Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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991
FXUS04 KWBC 172101
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 18/0000 UTC THRU JAN 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST...

IT REMAINS THE CASE THAT THE LINGERING FORMER COMPACT UPPER LOW
THAT BROUGHT THE MULTI-DAY ICE STORM TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE
PROGRESSIVELY CROSSING NEW ENGLAND AS A SHEARING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL BE DIGGING
IN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN ITS WAKE. THE COMBINATION OF BOTH
WILL ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY AND ACROSS/OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC WED...BEFORE
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND TRACKS JUST OFF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AS THE MAIN CENTER WEDNESDAY. A SWATH OF MODERATE
PRECIPITATION WILL CROSS NY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...INCLUDING A FAIRLY EXTENSIVE AXIS OF FREEZING RAIN WHERE
SHALLOW COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE. HOWEVER...THERMAL PROFILES
ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF A DEEPER
COLD LAYER THAT WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL.
PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC...WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND LOW WRAPPED
MOISTURE IN ITS WAKE WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SOME GENERALLY LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE RAIN. HEAVIER RAINS THOUGH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND BACK DOWN INTO PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AND EASTERN TX WHERE MORE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
AND SOME INSTABILITY WILL BE POOLED ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED
FRONT. THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT DRAPED SOUTHWEST DOWN ACROSS
SRN/SOUTHEAST TX AND LOWER MS VALLEY WILL STALL OUT AND THE
GUIDANCE SUPPORTS DEVELOPMENT OF A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG IT
TONIGHT INTO WED. THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO AN ELONGATED
POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH AND CLOSED LOW BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THAT WILL ALLOW SOME WEAK
SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO EJECT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND THEN INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE MODELS AGREE IN DEVELOPING A
BROAD AREA OF FAVORABLE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS BY
LATER TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS WELL. THE RESULT SHOULD BE
THE FRONTAL ZONE BECOMING CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE WITH SOME
SLOW-MOVING AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST PW
VALUES SHOULD BE ACROSS SRN/SOUTHEAST TX AND WESTERN LA WITH A
POOL OF OVER 1.5 INCH PWS WITH THE AID OF A S/SW LOW LEVEL JET OF
30 TO 40 KTS IN OFF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT SOME 1-2
INCH AMOUNTS WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UPWARDS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE
GIVEN THE EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME TRAINING
CONVECTION LOCALLY...WITH A MAIN AXIS EXPECTED TO EXTEND
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. SOME ISOLATED RUNOFF
PROBLEMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A RESULT. SOMEWHAT LIGHTER RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED UP ALONG THE FRONT TOWARD THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. MAINTAINED GOOD WPC CONTINUITY BUT DID UPGRADE
AMOUNTS A BIT FOLLOWING TRENDS FROM LATEST GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY
THE LATEST NAM CONEST THAT SEEMED A GOOD FIT WITH LATEST RADAR
AXIS/INFLOW TRENDS.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NRN CA...

INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW IS SPREADING MODERATE RAINS INTO COASTAL
WA/OLYMPIC PENINSULA. PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEEP LAYER WARM
ADVECTION PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WA CASCADES AS WELL
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND THEN GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
OR COAST AND INTO THE SOUTHERN WA/NORTHERN OR CASCADES AND THE
COASTAL RANGES TONIGHT AND DOWN ACROSS NRN CA WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE
STILL SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVELY LONG-FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT
EXTENDS WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY INTO THE TROPICAL WESTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS CONTINUES TO BE CONFIRMED BY CIRA-LPW DATA AND
AMSU 89 GHZ DATA. BY TUESDAY NIGHT...MUCH STRONGER SOUTHWEST
ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
ARRIVE AND ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLY STRONGER MOISTURE FLUX AND PW
ANOMALIES AS A RESULT. A SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET UPWARDS OF 70 KTS
IS FORECAST WHICH WILL FOSTER 850/700 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES
OF 4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN...AND PW VALUES OF 2
TO 2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN. THIS WILL RESULT IN
HEAVY OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED RAINS ESPECIALLY FOR THE WA/OR/NRN
CA COASTAL RANGES...THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA...AND CASCADES...WHERE
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF PCPN WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS PERIOD.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME HEIGHTENED CONCERNS FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS.

GUIDANCE AGREES IN BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND HIGHER ELEVATION
SNOWFALL TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS PERIOD. ON THE WINTER
WEATHER FRONT...THE DEEP ATMOSPHERIC RIVER FETCH WILL BE
ENCOUNTERING A COLD DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN...AND THE MODELS SUPPORT A RATHER SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR REMAINING IN PLACE AS PRECIPITATION ARRIVES ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST. THE RESULT IS EXPECTED TO BE SOME LOCALLY
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COLUMBIA
RIVER GORGE AND ADJACENT AREAS OF WA/OR. PLEASE AGAIN CONSULT THE
LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WEST...

AN ACTIVE PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST AS UPPER
LEVEL TROUGHING REMAINS OVERHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY. AT 0Z THURSDAY
EXPECT A STRONG SHORTWAVE AND TROUGH AXIS TO BE APPROACHING THE CA
COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL HELP PROGRESS THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
PLUME SOUTHWARD THROUGH CA INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THUS ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHERN
CA...BUT EXPECT THIS THREAT TO SHIFT PRETTY RAPIDLY SOUTH
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. EXPECT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WITHIN
THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER TO BEGIN TO DECREASE AS IT SHIFTS
SOUTH...ALTHOUGH PWAT ANOMALIES SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE. IT APPEARS THAT THE MOISTURE AXIS
BECOMES DISPLACED A BIT AHEAD OF THE BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FLUX AND SYNOPTIC FORCING BY EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
ALTHOUGH EXPECT 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES OF 3-4 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS...STRONG SYNOPTIC ASCENT AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE...AND
DEVELOPING INSTABILITY...TO MAKE UP FOR THE DECREASING MOISTURE
AND STILL RESULT IN A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT.

THE SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGES OF
NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR ON DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z THU)...WHERE
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT FOR 3-6" OF QPF IN THAT 24 HOUR PERIOD.
ALSO ADDED IN A  DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI) MARGINAL RISK ACROSS
SOUTHERN CA. THE EXPECTED ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
FLOW...COMBINED WITH GOOD SYNOPTIC FORCING AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND
INCREASING INSTABILITY ALL POINT TO A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. THE
MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
SYSTEM...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE DURATION OF ANY HEAVIER RAINFALL
RATES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3" (HIGHEST IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN)
SEEM PROBABLE IN THIS 24 HOUR PERIOD ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHERN CA.
AS THIS WAVE /TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN
SO WILL THE PRECIPITATION THREAT...ALTHOUGH A GENERAL DECREASE IN
FORCING AND MOISTURE SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL AMOUNTS. MODELS WERE IN
PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND THE WPC QPF FOLLOWS
CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW QUICKLY ON THE HEELS OF THE
FIRST...MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY. OVERALL EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE...WITH
THE BETTER MOISTURE FLUX AND PWAT ANOMALIES GENERALLY STAYING
OFFSHORE. THUS WHILE A PERIOD OF STEADY PRECIPITATION CAN BE
EXPECTED...OVERALL LOOKING AT LIGHTER QPF AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM
THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE ACROSS NORTHERN CA AND WESTERN WA/OR.
HOWEVER BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON IT DOES APPEAR LIKE THE BETTER
MOISTURE PLUME AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX WILL TRY TO MOVE ASHORE
INTO SOUTHERN CA. THUS ANOTHER ROUND OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
APPEARS PROBABLE ACROSS SOUTHERN CA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH
AGAIN THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE IN NATURE. AGAIN
MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT HANDLING THIS FEATURE...AND
THUS WPC CONTINUED TO FOLLOW SOMETHING CLOSE TO A NAM/GFS/ECMWF
BLEND INTO DAY 3.

...SOUTHEAST TX/MS VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...

CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY EVENING...ALTHOUGH PROBABLY NOTHING TOO
INTENSE. EXPECT TO SEE AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER
THE PLAINS CONSOLIDATES AND EJECTS EASTWARD...TAKING ON MORE OF A
NEGATIVE TILT WITH TIME. THE UPPER LEVELS WILL ALSO BECOME VERY
DIFFLUENT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY AND
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST WITH DUAL RIGHT ENTRANCE AND LEFT EXIT
REGION JET DYNAMICS BECOMING EVIDENT. THUS EXPECT THIS TO TURN
INTO A PRETTY IMPRESSIVE SYNOPTICALLY FORCED EVENT BY
THURSDAY...WITH BOTH PWATS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX BOTH WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL. THUS AS INSTABILITY ADVECTS NORTHWARD AHEAD
OF THE SYSTEM...SEEMS TO BE A GOOD CONVECTIVE SETUP WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
IS THE EXPECTED QUICK FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM.

AS ALWAYS WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON CONVECTION AND A SWATH OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY WITH
REGARDS TO THE EXACT SWATH OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS. THIS IS RELATED TO
THE EXACT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION AND THE DEGREE OF CONVECTIVE
PROPAGATION THAT IS SEEN...WHICH IS ALWAYS TOUGH TO PIN DOWN DAYS
IN ADVANCE. WITH OUR DAY 2 QPF (0Z THU-0Z FRI) WE STARTED WITH A
SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE MORE PROGRESSIVE AND SOUTH HIGH RES
ARW...AND THEN TRANSITIONED MORE TO A MODEL CONSENSUS POSITION.
OVERALL STILL FELT THAT THE 12Z GFS QPF OUTPUT WAS SUSPECT IN THAT
IT PUT THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS AR INTO NORTHERN MS AND WESTERN
TN...AND NOT CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST WHERE THE BETTER
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST. THE QPF
ORIENTATION OF THE ECMWF/UKMET/GEM FITS MORE OUR EXPECTATION OF
THIS SETUP...ALTHOUGH THOSE SOLUTIONS SHOW A VARYING AMOUNTS OF
EASTWARD PROPAGATION. THE GEM IS MOST PROGRESSIVE...WITH THE ECMWF
SLOWEST AND THE UKMET IN BETWEEN. THIS SEEMS TO FIT PAST
EXPERIENCE...WITH THE GEM TENDING TO BE THE MOST PROGRESSIVE WITH
CONVECTION AND THE ECMWF SLOWEST. WHILE AT TIMES THE QUICK GEM CAN
BE CORRECT...IT DOES TEND TO BE A BIT TOO PROGRESSIVE...WITH THE
ECMWF USUALLY A BIT SLOW. THUS WPC DAY 2 QPF FOLLOWED A MIDDLE
GROUND SOLUTION...WHICH IS PROBABLY CLOSEST TO THE 12Z UKMET
SOLUTION. WOULD EXPECT THE HEAVIEST TOTALS TO BE ACROSS LA INTO
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL MS. FURTHER NORTH MAY HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME OF
THE BETTER MOISTURE BEING BLOCKED BY THE SOUTHERN CONVECTION...BUT
THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH SHOULD STILL ALLOW FOR A DECENT
AREA OF CONVECTION TO FORM FURTHER NORTH INTO TN VALLEY AS WELL.

AS WE HEAD INTO DAY 3 (0Z FRI-0Z SAT) THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO SHEAR
OUT AND LOSE BOTH THE BETTER MOISTURE AND SYNOPTIC SETUP. THUS
CONVECTION THURSDAY EVENING WILL LIKELY WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AS IT
MOVES EAST...WITH GENERALLY JUST LIGHT SHOWERS MAKING IT TO THE
MID ATLANTIC AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST. BY THE DAY 3 PERIOD MODELS
WERE ALL IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THEIR SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION
AND QPF OUTPUT. ONLY THE 12Z NAM WAS AN OUTLIER...BEING TOO QUICK
WITH THE SYSTEM PROGRESSION. HOWEVER THE 12Z PARALLEL NAM WAS IN
MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE AS WELL.
THUS WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A NON OPERATIONAL NAM BLEND
FOR THE DAY 3 FORECAST.

WITH REGARDS TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...WILL CARRY A
MARGINAL RISK ON BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE VERY ANOMALOUS PWATS AND MOISTURE FLUX...ALONG
WITH IMPRESSIVE SYNOPTIC SETUP...A MARGINAL RISK IS WARRANTED AS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS LIKELY.THE BEST CHANCE OF LOCALIZED
TRAINING APPEARS TO BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TX INTO
WESTERN LA DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS BOTH
MEAN WINDS AND CORFIDI VECTORS HAVE A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO
THE LOW LEVEL FRONT...AND CONTINUED MOISTURE FLUX INTO THE FRONTAL
ZONE SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL OF MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE ROUNDS. THUS
WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS AREA..AS CAN NOT RULE OUT THE EVENTUAL
NEED FOR AN UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK DEPENDING ON HOW THINGS
EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT DAY.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SCHICHTEL/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 419637 424645 427659 427670 430674 433676 444683 450687
      455688 459689 461694 464697 465700 468702 472703 475708
      475745 468751 468757 465760 460769 459779 459786 457790
      454796 447809 442815 439816 435818 433822 432826 428828
      428833 427835 426841 429850 432856 433864 435868 436875
      432878 428879 425879 420877 418876 417869 417862 415858
      412855 408855 403859 397858 395852 395846 396843 402833
      401829 398826 396822 391822 387822 384821 380822 378824
      372830 367838 363845 358852 354858 351866 349869 348875
      349884 353890 356899 358908 358920 357938 355943 346944
      343953 341963 340968 340974 342985 351997 355012 354016
      352020 350027 347034 348040 343045 339049 336056 328058
      321055 318046 316041 312039 309030 306028 301028 297023
      293021 289020 281020 275018 270017 270014 267005 267001
      265999 259994 257990 257982 255972 250970 255962 265950
      272939 281927 286922 290917 289911 291904 299874 298868
      297864 296853 302859 305866 305869 307871 311870 318868
      325864 328861 326857 327852 332848 335845 335841 342840
      345838 346834 349828 352821 360819 370804 374798 383795
      389789 391787 394785 397783 396779 393778 389778 382779
      381770 377774 372777 367782 364787 359789 354788 352785
      349783 344783 341780 339776 335774 327778 324780 321782
      319780 318769 317759 318744 322730 328716 339691 347675
 0.01 535212 536205 536199 535188 532181 528174 525168 520162
      511152 488133 480131 476130 474131 469137 467139 464136
      461136 458139 452143 446144 441139 436133 432135 428140
      426144 425148 425155 423161 419169 415175 410180 410186
      410192 408194 407200 404202 396199 388195 379192 372190
      370192 371194 374200 375204 374208 371209 367209 361208
      356209 353212 350214 350218 354225 356231 358248 359254
      362261 364264 369266 373273 378278 386281 394282 400283
      406286 414290 424293 431292 444290 450290 457293 472298
      481301 485301 489302 496302 500298 509290 514283 517276
      520264 521257 521250 520242 517233 515226 512219 511215
      512209 514207 518208 528216 532217 533215 535212
 0.01 328883 323877 320876 318877 310880 306881 304884 304890
      303893 301901 300905 301909 306905 311900 317896 322890
      327885 328883
 0.25 531197 531192 529187 525180 521174 516169 506163 500159
      497154 493147 492151 494153 489154 481153 474152 469149
      464146 459150 457154 456160 454162 451161 445156 439156
      437159 436164 435173 433179 433184 435191 437200 437204
      435207 430209 424206 418215 404210 396206 389203 384205
      387211 388215 385217 379219 375221 371225 368228 366233
      366243 367251 370257 372260 375262 381264 389267 395270
      403275 412278 420280 427282 434282 440282 451280 458279
      465279 480284 492287 498286 503283 508276 511268 515260
      516255 517249 515240 513234 508220 501204 499198 500193
      501189 504189 506190 510191 513193 517194 519196 522200
      526203 529202 531197
 0.25 485233 486230 485229 484228 482229 483232 484234 485233
 0.25 455740 453725 452719 451711 447704 441697 414672 409673
      404676 401679 396681 392684 387686 383689 380688 379690
      375694 372693 367694 362694 358696 353702 351708 350715
      348725 346733 347747 347754 349759 353768 356771 360769
      365762 368757 370751 370739 369732 370728 374718 379708
      381704 385701 390702 392705 396717 403725 408726 412727
      418732 420738 419742 416744 416748 419752 425758 429760
      434761 438761 442759 449756 452750 455740
 0.25 369822 369817 366819 361823 356830 352835 348840 346844
      345849 345852 347854 352848 356843 361837 364830 368824
      369822
 0.25 345923 345912 344906 342898 339893 335893 333894 329899
      323909 316920 308927 303931 298935 290942 275960 270966
      270970 273975 275978 275982 274988 275991 277993 281994
      293991 299989 304985 311977 317974 321971 327960 340939
      343930 345923
 0.25 342037 341035 339035 337035 336034 335034 333033 332034
      331036 330038 330040 330042 330044 331045 333045 335043
      336043 337042 338041 339040 340039 342037
 0.50 511260 513254 514248 513238 508224 505218 502212 498208
      493205 489200 488194 490190 494186 497179 499176 499172
      496167 493163 487159 480156 474157 469153 465152 463154
      459169 447164 443167 443172 442178 441184 442191 447194
      453196 461190 465189 470191 473193 474196 474201 472204
      467206 462203 458203 454209 450212 426218 423224 419225
      416222 416217 414216 397211 392208 391210 393213 393217
      391220 387223 378228 375237 373247 375254 380259 392264
      405269 422274 434275 445273 455270 462269 468270 480275
      492279 498280 502278 507267 511260
 0.50 517182 516179 513176 511175 508174 505173 502173 502175
      503178 504181 506182 509184 512184 514184 517182
 0.50 487233 488231 487228 485226 484225 484224 483224 482225
      480226 480227 481229 481230 482232 483234 484235 486234
      487233
 0.50 442720 440709 438705 429695 424690 419685 417683 414683
      409688 407703 407709 409713 413716 418721 421728 429738
      429744 430749 432751 436750 438747 438741 437737 437731
      442720
 0.50 364753 364751 363749 363746 363744 362744 361746 360747
      359748 359750 358752 358754 358757 357759 357760 357761
      359761 360761 361759 362758 362757 363755 364754 364753
 0.50 341923 341914 341907 339903 336902 334904 327911 321919
      314927 308933 293945 286953 283956 281960 276971 281978
      280985 285985 291986 295984 302977 306973 310971 317964
      323958 334941 341923
 1.00 510251 511243 510237 507229 504221 500214 492209 486203
      481202 479204 475205 473209 470211 465209 461208 459209
      454214 447216 443216 439217 433221 431224 432228 430231
      426231 416227 413219 410218 407219 402225 387231 385233
      384239 385247 387252 389257 396261 402263 411264 420266
      429267 435266 442264 456258 464257 468258 472259 482265
      489270 495274 501271 503268 504264 504257 510251
 1.00 488236 489234 490232 489229 489226 487224 486224 484223
      483222 481223 480223 479225 479226 479228 480230 481231
      481233 482234 482236 484237 486237 487236 488236
 1.00 482183 483180 483177 483175 483171 484169 484166 485164
      483163 481163 481168 482170 479172 478175 477179 477183
      479185 481185 482183
 1.00 463178 463176 461175 459176 458177 457177 456179 455181
      455183 457184 458184 460183 460182 462181 462180 463178
 1.00 336926 336919 335915 332913 321924 312933 306939 301943
      296947 292952 287958 285966 286972 289974 295970 308966
      315962 319957 327945 331938 334932 336926
 1.50 508245 507238 505232 501222 499217 496214 488208 483206
      479207 475209 472213 468213 463211 456215 452217 446218
      442219 439223 439227 444230 440229 436233 431235 421231
      416230 414226 411222 409222 407225 404229 400230 392235
      390238 389244 391248 393253 398257 402259 412261 420261
      430261 446255 461250 468251 474253 483258 490264 493267
      498269 501264 499258 496247 491240 482237 477225 477222
      479221 483221 488223 490227 492237 496243 500245 505247
      508245
 1.50 468230 469228 468226 467226 466227 465229 466230 468230
      468230
 1.50 332926 332921 329920 325924 316930 310939 301945 297950
      294956 291960 290964 291968 296967 301965 307963 312961
      316957 319952 325943 328937 330932 332926
 2.00 502241 504238 503235 502230 500222 498219 495216 489211
      483208 477210 475213 475217 481218 488221 491224 492228
      494236 500241 502241
 2.00 497263 497257 496253 493247 490242 485240 482238 480234
      477229 474228 472229 468232 464231 460233 454232 448232
      442234 437236 433238 427236 421233 414230 411229 409230
      405233 399235 396236 394239 394243 395246 398250 403255
      410258 421258 427257 432255 441251 452249 461245 468245
      475247 481249 486254 491260 494264 497263
 2.00 470220 470217 468215 463213 459215 456216 452220 448220
      444220 445225 448226 452225 455226 459228 463227 466224
      469221 470220
 2.00 328928 322928 314934 308943 302949 296958 294962 294966
      303962 311958 315954 317949 319945 322941 327932 328928
 3.00 499235 500232 499230 499227 498224 498223 496221 494222
      494223 493225 493228 494229 494230 495233 496234 498235
      499235
 3.00 489216 489215 488213 487213 486212 486213 484213 483214
      484215 485216 487217 489216 489216
 3.00 480241 480239 479236 479235 478233 478232 476231 475230
      473231 473232 472233 471236 471238 472239 473241 474242
      475243 476243 477243 478243 480241
 3.00 465239 467237 466234 464233 464234 463236 463238 463239
      465239 465239
 3.00 463223 464221 463218 463217 461217 460218 459218 457219
      456219 456221 457223 458224 460225 462225 463223
 3.00 450239 451237 449236 448236 446238 447240 449240 450239
 3.00 446240 445240 445238 444237 442236 441236 439238 439241
      440242 442242 443242 445240 446240
 3.00 431248 430243 428240 423236 420235 416235 413238 411245
      412248 414250 417252 421251 424251 429250 431248
 3.00 402244 400244 402244 402244
 3.00 305958 305957 305956 303955 302956 301958 303959 305958
      305958
 4.00 478238 478235 477235 476232 474233 473234 473237 474238
      475240 477239 478238
 4.00 462221 462220 461220 460220 459222 460223 461223 462221
      462221
 4.00 426244 427242 426241 425239 424239 423238 421238 420238
      419239 418239 418242 418244 419245 420245 422246 423246
      425245 426244

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 342273 351274 364277 384279 389279 392281 396285 400286
      418288 427286 432288 435287 438287 442287 448288 453290
      456291 459294 461297 463301 468309 471315 474319 478318
      480316 493300 498293 508293 509285 512281 514274 516270
      521263 523257 524251 525219 524217 526216 528216 530214
      533209 535202 536198 536191 535187 534180 521165 507153
      502151 498147 495143 492139 490135 487133 479134 476134
      474135 472138 476141 473145 469142 466138 463134 458132
      455134 452131 452129 451122 449117 444111 435110 427105
      421105 418106 409105 407093 405088 402083 401086 398087
      395085 393082 390085 386084 383082 378079 372079 366085
      362087 357086 353084 350088 348090 349095 351100 352104
      351108 348111 345108 342099 342096 339095 336097 335103
      333110 331121 328124 324126 318129 316132 318142 317147
      314151 309158 306161 308166 306174 309177 306188 304193
      302200 300206 300211 306217 319229 322233 322239 324250
      325256 330262 334266 339270
 0.01 508721 507706 504693 497673 495666 494660 491653 490645
      480634 476631 472632 467634 463632 460629 457631 453634
      450637 445644 438651 433652 430655 426662 425674 426687
      428691 429697 432700 434705 435712 437717 440719 442723
      441726 437728 433729 432731 436732 441731 446732 448734
      448737 434744 431747 429752 433760 436763 439763 442754
      445751 448746 452743 455745 471751 478754 487753 495750
      499747 501744 506732 508721
 0.01 457204 457202 458200 458197 457194 455196 455197 453198
      453199 452200 451201 450202 449205 447207 447209 448211
      450210 451210 452209 453208 454207 455206 456205 457204
 0.01 421687 417679 412671 411664 408660 399661 393666 390672
      391676 395684 400693 405701 411705 415705 416703 421694
      421687
 0.01 428921 424902 418888 407879 405877 404873 407864 407861
      405859 401858 399855 394851 386848 381845 377841 366831
      361829 357828 353827 348828 345831 339834 337836 333836
      326833 321830 316826 312824 309824 305825 302827 297832
      293837 290842 287850 286858 286866 284869 284874 281883
      279890 274894 264901 258905 253911 239935 237940 235943
      235948 235952 237956 239963 241971 241980 242984 242990
      243998 246003 251006 269007 276007 284004 286003 288999
      292993 295986 298982 306968 336961 343960 348958 355955
      359954 363952 375947 382944 385942 388938 402940 409939
      416936 424929 428921
 0.01 405785 403783 398788 393791 388794 384797 383804 385806
      388801 393796 397796 398793 402790 405785
 0.25 516259 517251 515243 510230 504215 501211 494208 485204
      476209 454215 449217 444217 438218 433217 428213 425207
      420203 415206 408204 405204 402202 397197 392194 388194
      384190 375184 369181 365177 361164 365166 368168 374168
      378170 384174 385176 388176 393174 404177 413183 417182
      419177 423176 428180 431181 435188 440191 445188 450186
      455182 458183 460181 465177 469178 472180 475184 480188
      483190 486189 495187 499185 506185 511184 512179 510176
      507171 502167 492158 487157 481157 476158 470155 464152
      462156 462160 461169 458173 455168 454162 451154 447148
      440138 437132 435129 431129 426131 421134 416135 410132
      405128 400126 398126 397130 396138 393142 387141 380139
      377137 377133 375125 374123 371120 367121 363120 361120
      360125 357133 353137 350143 349149 349156 350163 345166
      341164 316159 312163 313168 320179 324184 328189 330204
      332215 336225 343235 348239 355242 361245 367246 380247
      427258 451258 463259 475263 482267 486271 493279 497284
      499286 501285 505281 510275 514267 516259
 0.25 501251 499249 498246 496244 494241 492238 491237 489236
      490239 491242 493244 494246 497249 499251 501251
 0.25 389899 388893 389888 389880 386875 380867 374862 369853
      361847 356846 353846 343850 326861 319865 310870 303876
      298885 292893 286898 278904 270910 266919 263929 259938
      256949 254961 254967 256972 258976 262980 266982 271984
      277983 281980 287974 299960 306954 315949 323944 332939
      346928 352928 356925 366921 375919 380916 382913 387905
      389899
 0.50 512268 514261 515254 513244 512239 510235 506226 503218
      501214 497213 489213 487213 484217 489224 491233 496241
      501246 503251 503255 501257 498255 493247 491244 486243
      485248 486253 489260 493269 497277 499281 503279 507273
      512268
 0.50 479241 480239 480236 480234 479233 479231 478230 477228
      475229 473231 473232 472234 471236 472238 472239 473241
      474242 475242 476243 477243 478242 479241
 0.50 465224 466222 466219 464217 463216 462216 461216 459216
      458217 457217 456218 454218 454221 454223 455224 456226
      457226 458228 459229 461229 462228 463227 464226 465224
      465224
 0.50 452240 451228 452225 450223 445222 442224 440230 436230
      434233 431235 426232 421231 417228 416218 415214 413212
      383192 376187 368182 360179 358179 354181 351183 348182
      346174 344169 341166 334165 326162 322162 318166 331177
      334184 337193 337204 340211 344218 352224 356231 362236
      400246 403247 407247 416248 425249 432249 438248 443245
      448243 452240
 0.50 452176 452165 451160 448155 443149 438141 436138 431136
      427138 425141 424144 424148 425153 429161 427165 429169
      433171 436174 440177 445178 452176
 0.50 406158 407156 406155 404154 402155 402158 403159 405160
      406158
 0.50 373143 373142 372141 371140 370140 368138 366139 365139
      364139 364141 364144 366145 367146 369146 371146 373145
      373143
 0.50 364198 363195 361193 361192 360191 358192 359194 360195
      361195 362197 364198 364198
 0.50 378893 378889 376884 374878 372875 366867 362863 355858
      347855 341858 335863 321872 307882 296893 291898 288902
      286906 277920 273926 269933 263951 262960 266968 272972
      276972 280970 286966 291960 297954 305950 317942 332933
      337929 344923 349918 357914 364909 370905 375898 378893
 0.50 363157 363155 363154 362154 362157 363157
 0.50 356200 356198 356196 355195 354194 352193 350191 350192
      350193 351195 352196 351197 353200 355201 356200
 1.00 502236 502233 502231 501230 501227 500225 499222 498219
      497219 495219 494220 493221 493222 492225 493227 493230
      494230 495233 496235 498236 499236 501236 502236
 1.00 447165 446162 445160 444157 442154 440152 438150 435148
      432150 431154 432157 434160 436162 437165 440167 443167
      445166 447165
 1.00 427242 426239 423237 418234 413232 414224 414220 412217
      407214 399206 390200 381193 372186 368184 361182 359183
      358186 363190 370198 374202 377206 381210 386212 390216
      396219 401221 404223 403226 399227 393226 389222 386218
      383218 381220 379226 380232 384235 390238 397240 408241
      419244 427242
 1.00 375223 375221 374219 372218 370218 368219 369222 371224
      373225 375223 375223
 1.00 365220 366219 365216 363214 362213 360212 358211 357211
      355211 356214 357216 357217 359218 361219 362221 364221
      365220
 1.00 367896 367891 365887 362881 359877 354872 349870 345869
      341870 335871 330874 320882 309888 300895 291902 290906
      291911 288918 282927 279932 274937 272943 271949 272954
      274956 280956 285954 290951 301945 306943 312940 332927
      336922 339915 350910 360903 363900 367896
 1.00 347203 346191 344182 344171 341167 336167 340170 341175
      339176 337172 332165 328166 330168 334176 338179 340183
      340188 342193 342199 343203 347203
 1.50 439161 440158 439156 438156 437155 436158 437159 438161
      439161 439161
 1.50 410225 412223 412221 411219 411218 410217 408217 406217
      406218 406219 406220 406222 407224 409225 410225 410226
      410225
 1.50 403216 402212 399208 392203 386198 379192 371187 364184
      363187 365189 367191 373198 381204 389208 396215 399217
      403216
 1.50 390234 391232 391229 390229 389227 389226 387224 385224
      384225 383228 384230 384231 385233 386233 387234 389234
      390234
 1.50 343182 344180 343177 342175 342173 343171 343170 342168
      341168 340168 341170 342173 342175 342177 342179 342182
      343182 343182
 1.50 337174 337173 335171 334169 334168 332169 333170 335171
      335172 336174 336175 337174
 1.50 350886 350881 348878 343874 336874 330877 322885 311891
      301898 296901 293904 296910 293916 290922 287927 280937
      278943 279946 282947 287946 293943 298941 305940 311937
      315934 325926 329923 330920 330916 327916 323921 318924
      315925 316922 320918 323915 320913 321911 326906 328904
      329901 333895 337891 343890 347890 350886
 2.00 400216 401214 400212 400211 399209 397209 395210 394207
      393207 395210 396212 396213 398215 399215 399216 400216
 2.00 387203 386200 384198 382197 380195 378193 376191 373189
      371188 368187 369190 370192 373195 375197 379197 381199
      383202 386203 387203
 2.00 324896 324891 321891 315894 310898 306902 299913 292924
      286934 285935 287940 288941 291940 297938 306937 308936
      309933 306931 305927 306922 313913 320902 324896

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 521261 520254 517246 515240 512232 509226 506219 503213
      500208 493206 490205 490201 491196 486197 474201 467199
      458199 454202 450197 448194 449192 452184 453179 454176
      457169 463167 465169 468170 482176 490187 492189 494188
      498193 499196 502197 507193 510191 513194 515195 514192
      514187 516185 521181 523177 519171 512159 510157 507155
      502159 498162 491162 487156 478154 471151 468147 467127
      471109 475106 474103 475099 475092 475087 477084 478082
      482080 485080 488083 493087 495087 495083 494079 491077
      489073 485071 481067 474064 461062 459063 457061 454061
      451063 447066 442065 438068 434073 433078 431081 428088
      421085 417077 415071 412067 408063 407057 406055 398055
      395059 389061 385062 383060 380060 378062 377065 374062
      370059 367053 365051 361051 356053 350055 346056 342056
      334054 325054 318054 314058 313067 309072 301083 294094
      292096 292099 293106 292115 293123 292134 292143 287156
      285165 283170 285175 289182 290186 291191 291196 291203
      293209 296214 300218 308229 318240 325249 332259 335264
      340270 345272 352276 381286 411296 416300 420306 432315
      447321 459321 470320 480316 482305 484301 487298 490294
      496292 498291 500287 504280 512272 518267 521261
 0.01 499152 496148 492142 489137 484135 477134 474133 472135
      470138 473141 477140 483141 488146 491150 492153 496154
      499152
 0.01 496954 494941 491927 482907 472887 468882 466875 462861
      459849 455837 449827 444817 433798 428787 423775 419764
      412758 404752 397747 380736 371732 362726 358725 355727
      346733 330745 326749 324755 312757 309757 307764 304774
      297794 297799 296804 293816 289826 287831 284835 275842
      270849 265858 261868 257878 254887 255888 256892 258898
      257905 257910 257918 258924 259931 261935 263937 269936
      270939 268941 266946 262956 261961 262966 263972 266974
      272975 276977 282979 288977 294977 296976 297973 298960
      298953 299947 300933 299925 298920 298913 304913 309914
      315914 323907 333903 337904 342908 345911 350914 371912
      380916 384919 387922 396928 405934 414938 418940 423945
      430950 434952 440952 443952 445954 448957 457964 468965
      471965 474967 479967 488960 496954
 0.01 444171 443166 443163 440161 434155 434150 437146 434141
      431140 429142 424150 421150 417147 414144 409143 408147
      413150 418158 423164 430171 434173 439174 444171
 0.01 438973 433968 426964 423963 420961 412956 406954 396954
      391959 387965 383986 380995 378004 378008 382008 385006
      389006 396002 403998 409995 412993 414989 417980 421973
      438973 438973
 0.01 343070 340067 337067 333066 328064 323065 321069 322074
      325078 330077 334075 338073 341072 343070
 0.25 498229 498226 497226 496225 495226 495228 495230 497230
      498229
 0.25 484276 483264 478256 472249 466244 461235 459231 454229
      449227 444228 441232 438232 434234 429231 430227 433225
      435221 431217 422216 419212 415209 411211 407206 393197
      384193 379186 372180 367174 366170 366162 370153 375144
      376139 376134 373124 370121 365119 361120 358123 353117
      347110 344102 341093 337089 333088 321097 317104 312105
      310102 307103 305108 307112 309115 311119 314122 323123
      326122 330123 339126 342129 345133 346137 347141 353135
      357136 359140 362148 360152 357156 351159 347161 342162
      333160 328160 323158 306153 304155 305158 307162 311170
      314191 316198 320206 323214 328220 334227 342233 347241
      353247 364259 371265 379269 390272 402277 410281 420286
      428290 437292 446291 453290 461288 469287 474286 478284
      481280 484276
 0.25 478233 476231 475232 475235 476236 476235 478234 478233
 0.25 461220 461218 461217 460218 460220 461220 461220
 0.25 461927 459918 456911 452904 448899 437890 430878 425872
      422865 419856 418854 418849 417837 415829 413823 411820
      405815 398815 392819 385816 380816 376817 373817 368812
      367800 363792 364783 364778 362774 360771 358772 347802
      345804 340804 335809 330814 324817 318820 310822 303827
      298831 294836 290841 285855 282861 278861 274867 272871
      275871 276874 276878 274885 274894 278900 279908 281912
      283914 295903 305896 314886 320883 328881 332882 334884
      342887 357888 374887 381888 387891 399899 410909 420917
      425921 430925 443931 454935 459932 461927
 0.25 397085 398081 398077 394074 390073 386074 382077 378074
      373065 369063 366067 366072 367077 368084 369090 372093
      374096 373100 378101 381096 384093 389092 396087 397085
 0.50 456271 457264 458256 456251 452247 446244 441244 431244
      424236 416229 415215 409215 404210 397203 387198 371183
      359179 354181 353184 356189 361192 363193 364197 362200
      358201 353197 350193 349190 350186 348181 346176 345171
      342165 336163 330162 325160 319159 313159 312161 312164
      315168 322176 328184 331195 333200 336205 343213 350221
      355229 362236 369245 372250 376253 385258 397263 403266
      408269 426281 432283 436280 439278 445275 451270 456271
 0.50 429893 408859 403849 397843 391836 380836 365843 354842
      354830 352824 349822 344822 341825 340831 338835 336839
      333841 330840 327837 324833 321831 315832 311834 307837
      301844 296851 293860 291870 290883 289886 290890 292894
      293897 296896 300894 307888 314882 321876 328871 334870
      339871 347876 356877 362877 368876 377874 382875 386878
      392885 399890 406894 417898 420899 423897 429893
 0.50 347114 343109 342102 340096 335095 331099 326100 323104
      323111 325113 327114 333116 340118 345116 347114
 1.00 424249 424243 422240 414238 413230 414224 413219 409218
      406220 401226 394226 386221 380220 376219 373216 366215
      360210 356209 355211 356214 361220 368225 376228 386242
      393246 401249 405250 409249 412249 417250 421250 424249
 1.00 402216 403214 402212 401211 400210 399208 397207 395206
      394206 392207 392208 391209 391210 391211 393213 393214
      394215 396217 397218 399218 400218 401218 402216
 1.00 373193 373191 373189 371188 369186 368185 366185 365184
      364184 363183 361183 360185 360186 362187 364188 365189
      367190 369191 370192 370193 372193 373193
 1.00 355207 349199 345189 344183 344175 343170 342168 339167
      329163 323162 320163 321166 328172 333175 336180 339190
      342199 346204 350206 353208 355207
 1.00 371855 369853 369854 371855 371855
 1.00 361863 361861 360859 359859 358858 356858 355859 354861
      353864 354866 355867 357866 359866 359865 360864 361863
 1.00 313850 311848 307850 304855 302861 301867 299874 299880
      300884 302884 305882 309877 312872 313864 309859 311854
      313850
 1.50 411228 412226 412224 411221 409221 407222 406224 407227
      408228 410229 411228
 1.50 403242 402242 401240 401239 400237 398237 397238 397240
      399241 400243 402243 403242
 1.50 399213 398212 397210 396210 396212 396213 398213 399213
 1.50 392235 391233 391232 390231 388230 387229 387228 385227
      384228 383230 384232 386232 387233 388234 389235 391236
      392235

$$





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