340073 334067
      333064 335060 336056 334053 329051 324050 320051 318054
      317059 319063 319067 317069 306067 295066 287068 287070
      285072 275070 266068 262068 263071 269076 281078 290079
      296085 297088 296092 293097 289098 286101 284107 281114
      280120 278124 276129 276133 278143 279146 282149 286151
      292152 304154 309154 312152 316145 320136 326127 332123
      342123 348127 349124 351122 354120
 0.50 346719 346715 344712 340711 329714 320719 315720 312723
      304732 299741 294749 289757 283766 280775 279780 276785
      272793 258807 257810 258813 259818 261824 264827 262854
      263867 265872 268876 276882 280884 283883 284881 285875
      286870 289860 289854 289846 290833 289828 287825 286821
      287819 290816 297813 301811 307803 314797 316792 316789
      314786 305780 304778 306772 308763 313753 318750 324749
      333754 335754 337749 336742 338736 340731 344727 346719
 0.50 307954 306945 301940 299939 296940 290945 288952 284958
      281964 286964 292964 301963 305958 307954
 1.00 377931 376929 375929 373928 373929 373930 374931 375934
      377931
 1.00 346114 346113 345112 344111 342110 342111 342112 343114
      344114 345114 346114
 1.00 340104 341099 340094 339087 338081 335075 332074 328073
      323078 323083 323086 319084 310076 305074 300075 298077
      297081 301085 309092 309096 306097 301100 296102 293106
      285116 282124 280128 278132 279136 281143 284147 290149
      299151 307152 311149 314144 314134 318127 321121 322116
      321107 322102 325098 329096 331099 331102 333106 337106
      340104
 1.00 299798 299792 298788 296783 293782 291784 289789 287791
      286796 286802 289804 293805 296804 299800 299798
 1.00 296765 295763 295762 295763 294763 293765 292767 292769
      292771 293772 294771 295769 295767 296765 296765
 1.00 278805 278803 276801 275801 274801 272801 270801 269802
      268802 267803 266804 265805 264806 265808 265810 267810
      269810 271809 273809 274808 276807 278805 278805
 1.00 279834 278829 275826 272826 271832 270837 269841 269847
      270853 271857 274855 276851 277846 278842 278836 279834
 1.50 337091 337089 336086 336084 336083 335082 334080 334079
      332079 330079 329080 328081 328083 328084 330086 332088
      333089 334090 335091 337091 337091
 1.50 318118 318111 315106 310104 304105 295110 290113 287117
      282128 280132 280137 282141 286146 292148 303150 309148
      311143 312136 313131 316124 318118
 1.50 320095 320093 319091 318091 317089 316090 316092 316094
      317095 318095 320095 320095
 2.00 316122 316115 315112 311109 308110 304111 294113 290116
      287120 282130 281135 282139 285144 290146 295148 301149
      306148 309145 311135 315123 316122
 3.00 312126 313121 312118 305117 298115 294120 290121 289125
      285132 283136 284139 289144 298147 305146 308142 308139
      309132 312126
 4.00 310126 307121 301120 297122 295126 296130 297137 290136
      286136 286138 289142 296145 304145 306140 308132 310126
 5.00 305134 306132 306130 306127 304126 304125 302124 301123
      299124 300127 301129 302130 303131 303133 304134 305134
      305134

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 538205 538191 537185 534180 531171 530166 527162 523153
      519151 516150 510151 505150 501150 498159 495161 491165
      489172 491183 494194 493201 490204 482206 474209 470210
      467214 462213 457214 451212 447209 443203 434202 429201
      426197 427184 426181 426176 429173 430173 440169 448166
      450169 449173 448180 450183 454179 456174 457167 458159
      460155 465148 466144 467137 468122 473111 472106 470102
      464096 459088 455078 451075 447072 445070 441072 442076
      445080 447085 443089 435091 431093 426094 423098 419100
      414100 411098 403099 396103 390109 384116 375120 371121
      369121 367119 363113 359105 358102 359099 361095 364092
      366087 362075 369055 366046 362038 353020 347013 342008
      337999 334995 333990 335982 336977 342976 350974 353970
      357969 361970 367971 376977 390988 396995 402003 408007
      411010 416010 423007 432009 434006 433001 428992 423985
      419977 417973 414968 412955 411949 409945 404935 393925
      388918 384909 377901 369895 362891 352888 345885 340884
      336886 334889 333894 331897 327899 323897 319894 313888
      303869 294868 286868 282867 278864 277852 277839 277833
      277829 280828 287823 292816 295811 299809 302809 304812
      305819 310822 320821 335811 342805 348796 353789 356788
      359790 362794 364796 363798 360803 356806 351813 348820
      347824 349827 354826 358821 361813 368806 377792 376787
      374781 370777 368775 368771 369766 368760 371749 379735
      383727 385722 385717 382702 383697 382689 377680 374677
      369677 365676 360677 347680 338682 330687 322693 315700
      303713 294717 287723 281729 273737 268742 261749 255763
      251772 248780
 0.01 248780 243793 240804 238820 237832 239850 242862 246877
      248884 249893 252908 256920 257930 256935 255938 255956
      255964 256970 257978 261984 265987 270991 274997 276003
      275008 273009 269011 267009 260008 255004 247998 243003
      242010 246014 251016 257019 263023 272030 270037 266042
      254041 248043 244046 241052 235057 236063 236066 238068
      243072 246076 254077 263080 273086 278090 280091 280094
      274095 274103 276105 276109 275117 277124 280130 283135
      288140 301145 305147 312145 317142 322137 326132 329128
      332126 334128 334137 336139 339140 344136 355133 361134
      365135 368138 375139 377142 378147 379154 382161 385166
      390170 392173 389173 385177 383180 383182 392184 395181
      396174 395172 397171 400171 407173 421178 425184 423194
      419198 414198 411199 408203 405204 401203 388198 384198
      383201 383207 385208 389213 391215 390217 389221 386223
      379221 375220 372222 374230 376237 380243 387252 396263
      404272 409277 414282 423290 429295 438298 445301 451300
      457299 460295 468283 471277 476271 480267 485265 492267
      495270 496273 499279 503284 506286 509286 513278 515269
      518258 520250 520241 519232 517223 517215 521217 523219
      525222 528224 531225 532222 536213 538205
 0.01 503663 502652 500645 493632 488629 483630 480633 476638
      474646 472651 467663 465666 461667 455669 449672 446675
      445678 445681 451679 459677 462679 462684 461690 458697
      454702 450706 443714 445719 444725 442727 435736 429747
      427753 426759 425763 425768 426777 428786 429783 433771
      436756 441744 442735 446730 450727 454725 450756 451774
      452792 453802 455808 456813 457815 461814 464809 466803
      471789 473783 475778 478770 481764 484751 487737 488722
      489714 492707 495700 497694 500682 502671 503663
 0.01 511973 511967 509965 504962 498959 491958 485957 481959
      476964 476972 478974 482975 487973 491973 494976 493987
      494997 495002 496005 498015 499018 501018 505014 505003
      505998 504994 504983 511973
 0.01 478223 477223 476221 474220 473220 471221 472223 474224
      476224 477223 478223
 0.01 436143 435141 435136 434133 431131 429133 427134 426139
      426143 425148 424153 427155 429154 432152 434150 435145
      436143
 0.25 526198 526193 525190 524187 523184 521183 518182 514181
      512181 512185 514188 515190 517193 519195 521198 522200
      525201 526198
 0.25 512252 511246 507240 503236 500232 497224 496222 494223
      496226 495229 498235 495246 491248 486244 477237 473240
      472244 474247 479249 485251 491255 494259 497262 501262
      505258 512252
 0.25 486666 485662 482659 479659 477661 473670 473680 473690
      472699 469708 468717 466726 464735 464745 465751 467752
      470746 472736 473726 475717 478699 484684 486676 486666
 0.25 453270 455266 454263 454256 452245 441229 444226 446224
      445220 440219 436221 430226 429229 427229 425227 408217
      399212 396212 399216 402221 401226 399232 397234 396239
      399243 403247 405250 405257 408260 415263 431272 441273
      450271 453270
 0.25 414146 414145 413143 412143 411143 410143 409143 407145
      405147 403149 402151 401153 402154 404155 406155 407155
      409154 411152 412151 412150 413148 414147 414146
 0.25 406979 406972 405966 403956 401947 397940 386924 376911
      371905 365901 358897 352897 346898 339902 336905 334909
      333915 330917 326917 323919 318926 315929 312927 302916
      283887 273876 270870 269860 269850 270837 272818 287789
      292782 296775 305759 309752 314745 321742 329739 334738
      338738 340742 339746 332760 331767 334769 336768 340765
      344760 349753 352746 353742 352738 345734 343728 344722
      350706 352701 352698 350697 341700 325708 318712 311717
      266763 259770 256776 254787 254792 252796 248801 245809
      245819 245829 247840 250851 251862 253869 255889 258899
      260907 263915 265924 268934 269945 269955 268965 268970
      269974 274980 279988 280990 283990 284993 288999 290003
      293006 305015 308018 306023 300031 295035 293040 294044
      297052 299056 299059 296062 291063 285063 280061 274057
      271054 268054 266058 268061 274067 280071 283073 288073
      296073 299076 301079 301083 299087 293095 288102 285109
      285114 286119 288124 290128 294134 300138 305139 308138
      315133 327122 333117 340115 343112 345108 345101 347094
      350086 351081 350075 349067 352059 353053 351048 347040
      343032 339026 334018 329014 323008 322995 321975 320963
      321949 322945 327944 335945 339945 343943 345943 347947
      352954 356958 359961 373967 387974 397981 403982 406979
 0.50 483667 483666 481667 479668 478668 478671 478673 478676
      479677 481676 481675 482672 483669 483668 483667
 0.50 444260 442257 438254 433251 432246 430246 427249 428255
      425257 425261 429264 434265 438265 442263 444260
 0.50 395961 396955 396949 393941 385929 375918 366907 364905
      360904 355904 351905 346910 346918 349925 352933 354941
      357947 363952 370956 375960 381963 389965 394963 395961
 0.50 344092 345084 345077 345061 346053 344047 339036 331030
      325029 321030 317034 315039 315052 314059 312066 309069
      307075 306087 299095 296098 293104 291110 291115 292121
      296125 305131 316128 324122 339106 342099 344092
 0.50 329720 327718 322721 312725 309726 305730 299737 287751
      274764 264780 263783 262786 263789 270795 275793 278790
      284783 290776 295769 303753 313736 327723 329720
 0.50 317992 317985 316978 312969 310961 309955 305944 301933
      296922 286902 277898 272895 268898 268914 270928 272941
      276954 279965 283976 292995 299004 303007 309009 313007
      316001 317992
 0.50 308043 308041 308038 308036 308035 307034 306034 304033
      303034 301035 300036 299037 298038 297039 297040 297042
      298044 298045 300045 302045 304045 305045 306045 307043
      308043
 0.50 266810 265805 263801 259800 254801 251804 250808 249812
      249818 250830 250837 251842 253846 256849 260851 262848
      263837 263827 265817 266810
 1.00 385949 385947 384945 384944 383943 382942 381940 380940
      379940 377940 377943 378945 379946 379947 380948 382949
      382950 384950 385949
 1.00 339093 340083 340074 339067 335062 331061 328062 323065
      315075 311090 303101 300107 299111 300116 302121 304123
      308125 315124 319121 325116 329111 332106 336099 339093
 1.00 310992 309984 306979 303972 301969 301964 299948 297941
      294935 285928 281927 280928 279935 280942 283948 292956
      295963 295968 295978 297985 304995 307996 309994 310992
 1.50 335091 336079 336074 334069 330069 326071 322075 319080
      315090 310099 308104 306110 307116 310120 315119 319117
      326110 330101 335091
 2.00 329096 331091 331086 330077 327077 325079 321087 317092
      313099 311107 311111 313114 316114 320112 324108 328100
      329096
 3.00 324098 324096 324095 323093 322093 321093 320094 319095
      318096 318097 317099 317101 316103 317105 318106 319106
      320104 321103 322102 323100 323099 324098


24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 537213 538207 539200 537191 534182 530175 527168 525165
      521164 515164 512157 505156 502157 501162 493176 500191
      505190 507200 513204 516211 518215 521217 528216 532217
      534216 537213
 0.01 551906 551879 550852 548840 546831 539813 538799 535791
      534786 531783 527779 524777 519778 516779 513781 506786
      501792 491802 485806 480812 460834 451845 446851 442857
      438865 435873 433883 433895 433901 430904 426907 422909
      417910 409910 395906 392907 391912 391922 387927 385930
      386935 390951 391954 394956 396959 400959 403956 405952
      405940 402933 406931 410931 414931 419933 426933 427935
      427938 427944 428955 428961 429966 430971 433976 438979
      444983 447991 451996 453998 457999 464998 470990 472987
      474982 477980 479982 485985 493998 498003 504006 513007
      519002 523996 526989 528984 528978 529966 530954 535947
      541942 545936 550922 550911 551906
 0.01 516275 518268 519259 519251 518245 512238 512231 509227
      503219 498208 495206 490206 480204 472206 468210 468216
      469221 472224 476224 482225 492229 495233 496239 500249
      501251 500255 496252 492250 490252 491257 492264 495275
      497281 501283 506284 509284 512281 515276 516275
 0.01 488252 488247 486244 485242 482240 480238 477237 475237
      473239 472244 473247 475250 477252 478254 481256 485256
      486254 488252
 0.01 485148 484143 485136 484130 481127 478128 474130 472133
      470138 472142 474146 477149 481151 484149 485148
 0.01 464149 465144 463143 460143 458145 455149 451156 449162
      445167 442171 444176 449175 454176 457170 459167 459163
      461153 464149
 0.01 452223 451217 447218 441217 436218 427220 418222 414219
      408217 404218 406222 406229 411231 416230 420231 426230
      431234 433236 436233 444228 448226 452223
 0.01 467078 466067 464060 463056 462055 458054 454061 452063
      447065 439064 435061 433059 430053 429049 426041 424037
      421034 406027 395016 390010 382004 375999 368995 361992
      355990 348986 343980 334969 328962 323958 317951 314947
      313944 313941 313929 312918 310911 305903 302893 298886
      290874 289871 289868 291867 295870 297874 301880 305884
      309886 311885 316879 318875 318870 317858 314850 310837
      312833 315830 320824 324817 328810 334797 353771 355764
      357756 358752 357749 352744 346738 342737 338738 328744
      321749 313753 307757 300761 291763 288765 284766 276768
      258774 240780 239784 239790 237799 236809 236819 238840
      241882 242890 243902 243907 245911 246920 248929 249938
      249960 249971 251975 251979 243983 240985 240992 240997
      241001 244009 247014 250016 254017 258019 260019 261022
      264027 267031 266035 260035 258037 254042 254053 258058
      264063 273066 278072 281074 286076 292079 295082 298083
      294085 288084 285085 284089 285091 289096 292104 294111
      296119 304123 306123 308120 312119 313124 313131 319145
      320149 321148 325148 329146 335141 340135 339131 339124
      343122 344117 345106 346102 348106 350112 357113 359112
      360114 362118 366120 368123 366126 365135 368137 369140
      374142 377141 384138 387134 391133 395144 398147 401149
      402152 401155 398159 392163 392168 395168 401167 408164
      421156 428142 431137 435136 442142 446143 449141 453137
      454132 454122 459116 461113 463108 464105 464102 462097
      461091 462084 467078
 0.01 442081 442079 441077 439075 438076 438079 437081 439082
      440083 442081
 0.01 394209 394207 394206 392204 390203 389201 387200 386198
      384198 383200 383202 383203 385205 386206 388208 390209
      391209 393210 394209
 0.01 391103 392100 392098 390096 389095 387093 386095 385097
      386099 387100 388102 390104 391103
 0.01 373111 373107 372104 372098 374093 374089 371084 370080
      367080 365081 364085 368086 368088 367095 363101 363105
      364108 365112 369113 373111
 0.25 530202 528196 526190 523184 519180 514176 512174 509175
      508180 509185 512189 516194 520199 523205 526206 529205
      530202
 0.25 513266 514261 512255 509252 506250 506257 509262 509265
      505267 502270 502273 503275 507277 509275 511271 513266
 0.25 528828 527822 525818 519814 517808 513805 509806 506810
      502818 499827 491848 488856 482862 476867 467871 459874
      453880 448887 443895 441900 440906 441918 445929 448940
      450949 452954 455958 459961 462959 469952 474947 482944
      485946 486950 489954 493957 502959 508962 512962 515959
      517955 518948 520941 520935 522924 521897 520892 521887
      521879 520875 519869 519865 523854 527841 528828
 0.25 437110 437109 435107 434106 432105 430105 428104 427104
      425103 423104 422105 423106 423107 424110 426109 428110
      429111 429113 429114 431115 433115 434114 435114 436112
      437111 437110
 0.25 418125 419120 418116 419111 421107 420103 417099 412095
      408095 405098 403107 398112 396115 395119 400125 401132
      405134 410134 415130 418125
 0.25 376051 374041 376032 374026 372023 368016 366012 362009
      355004 338997 331993 324989 317984 314981 312977 308969
      305959 303947 303937 301926 299917 296906 293899 285883
      281874 277863 276852 276843 277832 276823 273812 273806
      274802 273798 268794 260792 254792 251794 248797 246801
      245809 246821 251840 252845 253852 252863 251873 251884
      252897 254905 256914 259922 263931 265943 264954 263963
      261969 262976 264983 266987 269991 276996 282002 286005
      289007 295007 298005 302002 305005 307009 308013 308019
      306024 303027 301031 297035 293037 289039 287044 287051
      298053 301055 304058 308066 313073 319079 324086 321106
      326112 328114 332114 335111 337106 342100 354089 364072
      371061 375055 376051
 0.25 317783 315781 312782 307788 303793 299799 296801 294804
      292806 295809 302810 307808 311803 314796 315787 317783
 0.25 280053 280052 279051 278050 276049 274049 272048 271048
      269049 267050 266052 267053 267054 268055 270055 272056
      274055 276055 277055 279053 280053
 0.50 512931 512922 508916 504911 502907 501903 503897 506888
      506879 504872 501871 499874 496883 490896 485899 482904
      480907 477909 479916 482922 486929 491932 497933 503934
      509937 511934 512931
 0.50 403118 403116 401115 401116 400118 401118 403118 403118
 0.50 369052 369041 369034 368028 364021 359014 351010 342011
      331011 327013 325016 323028 317033 315037 313043 316054
      314060 314066 316070 320073 326078 332084 335088 338090
      343090 348088 353082 357073 362067 366058 369052
 0.50 301983 302977 301971 300961 297939 295929 293919 290910
      286901 278885 274877 270867 267858 266848 267838 269833
      268827 267820 266817 266807 266800 262797 257798 254800
      251809 251816 252826 255836 256848 257859 258885 262904
      265915 269923 272931 273942 272954 272962 271966 270970
      271974 277980 279983 283985 286987 292989 294990 297989
      301983
 1.00 358053 358042 358039 355036 348037 342041 337047 338052
      339055 341064 342068 344072 346072 347070 353064 356058
      358053
 1.00 329051 327051 326051 327052 329053 329051
 1.00 321046 320044 318043 318044 320046 321046
 1.00 291962 292960 291958 291956 290955 289954 288953 287953
      285954 284956 283958 283960 283962 285964 286965 288965
      290964 291962

$$





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