Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190818
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
417 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 19/1200 UTC THRU MAY 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

MID SECTION OF THE NATION

NEGATIVELY TILTED HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE PUSHING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
TO CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS LIKELY
AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
TO CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IN A
REGION OF WELL DEFINED UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND AN AXIS OF ABOVE
AVERAGE PW VALUES.  WHILE THE MODEL LARGE SCALE MASS FIELDS ARE IN
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION ACROSS THESE AREAS DAY
1---THERE IS A WIDE SPREAD IN THE QPF SOLUTIONS.  THERE
IS---HOWEVER---AN OVERALL CONSENSUS FOR TWO MAX PRECIPITATION
AREAS. A NORTHERN MAX IN THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS IN A REGION OF STRONG UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND UPSLOPE
FLOW IN THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES---WHICH TRANSLATES EASTWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT OCCURS AHEAD OF
THE EASTWARD MOVING HEIGHT FALLS AND OVER THE COLD AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION.  A SOUTHERN MAXIMUM
ASSOCIATED WITH ORGANIZED CONVECTION THAT IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND
JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO
LIE WEST TO EAST IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN TX.  THE SOUTHERN MAX
ALONG THE RED RIVER HAS STRONG SUPPORT FROM THE GFS---CMC
GEM---0000 UTC HI RES ARW AND HI RES ARW PARALLEL.  DAY 1 QPF
FOLLOWED THE GENERAL IDEA OF THESE MODELS---SHOWING MAX PRECIP
TOTALS 1-2"+ ALONG THE RED RIVER OVER NORTHERN TX/SOUTHERN
OK---TOWARD THE ARKLATEX.  A SECOND MAX OVER EASTERN CO INTO
WESTERN NE AND WESTERN KS FOR MAX UPSLOPE PRECIP---WHILE LIGHT
MODERATE TOTALS EXTEND EAST OF THIS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

GREAT BASIN

IN THE WAKE OF THE HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
INTO THE PLAINS DAY 1---BELOW AVERAGE H5 HEIGHTS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND INTO MOST OF THE GREAT BASIN.  AN AXIS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN FROM IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN CA/SOUTHERN
OREGON---EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN NV---SOUTHERN ID AND NORTHERN UT.
WHILE CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT WITH QPF DETAILS---CONFIDENCE IS
HIGHER OVERALL THAT THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD AREAL AVERAGE
MODERATE AMOUNTS ACROSS THESE AREAS DAY 1 GIVEN GOOD AGREEMENT IN
THE LATEST MODEL SUITE.

EASTERN SEABOARD

HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA TUESDAY WILL PUSH AN
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EASTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN SEABOARD
REGION TUESDAY AND OFF THE COAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.  AN AXIS OF
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL STRETCH ALONG THE
BOUNDARY---SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  THE LATEST MODELS ARE NOT TOO EMPHATIC
ABOUT WIDESPREAD HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS---WITH THE DAY 1 QPF
NOT DEVIATING FROM THIS GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHERE ANY HEAVY
TOTALS MAY BE.  DAY 1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE SREF AND IN HOUSE
PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED MEANS FOR MAX PRECIP DEPICTION  ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND--SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COASTAL MID ATLANTIC INTO EASTERN NC.
 MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS DEPICTED WITH POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVIER TOTALS IN THE MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.

DAYS 2/3...


...WEST COAST/GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

THE MID LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES DURING DAY 2. A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE
CA COAST LATE ON DAY 2...THEN CROSSES SOUTHERN CA DURING DAY 3.
FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP (THOUGH THE 00Z ECMWF MAY BE TOO QUICK
BRINGING THE CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHERN CA ON DAY 3)...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS. SOME 00Z NAM WAS
USED TO BETTER DELINEATE HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

A GENERAL LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW RESULTS IN PRECIPTABLE WATER
VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 0.50 AND 0.75 INCHES (WHICH IS BETWEEN TWO
AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN)...WITH THE HIGHEST
VALUES NEAR THE COAST. WEAK SHORT WAVES RIDING NORTH ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SYNOPTIC
SCALE ASCENT FOR CONVECTION...WHICH DEVELOPS IN A MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT (DUE TO STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES).
THE ACTIVITY DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON...PEAKS IN THE
EVENING...AND ENDS SLOWLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT. THE CONVECTION
PRODUCES A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
NORTHERN CA AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OR...AS WELL AS A STRIPE OVER
THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE.

A CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE CENTRAL CA COAST LATE ON
DAY 2...THEN CROSSES SOUTHERN CA DURING DAY 3. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN...AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY COVERS MUCH OF THE WEST. THE
COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FUELS CONVECTION THAT IS
MAINLY TIED TO THE TERRAIN...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS
PLACED OVER SOUTHERN OR...AND THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN CA. THIS
IS SURROUNDED BY A LARGER AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF COVER
MUCH OF EASTERN CA...OR...NORTHWEST NV AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ID.


...LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY/OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION ALONG
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY
THROUGH THE LOWER OH VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC RESULTS IN QPF
DURING BOTH DAYS. THE 00Z GFS LOOKS TOO DRY WITH THE WARM AIR
ADVECTION PRECIPITATION DURING DAY 2...WHILE THE 00Z NAM IS
PROBABLY A BIT TOO WET. DURING DAY 3...THE 00Z GFS APPEARS TO BE
TOO WEAK WITH A SURFACE WAVE THAT FORMS ON THE FRONT ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST DURING DAY 3. THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z UKMET OFFER THE
BEST CONSENSUS FOR QPF IN THESE AREAS...AND THIS PAIR OF MODELS
WAS USED AS A BASIS FOR THE WPC QPF.

STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION UP AND OVER THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED
ACROSS THE THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY DURING DAY 2. A LOW LEVEL 35 TO 45 KNOT
LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW PUMPS HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR INTO
MO/SOUTHERN IA/WEST CENTRAL IL EARLY...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED
MOSTLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY. THE ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED LOCATIONS...WITH
AMOUNTS DROPPING OFF TO 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES ALONG THE FRONT
THROUGH SOUTHERN IN/KY/TN/WV.

DURING DAY 3...THE FRONT BUCKLES ACROSS VA/NC AS A WAVE DEVELOPS
ON IT IN RESPONSE TO SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW. A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FEED 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO THE TIDEWATER
AREA OF VA AND COASTAL NC...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE
INSTABILITY. THE CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BEFORE ITS MOVES OFFSHORE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA
PENINSULA...SOUTHEAST VA AND EASTERN NC...WITH LOCAL 0.75 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOCUSED ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
ACROSS CENTRAL TX COULD RESULT IN HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
DURING DAY 2. A SHORT WAVE EJECTED FROM A CLOSED LOW SETTLING OVER
SOUTHERN CA ON DAY 3 WILL ATTEMPT TO FOCUS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY FOR HEAVY TO POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM CENTRAL
TX THROUGH EASTERN NM NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THERE WAS A
DECENT SIGNAL FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL TX DURING DAY 2...AND
THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET...EACH
OF WHICH SHOWED THE SIGNAL. THE THREAT FOR DAY 3 IS A BIT MORE
NEBULOUS...AS THERE IS MORE MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE LOCATION
OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN. FOR DAY 3...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY
ON THE PREVIOUS TWO RUNS OF THE ECMWF.

A LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL TX ON DAY 2 BECOMES
THE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES (WHICH IS
ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ON THE NOSE OF A
SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET...MAINLY AFTER 21/00Z. THE
BEST INSTABILITY OCCURS BETWEEN 20/00Z AND 20/06Z...COINCIDENT
WITH THE BEST MOISTURE. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED SOME DRY AIR IN THE
MID LEVEL INITIALLY...WHICH BECOMES INCREASINGLY MOIST WITH TIME.
THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF 1.00 TO 1.25
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL TX...WHICH HAS SEEN HEAVY
RAIN IN THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH RAINFALL RATES
IN THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIRMASS...PAST HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOWING 2+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS SUGGEST THAT A
SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NECESSARY.

FOR DAY 3...A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW CROSSES SOUTHERN CA. AHEAD OF
THE CLOSED LOW...SHORT WAVES ARE EJECTED...WHICH COULD AFFECT THE
REGION LATE IN THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVES...A SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TX THROUGH EASTERN NM IN
SOUTHERN CO BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEAST FLOW PUMPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.50 INCHES
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TX...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS IN EASTERN NM. THE LOW
LEVEL INFLOW THEN BECOMES ORIENTED NORTH-SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL TX
LATE IN THE PERIOD. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY INITIALLY...WHICH BACKS OFF TOWARD 22/12Z. THE
COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD PRODUCE A BROAD
AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN NM...AS WELL AS
MUCH OF WEST AND CENTRAL TX.

THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS...AS INDIVIDUAL MODELS LATCH ON TO DIFFERENT
FORCING TO PRODUCE THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS. THE WPC QPF IS BELOW
THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...THOUGH THERE ARE SOME
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WITH 2+ INCHES OF QPF ACROSS WEST AND
CENTRAL TX. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN...NO SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN ASSIGNED FOR NOW. IF
THERE IS BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS WITH RESPECT TO HEAVY
RAIN PLACEMENT...A SLIGHT RISK AREA COULD BE ISSUED IN THE FUTURE
FOR THIS AREA.


ORAVEC/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 508214 508207 508203 505201 497197 493196 487197 477199
      461206 453210 448211 447207 448203 449200 453196 457192
      461181 459177 456176 461152 461146 459143 456140 451139
      448135 446128 445124 445116 450112 452108 454105 455102
      453095 453089 455085 457079 457071 456059 451046 448037
      445024 443014 442010 442004 442990 441985 440980 435961
      433949 430937 428931 425924 424921 419924 410928 405930
      401927 395921 391920 386920 377921 370919 366918 364915
      358910 352902 350897 351893 357875 364856 377837 388819
      398803 416778 421772 426765 434759 438756 444754 450746
      456741 463729 475726 487714 493703 494697 494689 486676
      477677 477663 477658 476650 473638 472634 469632 461635
      423659 407674 403673 400677 398680 396685 391702 389711
      386719 383728 378736 377741 374744 371746 368745 365732
      355731 352731 345734 337741 314772 310779 305784 300791
      298794 299800 284809 281811 277812 269810 265805 269802
      267799 261799 256798 252801 252818 255822 260822 269825
      278829 282831 284835 286839 289842 292849 294855 294862
      292870 288879 289890 293908 297918 295929 293935 290941
      288945 288953 292962 298970 310984 314989 313992 310991
      305991 300996 292001 288003 282003 272003 269000 265000
      262006 260008 260011 262015 269020 278025 280027 283027
      291027 303028 308029 312030 323027 327026 332027 342030
      348037 351040 352045 352051 355054 358062 359065 362068
      370080 374083 376088 378092 378096
 0.01 378096 379103 381107 379112 376115 374124 373125 374132
      376135 382137 383148 381152 380159 380162 381165 386168
      388172 390177 395178 397177 400180 402183 403188 402195
      399196 397194 391187 378178 370177 368181 371184 373187
      374193 379197 392211 397215 400218 398223 394225 393227
      393231 395235 399238 405241 412240 420237 424239 427239
      432239 435237 438229 447226 454225 463226 466225 469225
      472224 477220 484218 492217 498216 504215 508214
 0.01 354819 347813 343807 336806 330810 322824 318832 317837
      318843 320855 319862 319875 320881 322885 322892 325895
      327891 330883 332880 332876 337858 340847 343840 346833
      351826 354819
 0.01 307801 305800 303801 301801 300802 301803 303802 305802
      307801 307801
 0.25 475695 475690 474687 470687 468689 461694 458694 457690
      458686 461676 463670 461664 460657 458654 451664 445672
      437680 429685 419691 412697 408702 407709 407715 416721
      419724 423723 427718 433716 437714 439716 450712 454713
      458711 462707 469705 472702 475697 475695
 0.25 443176 445161 444154 441148 437140 434138 431134 430125
      433117 433107 437098 442090 443085 443081 442074 444062
      441049 438029 435007 433994 429981 427975 424971 418965
      414959 412949 410945 406943 398939 392932 389928 383926
      380927 376930 370939 367941 364939 361931 353916 347909
      344905 341903 338903 337907 337913 336921 335924 333924
      326928 321934 315940 311947 310953 311957 318965 321973
      323979 324986 326995 324002 318010 317014 320017 328018
      334017 340017 347021 353029 358034 363040 368046 376051
      382053 385055 391065 390073 392079 396083 399082 402082
      403084 405086 406092 406100 405106 405110 408114 412123
      415128 418133 419138 418145 413154 409164 408170 409175
      410186 411197 411210 411217 409224 409227 414229 417227
      423229 428229 431226 429217 434196 437189 437182 443176
 0.25 368766 366760 364758 358759 354760 352763 348769 344775
      342783 341787 342792 344794 348795 352789 355781 359776
      364771 368766
 0.25 366963 366961 365956 364954 364949 363945 361945 359945
      357945 355945 355949 355954 355958 356960 358963 361965
      364964 366963
 0.25 339769 338767 336767 334768 334769 334772 335772 337772
      337771 338769 339769
 0.25 305821 306816 304814 301813 297814 293815 290816 288817
      286818 287820 289822 292824 294826 296827 300826 302824
      303823 305821
 0.50 438088 435048 434032 432011 430004 429999 427994 422989
      419987 415985 408984 404979 400973 401968 401956 400952
      397947 388935 384932 380932 377934 373941 371947 369956
      371967 373971 374976 375985 376989 375992 369992 363989
      362986 363983 363977 362974 355969 353967 352963 352951
      351945 350943 352941 357937 355930 347914 343912 340916
      338924 335929 330932 328934 327939 323945 319951 321960
      325967 327974 328981 329990 330995 329000 327008 328011
      331013 337013 342014 348017 354022 359027 364030 368034
      372039 378043 387045 395045 399051 401056 402060 406059
      412059 416064 417071 413073 411075 411077 412080 411086
      413097 413105 414110 416112 423113 426112 428109 429105
      428101 429096 431094 438088
 0.50 422198 423195 422194 421195 421197 422198 422198
 1.00 422048 423037 423027 423015 422010 417009 413010 406008
      399006 394007 385007 379008 376011 372012 366012 375021
      378028 382032 389034 394033 401036 405040 416048 422048
 1.00 357007 355997 355989 355979 352974 349966 348958 348949
      346943 346941 344938 341936 337936 332941 330947 327957
      328961 329965 332973 332982 334992 333001 335006 337009
      345010 354010 357007
 1.50 352985 353980 351976 349971 346965 345958 345949 343943
      342941 338939 335940 334943 332950 332956 334969 336984
      338992 339996 337000 338004 342006 345006 349002 350995
      349989 352985
 2.00 350982 349978 347974 346969 344965 341960 337959 336965
      337971 338976 339981 340986 344988 348985 350982

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 540200 540195 537196 532197 527196 508197 492199 478205
      472208 464211 461212 456211 454210 452207 452201 456190
      460188 462184 462156 461150 459147 453136 452129 452124
      455118 457111 460103 457093 450075 451060 455049 453043
      453037 451022 446000 444991 443985 442981 437956 434943
      433928 424884 421874 418863 415851 411844 405836 401834
      399833 398830 396826 395819 397813 396805 398800 397792
      396789 394788 389786 383787 378787 369783 352781 347774
      343766 352751 356744 360734 354692 351690 347689 339690
      335692 333693 331691 329692 321700 315705 310712 307714
      304718 302727 299737 295748 290765 289770 287773 279779
      274784 267789 257792 248797 244805 242810 243815 244820
      246823 251823 256822 258818 261820 268825 282827 286830
      288837 289848 293874 295899 295904 293909 298917 301929
      301945 299949 299954 299961 296965 284974 275978 267982
      255997 245994 241993 237993 234995 233001 234009 272026
      274028 279029 289031 292031 297030 302036 309043 312050
      318054 328058 337062 346066 352067 355064 358060 362058
      366058 370059 378061 380063 380066 379074 382076 391084
      396090 398090 398094 396096 390111 386114 380114 378117
      377121 373127 384129 390125 392122 397123 398127 396130
      392133 385136 381137 379139 386147 389151 389158 384170
      378177 369178 362180 359181 360185 385210 393214 400220
      392225 390227 389231 391235 396238 399240 407244
 0.01 407244 418247 425246 430246 433242 435238 439237 448238
      451227 454223 457222 466220 470219 474220 484223 491230
      497237 507253 511260 514264 516259 518255 520250 524241
      532219 540200
 0.01 527700 526691 525684 521674 512655 501638 496631 490624
      487621 483619 479619 475620 470623 467625 460634 459638
      455641 448647 444654 441663 448670 455672 462676 465679
      468684 466690 463695 457701 452708 449711 446717 445729
      445733 443739 437744 438751 442753 450748 453745 455740
      457737 459732 460729 462729 467732 471741 474745 477747
      480745 482741 486732 490721 493711 496709 499708 504707
      508708 520705 525703 527700
 0.01 479238 480236 480234 479233 479231 478230 476232 475235
      476236 477238 479239 479238
 0.01 413012 413005 412999 410991 408986 406983 398980 390977
      380978 368985 361991 357996 351003 353009 354011 359020
      363020 366023 382028 394037 402041 405043 407043 408040
      410029 411017 413012
 0.01 348842 347835 345831 342828 338826 336823 336819 337815
      340810 340806 338804 335806 332808 332811 330815 328824
      328835 330844 333854 336856 338854 341851 346844 348842
 0.25 485653 483646 481643 477641 474641 469643 466647 464650
      463656 466657 471658 475659 478659 483658 485653
 0.25 452183 453174 452169 450164 449158 448155 445155 441156
      440161 441166 442171 441175 438175 435172 432170 430173
      430178 429178 424176 422179 421183 420186 416191 414196
      413204 414210 414217 413222 405227 399229 399232 402235
      407236 419238 424238 428235 435227 441222 442218 441215
      439210 438206 438202 439197 442191 444188 452183
 0.25 418938 417931 415923 412911 402889 399884 393882 387883
      383885 375891 369893 363891 354884 351881 347883 344888
      340891 338894 336902 335908 332915 330920 326924 324927
      322933 320947 314958 310968 308972 306978 301989 297993
      291995 287996 282999 277001 280005 284016 286018 284020
      291022 298021 321021 327018 330014 335006 340996 344984
      348970 352960 355955 359952 368952 373949 380947 384947
      390949 400950 406951 412949 417943 418938
 0.25 390199 391197 390195 390194 388193 387193 385192 383192
      381192 379194 380197 381197 382199 383200 384201 385202
      387201 388201 389200 390199
 0.25 378805 378803 378802 377803 376804 375805 374806 374808
      373810 372813 373813 374812 375811 376810 376809 377807
      378806 378805
 0.25 355872 355870 355872 355872
 0.25 340740 340733 338729 329731 325734 324738 321747 318756
      318761 318767 318772 320774 325773 328770 334763 337756
      339746 340740
 0.25 332706 332704 331704 332706 332706
 0.25 295815 294812 291810 285807 279805 275805 273807 271808
      268806 264805 260806 258809 258812 261814 266814 270813
      273814 282815 288817 293817 295815
 0.50 432224 434222 433220 432219 431217 430215 429214 428213
      427213 426213 425214 424215 423217 423219 423222 422224
      423226 423227 424228 426228 428228 430226 432224 432224
 0.50 395929 395922 394917 392913 389910 385913 382916 380918
      379925 380929 383934 386936 389935 393932 395929
 0.50 344943 344939 343934 342932 339930 337932 336935 334939
      333941 333945 336947 337948 339947 342945 344943
 0.50 333986 335978 335969 335964 332964 328967 323971 319975
      312983 305992 302996 298000 293003 292006 295007 306011
      311015 314015 318014 324013 328010 330003 332997 333986

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 538199 535176 530166 528162 525160 509148 506147 503147
      501149 501150 505156 512176 515184 511194 482201 468210
      459212 455211 454208 452205 453201 453196 460188 465176
      467172 470170 474169 476169 474166 475162 475155 474149
      476134 474123 474118 472113 468105 465097 462094 457091
      448089 443088 439085 422087 420083 418080 419076 423065
      423057 424054 427053 430049 433044 432041 429037 425032
      421024 416016 412010 406003 394988 385971 382967 378964
      375962 370962 365962 360964 349967 347967 347963 348957
      349941 349935 350930 350917 348908 344897 343893 343886
      344881 345876 345871 346866 349858 359843 364835 369829
      373824 377820 383811 386807 387802 391792 388788 389784
      391773 393762 393751 394747 396743 401737 402732 402725
      402716 424685 426680 428673 427665 425661 422657 417655
      407655 401657 398658 392664 382678 376684 371691 365698
      359704 347717 338722 332728 325736 319745 312753 304757
      296762 289766 281771 275776 250798 246806 245809 247814
      249817 253819 257820 262820 268819 273820 278822 284822
      289824 292828 295834 297841 297852 295861 291882 291883
      292888 293894 292900 291905 291911 293922 291946 287956
      284963 281968 279970 276972 265974 261976 256976 246974
      241973 238976 235979 234984 232987 232993 232005 234013
      236018 239022 242028 248033 252035 257036 267037 272038
      276042 285044 295047 300055 308064 316071 320072 324074
      329075 334075 342072 345074 348078 355083 361084 365086
      370092 376096 386096 390098 391103
 0.01 391103 392105 391108 388115 386119 386123 388127 391126
      413122 417123 419126 414131 411138 412141 410145 404146
      401146 401150 398157 393160 384167 380174 376175 372174
      366173 359176 351181 346185 345191 347198 353204 357207
      359210 363211 369213 372209 372205 373202 380205 394213
      403221 406226 403227 400226 392224 387224 390230 394233
      398234 401239 405243 412245 414248 417249 421250 423248
      428246 431243 432239 437234 447229 456225 461226 465230
      470236 472239 476242 479242 481240 480233 472226 474222
      476221 482220 487221 491224 495228 503238 507243 509249
      515263 516267 518269 520262 521259 525243 530227 538199
 0.01 498258 499255 499253 499252 497252 495253 495254 494256
      495257 496258 498259 498258
 0.01 499685 497672 494660 491650 488644 482639 480636 476635
      474654 473663 473676 473687 472688 470685 467684 464685
      462690 461696 459714 460720 459724 460739 458746 458756
      461763 461771 461777 461788 461797 466816 471811 474805
      474793 475780 482767 489762 492759 494755 492744 490740
      489734 487726 487721 489717 496702 499693 499685
 0.25 479714 478704 474704 471708 469714 467720 467727 465740
      465755 465770 466774 468775 469770 470756 473743 476732
      478719 479714
 0.25 450220 448217 442217 435217 436214 436208 435198 434186
      433182 431180 427180 422181 420183 418187 416190 414188
      411187 410183 409179 407177 402178 400181 398184 401188
      405189 408192 407198 407203 415207 418210 420214 422222
      428229 431229 434226 448222 450220
 0.25 403205 404199 403193 397192 389190 382187 375184 368183
      364184 364187 370192 376196 382201 384203 388204 397206
      403205
 0.25 412066 412059 411052 407047 402042 397040 394039 394036
      396027 400028 403028 405027 406023 406018 403014 394008
      387002 379993 374989 368987 357984 352982 350978 343977
      336977 323981 314984 310986 306983 304977 304969 303966
      300965 294964 288972 281979 271983 264984 256985 250986
      246988 241990 237993 237997 238001 241004 248007 252010
      258012 261015 263017 262021 265026 270029 275030 281030
      287028 294028 298032 304039 314044 325051 337055 346058
      358061 366062 372065 381070 388071 392073 405070 410070
      412066
 0.25 396708 393691 389691 385692 380697 361718 357722 353729
      349735 344738 332748 328752 324757 318771 318775 319778
      322779 326778 331778 335776 341772 346768 348771 346774
      343779 340788 339791 341795 345795 348794 353790 357789
      361787 370778 375773 379766 384754 389725 395715 396708
 0.25 384031 382029 380028 377026 373026 370026 368028 368032
      368034 369037 373039 375039 376039 380038 382036 384033
      384031
 0.25 319890 319883 319877 319870 317864 316860 314856 312854
      309855 308861 308867 309873 310880 311886 312890 315893
      318890 319890
 0.25 270804 270802 268801 266801 265801 263801 261802 259802
      257802 256803 254804 254805 254806 255808 256809 258810
      260810 262809 263808 265807 265806 267805 269804 270804
 0.50 388199 388198 386196 385196 385195 383194 381194 380195
      381196 381197 382199 383200 384201 385201 387201 387199
      388199
 0.50 387710 387706 385705 381707 373715 367723 364727 363732
      357741 356747 360750 365753 368757 371756 374751 375745
      377741 380736 381732 382725 384720 386715 387710
 0.50 374191 376189 375188 373188 372188 373189 374191 374191
 0.50 373767 368766 369763 366762 362767 356769 352773 349778
      348785 354786 358785 361783 365779 368774 371770 373767
 0.50 362027 359011 357005 353000 344992 339990 332991 328993
      322997 318003 315005 310009 307009 304006 295002 289999
      284994 284989 284987 281987 278991 280994 278998 271007
      274014 273019 275022 281023 288023 294022 298023 300025
      303030 308032 314030 319033 322044 328047 336049 344049
      347046 351040 355033 362027
 0.50 340760 339757 336758 333759 330761 328763 327766 325768
      324771 324773 326774 329773 331772 334769 335767 337764
      338762 340760
 0.50 287985 286983 284984 284985 284986 286985 287985
 1.00 288014 288012 287011 285010 285012 285014 287015 288014

$$




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