Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180844
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
444 AM EDT SUN JUN 18 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 18/1200 UTC THRU JUN 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...GT LAKES/NE SWWD THROUGH THE OH/TN VALLEYS..LOWER MS
VALLEY..AND SRN PLAINS...

THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
ACRS THE NRN/MID MS VALLEY AS STG JET HELPS CARVE OUT AN
AMPLIFYING UPPER TROF ACRS THIS REGION THROUGH THE GT LAKES
THROUGH MON MORNING.  BACKING MID/UPPER FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROF
WILL ALLOW DEEP MSTR WITH PWS APCHG 2 INCHES TO STREAM NEWD AHEAD
OF ASSOCD COLD FRONT THAT WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS EWD INTO NY STATE
SUN NIGHT WHILE TRAILING PORTION SLOWS ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF THE
STRONGER WLYS NEAR THE RED RIVER ACRS THE SRN PLAINS.  THE BACKING
FLOW AND AMPLIFYING RT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN ASSOCD UPPER JET EAST
OF THE TROF WILL GRADUALLY ENHANCE BROADER SCALE ASCENT ALONG THE
FRONT FROM THE TN/OH VALLEY NEWD INTO ERN PORTIONS OF NEW
ENGLAND..WHICH ALONG WITH EXPECTED DECENT WARM SECTOR INSTABILITY
WILL SUPPORT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MDT TO HEAVY RAIN RATES ALONG THE
FRONT AS IT MAKES ITS WAY SLOWLY EWD SUN/SUN NIGHT..ESPECIALLY
DURING PEAK HEATING.  WITH THE MID/UPR FLOW BECOMING MORE ALIGNED
WITH THE FRONT/PREFRONTAL CONVECTION...POTNL WILL EXIST FOR SOME
TRAINING ELEMENTS THAT COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN SPOTS. WITH
EVEN HIER INSTABILITIES AND DEEPER MSTR FOCUSED FARTHER SOUTH
THROUGH NORTHERN PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AHEAD OF POTNL MCVS
TRACKING ESEWD FROM SAT NIGHT CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF ERN
KS/MO..EXPECT STORMS TO REFIRE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES ON SUN
LEADING TO MDT TO HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS.  FARTHER WEST ALONG THE
TRAILING PORTION OF THE FRONT...HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS ARE ALSO
LIKELY TO REFIRE ALONG THE BNDRY LATE SUN/SUN NIGHT AS SUFFICIENT
HEATING/INSTABILITY AND POOLING OF MSTR HELPS BREAK CAP ACRS
PORTIONS OF NE TX/SE OK.  PATRN HERE IS SUGGESTIVE OF POTNL BACK
BUILDING OF CONVECTION SUN NIGHT ALONG THE FRONT ALONG WITH PSBL
MCS DVLPMENT AS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY FORM UNDER ANTICYCLONIC EWD
EXTENSION OF UPPER RIDGE AXIS.  WHILE THERE IS SOME DECENT SPREAD
IN THE 00Z HI RES GUIDANCE AS TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIER
RAINS ACRS NE TX/SE OK...ALL SHOW A STG SIGNAL FOR POTNL HEAVY
RAIN THREAT ACRS THAT AREA SUN NIGHT WITH LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES.  MANUAL QPF KEPT MAXIMUM AREAL AVG AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 1 TO 1.5 INCHES GIVEN THE MODEST MODEL SPREAD.

ACRS THE GT LAKES...MDTLY HEAVY RAINS AREA LIKELY FIRST HALF OF PD
AS DEEPENING LOW PRES MOVES NEWD THRU THE U.P. OF MI.  THERE IS
DECENT MODEL CLUSTERING HERE FOR .50 TO 1+" AMOUNTS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE U.P. OF MI WHICH WAS GENLY FOLLOWED.


...SOUTH TO CENTRAL FLORIDA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL HELP ADVECT 2.00 TO
2.25"+ PW VALUES NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL TO SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
PERIOD.  INCREASING SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THIS ABOVE AVERAGE---2 TO 3
STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE THE MEAN PW AXIS--- WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY
HEAVY TOTALS TO LARGE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL FLORIDA.



DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EAST COAST...

MONDAY WILL BE ANOTHER ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY ALONG/AHEAD OF AN
EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT. PWAT VALUES GENERALLY AT AND ABOVE
1.8" (NEAR AND ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE) SUPPORTS
HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW AND MEAN WINDS PARALLEL
TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SUPPORT CELL MERGERS AND SHORT TERM
TRAINING. COMBINE THESE TWO FACTORS AND LIKELY TO HAVE SOME
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH SOME FLASH FLOOD ISSUES
DEVELOPING. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT WILL CAP THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT...BUT LOCALIZED 2-4" AMOUNTS ALONG THE
FRONT SUPPORTS THE CONTINUATION OF A MARGINAL RISK ALONG THE
EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE AXIS. IN ADDITION WILL UPGRADE PORTIONS OF
NEW ENGLAND...NY/NJ/FAR EASTERN PA...DE AND NORTHERN MD TO A
SLIGHT RISK. THE GREATEST SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL BE ALONG THIS
CORRIDOR AHEAD OF SHORTWAVES WITHIN THE APPROACHING LONGWAVE
TROUGH AND IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET. THIS MAY
ALLOW FOR A CORRIDOR OF INCREASED CELL MERGERS...RESULTING IN
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED 2-4" AMOUNTS FALLING IN A SPAN OF ONLY A
COUPLE HOURS. WHILE SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVENESS OF THE FRONT...THESE AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO AT LEAST RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE EXCEEDANCE. GENERALLY PREFERRED TO LEAN A BIT MORE
TOWARDS THE SLIGHTLY QUICKER HRW ARW AND ARW2 FOR TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION ON MONDAY.

LOCALIZED HEAVY AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT
AS WELL. CONSIDERED EXTENDING THE SLIGHT RISK SOUTH INTO VA...BUT
SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW THE TERRAIN MAY IMPACT THE CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION. ALSO MUCH OF THE AREA HAS SEEN PRETTY DRY ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS...SO WILL JUST STICK WITH THE MARGINAL FOR NOW. LIKELY
THAT THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS UNDER DOING QPF ACROSS THE TN VALLEY
INTO THE SOUTHEAST. AS EVEN THOUGH THESE AREAS WILL BE DISPLACED
FROM THE STRONGEST FORCING...AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
EXIST FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION. TENDED TO LEAN TOWARDS THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS SHOWN BY THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE ACROSS THIS AREA.

THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL OUT ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST ON
TUESDAY. SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE STALLED
FRONT...WITH WPC LEANING MORE TOWARDS THE ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTION.
WITH PWAT VALUES ABOVE 2" AND THE STALLED BOUNDARY HELPING TO
FOCUS CONVECTION...HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN SC/NC. SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT
LOCATION OF THE FRONT AND WHETHER AN EVENTUAL EXHAUSTION OF
INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE INTENSITY. THUS FOR NOW WILL GO
WITH A MARGINAL RISK...BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF NEEDING TO UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK DEPENDING ON
TRENDS.

...GULF COAST...

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF
COAST LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. MEANWHILE EYES WILL ALSO BE ON A
POTENTIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE GULF. MODEL
SPREAD REMAINS HIGH WITH THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM...WITH
CONFIDENCE REMAINING LOW. STILL WOULD APPEAR THAT THE GFS/CMC ARE
TOO AGGRESSIVE IN MOVING THE SYSTEM NORTH THROUGH THE GULF. THE
NEW 0Z ECMWF DID TREND NORTHEAST HOWEVER AND NOW BRINGS SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BY LATER TUESDAY. GIVEN THAT
THE SYSTEM HAS YET TO FORM...THE LARGE SPREAD...AND LACK OF RUN TO
RUN CONTINUITY...HESITANT TO MAKE BIG ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST
AT THIS TIME. WPC QPF THUS GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE
NAM/ECMWF/UKMET AND ENSEMBLE MEANS...WHICH SPREADS OUT MAINLY
LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS ALONG THE GULF COAST. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WILL
NOT ISSUE ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS ON DAYS 2 OR 3. RECENT
TRENDS WOULD SUGGESTS THAT THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT COULD BE
INCREASING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...HOWEVER WOULD LIKE TO
SEE SOME MODEL CONTINUITY AND A CONVERGENCE OF SOLUTIONS BEFORE
GETTING TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH OUR QPF FORECAST. THOSE ALONG THE GULF
COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 521261 520258 518258 515253 510242 504229 500219 494214
      488212 482211 478213 495229 499244 498248 496247 493243
      491240 488238 485243 481240 478235 476234 474238 473244
      478254 490277 492292 495298 499301 505300 509295 512292
      515285 518270 519263 521261
 0.01 532787 531782 529774 525758 524740 521718 520710 519704
      517689 517682 516679 512662 503648 500644 498646 488649
      484656 481665 477673 472679 465687 462692 458696 452703
      447707 440711 433716 427722 421729 418733 414736 408741
      405743 402748 400752 396755 388760 381766 380768 380774
      377778 374781 369784 363787 359788 358779 357777 354777
      350780 347785 344787 341786 338782 347767 353760 361754
      367748 373742 385731 392724 397717 399714 398708 393703
      388704 383707 378709 373713 363719 354726 341738 334744
      327750 322754 316759 305771 298776 292780 283785 270786
      258788 244790 239793 235797 230806 231818 232822 234826
      237834 241844 244852 247858 253865 259869 267873 270874
      275874 281873 285871 290866 294864 297859 300855 300851
      302848 301845 304842 306845 306850 305856 303861 296876
      285893 282900 280903 280909 281915 282920 284923 288924
      303931 309928 313925 315924 317926 317957 317972 319986
      325007 327010 333010 335008 337002 343984 348985 354978
      369949 372945 371936 370919 369907 377898 391887 400870
      416863 419861 425860 429862 431864 430869 429873 428877
      428884 427890 427900 433905 439912 447921 455928 464935
      470939 477945 477956 477964 477968 475971 469967 464962
      455947 450940 444934 429926 426926 423932 420938 422944
      426954 430961 433966 438973 443978 450986 457991 469002
      475009 481017 486023 491030 498045 506064
 0.01 506064 509071 512073 515069 517062 519051 520040 520034
      518025 512011 507001 502995 498989 492977 489969 489965
      488961 488956 490952 491952 492947 495933 494924 493922
      492916 491906 490896 490887 490881 491879 496873 502870
      507868 512866 516864 520863 522862 523858 526844 529836
      530827 531820 530809 530800 531795 532787
 0.01 387203 388198 385195 381192 378189 375186 372183 366182
      364184 365189 368192 372195 375197 380199 383202 387204
      387203
 0.01 331833 328832 326834 322836 321836 317837 315837 312836
      310839 312843 314844 318845 321843 323841 325840 327837
      329835 331833
 0.01 329805 324804 321801 318801 317802 313805 309806 306809
      303812 308814 313813 319812 322810 325809 327807 329805
 0.01 289852 288845 286841 280841 275841 264842 255842 251840
      248839 247841 252848 257854 262861 268867 274866 277865
      281862 284858 289852
 0.25 509283 507277 506273 503268 500265 498260 495257 492256
      491258 492264 494269 496273 498279 501282 504284 507284
      509283
 0.25 518798 518786 517780 515777 504770 501765 499760 500744
      506717 507700 506685 504677 500670 496668 493671 488676
      480685 473695 467704 463708 458713 455716 449718 445720
      440725 432735 424748 416757 414758 412755 409755 407756
      403761 401766 400769 401773 405772 406773 405775 399783
      394791 390797 384802 374808 367817 360826 357835 352844
      349849 341851 337852 331850 327851 324853 318857 315862
      315866 319867 326866 332863 337861 339860 340863 339869
      335873 331877 325879 320881 316886 314889 314893 315896
      325903 328910 329914 328920 325933 323948 323955 323961
      325968 327974 329978 333981 336981 338980 342976 348962
      353959 359953 360937 361922 363909 364903 367898 369894
      373888 381881 389870 396855 402844 408835 420820 426811
      428808 428803 428798 430795 434791 437788 439790 437798
      436802 437809 436817 437826 440831 446833 450833 452840
      451856 450865 451875 453882 455889 456891 460893 463893
      465891 468885 473878 477875 481870 490863 497858 503849
      510837 514825 518810 518798
 0.25 376728 375724 374723 369725 362730 356735 349741 343748
      338754 339758 344757 351753 357747 364741 370734 376728
 0.25 310907 311903 309899 308899 306899 304901 302904 301907
      300910 299914 301918 303919 306918 308916 308913 310909
      310907
 0.25 305827 304824 302824 299823 294818 288814 284808 280801
      275798 262794 253796 248798 242804 241811 241817 242821
      246821 261825 267829 274829 284828 291829 300829 305827
 0.50 512804 511798 510796 507796 500793 497791 492792 487796
      478802 474808 467826 461847 459860 458871 460877 464876
      469870 478865 484860 492856 497850 506833 509822 511812
      512804
 0.50 501705 501696 499687 498684 496682 493682 484687 477694
      468712 458726 454728 449727 446725 444727 440731 429748
      424755 419764 411778 363836 358846 353858 348866 343873
      339879 335887 333892 329895 329900 331904 333918 329931
      327943 325955 327964 328969 330973 332976 335977 339976
      341973 343967 344961 348958 353956 356954 356951 356943
      355939 354932 353927 365891 370880 374877 378872 390858
      406827 414818 420808 428789 433781 437772 445756 451747
      454745 456752 452762 449773 448782 449795 450800 455803
      459802 463799 470790 473785 475778 483758 490743 494734
      498722 500712 501705
 0.50 332856 332854 331853 329853 327854 326855 324857 323857
      322859 322860 323862 324862 326861 328861 329860 331859
      331858 332856
 0.50 286823 283819 279817 269812 263805 260801 255800 251800
      247802 244807 243811 244817 248816 253816 257818 266823
      270825 275826 281826 285824 286823
 0.50 272801 270801 268801 267802 266802 267802 268803 270803
      272802 272801
 1.00 489709 489702 488698 485698 483700 478711 473725 469738
      469747 467752 466760 466765 467769 467775 470774 473769
      476755 480744 485730 487716 489709
 1.00 496835 497825 495817 490813 487812 484813 481818 478823
      475830 475837 477845 479847 481847 485848 488847 492843
      495837 496835
 1.00 474855 474853 473851 473850 471849 470848 468849 468851
      467853 468856 468858 469858 470860 472859 473858 474857
      474855
 1.00 439745 438743 435747 430753 422766 413783 404793 392807
      388813 382817 376824 372831 368837 366845 369844 373841
      377835 386822 398810 408800 414793 416790 418789 418792
      412807 408816 412814 414812 421797 426788 427780 425779
      423781 420785 420780 425770 429764 430767 432765 436758
      437749 439745
 1.00 419787 420785 419785 418785 419787 419787
 1.00 394844 393840 392840 391842 389845 387847 386850 385852
      383855 382858 381861 382861 385859 387858 389856 390854
      392850 393847 394844
 1.00 360887 360879 359872 359863 360860 358858 353867 348875
      342884 340890 339895 337908 340914 342917 346914 349910
      353900 358892 360887
 1.00 341954 341950 340947 338945 336944 332945 331947 330952
      330956 331960 332962 334965 337965 339963 340960 341956
      341954
 1.50 355885 354882 352880 349881 347883 346886 345888 344893
      344897 346900 348899 350897 352894 353892 354888 355885

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 519015 518002 515988 512974 511969 509964 500961 493955
      492949 491945 489940 487938 484934 480932 473927 473917
      473908 472902 468877 466866 467860 467853 462847 458844
      454831 452827 450821 452795 452791 452784 449775 448770
      449765 451758 451753 451747 453743 458736 469730 476723
      481717 488709 491706 493702 494696 491690 486682 486675
      488669 489665 488662 486655 484653 480655 475657 471659
      469655 457635 454633 451636 446643 440650 438654 434659
      422671 416677 408685 392699 370723 365729 359734 355738
      351741 345736 341733 338735 333741 320756 314763 307770
      303774 299777 290782 283787 277788 273790 254792 244795
      238801 238811 239820 241825 243828 247833 250835 254838
      257842 263850 267857 268872 268879 270885 270898 271905
      272909 273922 275932 275942 279939 285933 288931 292931
      299935 307940 313947 313950 312953 310958 309971 308981
      310992 309997 309001 305001 302004 303009 304012 307013
      311012 313013 314015 319023 321027 321034 322040 320045
      318049 319054 322057 326058 332058 336057 339057 341059
      344061 347064 350062 350057 347052 344045 342041 341037
      342035 345032 346030 345028 338021 335019 332014 327008
      331000 334995 337994 344993 343982 343976 342972 343959
      344951 345947 346933 348919 350909 352899 354890 359879
      369860 372854 377847 380843 382841 385842 387841 388837
      390832 392829 399823 403833 400844 395854 393859 392864
      391870 391876 398883 393890 391895 392899 394902 399905
      403908 404910 402913 399917 400922 403932 409936 416939
      442962 445966 448968 451968 455970 464967 467973 463976
      459981 464989
 0.01 464989 467994 470999 473004 476009 480014 486015 493016
      495018 498019 504019 508019 509018 516017 519015
 0.01 435778 434775 432777 431778 432780 434779 435778
 0.01 430795 430793 428791 427793 427796 429797 430795
 0.01 433859 431857 429857 427855 426857 424858 422858 420860
      422862 424862 426862 428862 429862 431861 433859
 0.01 428800 428798 427796 425798 425801 427802 428800
 0.01 427805 427803 425801 424803 424806 426808 427805
 0.01 411214 410208 407204 398197 394194 388193 378188 370182
      367181 365183 364187 368190 374192 381199 385203 390205
      398212 402216 406219 411214
 0.01 426810 426808 424806 423808 423810 424812 426810
 0.25 479691 480684 478677 477669 475665 472663 468665 463666
      460669 444676 432687 418698 406708 394720 385733 380739
      376748 375756 371763 362775 358781 351789 349791 349797
      348808 347817 346820 344825 337839 334846 331856 316884
      313892 311900 308911 305918 319930 320940 321946 324949
      328947 330943 330937 332932 335924 337913 342899 350882
      355868 365852 373840 378834 382825 390813 392810 396807
      402800 406794 411789 421777 431763 435756 440748 443741
      447734 453729 458723 463715 468707 471703 474699 478694
      479691
 0.25 452877 453874 452873 450872 449873 447874 447875 445876
      444876 442877 440877 439878 440879 442879 443880 444880
      446880 447880 449880 450879 451879 452877 452877
 0.25 447836 447831 446829 443827 441826 438826 436828 435833
      435835 435838 437842 439844 441846 444844 446842 447838
      447836
 0.25 354757 353752 347753 344756 341759 339762 337767 335771
      335776 336777 339776 342773 345770 347767 350763 352760
      354757
 0.25 345792 344791 342792 344792 345792
 0.25 332798 330797 330796 330794 329792 328791 326792 325792
      324793 323795 322797 321798 320800 321802 322802 323801
      324801 325801 327800 328798 329798 330799 332798
 0.25 334984 332980 331975 328972 325969 321968 319971 317976
      316981 317988 321990 324991 328990 332987 334984
 0.25 309852 309844 308839 304837 307833 309827 307822 304817
      301815 290813 285812 279812 276816 273817 270816 265807
      257802 253800 248803 250814 251821 254826 269836 274838
      276842 280854 283864 284871 287875 292877 296876 302874
      305871 307860 309852
 0.50 474677 474671 471668 468669 464672 460676 453682 446686
      440692 435696 429703 421708 414708 408713 403718 400724
      396732 386745 382753 377760 369772 365778 360785 356792
      354799 355809 353819 347832 333862 326878 319890 312907
      311910 312914 317910 320908 323910 323917 323922 322930
      322937 324939 326938 328934 331926 333917 335908 342892
      345885 348876 350868 355861 359856 364849 373835 376829
      379821 394791 397784 403778 411775 415774 418772 428761
      432754 436745 440738 447732 455720 459713 463703 466697
      470689 473683 474677
 0.50 302829 303821 301817 299816 295816 292817 286819 281821
      276824 272828 273832 275833 280836 284838 290840 294836
      295834 298832 302829
 1.00 469676 468674 465675 460681 457685 451689 446693 441698
      433708 423718 412726 402735 393744 384755 382760 378766
      371777 366782 363787 360793 359797 360801 364803 362810
      358823 354828 351835 339860 334871 331880 329887 330897
      330903 333905 335900 338893 340887 342881 343872 345864
      352852 359843 366813 369806 373800 378796 382791 388780
      400772 411765 415760 417759 416755 418750 422745 429743
      434737 438731 440728 443727 446725 447722 449715 457704
      460698 464691 467683 469676
 1.00 376819 376814 374815 372817 371819 370822 370826 367829
      367831 368834 369832 372831 373828 374824 375821 376819
 1.50 466680 466679 464680 463680 464682 466680 466680
 1.50 464683 460685 457689 447695 441701 433710 427717 419724
      403737 389752 386758 388763 392767 397765 404759 412751
      418745 426738 434731 440722 446713 452705 457695 463686
      464683
 1.50 382773 382770 378770 376772 375774 373777 372780 370783
      370786 372788 373790 375789 378787 379784 380782 381780
      382775 382773
 1.50 366791 366789 366788 365789 364791 363794 364794 365793
      366791 366791
 1.50 366811 365808 364811 361819 355835 349846 345853 342860
      339868 336875 333882 334888 335889 339882 341873 342866
      346858 349852 353846 357841 359837 360832 362825 364816
      366811
 2.00 454695 446697 441703 436709 430716 420728 413732 406736
      395747 392750 391754 396753 404753 410748 415742 423737
      428733 434727 443713 453699 454695
 3.00 445705 443704 441706 441709 442709 443708 443707 445705

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 525031 522018 519007 513986 507965 504956 504952 502949
      498949 488944 482944 479942 469937 462935 448925 442921
      436914 432911 429906 429903 431904 434907 437905 443904
      448904 452905 458913 461917 464918 467910 469905 467902
      466886 465880 464871 472853 473851 475853 479855 482859
      486862 488863 490858 495848 503827 507820 509814 511810
      514801 515796 514790 512756 511747 509744 508739 507722
      503689 493675 483659 471642 466636 463632 459634 453640
      448642 446645 437651 430656 420664 413672 398684 385695
      379691 375689 371690 363699 362700 360699 357697 353696
      348698 341703 336710 331713 327712 324713 322717 318724
      313732 309740 305750 303758 297777 293782 286783 276784
      270785 265788 254789 251792 249796 250802 249806 245809
      244815 244819 246822 254837 262855 265866 266878 268882
      267888 267899 266904 263910 255915 253918 253926 253931
      255937 250944 248947 247952 245957 244962 244968 245971
      244976 246978 250985 252989 256990 264986 268987 272989
      280993 285993 289991 295985 299977 303966 314927 327891
      340856 348835 356817 365798 368790 373782 380766 384759
      387754 391751 404740 408736 412737 416736 419738 417740
      412750 410754 410760 407771 405785 406799 408804 409811
      405833 405845 404850 404855 407866 412876 416889 417892
      415891 411889 405881 401879 398876 393872 389872 388877
      386881 386888 387902 389906 389911 392922
 0.01 392922 396934 400945 406955 414961 429976 433980 437984
      445990 448995 452999 460006 478017 481017 483020 487023
      490028 492035 492045 493052 492071 494074 497069 504061
      516040 525031
 0.01 497234 498228 498223 497218 496214 489211 483210 476211
      471216 470221 472225 474228 478229 483224 487224 490227
      494233 496236 497234
 0.01 468060 468052 468047 467040 465035 462033 459035 457038
      454044 454052 452057 450063 449066 447068 443069 440072
      440080 438086 431091 429096 428103 429108 431111 433109
      436111 439115 441120 442122 441125 439131 439135 441136
      445133 448130 454122 455117 456110 457093 456088 459083
      462080 464075 468060
 0.01 408984 405973 403963 400954 396949 391949 384954 380962
      382972 385978 383983 360014 359019 360024 361028 358031
      344043 337048 329052 326055 326060 330063 331067 329070
      327074 325078 324084 321088 316096 311105 311108 314109
      320109 325101 327097 330101 334104 338104 341099 341092
      342079 344064 348057 352053 356051 365048 369048 371046
      371042 371031 379027 386022 388016 392014 401010 404006
      405997 407989 408984
 0.01 334982 334976 330973 321973 312973 304977 301985 297993
      295999 296002 298004 304005 310000 311994 313992 317989
      321988 330984 334982
 0.25 473678 472670 470664 465660 457657 448655 440662 439673
      440680 443678 446674 449672 452681 455687 457690 460693
      466692 471683 473678
 0.25 409709 409707 409705 408702 407701 407700 405699 403699
      402701 402702 401704 401706 401707 401709 401711 401713
      402716 404717 406716 407714 408712 409711 409709
 0.25 386726 386720 384717 378714 372712 363714 355717 350722
      343735 335747 328759 321772 315787 312795 309801 305806
      299810 288819 281823 274825 265827 263829 263833 265840
      268848 271855 274863 275873 276880 275899 272915 267929
      262945 257960 255968 256975 259977 264976 269972 274966
      277960 285949 292936 304907 314880 327850 333837 336830
      340825 348813 352806 355799 366772 380743 386726
 0.50 376733 375726 371722 365722 358725 354728 351731 344741
      338749 335755 334761 332772 330785 330792 327797 325802
      324808 321821 321823 324825 329825 333826 335824 338819
      343810 348800 353791 363769 372747 376733
 0.50 317834 317829 315828 307827 291828 282829 278832 274838
      274844 275849 277856 279865 279881 278898 277907 275915
      271930 267945 265952 263956 263960 263965 265968 268962
      272957 276952 280948 284941 290929 295916 301903 303894
      305886 313857 317834
 1.00 368734 366731 363732 359736 350743 346747 345750 346752
      348758 349765 343776 340781 339788 342790 347785 353775
      358765 362753 363747 366741 368734
 1.00 300859 301847 299842 295840 290840 287842 285846 284852
      285858 285864 284868 283875 283885 282896 281908 279916
      275925 274930 273935 273941 276941 282935 290918 293910
      295901 296895 296889 296878 296872 297868 300859
 1.50 292904 292897 292891 290887 287888 285893 285898 285904
      285910 284914 286914 289910 291906 292904

$$





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